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Identification and Predictive Value of Risk Factors for Mortality Due to Listeria monocytogenes Infection: Use of Machine Learning with a Nationwide Administrative Data Set 单核细胞增生李斯特菌感染死亡率危险因素的识别和预测价值:机器学习与全国行政数据集的使用
Pub Date : 2022-01-18 DOI: 10.3390/bacteria1010003
R. García-Carretero, Julia Roncal-Gomez, Pilar Rodriguez-Manzano, Óscar Vázquez-Gómez
We used machine-learning algorithms to evaluate demographic and clinical data in an administrative data set to identify relevant predictors of mortality due to Listeria monocytogenes infection. We used the Spanish Minimum Basic Data Set at Hospitalization (MBDS-H) to estimate the impacts of several predictors on mortality. The MBDS-H is a mandatory registry of clinical discharge reports. Data were coded with International Classification of Diseases, either Ninth or Tenth Revisions, codes. Diagnoses and clinical conditions were defined using recorded data from these codes or a combination of them. We used two different statistical approaches to produce two predictive models. The first was logistic regression, a classic statistical approach that uses data science to preprocess data and measure performance. The second was a random forest algorithm, a strategy based on machine learning and feature selection. We compared the performance of the two models using predictive accuracy and the area under the curve. Between 2001 and 2016, a total of 5603 hospitalized patients were identified as having any clinical form of listeriosis. Most patients were adults (94.9%). Among all hospitalized individuals, there were 2318 women (41.4%). We recorded 301 pregnant women and 287 newborns with listeriosis. The mortality rate was 0.13 patients per 100,000 population. The performance of the model produced by logistic regression after intense preprocessing was similar to that of the model produced by the random forest algorithm. Predictive accuracy was 0.83, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.74 in both models. Sepsis, age, and malignancy were the most relevant features related to mortality. Our combined use of data science, preprocessing, conventional statistics, and machine learning provides insights into mortality due to Listeria-related infection. These methods are not mutually exclusive. The combined use of several methods would allow researchers to better explain results and understand data related to Listeria monocytogenes infection.
我们使用机器学习算法评估管理数据集中的人口统计学和临床数据,以确定单核细胞增生李斯特菌感染导致死亡率的相关预测因素。我们使用西班牙住院时最低基本数据集(MBDS-H)来估计几种预测因子对死亡率的影响。MBDS-H是临床出院报告的强制性注册表。数据采用《国际疾病分类》第九版或第十版编码。诊断和临床状况的定义使用这些代码的记录数据或它们的组合。我们使用了两种不同的统计方法来产生两种预测模型。第一个是逻辑回归,这是一种经典的统计方法,它使用数据科学来预处理数据并测量性能。第二个是随机森林算法,这是一种基于机器学习和特征选择的策略。我们使用预测精度和曲线下面积来比较两种模型的性能。在2001年至2016年期间,共有5603名住院患者被确定患有任何临床形式的李斯特菌病。大多数患者为成人(94.9%)。在所有住院个体中,女性有2318人(41.4%)。我们记录了301名孕妇和287名新生儿李斯特菌病。死亡率为每10万人0.13例。经过深度预处理后的逻辑回归模型的性能与随机森林算法模型的性能相当。两种模型的预测准确率均为0.83,受试者工作特征曲线下面积均为0.74。脓毒症、年龄和恶性肿瘤是与死亡率最相关的特征。我们将数据科学、预处理、传统统计和机器学习相结合,为李斯特菌相关感染的死亡率提供了见解。这些方法并不相互排斥。几种方法的联合使用将使研究人员能够更好地解释结果并了解与单核细胞增生李斯特菌感染相关的数据。
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引用次数: 5
Clinical Features and Predictors for Mortality in Neurolisteriosis: An Administrative Data-Based Study 神经李斯特菌病的临床特征和死亡率预测因素:一项基于管理数据的研究
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.3390/bacteria1010002
R. García-Carretero
Listeriosis is an uncommon and potentially severe zoonotic bacterial infection that usually occurs in outbreaks instead of isolated cases. In recent years, there has been an increase in the incidence of this disease. One of the most severe of its complications involves the central nervous system (CNS) in a condition known as neurolisteriosis. Here, we describe the demographic and clinical features of patients presenting with neurolisteriosis between 2001 and 2015 using administrative data and attempt to identify potential predictors for mortality. We used the Spanish Minimum Basic Data Set at Hospitalization, a compulsory registry that collects data from clinical discharge reports. Up to 2015, data were coded based on the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, so we used diagnoses and clinical conditions based on these codes. Age, sex, clinical presentation, mortality, and involvement of the CNS were identified. Using algorithms to aggregate data, variables such as immunosuppression and malignant disease were obtained. We analyzed correlations among clinical features and identified risk factors for morbidity and mortality. Between 2001 and 2015 we identified 5180 individuals, with a hospitalization rate of 0.76 per 100,000 population. Most (94%) were adults, and only 5.4% were pregnant women. The average age was 66 years. Neurological involvement was present in 2313 patients (44.7%), mostly meningitis (90.4%). Global mortality was 17%, but mortality in CNS infections was 19.2%. Age, severe sepsis, chronic liver disease, chronic kidney disease, and malignancy were the main risk factors for mortality in patients with CNS infections by Listeria monocytogenes. Although it is uncommon, neurolisteriosis can be a severe condition, associated with a high rate of mortality. Health care providers should be aware of potential sources of infection so that appropriate measures can be taken to prevent it.
李斯特菌病是一种罕见且潜在严重的人畜共患细菌感染,通常发生在疫情中,而不是孤立病例。近年来,这种疾病的发病率有所增加。其最严重的并发症之一涉及中枢神经系统(CNS),称为神经李斯特菌病。在这里,我们使用管理数据描述了2001年至2015年间神经李斯特菌病患者的人口学和临床特征,并试图确定死亡率的潜在预测因素。我们使用了西班牙住院最低基本数据集,这是一项强制性登记,从临床出院报告中收集数据。截至2015年,数据编码基于《国际疾病分类》第九版,因此我们使用基于这些编码的诊断和临床条件。确定年龄、性别、临床表现、死亡率和中枢神经系统的受累情况。利用算法汇总数据,获得免疫抑制和恶性疾病等变量。我们分析了临床特征之间的相关性,并确定了发病率和死亡率的危险因素。在2001年至2015年期间,我们确定了5180人,住院率为每10万人0.76人。大多数(94%)是成年人,只有5.4%是孕妇。平均年龄为66岁。2313例(44.7%)患者存在神经系统受累,主要是脑膜炎(90.4%)。全球死亡率为17%,但中枢神经系统感染死亡率为19.2%。年龄、严重脓毒症、慢性肝病、慢性肾病和恶性肿瘤是单核细胞增生李斯特菌CNS感染患者死亡的主要危险因素。虽然它不常见,但神经李斯特菌病可能是一种严重的疾病,与高死亡率相关。卫生保健提供者应了解潜在的感染源,以便采取适当措施加以预防。
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引用次数: 3
Why a New Journal on Bacteria? 为什么要出版一本关于细菌的新杂志?
Pub Date : 2021-11-28 DOI: 10.3390/bacteria1010001
B. Weimer
As the inaugural editor-in-chief of the journal Bacteria (ISSN: 2674-1334) [...]
作为《细菌》杂志(ISSN: 2674-1334)的首任主编[…]
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引用次数: 0
Probiotics, Vitamin D, and Vitamin D Receptor in Health and Disease 健康和疾病中的益生菌、维生素D和维生素D受体
Pub Date : 2020-02-19 DOI: 10.1201/9780429422591-6
C. Battistini, Najib Nassani, Susan M. Saad, Jun Sun
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引用次数: 3
Probiotic Effects of Non-viable Lactic Acid Bacteria 非活菌乳酸菌的益生菌效应
Pub Date : 2019-04-08 DOI: 10.1201/9780429057465-37
M. Bernardeau, M. Cretenet
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引用次数: 0
Lactic Acid Bacteria and Respiratory Health 乳酸菌与呼吸系统健康
Pub Date : 2019-04-08 DOI: 10.1201/9780429057465-31
J. Villena, A. Suvorov, H. Kitazawa, S. Alvarez
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引用次数: 2
Regulation of Probiotics in Canada 加拿大益生菌法规
Pub Date : 2019-04-08 DOI: 10.1201/9780429057465-41
J. Powers
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引用次数: 1
Fructophilic Lactic Acid Bacteria 嗜果糖乳酸菌
Pub Date : 2019-04-08 DOI: 10.1201/9780429057465-5
A. Endo
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引用次数: 3
Introduction to the Genera Pediococcus, Leuconostoc, Weissella, and Carnobacterium Pediococcus, Leuconostoc, Weissella和Carnobacterium的介绍
Pub Date : 2019-04-08 DOI: 10.1201/9780429057465-6
E. Säde, J. Björkroth
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引用次数: 2
Beneficial Microbes for Companion Animals 伴侣动物的有益微生物
Pub Date : 2019-04-08 DOI: 10.1201/9780429057465-34
M. Rinkinen, S. Beasley
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引用次数: 0
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Lactic Acid Bacteria
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