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The surprising role of audit committee financial experts and the need for more of them to combat financial corruption 审计委员会金融专家的惊人作用,以及需要更多的金融专家来打击金融腐败
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI: 10.1108/mf-11-2022-0522
Mikhail Gorshunov
Purpose The purpose of this research is to examine the impact of audit committee financial experts on the risk of financial corruption in public companies. Design/methodology/approach A time-lagged, matched-pairs sample of 352 corporations was utilized to test the study's hypotheses (176 financially corrupt firms plus 176 compliant firms). To uncover financially corrupt firms, 2,895 Accounting and Auditing Enforcement Releases from the Securities and Exchange Commission were thoroughly evaluated. Findings The results show that financial experts on audit committees generally increased financial corruption. However, the impact was reversed when audit committees had three or more financial experts, showing that having at least three financial experts reduced financial corruption. Originality/value The study's findings call into question the long-held practice of appointing at least one financial expert to audit committees. This study offers a novel approach to improve corporate oversight and reduce financial corruption by having at least three financial experts on audit committees.
本研究的目的是检验审计委员会财务专家对上市公司财务腐败风险的影响。设计/方法/方法352家公司的时滞配对样本被用来检验研究的假设(176家财务腐败的公司加上176家合规的公司)。为了揭露财务腐败的公司,美国证券交易委员会(sec)对2895份会计和审计强制执行公告进行了全面评估。结果表明,审计委员会的金融专家普遍加剧了金融腐败。然而,当审计委员会拥有3名或3名以上的金融专家时,效果正好相反,这表明至少拥有3名金融专家会减少金融腐败。独创性/价值这项研究的发现对长期以来任命至少一名财务专家进入审计委员会的做法提出了质疑。本研究提供了一种新颖的方法,通过在审计委员会中至少有三名金融专家来改善公司监督和减少金融腐败。
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引用次数: 0
External audit quality, auditor selection and hostile takeovers: evidence from half a century 外部审计质量、审计师选择与敌意收购:来自半个世纪的证据
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1108/mf-01-2023-0056
Kriengkrai Boonlert-u-thai, Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard, Suwongrat Papangkorn, Pornsit Jiraporn
Purpose Exploiting a unique measure of hostile takeover exposure principally based on the staggered adoption of state legislations, the authors investigate how external audit quality is influenced by the discipline of the takeover market. External auditors and the takeover market both function as important instruments of external corporate governance. Design/methodology/approach The authors execute a standard regression analysis and run a variety of robustness checks to minimize endogeneity, namely, propensity score matching (PSM), entropy balancing, an instrumental-variable analysis, Generalized method of moment (GMM) dynamic panel data analysis and Lewbel's (2012) heteroscedastic identification. Findings The authors’ immense sample spans half a century, encompassing nearly 180,000 observations and 17 takeover-related state legislations, one of the largest samples in the literature in this area. The authors’ results suggest that firms with more takeover exposure are significantly less likely to use Big N auditors. Therefore, a more active takeover market results in poorer external audit quality, corroborating the substitution hypothesis. The discipline of the takeover market substitutes for the necessity for a high-quality external auditor. Specifically, a rise in takeover susceptibility by one standard deviation lowers the probability of using a Big N auditor by 4.29%. Originality/value The authors’ study is the first to examine the effect of the takeover over market on audit quality using a novel measure of hostile takeover susceptibility mainly based on the staggered implementation of state legislation. Because the enactment of state legislation is beyond the control of any firm individually, it is plausibly exogenous. The authors’ results therefore probably reflect a causal influence rather than merely a correlation.
目的利用一种独特的敌意收购风险衡量方法,主要基于州立法的交错采用,作者研究了外部审计质量如何受到收购市场纪律的影响。外部审计师和收购市场都是外部公司治理的重要工具。设计/方法/方法作者执行标准回归分析并运行各种稳健性检查以最大限度地减少内质性,即倾向得分匹配(PSM),熵平衡,工具变量分析,广义矩法(GMM)动态面板数据分析和Lewbel(2012)的异方差识别。作者的庞大样本跨越了半个世纪,包括近18万份观察报告和17项与收购相关的州立法,是该领域文献中最大的样本之一。作者的研究结果表明,有更多收购风险的公司明显不太可能使用大N审计师。因此,并购市场越活跃,外部审计质量越差,印证了替代假说。收购市场的规律取代了对高质量外部审计师的需求。具体来说,收购敏感性每增加一个标准差,使用大N审计师的可能性就会降低4.29%。原创性/价值作者的研究首次考察了收购市场对审计质量的影响,采用了一种新的敌意收购易感性衡量标准,主要基于国家立法的交错实施。由于州立法的制定超出了任何公司个人的控制范围,因此它似乎是外生的。因此,作者的结果可能反映了一种因果影响,而不仅仅是一种相关性。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of working capital management on the profitability of listed halal food and beverage companies 营运资金管理对清真食品饮料上市公司盈利能力的影响
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.1108/mf-12-2022-0606
Umar Habibu Umar, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan
Purpose This study investigated how working capital management (WCM) influences the profitability of listed halal food and beverage companies. Design/methodology/approach The study utilized a sample of 56 listed halal food and beverage companies operating in Indonesia, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Unbalanced panel data were generated from the Bloomberg database between 2008 and 2021. Besides, the study employed the two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) technique for the estimation, which can address the models' endogeneity, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation problems. Also, feasible generalized least square (FGLS) regression was applied to check the robustness of the results. Findings The study revealed that the cash conversion cycle (CCC) and accounts receivable period (ARP) significantly reduced firm profitability. Also, the inventory conversion period (ICP) significantly reduced return on assets (ROA) but insignificantly influenced return on equity (ROE). However, the results showed that the accounts payable period (APP) significantly increased firm profitability. These findings are robust to the results obtained by applying FGLS regression. Research limitations/implications The study utilized a sample of only the listed halal food and beverage firms that operate in Indonesia, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Practical implications The study suggests that the management of listed halal firms should adopt an aggressive policy in managing their working capital in order to enhance their financial performance. This could be attained by lowering CCC when ARP and ICP are reduced and APP is increased. Originality/value This study contributes to the literature by providing cross-country empirical evidence showing how working capital and its components affect the financial performance of firms that solely produce or buy and sell halal food and beverage products in five countries.
目的研究营运资金管理对清真食品饮料上市公司盈利能力的影响。本研究使用了56家在印度尼西亚、马来西亚、沙特阿拉伯、巴基斯坦和阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)经营的上市清真食品和饮料公司的样本。不平衡面板数据来自2008年至2021年间的彭博数据库。此外,采用两步系统广义矩量法(GMM)技术进行估计,解决了模型的内生性、异方差性和自相关问题。采用可行广义最小二乘(FGLS)回归检验结果的稳健性。研究发现,现金转换周期(CCC)和应收账款期间(ARP)显著降低了企业的盈利能力。存货转换率(ICP)显著降低了资产收益率(ROA),但对净资产收益率(ROE)影响不显著。然而,结果表明,应付账款期间(APP)显著提高了企业的盈利能力。这些发现对应用FGLS回归获得的结果具有鲁棒性。研究局限/启示本研究仅使用了在印度尼西亚、马来西亚、沙特阿拉伯、巴基斯坦和阿拉伯联合酋长国(阿联酋)经营的上市清真食品和饮料公司的样本。研究表明,清真上市公司的管理层应该采取积极的政策来管理他们的营运资金,以提高他们的财务绩效。当ARP和ICP降低,APP增加时,降低CCC即可达到这一目的。原创性/价值本研究通过提供跨国经验证据来促进文献,表明营运资本及其组成部分如何影响五个国家中仅生产或购买和销售清真食品和饮料产品的公司的财务绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Exercise decision of employee stock options: does Herding Bias influence the employees' decision? 员工股票期权的行权决策:羊群偏见是否影响员工的决策?
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.1108/mf-03-2023-0146
Manpreet K. Arora, Sukhpreet Kaur
Purpose Employee Stock Options [ESOs] have been used widely as a component of employees' compensation. To maximise the incentive effect of these options it is very important to understand the exercise decision of the employees. This is an important financial decision that is dependent on both rational and psychological factors. This paper aims to study the mediating role of Herding Bias on Personality Traits and the employees' decision to exercise ESOs. Design/methodology/approach The data were collected through a self-structured questionnaire from 210 employees of Banks and NBFCs [Non-Banking Financial Companies] who have received and exercised the ESOs. SPSS MACRO version 25 was used to understand the mediational effect of Herding Bias on Personality Traits and Employees' decision to exercise their ESOs. Findings The results showed that Personality Traits affect the employees' decision to exercise their ESOs. The study also shows a partial negative mediating effect of Herding Bias on Personality Traits and employees' decision to exercise ESOs. Originality/value Limited study has been conducted on how the employees make their decision to exercise ESOs. Although extant studies have touched upon the importance of including behavioural biases in ascertaining the exercise decision of the employees, the predictors of the behavioural biases have not been studied under this context. To the best of the author's knowledge, this study is the first in itself to study the inter-linkage between Personality Traits, Herding Bias and employees' decision to exercise ESOs.
员工股票期权作为员工薪酬的一个组成部分,已被广泛使用。为了使这些期权的激励效果最大化,了解员工的行使决策是非常重要的。这是一项重要的财务决策,它既取决于理性因素,也取决于心理因素。本文旨在研究从众偏见对人格特质和员工持股持股决策的中介作用。设计/方法/方法数据是通过自结构化问卷收集的,调查对象是210名收到并行使了员工福利计划的银行和非银行金融公司的员工。运用SPSS MACRO version 25分析了羊群偏见对人格特质和员工持股期权行使决策的中介作用。研究结果表明,人格特质会影响员工行使员工持股期权的决策。研究还发现,从众偏见对人格特质和员工实施eso决策具有部分负向中介作用。独创性/价值有限公司研究了员工如何决定行使员工福利计划。虽然现有的研究已经触及了包括行为偏差在确定员工的运动决策中的重要性,但行为偏差的预测因素尚未在此背景下进行研究。据作者所知,本研究本身是第一个研究人格特质、羊群偏见与员工行使eso决策之间相互联系的研究。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of hurricanes on a property portfolio: an empirical study based on loss data in Portugal 飓风对房地产投资组合的影响:基于葡萄牙损失数据的实证研究
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.1108/mf-03-2023-0163
Andrea Hauser, Carlos Rosa, Rui Esteves, Lourdes Bugalho, Alexandra Moura, Carlos Oliveira
Purpose The simulated scenarios can be used to compute risk premiums per risk class in the portfolio. These can then be used to adjust the policy premiums by accounting for storm risk. Design/methodology/approach A complete model to analyse and characterise future losses of the property portfolio of an insurance company due to hurricanes is proposed. The model is calibrated by using the loss data of the Fidelidade insurance company property portfolio resulting from Hurricane Leslie, which hit the centre of continental Portugal in October, 2018. Findings Several scenarios are simulated and risk maps are constructed. The risk map of the company depends on its portfolio, especially its exposure, and provides a Hurricane risk management tool for the insurance company. Originality/value A statistical model is considered, in which weather data is not required. The authors reconstruct the behaviour of storms through the registered claims and respective losses.
目的模拟的情景可用于计算投资组合中每个风险类别的风险溢价。然后,这些数据可以用来通过考虑风暴风险来调整保单保费。设计/方法/方法提出了一个完整的模型来分析和描述保险公司因飓风造成的财产投资组合的未来损失。该模型通过使用Fidelidade保险公司财产投资组合的损失数据进行校准,该数据是由2018年10月袭击葡萄牙大陆中心的飓风莱斯利造成的。研究结果模拟了几种场景,构建了风险图。公司的风险图取决于其投资组合,特别是其敞口,并为保险公司提供了飓风风险管理工具。原创性/价值考虑一个统计模型,其中不需要天气数据。作者通过登记的索赔和各自的损失重建了风暴的行为。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable investments: a scientometric review and research agenda 可持续投资:科学计量学审查和研究议程
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI: 10.1108/mf-04-2023-0238
Monica Singhania, Ibna Bhan, Gurmani Chadha
Purpose Sustainable investments (SI) represent a promising class of investments, combining financial returns with mitigating environmental challenges, achieving SDG goals and creating a positive business impact. An enhanced global focus on climate change developments in the backdrop of COP26 and COP27, raised the need for comprehensive literature mapping, to understand the emerging themes and future research arenas in this field. Design/methodology/approach The authors apply a quali–quantitative approach of bibliometric methods coupled with content analysis, to review 1,022 articles obtained from the Web of Science (WoS) database for 1991–2023. Findings The results identify the leading authors and their collaborations, impactful journals and pioneering articles in sustainable investment literature. The authors also indicate seven major themes of SI to be financial performance; fiduciary duty; CSR; construction of ESG-based portfolios; sustainability assessment tools and mechanisms; investor behavior; and impact investing. Further, content analysis of literature from 2020 to 2023 highlights emerging research issues to be SDG financing via green bonds and social impact bonds; investor impact creation via shareholder engagement and field building strategies; and governance related determinants of firm-level sustainable investments. Finally, the authors discuss the research gaps across these themes and identify future research questions. Originality/value This paper crystallizes research themes in sustainable investment literature using a vast coverage of globally conducted studies published in reputed journals till date. The findings of this study coupled with future research questions provide a well-grounded foundation for new researchers to further explore the emerging dimensions of this field.
可持续投资(SI)代表了一种有前景的投资类别,将财务回报与减轻环境挑战、实现可持续发展目标和创造积极的商业影响相结合。在COP26和COP27的背景下,全球对气候变化发展的关注得到加强,这就需要进行全面的文献制图,以了解该领域的新兴主题和未来的研究领域。设计/方法/方法作者采用文献计量学方法结合内容分析的定性定量方法,对1991-2023年从Web of Science (WoS)数据库中获得的1022篇文章进行了综述。研究结果确定了可持续投资文献中的主要作者及其合作、有影响力的期刊和开创性文章。作者还指出了七个主要主题的科技创新是财务绩效;受托责任;企业社会责任;构建基于esg的投资组合;可持续性评估工具和机制;投资者的行为;还有影响力投资。此外,对2020年至2023年的文献进行内容分析,突出了通过绿色债券和社会影响债券进行可持续发展目标融资的新兴研究问题;通过股东参与和实地建设战略创造投资者影响;以及公司层面可持续投资的治理相关决定因素。最后,作者讨论了这些主题之间的研究差距,并确定了未来的研究问题。原创性/价值本文利用迄今为止在知名期刊上发表的大量全球开展的研究,明确了可持续投资文献中的研究主题。本研究的发现以及未来的研究问题为新研究者进一步探索该领域的新兴维度提供了良好的基础。
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引用次数: 0
When politics meets sustainability: the effect of independent directors' political connections on corporate sustainability disclosure in China 当政治与可持续性相遇:中国独立董事政治关系对公司可持续性信息披露的影响
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1108/mf-04-2023-0243
Hsiu-I Ting, Yun-Chi Lee
Purpose This paper investigates the influence of political connections on sustainability disclosure in the context of China's Regulation 18. Design/methodology/approach The study employs a quasi-experimental approach, utilizing difference-in-difference (DiD) analysis, dynamic DiD and propensity score matching to analyze the effects of politically connected independent directors on sustainability disclosure following the implementation of Regulation 18. Findings Companies with politically connected independent directors show an improvement in sustainability disclosures after Regulation 18. This effect is stronger for firms facing high political pressure or lacking alternative political power. Additionally, the increase in value from sustainability disclosures compensates for the loss of politically connected independent directors, indicating a positive value impact of sustainability disclosures. Originality/value This study provides novel insights into the corporate disclosure policy in China by investigating the impact of politically connected directors on sustainability disclosure. Additionally, it sheds light on the limitations of political power and its substitution effects within companies.
目的研究中国18号规定背景下政治关系对可持续性信息披露的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究采用准实验方法,利用差分分析法、动态差分分析法和倾向得分匹配分析了18号法规实施后政治关联独立董事对可持续性信息披露的影响。在第18条法规出台后,拥有政治关联的独立董事的公司在可持续性披露方面有所改善。对于面临巨大政治压力或缺乏替代政治权力的企业,这种效应更强。此外,可持续性披露带来的价值增加弥补了政治关联独立董事的损失,表明可持续性披露具有积极的价值影响。本研究通过调查政治关联董事对可持续性信息披露的影响,为中国公司信息披露政策提供了新的视角。此外,它还揭示了政治权力的局限性及其在公司内部的替代效应。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of gender diversity on firm performance: empirical evidence from India 性别多样性对公司绩效的影响:来自印度的经验证据
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1108/mf-02-2023-0126
Najul Laskar, Jagadish Prasad Sahu, Khalada Sultana Choudhury
Purpose The main purpose of the study is to investigate the impact of gender diversity both at the board and workforce level on firm performance (FP) in the Indian context. Design/methodology/approach This study is based on annual data of 200 companies listed on Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) for the period 2012–2019. The authors have used the fixed-effects (FE) regression and system generalized method of moments to estimate the impact of board gender diversity and workforce gender diversity (WGD) on FP. The authors have used Blau's Index (BI) and Shannon's Index (SI) to measure gender diversity. Further, the authors have used return on assets and Tobin's Q (TBQ) to measure FP. Findings The authors' panel regression results suggest that board gender diversity and WGD have a positive and statistically significant impact on FP. The authors' findings are robust across different methods of estimation and alternative measures of FP. Originality/value This paper examines the impact of gender diversity both at the board and workforce level on FP of 200 companies listed on BSE. The authors' study contributes to the literature that is sparse in the Indian context and provides new insights on the impact of board and WGD on FP. The findings have useful policy implications. To achieve better performance, it is imperative to appreciate gender diversity at the governance and workforce level in a fast-growing economy like India.
本研究的主要目的是调查印度背景下董事会和劳动力层面的性别多样性对公司绩效(FP)的影响。本研究基于2012-2019年在孟买证券交易所(BSE)上市的200家公司的年度数据。本文采用固定效应(FE)回归和系统广义矩量法来估计董事会性别多样性和员工性别多样性(WGD)对FP的影响。作者使用布劳指数(Blau’s Index, BI)和香农指数(Shannon’s Index, SI)来衡量性别多样性。此外,作者还使用资产收益率和托宾Q (TBQ)来衡量FP。面板回归结果表明,董事会性别多样性和WGD对FP有显著的正向影响。作者的发现在不同的估计方法和FP的替代测量方法中都是稳健的。本文考察了在BSE上市的200家公司的董事会和员工层面的性别多样性对FP的影响。作者的研究为印度背景下稀少的文献做出了贡献,并为董事会和WGD对计划生育的影响提供了新的见解。研究结果具有有用的政策含义。为了实现更好的绩效,在印度这样一个快速增长的经济体中,必须重视治理和劳动力层面的性别多样性。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the impact of geopolitical risk on Sukuk, stocks, oil and gold markets during the crises period: fresh evidence from wavelet-based approach 重新审视危机期间地缘政治风险对伊斯兰债券、股票、石油和黄金市场的影响:来自小波分析方法的新证据
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1108/mf-12-2022-0587
Mustafa Raza Rabbani, M.Kabir Hassan, Syed Ahsan Jamil, Mohammad Sahabuddin, Muneer Shaik
Purpose In this study, the authors analyze the impact of geopolitics risk on Sukuk, Islamic and composite stocks, oil and gold markets and portfolio diversification implications during the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine conflict period. Design/methodology/approach The study used a mix of wavelet-based approaches, including continuous wavelet transformation and discrete wavelet transformation. The analysis used data from the Geopolitical Risk index (GP{R), Dow Jones Sukuk index (SUKUK), Dow Jones Islamic index (DJII), Dow Jones composite index (DJCI), one of the top crude oil benchmarks which is based on the Europe (BRENT) (oil fields in the North Sea between the Shetland Island and Norway), and Global Gold Price Index (gold) from May 31, 2012, to June 13, 2022. Findings The results of the study indicate that during the COVID-19 and Russia–Ukraine conflict period geopolitical risk (GPR) was in the leading position, where BRENT confirmed the lagging relationship. On the other hand, during the COVID-19 pandemic period, SUKUK, DJII and DJCI are in the leading position, where GPR confirms the lagging position. Originality/value The present study is unique in three respects. First, the authors revisit the influence of GPR on global asset markets such as Islamic stocks, Islamic bonds, conventional stocks, oil and gold. Second, the authors use the wavelet power spectrum and coherence analysis to determine the level of reliance based on time and frequency features. Third, the authors conduct an empirical study that includes recent endogenous shocks generated by health crises such as the COVID-19 epidemic, as well as shocks caused by the geopolitical danger of a war between Russia and Ukraine. Highlights We analyze the impact of geopolitics risk on Sukuk, Islamic and composite stocks, oil and gold markets and portfolio diversification implications during the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine conflict period. The results of the wavelet-based approach show that Dow Jones composite and Islamic indexes have observed the highest mean return during the study period. GPR and BRENT are estimated to have the highest amount of risk throughout the observation period. Dow Jones Sukuk, Islamic and composite stock show similar trend of volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic period and comparatively gold observes lower variance during the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine conflict.
在本研究中,作者分析了在2019冠状病毒病大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突期间地缘政治风险对伊斯兰债券、伊斯兰和综合股票、石油和黄金市场的影响以及投资组合多元化的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究混合使用了基于小波的方法,包括连续小波变换和离散小波变换。该分析使用了2012年5月31日至2022年6月13日期间地缘政治风险指数(GP{R)、道琼斯伊斯兰指数(Sukuk)、道琼斯伊斯兰指数(DJII)、道琼斯综合指数(DJCI)和全球黄金价格指数(黄金)的数据。道琼斯综合指数是基于欧洲(布伦特)(设得兰岛和挪威之间北海油田)的顶级原油基准之一。研究结果表明,在新冠肺炎和俄乌冲突期间,地缘政治风险(GPR)处于领先地位,其中BRENT证实了滞后关系。另一方面,在新冠肺炎大流行期间,SUKUK、DJII和DJCI处于领先地位,GPR则处于落后地位。本研究在三个方面是独一无二的。首先,作者重新审视了GPR对伊斯兰股票、伊斯兰债券、传统股票、石油和黄金等全球资产市场的影响。其次,作者使用小波功率谱和相干分析来确定基于时间和频率特征的依赖程度。第三,作者进行了实证研究,包括最近由COVID-19疫情等卫生危机产生的内生冲击,以及俄罗斯和乌克兰之间战争的地缘政治危险造成的冲击。我们分析了2019冠状病毒病大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突期间地缘政治风险对伊斯兰债券、伊斯兰和综合股票、石油和黄金市场的影响以及投资组合多元化的影响。基于小波的方法的结果表明,道琼斯综合指数和伊斯兰指数在研究期间的平均回报率最高。据估计,GPR和BRENT在整个观察期的风险最高。道琼斯伊斯兰股票、伊斯兰股票和综合股票在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的波动趋势相似,而黄金在2019冠状病毒病大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突期间的波动幅度相对较小。
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引用次数: 1
Dynamics of price clustering in the Pakistan stock exchange 巴基斯坦证券交易所价格集群的动态
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1108/mf-01-2023-0016
Ahmed S. Baig, Muhammad Imran Chaudhry, R. Jared DeLisle
Purpose In this paper, the authors study the phenomenon of price clustering in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), a market viewed as one of the best-performing stock markets in the world during 2014–2017. The authors study the effect of stock-level variables on price clustering and analyze the determinants of the cross-sectional patterns of price clustering in the PSX, in particular the causal link between price clustering and political instability. Design/methodology/approach The authors' dataset comprises daily observations on 100 PSX stocks spanning from January 1, 2009 to June 30, 2019. The authors use multivariate regression and spectral analysis to shed light on the dynamics of stock price clustering in PSX. Findings The authors document abnormally high levels of stock price clustering, particularly on integer increments, in PSX. The nature of stock price clustering in PSX is consistent with the negotiation hypothesis of Harris (1991). The levels of stock price clustering on PSX are persistent and contain a cyclical component. Furthermore, the authors find that political uncertainty in Pakistan is a significant contributor to the high levels of price clustering on PSX. The authors' conclusions are robust to alternative econometric specifications and different measures of price clustering and political uncertainty. Practical implications The authors' findings are of interest to investors and policymakers. Since price clustering decreases market quality and degrades the information content of stock prices, the authors' study shows that price efficiency in PSX has not improved despite major reforms over the last decade. One practical implication of the authors' results is that investors should be cautious while rebalancing portfolios around political events such as general elections because stock price clustering increases in the PSX during these periods. As a result, stock prices are likely to deviate from their intrinsic values. Originality/value Research on price clustering is limited to developed markets, and emerging/frontier markets have been largely overlooked. The phenomenon of price clustering in the PSX has yet to be studied, despite the relevance of the PSX for emerging/frontier market investors.
在本文中,作者研究了巴基斯坦证券交易所(PSX)的价格聚类现象,该市场被视为2014-2017年全球表现最好的股票市场之一。作者研究了库存水平变量对价格聚类的影响,并分析了PSX中价格聚类的横截面模式的决定因素,特别是价格聚类与政治不稳定之间的因果关系。作者的数据集包括从2009年1月1日到2019年6月30日对100只PSX股票的每日观察。作者使用多元回归和光谱分析来阐明PSX股票价格聚类的动态。作者在PSX中记录了异常高水平的股票价格聚类,特别是在整数增量上。PSX股票价格聚类的性质与Harris(1991)的谈判假设是一致的。PSX上的股票价格聚类水平是持久的,并且包含周期性成分。此外,作者发现巴基斯坦的政治不确定性是PSX上高水平价格聚集的重要因素。作者的结论是稳健的替代计量经济规范和不同的措施价格聚类和政治不确定性。作者的研究结果引起了投资者和政策制定者的兴趣。由于价格聚类降低了市场质量,降低了股票价格的信息含量,作者的研究表明,尽管过去十年进行了重大改革,但PSX的价格效率并没有提高。作者的研究结果的一个实际含义是,投资者在围绕大选等政治事件重新平衡投资组合时应该谨慎,因为在这些时期,PSX的股价聚类会增加。因此,股票价格很可能偏离其内在价值。原创性/价值价格集群的研究仅限于发达市场,而新兴/前沿市场在很大程度上被忽视了。尽管PSX对新兴/前沿市场投资者具有相关性,但PSX的价格聚类现象仍有待研究。
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Managerial Finance
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