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2020 IEEE Conference on Technologies for Sustainability (SusTech)最新文献

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Comparison of Short-Term Load Forecasting Techniques 短期负荷预测技术的比较
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150490
R. Sethi, J. Kleissl
This paper presents a comparative analysis of the different forecasting techniques (Statistical method (ARIMA)), Machine Learning method (Multivariate Linear Regression) and Deep Learning method (LSTM)) for short term load forecasting. The forecasting model for each of these techniques takes into account the historical load (annual), site temperature data and US calendar data as input features. The model is trained on the first nine months of data and then tested for accuracy on the remaining three months. A case study using the load profile of a commercial building (amusement park) in San Diego, California is presented, where the performance of the above forecasting techniques is compared. The error metric used for comparison is the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) value. The results indicate that LSTM model offers the best performance in terms of forecasting accuracy. The designed LSTM model can be deployed as part of Energy Management System (EMS) for smart grids. The robustness of the LSTM model is further explored by comparing the above LSTM encoder-decoder architecture with a standard LSTM architecture. In addition to the above dataset, both architectures were tested on two more datasets- one for an office building and another for an operations center building located in San Diego. Both architectures were trained on first 9 months of load data and tested on the remaining 3 months. The encoder-decoder architecture performed better than the standard architecture across all the datasets.
本文对短期负荷预测的不同预测技术(统计方法(ARIMA))、机器学习方法(多元线性回归)和深度学习方法(LSTM)进行了比较分析。每种技术的预测模型都考虑了历史负荷(年度)、现场温度数据和美国日历数据作为输入特征。该模型在前9个月的数据上进行训练,然后在其余3个月的数据上进行准确性测试。本文以加利福尼亚州圣迭戈的一座商业建筑(游乐园)为例,对上述预测技术的性能进行了比较。用于比较的误差度量是均方根误差(RMSE)值。结果表明,LSTM模型在预测精度方面表现最好。所设计的LSTM模型可以作为智能电网能源管理系统(EMS)的一部分部署。通过将上述LSTM编解码器架构与标准LSTM架构进行比较,进一步探讨了LSTM模型的鲁棒性。除了上述数据集之外,这两种架构还在另外两个数据集上进行了测试——一个用于办公楼,另一个用于位于圣地亚哥的运营中心大楼。这两种架构都在前9个月的负载数据上进行了训练,并在剩下的3个月上进行了测试。在所有数据集上,编码器-解码器架构比标准架构表现得更好。
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引用次数: 1
Hosting Capacity: A Tool for Modernizing the Grid 托管容量:实现网格现代化的工具
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150515
B. Jensen, Ryan Uyehara
The U.S. power grid is undergoing a transformation. Operational focus is shifting away from utilities with large centralized generators at the transmission level and moving toward individual customers who contribute generation from distributed energy resources (DERs) at the distribution level. Utility-scale renewable generation, meanwhile, continues to span across both transmission and distribution networks. The current interconnection process for small- to grid-scale DERs is well-defined, time-consuming and complex. It involves studying every DER application within a network model to identify its impacts on the network, both locally and systemwide. New technologies and applications are expanding the use cases for the capacity analysis approach, which is radically changing how interconnections are evaluated. Rather than focusing on individual DER connections, capacity analysis can allow you to study nearly every possible interconnection scenario. By identifying and understanding the ideal locations and usage times for DERs-and optimizing operating conditions-capacity analysis is making faster approvals and interconnections, as well as higher DER penetration, possible. This presentation will cover recent implementations of capacity analysis performed for Southern California Edison.
美国电网正在经历一场变革。运营重点正在从在输电层面拥有大型集中式发电机的公用事业公司转向在配电层面利用分布式能源(DERs)发电的个人客户。与此同时,公用事业规模的可再生能源发电继续跨越输配电网络。目前,小型到电网规模的分布式存储系统的互连过程定义明确、耗时且复杂。它包括研究网络模型中的每个DER应用程序,以确定其对本地和系统范围的网络的影响。新技术和应用程序正在扩展容量分析方法的用例,这从根本上改变了评估互连的方式。容量分析可以让您研究几乎所有可能的互连场景,而不是关注单个DER连接。通过识别和了解DER的理想位置和使用时间,并优化操作条件,容量分析可以加快审批和互连速度,并提高DER的渗透率。本报告将介绍南加州爱迪生公司最近实施的容量分析。
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引用次数: 2
AC Vs DC Power Efficiency Comparison of a Hybrid Wind/Solar Microgrid 混合风能/太阳能微电网的交流与直流功率效率比较
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/sustech47890.2020.9150514
Diego A. Aponte-Roa, Gerardo David Guerrero Cabarcas, W. Weaver
This work presents the analysis, simulation and implementation of a Hybrid Micro-Grid based on wind and solar power to source both an AC and DC load. The goal is to observe the availability of wind and solar energy at UAGM Gurabo campus, and perform studies between AC vs DC electrification by the use of commercial off-the-shelf electrical and electronics components. The efficiency of the system to deliver the required the same amount of power to the loads is presented as well. Results demonstrate that in small scale power consumption applications such as lighting, a DC Micro-Grid shown to be more energy efficient and reliable than using an AC Micro-Grid, especially due to the additional conversion stages that the AC requires.
这项工作提出了基于风能和太阳能的混合微电网的分析、模拟和实现,以同时提供交流和直流负载。目标是观察UAGM Gurabo校区风能和太阳能的可用性,并通过使用商业现成的电气和电子元件进行交流与直流电气化之间的研究。该系统的效率,以提供所需的相同数量的电力负载也提出了。结果表明,在小规模的电力消耗应用中,如照明,直流微电网比使用交流微电网更节能和可靠,特别是由于交流需要额外的转换阶段。
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引用次数: 2
Power System Protection in RTDS RTDS中的电力系统保护
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150496
Sean Monemi, John Paul Dulay, David Kelble
Across the United States, utility companies rely on power generated from long distances to provide power for cities and customers. System stability is a tremendous effort that requires strong physical infrastructure and requires ways to monitor and protect the power systems over long distances and varying terrain. This article researches power system protection and models a typical power system using Real Time Digital Simulator, RSCAD, and SEL 311-L relays.
在美国各地,公用事业公司依靠远距离发电为城市和客户提供电力。系统稳定是一项巨大的工作,需要强大的物理基础设施,需要在长距离和不同地形上监测和保护电力系统的方法。本文对电力系统保护进行了研究,并利用实时数字模拟器、RSCAD和SEL 311-L继电器对一个典型的电力系统进行了建模。
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引用次数: 0
Toward Smart and Sustainable Infrastructure Solution: Assessment and Modelling of Qualitative Factors Affecting Productivity in Microtunneling Projects 走向智能和可持续的基础设施解决方案:微隧道工程中影响生产力的定性因素的评估和建模
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150530
E. Elwakil, M. Hegab
This paper presents a qualitative and quantitative research to explore and understand the agents that determine the level of productiveness and the importance of qualitative factors. A questionnaire was conducted to estimate the outcome of the qualitative agents or factors in improving the productivity of microtunneling projects. Information was collected from 26 competent professionals in microtunneling projects for almost 20years through an expert's opinion, using a semi-structured questionnaire. The Analytical Hierarchy Process and the clustering analysis technique have been used to account for the twenty qualitative agents or factors concerned in developing a proposed assessment model. The present research has developed an assessment model that stems from the result of qualitative factors on microtunneling to investigate the effect induced by the qualitative agents on productiveness. The assessment model is thereafter confirmed, showing an analytical outcome of 79.85% moderately justified percent. This study proved that the qualitative factors affecting the productivity of microtunneling projects can be assessed through the productivity index concept. This paper helps the industry parties to understand the factors influencing the success of microtunneling projects as well as, development of an assessment model to calculate productivity. Most of the past research on productivity models are based on quantitative factors only. This paper presents qualitative research to explore and understand the factors that affect productivity and the importance of qualitative factors. The developed assessment model presented is the first in connecting theory, analytical methods, and experts' opinions to help practitioners to understand and assess the productivity of microtunneling projects.
本文通过定性和定量研究来探索和理解决定生产力水平的因素以及定性因素的重要性。采用问卷调查的方法,对定性因子或因素在提高微隧道工程生产率方面的效果进行了评价。通过专家意见,采用半结构化问卷,从近20年来从事微隧道工程的26名有能力的专业人员中收集信息。利用层次分析法和聚类分析技术对涉及的二十个定性代理或因素进行了分析,并提出了一个评估模型。本研究从定性因素对微隧道掘进的影响结果出发,建立了一个评价模型,探讨了定性因素对微隧道掘进生产率的影响。随后对评价模型进行了验证,分析结果为79.85%。本研究证明,可以通过生产率指标概念对影响微隧道工程生产率的定性因素进行评价。本文帮助行业各方了解影响微隧道项目成功的因素,并建立了一个评估模型来计算生产率。以往对生产率模型的研究大多只基于定量因素。本文通过定性研究来探索和理解影响生产率的因素以及定性因素的重要性。本文提出的评估模型是第一个将理论、分析方法和专家意见结合起来,帮助从业者了解和评估微隧道工程的生产力的模型。
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引用次数: 2
Electric Utilities' Role in Promoting and Advancing Smart City Solutions 电力公司在促进和推进智慧城市解决方案中的作用
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150484
Emily Chang, S. Bahramirad, Daniel Kushner
As their population density grows, cities need to consider how to use technology to better serve the environmental, social, and economic well-being of its citizens. Many smart city action plans focus on the foundational and tech-enabled strategies that seek to find solutions to complex issues such as mobility, infrastructure and education. Utilities can play a pivotal role in deploying technologies, processes, and planning in the service of societal impacts to support smart city goals of finding green, sustainable, connected solutions for their residents and businesses. To illustrate, we highlight key projects and programs of an electric utility serving northern Illinois, including Chicago. These projects and programs utilize technology to further societal aims such as promoting STEM learning in the next generation; reinforcing community safety; and investigating micro-transit mobility options.
随着人口密度的增长,城市需要考虑如何利用技术更好地服务于市民的环境、社会和经济福祉。许多智慧城市行动计划侧重于基础和技术支持战略,旨在为交通、基础设施和教育等复杂问题找到解决方案。公用事业可以在部署技术、流程和规划方面发挥关键作用,为社会影响服务,以支持智慧城市目标,为居民和企业寻找绿色、可持续、互联的解决方案。为了说明这一点,我们重点介绍了服务于伊利诺伊州北部(包括芝加哥)的一家电力公用事业公司的关键项目和计划。这些项目和计划利用技术来推进社会目标,如促进下一代的STEM学习;加强社区安全;并研究微型交通出行方案。
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引用次数: 1
Optimal Energy Storage Schedules for Load Leveling and Ramp Rate Control in Distribution Systems 配电系统负荷均衡与斜坡率控制的最优储能计划
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150516
K. Morrissey, S. Kahrobaee, Andrew Ioan
Continued integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) into the grid, such as solar PVs, at a large-scale, contributes into the famous Duck Curve. New DER management algorithms are therefore deemed necessary to alleviate rapid variations within net load profiles of distribution systems. This paper proposes a process to determine the optimal energy storage schedules for leveling the distribution circuit feederhead net load. A series of sensitivity analyses shows how the proposed method can be used to determine the optimal energy storage schedules with different capacities, state of charge requirements, and net load ramp rate limitations.
持续将分布式能源(DERs)大规模地整合到电网中,如太阳能光伏,有助于形成著名的鸭子曲线。因此,新的DER管理算法被认为是必要的,以缓解配电系统净负荷剖面的快速变化。本文提出了配电网馈电头净负荷均衡的最佳储能计划确定过程。一系列的敏感性分析表明,所提出的方法可以用于确定具有不同容量、充电状态要求和净负荷斜坡率限制的最佳储能计划。
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引用次数: 4
UAV Power Management, Generation, and Storage System Principles and Design 无人机电源管理、发电和存储系统原理与设计
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150499
Timothy Kidd, Zhen Yu, S. Dobbs, K. Anderson, G. Oetting, Jaehyung Kim, Martin O'Connell
This paper discusses the recent progress of a multi-year project investigating the concept of an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) being partially powered by the natural environment the drone will encounter along its flight path. This UAV flight is achieved using power generation, management, and storage systems. The aircraft's improvement in sustainability, or endurance, is the main benefit of this design as it harvests energy from the environment available to it, and also using the potential of replacing some of the UAV structure with the structure of the power storage devices to reduce parasitic weight. These UAV enhancements could have many beneficial applications for a modern technological society. Applications in defense are numerous, as a highly sustainable aircraft can provide longterm surveillance over essential targets. Also, weather monitoring can benefit immensely from a highly sustainable drone, as these drones will be able to follow weather patterns as they develop over time and achieve real time updates. The power generation comes from three sources: flexible solar panels, thermoelectric generators, and vibration induced power generation motors (installed in power pods or inside the wing) that are excited by either atmospheric gusts or wing flutter. These forms of AC and DC current will be combined into usable energy for the UAV energy storage devices. Utilizing these forms of energy should in theory greatly extend the flight time of the UAV as it will continually cycle through these different forms of energy throughout the day and night. The flexible solar cells will be either attached onto the wing or replace the wing upper skin structure and take in the energy from the sun during the day, outputting straight DC current. The vibration induced power generation devices are comprised of DC motors attached to leaf springs and a gear/rack mechanism that oscillate from the vibrations of the wings to spin the motor shaft and generate AC power. The thermoelectric generators will generate energy from heat flux across the hot and cold plates of the power management system and the solar cells. All these sources are combined into a single power output via the power management system (PWMS). The PWMS is based off a hybrid power design, where the input sources are combined into a single stable DC output in which lithium polymer (LiPo) batteries or graphene supercapacitors can be charged and discharged into the UAV electric motor driven propeller load.
本文讨论了一个多年项目的最新进展,该项目研究了无人机的概念,该概念部分由无人机在其飞行路径上遇到的自然环境提供动力。这种无人机飞行使用发电、管理和存储系统来实现。飞机在可持续性或续航力上的改进,是这种设计的主要优点,因为它从可获得的环境中获取能量,并且也利用用动力存储装置的结构取代一些无人机结构的潜力来减少寄生重量。这些无人机增强对现代技术社会可能有许多有益的应用。在国防领域的应用非常广泛,因为高度可持续的飞机可以对重要目标进行长期监视。此外,天气监测可以从高度可持续的无人机中受益匪浅,因为这些无人机将能够随着时间的推移跟踪天气模式并实现实时更新。发电有三种来源:柔性太阳能电池板、热电发电机和振动感应发电电机(安装在动力舱或机翼内部),由大气阵风或机翼颤振激发。这些形式的交流和直流电流将被组合成无人机储能装置的可用能量。利用这些形式的能量应该在理论上大大延长无人机的飞行时间,因为它将不断循环通过这些不同形式的能量在整个白天和晚上。柔性太阳能电池将附着在机翼上或取代机翼上部皮肤结构,白天从太阳吸收能量,输出直流电。振动感应发电装置由连接在叶弹簧上的直流电机和齿轮齿条机构组成,齿轮齿条机构根据机翼的振动振动旋转电机轴并产生交流电源。热电发电机将通过电源管理系统的冷热板和太阳能电池的热流产生能量。所有这些电源通过电源管理系统(PWMS)组合成一个单一的功率输出。PWMS基于混合电源设计,其中输入源组合成单个稳定的直流输出,其中锂聚合物(LiPo)电池或石墨烯超级电容器可以充电和放电到无人机电动马达驱动的螺旋桨负载中。
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引用次数: 4
Toward Sustainable Water System: Modeling Pipe Failure in Water Distribution Networks 迈向可持续水系统:给水管网管道失效建模
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150495
T. Dawood, E. Elwakil, H. Novoa, J. Delgado
The deterioration and failure of water distribution networks bring about grave consequences to urban communities. These events may include undesired occurrences of pipe breaks, interrupting supply, water loss, contaminant intrusion, and reduced revenue. This accentuates the need for pipe break and risk of failure models, which is an intricate and challenging field of research. The objective of this paper is to develop a risk of failure model based on regression analysis approach. The model is developed using seven years of historical data collected from the city of El Pedregal in Peru. The regression analysis-based model is validated versus different statistical indicators, in which the results revealed the coherency of the model with an R2 of 98%. The proposed model is a decision support tool, expected to assist infrastructure managers and civil engineers in their plans and decision-making.
供水管网的恶化和失效给城市社区带来了严重的后果。这些事件可能包括意外发生的管道破裂、供应中断、失水、污染物侵入和收入减少。这就增加了对管道破裂和失效风险模型的需求,这是一个复杂且具有挑战性的研究领域。本文的目的是建立一个基于回归分析方法的失效风险模型。该模型是利用从秘鲁El Pedregal市收集的7年历史数据开发的。基于回归分析的模型与不同统计指标进行了验证,结果显示模型的一致性,R2为98%。所提出的模型是一种决策支持工具,有望协助基础设施管理人员和土木工程师进行计划和决策。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal PID Parameters Tunning for a DC-DC Boost Converter: A Performance Comparative Using Grey Wolf Optimizer, Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Algorithms 基于灰狼优化、粒子群优化和遗传算法的DC-DC升压变换器PID参数最优整定
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1109/SusTech47890.2020.9150507
Jesús Águila-León, Cristian Chiñas-Palacios, Carlos Vargas-Salgado, E. Hurtado-Perez, Edith X. M. García
The Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) algorithm is a metaheuristic optimization method based on the hunting made by wolves in nature. In this work, the GWO algorithm was proposed for tuning a Proportional-Integral-Derivative (PID) controller parameters for a DC-DC boost converter. DC-DC boost converters are electronic devices widely used for voltage regulation in renewable energies applications, these devices need a controller, commonly a PID controller which needs to be correctly tuned to reduce the error between the reference voltage and the system output voltage. Classical PID controller tuning methods require a mathematical formulation or an empirical system response analysis, bioinspired optimization algorithms are an alternative for system design. This paper presents a performance comparative analysis between the proposed GWO algorithm, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Genetic Algorithm (GA). The simulation was carried out using MATLAB/Simulink environment, then the tuned PID controller performance was evaluated using the system response analysis to variable load conditions and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) between reference and output voltage. Results showed that the proposed GWO algorithm has a lower RMSE compared to PSO and GA, and therefore, it could be an effective method for optimal PID controllers for power converters applications.
灰狼优化算法(Grey Wolf Optimizer, GWO)是一种基于狼在自然界中狩猎行为的元启发式优化方法。在这项工作中,提出了GWO算法用于调整DC-DC升压转换器的比例-积分-导数(PID)控制器参数。DC-DC升压变换器是广泛用于可再生能源应用中的电压调节的电子器件,这些器件需要一个控制器,通常是一个PID控制器,需要正确调谐以减少参考电压和系统输出电压之间的误差。经典的PID控制器整定方法需要数学公式或经验系统响应分析,仿生优化算法是系统设计的另一种选择。本文对所提出的GWO算法、粒子群算法(PSO)和遗传算法(GA)的性能进行了比较分析。在MATLAB/Simulink环境下进行了仿真,通过系统对变负载条件的响应分析和参考电压与输出电压之间的均方根误差(RMSE),对整定PID控制器的性能进行了评价。结果表明,与粒子群算法和遗传算法相比,所提出的GWO算法具有较低的均方根误差,可以作为一种有效的功率变换器PID控制器优化方法。
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引用次数: 18
期刊
2020 IEEE Conference on Technologies for Sustainability (SusTech)
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