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Stabilizing Currency and Preserving Economic Sovereignty Using the Grondona System最新文献

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The Grondona System of Conditional Currency Convertibility Based on Primary Commodities 基于初级商品的格隆多纳有条件货币可兑换制度
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch008
Taking a different approach to the problem, Leo St. Clare Grondona devised a system of conditional currency convertibility that individual countries can implement independently in terms of their own currency. For each of the durable, essential, imported commodities included in the system, instead of stipulating a price-range to be maintained, Grondona stipulated a “price-schedule” in which the price-range to be guaranteed for each commodity adjusts in proportion to the quantity of reserves held, falling as they rise and vice versa. In this way the maximum possible outlay that could be required, even under extreme market conditions, can be decided in advance. Consequently, a government establishing a Commodities Reserve Department (CRD) to implement such a system could legitimately pay for reserves through corresponding expansion of the national money supply, which would be reversed as and when the reserves were repurchased.
格隆多纳(Leo St. Clare Grondona)采用了一种不同的方法来解决这个问题,他设计了一种有条件的货币可兑换制度,各个国家可以独立地使用自己的货币来实施。对于纳入该体系的每一种耐用的、必需的进口商品,格隆多纳没有规定要维持的价格范围,而是规定了一个“价格表”,其中每种商品的价格范围根据所持储备数量的比例进行调整,随着储备数量的增加而下降,反之亦然。这样,即使在极端的市场条件下,也可以提前决定可能需要的最大可能支出。因此,政府设立商品储备部(CRD)来实施这一制度,可以通过相应扩大国家货币供应量来合法地支付储备,而当储备被回购时,这种支付将被逆转。
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引用次数: 0
Unsustainability of Debt-Based Money 债务货币的不可持续性
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch003
In addition to the problems caused by money being fiat, most modern money is moreover created not by governments but by the privately-owned banking systems as debt to themselves. This is not only grossly contrary to all traditions of natural justice, it is also unconstitutional. This problem has been understood and publicised by many politicians and writers over centuries, but it is still not widely known due to the financial and political power of the perpetrators. Since it is also the main cause of the continuing increase in inequality in all the rich countries, the “great reset” being advocated by those in charge of the present system is clearly not fit to become the new basis of the economic system.
除了法定货币造成的问题外,大多数现代货币不是由政府创造的,而是由私营银行系统作为自己的债务创造的。这不仅严重违背了所有自然正义的传统,而且也是违宪的。几个世纪以来,许多政治家和作家已经理解并宣传了这个问题,但由于肇事者的经济和政治权力,它仍然没有广为人知。由于它也是所有富裕国家不平等持续加剧的主要原因,因此,目前制度的掌权者所提倡的“大重置”显然不适合成为经济制度的新基础。
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引用次数: 0
Fiat Money Is “Riba,” Which Islam Forbids 法定货币是伊斯兰教禁止的“里巴”
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch004
This chapter describes another fundamental criticism of the Western economic system – that from Islamic economics. This is included not because the authors are advocating for Islamic economics, but because Islamic economists generally have a clearer understanding of the fundamental dishonesty of the Western monetary system than mainstream Western economists, who almost entirely ignore this glaring flaw at the heart of the Western economic system. Having forbidden interest-bearing loans, like Islam, for its first 1600 years, Christianity relaxed its rules, and thereby lowered its guard against the “money power,” which is now running rampant in what was once “Christendom.” Recent collaboration between Islamic economists and “dissident” Western economists is very promising.
本章描述了对西方经济体系的另一种基本批评——来自伊斯兰经济学的批评。这并不是因为作者提倡伊斯兰经济学,而是因为伊斯兰经济学家通常比主流西方经济学家更清楚地了解西方货币体系的根本不诚实,而主流西方经济学家几乎完全忽视了西方经济体系核心的这个明显缺陷。基督教像伊斯兰教一样,在最初的1600年里禁止生息贷款,现在它放松了规则,从而降低了对“金钱权力”的警惕,而“金钱权力”现在在曾经的“基督教世界”中猖獗。最近伊斯兰经济学家和“持不同政见”的西方经济学家之间的合作非常有希望。
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引用次数: 0
Discussion of CRD Simulation Results CRD仿真结果的讨论
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch011
The results of the simulations shown in Chapter 10 clearly show the consistent pattern of operation of the Grondona system, buying and selling reserves of commodities in response to changes in market prices as reliably as under a gold standard. This has a range of direct and indirect effects which are discussed in this chapter, including the reliably counter-cyclical timing of changes in the quantity of the CRD's reserves, and the parallel changes in the national money supply, the system's contribution to resisting inflationary pressures, and the effect of a CRD's reserves of a commodity falling to zero. Some remaining uncertainties about the system's operation are also discussed, notably about the foreign exchange market's likely response to the system expanding the money supply when commodity prices are falling.
第10章所示的模拟结果清楚地显示了格隆多纳体系的一贯运作模式,即像在金本位制度下一样可靠地根据市场价格的变化买卖商品储备。这有一系列直接和间接的影响,将在本章中讨论,包括可靠的反周期时间的变化,在CRD的储备数量的变化,国家货币供应量的平行变化,系统的贡献,以抵御通胀压力,以及CRD的商品储备降至零的影响。本文还讨论了该系统运行中仍存在的一些不确定性,特别是在大宗商品价格下跌时,外汇市场对该系统扩大货币供应的可能反应。
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引用次数: 0
What Could or Should Replace Existing Monetary Arrangements? 什么可以或应该取代现有的货币安排?
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch005
In this chapter, three main approaches to creating a new, more stable monetary system, which is under wide discussion today, are considered in turn. First, the feasibility of reviving the use of gold as backing for currencies is a never-ending controversy, kept very much alive by those who argue that “In a crisis, there is nothing else.” Second, the rapidly growing use of the internet for decentralised finance or “DeFi” services is offering the public a growing range of new, reliable, low-cost financial services. Among these is the use of “crypto-currencies,” which are growing rapidly but which still suffer severe instability and uncertainty. Third, the world's central banks are developing their own internet-based currencies, known as central bank digital currencies (CBDC). However, these are unlike private crypto-currencies since their use would give government control over all transactions – a degree of power which would risk enabling tyranny.
在本章中,依次考虑了目前正在广泛讨论的创建一个新的、更稳定的货币体系的三种主要方法。首先,恢复使用黄金作为货币支持的可行性是一个永无止境的争议,那些认为“在危机中,别无他法”的人一直在争论。其次,互联网在去中心化金融(DeFi)服务中的应用迅速增长,为公众提供了越来越多新的、可靠的、低成本的金融服务。其中之一是“加密货币”的使用,这种货币正在迅速增长,但仍然存在严重的不稳定性和不确定性。第三,世界各国央行正在开发自己的基于互联网的货币,即央行数字货币(CBDC)。然而,这些与私人加密货币不同,因为它们的使用将使政府控制所有交易——一定程度的权力可能会导致暴政。
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引用次数: 0
Potential for Further Evolution of CRDs crd进一步进化的可能性
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch013
Although Grondona prepared detailed guidelines that his system should be implemented in relation to durable, essential, basic imported commodities, he also understood that, once established successfully, CRDs' operations could evolve in various ways in order to achieve greater benefits. For example, the inclusion of precious metals such as gold and silver, albeit on a somewhat different basis than industrial commodities, is an interesting possibility. Grondona also recommended that other products such as basic manufactured components like standardised steel or aluminium strip could be included. Another potential evolution is a CRD's role in a currency crisis: a sudden change in the exchange rate would be countered to some extent by a CRD being asked to sell or buy commodities, which would tend to resist the initial change. A CRD's terms of operation might be adjusted in order to strengthen its influence as such a countermeasure.
虽然格隆多纳制定了详细的指导方针,说明他的制度应针对耐用、必需和基本的进口商品加以实施,但他也明白,一旦成功建立,crd的运作可以以各种方式发展,以获得更大的利益。例如,将黄金和白银等贵金属纳入其中是一种有趣的可能性,尽管其基础与工业商品有所不同。格隆多纳还建议,其他产品,如标准化钢或铝带等基本制造部件也可以包括在内。另一个潜在的演变是CRD在货币危机中的作用:汇率的突然变化会在一定程度上被要求出售或购买商品的CRD所抵消,而CRD往往会抵制最初的变化。CRD的运作条件可以调整,以加强其作为这种对策的影响力。
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引用次数: 0
Illustrating the Grondona System in Operation 说明运行中的格隆多纳系统
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch009
While working in Japan during the 1990s, one of the authors took the opportunity to collect data on past Japanese commodity imports and recent commodity market prices and to use them to simulate how a CRD would have operated over the decade 1987 – 1996 using a computer spreadsheet. The graphs showing the results are easy to understand: the CRD would have bought reserves when Yen prices were falling and sold them when Yen prices were rising, thereby exerting a stabilizing influence on the prices and quantities of these imported commodities. In parallel, by expanding and contracting the money supply counter-cyclically, the system would have helped to stabilize the overall economy.
其中一位作者在上世纪90年代在日本工作时,利用这个机会收集了过去日本大宗商品进口和近期大宗商品市场价格的数据,并用计算机电子表格模拟了1987年至1996年十年间CRD的运行情况。结果的图表很容易理解:日本央行会在日元价格下跌时买入外汇储备,在日元价格上涨时卖出外汇储备,从而对这些进口商品的价格和数量产生稳定的影响。与此同时,通过反周期地扩张和收缩货币供应,该体系将有助于稳定整体经济。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation of Four National CRDs' Operations 四个国家级crd运行模拟
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch010
This chapter introduces simulations of how CRDs might have actually operated in the four different countries of Indonesia, Malaysia, Turkey, and Pakistan if they had been established in 2009. Two types of data are used, all from publicly accessible databases. The first is data on the annual quantity and cost of imports to each country for three or more years prior to the start of the simulation, from which each CRD's initial “Index” price for each commodity is calculated, as well as the size of the CRD's “Block” of reserves. The second type of data is quarterly market prices of each commodity, and the national exchange-rate where needed, through the period of the simulation, from which changes in the CRDs' reserves are calculated. For each country the level of reserves of the different commodities held by the CRD are clearly seen to automatically vary counter-cyclically as traders sell to or buy from the CRD at the prices in its price-schedule for each commodity.
本章模拟了如果crd在2009年建立,它在印度尼西亚、马来西亚、土耳其和巴基斯坦这四个不同的国家可能会如何实际运作。使用了两种类型的数据,均来自可公开访问的数据库。首先是在模拟开始之前的三年或更长时间内,每个国家每年进口的数量和成本的数据,根据这些数据计算每个CRD的每种商品的初始“指数”价格,以及CRD的“区块”储备的规模。第二类数据是每一种商品的季度市场价格,以及在模拟期间必要时的国家汇率,从这些数据可以计算出储备国外汇储备的变化。对于每个国家,CRD持有的不同商品的储备水平显然会自动发生反周期变化,因为交易者按照每种商品的价格表中的价格向CRD出售或从CRD购买。
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引用次数: 0
Inevitable Failure of Inconvertible Paper Money 不可兑换纸币不可避免的失败
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch002
Since the invention of paper money, it has been understood that it is difficult for its creators to resist issuing so much that it loses value. Long experience led to the single uniquely effective means of resisting this fraud: this is for the issuer to guarantee to convert their paper money, on demand, into some defined asset, such as gold, on fixed terms. With the end of the US dollar's guaranteed convertibility into gold, its value became dependent on decisions by leaders of the US government and financial system, unhindered by the need to keep it stable. Predictably, this led to unprecedented inflation of the supply of dollars, leading to ever-rising prices and continuing decline in the acceptability of dollars and US geopolitical leadership.
自从纸币发明以来,人们都知道,纸币的创造者很难不发行太多,以至于失去了价值。长期的经验导致了抵制这种欺诈的唯一唯一有效的方法:发行人保证按需将其纸币兑换成某种固定期限的固定资产,如黄金。随着美元与黄金的可兑换性的终结,美元的价值变得依赖于美国政府和金融体系领导人的决定,而不受保持美元稳定的需要的阻碍。可以预见的是,这导致了美元供应的空前膨胀,导致价格不断上涨,美元的可接受性和美国的地缘政治领导地位持续下降。
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引用次数: 0
The Long-Predicted Failure of the Post-Bretton Woods “Non-System” 预测已久的后布雷顿森林体系“非体系”的失败
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8302-9.ch001
The monetary system implemented at Bretton Woods in 1944 made the US dollar the centre of the world economic system, with 43 other countries' currencies linked to it via fixed exchange rates. However, once the US government broke its promise to redeem dollars in gold at $35 per ounce on August 15, 1971, expansion of the supply of dollars was no longer constrained, and like many currencies before it, the lack of monetary discipline led to inflation through which the value of the dollar has fallen by about 98%. The “oil shock” of the 1970s led to the introduction of the “petro-dollar” system whereby Saudi Arabia, then the largest oil producer, agreed to accept only US dollars in payment for its oil in exchange for the US government's pledge to defend it. This shored up demand for the fiat US dollar, enabling it to survive until its now approaching endgame.
1944年布雷顿森林体系实施的货币体系使美元成为世界经济体系的中心,其他43个国家的货币通过固定汇率与美元挂钩。然而,一旦美国政府在1971年8月15日违背了以每盎司35美元的价格赎回美元的承诺,美元供应的扩张就不再受到限制,就像之前的许多货币一样,缺乏货币纪律导致了通货膨胀,美元的价值下降了约98%。上世纪70年代的“石油冲击”导致了“石油美元”体系的引入,当时最大的石油生产国沙特阿拉伯同意只接受美元支付其石油,以换取美国政府承诺保护它。这提振了对法定美元的需求,使其能够存活到现在接近尾声的时候。
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引用次数: 0
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Stabilizing Currency and Preserving Economic Sovereignty Using the Grondona System
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