Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology最新文献

Background: The 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases, Clinical Modification (ICD-10) includes diagnosis codes for placenta accreta spectrum for the first time. These codes could enable valuable research and surveillance of placenta accreta spectrum, a life-threatening pregnancy complication that is increasing in incidence.

Objective: We sought to evaluate the validity of placenta accreta spectrum diagnosis codes that were introduced in ICD-10 and assess contributing factors to incorrect code assignments.

Methods: We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the ICD-10 placenta accreta spectrum code assignments after reviewing medical records from October 2015 to March 2020 at a quaternary obstetric centre. Histopathologic diagnosis was considered the gold standard.

Results: Among 22,345 patients, 104 (0.46%) had an ICD-10 code for placenta accreta spectrum and 51 (0.23%) had a histopathologic diagnosis. ICD-10 codes had a sensitivity of 0.71 (95% CI 0.56, 0.83), specificity of 0.98 (95% CI 0.93, 1.00), positive predictive value of 0.61 (95% CI 0.48, 0.72) and negative predictive value of 1.00 (95% CI 0.96, 1.00). The sensitivities of the ICD-10 codes for placenta accreta spectrum subtypes- accreta, increta and percreta-were 0.55 (95% CI 0.31, 0.78), 0.33 (95% CI 0.12, 0.62) and 0.56 (95% CI 0.31, 0.78), respectively. Cases with incorrect code assignment were less morbid than cases with correct code assignment, with a lower incidence of hysterectomy at delivery (17% vs 100%), blood transfusion (26% vs 75%) and admission to the intensive care unit (0% vs 53%). Primary reasons for code misassignment included code assigned to cases of occult placenta accreta (35%) or to cases with clinical evidence of placental adherence without histopatholic diagnostic (35%) features.

Conclusion: These findings from a quaternary obstetric centre suggest that ICD-10 codes may be useful for research and surveillance of placenta accreta spectrum, but researchers should be aware of likely substantial false positive cases.

Background: Vaginal bleeding (VB) before 20 gestational weeks of a viable pregnancy is a manifestation of a threatened miscarriage. VB is associated with increased levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines such as interferon-gamma, tumour necrosis factor-alpha and interleukin-6. Increased levels of these cytokines and oxidative stress are risk factors for cancer. The risk of cancer following a VB-affected pregnancy that ended in childbirth is unknown.

Objectives: To investigate the associations between VB in pregnancy that resulted in delivery and risk of incident cancer.

Methods: We conducted a cohort study (1995-2018) in Denmark using administrative and healthcare registries. We included 37,082 VB-affected deliveries, 1,363,614 VB-unaffected deliveries, 324,328 pregnancies ending in terminations, and 137,104 miscarriages. We computed the absolute risk of cancer and hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusted for age, calendar year, morbidities, and socio-economic factors using Cox proportional hazards regression. Multiple pregnancies to the same woman were accounted for in the analysis.

Results: The median (25th-75th percentile) follow-up in the study was 12.6 (6.9, 18.2) years. The prevalence of VB in the present study was 3%. At the end of the follow-up, there were 1320 cancer cases among the VB-affected delivery cohort, 40,420 among the VB-unaffected delivery cohort, 10,300 among the termination cohort and 4790 among the miscarriage cohort. HRs for any cancer among VB-affected deliveries were 1.03 (95% CI 0.97, 1.08) compared with VB-unaffected deliveries, 1.03 (95% CI 0.97, 1.09) compared with terminations and 0.90 (95% CI 0.84, 0.95) compared with miscarriages. There were no increased risks of premenopausal breast cancer, cervical cancer, ovary and fallopian tube cancer or uterine cancer following VB-affected deliveries vs. comparison cohorts.

Conclusions: We found no evidence of an association between vaginal bleeding in pregnancy and an increased risk of cancer.

Background: The Children's Assessing Imperial Valley Respiratory Health and the Environment (AIRE) study is a prospective cohort study of environmental influences on respiratory health in a rural, southeastern region of California (CA), which aims to longitudinally examine the contribution of a drying saline lake to adverse health impacts in children.

Objectives: This cohort was established through a community-academic partnership with the goal of assessing the health effects of childhood exposures to wind-blown particulate matter (PM) and inform public health action. We hypothesize that local PM sources are related to poorer children's respiratory health.

Population: Elementary school children in Imperial Valley, CA.

Design: Prospective cohort study.

Methods: Between 2017 and 2019, we collected baseline information on 731 children, then follow-up assessments yearly or twice-yearly since 2019. Data have been collected on children's respiratory health, demographics, household characteristics, physical activity and lifestyle, via questionnaires completed by parents or primary caregivers. In-person measurements, conducted since 2019, repeatedly assessed lung function, height, weight and blood pressure. Exposure to air pollutants has been assessed by multiple methods and individually assigned to participants using residential and school addresses. Health data will be linked to ambient and local sources of PM, during and preceding the study period to understand how spatiotemporal trends in these environmental exposures may relate to respiratory health.

Preliminary results: Analyses of respiratory symptoms indicate a high prevalence of allergies, bronchitic symptoms and wheezing. Asthma diagnosis was reported in 24% of children at enrolment, which exceeds both CA state and US national prevalence estimates for children.

Conclusions: The Children's AIRE cohort, while focused on the health impacts of the drying Salton Sea and air quality in Imperial Valley, is poised to elucidate the growing threat of drying saline lakes and wind-blown dust sources to respiratory health worldwide, as sources of wind-blown dust emerge in our changing climate.

Background: Growing evidence for the effect of maternal obesity on childhood asthma motivates investigation of mediating pathways.

Objective: To investigate if childhood body mass index (BMI), gestational weight gain (GWG) and preterm birth mediate the association of maternal obesity on childhood asthma risk.

Methods: We used electronic medical records from mother-child pairs enrolled in Kaiser Permanente Northern California integrated healthcare system. Children were followed from their birth (2005-2014) until at least age 4 (n = 95,723), age 6 (n = 59,230) or age 8 (n = 25,261). Childhood asthma diagnosis at each age was determined using ICD-9/10 codes and medication dispensings. Prepregnancy BMI (underweight [<18.5], normal [18.5-24.9], overweight [25-29.9], obese [≥30] kg/m²) were defined using height and weight measurements close to the last menstrual period date. Child's BMI (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention BMI-for-age percentiles: underweight [<5th], normal [5th-85th], overweight [85th-95th], obese [>95th]) were obtained using anthropometric measurements taken the year preceding each follow-up age. GWG (delivery weight-prepregnancy weight) was categorised based on Institutes of Medicine recommendations (inadequate, adequate, excessive). Implementing first causal inference test (CIT) then causal mediator models (to decompose the natural direct and indirect effects), we examined the potential mediating effect of childhood BMI, GWG, and preterm birth on the association between prepregnancy BMI (continuous and categorical) and childhood asthma.

Results: Overall, risk of childhood asthma increased as prepregnancy BMI increased (age 4 risk ratio: 1.07, 95% confidence interval: 1.04, 1.09, per 5 kg/m² increase in BMI; similar for age 6 and 8). CIT identified childhood BMI and preterm birth, but not GWG as potential mediators. Causal mediation models confirmed childhood BMI, but not preterm birth, as having a partial mediating effect. Results were similar for age 6 and 8, and when continuous mediators (instead of binary) were assessed.

Conclusions: Childhood overweight/obesity has a modest mediating effect on the association between prepregnancy BMI and childhood asthma.

Background: Accumulating studies indicate that maternal obesity is associated with the risk of cerebral palsy (CP); however, their conclusions have been inconsistent.

Objectives: To quantitatively estimate the association between maternal body mass index (BMI) and CP in offspring.

Data sources: PubMed, Embase and Web of Science.

Study selection and data extraction: Articles published up to 18 September 2022 were searched that reported the correlation between maternal BMI and CP in children. Two reviewers independently extracted data and critically assessed articles.

Synthesis: Pooled relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by the random-effects model. Subgroup analysis and meta-regression were performed to explore sources of heterogeneity.

Results: In total, 11 articles (8,407,668 participants) were identified for inclusion in our meta-analysis. For maternal underweight, no significant association was found with CP risk (RR 1.11, 95% CI 0.90, 1.38). The risk of CP was increased by 25% (RR 1.25, 95% CI 1.06, 1.47), 38% (RR 1.38, 95% CI 1.18, 1.61) and 127% (RR 2.27, 95% CI 1.82, 2.83) for maternal overweight, obesity and obesity grade 3, respectively. In addition, we observed a positive linear dose-response relationship, with the pooled risk of cerebral palsy in offspring increasing by 3% with each unit increase in maternal BMI.

Conclusion: This meta-analysis indicates that the risk of CP in offspring grew with maternal overweight or obesity grades increasing, and was positively correlated with maternal BMI.