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Diagnosis Code to Function: Tailoring an Algorithm for Children With Neurodisability. 功能诊断代码:为神经残疾儿童定制算法。
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70098
Katherine E Nelson
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引用次数: 0
Phenotyping Neurodisability in Hospital Records in England: A National Birth Cohort Using Linked Administrative Data. 英国医院记录中的神经残疾表型分析:使用相关行政数据的国家出生队列。
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70052
Ania Zylbersztejn, Philippa Rees, Rashmi D'Souza, Stuart Logan, Ayana Cant, Laura Gimeno, Vincent Nguyen, Jugnoo Rahi, Ruth Gilbert, Katie Harron

Background: Children with neurodisability often have complex healthcare and educational needs. Evidence from linked administrative health and education data could improve joint working between services.

Objective: To develop a diagnostic code list to identify neurodisability in hospital admission records; to assess the representativeness of this phenotype by characterising children with hospital-recorded neurodisability and their outcomes.

Methods: We developed a national cohort of singletons born in England between 2003 and 2009, including a nested cohort of children enrolled in primary school, using linked health and education data from the Education and Child Health Insights from Linked Data (ECHILD) database. With expert clinicians, we developed an algorithm based on diagnostic information from hospital records to phenotype children with hospital-recorded neurodisability. We described rates of mortality, planned/unplanned admissions up to 11 years old, and school-recorded special educational needs (SEN) provision, as proxy measures of the complexity of a child's needs, overall and for over 40 neurodisability subgroups.

Results: Of 3,580,225 children in the birth cohort, 3.6% had hospital-recorded neurodisability by age 11. The most frequent subgroups included developmental disorders, autism, epilepsy, perinatal brain injury, and cerebral palsy. Children with hospital-recorded neurodisability had higher mortality and planned/unplanned admission rates compared with their peers, and they accounted for 26% of all planned and 14% of all unplanned hospital admissions before age 11. The nested primary school cohort included 2,956,299 pupils (82.6% of all births), 3.7% of whom had hospital-recorded neurodisability. 75% of children with hospital-recorded neurodisability had any school-recorded SEN provision, and 39% had a record of more intensive provision (compared to 30% and 2.4%, respectively, for their peers).

Conclusions: We derived a phenotype for hospital-recorded neurodisability, which affects 1 in 28 primary school children in England, with high rates of hospital admissions and SEN provision. This phenotype and its subgroups can be used by service providers and researchers to examine inequalities and inform resource and service provision.

背景:神经残疾儿童通常有复杂的保健和教育需求。来自相关的卫生和教育行政数据的证据可以改善服务部门之间的联合工作。目的:编制住院记录中识别神经功能障碍的诊断代码表;通过描述医院记录的神经功能障碍儿童及其结果来评估这种表型的代表性。方法:我们使用关联数据教育和儿童健康洞察(ECHILD)数据库中的关联健康和教育数据,对2003年至2009年在英国出生的单胎儿童进行了全国性队列研究,其中包括一组小学入学儿童。在专家临床医生的帮助下,我们开发了一种基于医院记录的诊断信息的算法,以对医院记录的神经残疾儿童进行表型分析。我们描述了死亡率,计划/计划外入学到11岁,以及学校记录的特殊教育需求(SEN)规定,作为儿童需求复杂性的代理措施,总体上和超过40个神经残疾亚组。结果:在出生队列中的3,580,225名儿童中,3.6%在11岁时患有医院记录的神经功能障碍。最常见的亚组包括发育障碍、自闭症、癫痫、围产期脑损伤和脑瘫。与同龄人相比,医院记录的神经残疾儿童的死亡率和计划/计划外住院率更高,他们占11岁前所有计划住院率的26%和所有计划外住院率的14%。嵌套的小学队列包括2,956,299名学生(占所有新生儿的82.6%),其中3.7%患有医院记录的神经障碍。75%的医院记录的神经残疾儿童有任何学校记录的SEN提供,39%有更密集的提供记录(相比之下,他们的同龄人分别为30%和2.4%)。结论:我们得出了医院记录的神经功能障碍的表型,在英格兰,每28名小学生中就有1名神经功能障碍,住院率和SEN提供率很高。服务提供者和研究人员可以使用这种表型及其子组来检查不平等现象,并为资源和服务提供提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the Gap: Advancing Equity in Improving Childhood Lower Respiratory Infections. 弥合差距:促进改善儿童下呼吸道感染的公平性。
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70091
Bohee Lee, Evelyn Balsells, Ting Shi
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引用次数: 0
Safety of Antihypertensive Medication for the Management of Non-Severe Gestational Hypertension Among Pregnant Individuals in Botswana-Emulating a Series of Target Trials. 博茨瓦纳孕妇抗高血压药物治疗非严重妊娠期高血压的安全性——模拟一系列目标试验
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-21 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70079
Julia D DiTosto, Rebecca Zash, Denise L Jacobson, Katherine Johnson, Modiegi Diseko, Gloria Mayondi, Judith Mabuta, Mompati Mmalane, Joseph Makhema, Sunni L Mumford, Shahin Lockman, Roger Shapiro, Ellen C Caniglia

Background: Data on antihypertensive medication for non-severe gestational hypertension may suffer from immortal time and selection bias. Emulating target trials can prevent these biases by aligning follow-up with treatment initiation.

Objectives: We estimated the safety of antihypertensive medication initiation for the treatment of non-severe gestational hypertension on adverse birth outcomes in Botswana using sequential target trial emulation.

Methods: Data from the Tsepamo study (2014-2022), capturing birth outcomes at government delivery sites in Botswana, was used to examine antihypertensive medication initiation ≥ 24 weeks gestation for non-severe gestational hypertension (140-159 systolic or 90-109 diastolic blood pressure ≥ 20 weeks gestation without chronic hypertension). Sequential weekly target trial emulation compared initiation versus no initiation during 24-35 weeks' gestation on the risk of stillbirth and birth of infant small for gestational age (SGA), with secondary outcomes including very SGA, preterm birth, very preterm birth, neonatal death, and severe gestational hypertension. For each trial, eligible individuals were without chronic hypertension, had not previously initiated antihypertensive medication and had ≥ 2 non-severe blood pressure readings, at least one within 1 week of trial start. Log-binomial models estimated gestational week-specific and pooled risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using bootstrapping.

Results: Of eligible individuals, there were 1676 antihypertensive initiator 'person-trials' and 5211 non-initiator 'person-trials'. In the pooled analysis, the adjusted RR for stillbirth and SGA comparing initiators to non-initiators was 0.92 (0.68, 1.19) and 1.09 (0.97, 1.23), respectively. The pooled adjusted RR for secondary outcomes were: very SGA, 1.05 (95% CI 0.88, 1.25); preterm birth, 1.09 (95% CI 0.96, 1.22); very preterm birth, 1.05 (95% CI 0.78, 1.47); neonatal death, 1.23 (95% CI 0.68, 2.24); severe gestational hypertension, 0.88 (95% CI 0.74, 1.07).

Conclusions: In this retrospective cohort study, antihypertensive medication initiation between 24 and 35 weeks' gestation for non-severe gestational hypertension was not associated with increased risk of adverse birth outcomes.

背景:非重度妊娠期高血压的降压药数据可能存在不朽的时间和选择偏差。模拟目标试验可以通过调整随访与治疗开始来防止这些偏差。目的:我们使用序贯目标试验模拟来评估博茨瓦纳非严重妊娠期高血压患者开始使用降压药治疗不良分娩结局的安全性。方法:来自Tsepamo研究(2014-2022)的数据,捕获博茨瓦纳政府分娩地点的分娩结局,用于检查妊娠≥24周非严重妊娠高血压(140-159收缩压或90-109舒张压≥20周妊娠无慢性高血压)的抗高血压药物起始治疗。连续的每周目标试验模拟比较了妊娠24-35周启动与未启动对死胎和小于胎龄婴儿(SGA)出生风险的影响,次要结局包括非常SGA、早产、非常早产、新生儿死亡和严重妊娠期高血压。在每项试验中,符合条件的受试者均没有慢性高血压,以前没有服用过降压药物,并且有≥2次非严重血压读数,至少一次是在试验开始的1周内。对数二项模型估计妊娠周特异性和合并风险比(RR), 95%置信区间(CI)使用自举。结果:在符合条件的个体中,有1676例抗高血压启动者“人试验”和5211例非启动者“人试验”。在合并分析中,启动器与非启动器的死胎和SGA校正RR分别为0.92(0.68,1.19)和1.09(0.97,1.23)。次要结局的合并校正RR为:非常SGA, 1.05 (95% CI 0.88, 1.25);早产,1.09 (95% CI 0.96, 1.22);非常早产,1.05 (95% CI 0.78, 1.47);新生儿死亡率,1.23(95%可信区间0.68,2.24);严重妊娠期高血压,0.88 (95% CI 0.74, 1.07)。结论:在这项回顾性队列研究中,妊娠24 - 35周开始抗高血压药物治疗的非重度妊娠高血压与不良出生结局的风险增加无关。
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引用次数: 0
Is the Most Likely Value Also the Best Imputation? 最可能的值也是最好的归算吗?
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70081
Stef van Buuren, Hanne I Oberman
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引用次数: 0
The Joint Effects of Extreme Heat and Wildfire Smoke on Paediatric Acute Care Utilisation. 极端高温和野火烟雾对儿科急性护理利用的共同影响。
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70080
Amal Syed, Chen Chen, Tarik Benmarhnia, Rupa Basu

Background: As climate change worsens, instances of combined extreme heat and wildfire smoke events are becoming more frequent. Despite their increased vulnerability, investigations on the joint effect of wildfire smoke and extreme heat on children's health are limited.

Objective: To investigate the joint effects of extreme heat and wildfire smoke on paediatric acute care utilisation (ACU) in California from 2006 to 2019.

Methods: In this case-crossover analysis, we assembled a time-series dataset of warm seasons, (May-September) for 1772 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTA) in California from 2006 to 2019 to evaluate daily ACUs in the paediatric population (0-19 years). For wildfire smoke, we identified ZCTA-days exposed using a previously developed time-series dataset. For extreme heat, we calculated the daily ZCTA-specific maximum heat index. There were four exposure types: exposed to extreme heat alone, exposed to wildfire smoke alone, exposed to both events simultaneously (compound event) and not exposed to either event. We quantified the synergistic effects by comparing a child's exposures on the day when an ACU occurred to the child's exposure during control days.

Results: We found 1100-105,788 ZCTA-days where exposure to both extreme heat and wildfire smoke events occurred across eight combinations of event definitions. The relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) ranged up to 0.11 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.03, 0.19) with thresholds of the 95th percentile for extreme heat and 35 μg/m3 for wildfire PM2.5, indicating a synergistic effect of extreme heat and wildfire smoke on paediatric ACUs. Positive RERIs were consistently observed for infectious enteritis, heat-related illness, asthma, endocrine nutritional and metabolic disease, and respiratory disease.

Conclusion: Investigating the synergistic effects of extreme heat and wildfire smoke events in paediatric populations is necessary to develop effective health protection strategies.

背景:随着气候变化的恶化,极端高温和野火烟雾事件的结合变得越来越频繁。尽管他们的脆弱性增加,但关于野火烟雾和极端高温对儿童健康的共同影响的调查有限。目的:探讨2006 - 2019年加利福尼亚州极端高温和野火烟雾对儿科急性护理利用率(ACU)的共同影响。方法:在本病例交叉分析中,我们收集了2006年至2019年加利福尼亚州1772个邮政编码制表区(ZCTA)温暖季节(5 - 9月)的时间序列数据集,以评估0-19岁儿科人群的每日acu。对于野火烟雾,我们使用先前开发的时间序列数据集确定了暴露的zcta天。对于极端高温,我们计算了每日zcta比大热指数。有四种暴露类型:单独暴露于极端高温、单独暴露于野火烟雾、同时暴露于两种事件(复合事件)和不暴露于任何一种事件。我们通过比较儿童在ACU发生当天的暴露量和儿童在对照日的暴露量来量化协同效应。结果:我们发现了1100-105,788 zcta日,在8种事件定义组合中发生了极端高温和野火烟雾事件。由于相互作用导致的相对超额风险(rei)范围为0.11(95%可信区间[CI]: 0.03, 0.19),极端高温的阈值为第95百分位,野火PM2.5的阈值为35 μg/m3,表明极端高温和野火烟雾对儿童acu有协同作用。在感染性肠炎、热相关疾病、哮喘、内分泌营养和代谢性疾病以及呼吸系统疾病中,均观察到reri呈阳性。结论:研究儿童人群中极端高温和野火烟雾事件的协同效应对于制定有效的健康保护策略是必要的。
{"title":"The Joint Effects of Extreme Heat and Wildfire Smoke on Paediatric Acute Care Utilisation.","authors":"Amal Syed, Chen Chen, Tarik Benmarhnia, Rupa Basu","doi":"10.1111/ppe.70080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ppe.70080","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>As climate change worsens, instances of combined extreme heat and wildfire smoke events are becoming more frequent. Despite their increased vulnerability, investigations on the joint effect of wildfire smoke and extreme heat on children's health are limited.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the joint effects of extreme heat and wildfire smoke on paediatric acute care utilisation (ACU) in California from 2006 to 2019.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this case-crossover analysis, we assembled a time-series dataset of warm seasons, (May-September) for 1772 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTA) in California from 2006 to 2019 to evaluate daily ACUs in the paediatric population (0-19 years). For wildfire smoke, we identified ZCTA-days exposed using a previously developed time-series dataset. For extreme heat, we calculated the daily ZCTA-specific maximum heat index. There were four exposure types: exposed to extreme heat alone, exposed to wildfire smoke alone, exposed to both events simultaneously (compound event) and not exposed to either event. We quantified the synergistic effects by comparing a child's exposures on the day when an ACU occurred to the child's exposure during control days.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We found 1100-105,788 ZCTA-days where exposure to both extreme heat and wildfire smoke events occurred across eight combinations of event definitions. The relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) ranged up to 0.11 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.03, 0.19) with thresholds of the 95th percentile for extreme heat and 35 μg/m<sup>3</sup> for wildfire PM<sub>2.5</sub>, indicating a synergistic effect of extreme heat and wildfire smoke on paediatric ACUs. Positive RERIs were consistently observed for infectious enteritis, heat-related illness, asthma, endocrine nutritional and metabolic disease, and respiratory disease.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Investigating the synergistic effects of extreme heat and wildfire smoke events in paediatric populations is necessary to develop effective health protection strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":19698,"journal":{"name":"Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145258698","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of Increasing Midwifery-Led Prenatal Care on Birth Outcomes: An Application of the g-Formula and Target Trial Emulation. 增加助产士主导的产前护理对出生结局的影响:g公式和目标试验模拟的应用。
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70077
Elizabeth Simmons, Anna Austin, Mollie Wood, Alyssa J Mansfield, Karen Sheffield-Abdullah, Kavita Singh

Background: Compared to undergoing prenatal care with a physician, care with a midwife reduces the risk of medical interventions and complications during labor and delivery among low-risk pregnant individuals. However, many analyses that assess the relationship between midwifery-led care and birth outcomes condition on live births, potentially inducing a type of collider bias.

Objective: The objective was to analyse the change in prevalence of caesarean deliveries, primary and secondary postpartum haemorrhage, obstetric trauma, and maternal infection under hypothetical scenarios where midwifery-led prenatal care was increased.

Methods: Our sample included commercially insured, midwifery-eligible pregnant people in an insurance claims data source. We used g-computation to assess the change in prevalence of caesarean deliveries, primary and secondary postpartum haemorrhage, obstetric trauma, and maternal infection if 10%, 20%, and 50% more pregnant people enrolled in prenatal care with a midwife rather than a physician, among a cohort of low-risk pregnant people with commercial insurance in the U.S. between 2004 and 2015.

Results: With a 50% increase in midwifery-led care compared with no increase, we found the prevalence of caesarean deliveries was reduced by 5.4 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI] -5.7, -5.1) and of maternal infection decreased by 1.3 percentage points (95% CI -1.6, -1.0), while the prevalence of primary postpartum haemorrhage increased by 0.5 percentage points (95% CI 0.4, 0.6) and of secondary postpartum haemorrhage increased by 0.6 percentage points (95% CI 0.4, 0.7).

Conclusions: Increasing midwifery-led prenatal care reduced the prevalence of caesarean deliveries and maternal infections and slightly increased the prevalence of primary and secondary postpartum haemorrhage. Our results were similar to those of studies among live birth cohorts.

背景:与接受医生产前护理相比,助产士护理降低了低风险孕妇在分娩和分娩过程中医疗干预和并发症的风险。然而,许多评估助产士主导的护理和分娩结果之间关系的分析对活产不利,可能会导致一种对撞机偏见。目的:目的是分析在助产士主导的产前护理增加的假设情况下,剖腹产、原发性和继发性产后出血、产科创伤和产妇感染的患病率的变化。方法:我们的样本包括保险索赔数据源中的商业保险,符合助产条件的孕妇。我们使用g计算来评估2004年至2015年间,在美国有商业保险的低风险孕妇队列中,如果有10%、20%和50%的孕妇参加助产士而不是医生的产前护理,剖腹产、原发性和继发性产后出血、产科创伤和孕产妇感染的患病率变化。结果:与没有增加相比,助产士主导的护理增加了50%,我们发现剖腹产的患病率降低了5.4个百分点(95%可信区间[CI] -5.7, -5.1),产妇感染的患病率降低了1.3个百分点(95% CI -1.6, -1.0),而原发性产后出血的患病率增加了0.5个百分点(95% CI 0.4, 0.6),继发性产后出血的患病率增加了0.6个百分点(95% CI 0.4, 0.7)。结论:增加助产士主导的产前护理降低了剖腹产和孕产妇感染的患病率,并略微增加了原发性和继发性产后出血的患病率。我们的结果与活产队列的研究结果相似。
{"title":"Impact of Increasing Midwifery-Led Prenatal Care on Birth Outcomes: An Application of the g-Formula and Target Trial Emulation.","authors":"Elizabeth Simmons, Anna Austin, Mollie Wood, Alyssa J Mansfield, Karen Sheffield-Abdullah, Kavita Singh","doi":"10.1111/ppe.70077","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ppe.70077","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Compared to undergoing prenatal care with a physician, care with a midwife reduces the risk of medical interventions and complications during labor and delivery among low-risk pregnant individuals. However, many analyses that assess the relationship between midwifery-led care and birth outcomes condition on live births, potentially inducing a type of collider bias.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>The objective was to analyse the change in prevalence of caesarean deliveries, primary and secondary postpartum haemorrhage, obstetric trauma, and maternal infection under hypothetical scenarios where midwifery-led prenatal care was increased.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Our sample included commercially insured, midwifery-eligible pregnant people in an insurance claims data source. We used g-computation to assess the change in prevalence of caesarean deliveries, primary and secondary postpartum haemorrhage, obstetric trauma, and maternal infection if 10%, 20%, and 50% more pregnant people enrolled in prenatal care with a midwife rather than a physician, among a cohort of low-risk pregnant people with commercial insurance in the U.S. between 2004 and 2015.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>With a 50% increase in midwifery-led care compared with no increase, we found the prevalence of caesarean deliveries was reduced by 5.4 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI] -5.7, -5.1) and of maternal infection decreased by 1.3 percentage points (95% CI -1.6, -1.0), while the prevalence of primary postpartum haemorrhage increased by 0.5 percentage points (95% CI 0.4, 0.6) and of secondary postpartum haemorrhage increased by 0.6 percentage points (95% CI 0.4, 0.7).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Increasing midwifery-led prenatal care reduced the prevalence of caesarean deliveries and maternal infections and slightly increased the prevalence of primary and secondary postpartum haemorrhage. Our results were similar to those of studies among live birth cohorts.</p>","PeriodicalId":19698,"journal":{"name":"Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145150417","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Identifiability and Interpretation of Estimands Under Selection in Perinatal Research. 围产期研究中选择估计的可识别性和解释。
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70073
Louisa H Smith
{"title":"Identifiability and Interpretation of Estimands Under Selection in Perinatal Research.","authors":"Louisa H Smith","doi":"10.1111/ppe.70073","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ppe.70073","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19698,"journal":{"name":"Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145131535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ending Pregnancy Ends Risks. Consistent Questions, Estimands, Estimates, and Interpretation in the Presence of Competing Events. 终止妊娠终止风险。存在竞争事件时的一致问题、估计、估计和解释。
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70076
Jeremy P Brown, Sonia Hernández-Díaz
{"title":"Ending Pregnancy Ends Risks. Consistent Questions, Estimands, Estimates, and Interpretation in the Presence of Competing Events.","authors":"Jeremy P Brown, Sonia Hernández-Díaz","doi":"10.1111/ppe.70076","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ppe.70076","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19698,"journal":{"name":"Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145131545","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Periconceptional Hormonal Contraception Use and Autism Spectrum Disorder in the Study to Explore Early Development. 围孕期激素避孕与自闭症谱系障碍早期发展的关系研究。
IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1111/ppe.70049
Michelle T Delahanty, Stephanie Engel, Dani Fallin, Tanya Garcia, Christine Ladd-Acosta, Anne Steiner, Mollie Wood, Julie L Daniels

Background: Prior studies report associations between periconceptional exposure to natural and synthetic oestrogen and progesterone and autism spectrum disorder (ASD). Hormonal contraception contains synthetic forms of one or both hormones. Although hormonal contraception is highly effective when consistently used, unintended pregnancy can occur with irregular use. Given the popularity of hormonal contraception, foetal exposure in utero is possible, yet the potential consequences are unknown.

Objectives: We investigated the association between periconceptional hormonal contraception use and the development of ASD in offspring.

Methods: We analysed data from the Study to Explore Early Development (SEED), a population-based case-control study conducted in select US states, from 2007 to 2020. Children with and without ASD were identified from clinical/education sources and vital records, respectively, and enrolled at ages 2.5-5 years. We confirmed the ASD case status by in-person developmental assessment. We assessed hormonal contraception via a structured interview. We assessed the associations between ASD and hormonal contraception exposure separately for contraception discontinued in the 3 months prior to pregnancy and contraception continued during pregnancy using logistic models to estimate odds ratios (OR) adjusted for biological mother age, education, parity, pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), and presence of gynaecologic conditions and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results: Of 5210 participants, 9.9% reported discontinuing hormonal contraception use before pregnancy and 2.3% reported continuing use during pregnancy. A suggestive association was found between ASD and hormonal contraception use during pregnancy (aOR 1.38,95% CI 0.93, 2.05). There was no association with use prior to pregnancy (aOR 1.02, 95% CI 0.84, 1.25).

Conclusions: Discontinuation of hormonal contraception prior to conception was not associated with ASD. The prevalence of hormonal contraception use during pregnancy was low. Results were imprecise and may be impacted by recall bias and unmeasured confounding by indication and health behaviours related to planning pregnancy.

背景:先前的研究报告了妊娠期暴露于天然和合成雌激素和黄体酮与自闭症谱系障碍(ASD)之间的关系。激素避孕包含一种或两种激素的合成形式。虽然激素避孕在持续使用时非常有效,但不规律使用可能会发生意外怀孕。鉴于激素避孕的普及,胎儿在子宫内暴露是可能的,但潜在的后果尚不清楚。目的:探讨围孕期激素避孕与后代ASD发展的关系。方法:我们分析了研究早期发展(SEED)的数据,这是一项基于人群的病例对照研究,于2007年至2020年在美国选定的州进行。研究人员分别从临床/教育来源和生命记录中确定患有和不患有ASD的儿童,并在2.5-5岁时入组。我们通过面对面的发育评估来确认ASD病例的状态。我们通过结构化访谈评估激素避孕。我们分别评估了怀孕前3个月停止避孕和怀孕期间继续避孕的ASD与激素避孕暴露之间的关系,使用logistic模型来估计经生母年龄、教育程度、胎次、孕前体重指数(BMI)和妇科疾病存在校正的比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(CI)。结果:在5210名参与者中,9.9%的人在怀孕前停止使用激素避孕,2.3%的人在怀孕期间继续使用激素避孕。ASD与妊娠期间使用激素避孕之间存在相关性(aOR 1.38,95% CI 0.93, 2.05)。与妊娠前使用无相关性(aOR 1.02, 95% CI 0.84, 1.25)。结论:怀孕前停止激素避孕与ASD无关。怀孕期间激素避孕的使用率较低。结果不精确,可能受到回忆偏差和与计划怀孕相关的指征和健康行为的未测量混淆的影响。
{"title":"Periconceptional Hormonal Contraception Use and Autism Spectrum Disorder in the Study to Explore Early Development.","authors":"Michelle T Delahanty, Stephanie Engel, Dani Fallin, Tanya Garcia, Christine Ladd-Acosta, Anne Steiner, Mollie Wood, Julie L Daniels","doi":"10.1111/ppe.70049","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ppe.70049","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Prior studies report associations between periconceptional exposure to natural and synthetic oestrogen and progesterone and autism spectrum disorder (ASD). Hormonal contraception contains synthetic forms of one or both hormones. Although hormonal contraception is highly effective when consistently used, unintended pregnancy can occur with irregular use. Given the popularity of hormonal contraception, foetal exposure in utero is possible, yet the potential consequences are unknown.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>We investigated the association between periconceptional hormonal contraception use and the development of ASD in offspring.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analysed data from the Study to Explore Early Development (SEED), a population-based case-control study conducted in select US states, from 2007 to 2020. Children with and without ASD were identified from clinical/education sources and vital records, respectively, and enrolled at ages 2.5-5 years. We confirmed the ASD case status by in-person developmental assessment. We assessed hormonal contraception via a structured interview. We assessed the associations between ASD and hormonal contraception exposure separately for contraception discontinued in the 3 months prior to pregnancy and contraception continued during pregnancy using logistic models to estimate odds ratios (OR) adjusted for biological mother age, education, parity, pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), and presence of gynaecologic conditions and 95% confidence intervals (CI).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 5210 participants, 9.9% reported discontinuing hormonal contraception use before pregnancy and 2.3% reported continuing use during pregnancy. A suggestive association was found between ASD and hormonal contraception use during pregnancy (aOR 1.38,95% CI 0.93, 2.05). There was no association with use prior to pregnancy (aOR 1.02, 95% CI 0.84, 1.25).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Discontinuation of hormonal contraception prior to conception was not associated with ASD. The prevalence of hormonal contraception use during pregnancy was low. Results were imprecise and may be impacted by recall bias and unmeasured confounding by indication and health behaviours related to planning pregnancy.</p>","PeriodicalId":19698,"journal":{"name":"Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145125718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology
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