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Low-dose aspirin for the prevention of preterm birth: More questions than answers. 低剂量阿司匹林预防早产:问题多于答案。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003908
Victoria Hodgetts Morton, Sarah J Stock
Preterm birth (birth before 37 weeks gestation) is the leading cause of neonatal mortality, is associated with long-term disability in survivors, and carries a substantial economic burden to healthcare and social services [1]. There is increasing interest in the use of aspirin as a preventative treatment for preterm birth. Low-dose aspirin prophylaxis is well established in women who are at high risk of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy. Meta-analysis of trial data shows that low-dose aspirin taken from early pregnancy is beneficial for reducing the incidence of preeclampsia and its associated complications, including preterm birth [2]. The majority of preterm births associated with preeclampsia are provider initiated, resulting from preterm cesarean section or induction of labour indicated by worsening maternal or fetal condition. Nevertheless, reanalyses of data from trials of aspirin to prevent preeclampsia have also shown small but statistically significant reductions in spontaneous preterm birth (preterm birth preceded by the spontaneous onset of contractions or preterm prelabour rupture of membranes) [3,4]. As spontaneous preterm births are the biggest contributor to preterm birth overall, the question of whether aspirin can be used to prevent spontaneous preterm births has arisen. There has been little data from primary trials to guide practice in this area. In an accompanying research study in PLOS Medicine, Landman and colleagues report on a randomised controlled trial designed to assess the effectiveness of low-dose aspirin in the prevention of preterm birth in women at high risk of preterm birth [5]. Women with a previous spontaneous preterm birth between 22 and 36 weeks gestation (a recognised risk factor for recurrent preterm birth) were eligible to participate in the APRIL (aspirin for the prevention of recurrent spontaneous preterm labour) trial. Participants were randomised to daily aspirin 80 mg or placebo, initiated between 8 and 16 weeks gestation, and continued until 36 weeks gestation. The primary outcome was any preterm birth before 37 weeks gestation (i.e., included both spontaneous and provider-initiated preterm births). Although a small reduction in recurrent preterm birth was observed in women taking low-dose aspirin, this was not statistically significant (21% preterm birth rate in women randomised to aspirin compared to 25% preterm birth in those randomised to placebo). Unfortunately, with 406 participants, the APRIL trial was underpowered to provide a definitive answer for the primary outcome of preterm birth. The sample size calculation for the APRIL trial was based on a potential 35% relative reduction in the rate of preterm birth (which the authors state was based on the average risk reduction in preterm birth seen in secondary analyses of other trials of aspirin), from a background rate of 36%. This background rate was derived from a trial of progesterone to prevent preterm birth which recruited participants fro
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引用次数: 4
The impact of pictorial health warnings on purchases of sugary drinks for children: A randomized controlled trial. 图形健康警示对儿童购买含糖饮料的影响:随机对照试验。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003885
Marissa G Hall, Anna H Grummon, Isabella C A Higgins, Allison J Lazard, Carmen E Prestemon, Mirian I Avendaño-Galdamez, Lindsey Smith Taillie

Background: Pictorial warnings on tobacco products are promising for motivating behavior change, but few studies have examined pictorial warnings for sugary drinks, especially in naturalistic environments. This study aimed to examine the impact of pictorial warnings on parents' purchases of sugary drinks for their children in a naturalistic store laboratory.

Methods and findings: Parents of children ages 2 to 12 (n = 325, 25% identifying as Black, 20% Hispanic) completed a shopping task in a naturalistic store laboratory in North Carolina. Participants were randomly assigned to a pictorial warnings arm (sugary drinks displayed pictorial health warnings about type 2 diabetes and heart damage) or a control arm (sugary drinks displayed a barcode label). Parents selected 1 beverage and 1 snack for their child, as well as 1 household good; one of these items was selected for them to purchase and take home. The primary outcome was whether parents purchased a sugary drink for their child. Secondary outcomes included reactions to the trial labels, attitudes toward sugary drinks, and intentions to serve their child sugary drinks. Pictorial warnings led to a 17-percentage point reduction in purchases of sugary drinks (95% CI for reduction: 7% to 27%), with 45% of parents in the control arm buying a sugary drink for their child compared to 28% in the pictorial warning arm (p = 0.002). The impact of pictorial warnings on purchases did not differ by any of the 13 participant characteristics examined (e.g., race/ethnicity, income, education, and age of child). Pictorial warnings also led to lower calories (kcal), purchased from sugary drinks (82 kcal in the control arm versus 52 kcal in the pictorial warnings arm, p = 0.003). Moreover, pictorial warnings led to lower intentions to serve sugary drinks to their child, feeling more in control of healthy eating decisions, greater thinking about the harms of sugary drinks, stronger negative emotional reactions, greater anticipated social interactions, lower perceived healthfulness of sugary drinks for their child, and greater injunctive norms to limit sugary drinks for their child (all p < 0.05). There was no evidence of difference between trial arms on noticing of the labels, appeal of sugary drinks, perceived amount of added sugar in sugary drinks, risk perceptions, or perceived tastiness of sugary drinks (all p > 0.05).

Conclusions: Pictorial warnings reduced parents' purchases of sugary drinks for their children in this naturalistic trial. Warnings on sugary drinks are a promising policy approach to reduce sugary drink purchasing in the US.

Trial registration: The trial design, measures, power calculation, and analytic plan were registered before data collection at www.clinicaltrials.gov NCT04223687.

背景:烟草制品上的图形警示对于促使人们改变行为很有帮助,但很少有研究对含糖饮料的图形警示进行研究,尤其是在自然环境下。本研究旨在自然商店实验室中考察图形警示对家长为孩子购买含糖饮料的影响:2至12岁儿童的父母(n = 325,25%为黑人,20%为西班牙裔)在北卡罗来纳州的自然商店实验室完成了一项购物任务。参与者被随机分配到图形警告组(含糖饮料显示有关2型糖尿病和心脏损害的图形健康警告)或对照组(含糖饮料显示条形码标签)。家长为孩子选择 1 种饮料和 1 种零食,以及 1 种家庭用品;其中 1 种物品由家长购买并带回家。主要结果是家长是否为孩子购买了含糖饮料。次要结果包括对试验标签的反应、对含糖饮料的态度以及为孩子提供含糖饮料的意愿。图形警示使含糖饮料的购买量减少了 17 个百分点(95% CI 降幅:7% 至 27%),对照组中 45% 的家长为孩子购买了含糖饮料,而图形警示组中只有 28% 的家长为孩子购买了含糖饮料(P = 0.002)。图形警示对购买行为的影响在所考察的 13 个参与者特征(如种族/民族、收入、教育程度和孩子年龄)中没有任何差异。图形警示还降低了购买含糖饮料的热量(千卡)(对照组为 82 千卡,图形警示组为 52 千卡,p = 0.003)。此外,图形警示还能降低给孩子提供含糖饮料的意愿、让孩子感觉自己更能控制健康饮食的决定、让孩子更多思考含糖饮料的危害、让孩子产生更强烈的负面情绪反应、让孩子更期待社会交往、降低孩子对含糖饮料健康性的感知、提高孩子限制饮用含糖饮料的强制规范(所有 p < 0.05)。各试验组之间在标签的注意程度、含糖饮料的吸引力、对含糖饮料中添加糖量的感知、风险感知或对含糖饮料可口性的感知方面没有证据表明存在差异(均 p > 0.05):结论:在这项自然试验中,图片警告减少了家长为孩子购买含糖饮料的次数。在美国,含糖饮料警告是减少含糖饮料购买量的一种很有前景的政策方法:试验设计、措施、功率计算和分析计划在数据收集前已在 www.clinicaltrials.gov NCT04223687 上注册。
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引用次数: 0
Obesity and risk of female reproductive conditions: A Mendelian randomisation study. 肥胖与女性生殖系统疾病的风险:孟德尔随机研究
IF 10.5 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003679
Samvida S Venkatesh, Teresa Ferreira, Stefania Benonisdottir, Nilufer Rahmioglu, Christian M Becker, Ingrid Granne, Krina T Zondervan, Michael V Holmes, Cecilia M Lindgren, Laura B L Wittemans

Background: Obesity is observationally associated with altered risk of many female reproductive conditions. These include polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), abnormal uterine bleeding, endometriosis, infertility, and pregnancy-related disorders. However, the roles and mechanisms of obesity in the aetiology of reproductive disorders remain unclear. Thus, we aimed to estimate observational and genetically predicted causal associations between obesity, metabolic hormones, and female reproductive disorders.

Methods and findings: Logistic regression, generalised additive models, and Mendelian randomisation (MR) (2-sample, non-linear, and multivariable) were applied to obesity and reproductive disease data on up to 257,193 women of European ancestry in UK Biobank and publicly available genome-wide association studies (GWASs). Body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and WHR adjusted for BMI were observationally (odds ratios [ORs] = 1.02-1.87 per 1-SD increase in obesity trait) and genetically (ORs = 1.06-2.09) associated with uterine fibroids (UF), PCOS, heavy menstrual bleeding (HMB), and pre-eclampsia. Genetically predicted visceral adipose tissue (VAT) mass was associated with the development of HMB (OR [95% CI] per 1-kg increase in predicted VAT mass = 1.32 [1.06-1.64], P = 0.0130), PCOS (OR [95% CI] = 1.15 [1.08-1.23], P = 3.24 × 10-05), and pre-eclampsia (OR [95% CI] = 3.08 [1.98-4.79], P = 6.65 × 10-07). Increased waist circumference posed a higher genetic risk (ORs = 1.16-1.93) for the development of these disorders and UF than did increased hip circumference (ORs = 1.06-1.10). Leptin, fasting insulin, and insulin resistance each mediated between 20% and 50% of the total genetically predicted association of obesity with pre-eclampsia. Reproductive conditions clustered based on shared genetic components of their aetiological relationships with obesity. This study was limited in power by the low prevalence of female reproductive conditions among women in the UK Biobank, with little information on pre-diagnostic anthropometric traits, and by the susceptibility of MR estimates to genetic pleiotropy.

Conclusions: We found that common indices of overall and central obesity were associated with increased risks of reproductive disorders to heterogenous extents in a systematic, large-scale genetics-based analysis of the aetiological relationships between obesity and female reproductive conditions. Our results suggest the utility of exploring the mechanisms mediating the causal associations of overweight and obesity with gynaecological health to identify targets for disease prevention and treatment.

背景:据观察,肥胖与许多女性生殖疾病风险的改变有关。这些疾病包括多囊卵巢综合症(PCOS)、异常子宫出血、子宫内膜异位症、不孕症以及与妊娠相关的疾病。然而,肥胖在生殖系统疾病病因中的作用和机制仍不清楚。因此,我们旨在估计肥胖、代谢激素和女性生殖系统疾病之间的观察性和基因预测的因果关系:对英国生物库和公开全基因组关联研究(GWAS)中多达 257193 名欧洲血统女性的肥胖和生殖疾病数据应用了逻辑回归、广义加性模型和孟德尔随机化(MR)(2 样本、非线性和多变量)。体质指数(BMI)、腰臀比(WHR)和根据体质指数调整的腰臀比与子宫肌瘤(UF)、多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)、月经过多(HMB)和先兆子痫有观察相关性(肥胖特征每增加 1 个标准差的几率比 [ORs] = 1.02-1.87)和遗传相关性(ORs = 1.06-2.09)。遗传预测的内脏脂肪组织(VAT)质量与 HMB(预测的 VAT 质量每增加 1 公斤的 OR [95% CI] = 1.32 [1.06-1.64],P = 0.0130)、多囊卵巢综合征(OR [95% CI] = 1.15 [1.08-1.23],P = 3.24 × 10-05)和子痫前期(OR [95% CI] = 3.08 [1.98-4.79],P = 6.65 × 10-07)的发生有关。与臀围增加(ORs = 1.06-1.10)相比,腰围增加对这些疾病和 UF 的遗传风险更高(ORs = 1.16-1.93)。瘦素、空腹胰岛素和胰岛素抵抗在肥胖与先兆子痫的遗传预测关联中各占20%至50%。生殖系统疾病根据其与肥胖的病因学关系中共同的遗传成分进行分组。由于英国生物库中女性生殖系统疾病的发病率较低,且诊断前人体测量特征的信息较少,再加上MR估计值易受遗传多效性的影响,因此这项研究的有效性受到了限制:我们发现,在对肥胖与女性生殖疾病之间的病因关系进行系统、大规模的遗传学分析时,整体肥胖和中心肥胖的常见指数与生殖疾病风险的增加有着不同程度的相关性。我们的研究结果表明,探索超重和肥胖与妇科健康之间的因果关系的中介机制,对于确定疾病预防和治疗目标非常有用。
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引用次数: 0
Antidepressant discontinuation before or during pregnancy and risk of psychiatric emergency in Denmark: A population-based propensity score-matched cohort study. 在丹麦,怀孕前或怀孕期间停用抗抑郁药与精神急症风险:一项基于人口的倾向得分匹配队列研究。
IF 10.5 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2022-01-31 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003895
Xiaoqin Liu, Nina Molenaar, Esben Agerbo, Natalie C Momen, Anna-Sophie Rommel, Angela Lupattelli, Veerle Bergink, Trine Munk-Olsen

Background: Women prescribed antidepressants face the dilemma of whether or not to continue their treatment during pregnancy. Currently, limited evidence is available on the efficacy of continuing versus discontinuing antidepressant treatment during pregnancy to aid their decision. We aimed to estimate whether antidepressant discontinuation before or during pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of psychiatric emergency (ascertained by psychiatric admission or emergency room visit), a proxy measure of severe exacerbation of symptoms/mental health crisis.

Methods and findings: We carried out a propensity score-matched cohort study of women who gave birth to live-born singletons between January 1, 1997 and June 30, 2016 in Denmark and who redeemed an antidepressant prescription in the 90 days before the pregnancy, identified by Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) code N06A. We constructed 2 matched cohorts, matching each woman who discontinued antidepressants before pregnancy (N = 2,669) or during pregnancy (N = 5,467) to one who continued antidepressants based on propensity scores. Maternal characteristics and variables related to disease severity were used to generate the propensity scores in logistic regression models. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of psychiatric emergency in the perinatal period (pregnancy and 6 months postpartum) using stratified Cox regression. Psychiatric emergencies were observed in 76 women who discontinued antidepressants before pregnancy and 91 women who continued. There was no evidence of higher risk of psychiatric emergency among women who discontinued antidepressants before pregnancy (cumulative incidence: 2.9%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.3% to 3.6% for discontinuation versus 3.4%, 95% CI: 2.8% to 4.2% for continuation; HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.61 to 1.16, p = 0.298). Overall, 202 women who discontinued antidepressants during pregnancy and 156 who continued had psychiatric emergencies (cumulative incidence: 5.0%, 95% CI: 4.2% to 5.9% versus 3.7%, 95% CI: 3.1% to 4.5%). Antidepressant discontinuation during pregnancy was associated with increased risk of psychiatric emergency (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.55, p = 0.048). Study limitations include lack of information on indications for antidepressant treatment and reasons for discontinuing antidepressants.

Conclusions: In this study, we found that discontinuing antidepressant medication during pregnancy (but not before) is associated with an apparent increased risk of psychiatric emergency compared to continuing treatment throughout pregnancy.

背景:被处方抗抑郁药物的妇女面临着是否在怀孕期间继续接受治疗的两难选择。目前,有关孕期继续或停止抗抑郁治疗的疗效的证据有限,无法帮助她们做出决定。我们的目的是估计在怀孕前或怀孕期间停止抗抑郁治疗是否与精神科急诊(通过精神科入院或急诊就诊确定)风险的增加有关,精神科急诊是症状严重恶化/精神健康危机的替代措施:我们对1997年1月1日至2016年6月30日期间在丹麦生下活产单胎,并在怀孕前90天内兑换过抗抑郁药处方的女性进行了倾向得分匹配队列研究,这些女性通过解剖学治疗化学(ATC)代码N06A进行识别。我们构建了两个匹配队列,根据倾向得分将孕前停用抗抑郁药(2669 人)或孕期停用抗抑郁药(5467 人)的妇女与继续服用抗抑郁药的妇女进行匹配。在逻辑回归模型中,孕产妇特征和与疾病严重程度相关的变量被用来生成倾向分数。我们使用分层考克斯回归法估算了围产期(孕期和产后 6 个月)精神急症的危险比(HRs)。在怀孕前停用抗抑郁药的 76 名妇女和继续服用抗抑郁药的 91 名妇女中观察到了精神急症。没有证据表明孕前停用抗抑郁药的妇女发生精神急症的风险更高(累计发生率:停药为 2.9%,95% 置信区间 [CI]:2.3% 至 3.6%;继续用药为 3.4%,95% 置信区间:2.8% 至 4.2%;HR = 0.84,95% 置信区间:0.61 至 1.16,P = 0.298)。总体而言,202 名在怀孕期间停用抗抑郁药的妇女和 156 名继续服用抗抑郁药的妇女出现了精神急症(累计发生率为 5.0%,95% CI:2.8% 至 4.2%):5.0%,95% CI:4.2% 至 5.9%;3.7%,95% CI:3.1% 至 4.5%)。孕期停用抗抑郁药与精神急症风险增加有关(HR = 1.25,95% CI:1.00 至 1.55,p = 0.048)。研究的局限性包括缺乏有关抗抑郁治疗适应症和停用抗抑郁药原因的信息:在这项研究中,我们发现与在整个孕期继续治疗相比,在孕期(而非孕前)停止抗抑郁药物治疗与精神急症风险的明显增加有关。
{"title":"Antidepressant discontinuation before or during pregnancy and risk of psychiatric emergency in Denmark: A population-based propensity score-matched cohort study.","authors":"Xiaoqin Liu, Nina Molenaar, Esben Agerbo, Natalie C Momen, Anna-Sophie Rommel, Angela Lupattelli, Veerle Bergink, Trine Munk-Olsen","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1003895","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1003895","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Women prescribed antidepressants face the dilemma of whether or not to continue their treatment during pregnancy. Currently, limited evidence is available on the efficacy of continuing versus discontinuing antidepressant treatment during pregnancy to aid their decision. We aimed to estimate whether antidepressant discontinuation before or during pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of psychiatric emergency (ascertained by psychiatric admission or emergency room visit), a proxy measure of severe exacerbation of symptoms/mental health crisis.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We carried out a propensity score-matched cohort study of women who gave birth to live-born singletons between January 1, 1997 and June 30, 2016 in Denmark and who redeemed an antidepressant prescription in the 90 days before the pregnancy, identified by Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) code N06A. We constructed 2 matched cohorts, matching each woman who discontinued antidepressants before pregnancy (N = 2,669) or during pregnancy (N = 5,467) to one who continued antidepressants based on propensity scores. Maternal characteristics and variables related to disease severity were used to generate the propensity scores in logistic regression models. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of psychiatric emergency in the perinatal period (pregnancy and 6 months postpartum) using stratified Cox regression. Psychiatric emergencies were observed in 76 women who discontinued antidepressants before pregnancy and 91 women who continued. There was no evidence of higher risk of psychiatric emergency among women who discontinued antidepressants before pregnancy (cumulative incidence: 2.9%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.3% to 3.6% for discontinuation versus 3.4%, 95% CI: 2.8% to 4.2% for continuation; HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.61 to 1.16, p = 0.298). Overall, 202 women who discontinued antidepressants during pregnancy and 156 who continued had psychiatric emergencies (cumulative incidence: 5.0%, 95% CI: 4.2% to 5.9% versus 3.7%, 95% CI: 3.1% to 4.5%). Antidepressant discontinuation during pregnancy was associated with increased risk of psychiatric emergency (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.55, p = 0.048). Study limitations include lack of information on indications for antidepressant treatment and reasons for discontinuing antidepressants.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In this study, we found that discontinuing antidepressant medication during pregnancy (but not before) is associated with an apparent increased risk of psychiatric emergency compared to continuing treatment throughout pregnancy.</p>","PeriodicalId":20368,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":10.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8843130/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39874998","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
COVID-19 prophylaxis in immunosuppressed patients: Beyond vaccination. 免疫抑制患者的COVID-19预防:超越疫苗接种。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-01-28 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003917
Ivan Gentile, Nicola Schiano Moriello

Ivan Gentile and Nicola Schiano Moriello discuss the potential of monoclonal antibody prophylaxis against COVID-19 infection in immunocompromised patients.

Ivan Gentile和Nicola Schiano Moriello讨论了免疫功能低下患者单克隆抗体预防COVID-19感染的潜力。
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引用次数: 19
Psychiatric comorbidity and risk of premature mortality and suicide among those with chronic respiratory diseases, cardiovascular diseases, and diabetes in Sweden: A nationwide matched cohort study of over 1 million patients and their unaffected siblings. 瑞典慢性呼吸系统疾病、心血管疾病和糖尿病患者的精神共病和过早死亡和自杀风险:一项超过100万患者及其未受影响的兄弟姐妹的全国匹配队列研究
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-01-27 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003864
Amir Sariaslan, Michael Sharpe, Henrik Larsson, Achim Wolf, Paul Lichtenstein, Seena Fazel

Background: Persons with noncommunicable diseases have elevated rates of premature mortality. The contribution of psychiatric comorbidity to this is uncertain. We aimed to determine the risks of premature mortality and suicide in people with common noncommunicable diseases, with and without psychiatric disorder comorbidity.

Methods and findings: We used nationwide registries to study all individuals born in Sweden between 1932 and 1995 with inpatient and outpatient diagnoses of chronic respiratory diseases (n = 249,825), cardiovascular diseases (n = 568,818), and diabetes (n = 255,579) for risks of premature mortality (≤age 65 years) and suicide until 31 December 2013. Patients diagnosed with either chronic respiratory diseases, cardiovascular diseases, or diabetes were compared with age and sex-matched population controls (n = 10,345,758) and unaffected biological full siblings (n = 1,119,543). Comorbidity with any psychiatric disorder, and by major psychiatric categories, was examined using diagnoses from patient registers. Associations were quantified using stratified Cox regression models that accounted for time at risk, measured sociodemographic factors, and unmeasured familial confounders via sibling comparisons. Within 5 years of diagnosis, at least 7% (range 7.4% to 10.8%; P < 0.001) of patients with respiratory diseases, cardiovascular diseases, or diabetes (median age at diagnosis: 48 to 54 years) had died from any cause, and 0.3% (0.3% to 0.3%; P < 0.001) had died from suicide, 25% to 32% of people with these medical conditions had co-occurring lifetime diagnoses of any psychiatric disorder, most of which antedated the medical diagnosis. Comorbid psychiatric disorders were associated with higher all-cause mortality (15.4% to 21.1%) when compared to those without such conditions (5.5% to 9.1%). Suicide mortality was also elevated (1.2% to 1.6% in comorbid patients versus 0.1% to 0.1% without comorbidity). When we compared relative risks with siblings without noncommunicable diseases and psychiatric disorders, the comorbidity with any psychiatric disorder was associated with substantially increased mortality rates (adjusted HR range: aHRCR = 7.2 [95% CI: 6.8 to 7.7; P < 0.001] to aHRCV = 8.9 [95% CI: 8.5 to 9.4; P < 0.001]). Notably, comorbid substance use disorders were associated with a higher mortality rate (aHR range: aHRCR = 8.3 [95% CI: 7.6 to 9.1; P < 0.001] to aHRCV = 9.9 [95% CI: 9.3 to 10.6; P < 0.001]) than depression (aHR range: aHRCR = 5.3 [95% CI: 4.7 to 5.9; P < 0.001] to aHRCV = 7.4 [95% CI: 7.0 to 7.9; P < 0.001]), but risks of suicide were similar for these 2 psychiatric comorbidities. One limitation is that we relied on secondary care data to assess psychiatric comorbidities, which may have led to missing some patients with less severe comorbidities. Residual genetic confounding is another limitation, given that biological full siblings share an average of half of their cosegr

背景:非传染性疾病患者的过早死亡率较高。精神合并症在其中的作用尚不确定。我们的目的是确定有或没有精神疾病合并症的常见非传染性疾病患者过早死亡和自杀的风险。方法和研究结果:我们使用全国登记系统研究1932年至1995年间出生在瑞典的所有患者,这些患者住院和门诊诊断为慢性呼吸系统疾病(n = 249,825)、心血管疾病(n = 568,818)和糖尿病(n = 255,579),直至2013年12月31日,其过早死亡(≤65岁)和自杀风险。诊断为慢性呼吸系统疾病、心血管疾病或糖尿病的患者与年龄和性别匹配的人群对照(n = 10,345,758)和未受影响的全兄妹(n = 1,119,543)进行比较。与任何精神疾病的共病,并按主要精神病学类别,使用患者登记的诊断进行检查。使用分层Cox回归模型对关联进行量化,该模型考虑了风险时间、测量的社会人口因素和通过兄弟姐妹比较未测量的家族混杂因素。诊断后5年内,至少7%(范围7.4%至10.8%;P < 0.001)的呼吸系统疾病、心血管疾病或糖尿病患者(诊断时的中位年龄:48至54岁)死于任何原因,0.3%(0.3%至0.3%;P < 0.001)死于自杀,25%到32%患有这些疾病的人一生中同时诊断出任何精神障碍,其中大多数在医学诊断之前。与无此类疾病的患者(5.5%至9.1%)相比,共病性精神疾病的全因死亡率更高(15.4%至21.1%)。自杀死亡率也升高(合并症患者为1.2% - 1.6%,无合并症患者为0.1% - 0.1%)。当我们比较没有非传染性疾病和精神疾病的兄弟姐妹的相对风险时,任何精神疾病的共病与死亡率显著增加相关(调整HR范围:aHRCR = 7.2 [95% CI: 6.8 ~ 7.7;P < 0.001]至aHRCV = 8.9 [95% CI: 8.5 ~ 9.4;P < 0.001])。值得注意的是,共病性物质使用障碍与较高的死亡率相关(aHR范围:aHRCR = 8.3 [95% CI: 7.6至9.1;P < 0.001]至aHRCV = 9.9 [95% CI: 9.3 ~ 10.6;P < 0.001])比抑郁症(aHRCR范围:aHRCR = 5.3 [95% CI: 4.7 ~ 5.9;P < 0.001] ~ aHRCV = 7.4 [95% CI: 7.0 ~ 7.9;P < 0.001]),但这两种精神合并症的自杀风险相似。一个限制是我们依赖二级保健数据来评估精神合并症,这可能会导致遗漏一些合并症不太严重的患者。残留的遗传混淆是另一个限制,因为在生物学上完全相同的兄弟姐妹平均共享一半的同种族基因。然而,即使在对共同的和未测量的家族混杂因素进行调整后,报告的关联仍然很大。结论:在这项超过100万慢性健康疾病患者的纵向研究中,我们观察到患有精神合并症的个体的全因死亡率和自杀死亡率增加。改善对合并精神疾病患者的评估、治疗和随访可降低慢性非传染性疾病患者的死亡风险。
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引用次数: 5
The relationship between lipoprotein A and other lipids with prostate cancer risk: A multivariable Mendelian randomisation study. 脂蛋白 A 和其他血脂与前列腺癌风险的关系:一项多变量孟德尔随机研究。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-01-27 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003859
Anna Ioannidou, Eleanor L Watts, Aurora Perez-Cornago, Elizabeth A Platz, Ian G Mills, Timothy J Key, Ruth C Travis, Konstantinos K Tsilidis, Verena Zuber

Background: Numerous epidemiological studies have investigated the role of blood lipids in prostate cancer (PCa) risk, though findings remain inconclusive to date. The ongoing research has mainly involved observational studies, which are often prone to confounding. This study aimed to identify the relationship between genetically predicted blood lipid concentrations and PCa.

Methods and findings: Data for low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, triglycerides (TG), apolipoprotein A (apoA) and B (apoB), lipoprotein A (Lp(a)), and PCa were acquired from genome-wide association studies in UK Biobank and the PRACTICAL consortium, respectively. We used a two-sample summary-level Mendelian randomisation (MR) approach with both univariable and multivariable (MVMR) models and utilised a variety of robust methods and sensitivity analyses to assess the possibility of MR assumptions violation. No association was observed between genetically predicted concentrations of HDL, TG, apoA and apoB, and PCa risk. Genetically predicted LDL concentration was positively associated with total PCa in the univariable analysis, but adjustment for HDL, TG, and Lp(a) led to a null association. Genetically predicted concentration of Lp(a) was associated with higher total PCa risk in the univariable (ORweighted median per standard deviation (SD) = 1.091; 95% CI 1.028 to 1.157; P = 0.004) and MVMR analyses after adjustment for the other lipid traits (ORIVW per SD = 1.068; 95% CI 1.005 to 1.134; P = 0.034). Genetically predicted Lp(a) was also associated with advanced (MVMR ORIVW per SD = 1.078; 95% CI 0.999 to 1.163; P = 0.055) and early age onset PCa (MVMR ORIVW per SD = 1.150; 95% CI 1.015,1.303; P = 0.028). Although multiple estimation methods were utilised to minimise the effect of pleiotropy, the presence of any unmeasured pleiotropy cannot be excluded and may limit our findings.

Conclusions: We observed that genetically predicted Lp(a) concentrations were associated with an increased PCa risk. Future studies are required to understand the underlying biological pathways of this finding, as it may inform PCa prevention through Lp(a)-lowering strategies.

背景:许多流行病学研究都对血脂在前列腺癌(PCa)风险中的作用进行了调查,但至今仍无定论。正在进行的研究主要涉及观察性研究,而观察性研究往往容易受到混杂因素的影响。本研究旨在确定遗传预测血脂浓度与 PCa 之间的关系:低密度脂蛋白(LDL)胆固醇、高密度脂蛋白(HDL)胆固醇、甘油三酯(TG)、载脂蛋白A(apoA)和B(apoB)、脂蛋白A(Lp(a))和PCa的数据分别来自英国生物库和PRACTICAL联盟的全基因组关联研究。我们采用了双样本汇总级孟德尔随机化(MR)方法,同时使用单变量和多变量(MVMR)模型,并利用各种稳健方法和敏感性分析来评估违反 MR 假设的可能性。在高密度脂蛋白、总胆固醇、载脂蛋白A和载脂蛋白B的基因预测浓度与PCa风险之间未发现任何关联。在单变量分析中,基因预测的低密度脂蛋白浓度与总的 PCa 呈正相关,但对高密度脂蛋白、总胆固醇和脂蛋白(a)进行调整后发现两者之间的关系为空。在单变量分析(每标准差(SD)加权中位数 OR = 1.091;95% CI 1.028 至 1.157;P = 0.004)和 MVMR 分析(每标准差 ORIVW = 1.068;95% CI 1.005 至 1.134;P = 0.034)中,遗传预测的 Lp(a) 浓度与较高的 PCa 总风险相关。遗传预测的脂蛋白(a)也与晚期(MVMR ORIVW per SD = 1.078; 95% CI 0.999 to 1.163; P = 0.055)和早发 PCa(MVMR ORIVW per SD = 1.150; 95% CI 1.015,1.303; P = 0.028)相关。尽管我们采用了多种估计方法来尽量减少多效应的影响,但仍不能排除任何未测量的多效应的存在,这可能会限制我们的研究结果:我们观察到,基因预测的脂蛋白(a)浓度与 PCa 风险增加有关。未来的研究需要了解这一发现的潜在生物学途径,因为这可能为通过降低脂蛋白(a)策略预防 PCa 提供依据。
{"title":"The relationship between lipoprotein A and other lipids with prostate cancer risk: A multivariable Mendelian randomisation study.","authors":"Anna Ioannidou, Eleanor L Watts, Aurora Perez-Cornago, Elizabeth A Platz, Ian G Mills, Timothy J Key, Ruth C Travis, Konstantinos K Tsilidis, Verena Zuber","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1003859","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1003859","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Numerous epidemiological studies have investigated the role of blood lipids in prostate cancer (PCa) risk, though findings remain inconclusive to date. The ongoing research has mainly involved observational studies, which are often prone to confounding. This study aimed to identify the relationship between genetically predicted blood lipid concentrations and PCa.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Data for low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, triglycerides (TG), apolipoprotein A (apoA) and B (apoB), lipoprotein A (Lp(a)), and PCa were acquired from genome-wide association studies in UK Biobank and the PRACTICAL consortium, respectively. We used a two-sample summary-level Mendelian randomisation (MR) approach with both univariable and multivariable (MVMR) models and utilised a variety of robust methods and sensitivity analyses to assess the possibility of MR assumptions violation. No association was observed between genetically predicted concentrations of HDL, TG, apoA and apoB, and PCa risk. Genetically predicted LDL concentration was positively associated with total PCa in the univariable analysis, but adjustment for HDL, TG, and Lp(a) led to a null association. Genetically predicted concentration of Lp(a) was associated with higher total PCa risk in the univariable (ORweighted median per standard deviation (SD) = 1.091; 95% CI 1.028 to 1.157; P = 0.004) and MVMR analyses after adjustment for the other lipid traits (ORIVW per SD = 1.068; 95% CI 1.005 to 1.134; P = 0.034). Genetically predicted Lp(a) was also associated with advanced (MVMR ORIVW per SD = 1.078; 95% CI 0.999 to 1.163; P = 0.055) and early age onset PCa (MVMR ORIVW per SD = 1.150; 95% CI 1.015,1.303; P = 0.028). Although multiple estimation methods were utilised to minimise the effect of pleiotropy, the presence of any unmeasured pleiotropy cannot be excluded and may limit our findings.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We observed that genetically predicted Lp(a) concentrations were associated with an increased PCa risk. Future studies are required to understand the underlying biological pathways of this finding, as it may inform PCa prevention through Lp(a)-lowering strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":20368,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2022-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8794090/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39740994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Population sizes, HIV prevalence, and HIV prevention among men who paid for sex in sub-Saharan Africa (2000-2020): A meta-analysis of 87 population-based surveys. 撒哈拉以南非洲地区(2000-2020年)嫖娼男性的人口规模、艾滋病毒流行率和艾滋病毒预防:一项基于87项人口调查的荟萃分析。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-01-25 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003861
Caroline Hodgins, James Stannah, Salome Kuchukhidze, Lycias Zembe, Jeffrey W Eaton, Marie-Claude Boily, Mathieu Maheu-Giroux

Background: Key populations, including sex workers, are at high risk of HIV acquisition and transmission. Men who pay for sex can contribute to HIV transmission through sexual relationships with both sex workers and their other partners. To characterize the population of men who pay for sex in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), we analyzed population size, HIV prevalence, and use of HIV prevention and treatment.

Methods and findings: We performed random-effects meta-analyses of population-based surveys conducted in SSA from 2000 to 2020 with information on paid sex by men. We extracted population size, lifetime number of sexual partners, condom use, HIV prevalence, HIV testing, antiretroviral (ARV) use, and viral load suppression (VLS) among sexually active men. We pooled by regions and time periods, and assessed time trends using meta-regressions. We included 87 surveys, totaling over 368,000 male respondents (15-54 years old), from 35 countries representing 95% of men in SSA. Eight percent (95% CI 6%-10%; number of surveys [Ns] = 87) of sexually active men reported ever paying for sex. Condom use at last paid sex increased over time and was 68% (95% CI 64%-71%; Ns = 61) in surveys conducted from 2010 onwards. Men who paid for sex had higher HIV prevalence (prevalence ratio [PR] = 1.50; 95% CI 1.31-1.72; Ns = 52) and were more likely to have ever tested for HIV (PR = 1.14; 95% CI 1.06-1.24; Ns = 81) than men who had not paid for sex. Men living with HIV who paid for sex had similar levels of lifetime HIV testing (PR = 0.96; 95% CI 0.88-1.05; Ns = 18), ARV use (PR = 1.01; 95% CI 0.86-1.18; Ns = 8), and VLS (PR = 1.00; 95% CI 0.86-1.17; Ns = 9) as those living with HIV who did not pay for sex. Study limitations include a reliance on self-report of sensitive behaviors and the small number of surveys with information on ARV use and VLS.

Conclusions: Paying for sex is prevalent, and men who ever paid for sex were 50% more likely to be living with HIV compared to other men in these 35 countries. Further prevention efforts are needed for this vulnerable population, including improved access to HIV testing and condom use initiatives. Men who pay for sex should be recognized as a priority population for HIV prevention.

背景:包括性工作者在内的重点人群是艾滋病毒感染和传播的高危人群。付钱进行性行为的男性可能通过与性工作者及其其他伴侣发生性关系而导致艾滋病毒传播。为了描述撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)男性性交易人群的特征,我们分析了人口规模、艾滋病毒流行情况以及艾滋病毒预防和治疗的使用情况。方法和发现:我们对2000年至2020年在SSA进行的基于人口的调查进行了随机效应荟萃分析,其中包含了男性有偿性行为的信息。我们提取了性活跃男性的人口规模、终生性伴侣数量、安全套使用情况、HIV患病率、HIV检测、抗逆转录病毒(ARV)使用和病毒载量抑制(VLS)情况。我们按地区和时间段进行汇总,并使用元回归评估时间趋势。我们纳入了87项调查,总共超过36.8万名男性受访者(15-54岁),来自35个国家,占SSA男性的95%。8% (95% CI 6%-10%;性活跃男性的调查数量[n] = 87)报告曾为性行为买单。最后一次有偿性行为中避孕套的使用随着时间的推移而增加,达到68%(95%可信区间64%-71%;Ns = 61)。支付性费用的男性艾滋病毒感染率较高(患病率[PR] = 1.50;95% ci 1.31-1.72;Ns = 52),并且更有可能接受过艾滋病毒检测(PR = 1.14;95% ci 1.06-1.24;n = 81)比没有买春的男性要多。花钱进行性行为的男性艾滋病毒感染者终生艾滋病毒检测水平相似(PR = 0.96;95% ci 0.88-1.05;Ns = 18), ARV使用(PR = 1.01;95% ci 0.86-1.18;Ns = 8), VLS (PR = 1.00;95% ci 0.86-1.17;n = 9)与那些没有支付性交易费用的艾滋病毒感染者的比例相同。研究的局限性包括依赖于敏感行为的自我报告,以及对ARV使用和VLS信息的少量调查。结论:性交易很普遍,在这35个国家中,有过性交易的男性感染艾滋病毒的可能性比其他男性高50%。需要为这一弱势群体作出进一步的预防努力,包括改善获得艾滋病毒检测和安全套使用倡议。应将支付性费用的男性视为预防艾滋病毒的优先人群。
{"title":"Population sizes, HIV prevalence, and HIV prevention among men who paid for sex in sub-Saharan Africa (2000-2020): A meta-analysis of 87 population-based surveys.","authors":"Caroline Hodgins,&nbsp;James Stannah,&nbsp;Salome Kuchukhidze,&nbsp;Lycias Zembe,&nbsp;Jeffrey W Eaton,&nbsp;Marie-Claude Boily,&nbsp;Mathieu Maheu-Giroux","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1003861","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003861","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Key populations, including sex workers, are at high risk of HIV acquisition and transmission. Men who pay for sex can contribute to HIV transmission through sexual relationships with both sex workers and their other partners. To characterize the population of men who pay for sex in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), we analyzed population size, HIV prevalence, and use of HIV prevention and treatment.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We performed random-effects meta-analyses of population-based surveys conducted in SSA from 2000 to 2020 with information on paid sex by men. We extracted population size, lifetime number of sexual partners, condom use, HIV prevalence, HIV testing, antiretroviral (ARV) use, and viral load suppression (VLS) among sexually active men. We pooled by regions and time periods, and assessed time trends using meta-regressions. We included 87 surveys, totaling over 368,000 male respondents (15-54 years old), from 35 countries representing 95% of men in SSA. Eight percent (95% CI 6%-10%; number of surveys [Ns] = 87) of sexually active men reported ever paying for sex. Condom use at last paid sex increased over time and was 68% (95% CI 64%-71%; Ns = 61) in surveys conducted from 2010 onwards. Men who paid for sex had higher HIV prevalence (prevalence ratio [PR] = 1.50; 95% CI 1.31-1.72; Ns = 52) and were more likely to have ever tested for HIV (PR = 1.14; 95% CI 1.06-1.24; Ns = 81) than men who had not paid for sex. Men living with HIV who paid for sex had similar levels of lifetime HIV testing (PR = 0.96; 95% CI 0.88-1.05; Ns = 18), ARV use (PR = 1.01; 95% CI 0.86-1.18; Ns = 8), and VLS (PR = 1.00; 95% CI 0.86-1.17; Ns = 9) as those living with HIV who did not pay for sex. Study limitations include a reliance on self-report of sensitive behaviors and the small number of surveys with information on ARV use and VLS.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Paying for sex is prevalent, and men who ever paid for sex were 50% more likely to be living with HIV compared to other men in these 35 countries. Further prevention efforts are needed for this vulnerable population, including improved access to HIV testing and condom use initiatives. Men who pay for sex should be recognized as a priority population for HIV prevention.</p>","PeriodicalId":20368,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2022-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8789156/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39859441","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Pandemic health consequences: Grasping the long COVID tail. 大流行病的健康后果:抓住 COVID 的长尾巴。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-01-25 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003891
Kieran L Quinn, Chaim M Bell
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引用次数: 0
Ruling out pulmonary embolism across different healthcare settings: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis. 在不同的医疗环境中排除肺栓塞:一项系统综述和个体患者数据荟萃分析。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-01-25 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003905
Geert-Jan Geersing, Toshihiko Takada, Frederikus A Klok, Harry R Büller, D Mark Courtney, Yonathan Freund, Javier Galipienzo, Gregoire Le Gal, Waleed Ghanima, Jeffrey A Kline, Menno V Huisman, Karel G M Moons, Arnaud Perrier, Sameer Parpia, Helia Robert-Ebadi, Marc Righini, Pierre-Marie Roy, Maarten van Smeden, Milou A M Stals, Philip S Wells, Kerstin de Wit, Noémie Kraaijpoel, Nick van Es

Background: The challenging clinical dilemma of detecting pulmonary embolism (PE) in suspected patients is encountered in a variety of healthcare settings. We hypothesized that the optimal diagnostic approach to detect these patients in terms of safety and efficiency depends on underlying PE prevalence, case mix, and physician experience, overall reflected by the type of setting where patients are initially assessed. The objective of this study was to assess the capability of ruling out PE by available diagnostic strategies across all possible settings.

Methods and findings: We performed a literature search (MEDLINE) followed by an individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis (MA; 23 studies), including patients from self-referral emergency care (n = 12,612), primary healthcare clinics (n = 3,174), referred secondary care (n = 17,052), and hospitalized or nursing home patients (n = 2,410). Multilevel logistic regression was performed to evaluate diagnostic performance of the Wells and revised Geneva rules, both using fixed and adapted D-dimer thresholds to age or pretest probability (PTP), for the YEARS algorithm and for the Pulmonary Embolism Rule-out Criteria (PERC). All strategies were tested separately in each healthcare setting. Following studies done in this field, the primary diagnostic metrices estimated from the models were the "failure rate" of each strategy-i.e., the proportion of missed PE among patients categorized as "PE excluded" and "efficiency"-defined as the proportion of patients categorized as "PE excluded" among all patients. In self-referral emergency care, the PERC algorithm excludes PE in 21% of suspected patients at a failure rate of 1.12% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74 to 1.70), whereas this increases to 6.01% (4.09 to 8.75) in referred patients to secondary care at an efficiency of 10%. In patients from primary healthcare and those referred to secondary care, strategies adjusting D-dimer to PTP are the most efficient (range: 43% to 62%) at a failure rate ranging between 0.25% and 3.06%, with higher failure rates observed in patients referred to secondary care. For this latter setting, strategies adjusting D-dimer to age are associated with a lower failure rate ranging between 0.65% and 0.81%, yet are also less efficient (range: 33% and 35%). For all strategies, failure rates are highest in hospitalized or nursing home patients, ranging between 1.68% and 5.13%, at an efficiency ranging between 15% and 30%. The main limitation of the primary analyses was that the diagnostic performance of each strategy was compared in different sets of studies since the availability of items used in each diagnostic strategy differed across included studies; however, sensitivity analyses suggested that the findings were robust.

Conclusions: The capability of safely and efficiently ruling out PE of available diagnostic strategies differs for different healthcare settings.

背景:在各种医疗保健机构中,检测疑似患者的肺栓塞(PE)是具有挑战性的临床困境。我们假设,检测这些患者的最佳诊断方法在安全性和有效性方面取决于潜在的PE患病率、病例组合和医生经验,总体上反映在患者最初评估的环境类型上。本研究的目的是评估在所有可能的情况下,通过可用的诊断策略排除PE的能力。方法和发现:我们进行了文献检索(MEDLINE),然后进行了个体患者数据(IPD)荟萃分析(MA;23项研究),包括来自自我转诊急诊护理(n = 12,612)、初级保健诊所(n = 3,174)、转诊二级护理(n = 17,052)和住院或疗养院患者(n = 2,410)的患者。采用多水平逻辑回归来评估Wells和修订的Geneva规则的诊断性能,使用固定和调整的d -二聚体阈值来确定年龄或预测概率(PTP),用于YEARS算法和肺栓塞排除标准(PERC)。在每个医疗保健环境中分别测试了所有策略。在该领域的后续研究中,从模型中估计的主要诊断指标是每种策略的“失败率”,即:为“排除PE”和“效率”患者中未见PE的比例,定义为“排除PE”患者占所有患者的比例。在自我转诊的急诊护理中,PERC算法排除了21%的疑似患者的PE,失败率为1.12%(95%可信区间[CI] 0.74至1.70),而转诊至二级护理的患者的PE失败率增加到6.01%(4.09至8.75),效率为10%。在初级医疗保健和二级医疗保健的患者中,将d -二聚体调整为PTP的策略最有效(范围:43%至62%),失败率在0.25%至3.06%之间,二级医疗保健患者的失败率更高。对于后一种情况,根据年龄调整d -二聚体的策略失败率较低,范围在0.65%至0.81%之间,但效率也较低(范围:33%至35%)。在所有策略中,住院或疗养院患者的失败率最高,在1.68%至5.13%之间,效率在15%至30%之间。主要分析的主要局限性是,由于每种诊断策略中使用的项目的可用性在纳入的研究中有所不同,因此每种策略的诊断性能在不同的研究中进行了比较;然而,敏感性分析表明,研究结果是稳健的。结论:在不同的医疗环境中,安全有效地排除PE的诊断策略是不同的。本IPD MA的发现有助于确定排除PE的最佳诊断策略,平衡每种策略的失败率和效率之间的权衡。
{"title":"Ruling out pulmonary embolism across different healthcare settings: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis.","authors":"Geert-Jan Geersing,&nbsp;Toshihiko Takada,&nbsp;Frederikus A Klok,&nbsp;Harry R Büller,&nbsp;D Mark Courtney,&nbsp;Yonathan Freund,&nbsp;Javier Galipienzo,&nbsp;Gregoire Le Gal,&nbsp;Waleed Ghanima,&nbsp;Jeffrey A Kline,&nbsp;Menno V Huisman,&nbsp;Karel G M Moons,&nbsp;Arnaud Perrier,&nbsp;Sameer Parpia,&nbsp;Helia Robert-Ebadi,&nbsp;Marc Righini,&nbsp;Pierre-Marie Roy,&nbsp;Maarten van Smeden,&nbsp;Milou A M Stals,&nbsp;Philip S Wells,&nbsp;Kerstin de Wit,&nbsp;Noémie Kraaijpoel,&nbsp;Nick van Es","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1003905","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003905","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The challenging clinical dilemma of detecting pulmonary embolism (PE) in suspected patients is encountered in a variety of healthcare settings. We hypothesized that the optimal diagnostic approach to detect these patients in terms of safety and efficiency depends on underlying PE prevalence, case mix, and physician experience, overall reflected by the type of setting where patients are initially assessed. The objective of this study was to assess the capability of ruling out PE by available diagnostic strategies across all possible settings.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We performed a literature search (MEDLINE) followed by an individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis (MA; 23 studies), including patients from self-referral emergency care (n = 12,612), primary healthcare clinics (n = 3,174), referred secondary care (n = 17,052), and hospitalized or nursing home patients (n = 2,410). Multilevel logistic regression was performed to evaluate diagnostic performance of the Wells and revised Geneva rules, both using fixed and adapted D-dimer thresholds to age or pretest probability (PTP), for the YEARS algorithm and for the Pulmonary Embolism Rule-out Criteria (PERC). All strategies were tested separately in each healthcare setting. Following studies done in this field, the primary diagnostic metrices estimated from the models were the \"failure rate\" of each strategy-i.e., the proportion of missed PE among patients categorized as \"PE excluded\" and \"efficiency\"-defined as the proportion of patients categorized as \"PE excluded\" among all patients. In self-referral emergency care, the PERC algorithm excludes PE in 21% of suspected patients at a failure rate of 1.12% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74 to 1.70), whereas this increases to 6.01% (4.09 to 8.75) in referred patients to secondary care at an efficiency of 10%. In patients from primary healthcare and those referred to secondary care, strategies adjusting D-dimer to PTP are the most efficient (range: 43% to 62%) at a failure rate ranging between 0.25% and 3.06%, with higher failure rates observed in patients referred to secondary care. For this latter setting, strategies adjusting D-dimer to age are associated with a lower failure rate ranging between 0.65% and 0.81%, yet are also less efficient (range: 33% and 35%). For all strategies, failure rates are highest in hospitalized or nursing home patients, ranging between 1.68% and 5.13%, at an efficiency ranging between 15% and 30%. The main limitation of the primary analyses was that the diagnostic performance of each strategy was compared in different sets of studies since the availability of items used in each diagnostic strategy differed across included studies; however, sensitivity analyses suggested that the findings were robust.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The capability of safely and efficiently ruling out PE of available diagnostic strategies differs for different healthcare settings. ","PeriodicalId":20368,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2022-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8824365/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39857621","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 14
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PLoS Medicine
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