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'Normalized' Risk-Free Rate: Fiction or Science Fiction? “常态化”无风险利率:虚构还是科幻?
Pub Date : 2020-10-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3708863
Pablo Fernández
As interest rates on Government Bonds have decreased, some analysts and consultants in Europe and in the US are using what they call “Normalized Risk-Free rate”. We show several inconsistencies and errors in the use of “Normalized Risk-Free rate”. Section 5 is a short case that may be used in class. It contains 26 interesting comments.
随着政府债券利率的下降,欧洲和美国的一些分析师和顾问正在使用他们所谓的“正常化无风险利率”。我们在“标准化无风险利率”的使用中显示了一些不一致和错误。第5部分是一个可能在课堂上使用的简短案例。它包含26条有趣的评论。
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引用次数: 3
Summit Partners and RoboSoft, LLC: Mezzanine Debt Investment Summit Partners和RoboSoft:夹层债务投资
Pub Date : 2020-09-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3698993
Susan J. Chaplinsky, Alexander D. Whittemore
In February 2013, John Carroll and Alexander Whittemore, both managing directors at Summit Partners (Summit), are considering an investment in RoboSoft, LLC (RoboSoft), a provider of data-center automation, business intelligence, and security software solutions, primarily for the IBM i operating system. Summit had previously invested in RoboSoft, and did well when it exited the company in 2007. Over the ensuing years, Summit had followed RoboSoft and was considering a second investment in the company when it was put up for sale again in late 2012. This time, Summit planned to invest $103.6 million from its growth equity fund and $43.9 million from its subordinated debt fund to buy out the company. This case is designed to introduce students to mezzanine investments. Because the deal involves both an equity and a subordinated debt investment, students can compare the investment considerations and return expectations of both types of investors. The case contains the actual deal team's investment memorandum summarizing the merits of the RoboSoft investment. The students are asked to qualitatively evaluate the potential benefits and risks of the investment from the perspective of a debt investor and an equity investor, and to quantitatively calculate the internal rate of returns (IRRs) and cash-on-cash returns (CoCs) of Summit's equity and subordinated debt fund investments. This case is appropriate for classes that survey private equity investments, or for corporate financing classes that wish to compare the risk and return of equity and debt investments. It is assumed that students have taken valuation courses and understand residual equity cash flow valuation methods. There are Excel files—one for students, one for instructors—to support analysis of this case. Excerpt UVA-F-1845 Rev. Apr. 16, 2020 Summit Partners and RoboSoft, LLC: Mezzanine Debt Investment In late February 2013, John Carroll and Alexander Whittemore, both managing directors of Summit Partners (Summit), were finishing a memorandum to the investment committee (IC) summarizing the merits of an investment in RoboSoft, LLC (RoboSoft) (Exhibit 1). The company was a provider of data-center automation, business intelligence, and security software solutions, primarily for the IBM i operating system (IBM i). As they discussed the situation, Carroll and Whittemore were reminded just how old this technology was. The precursor of the IBM i, the System 34/36/38, was developed in the 1970s, followed by the AS/400 in 1988—all before the internet, PCs, and cell phones became common household items. Although IBM continued to update the series, new operating systems had entered the market (e.g., Unix, Linux, and Windows) and began to erode its market position. The same issue had been a concern when Summit originally invested in RoboSoft in 2005. That investment, however, had worked out well and generated a 5x times; return for Summit's growth equity fund when the business was sold to
2013年2月,Summit Partners的两位董事总经理约翰•卡罗尔(John Carroll)和亚历山大•惠特莫尔(Alexander Whittemore)正在考虑投资RoboSoft, LLC (RoboSoft),这是一家主要为IBM i操作系统提供数据中心自动化、商业智能和安全软件解决方案的公司。Summit此前曾投资RoboSoft,并在2007年退出该公司时表现良好。在随后的几年里,Summit一直在关注RoboSoft,并在2012年底该公司再次挂牌出售时考虑对其进行第二次投资。这一次,Summit计划从其成长型股票基金中投资1.036亿美元,从次级债务基金中投资4,390万美元,以收购该公司。本案例旨在向学生介绍夹层投资。由于这笔交易既涉及股权投资,也涉及次级债投资,学生们可以比较这两种投资者的投资考虑和回报预期。案例中包含了实际交易团队的投资备忘录,总结了RoboSoft投资的优点。要求学生从债务投资者和股权投资者的角度定性评价投资的潜在收益和风险,并定量计算顶峰集团股权和次级债务基金投资的内部收益率(IRRs)和现金对现金收益率(CoCs)。这种情况适用于调查私人股本投资的课程,或希望比较股权和债务投资的风险和回报的公司融资课程。假设学生已经修过估值课程,了解剩余权益现金流量估值方法。有Excel文件——一个给学生,一个给老师——来支持对这个案例的分析。摘自UVA-F-1845 Rev. 2020年4月16日Summit Partners和RoboSoft, LLC:2013年2月底,Summit Partners (Summit)的两位董事总经理John Carroll和Alexander Whittemore向投资委员会(IC)提交了一份备忘录,总结了投资RoboSoft, LLC (RoboSoft)的优点(见表1)。RoboSoft, LLC是一家数据中心自动化、商业智能和安全软件解决方案提供商,主要针对IBM i操作系统(IBM i)。卡罗尔和惠特莫尔被提醒,这项技术是多么古老。IBM i的前身是在20世纪70年代开发的System 34/36/38,随后是在1988年开发的AS/400——所有这些都是在互联网、个人电脑和移动电话成为普通家庭用品之前。尽管IBM继续更新该系列,但新的操作系统已经进入市场(例如,Unix、Linux和Windows),并开始侵蚀其市场地位。2005年,当Summit最初投资RoboSoft时,同样的问题也引起了人们的关注。然而,这项投资取得了不错的效果,产生了5倍的收益;2007年9月,该公司被出售给目前的所有者艾迪生合伙公司(Adison Partners)。2012年11月,Adison聘请Richmond Advisors开始出售公司的新流程。在2007年将该业务出售给艾迪生后,Summit一直保持着与该公司的关系,并对其管理团队给予了高度评价。因此,Summit在此次出售过程中再次审查了投资,并决定于2013年1月对RoboSoft进行第一轮投标。该报价使Summit通过了第一轮竞标,第二轮竞标将在几天后进行。这一次,该公司正在考虑从其次级债务基金中获得4,390万美元的潜在投资,并从其成长型股票基金中获得1.036亿美元的投资。Summit在其早期投资中面临的一些同样的担忧——可能是isseries的过时和RoboSoft相对缓慢的有机增长——现在仍然存在。此外,第二次向同一家公司投资可能会受到IC的特别审查. . . .
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Non-Performa Loan and Operational Cost of Operational Income on Earning per Share Through Return On in Pt. Bank Sahabat Sampoerna 不良贷款和营业收入的运营成本对通过报酬率计算每股收益的影响
Pub Date : 2020-09-23 DOI: 10.47742/IJBSSR.V1N2P2
Dwi Ari Setyowati, Suharto S. E., Harry Indratjahyo
This study aims to: 1) To test and analyze the influence of Non-Performance Loans (NPLs) and Operating Costs Operating Income (BOPO) on Return On Equity (ROE) at PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna, 2) To test and analyze the influence of Non-Performance Loans ( NPL) and Operational Costs Operating Income (BOPO) on the Earning Per Share (EPS) of PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna, 3) To test and analyze the effect of Return On Equity (ROE) on the Earning Per Share (EPS)n of PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna, 4) To test and analyze Non-Performance Loans (NPL) ), on the Earning Per Share (EPS) through PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna's Return On Equity (ROE) variable and 5) To test and analyze the Operating Cost of Operating Income (BOPO) on the Earning Per Share (EPS)n through PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna's Return On Equity (ROE).This study uses secondary data, namely data obtained from the annual report of Bank Sahabat Sampoerna from 2015 - 2018. PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna with a research sample of 48. The sampling technique uses random sampling techniques. The data analysis method uses descriptive analysis and path analysis.The results showed that: 1) there was the influence of Non-Performance Loans (NPL) and Operational Income Operating Costs (BOPO) on Return On Equity (ROE) at PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna, 2) there wasn't an influence of Non-Performance Loans (NPL) and Operating Costs Operational (BOPO) on PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna's Earning Per Share (EPS), 3) Return on Equity (ROE) not influence on PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna's Earning Per Share, 4) No Non-Performance Loan (NPL) effect, on the Earning Per Share through the Return On Equity variable (ROE) of PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna and 5) there is no effect of Operational Income Operating Costs (BOPO) on the Earning Per Share (EPS)n through the Return on Equity (ROE) of PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna.
本研究旨在:1)测试和分析违约贷款的影响(不良贷款)和运营成本运营收入(BOPO)股本回报率(ROE) PT银行Sahabat三宝麟,2)测试和分析违约贷款的影响(不良贷款)和运营成本运营收入(BOPO)每股收益(EPS)的PT银行Sahabat三宝麟,3)测试和分析的影响股本回报率(ROE)每股收益(EPS) n PT银行Sahabat三宝麟,4)通过PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna的净资产收益率(ROE)变量测试和分析不良贷款(NPL)对每股收益(EPS)的影响。5)通过PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna的净资产收益率(ROE)测试和分析营业收入的运营成本(BOPO)对每股收益(EPS)的影响。本研究使用的二手数据,即2015 - 2018年Bank Sahabat Sampoerna年度报告数据。PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna的研究样本为48。抽样技术采用随机抽样技术。数据分析方法采用描述性分析和路径分析。结果表明:1)不良贷款(NPL)和营业收入运营成本(BOPO)对PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna的净资产收益率(ROE)有影响,2)不良贷款(NPL)和营业成本运营成本(BOPO)对PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna的每股收益(EPS)没有影响,3)净资产收益率(ROE)对PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna的每股收益没有影响,4)没有不良贷款(NPL)效应。对于PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna的净资产收益率变量(ROE)的每股收益和5)运营收入运营成本(BOPO)对PT Bank Sahabat Sampoerna通过净资产收益率(ROE)的每股收益(EPS)没有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to Statistics 统计学概论
Pub Date : 2020-09-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3692847
Nourhan Gasser
The word "statistics" was used to express the process of counting things. Statistics were used to express the enumeration of the state's resources in terms of population and resources such as counting the population with the aim of determining the value of taxes. Statistics is defined as the science concerned with the methods and methods of collecting and analyzing data.
“统计”这个词被用来表示计算事物的过程。统计是用人口和资源来表达对国家资源的枚举,例如以确定税收价值为目的统计人口。统计学被定义为研究收集和分析数据的方法和方法的科学。
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引用次数: 0
Reviewing Enron Scandal 回顾安然丑闻
Pub Date : 2020-09-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3697549
Badruldeen Mohd Ali
According to Enron cases, it was the biggest scandal ever made in the U.S. history. A company that huge finally collapses within one night. All those problems occur during the responsibilities of two biggest scams, Jeff Skilling and Andy Fastows. No one knows that these two persons are a very bad person. No one thought so until the day Enron falls to the ground.
根据安然案,这是美国历史上最大的丑闻。这么大的一家公司最终会在一夜之间倒闭。所有这些问题都发生在两个最大的骗子杰夫·斯基林和安迪·法斯托斯的职责范围内。没有人知道这两个人是非常坏的人。直到安然倒下的那一天,没人会这么想。
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引用次数: 0
Asset Price Bubbles 资产价格泡沫
Pub Date : 2020-09-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3682587
R. Bruner, Michael J. Schill
Market lore recounts a host of fabled asset price bubbles: the Dutch tulip bubble of the 1630s, the South Sea and Mississippi bubbles of 1720, the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, and the global real estate bubble of the mid-2000s. One survey reported the occurrence of some 60 bubbles since the 17th century. Despite their apparent prevalence, asset price bubbles are a challenging theoretical and empirical concept. The aims of this note are to: explore the concept of an asset price bubble; consider some tell-tale signs of a bubble from the standpoints of economic theory, empirical research, and market lore; survey evidence about the existence of bubbles; summarize theories about the causes of bubbles—especially the apparent irrationality of bubbles and the behavior of rational sophisticated investors in buying into them; and finally, highlight some of the regulatory dilemmas that bubbles present. Although the existence of the occasional asset price bubble may seem obvious to the casual observer, this note explains why bubbles are hard to identify and challenging to trade upon. Excerpt UVA-F-1919 Nov. 7, 2019 Asset Price Bubbles Market lore recounts a host of fabled asset price bubbles: the Dutch tulip bubble of the 1630s, the South Sea and Mississippi bubbles of 1720, the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, and the global real estate bubble of the mid-2000s. One survey reported the occurrence of some 60 bubbles since the 17th century. Despite their apparent prevalence, asset price bubbles are a challenging theoretical and empirical concept. The aims of this note are to: Explore the concept of an asset price bubble. Consider some tell-tale signs of a bubble from the standpoints of economic theory, empirical research, and market lore. . . .
市场传说讲述了一系列传说中的资产价格泡沫:上世纪30年代的荷兰郁金香泡沫、1720年的南海和密西西比泡沫、上世纪90年代末的互联网泡沫,以及本世纪头十年中期的全球房地产泡沫。一项调查显示,自17世纪以来,出现了大约60个泡沫。尽管资产价格泡沫明显普遍,但它是一个具有挑战性的理论和实证概念。本文的目的是:探讨资产价格泡沫的概念;从经济理论、实证研究和市场知识的角度考虑一些泡沫的迹象;关于泡沫存在的调查证据;总结有关泡沫成因的理论,特别是泡沫的明显非理性和理性老练的投资者在买入泡沫时的行为;最后,强调泡沫带来的一些监管困境。虽然偶尔存在的资产价格泡沫对不经意的观察者来说似乎是显而易见的,但本文解释了泡沫难以识别和难以交易的原因。资产价格泡沫市场传说讲述了一系列传说中的资产价格泡沫:17世纪30年代的荷兰郁金香泡沫、1720年的南海和密西西比泡沫、20世纪90年代末的互联网泡沫,以及21世纪头十年中期的全球房地产泡沫。一项调查显示,自17世纪以来,出现了大约60个泡沫。尽管资产价格泡沫明显普遍,但它是一个具有挑战性的理论和实证概念。本文的目的是:探讨资产价格泡沫的概念。从经济理论、实证研究和市场知识的角度来看一些泡沫的迹象. . . .
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Financial Performance by Considering the Effect of External Factors on Organization Cash Flow 考虑外部因素对组织现金流量影响的财务绩效评价
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.413
Hussein Jalil Mohsin, S. A. Ahmed, D. Štreimikienė
Financial performance is the measure of an organization’s productivity and effectiveness. It is used as an indicator of an organization’s ability to use available resources in generating returns and profits for its stakeholders. Determinants of financial performance include employee productivity, leadership in the organization and resource use. An organization’s financial performance defines its continuity. Stability in an organization is dependent on its financial accounting and management. In the world today, an organization’s corporate success is influenced by factors that are often out of its control. The external environment of an organization entails a variety of factors whose existence influences its performance and behaviors. The action of these factors directly or indirectly affects organizations. Organizations have to conform to these external factors for their survival. Organizations are environment-dependent and environment serving. An organization is impacted by the environment in which they operate and its success is solely dependent on its ability to adapt to its environment. Changes in external environment factors have a significant impact on the organization’s survival and success. The purpose of this research was to assess the effect of external factors on an organization’s cash flow. The aim of the study was to obtain data on these external factors and analyze them with the view of finding out their relationship with financial performance of organizations. Linear regression analysis was to find the correlation between the external factors and organization’s financial performance.
财务绩效是衡量一个组织的生产力和有效性的标准。它被用作组织利用可用资源为其利益相关者创造回报和利润的能力的指标。财务绩效的决定因素包括员工生产力、组织领导力和资源利用。一个组织的财务绩效决定了它的连续性。一个组织的稳定性取决于它的财务会计和管理。在当今世界,一个组织的企业成功往往受到其无法控制的因素的影响。组织的外部环境包含了多种因素,这些因素的存在影响着组织的绩效和行为。这些因素的作用直接或间接地影响着组织。为了生存,组织必须遵从这些外部因素。组织是依赖环境和服务环境的。组织受其所处环境的影响,其成功完全取决于其适应环境的能力。外部环境因素的变化对组织的生存和成功有着重要的影响。本研究的目的是评估外部因素对组织现金流量的影响。本研究的目的是获取这些外部因素的数据,并分析它们,以找出它们与组织财务绩效的关系。线性回归分析是为了发现外部因素与组织财务绩效之间的相关性。
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引用次数: 5
Securities Lending Haircuts and Indemnification Pricing 证券借贷减记及赔偿定价
Pub Date : 2020-08-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3682930
W. Lou
Securities borrowing and lending are critical to proper functioning of securities markets. To alleviate securities owners’ exposure to borrower default risk, overcollateralization and indemnification are provided by the borrower and the lending agent respectively. Haircuts as the level of overcollateralization and the cost of indemnification are naturally interrelated: the higher haircut is, the lower cost shall become. This article presents a method of quantifying their relationship. Borrower dependent haircuts satisfying the lender’s credit risk appetite are computed for US Treasuries and main equities by applying a repo haircut model to bilateral securities lending transactions. Indemnification is designed to fulfill a triple-A risk appetite when the transaction haircut fails to deliver. The cost of indemnification consists of a risk charge, a capital charge, and a funding charge, each corresponding to the expected loss, the economic capital, and the redundant fund needed to arrive at the triple-A haircut.
证券借贷是证券市场正常运行的关键。为了减轻证券持有人对借款人违约风险的敞口,由借款人和贷款代理机构分别提供过度担保和赔偿。减记作为过度抵押的程度和赔偿成本自然是相互关联的:减记越高,成本就越低。本文提出了一种量化二者关系的方法。通过将回购减记模型应用于双边证券借贷交易,对美国国债和主要股票计算满足贷款人信用风险偏好的依赖于借款人的减记。赔偿的目的是在交易减值未能兑现时满足aaa级风险偏好。赔偿费用包括风险费用、资本费用和融资费用,每一项费用对应于预期损失、经济资本和达到aaa减记所需的多余资金。
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引用次数: 0
How the Publish-or-Perish Principle Divides a Science: The Case of Academic Economists “要么发表,要么灭亡”的原则如何区分一门科学:以学院派经济学家为例
Pub Date : 2020-08-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3677741
H. van Dalen
The publish-or-perish principle has become a fact of academic life in gaining a position or being promoted. Evidence is mounting that benefits of this pressure is being countered by the downsides, notably by means of scientific misconduct or forms of goal displacement by scientists. In this paper we evaluate whether perceived work pressure (publishing, acquisition funds, teaching, administration) is associated with different attitudes towards science and the workplace among economists working at Dutch universities. Based on latent class analysis one can detect a clear divide among economists. Approximately two thirds of the economists perceives that this pressure has more downsides than upsides and one third only perceives only upsides and no downsides. Work pressure does not seem to drive this divide as both classes do not differ in terms of work pressure. Whether one is an optimist or a skeptic of the publish-or-perish principle is more tied to one’s position in the hierarchy. Full professors see far more than other faculty members the positive sides of the publish-or-perish principle.
“要么发表,要么灭亡”的原则已经成为学术生活中获得职位或晋升的一个事实。越来越多的证据表明,这种压力的好处正在被负面影响所抵消,尤其是通过科学不端行为或科学家目标偏离的形式。在本文中,我们评估了在荷兰大学工作的经济学家是否感知工作压力(出版,收购资金,教学,管理)与对科学和工作场所的不同态度有关。基于潜在阶级分析,人们可以发现经济学家之间存在明显的分歧。大约三分之二的经济学家认为这种压力的负面影响大于正面影响,三分之一的人认为这种压力只有正面影响而没有负面影响。工作压力似乎并没有造成这种差异,因为这两个阶层在工作压力方面并没有什么不同。一个人对“要么发表,要么灭亡”原则持乐观态度还是持怀疑态度,更多的是与他在等级制度中的地位有关。正教授比其他教职员工更能看到“要么发表,要么灭亡”原则的积极一面。
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引用次数: 3
Working with CRSP/COMPUSTAT in R: Reproducible Empirical Asset Pricing 在R中使用CRSP/COMPUSTAT:可重复的经验资产定价
Pub Date : 2020-08-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3676675
M. Simaan
It is common to come across SAS or Stata manuals while working on academic empirical finance research. Nonetheless, given the popularity of open-source programming languages such as R, there are fewer resources in R covering popular databases such as CRSP and COMPUSTAT. The aim of this article is to bridge the gap and illustrate how to leverage R in working with both datasets. As an application, I illustrate how to form size-value portfolios with respect to Fama and French (1993) and study the sensitivity of the results with respect to different inputs. Ultimately, the purpose of the article is to advocate reproducible finance research and to contribute to the recent idea of "Open Source Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing'', proposed by Chen and Zimmermann (2020).
在从事学术实证金融研究时,经常会遇到SAS或Stata手册。尽管如此,考虑到像R这样的开源编程语言的流行,R中涵盖流行数据库(如CRSP和COMPUSTAT)的资源较少。本文的目的是弥补这一差距,并说明如何利用R来处理这两个数据集。作为一个应用,我说明了如何形成相对于Fama和French(1993)的规模价值投资组合,并研究了结果相对于不同输入的敏感性。最终,本文的目的是倡导可复制的金融研究,并为Chen和Zimmermann(2020)提出的“开源截面资产定价”(Open Source Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing)的最新理念做出贡献。
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引用次数: 1
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Finance Educator: Courses
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