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Introducing a Real Option Framework for EVA/MVA Analysis 介绍了一个用于EVA/MVA分析的实物期权框架
Pub Date : 2020-08-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3681473
Tom Arnold, T. Crack, C. Marshall, Adam Schwartz
For the first time, a framework is introduced that allows for a real options analysis to be performed in an EVA/MVA-embedded binomial tree. This framework enhances traditional EVA/MVA analysis so that it can capture the additional value generated through strategic decision making during a project’s life. The EVA calculation is separated into three parts: a variable component, a fixed component in regard to the cash flow, and a fixed component in regard to the cost of capital. A reconciliation of methods shows that the EVA/MVA framework produces the same real option valuation as an equivalent NPV-embedded binomial tree.
本文首次引入了一个框架,允许在EVA/ mva嵌入式二叉树中执行实物期权分析。这个框架增强了传统的EVA/MVA分析,以便它能够捕捉到在项目生命周期中通过战略决策产生的附加价值。EVA的计算分为三个部分:可变部分,关于现金流量的固定部分,以及关于资金成本的固定部分。对方法的调和表明,EVA/MVA框架产生与等效npv嵌入二项树相同的实物期权估值。
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引用次数: 0
The Interdisciplinarity of Economics 经济学的跨学科性
Pub Date : 2020-08-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3669335
Alexandre Truc, O. Santerre, Y. Gingras, François Claveau
Economics has the reputation to be an insular discipline with little consideration for other social sciences and humanities (SSH). New research [Angrist et al, 2020, JEL] challenges this perception of economics: the perception would be historically inaccurate and especially at odds with the recent interdisciplinarity of economics. By systematically studying citation patterns since the 1950 in thousands of journals, we offer the best established conclusions to date on this issue. Our results do show that the discipline is uniquely insular from a historical point of view. But we also document an important turn after the 1990s that drastically transformed the discipline has it became more open, very quickly, to the influence of management, environmental sciences, and to a lesser degree, a variety of SSH. While this turn made economics less uniquely insular, as of today economics remains the least outward-looking discipline with management among all SSH. Furthermore, unlike in the other major social sciences, the most influential journals in economics have not significantly contributed to the recent increase in the interdisciplinarity of the discipline. While economics is changing, it is too soon to claim that it has completed an interdisciplinary turn.
经济学被认为是一门孤立的学科,很少考虑其他社会科学和人文科学。新的研究[Angrist et al ., 2020, JEL]挑战了对经济学的这种看法:这种看法在历史上是不准确的,特别是与最近经济学的跨学科性不一致。通过系统地研究自1950年以来数千种期刊的引文模式,我们提供了迄今为止关于这一问题的最佳确定结论。我们的结果确实表明,从历史的角度来看,这门学科是独特的孤立。但我们也记录了一个重要的转折,在20世纪90年代之后,这门学科发生了巨大的变化,它变得更加开放,非常迅速,受到管理学,环境科学的影响,以及在较小程度上,各种SSH。虽然这一转变使经济学不再那么孤立,但时至今日,经济学仍然是所有学科中最不外向型的学科。此外,与其他主要社会科学不同,经济学领域最具影响力的期刊并没有对该学科跨学科性的近期增长做出显著贡献。尽管经济学正在发生变化,但现在断言它已经完成了跨学科的转变还为时过早。
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引用次数: 16
Financial Statement Analysis of Google 谷歌的财务报表分析
Pub Date : 2020-07-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3647444
A. Abdelsalam, Haitham Nobanee
Google LLC is an American multinational technology firm that began its business as a search engine company. The firm has managed to expand its revenue avenues by adding other revenue streams such as hardware production (phones) software development (Android for phones), cloud computing, and many other products. The company has a strong brand reputation that has ensured it has created a profitable business as indicated by the ratio analysis of its liquidity, profitability, and operational efficiency.
谷歌有限责任公司是一家美国跨国科技公司,最初是一家搜索引擎公司。该公司通过增加其他收入来源,如硬件生产(手机)、软件开发(手机Android)、云计算和许多其他产品,成功扩大了收入渠道。该公司拥有强大的品牌声誉,从其流动性、盈利能力和运营效率的比率分析中可以看出,这确保了它创造了一个有利可图的业务。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Statement Analysis of Puma 彪马公司财务报表分析
Pub Date : 2020-07-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3647438
A. Salam, Haitham Nobanee
In this research paper, I collected the financial data from puma annual reports and analyzed the main ratios of liquidity, efficiency, leverage, and profitability.
在这篇研究论文中,我收集了puma年报中的财务数据,分析了流动性、效率、杠杆率和盈利能力的主要比率。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Statement Analyses of Netflix Netflix的财务报表分析
Pub Date : 2020-07-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3647452
Hazim Mohamed Ahmed, Haitham Nobanee
This paper discusses and analyses Netflix’s financial performance over the past 4 years between 2016 and 2019, with the use of financial ratios. Netflix is well known to many as a major streaming platform and the company that changed traditional DVD players as the main source for movies and TV shows into the more equipped and reliable streaming services. We gather our information from yahoo finance about the performance of Netflix and look at how it has fared between 2016-19 and the points in which Netflix has excelled and the point in which they need some improvements.
本文使用财务比率来讨论和分析Netflix在2016年至2019年过去4年的财务业绩。Netflix是众所周知的主要流媒体平台,它将传统的DVD播放器作为电影和电视节目的主要来源,转变为设备更齐全、更可靠的流媒体服务。我们从雅虎财经收集了有关Netflix业绩的信息,并研究了它在2016-19年间的表现,以及Netflix在哪些方面表现出色,哪些方面需要改进。
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引用次数: 4
Financial Analysis of Amazon 亚马逊财务分析
Pub Date : 2020-07-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3647442
Mohamed Bader Al-Marzooqi, Haitham Nobanee
In this project; we will cover up many of Amazon's development. Their beginning, Jeff Bezos purpose to transition Amazon into an online business. The successful business and marketing strategy, how Amazon continues to evolve and innovate with new products and services. We will look at Amazon's financial statement and the ratio analysis, how well Amazon is performing year by year. This report will evaluate how much progress and recession Amazon made from 2016 to 2019.
在这个项目中;我们将介绍亚马逊的许多发展。一开始,杰夫·贝佐斯的目标是将亚马逊转型为一家在线企业。成功的商业和营销策略,亚马逊如何通过新产品和服务不断发展和创新。我们会看亚马逊的财务报表和比率分析,亚马逊每年的表现如何。这份报告将评估亚马逊从2016年到2019年取得了多大的进步和衰退。
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引用次数: 4
Multi-Stage Stock Pricing Techniques for the Classroom 课堂多阶段股票定价技术
Pub Date : 2020-06-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3628546
Maura Alexander, Tom Arnold, Ge Wu
A process for multi-stage stock pricing is presented with evidence of improved classroom performance. The technique is expanded upon for more advanced class presentations and for potential fintech applications by taking advantage of present value annuity and future value annuity due structures.
多阶段股票定价的过程提出了改善课堂表现的证据。该技术通过利用现值年金和未来价值年金到期结构,扩展到更高级的课堂演示和潜在的金融科技应用。
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引用次数: 1
Diversification Potential 多样化的潜在
Pub Date : 2020-06-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3622775
V. Papathanakos
In these working notes, we introduce the concept of the diversification potential, which expresses the maximum diversification premium available by rebalancing to fixed target weights for a collection of assets. We distinguish between two forms of diversification potential: the unconstrained (which allows portfolios with short positions) and the constrained (which only permits long-only portfolios).
在这些工作笔记中,我们引入了多元化潜力的概念,它表达了通过重新平衡资产集合的固定目标权重而获得的最大多元化溢价。我们区分了两种形式的多样化潜力:不受约束(允许有空头头寸的投资组合)和受约束(只允许有多头头寸的投资组合)。
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引用次数: 3
Multi-Stage Stock Pricing with a Financial Calculator 多阶段股票定价与金融计算器
Pub Date : 2020-06-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3628566
Tom Arnold, Ge Wu
Alexander, Arnold and Wu (2020) introduce an algorithm for multi-stage stock pricing that uses a present value annuity structure. This algorithm is adapted for a financial calculator by using an iterative bond pricing structure.
Alexander, Arnold和Wu(2020)引入了一种使用现值年金结构的多阶段股票定价算法。该算法采用迭代债券定价结构,适用于金融计算器。
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引用次数: 0
Development of the Model for the Creditworthiness Analysis in Russian Metallurgy 俄罗斯冶金企业信用分析模型的建立
Pub Date : 2020-05-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3614190
Dmitry Doroshevskiy, E. Markovskaya
To minimize credit risks, banks must first analyze the financial condition of a potential borrower and evaluate their creditworthiness. The technique used for this purposes should be comprehensive, accurate and reliable. However, criticism of existing approaches to assessing creditworthiness is often associated with their lack of flexibility and absence of industry-specific approach.

The metallurgical industry is very important for the Russian economy. Many organizations operating in related industries consume the metallurgical production, and the products themselves have a significant share in national exports. Russian metallurgical organizations are leaders not only in the domestic, but also in the global market.

The concepts of credit risk, insolvency and creditworthiness were studied. The milestones of assessing the creditworthiness of organizations were considered, the evolution of approaches to valuation was presented during the second half of the last century and to the present moment. A brief overview of existing banking practices is provided.

The financial performance of Russian metallurgic enterprises were analyzed. Particular attention is paid to the review of industry leaders as examples of the most sustainable organizations. Based on the reporting data, the characteristics of financial indicators and capital structure inherent in the industry were identified.

The process of creating the methodology for assessing creditworthiness, which would take into account the characteristics of metallurgical organizations, is presented. A compilation of financial ratios for analysis was selected, the probability of bankruptcy was estimated for each company in the sample. Based on panel data on 35 companies for 2014-2018, through using a logistic regression, a scoring model was built to assess the creditworthiness of metallurgical organizations.
The result of the work was an express methodology that allows to assess the creditworthiness of a metallurgical organization quickly and transparently, and at the same time, with sufficient accuracy, taking into account industry specifics.

为了将信用风险降至最低,银行必须首先分析潜在借款人的财务状况并评估其信誉。为此目的所使用的技术应该是全面、准确和可靠的。然而,对评估信誉的现有方法的批评往往与这些方法缺乏灵活性和缺乏针对具体行业的方法有关。冶金工业对俄罗斯经济非常重要。许多相关行业的组织消费了冶金产品,其产品本身在全国出口中占有很大份额。俄罗斯冶金组织不仅在国内,而且在全球市场上都处于领先地位。研究了信用风险、资不抵债和信誉的概念。会议审议了评估各组织信誉的里程碑,介绍了上个世纪下半叶和至今评估方法的演变。提供了现有银行实践的简要概述。对俄罗斯冶金企业的财务绩效进行了分析。特别注意审查行业领袖作为最可持续组织的例子。根据报告数据,确定了该行业固有的财务指标特征和资本结构特征。介绍了制定评估信誉方法的过程,这种方法将考虑到冶金组织的特点。选择了财务比率的汇编进行分析,估计了样本中每个公司的破产概率。基于2014-2018年35家企业的面板数据,运用logistic回归方法,建立了冶金企业信誉度评分模型。这项工作的结果是一种明确的方法,可以快速、透明地评估冶金组织的信誉,同时,考虑到行业的具体情况,具有足够的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
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