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Is the Division of Labor Limited by the Extent of the Market? Opportunity Cost Theory with Evidence from the Real Estate Brokerage Industry 劳动分工是否受到市场规模的限制?机会成本理论——以房地产经纪行业为例
Pub Date : 2020-10-21 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3249
Gianluigi Giustiziero
The division of labor allows individuals to focus their time on a narrower band of activities and increase productivity through specialization, but this comes at a cost. When individuals divide labor, they divide value and split the “pie” they help create. In this paper, I formally model this tradeoff and examine how it is affected by opportunity-cost considerations due to market characteristics. I then test the empirical predictions of the model in the residential real estate brokerage industry in Southeast Michigan. Consistent with the predictions, I find that the division of labor is more likely for properties in the midrange of the price distribution and in larger markets, but less likely at the tails and in markets where property prices exhibit substantial heterogeneity.
劳动分工允许个人将时间集中在更窄的活动范围内,并通过专业化提高生产率,但这是有代价的。当个人分工时,他们也在分配价值,瓜分他们帮助创造的“蛋糕”。在本文中,我正式建立了这种权衡模型,并研究了由于市场特征而受到机会成本考虑的影响。然后,我在密歇根州东南部的住宅房地产经纪行业测试了该模型的实证预测。与预测一致,我发现劳动分工更可能出现在价格分布的中游和较大的市场中,但不太可能出现在价格分布的尾部和房地产价格表现出实质性异质性的市场中。
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引用次数: 3
Housing Search and Rental Market Intermediation 房屋搜寻及租赁市场中介
Pub Date : 2020-10-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3714128
Desen Lin
Rental brokers as the matchmakers between tenants and landlords contribute 80% of the rental listings in certain markets, but how they smooth the search friction and transmit policy impacts is not well understood. This paper is the first to use a listing-agent matched data set from an online platform to show the heterogeneous impact of the listing capacity of a broker, i.e. the agent size, on the rental market outcomes. I document that brokers with greater listing capacity are related to lower rents and shorter listing duration. The dispersion cannot be fully explained by the amenity difference of rentals and points to a sizable agent impact that a broker with greater capacity lists a rental at a lower rent. I develop a search model that features a search-and-matching process in which the capacity constraints of brokers interact with the tenant coordination friction. The capacity constraints differentiate brokers’ ability to coordinate tenant search. The smaller rent premium for listings by larger brokers reflects the capacity benefit that larger brokers coordinate tenant search better by reducing the likelihood of facing a binding capacity constraint. An endogenous agent distribution of the listing capacity, which summarizes how frictional the rental market is, arises in the model. I evaluate the counterfactual effects of two rental market policies. First, I show that expanding the brokerage sector will not benefit tenants in the search process. As the mean agent size decreases, the rental market becomes more frictional. Second, I evaluate the impact of shifting the commission liability from tenants to landlords, which is central to the New York rental market reform. As the equilibrium rent increase cannot fully compensate the commission cost on landlords, the policy decreases rental supply and makes searching tenants worse off. I characterize the optimal allocation of the broker’s fee and show that brokers with greater listing capacity should list more rentals with the fee paid by landlords.
在某些市场中,租房中介作为租客和房东之间的媒人,贡献了80%的房源,但他们是如何消除搜索摩擦并传递政策影响的,我们还不太清楚。本文首次使用来自在线平台的上市代理匹配数据集来显示经纪人的上市能力(即代理规模)对租赁市场结果的异质影响。我的文件表明,拥有更大上市能力的经纪人与更低的租金和更短的上市时间有关。这种差异不能完全用租金的舒适度差异来解释,它指出了一个相当大的代理影响,即一个更有能力的经纪人以更低的租金列出租金。我开发了一个搜索模型,其特点是搜索和匹配过程,其中代理的容量约束与租户协调摩擦相互作用。容量限制区分了代理协调租户搜索的能力。较大的经纪人提供的房源租金溢价较小,这反映了容量效益,即较大的经纪人通过减少面临约束性容量约束的可能性,更好地协调租户搜索。在模型中,出现了一个内源性代理的上市容量分布,它概括了租赁市场的摩擦程度。我评估了两项租赁市场政策的反事实效应。首先,我表明,扩大经纪行业不会使租户在寻找过程中受益。随着平均代理规模的减小,租赁市场变得更加摩擦。其次,我评估了将佣金责任从租户转移到房东的影响,这是纽约租赁市场改革的核心。由于均衡的租金增长不能完全补偿房东的佣金成本,该政策减少了租金供应,使寻找租户的情况更加糟糕。我描述了经纪人费用的最优分配,并表明具有更大上市能力的经纪人应该列出更多的租金,并由房东支付费用。
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引用次数: 1
Tax-Induced Transfer of Residence: Evidence From Tax Decentralization in Italy 税收诱导的居住转移:来自意大利税收分权的证据
Pub Date : 2020-10-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3710932
Enrico Rubolino
This paper studies the effects of local income taxation on tax base and individual mobility since the early 2000s in Italy. Over this period of tax decentralization, regions and municipalities have been granted greater power to set different tax rates across income brackets. We combine novel fine-grained data on the universe of tax residence’s transfers with 89,860 local income tax changes and income bracket-by-municipality-level panel data on the tax base. We propose different empirical strategies, resting on tax rate variations both over time and across individuals within locations. We find that taxation significantly affects the location of the tax base. The mobility response mostly reflects tax residence relocation and involves a separation between residence and workplace. Responses strongly vary by gender, education, civil status and occupations. Yet, our estimates imply that efficiency losses due to tax-induced mobility are relatively small, thus making local redistribution feasible at least in the medium-run.
本文研究了意大利自21世纪初以来地方所得税对税基和个人流动性的影响。在这一税收放权时期,地区和城市被赋予了更大的权力来设定不同收入等级的不同税率。我们将税收居民转移的新细粒度数据与89,860个地方所得税变化和税基上按市级划分的收入面板数据结合起来。我们提出了不同的经验策略,基于时间和地点内个人之间的税率变化。我们发现税收对税基的位置有显著影响。流动性反应主要反映了税性居住地迁移,涉及居住地和工作地点的分离。答复因性别、教育、公民地位和职业而有很大差异。然而,我们的估计表明,由于税收引起的流动性造成的效率损失相对较小,因此至少在中期,地方再分配是可行的。
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引用次数: 2
The Interaction of Borrower-Targeted Macroprudential Tools in the Irish Mortgage Market: A Baseline Multi-Agent Approach 以借款人为目标的宏观审慎工具在爱尔兰抵押贷款市场的相互作用:基线多代理方法
Pub Date : 2020-10-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3708904
A. Gurgone
Lax credit conditions and speculative behaviors can combine to bring about leveraged real estate bubbles that pose a threat to financial stability. This risk can be pushed away by the adoption of proper macroprudential polices. Borrower-based macroprudential tools, namely loan-to-value and debt-to-income ratios, are designed to dampen the procyclicality of credit and to enhance the resilience of financial institutions. By putting a ceiling to borrowing the financial sustainability of mortgages can be improved for borrowers and lenders. This paper studies the interaction of the two instruments employing an agent-based model calibrated on the Irish mortgage market. I construct several policy scenarios grounded on residential loan data to run counterfactual experiments and explore alternative settings of macroprudential policy. This approach provides granular artificial data about the distribution of loan-to-value and debt-to-income ratios at origination, credit, and house prices.
宽松的信贷条件和投机行为可能共同导致对金融稳定构成威胁的杠杆式房地产泡沫。这种风险可以通过采取适当的宏观审慎政策来消除。以借款人为基础的宏观审慎工具,即贷款价值比和债务收入比,旨在抑制信贷的顺周期性,增强金融机构的抵御能力。通过对借款设置上限,可以改善借款人和贷款人的抵押贷款财务可持续性。本文研究了这两种工具的相互作用,采用基于代理的模型校准爱尔兰抵押贷款市场。我基于住房贷款数据构建了几个政策场景来运行反事实实验,并探索宏观审慎政策的替代设置。这种方法提供了关于贷款价值比和债务收入比分布的精细人工数据,包括贷款、信贷和房价。
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引用次数: 0
The Financial Impact of Street-Level Greenery on New York Commercial Buildings 街道绿化对纽约商业建筑的财务影响
Pub Date : 2020-10-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3714858
Juncheng Yang, H. Rong, Yuhao Kang, Fan Zhang, Andrea M. Chegut
Urban street-level greenery is empirically documented to improve mental and physical health, increase productivity, increase urban environmental equality and reduce carbon footprints. In addition, these benefits raise residents' welfare, which has been correlated with increases in residential house prices. We measure street-level greenness in New York City through a novel Green View Index (GVI) using Google Street View images and assess the impacts of greenness on commercial real estate prices. Using a sample of office transactions, we spatially correlate Google Street View Images for New York City over the 2010 to 2017 period. We find a 8.9% to 10.5% statistically, economically and positive transaction premium and a 5.6% to 7.8% rent premium for offices with low to high street-level greenness relative to those building transactions spatially correlated with very low greenness. Estimations are robust to proximity to parks, subway stations, sidewalk widths, household income levels and investments by Building Improvement Districts, as well as other vital and standard office valuation features. By documenting the role of greenery in commercial building valuations, our results give a more complete understanding of the value of greenness in urban environments, and the economic role that urban landscape architecture, planning and development has upon cities.
经验证明,城市街道绿化可以改善身心健康、提高生产力、促进城市环境平等和减少碳足迹。此外,这些福利提高了居民的福利,这与住宅价格的上涨有关。我们利用谷歌街景图像,通过一种新颖的绿色景观指数(GVI)来衡量纽约市的街道绿化程度,并评估绿化对商业房地产价格的影响。使用办公室交易样本,我们在空间上关联了2010年至2017年期间纽约市的谷歌街景图像。我们发现,在统计、经济和正交易溢价方面,街道绿化程度低至高的办公室租金溢价为8.9%至10.5%,而与空间上绿化程度极低的建筑交易相比,租金溢价为5.6%至7.8%。对公园、地铁站、人行道宽度、家庭收入水平和建筑改善区的投资,以及其他重要和标准的办公室估值特征的评估都是可靠的。通过记录绿化在商业建筑估值中的作用,我们的研究结果更全面地了解了城市环境中绿化的价值,以及城市景观设计、规划和发展对城市的经济作用。
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引用次数: 27
Neglected No More: Housing Markets, Mortgage Lending, and Sea Level Rise 不再被忽视:房地产市场、抵押贷款和海平面上升
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3906066
Benjamin J. Keys, P. Mulder
In this paper, we explore dynamic changes in the capitalization of sea level rise (SLR) risk in housing and mortgage markets. Our results suggest a disconnect in coastal Florida real estate: From 2013-2018, home sales volumes in the most-SLR-exposed communities declined 16-20% relative to less-SLR-exposed areas, even as their sale prices grew in lockstep. Between 2018-2020, however, relative prices in these at-risk markets finally declined by roughly 5% from their peak. Lender behavior cannot reconcile these patterns, as we show that both all-cash and mortgage-financed purchases have similarly contracted, with little evidence of increases in loan denial or securitization. We propose a demand-side explanation for our findings where prospective buyers have become more pessimistic about climate change risk than prospective sellers. The lead-lag relationship between transaction volumes and prices in SLR-exposed markets is consistent with dynamics at the peak of prior real estate bubbles.
在本文中,我们探讨在住房和抵押贷款市场的海平面上升(SLR)风险资本化的动态变化。我们的研究结果表明,佛罗里达州沿海房地产市场存在脱节:从2013年至2018年,与单反暴露程度较低的地区相比,单反暴露程度最高的社区的房屋销量下降了16-20%,尽管它们的销售价格同步增长。然而,在2018年至2020年期间,这些高风险市场的相对价格最终从峰值下降了约5%。贷款人的行为无法调和这些模式,因为我们表明,全现金和抵押贷款融资的购买都出现了类似的收缩,几乎没有证据表明拒绝贷款或证券化的增加。对于我们的研究结果,我们提出了一个需求方面的解释,即潜在买家比潜在卖家对气候变化风险更加悲观。在单反暴露的市场中,交易量和价格之间的领先-滞后关系与先前房地产泡沫高峰时的动态一致。
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引用次数: 43
Prudential Policies, Credit Supply and House Prices: Evidence from Italy 审慎政策、信贷供应和房价:来自意大利的证据
Pub Date : 2020-09-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3710119
Pierluigi Bologna, Wanda Cornacchia, M. Galardo
We estimate the causal effect of a mortgage supply expansion on house prices by using an exogenous change in prudential regulation: the abolition in 2006 of a banks' maturity transformation limit. After the repeal of the prudential rule, credit increased only for the banks that were previously constrained by the regulation, while it remained unchanged for the other banks. Such differential response rules out demand-based explanations and fully identify the rule abolition as an exogenous shock that we exploit as an instrument for mortgage supply expansion. We estimate the elasticity of house price growth to new mortgage credit to be close to 5 percent. Our results also show that the effect of a mortgage supply expansion on house prices significantly differs across municipalities' and borrowers' characteristics.
我们通过使用审慎监管的外生变化来估计抵押贷款供应扩张对房价的因果效应:2006年取消了银行的期限转换限制。在废除审慎规则后,只有那些先前受到监管限制的银行的信贷增加了,而其他银行的信贷保持不变。这种差异反应排除了以需求为基础的解释,并充分确定了规则废除是一种外生冲击,我们利用它作为抵押贷款供应扩张的工具。我们估计房价增长对新抵押贷款的弹性接近5%。我们的研究结果还表明,抵押贷款供应扩张对房价的影响在城市和借款人的特征之间存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 20
Property Rights, Expropriations, and Business Cycles in China 中国的产权、征用和经济周期
Pub Date : 2020-09-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3565144
Yin Germaschewski, Jaroslav Horvath, Loris Rubini
Abstract Real business cycles in China are different than in many other countries, including consumption being more volatile than output and uncorrelated with investment. To study whether Chinese institutions can account for these features, we augment the standard real business cycle model by private and state-owned enterprises facing time-to-build constraints, expropriations, and government expenditures. We introduce shocks to each of these activities and estimate our model with Bayesian techniques. The model matches the salient data moments quite closely, with expropriations playing a central role. In particular, shocks to expropriations account for over 70% of consumption and output volatility, and over 60% of private investment volatility. To assess whether our estimated expropriations are empirically plausible, we show that: (i) the model-generated expropriation series is positively correlated with a commonly used measure of property rights; (ii) the explanatory power of expropriations drops considerably after 2012, coinciding with the government’s anti-corruption campaign; and (iii) a placebo test estimating the model for the U.S. finds expropriations to be about one eighth of those in China, and to account for only a small share of the U.S. aggregate fluctuations.
中国的实际商业周期与许多其他国家不同,包括消费比产出更不稳定,与投资不相关。为了研究中国的制度是否可以解释这些特征,我们通过面临建设时间限制、征用和政府支出的私营和国有企业来增加标准的实际商业周期模型。我们对这些活动中的每一个都引入冲击,并用贝叶斯技术估计我们的模型。该模型与显著数据时刻非常接近,其中征用发挥了核心作用。特别是,征收的冲击占消费和产出波动的70%以上,占私人投资波动的60%以上。为了评估我们估计的征收是否在经验上合理,我们表明:(i)模型生成的征收序列与常用的产权衡量标准正相关;(ii)随着政府的反腐运动,征用的解释力在2012年之后大幅下降;(iii)对美国模型进行的安慰剂测试发现,美国的土地征用率约为中国的八分之一,仅占美国总波动的一小部分。
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引用次数: 3
Measuring Property Rights Institutions 衡量产权机构
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.3386/W27839
Simeon Djankov, E. Glaeser, V. Perotti, Andrei Shleifer
How do the different elements in the standard bundle of property rights – such as the right of possession or the right of transfer – differentially impact outcomes, such as urban development? This paper incorporates insecure property rights into a standard model of urban land prices and density, and makes predictions about investment in land and property, informality, and the efficiency of land use. Our empirical analysis links data on institutions related to land titling and transfer with multiple urban outcomes, from 190 countries. The evidence is generally consistent with the model’s predictions, and more broadly with the Demsetz’s (1967) approach to property rights institutions. Indeed, we document world-wide improvements in the quality of institutions facilitating property transfer over time.
标准产权束中的不同要素——如占有权或转让权——如何以不同的方式影响结果,如城市发展?本文将不安全产权纳入城市土地价格和密度的标准模型,并对土地和财产投资、非正式性和土地利用效率进行了预测。我们的实证分析将190个国家的土地所有权和土地转让相关制度数据与多种城市成果联系起来。这些证据总体上与模型的预测一致,更广泛地与Demsetz(1967)对产权制度的研究方法一致。事实上,随着时间的推移,我们记录了世界范围内促进财产转移的机构质量的改善。
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引用次数: 11
Location of Housing and Industry Around a Central Shopping District 中央购物区周围的住宅和工业位置
Pub Date : 2020-08-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3710912
L. Garrido-da-Silva, S. Castro, João Correia-da-Silva
We investigate the endogenous emergence of residential and industrial districts around a central shopping district (CSD). Households wish to locate near firms and near the CSD due to commuting costs proportional to distance. Firms wish to locate near households because this reduces the wage they need to pay to attract workers, and near the CSD due to the iceberg cost of transporting their output to the CSD. Depending on the relative magnitude of three cost parameters (commuting to work, commuting to shop, transporting output), different urban structures arise. If the cost of commuting to shop is large and the cost of commuting to work is small (relatively to the cost of transporting output), households locate in the centre and firms in the periphery. The opposite occurs if both costs are very small. If the cost of commuting to shop is small and that of commuting to work is large, housing and industry become integrated. Complex urban structures emerge in intermediate cases.
我们研究了围绕中心购物区(CSD)的住宅和工业区的内生出现。由于通勤成本与距离成正比,家庭希望住在离公司和政府部门近的地方。企业希望选址在家庭附近,因为这样可以减少他们为吸引工人而支付的工资,并且靠近CSD,因为将其产出运输到CSD的冰山成本。根据三个成本参数(上班通勤、购物通勤、运输产出)的相对大小,会产生不同的城市结构。如果通勤到商店的成本很大,而通勤到工作的成本很小(相对于运输产出的成本),家庭位于中心,企业位于边缘。如果两项成本都很小,则会发生相反的情况。如果通勤到商店的成本很小,而通勤到工作的成本很大,那么住房和工业就会融为一体。复杂的城市结构出现在中间情况。
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引用次数: 0
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