Pub Date : 2024-09-14DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107808
Background
Phenotype classification contributes to risk assessment of asthma. Previous studies have applied this concept primarily to adult populations and in the setting of research protocol assessments which may not be applicable to clinical settings.
Objective
Exploring the value of routinely collected clinical data for phenotype classification and risk assessment of childhood asthma.
Methods
Using hospital and laboratory data, 29,851 children in a Danish nationwide database aged 2–17 years with ICS-treated asthma in 2015 followed for two years (730 days) were classified to have T2 (elevated blood eosinophils (>300 cells/μL) and/or elevated total- or specific-IgE), and/or non-T2 risk factors (in utero tobacco exposure and/or severe viral infections). Logistic regression was applied to quantify associations of risk factors with asthma severity, control, and exacerbation risk.
Results
In a complete case analysis, 85.8 % children had at least one T2 risk factor and 29.3 % had mixed T2/non-T2 risk factors. Elevated blood eosinophils and total/specific IgE were associated with exacerbations (ORs 1.55 (1.38–1.73) and 1.41 (1.20–1.66) and higher asthma severity (1.42 (1.24–1.63) and 1.31 (1.08–1.60)), respectively.
Dose-dependency was observed between blood eosinophil counts, total IgE levels, and risk of adverse outcomes. Furthermore, accumulation of risk factors demonstrated an increasing risk, with children with all four risk factors having a high risk of any adverse asthma-related outcome (OR 3.13 (2.03–4.82)
Conclusion
Asthma phenotypic markers defined in research protocols can be reliably applied in real-world settings by utilizing data collected during routine clinical care and enable better classification of risk of adverse asthma outcomes.
{"title":"Real-world phenotyping and risk assessment of childhood asthma burden using national registries","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107808","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107808","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Phenotype classification contributes to risk assessment of asthma. Previous studies have applied this concept primarily to adult populations and in the setting of research protocol assessments which may not be applicable to clinical settings.</p></div><div><h3>Objective</h3><p>Exploring the value of routinely collected clinical data for phenotype classification and risk assessment of childhood asthma.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>Using hospital and laboratory data, 29,851 children in a Danish nationwide database aged 2–17 years with ICS-treated asthma in 2015 followed for two years (730 days) were classified to have T2 (elevated blood eosinophils (>300 cells/μL) and/or elevated total- or specific-IgE), and/or non-T2 risk factors (<em>in utero</em> tobacco exposure and/or severe viral infections). Logistic regression was applied to quantify associations of risk factors with asthma severity, control, and exacerbation risk.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>In a complete case analysis, 85.8 % children had at least one T2 risk factor and 29.3 % had mixed T2/non-T2 risk factors. Elevated blood eosinophils and total/specific IgE were associated with exacerbations (ORs 1.55 (1.38–1.73) and 1.41 (1.20–1.66) and higher asthma severity (1.42 (1.24–1.63) and 1.31 (1.08–1.60)), respectively.</p><p>Dose-dependency was observed between blood eosinophil counts, total IgE levels, and risk of adverse outcomes. Furthermore, accumulation of risk factors demonstrated an increasing risk, with children with all four risk factors having a high risk of any adverse asthma-related outcome (OR 3.13 (2.03–4.82)</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>Asthma phenotypic markers defined in research protocols can be reliably applied in real-world settings by utilizing data collected during routine clinical care and enable better classification of risk of adverse asthma outcomes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095461112400283X/pdfft?md5=309ab698bba7ada0095404234b48fc5d&pid=1-s2.0-S095461112400283X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142239933","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-13DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107805
Background
Tuberculosis frequently poses diagnostic challenge when it presents as a peripheral pulmonary lesion (TB-PPL). The growing use of radial endobronchial ultrasound (rEBUS) for PPL biopsy highlights the need to identify predictive factors for TB-PPL, which is crucial for procedure safety.
Methods
A six-year retrospective review at our institution on adult patients with TB and malignant-PPL diagnosed from rEBUS procedure from October 1, 2016, to December 31, 2022. Clinical, radiological, procedural, histological and microbiological data were extracted and analysed.
Results
387 PPLs were included in our cohort, 32 % were TB-PPL and 68 % were malignant-PPL. The median age was 63 (IQR 55–70) years, with the TB-PPL group significantly younger. The median size of the target lesion was 2.90 (IQR 2.26–4.00) cm. The overall rEBUS diagnostic yield was 85.3 %, with a 1.3 % pneumothorax risk. Multivariate analysis identified independent predictors for TB-PPL, including age <60 years (adj OR 2.635), target lesion size <2 cm (adj OR 2.385), upper lobe location (adj OR 2.020), presence of a cavity on pre-procedural CT (adj OR 4.186), and presence of rEBUS bronchogram (adj OR 2.722). These variables achieved an area under the curve of 0.729 (95 % CI 0.673–0.795) with a diagnostic accuracy of 75.49 % (95 % CI 70.68–79.88).
Conclusions
Despite non-specific radiological findings in TB-PPL, our study identifies younger age, target lesion size less than 2 cm, upper lobe location, the presence of cavitation, and rEBUS bronchogram were independent clinical predictors for TB-PPL. This prediction model potentially helps mitigate the risk of accidental TB exposure during bronchoscopic procedures. A future prospective cohort study to validate these findings is essential to allow proper triaging of patient planning for rEBUS procedure.
背景肺结核以肺部周围病变(TB-PPL)的形式出现时,常常会给诊断带来挑战。随着径向支气管内超声(rEBUS)在肺外周病变活检中的应用日益广泛,确定肺结核肺外周病变的预测因素显得尤为重要,这对手术安全至关重要。我们提取并分析了临床、放射学、手术、组织学和微生物学数据。中位年龄为 63(IQR 55-70)岁,TB-PPL 组明显更年轻。靶病灶的中位尺寸为 2.90(IQR 2.26-4.00)厘米。总体 rEBUS 诊断率为 85.3%,气胸风险为 1.3%。多变量分析确定了 TB-PPL 的独立预测因素,包括年龄 <60 岁(adj OR 2.635)、靶病灶大小 <2 厘米(adj OR 2.385)、上叶位置(adj OR 2.020)、术前 CT 存在空洞(adj OR 4.186)和存在 rEBUS 支气管造影(adj OR 2.722)。这些变量的曲线下面积为 0.729 (95 % CI 0.673-0.795),诊断准确率为 75.49 % (95 % CI 70.68-79.88)。结论尽管 TB-PPL 有非特异性的放射学发现,但我们的研究发现年龄较小、靶病灶大小小于 2 厘米、上叶位置、存在空洞和 rEBUS 支气管造影是 TB-PPL 的独立临床预测因素。这一预测模型可能有助于降低支气管镜手术中意外暴露结核病的风险。未来的前瞻性队列研究必须验证这些发现,以便对计划接受 rEBUS 手术的患者进行适当分流。
{"title":"Predictive factors for tuberculous peripheral pulmonary lesions during radial endobronchial ultrasound","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107805","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107805","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Tuberculosis frequently poses diagnostic challenge when it presents as a peripheral pulmonary lesion (TB-PPL). The growing use of radial endobronchial ultrasound (rEBUS) for PPL biopsy highlights the need to identify predictive factors for TB-PPL, which is crucial for procedure safety.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>A six-year retrospective review at our institution on adult patients with TB and malignant-PPL diagnosed from rEBUS procedure from October 1, 2016, to December 31, 2022. Clinical, radiological, procedural, histological and microbiological data were extracted and analysed.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>387 PPLs were included in our cohort, 32 % were TB-PPL and 68 % were malignant-PPL. The median age was 63 (IQR 55–70) years, with the TB-PPL group significantly younger. The median size of the target lesion was 2.90 (IQR 2.26–4.00) cm. The overall rEBUS diagnostic yield was 85.3 %, with a 1.3 % pneumothorax risk. Multivariate analysis identified independent predictors for TB-PPL, including age <60 years (<em>adj OR 2.635</em>), target lesion size <2 cm (<em>adj OR 2.385</em>), upper lobe location (<em>adj OR 2.020</em>), presence of a cavity on pre-procedural CT (<em>adj OR 4.186</em>), and presence of rEBUS bronchogram (<em>adj OR 2.722</em>). These variables achieved an area under the curve of 0.729 (95 % CI 0.673–0.795) with a diagnostic accuracy of 75.49 % (95 % CI 70.68–79.88).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Despite non-specific radiological findings in TB-PPL, our study identifies younger age, target lesion size less than 2 cm, upper lobe location, the presence of cavitation, and rEBUS bronchogram were independent clinical predictors for TB-PPL. This prediction model potentially helps mitigate the risk of accidental TB exposure during bronchoscopic procedures. A future prospective cohort study to validate these findings is essential to allow proper triaging of patient planning for rEBUS procedure.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142230512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-11DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107807
Background
Tuberculosis (TB) infection screening of high-risk groups is an important strategy for achieving End TB targets. A TB infection screening program was implemented for quarry workers from a Portuguese high-incidence area in 2018–2022. We aimed to calculate the cost-benefit of the screening program from the societal perspective.
Methods
We calculated medical and non-medical direct and indirect screening costs and compared them with the cost savings from averted cases of TB disease. We estimated the number of potentially averted TB disease cases based on the risk of progression of TB infection to TB disease found in the literature.
Results
During the screening program, 997 workers were screened. TB infection was diagnosed in 215 workers, 150 of those initiated preventive treatment. Screening program total costs were €136,295. Twenty-nine TB cases were potentially prevented, what would have costed €152,386. Savings of €16,091 were obtained (€4516, €40898, and -€29322 from the workers, employers, and NHS, respectively).
Conclusions
The monetary benefit of a TB infection screening program directed to quarry workers in a high-incidence area was greater than its cost. Companies and workers saved substantially more money. TB infection tests that are better predictors of progression to TB disease could reduce NHS costs.
{"title":"Is it worth screening quarry workers for TB infection in high-incidence areas? A cost-benefit analysis","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107807","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107807","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Tuberculosis (TB) infection screening of high-risk groups is an important strategy for achieving End TB targets. A TB infection screening program was implemented for quarry workers from a Portuguese high-incidence area in 2018–2022. We aimed to calculate the cost-benefit of the screening program from the societal perspective.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We calculated medical and non-medical direct and indirect screening costs and compared them with the cost savings from averted cases of TB disease. We estimated the number of potentially averted TB disease cases based on the risk of progression of TB infection to TB disease found in the literature.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>During the screening program, 997 workers were screened. TB infection was diagnosed in 215 workers, 150 of those initiated preventive treatment. Screening program total costs were €136,295. Twenty-nine TB cases were potentially prevented, what would have costed €152,386. Savings of €16,091 were obtained (€4516, €40898, and -€29322 from the workers, employers, and NHS, respectively).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>The monetary benefit of a TB infection screening program directed to quarry workers in a high-incidence area was greater than its cost. Companies and workers saved substantially more money. TB infection tests that are better predictors of progression to TB disease could reduce NHS costs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954611124002828/pdfft?md5=06bbdeb65b49bde9b1e63c8d86acc2d5&pid=1-s2.0-S0954611124002828-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142232359","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-11DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107806
Background and objective
Lung function abnormality of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has not been explored well. Preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) is known for its association with obesity and cardiovascular morbidity, which are also characteristic features of OSA. This study aims to investigate whether the prevalence of PRISm increases according to apnea–hypopnea index levels among subjects with OSA.
Methods
Conducted as an observational cross-sectional study, the study included 372 patients ≥40 years of age with definitive diagnoses of OSA and pulmonary function assessment from 2000 to 2004. Study subjects were classified based on OSA severity (mild/moderate versus severe). The prevalence of PRISm was estimated and compared between mild/moderate and severe OSA groups.
Results
The prevalence of PRISm was 9.4 % in study subjects, with a higher prevalence in the severe OSA group than the mild/moderate group (12.9 % and 6.2 %, respectively, P = 0.04). The positive association between severe OSA and PRISm remained robust after multivariable adjustment for age, gender, and obesity (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio 2.29 (95 % confidence intervals 1.08–4.86), P = 0.03).
Conclusion
Severe OSA is an independent risk factor for PRISm, highlighting the need for comprehensive management of OSA that addresses the potential risk of PRISm.
背景和目的阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停(OSA)的肺功能异常尚未得到很好的探讨。众所周知,肺活量保留比值受损(PRISm)与肥胖和心血管发病率有关,而肥胖和心血管发病率也是 OSA 的特征。本研究旨在探讨在 OSA 患者中,PRISm 的患病率是否会随着呼吸暂停-低通气指数水平的增加而增加。研究方法本研究是一项观察性横断面研究,纳入了 2000 年至 2004 年期间确诊为 OSA 并进行了肺功能评估的 372 名年龄≥40 岁的患者。研究对象根据 OSA 严重程度(轻度/中度与重度)进行分类。结果研究对象的 PRISm 患病率为 9.4%,重度 OSA 组的患病率高于轻度/中度组(分别为 12.9% 和 6.2%,P = 0.04)。在对年龄、性别和肥胖进行多变量调整后,重度 OSA 与 PRISm 之间的正相关关系仍然保持稳定(多变量调整后的几率比为 2.29(95 % 置信区间为 1.08-4.86),P = 0.03)。
{"title":"Preserved ratio impaired spirometry and severity of obstructive sleep apnea: An observational cross-sectional study","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107806","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107806","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background and objective</h3><p>Lung function abnormality of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has not been explored well. Preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) is known for its association with obesity and cardiovascular morbidity, which are also characteristic features of OSA. This study aims to investigate whether the prevalence of PRISm increases according to apnea–hypopnea index levels among subjects with OSA.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>Conducted as an observational cross-sectional study, the study included 372 patients ≥40 years of age with definitive diagnoses of OSA and pulmonary function assessment from 2000 to 2004. Study subjects were classified based on OSA severity (mild/moderate versus severe). The prevalence of PRISm was estimated and compared between mild/moderate and severe OSA groups.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The prevalence of PRISm was 9.4 % in study subjects, with a higher prevalence in the severe OSA group than the mild/moderate group (12.9 % and 6.2 %, respectively, <em>P</em> = 0.04). The positive association between severe OSA and PRISm remained robust after multivariable adjustment for age, gender, and obesity (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio 2.29 (95 % confidence intervals 1.08–4.86), <em>P</em> = 0.03).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>Severe OSA is an independent risk factor for PRISm, highlighting the need for comprehensive management of OSA that addresses the potential risk of PRISm.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142230431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-10DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107802
Background
The underlying population of patients selected for each respiratory monoclonal antibody might change as other biologics are approved.
Objective
To evaluate effect modification by calendar time of the effectiveness of each respiratory biologics in asthma.
Methods
The Effectiveness of Respiratory biologics in Asthma (ERA) is a retrospective cohort of severe asthma patients from the Mass General Brigham clinics between January 2013 and September 2023. Periods were pre-specified as the anti-IgE (2013–2015), anti-IL5 (2016–2018), anti-IL4/13 (2019–2021) or anti-alarmin (2022–2023) era. We evaluated each biologic's effect on asthma-related exacerbations comparing the one-year period before and after therapy initiation using Poisson regression and Cox regression for time-to-first exacerbation.
Results
Of 647 biologic-naïve patients, 165 initiated omalizumab, 235 anti-IL5, 227 dupilumab, and 20 tezepelumab. Omalizumab's effectiveness improved as more biologics were approved: incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.16 [0.94–1.43] anti-IgE era vs. 0.54 [0.37–0.80] anti-IL4/13-alarmin era. Omalizumab patients in the anti-IL4/13-alarmin era had lower blood eosinophil counts and less chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP). For anti-IL5s, effectiveness peaked in the anti-IL4/13 era (IRR 0.52 [0.42–0.64]) when patients had higher BMI and less concomitant CRSwNP. Dupilumab was most effective in the anti-IL4/13 era (IRR 0.60 [0.50–0.72]). There were fewer current smokers in dupilumab patients in the anti-IL4/13 era. Results were similar in time-to-event analyses and in sensitivity analyses accounting for the COVID-19 pandemic.
Conclusion
There are temporal variations in the effectiveness of biologics partly explained by the shift in the underlying population, particularly for omalizumab. Though having more choices was associated with better patient selection for omalizumab, this was inconsistent for other biologics.
{"title":"Temporal variation in the effectiveness of biologics in asthma: Effect modification by changing patient characteristics","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107802","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107802","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The underlying population of patients selected for each respiratory monoclonal antibody might change as other biologics are approved.</p></div><div><h3>Objective</h3><p>To evaluate effect modification by calendar time of the effectiveness of each respiratory biologics in asthma.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>The Effectiveness of Respiratory biologics in Asthma (ERA) is a retrospective cohort of severe asthma patients from the Mass General Brigham clinics between January 2013 and September 2023. Periods were pre-specified as the anti-IgE (2013–2015), anti-IL5 (2016–2018), anti-IL4/13 (2019–2021) or anti-alarmin (2022–2023) era. We evaluated each biologic's effect on asthma-related exacerbations comparing the one-year period before and after therapy initiation using Poisson regression and Cox regression for time-to-first exacerbation.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Of 647 biologic-naïve patients, 165 initiated omalizumab, 235 anti-IL5, 227 dupilumab, and 20 tezepelumab. Omalizumab's effectiveness improved as more biologics were approved: incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.16 [0.94–1.43] anti-IgE era vs. 0.54 [0.37–0.80] anti-IL4/13-alarmin era. Omalizumab patients in the anti-IL4/13-alarmin era had lower blood eosinophil counts and less chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP). For anti-IL5s, effectiveness peaked in the anti-IL4/13 era (IRR 0.52 [0.42–0.64]) when patients had higher BMI and less concomitant CRSwNP. Dupilumab was most effective in the anti-IL4/13 era (IRR 0.60 [0.50–0.72]). There were fewer current smokers in dupilumab patients in the anti-IL4/13 era. Results were similar in time-to-event analyses and in sensitivity analyses accounting for the COVID-19 pandemic.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>There are temporal variations in the effectiveness of biologics partly explained by the shift in the underlying population, particularly for omalizumab. Though having more choices was associated with better patient selection for omalizumab, this was inconsistent for other biologics.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954611124002774/pdfft?md5=8857e65b3c3824bea2a0983a72f60893&pid=1-s2.0-S0954611124002774-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142230430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-08DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107791
Background
There is a lack of data on the long-term effect of nintedanib on survival in specific groups of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients with different phenotypes. We investigated the outcomes of nintedanib therapy in an observational study of a large multicentre real-world cohort of IPF patients with various initial characteristics.
Methods
The analysis included IPF patients treated with nintedanib (NIN) and IPF patients not receiving antifibrotic treatment (NAF) enrolled for the EMPIRE registry in 2015–2020. The patients were stratified according to their initial FVC predicted, dyspnoea, UIP pattern and age. All-cause mortality and annual rate of FVC decline were the main endpoints. Cox proportional hazards model for survival assessment and linear mixed-effects model for FVC decline modelling were used.
Results
A total of 869 NIN patients and 691 NAF patients were eligible for the analysis. The annual FVC decline rate was significantly different (adjusted values −0.053 l/yr vs −0.122 l/yr; p = 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for mortality was 0.40 (95 % CI 0.3 to 0.53, p < 0.001). The most significant effect of nintedanib was demonstrated in patients with impaired lung function, i.e., with an FVC predicted to be less than 80 % and a NYHA II to IV. Nintedanib therapy also reduced the difference in survival between men and women.
Conclusions
Modelling confirmed that NIN therapy reduced differences in OS between patients with better and worse initial conditions and prognosis. Our results indicate that NIN is particularly beneficial for patients with advanced IPF and more severe phenotypes.
Trial registration
EMPIRE was registered as a non-interventional post-registration study at the State Institute for Drug Control of the Czech Republic under ID 1412080000 on December 8, 2014.
背景目前缺乏有关宁替尼对不同表型特发性肺纤维化(IPF)患者特定群体生存期的长期影响的数据。我们在一项针对具有不同初始特征的IPF患者的大型多中心真实世界队列的观察性研究中调查了宁替尼治疗的结果。方法分析纳入了2015-2020年EMPIRE注册登记的接受宁替尼治疗的IPF患者(NIN)和未接受抗纤维化治疗的IPF患者(NAF)。根据患者的初始 FVC 预测值、呼吸困难、UIP 模式和年龄对患者进行了分层。主要终点是全因死亡率和 FVC 年下降率。结果 共有 869 名 NIN 患者和 691 名 NAF 患者符合分析条件。FVC年下降率存在显著差异(调整值为-0.053 l/yr vs -0.122 l/yr;P = 0.001)。调整后的死亡率危险比(HR)为 0.40(95 % CI 0.3 至 0.53,p = 0.001)。尼替达尼对肺功能受损(即预测FVC低于80%且NYHA为II至IV级)患者的疗效最为明显。尼替达尼治疗还缩小了男女患者的生存率差异。结论模拟证实,NIN治疗缩小了初始条件和预后较好和较差患者的OS差异。我们的结果表明,NIN对晚期IPF和表型更严重的患者尤其有益。试验注册EMPIRE于2014年12月8日在捷克共和国国家药物控制研究所注册为非干预性注册后研究,ID为1412080000。
{"title":"Short- and long-term clinical outcomes of nintedanib therapy in IPF patients with different phenotypes: A retrospective registry-based study","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107791","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107791","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>There is a lack of data on the long-term effect of nintedanib on survival in specific groups of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients with different phenotypes. We investigated the outcomes of nintedanib therapy in an observational study of a large multicentre real-world cohort of IPF patients with various initial characteristics.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>The analysis included IPF patients treated with nintedanib (NIN) and IPF patients not receiving antifibrotic treatment (NAF) enrolled for the EMPIRE registry in 2015–2020. The patients were stratified according to their initial FVC predicted, dyspnoea, UIP pattern and age. All-cause mortality and annual rate of FVC decline were the main endpoints. Cox proportional hazards model for survival assessment and linear mixed-effects model for FVC decline modelling were used.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>A total of 869 NIN patients and 691 NAF patients were eligible for the analysis. The annual FVC decline rate was significantly different (adjusted values −0.053 l/yr vs −0.122 l/yr; p = 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for mortality was 0.40 (95 % CI 0.3 to 0.53, p < 0.001). The most significant effect of nintedanib was demonstrated in patients with impaired lung function, i.e., with an FVC predicted to be less than 80 % and a NYHA II to IV. Nintedanib therapy also reduced the difference in survival between men and women.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Modelling confirmed that NIN therapy reduced differences in OS between patients with better and worse initial conditions and prognosis. Our results indicate that NIN is particularly beneficial for patients with advanced IPF and more severe phenotypes.</p></div><div><h3>Trial registration</h3><p>EMPIRE was registered as a non-interventional post-registration study at the State Institute for Drug Control of the Czech Republic under ID 1412080000 on December 8, 2014.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142169273","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-07DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107803
Objective
This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting 28-day and 90-day mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients who have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) coexisting with congestive heart failure (CHF).
Methods
An extensive analysis was conducted on clinical data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database, covering patients over 18 years old with both COPD and CHF, who were were first-time ICU admissions between 2008 and 2019. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method was employed to screen clinical features, with the final model being optimized using backward stepwise regression guided by the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) to construct the nomogram. The predictive model's discrimination and clinical applicability were evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, the C-index, and decision curve analysi s (DCA).
Results
This analysis was comprised of a total of 1948 patients. Patients were separated into developing and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio, with similar baseline characteristics between the two groups. The ICU mortality rates for the developing and verification cohorts were 20.8 % and 19.5 % at 28 days, respectively, and 29.4 % and 28.3 % at 90 days, respectively. The clinical characteristics retained by the backward stepwise regression include age, weight, systolic blood pressure (SBP), respiratory rate (RR), oxygen saturation (SpO2), red blood cell distribution width (RDW), lactate, partial thrombosis time (PTT), race, marital status, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), malignant cancer, acute kidney failure (AKF), pneumonia, immunosuppressive drugs, antiplatelet agents, vasoactive agents, acute physiology score III (APS III), Oxford acute severity of illness score (OASIS), and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). We developed two separate models by assigning weighted scores to each independent risk factor: nomogram A excludes CCI but includes age, T2DM, and malignant cancer, while nomogram B includes only CCI, without age, T2DM, and malignant cancer. Based on the results of the AUC and C-index, this study selected nomogram A, which demonstrated better predictive performance, for subsequent validation. The calibration curve, C-index, and DCA results indicate that nomogram A has good accuracy in predicting short-term mortality and demonstrates better discriminative ability than commonly used clinical scoring systems, making it more suitable for clinical application.
Conclusion
The nomogram developed in this study offers an effective assessment of short-term mortality risk for ICU patients with COPD and CHF, proving to be a superior tool for predicting their short-term prognosis.
方法对重症监护医学信息市场(Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV)数据库中的临床数据进行了广泛分析,这些数据涵盖了2008年至2019年间首次入住重症监护病房的18岁以上同时患有慢性阻塞性肺病(COPD)和慢性心力衰竭(CHF)的患者。采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归法筛选临床特征,并在阿凯克信息准则(AIC)的指导下采用后向逐步回归法优化最终模型,以构建提名图。通过接收器操作特征曲线(ROC)、校准曲线、C 指数和决策曲线分析(DCA)评估了预测模型的辨别力和临床适用性。患者按 7:3 的比例分为开发组和验证组,两组患者的基线特征相似。发展组和验证组的重症监护室死亡率在 28 天时分别为 20.8% 和 19.5%,在 90 天时分别为 29.4% 和 28.3%。后向逐步回归法保留的临床特征包括年龄、体重、收缩压 (SBP)、呼吸频率 (RR)、血氧饱和度 (SpO2)、红细胞分布宽度 (RDW)、乳酸、部分血栓形成时间 (PTT)、种族、婚姻状况、血压、血糖和血脂、此外,我们还考虑了以下因素:2 型糖尿病 (T2DM)、恶性肿瘤、急性肾功能衰竭 (AKF)、肺炎、免疫抑制剂、抗血小板药物、血管活性药物、急性生理学评分 III (APS III)、牛津急性病严重程度评分 (OASIS) 和夏尔森合并症指数 (CCI)。我们为每个独立的风险因素分配了加权分数,从而建立了两个不同的模型:提名图 A 不包括 CCI,但包括年龄、T2DM 和恶性肿瘤;提名图 B 只包括 CCI,不包括年龄、T2DM 和恶性肿瘤。根据 AUC 和 C-index 的结果,本研究选择了预测效果更好的提名图 A 进行后续验证。校准曲线、C-指数和 DCA 结果表明,提名图 A 在预测短期死亡率方面具有良好的准确性,与常用的临床评分系统相比,显示出更好的判别能力,因此更适合临床应用。
{"title":"A nomogram for predicting short-term mortality in ICU patients with coexisting chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and congestive heart failure","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107803","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107803","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><p>This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting 28-day and 90-day mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients who have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) coexisting with congestive heart failure (CHF).</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>An extensive analysis was conducted on clinical data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database, covering patients over 18 years old with both COPD and CHF, who were were first-time ICU admissions between 2008 and 2019. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method was employed to screen clinical features, with the final model being optimized using backward stepwise regression guided by the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) to construct the nomogram. The predictive model's discrimination and clinical applicability were evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, the C-index, and decision curve analysi s (DCA).</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>This analysis was comprised of a total of 1948 patients. Patients were separated into developing and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio, with similar baseline characteristics between the two groups. The ICU mortality rates for the developing and verification cohorts were 20.8 % and 19.5 % at 28 days, respectively, and 29.4 % and 28.3 % at 90 days, respectively. The clinical characteristics retained by the backward stepwise regression include age, weight, systolic blood pressure (SBP), respiratory rate (RR), oxygen saturation (SpO2), red blood cell distribution width (RDW), lactate, partial thrombosis time (PTT), race, marital status, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), malignant cancer, acute kidney failure (AKF), pneumonia, immunosuppressive drugs, antiplatelet agents, vasoactive agents, acute physiology score III (APS III), Oxford acute severity of illness score (OASIS), and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). We developed two separate models by assigning weighted scores to each independent risk factor: nomogram A excludes CCI but includes age, T2DM, and malignant cancer, while nomogram B includes only CCI, without age, T2DM, and malignant cancer. Based on the results of the AUC and C-index, this study selected nomogram A, which demonstrated better predictive performance, for subsequent validation. The calibration curve, C-index, and DCA results indicate that nomogram A has good accuracy in predicting short-term mortality and demonstrates better discriminative ability than commonly used clinical scoring systems, making it more suitable for clinical application.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>The nomogram developed in this study offers an effective assessment of short-term mortality risk for ICU patients with COPD and CHF, proving to be a superior tool for predicting their short-term prognosis.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142171594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-07DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107801
Background
Dyspnea is an important non-motor symptom in Parkinson's disease (PD) that impacts quality of life. The mechanisms underlying dyspnea have been difficult to determine due to challenges separating central respiratory control abnormalities from peripheral respiratory muscle dysfunction and chest wall rigidity.
Methods
A comprehensive literature review was conducted, searching the PubMed database for observational studies on respiratory dysfunction and dyspnea in PD. Inclusion criteria were studies with PD patients without other neurological disorders. Case studies were excluded. Data on study size, disease duration, control groups, and respiratory defects were extracted.
Results
The search yielded 23 unique publications on pulmonary function in PD. Key findings were: 1) restrictive defects are common, with prevalence up to 85 % in some studies; 2) effects of levodopa on pulmonary function are variable across studies; 3) there is limited research on the role of central respiratory centers in dyspnea pathophysiology in PD. Proposed mechanisms include direct involvement of brainstem respiratory structures, loss of dopamine input to these regions, and astrocyte dysfunction affecting respiratory rhythm generation.
Conclusion
This review outlines potential mechanisms underlying dyspnea in PD, including central respiratory dysfunction, peripheral muscle/chest wall abnormalities, impaired respiratory sensation, and medication effects. More research is needed investigating specific brainstem regions involved, chemoreceptor pathology, correlations between respiratory load and perceived dyspnea, and medication effects on pulmonary function.
{"title":"Dyspnea in Parkinson's disease","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107801","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107801","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Dyspnea is an important non-motor symptom in Parkinson's disease (PD) that impacts quality of life. The mechanisms underlying dyspnea have been difficult to determine due to challenges separating central respiratory control abnormalities from peripheral respiratory muscle dysfunction and chest wall rigidity.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>A comprehensive literature review was conducted, searching the PubMed database for observational studies on respiratory dysfunction and dyspnea in PD. Inclusion criteria were studies with PD patients without other neurological disorders. Case studies were excluded. Data on study size, disease duration, control groups, and respiratory defects were extracted.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The search yielded 23 unique publications on pulmonary function in PD. Key findings were: 1) restrictive defects are common, with prevalence up to 85 % in some studies; 2) effects of levodopa on pulmonary function are variable across studies; 3) there is limited research on the role of central respiratory centers in dyspnea pathophysiology in PD. Proposed mechanisms include direct involvement of brainstem respiratory structures, loss of dopamine input to these regions, and astrocyte dysfunction affecting respiratory rhythm generation.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>This review outlines potential mechanisms underlying dyspnea in PD, including central respiratory dysfunction, peripheral muscle/chest wall abnormalities, impaired respiratory sensation, and medication effects. More research is needed investigating specific brainstem regions involved, chemoreceptor pathology, correlations between respiratory load and perceived dyspnea, and medication effects on pulmonary function.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142171637","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-07DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107804
Background
Poor glucose control might deteriorate the impaired pulmonary function, which can ultimately lead to mortality. However, few studies have examined the effect modification of glucose control on the association between pulmonary function and mortality. This study aimed to examine the association of pulmonary function with mortality and determine the effect modification of glycemic level on the association of pulmonary function with mortality in persons with type 2 diabetes (T2DM).
Methods
A retrospective cohort study included 3846 persons with T2DM with pulmonary function testing in Taiwan during 2002–2020. Expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) was measured as pulmonary function. Cox proportional hazards models were used and the effect modification of pulmonary function parameters and glucose control was assessed by their product terms.
Results
There were 733 deaths during an average follow-up of 7.83 years. Significant associations of FEV1 and mortality were found (hazards ratio [HR] for FEV1 Z-scores of <0 to −1, <-1 to −2 and <−2: 1.47 [1.20, 1.80], 2.48 [1.95, 3.14] and 3.07 [1.74, 5.44] compared with participants with Z-score ≥0, respectively. All p for trend<0.001). Significant effect modifications were found and the association between FEV1 and mortality was stronger in persons with good glycemic control compared with poor glycemic control (FEV1–FPG effect modification, P = 0.01; FEV1–HbA1c effect modification, P = 0.03).
Conclusion
Pulmonary function, measured by FEV1, is significantly associated with mortality in persons with T2DM. Significant effect modification of glucose control on the association between pulmonary function parameters and mortality was found.
背景血糖控制不佳可能会使受损的肺功能恶化,最终导致死亡。然而,很少有研究探讨调整血糖控制对肺功能与死亡率之间关系的影响。本研究旨在探讨 2 型糖尿病(T2DM)患者肺功能与死亡率的关系,并确定血糖水平的调整对肺功能与死亡率关系的影响。1秒内呼气容积(FEV1)作为肺功能的测量指标。结果在平均 7.83 年的随访期间,共有 733 人死亡。与 Z 值≥0 的参与者相比,FEV1 与死亡率之间存在显著关联(FEV1 Z 值为 <0 to -1, <-1 to -2 and <-2 的危险比[HR]分别为 1.47 [1.20, 1.80]、2.48 [1.95, 3.14] 和 3.07 [1.74, 5.44])。所有 p 均为趋势值<0.001)。研究发现,血糖控制良好者的 FEV1 与死亡率之间的关系比血糖控制不佳者更密切(FEV1-FPG 的效应修饰,P = 0.01;FEV1-HbA1c 的效应修饰,P = 0.03)。结论以 FEV1 为指标的肺功能与 T2DM 患者的死亡率密切相关。
{"title":"Effect modification of glycemic control on association of lung function with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in persons with type 2 diabetes – A retrospective cohort study","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107804","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107804","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Poor glucose control might deteriorate the impaired pulmonary function, which can ultimately lead to mortality. However, few studies have examined the effect modification of glucose control on the association between pulmonary function and mortality. This study aimed to examine the association of pulmonary function with mortality and determine the effect modification of glycemic level on the association of pulmonary function with mortality in persons with type 2 diabetes (T2DM).</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>A retrospective cohort study included 3846 persons with T2DM with pulmonary function testing in Taiwan during 2002–2020. Expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) was measured as pulmonary function. Cox proportional hazards models were used and the effect modification of pulmonary function parameters and glucose control was assessed by their product terms.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>There were 733 deaths during an average follow-up of 7.83 years. Significant associations of FEV1 and mortality were found (hazards ratio [HR] for FEV1 Z-scores of <0 to −1, <-1 to −2 and <−2: 1.47 [1.20, 1.80], 2.48 [1.95, 3.14] and 3.07 [1.74, 5.44] compared with participants with Z-score ≥0, respectively. All p for trend<0.001). Significant effect modifications were found and the association between FEV1 and mortality was stronger in persons with good glycemic control compared with poor glycemic control (FEV1–FPG effect modification, P = 0.01; FEV1–HbA1c effect modification, P = 0.03).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>Pulmonary function, measured by FEV1, is significantly associated with mortality in persons with T2DM. Significant effect modification of glucose control on the association between pulmonary function parameters and mortality was found.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142169272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-30DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107780
Background
Whether the ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 s to forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) can be used as a biomarker to predict the risk of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is unclear.
Methods
To investigate the predictive role of FEV1/FVC for AECOPD, we analyzed data from an observational and multicenter cohort study of 2043 patients with COPD in KOREA. Exposures were post-bronchodilator FEV1/FVC and/or percentage predicted FEV1 (FEV1%pred). The outcome was the development of AECOPD during the first year of follow-up.
Results
During the first year of follow-up, the proportion of patients who developed AECOPD increased as FEV1/FVC decreased (P < 0.01). FEV1/FVC and FEV1%pred had similar predictive power for AECOPD, with optimal predictive cut-offs of approximately 0.5 for FEV1/FVC and 50 % for FEV1%pred. When the participants were classified into groups based on these cut-offs, compared with a high both-lung function group (FEV1/FVC≥0.5 and FEV1%pred≥50 %), the low-FEV1 group (FEV1/FVC≥0.5 and FEV1%pred<50) had a modestly increased risk of severe AECOPD (adjusted odds ratio[aOR] = 3.12; 95 % confidence interval[CI] = 1.59–6.16), while the risk of severe AECOPD was the highest in the low both-lung function group (FEV1%pred<50 % and FEV1/FVC<0.5) (aOR = 5.16; 95 % CI = 3.34–7.97).
Conclusions
FEV1/FVC is a spirometric biomarker predictive of AECOPD. In countries where FEV1%pred is not available for their population, FEV1/FVC could be used as a biomarker for assessing the risk of AECOPD. In countries where accurate FEV1%pred is available, both FEV1%pred and FEV1/FVC could be used to provide additional information to assess the risk of AECOPD.
Key message
This study showed that FEV1/FVC had similar predictive power for AECOPD compared with percentage predicted FEV1. Furthermore, the use of both FEV1 and FEV1/FVC provides additional information for the risk assessment of AECOPD.
{"title":"The role of FEV1/FVC in the prediction of acute exacerbation of COPD","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107780","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rmed.2024.107780","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Whether the ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 s to forced vital capacity (FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC) can be used as a biomarker to predict the risk of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is unclear.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>To investigate the predictive role of FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC for AECOPD, we analyzed data from an observational and multicenter cohort study of 2043 patients with COPD in KOREA. Exposures were post-bronchodilator FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC and/or percentage predicted FEV<sub>1</sub> (FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred). The outcome was the development of AECOPD during the first year of follow-up.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>During the first year of follow-up, the proportion of patients who developed AECOPD increased as FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC decreased (<em>P</em> < 0.01). FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC and FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred had similar predictive power for AECOPD, with optimal predictive cut-offs of approximately 0.5 for FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC and 50 % for FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred. When the participants were classified into groups based on these cut-offs, compared with a high both-lung function group (FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC≥0.5 and FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred≥50 %), the low-FEV<sub>1</sub> group (FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC≥0.5 and FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred<50) had a modestly increased risk of severe AECOPD (adjusted odds ratio[aOR] = 3.12; 95 % confidence interval[CI] = 1.59–6.16), while the risk of severe AECOPD was the highest in the low both-lung function group (FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred<50 % and FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC<0.5) (aOR = 5.16; 95 % CI = 3.34–7.97).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC is a spirometric biomarker predictive of AECOPD. In countries where FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred is not available for their population, FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC could be used as a biomarker for assessing the risk of AECOPD. In countries where accurate FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred is available, both FEV<sub>1</sub>%pred and FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC could be used to provide additional information to assess the risk of AECOPD.</p></div><div><h3>Key message</h3><p>This study showed that FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC had similar predictive power for AECOPD compared with percentage predicted FEV<sub>1</sub>. Furthermore, the use of both FEV<sub>1</sub> and FEV<sub>1</sub>/FVC provides additional information for the risk assessment of AECOPD.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":21057,"journal":{"name":"Respiratory medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142111440","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}