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Factor models for Chinese A-shares 中国a股的因子模型
Pub Date : 2021-09-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3918833
M. Hanauer, M. Jansen, L. Swinkels, Weili Zhou
We compare the pricing ability of popular asset pricing models for the cross-section of U.S. equities on a large, liquid, but mostly segmented equity market of Chinese A-shares. The q-factor model performs well among factor models developed for the U.S. equity market, but is outperformed by a modified Fama-French six-factor model and by a four-factor asset pricing model adapted to the Chinese A-shares market. A data-driven method to detect the preferred asset pricing model results in the same four factors, plus three additional ones. However, these three additional factors do not reduce the pricing errors to a set of test assets. When taking transaction costs into account, the ranking of asset pricing models changes. The preferred model from both the direct and data-driven model comparison methods now consists of a three-factor model comprising the market, size, and an earnings-based value factor.
我们比较了美国股票横截面的流行资产定价模型在中国a股市场上的定价能力,这是一个巨大的、流动性的,但主要是细分的股票市场。在针对美国股票市场开发的因子模型中,q因子模型表现较好,但优于改进的Fama-French六因子模型和适合中国a股市场的四因子资产定价模型。一种数据驱动的方法来检测首选资产定价模型的结果是相同的四个因素,外加三个额外的因素。然而,这三个额外的因素并不能减少一组测试资产的定价错误。当考虑交易成本时,资产定价模型的排名发生了变化。直接模型和数据驱动模型比较方法的首选模型现在由三因素模型组成,包括市场、规模和基于收益的价值因素。
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引用次数: 0
Making a Mundane Ceremony Into a Meaningful Organizational Ritual –Some Suggestions for Re-Design of Ribbon-Cutting Ceremonies of Overseas Manufacturing Projects 把平凡的仪式变成有意义的组织仪式——对海外制造项目剪彩仪式重新设计的几点建议
Pub Date : 2020-08-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3676716
I. Gurkov
The overall number of newly installed oversea factories is counted in thousands. In many developing and emerging markets, especially in South-East Asia, Latin America and Russia, ribbon-cutting ceremonies for new facilities opened by foreign investors are mandatory. We ran a study identifying all videoed ribbon-cutting ceremonies for new facilities opened by foreign investors in Russia in 2012-2018. Using a detailed analysis of the content of speeches delivered by representative of foreign investors and representative of local authorities at those ceremonies, and information obtained through personal observations and interviews, we were able to discover the surface and deeper level meaning attaching to these ceremonies, to propose the definition of efficient plant-opening ceremonies and to demonstrate how it is possible to amend the design of such ceremonies to increase their effectiveness and also to increase mental coherence between the corporate center and oversea subsidiaries.
新设立的海外工厂总数以千计。在许多发展中国家和新兴市场,特别是在东南亚、拉丁美洲和俄罗斯,外国投资者开办的新设施的剪彩仪式是强制性的。我们进行了一项研究,对2012年至2018年外国投资者在俄罗斯开设的新设施的所有剪彩仪式进行了录像分析。通过对外国投资者代表和地方政府代表在这些仪式上的发言内容的详细分析,以及通过个人观察和采访获得的信息,我们能够发现这些仪式的表面和更深层次的意义。提出高效工厂开业仪式的定义,并演示如何修改此类仪式的设计以提高其有效性,并增加公司中心与海外子公司之间的精神一致性。
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引用次数: 0
Exporting and Productivity: Evidence for Egypt and Morocco 出口与生产力:以埃及和摩洛哥为例
Pub Date : 2020-02-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2045538
I. Martínez‐Zarzoso
This paper investigates the link between exporting and importing activities and firm performance using a rich dataset on Egyptian and Moroccan firms. We test the export premium, self-selection and learning-by-exporting hypotheses using a number of firm characteristics. Our analysis also includes importing activities as a source of learning and considers their effects on productivity changes. A differences-in-differences matching estimator is used to address the endogeneity bias of target variables. The main results for Egyptian firms echo those reported for other countries using firm-level data, namely exporters are larger and more productive than non-exporters. In contrast, Moroccan exporters and non-exporters are strikingly similar. More specifically, no evidence is found of pre or post-entry differences in labour productivity for Moroccan firms.
本文利用埃及和摩洛哥公司的丰富数据集调查了进出口活动与公司绩效之间的联系。我们使用一些企业特征来检验出口溢价、自我选择和出口学习假设。我们的分析还包括作为学习来源的导入活动,并考虑它们对生产力变化的影响。利用差中差匹配估计器来解决目标变量的内生性偏差。埃及公司的主要结果与其他使用公司层面数据的国家的报告相呼应,即出口商比非出口商规模更大,生产率更高。相比之下,摩洛哥的出口商和非出口商惊人地相似。更具体地说,没有证据表明摩洛哥公司在进入前或进入后的劳动生产率存在差异。
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引用次数: 26
The Cointegration Relationship and Causal Link of Internet Penetration and Broadband Subscription on Economic Growth: Evidence from ASEAN Countries 互联网普及率与宽带用户对经济增长的协整关系及因果关系:来自东盟国家的证据
Pub Date : 2020-01-13 DOI: 10.31014/aior.1992.03.01.173
Aileen L. Camba, Abraham C. Camba, Jr.
This study explores the cointegration relationship and causal link of internet penetration and broadband subscription to economic growth from the 10 countries of ASEAN for the period 2000-2016. A pooled multiple regression model with GDP growth as a function of internet penetration and broadband subscription was developed. The Johansen-Fisher panel cointegration was applied to determine the presence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among the three variables and the direction of causality was identified by estimating the panel-based vector error correction model (VECM). Results from cointegration test indicate a long run equilibrium relationship between internet penetration, broadband subscription and economic growth. The causality test reveals there is long run causality running from internet penetration and broadband subscription to economic growth. In the short-run, broadband subscription causes economic growth in the ASEAN countries. However, internet penetration has no causal link with economic growth in the short-run during the period 2000-2016. The findings are supportive of the claim that internet penetration and broadband connections are engine of economic growth and are rapidly transforming ASEAN economies. Based on these findings, this study recommends that ASEAN governments should be supportive on policies that promotes better internet and broadband infrastructure to achieved short and long-run economic growth.
本研究探讨了2000-2016年东盟10国互联网普及率和宽带用户对经济增长的协整关系和因果关系。建立了GDP增长作为互联网普及率和宽带用户函数的多元回归模型。采用Johansen-Fisher面板协整来确定三个变量之间是否存在长期均衡关系,并通过估计基于面板的向量误差修正模型(VECM)来确定因果关系的方向。协整检验结果表明,互联网普及率、宽带用户与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系。因果关系检验显示,从互联网普及率和宽带用户到经济增长,存在长期因果关系。从短期来看,宽带的使用促进了东盟国家的经济增长。然而,在2000-2016年期间,互联网普及率与短期经济增长没有因果关系。研究结果支持了互联网普及和宽带连接是经济增长引擎的说法,并正在迅速改变东盟经济体。基于这些发现,本研究建议东盟各国政府应支持促进更好的互联网和宽带基础设施的政策,以实现短期和长期的经济增长。
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引用次数: 5
The Digital Economy in Southeast and South Asia: Towards Mutually Beneficial Cooperation with Korea 东南亚和南亚的数字经济:迈向与韩国的互利合作
Pub Date : 2020-01-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3889119
Jeong-gon Kim
Southeast and South Asian countries are actively promoting digital economy policies and strategies. They have a great potential in the digital economy: they generally maintain high economic growth rates, have large markets, young population, and decent ICT utilization levels, etc. The conditions for trade investment are also being improved. Though there are deviations between countries, they have strong incentives to promote digital innovation in order to achieve the qualitative advancement of industries and economy as a whole. Moreover, some countries already possess great competitiveness in digital innovation. Demands related to the digital economy are expected to grow in Southeast and South Asian countries. For example, these nations are undergoing rapid urbanization and experiencing a sharp increase in demand for electricity supply, logistics, finances, etc. with the combination of digitalization. Some countries are struggling with a lack of digital skills and technologies, and looking for cooperation with external partners. Korea is a potentially intimate partner that can contribute to substantial leapfrogging in Southeast and South Asian countries. Korea, in terms of both businesses and government policy (the New Southern Policy), is now trying to diversify its areas of cooperation with these countries beyond the manufacturing sectors. Geographic and cultural proximity, as well as the various bilateral economic relationships already established, is the foundation for cooperation in the digital economy. Because the digital economy bears relation to society and culture as well as economic and industrial areas, cooperation in the field of the digital economy can supplement the typical pattern of relationships between Korea and South East and South Asian economies, mainly centered in manufacturing production networks. Korea and Southeast and South Asian countries need to establish a comprehensive cooperation platform. Through this, they can inform partners about their various agenda and interests in digital economy-related areas and discuss ways for cooperation. Innovative small businesses and start-ups should be the focus of cooperation. Korean start-ups are now showing an increasing amount of interest in Southeast Asia. Meanwhile, Southeast and South Asian countries are keen to welcome foreign start-ups and professionals that possess innovative digital technologies and business models. Korea also has to actively participate in multilateral cooperation initiatives covering Southeast and South Asia.
东南亚和南亚国家正在积极推进数字经济政策和战略。这些国家在数字经济方面具有巨大潜力:它们总体上保持着较高的经济增长率,拥有庞大的市场、年轻的人口和良好的信息通信技术利用水平等。贸易投资的条件也在改善。尽管各国之间存在差异,但各国都有强烈的动机推动数字创新,以实现产业和整体经济的质的提升。此外,一些国家在数字创新方面已经具备了很强的竞争力。与数字经济相关的需求预计将在东南亚和南亚国家增长。例如,这些国家正在经历快速的城市化,在数字化的结合下,对电力供应、物流、金融等方面的需求急剧增加。一些国家正在努力解决缺乏数字技能和技术的问题,并寻求与外部伙伴合作。韩国是东南亚和南亚国家实现跨越式发展的潜在亲密伙伴。从企业和政府政策(新南方政策)两方面来看,韩国目前正努力使其与这些国家的合作领域多样化,超越制造业。地理和文化上的相近,以及已建立的各种双边经济关系,是开展数字经济合作的基础。由于数字经济不仅涉及经济和产业领域,还涉及社会和文化领域,因此数字经济领域的合作可以补充韩国与东南亚和南亚经济体之间以制造业生产网络为中心的典型关系模式。韩国要与东南亚、南亚国家建立全面的合作平台。通过这种方式,他们可以向合作伙伴通报各自在数字经济相关领域的各种议程和利益,并讨论合作途径。创新小企业和初创企业应成为合作重点。韩国企业对东南亚的关注也在增加。与此同时,东南亚和南亚国家热衷于欢迎拥有创新数字技术和商业模式的外国初创企业和专业人士。韩国也要积极参与包括东南亚、南亚在内的多边合作。
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引用次数: 2
The Political Economy of the FATF & IMF in Pakistan During 2019 (Part 2) 2019年FATF和IMF在巴基斯坦的政治经济学(下)
Pub Date : 2020-01-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3514332
Usman W. Chohan
This paper presents a series of perspectives on the political economy of the FATF and IMF in Pakistan for the calendar year 2019 (Vol 2.). It raises concerns about the excess politicization of the financial task force and how this impedes the fairness and efficiency of the international financial supervisory system. This then draws attention to the endogenous limitations of developing countries in coping with exogenous impositions of a political-economic nature.
本文介绍了2019日历年FATF和国际货币基金组织在巴基斯坦的政治经济学的一系列观点(第2卷)。这引发了人们对金融特别工作组过度政治化的担忧,以及这将如何阻碍国际金融监管体系的公平和效率。这就使人们注意到发展中国家在应付政治-经济性质的外生强加方面的内生限制。
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引用次数: 6
The Impact of Host-Country Political Risk on Multinationals’ Political Strategy Development 东道国政治风险对跨国公司政治战略发展的影响
Pub Date : 2019-04-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3374216
Dorottya Sallai, Gerhard Schnyder
The paper investigates how high levels of political risk in a host market’s institutional context influences MNE subsidiaries’ corporate political activity (CPA) strategy. Existing studies have found that subsidiaries facing high-risk contexts prefer a non-engaged approach to CPA, by exercising ‘no exit’ and ‘no voice’ strategies. Based on interviews with business leaders in post-socialist Hungary – a context characterised by high political risk – we present contradictory evidence. We find that subsidiaries – do not limit their strategic responses to non-engagement but use a variety of different engaged and non-engaged strategies to maintain their position in the high-risk host market, but these strategies differ from the traditional ‘voice’ strategies used in low-risk contexts. The paper identifies five different strategic choices: 1. Active responsiveness, 2. Passive responsiveness, 3. A non-responsive strategy of ‘dormancy’, 4. Restructuring to avoid being ‘bought up’ or pushed out of the market and 5. Exit, when firms leave the country. We theorise about the determinants of non-market strategic choices in high-risk environments and suggest that existing theories need to be expanded by applying an institutional legitimacy perspective to political risk.
本文研究了东道国市场制度背景下的高水平政治风险如何影响跨国公司子公司的企业政治活动(CPA)战略。现有的研究发现,面对高风险背景的子公司更倾向于采用非参与式方法,而不是CPA,通过行使“不退出”和“不发声”策略。基于对后社会主义匈牙利(一个以高度政治风险为特征的背景)商业领袖的采访,我们提出了相互矛盾的证据。我们发现,子公司并没有将其战略反应限制在不参与,而是使用各种不同的参与和不参与策略来维持其在高风险主机市场中的地位,但这些策略不同于在低风险环境中使用的传统“语音”策略。本文确定了五种不同的战略选择:1。主动响应,2。被动反应,3。“休眠”的非响应策略;重组以避免被“收购”或被挤出市场;Exit,指公司离开该国。我们对高风险环境中非市场战略选择的决定因素进行了理论化,并建议需要通过将制度合法性视角应用于政治风险来扩展现有理论。
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引用次数: 1
M&A Motives and Home Country Institutions: Evidence from Asian-Pacific Acquisitions in Europe 并购动机与母国制度:来自亚太地区在欧洲并购的证据
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3687480
Matthew F. Larsen, Peter Zámborský
With cross-border acquisitions on the rise, especially by multinationals from the Asia-Pacific region, it is important to better understand their motives. Using the Marketline Advantage data on over 700 cross-border acquisitions of European firms by Asian-Pacific multinationals in 2007-2017, we analyse 11 types of rationales for these deals and how they relate to income levels and institutional development of the acquirers’ home countries. We find that the home country development mostly does not affect propensity to invest with a particular motive. However, the quality of the home country’s regulatory environment is significantly and positively related to M&A motives. We conclude with implications for the research on emerging market multinationals, international M&A strategy and outward FDI policies of emerging economies.
随着跨国收购的增多,尤其是来自亚太地区的跨国公司,更好地了解它们的动机非常重要。利用2007-2017年亚太跨国公司对欧洲公司700多起跨境收购的Marketline Advantage数据,我们分析了这些交易的11种基本原理,以及它们与收购方所在国的收入水平和制度发展之间的关系。我们发现母国的发展大多不影响具有特定动机的投资倾向。然而,母国监管环境的质量与并购动机显著正相关。最后,本文对新兴市场跨国公司、国际并购战略和新兴经济体对外直接投资政策的研究提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
The RCEP Negotiations and Asian Intellectual Property Norm Setters RCEP谈判与亚洲知识产权规范制定者
Pub Date : 2018-08-09 DOI: 10.5040/9781509922802.ch-005
Peter K. Yu
This chapter closely examines the negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and the Asian countries' recent efforts to set regional intellectual property norms. The RCEP negotiations are particularly important to Asian intellectual property developments because the RCEP remains the first and only mega-regional agreement that Asian countries have negotiated without the participation of either the European Union or the United States. The chapter begins with a brief discussion of the evolution of the RCEP negotiations, noting the initial rivalry between the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the RCEP, the United States' withdrawal from the former and the adoption of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). The chapter then highlights the different intellectual property provisions in the draft RCEP intellectual property chapter, focusing on the four main branches of intellectual property law as well as the areas of intellectual property enforcement and pro-development measures. Although this chapter analyses the only publicly available text of that chapter, which was dated October 2015, it also takes into account the CPTPP partners' suspension of select TPP intellectual property provisions as well as the time elapsed since the preparation of the draft RCEP text. The chapter concludes by outlining the role of each Asian norm setter in the RCEP negotiations – namely, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), China, India, Japan and South Korea. Except for China, all of these negotiating parties have advanced draft negotiating texts for the development of the RCEP intellectual property chapter.
本章仔细研究了区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)的谈判以及亚洲国家最近制定区域知识产权规范的努力。RCEP谈判对亚洲知识产权发展尤其重要,因为它仍然是亚洲国家在没有欧盟或美国参与的情况下谈判的第一个也是唯一一个大型区域协定。本章首先简要讨论了RCEP谈判的演变,注意到跨太平洋伙伴关系(TPP)和RCEP之间最初的竞争,美国退出前者并通过了《全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(CPTPP)。然后,本章重点介绍了RCEP知识产权章节草案中不同的知识产权条款,重点介绍了知识产权法的四个主要分支以及知识产权执法和促进发展措施领域。尽管本章分析了该章唯一公开的文本(日期为2015年10月),但它也考虑了CPTPP合作伙伴暂停部分TPP知识产权条款以及RCEP文本草案起草以来的时间。本章最后概述了每个亚洲规范制定者在RCEP谈判中的作用,即东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)、中国、印度、日本和韩国。除中国外,所有谈判方都已就RCEP知识产权章节的发展提出了谈判文本草案。
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引用次数: 2
Regional Integration vs. Globalization: A Social Network Analysis of the Trade Within and Outside the Southern African Development Community (SADC) 区域一体化与全球化:南部非洲发展共同体内外贸易的社会网络分析
Pub Date : 2017-02-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2745744
Adrien M. Ratsimbaharison
According to its treaty, one of the main objectives of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) is to achieve “development and economic growth” through regional integration. However, by the time it was created in 1992, the powerful wind of globalization was already blowing across the continent and the whole world, removing or lowering trade barriers everywhere. Analyzing the trade within and outside SADC, the purpose of this study is to find out whether the SADC member states are integrated more to their regional organization than to the global economy (or globalized), and whether they are forming among themselves a single community or different clusters. Using basic statistical analysis along with social network analysis, this study finds that the SADC member states trade more with partners outside their organization than among themselves; and, that South Africa, the European Union, and -- to a lesser extent -- China, occupy the central position in the trade network within and outside SADC. Finally, this study also reveals that instead of forming a single community, the SADC member states are actually divided into two major clusters revolving around South Africa and the European Union.
根据其条约,南部非洲发展共同体(SADC)的主要目标之一是通过区域一体化实现“发展和经济增长”。然而,当它于1992年创建时,全球化的强风已经吹遍了整个大陆和整个世界,各地的贸易壁垒都在消除或降低。分析南共体内外的贸易,本研究的目的是找出南共体成员国是否更多地融入其区域组织而不是全球经济(或全球化),以及它们之间是否形成了一个单一的社区或不同的集群。利用基本统计分析和社会网络分析,本研究发现南共体成员国与组织外伙伴的贸易多于其内部伙伴;南非、欧盟,以及(在较小程度上)中国,在南部非洲发展共同体内外的贸易网络中占据中心地位。最后,这项研究还表明,南共体成员国实际上并没有形成一个单一的共同体,而是分成了以南非和欧盟为中心的两个主要集群。
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引用次数: 0
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Emerging Markets: Regional Perspective eJournal
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