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Choosing Appropriate Regularization Parameters by Splitting Data into Training and Validation Sets—Application in Global Surface-Wave Tomography 通过将数据分成训练集和验证集来选择合适的正则化参数--在全局表面波断层扫描中的应用
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1785/0220230032
Zhitu Ma, Ramees R. Mir, Colleen A. Dalton, Karen E. Godfrey
Many linear(ized) geophysical inverse problems cannot be solved without regularization. Finding the regularization parameter that best balances the model complexity and data misfit is often a key step in the inversion problem. Traditionally, this is done by first plotting the measure of model complexity versus data misfit for different values of regularization parameter, which manifests as an L-shaped curve, and then choosing the regularization parameter corresponding to the corner point on the L-curve. For this approach, the difference in units between model complexity and data misfit must be considered, otherwise the result will be strongly affected by the scaling between these two quantities. Inspired by the machine learning literature, we here propose an extension to the traditional L-curve method. We first split the raw dataset into training and validation sets, obtain a solution by performing inversion on the training set only, and calculate data misfits on the validation set. We demonstrate the efficacy of this approach with a toy example and with two synthetic datasets. In realistic global surface-wave tomography studies where sampling of the Earth is nonuniform, we devise a procedure to generate a validation dataset with sampling as uniform as possible. We then show that the regularization parameter can be determined using this validation set, and this determination is apparently robust to the ratio of data split between training and validation sets. For both synthetic tests and realistic inversions, we find that our procedure can produce a minimal point that can be easily identified on the misfit curves calculated on the validation sets, and avoids the nuances encountered in the traditional L-curve analysis.
许多线性(化)地球物理反演问题都离不开正则化。找到最能平衡模型复杂性和数据误拟合的正则化参数往往是反演问题的关键步骤。传统的做法是,首先绘制不同正则化参数值下的模型复杂度与数据不拟合度的对比图(表现为 L 型曲线),然后选择与 L 型曲线上的角点相对应的正则化参数。对于这种方法,必须考虑模型复杂度和数据误拟合之间的单位差异,否则结果会受到这两个量之间的比例关系的强烈影响。受机器学习文献的启发,我们在此提出了对传统 L 曲线方法的扩展。我们首先将原始数据集拆分为训练集和验证集,仅在训练集上执行反演获得解决方案,然后计算验证集上的数据误差。我们用一个玩具实例和两个合成数据集证明了这种方法的有效性。在现实的全球地表波层析成像研究中,地球的采样是不均匀的,我们设计了一个程序来生成采样尽可能均匀的验证数据集。然后,我们证明可以利用该验证集确定正则化参数,而且该确定方法对训练集和验证集之间的数据分割比例具有明显的稳健性。对于合成测试和实际反演,我们发现我们的程序可以产生一个最小点,这个最小点可以很容易地在验证集计算的误拟合曲线上识别出来,并避免了传统 L 曲线分析中遇到的细微差别。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrology Drives Crustal Deformation and Modulates Seismicity in the Matese Massif (Italy) 水文驱动地壳变形并调节马特塞山丘(意大利)的地震活动
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1785/0220230239
Francesco Pintori, Federica Sparacino, Federica Riguzzi
We analyze the interplay between hydrology, deformation, and seismicity in the Matese massif, located in the Italian Southern Apennines. We find that this area is characterized by the concurrent action of two hydrologically driven processes: the first is the deformation detected by the Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) data in the shallowest part (above the elevation of the major springs) of the Earth crust, in phase with the hydrological forcing; the second is the triggering of seismicity at depth with a delay suggesting a downward diffusive process. We study the first process by applying a principal component analysis to the GNSS displacements time series, aiming to identify a common signal describing the largest data variance. We find that the maximum horizontal displacements associated with the first principal component (PC1) are larger than 1 cm in two GNSS sites, and the PC1 temporal evolution is well correlated and in phase with the flow of the largest spring of the region, which we consider as proxy of the water content of the massif. This suggests that the main source of horizontal deformation is the water content fluctuations in the shallow portion of the Matese aquifer, in particular within fractures located in correspondence of the main mapped faults. The deformation rates caused by this process are one order of magnitude larger than the tectonic ones. Finally, we infer the second process by observing the correlation between the background seismicity and the spring discharge with a time lag of 121 days. In our interpretation, downward diffusive processes, driven by aquifer water content variations, propagate pore‐pressure waves that affect the fault’s strength favoring the occurrence of microearthquakes. This is supported by the values of hydraulic diffusivity (⁠1.5 m2/s⁠) and rock permeability (⁠3.2–3.8×10−13 m2⁠), which are compatible with what is observed in karstified limestones.
我们分析了位于意大利南亚平宁山脉的马特塞山丘的水文、形变和地震之间的相互作用。我们发现,该地区的特点是两个水文驱动过程同时作用:第一个过程是全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)数据在地壳最浅部分(主要泉水海拔以上)探测到的形变,与水文作用力相一致;第二个过程是地震在深部触发,但有延迟,表明是一个向下扩散的过程。我们通过对全球导航卫星系统位移时间序列进行主成分分析来研究第一个过程,目的是找出描述最大数据方差的共同信号。我们发现,在两个全球导航卫星系统站点,与第一个主成分(PC1)相关的最大水平位移大于 1 厘米,而且 PC1 的时间演变与该地区最大泉水的流量密切相关,并处于同一相位,我们将其视为地块含水量的代表。这表明,水平变形的主要来源是马特塞含水层浅层的含水量波动,特别是位于与主要测绘断层相对应的断裂内的含水量波动。这一过程引起的变形率比构造变形率大一个数量级。最后,我们通过观察背景地震与泉水排泄量之间 121 天的相关性,推断出第二个过程。根据我们的解释,由含水层含水量变化驱动的向下扩散过程传播的孔隙压力波影响了断层的强度,有利于微地震的发生。水力扩散率(1.5 m2/s)和岩石渗透率(3.2-3.8×10-13 m2)的数值也证明了这一点,这些数值与岩溶灰岩中观察到的数值相符。
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引用次数: 0
Ensemble Region‐Specific GMMs for Subduction Earthquakes 针对俯冲地震的特定区域 GMM 集合
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1785/0220230070
Farhad Sedaghati, Shahram Pezeshk
This study develops data‐driven global and region‐specific ground‐motion models (GMMs) for subduction earthquakes using a weighted average ensemble model to combine four different nonparametric supervised machine‐learning (ML) algorithms, including an artificial neural network, a kernel ridge regressor, a random forest regressor, and a support vector regressor. To achieve this goal, we train individual models using a subset of the Next Generation Attenuation‐Subduction (NGA‐Sub) data set, including 9559 recordings out of 153 interface and intraslab earthquakes recorded at 3202 different stations. A grid search is used to find each model’s best hyperparameters. Then, we use an equally weighted average ensemble approach to combine these four models. Ensemble modeling is a technique that combines the strengths of multiple ML algorithms to mitigate their weaknesses. The ensemble model considers moment magnitude (M), rupture distance (⁠Rrup⁠), time‐averaged shear‐wave velocity in the upper 30 m (⁠VS30⁠), and depth to the top of the rupture plane (⁠Ztor⁠), as well as tectonic and region as input parameters, and predicts various median orientation‐independent horizontal component ground‐motion intensity measures such as peak ground displacement, peak ground velocity, peak ground acceleration, and 5%‐damped pseudospectral acceleration values at spectral periods of 0.01–10 s in log scale. Although no functional form is defined, the response spectra and the distance and magnitude scaling trends of the weighted average ensemble model are consistent and comparable with the NGA‐Sub GMMs, with slightly lower standard deviations. A mixed effects regression analysis is used to partition the total aleatory variability into between‐event, between‐station, and event‐site‐corrected components. The derived global GMMs are applicable to interface earthquakes with M 4.9–9.12, 14≤Rrup≤1000 km⁠, and Ztor≤47 km for sites having VS30values between 95 and 2230 m/s. For intraslab events, the derived global GMMs are applicable to M 4.0–8.0, 28≤Rrup≤1000 km⁠, and 30≤Ztor≤200 km for sites having VS30 values between 95 and 2100 m/s.
本研究使用加权平均集合模型,结合四种不同的非参数监督机器学习(ML)算法,包括人工神经网络、核脊回归器、随机森林回归器和支持向量回归器,为俯冲地震开发数据驱动的全球和特定区域地动模型(GMM)。为了实现这一目标,我们使用下一代衰减-减弱(NGA-Sub)数据集的子集来训练各个模型,其中包括在 3202 个不同站点记录的 153 次界面和实验室内地震中的 9559 次记录。我们使用网格搜索来找到每个模型的最佳超参数。然后,我们使用加权平均集合方法来组合这四个模型。集合建模是一种结合多种 ML 算法的优点以减轻其缺点的技术。集合模型将力矩大小(M)、断裂距离(Rrup)、上部 30 米的时间平均剪切波速度(VS30)、到断裂面顶部的深度(Ztor)以及构造和区域作为输入参数,并预测各种与方位无关的水平分量地动强度中值,如地表位移峰值、地表速度峰值、地表加速度峰值以及频谱周期为 0.01-10 秒的对数标度。虽然没有定义函数形式,但加权平均集合模型的响应谱以及距离和幅度缩放趋势与 NGA-Sub GMMs 一致并具有可比性,标准偏差略低。通过混合效应回归分析,将总的人工变异性划分为事件间、站点间和事件-站点校正部分。推导出的全球 GMM 适用于 VS30 值在 95 至 2230 m/s 之间的站点,M 值为 4.9-9.12、14≤Rrup≤1000 km 和 Ztor≤47 km 的界面地震。对于台内事件,得出的全球 GMM 适用于 M 4.0-8.0、28≤Rrup≤1000 km 和 30≤Ztor≤200 km(VS30 值在 95 至 2100 m/s 之间)的站点。
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引用次数: 0
Summary of the Discussions During the 2023 SSA Topical Meeting on “Future Directions for Physics‐Based Ground Motion Modeling” 2023 年特别服务协议 "基于物理的地动模拟的未来方向 "专题会议讨论摘要
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1785/0220240084
Hiroshi Kawase, Annemarie Baltay
The Seismological Society of America (SSA) topical conference, Future Directions for Physics‐Based Ground Motion Modeling, was held in Vancouver, Canada, on 10–13 October 2023, co‐sponsored by the Seismological Society of Japan and co‐chaired by Annemarie Baltay of the U.S. Geological Survey and Hiroshi Kawase of Kyoto University. This meeting brought together many researchers and practitioners interested in modeling, observing, and utilizing ground‐motion models (GMMs). Scientists gathered to discuss complex kinematic and dynamic rupture simulation approaches, empirical representations of the earthquake source, site and path effects, physical modeling of the recording site, challenges for model extrapolation, and overall prediction accuracy and...
美国地震学会(SSA)专题会议 "基于物理的地动建模的未来方向 "于 2023 年 10 月 10-13 日在加拿大温哥华举行,会议由日本地震学会联合主办,美国地质调查局的 Annemarie Baltay 和京都大学的 Hiroshi Kawase 共同主持。这次会议汇集了许多对地动模型建模、观测和利用感兴趣的研究人员和从业人员。科学家们齐聚一堂,讨论了复杂的运动学和动态破裂模拟方法、震源的经验表示法、现场和路径效应、记录现场的物理建模、模型外推法面临的挑战以及总体预测精度和...
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引用次数: 0
SSA 2024 Annual Meeting SSA 2024 年年会
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1785/0220240136
Abstract not available
无摘要
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引用次数: 0
Tracking Seismic Velocity Perturbations at Ridgecrest Using Ballistic Correlation Functions 利用弹道相关函数追踪里奇奎斯特地震速度扰动
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1785/0220230348
Y. Sheng, A. Mordret, F. Brenguier, Lisa Tomasetto, Q. Higueret, Coralie Aubert, Dan Hollis, Frank Vernon, Y. Ben‐Zion
We present results based on data of a dense nodal array composed of 147 stations, deployed in 2022 near the epicenter of the 2019 Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake to investigate characteristics of the seismic wavefields. Through array analyses, we identified two primary components. First, we observed far-field P waves dominating the 0.5–1.2 Hz frequency range, which are likely primarily generated by wind-driven oceanic swell activity. Second, we detected near-field body waves resulting from anthropogenic activities in the frequency range 2–8 Hz. We examined noise correlation functions derived from data of the dense deployment and regional stations to explore fault-zone seismic velocity changes using ballistic arrivals, with a focus on velocity perturbation shortly before and after the Ridgecrest earthquake sequence. Our findings exhibit distinct behavior compared to results obtained through standard coda-wave interferometry. Particularly, we observed a decrease in P-wave travel time on certain station pairs prior to the 2019 earthquake sequence. Supported by detailed investigation of the local seismic wavefields, we interpret the decreasing P-wave travel time as likely caused by a velocity increase away from the fault, possibly related to fluid migration. However, additional information is necessary to verify this hypothesis.
2022 年,我们在 2019 年里奇克雷斯特 7.1 级地震震中附近部署了由 147 个台站组成的密集节点阵列,以研究地震波场的特征。通过阵列分析,我们确定了两个主要组成部分。首先,我们观察到远场 P 波在 0.5-1.2 Hz 频率范围内占主导地位,这可能主要是由风驱动的海洋膨胀活动产生的。其次,我们在频率为 2-8 Hz 的范围内检测到了人为活动产生的近场体波。我们研究了从密集部署和区域台站数据中得出的噪声相关函数,利用弹道到达来探索断层带地震速度的变化,重点是里奇克雷斯特地震序列发生前后不久的速度扰动。与通过标准科达波干涉测量法获得的结果相比,我们的研究结果显示出与众不同的行为。特别是,我们观察到在 2019 年地震序列之前,某些站对的 P 波传播时间有所减少。在对当地地震波场进行详细调查的支持下,我们将 P 波传播时间的减少解释为可能是由远离断层的速度增加引起的,可能与流体迁移有关。然而,要验证这一假设,还需要更多的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Ukrainian Seismic Network: Current Status and Challenges 乌克兰地震网络:现状与挑战
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1785/0220230337
T. Amashukeli, L. Farfuliak, O. Haniiev, Kostiantyn Petrenko
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引用次数: 0
Anisotropic Characterization of the Chukchi Boardland Based on Ocean-Bottom Seismic Experiment during N11-CHINARE 基于 N11-CHINARE 期间洋底地震实验的楚科奇板块各向异性特征描述
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1785/0220230349
Junhui Xing, Haowei Xu, Wei Gong, Boxue Yang, Chuang Liu
The current research focus at Chukchi Boardland (CB) revolves around sediment stratification and crustal structure, but investigations into deep stress fields and mantle dynamics are limited. This article presents a study on the anisotropic characteristics of the CB. Shear-wave splitting measurements were conducted using the transverse energy minimization at six stations recovered from the 11th Chinese National Arctic Research Expedition. The observation period for these six stations ranged from 2 August 2020 to 8 September 2020. The results demonstrate significant anisotropy within the CB, with the fast shear-wave polarization direction ranging from N60°E to N70°E. The time delays between fast and slow shear waves were found to be ∼0.7 s. By comparing the anisotropy observed at the CB with that at land stations in Arctic Alaska, this study suggested that the genesis of anisotropy beneath the CB was related to the formation of the Amerasian basin. The tectonic processes of rifting during basin evolution and midocean ridge spreading led to the development of anisotropy in the lithosphere beneath the CB during expansion.
楚科奇板块(CB)目前的研究重点是沉积分层和地壳结构,但对深部应力场和地幔动力学的研究十分有限。本文介绍了对楚科奇板块各向异性特征的研究。采用横向能量最小化方法,对中国第 11 次国家北极科考回收的六个站位进行了剪切波分裂测量。这六个站的观测时间为 2020 年 8 月 2 日至 2020 年 9 月 8 日。观测结果表明,CB 内各向异性明显,快速剪切波极化方向为 N60°E 至 N70°E。通过比较 CB 观测到的各向异性和阿拉斯加北极地区陆地观测站观测到的各向异性,该研究认为 CB 地下各向异性的形成与阿美拉西亚盆地的形成有关。海盆演化过程中的断裂构造过程和大洋中脊扩张导致了CB下方岩石圈在扩张过程中各向异性的形成。
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引用次数: 0
Along-Strike Variation of Rupture Characteristics and Aftershock Patterns of the 2023 Mw 7.8 Türkiye Earthquake Controlled by Fault Structure 受断层结构控制的 2023 年图尔基耶 7.8 级地震破裂特征的沿震变化和余震模式
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1785/0220230378
Zhifan Wan, Rendong Dong, Dun Wang, Shiqing Xu, Zhifeng Wang, Qi Wang
On 6 February 2023, an Mw 7.8 earthquake occurred along the East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) in southeastern Türkiye, representing the strongest earthquake in the region in nearly 80 yr. We investigate rupture characteristics and aftershock patterns of the earthquake through focal mechanism calculation, backprojection analysis, and finite-fault inversion. The results show bilateral rupture propagation of the mainshock with transient supershear speed in the southwest portion of the EAFZ, as well as shallower coseismic slip and abundant normal-faulting aftershocks in the same portion. We attribute these earthquake behaviors to the along-strike variation of fault structure of the EAFZ, which features a more complex fault geometry accompanied by numerous short normal faults in the southwest portion. These results shed light on fault segmentation, rupture speed variation, and slip partitioning along the EAFZ, advancing our understanding of fault structural control on earthquake behaviors in a complex multisegment fault system.
2023 年 2 月 6 日,土耳其东南部东安纳托利亚断裂带(EAFZ)发生了 Mw 7.8 级地震,这是该地区近 80 年来最强烈的地震。结果表明,在 EAFZ 西南部,主震以瞬时超剪切速度进行了双边破裂传播,同时在同一地区还发生了较浅的共震滑移和大量的正断层余震。我们将这些地震行为归因于 EAFZ 断层结构的沿走向变化,其特点是西南部的断层几何形状更为复杂,并伴有大量短的正断层。这些结果揭示了断层分段、破裂速度变化以及沿 EAFZ 的滑动分区,加深了我们对复杂的多段断层系统中断层结构对地震行为控制的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Shake to the Beat: Exploring the Seismic Signals and Stadium Response of Concerts and Music Fans 跟着节拍摇摆探索音乐会和乐迷的地震信号和体育场反应
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1785/0220230385
G. Tepp, I. Stubailo, Monica Kohler, Richard Guy, Yousef Bozorgnia
Large music festivals and stadium concerts are known to produce unique vibration signals that resemble harmonic tremor, particularly at frequencies around 1–10 Hz. This study investigates the seismic signals of a Taylor Swift concert performed on 5 August 2023 (UTC) as part of a series at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, with an audience of ∼70,000. Signals were recorded on regional seismic network stations located within ∼9 km of the stadium, as well as on strong-motion sensors placed near and inside the stadium prior to the concert series. We automatically identified the seismic signals from spectrograms using a Hough transform approach and characterized their start times, durations, frequency content, particle motions, radiated energy, and equivalent magnitudes. These characteristics allowed us to associate the signals with individual songs and explore the nature of the seismic source. The signal frequencies matched the song beat rates well, whereas the signal and song durations were less similar. Radiated energy was determined to be a more physically relevant measure of strength than magnitude, given the tremor-like nature of the signals. The structural response of the stadium showed nearly equal shaking intensities in the vertical and horizontal directions at frequencies that match the seismic signals recorded outside the stadium. In addition, we conducted a brief experiment to further evaluate whether the harmonic tremor signals could be generated by the speaker system and instruments, audience motions, or something else. All evidence considered, we interpret the signal source as primarily crowd motion in response to the music. The particle motions of the strongest harmonics are consistent with Rayleigh waves influenced by scattered body waves and likely reflect how the crowd is moving. Results from three other musical performances at SoFi in summer 2023 were similar, although differences in the signals may relate to the musical genre and variations in audience motions.
众所周知,大型音乐节和体育场音乐会会产生类似谐震的独特振动信号,尤其是在 1-10 赫兹左右的频率。本研究调查了泰勒-斯威夫特于 2023 年 8 月 5 日(协调世界时)在加利福尼亚州英格尔伍德 SoFi 体育场举行的系列演唱会的地震信号,该演唱会的观众人数为 7 万人。信号由位于体育场 9 千米范围内的区域地震网络台站记录,以及在系列音乐会之前放置在体育场附近和内部的强运动传感器记录。我们使用 Hough 变换方法从频谱图中自动识别地震信号,并对其起始时间、持续时间、频率含量、质点运动、辐射能量和等效震级进行特征描述。这些特征使我们能够将信号与单个歌曲联系起来,并探索震源的性质。信号频率与歌声节拍非常吻合,而信号和歌声持续时间则不太相似。鉴于信号的震颤性质,辐射能量被认为是比震级更贴近物理的强度衡量标准。体育场的结构响应显示,在垂直和水平方向上的震动强度几乎相等,其频率与体育场外记录到的地震信号相吻合。此外,我们还做了一个简短的实验,以进一步评估谐波震颤信号是否可能由扬声器系统和乐器、观众动作或其他因素产生。考虑到所有证据,我们认为信号源主要是观众对音乐的反应。最强谐波的粒子运动与受散射体波影响的瑞利波一致,很可能反映了人群的运动方式。2023 年夏季在 SoFi 进行的另外三场音乐表演的结果与此类似,但信号的差异可能与音乐类型和观众运动的变化有关。
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引用次数: 0
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Seismological Research Letters
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