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Interseismic Coupling–Based Stochastic Slip Modeling of the 1920 Ms 8.5 Haiyuan Earthquake 基于地震间耦合的1920 Ms海原8.5地震随机滑动模拟
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1785/0220230253
Yanchuan Li, Xinjian Shan, Zhiyu Gao, Chunyan Qu
Abstract The 1920 Ms 8.5 Haiyuan earthquake was the largest rupture in China in the twentieth century; however, the coseismic slip characteristics that provide insight into fault kinematics and future seismic hazards are unknown. In this study, we employed stochastic slip modeling to explore plausible slip distributions for this earthquake, incorporating different geodetic fault coupling models as prior constraints. Results demonstrate that fault coupling constraints have both positive and negative effects on stochastic models generating slip scenarios to fit the field-measured geomorphic offset observations. Notably, a Gauss coupling model helps to generate surface slip with higher probabilities to fit geomorphic offsets, exhibiting a closer resemblance to the slip distribution of the Haiyuan earthquake. Integrating 41 slip scenarios of 6000 that reasonably fit the geomorphic offsets, we find that the Haiyuan earthquake likely involved multiple asperities and occurred as a cascading rupture event. The western and eastern fault segments may involve shallow slip deficits, implying potential distributed and/or off-fault deformation during the earthquake, with implications for geomorphic offset–based interpretations of long-term fault behavior. The modeling not only provides insight into the kinematics of the Haiyuan earthquake but also offers a plausible scheme for investigating historical earthquakes.
1920年海原8.5级地震是20世纪中国最大的一次地震破裂;然而,提供断层运动学和未来地震危险的同震滑动特征是未知的。在这项研究中,我们采用随机滑动模型来探索这次地震的合理滑动分布,并将不同的大地断层耦合模型作为先验约束。结果表明,断层耦合约束对生成滑移情景的随机模型有积极和消极的影响,以拟合实地测量的地貌偏移观测。值得注意的是,高斯耦合模型有助于产生更高概率的地表滑动以拟合地貌偏移,与海原地震的滑动分布更接近。综合6000年的41个滑动情景,我们发现海原地震可能涉及多个陡坡,并以级联破裂事件的形式发生。西部和东部断层段可能涉及浅滑动缺陷,这意味着地震期间潜在的分布和/或断层外变形,这意味着基于地貌偏移的长期断层行为解释。该模型不仅提供了对海原地震运动学的深入了解,而且为研究历史地震提供了一个合理的方案。
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引用次数: 0
Structural Heterogeneity Controlled Rupture Process of the 2021 Mw 7.1 Fukushima, Japan, Earthquake Revealed by Joint Inversion of Seismic and Geodetic Data 基于地震和大地测量数据联合反演的2021 Mw 7.1级日本福岛地震结构非均质性控制破裂过程
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1785/0220230259
Yuyang Tan, Ning Gu, Huilin Xing, Yong Zhang, Zongwei Jin, Sibo Hua, Jianchao Wang, Mutian Qin, Shuo Pang, Sanzhong Li
Abstract We determined the rupture model of the 2021 Mw 7.1 Fukushima earthquake near northeastern Japan in this study and adopted this model to investigate the cause of this earthquake and its aftershocks. The rupture model was obtained through joint inversion of teleseismic, strong-motion and geodetic data. It is shown that the slips were predominantly distributed on the southwest side of the earthquake epicenter, indicating a unilateral rupture event. We observed that the seismic moment was released in three time periods, producing four slip patches on the fault plane. Through comparison, we demonstrated that our joint inversion model was more reliable in describing the rupture process of the Fukushima earthquake than the automatic inversion models determined using only strong-motion data. By jointly analyzing the slip distribution and seismic velocity structure, we found a good correlation between the slip patches and VP/VS anomalies, suggesting that structural heterogeneities along the fault zone played a critical role in controlling the rupture process of the Fukushima earthquake. In addition, most aftershocks were located in the region characterized by small slips and high VP/VS, and we demonstrated that they were caused by stress changes due to the presence of fluids and the rupture of the mainshock.
摘要本研究确定了2021年日本东北部附近发生的Mw 7.1级福岛地震的破裂模型,并利用该模型探讨了此次地震及其余震的成因。通过对远震、强震和大地测量资料的联合反演,得到了断裂模型。结果表明,滑动主要分布在震中西南侧,表明是一次单侧破裂事件。我们观察到地震矩在三个时间段内释放,在断面上产生了四个滑动斑块。通过比较,我们发现联合反演模型在描述福岛地震破裂过程方面比仅利用强震数据确定的自动反演模型更可靠。通过对滑动分布和地震速度结构的联合分析,我们发现滑动斑块与VP/VS异常具有良好的相关性,表明沿断裂带的构造非均质性在控制福岛地震破裂过程中发挥了关键作用。此外,大多数余震位于以小滑动和高VP/VS为特征的区域,我们证明了它们是由流体的存在和主震破裂引起的应力变化引起的。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Station Performance of the Indonesian Seismic Network Using the Primary Location Parameter 用主位参数评价印尼地震台网台站性能
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1785/0220220334
Nanang T. Puspito, Bambang S. Prayitno, Andri D. Nugraha, David P. Sahara, Dian Kusumawati, Zulfakriza Zulfakriza, Shindy Rosalia, Daryono Daryono, Nova Heryandoko, Ajat Sudrajat, Pepen Supendi, Suko P. Adi, Dwikorita Karnawati
Abstract Indonesia’s tectonic setting has resulted in a high level of seismic activity, which makes seismic networks and early warning systems vital for this country. Indonesia’s seismic stations, a total of 411 stations in 2021, are maintained by the Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG). This study attempts to evaluate station performance, because these are crucial in monitoring seismic activity. We utilized information from the BMKG 2020 and 2019 seismic catalogs to analyze the performance of the stations. A total of 13,798 events were reported in 2019 with magnitudes (MLv) of up to 8, whereas 10,163 events with similar magnitudes were reported in 2020. Stations in the eastern part of Indonesia (Sulawesi, Lesser Sunda Islands, the Moluccas, and Papua) detected more events compared to stations in the western part of Indonesia (Borneo, Sumatra, and Java). Up to 1651 events were detected by a single station in eastern Indonesia, compared to 847 events in western Indonesia. BMKG stations in eastern Indonesia have recorded ample amounts of events, which is consistent with the high seismic activity found there. In terms of station coverage, events in the eastern part have better station coverage due to smaller azimuthal gaps, considering the geographic location. We also analyzed station performance and the number of recorded stations in terms of a function of time for each event in the Sumatra, Sulawesi, Lesser Sunda Islands, and Papua regions. Although the number of recordings obtained by stations was high after 15 s since the origin time, the azimuthal gap progression in Sumatra and Java remained large. Therefore, an additional ocean-bottom seismometer needs to be installed in the Sumatra–Java trench.
印度尼西亚的构造环境导致了高水平的地震活动,这使得地震网络和早期预警系统对这个国家至关重要。印度尼西亚的地震台站,到2021年共有411个台站,由气象、气候和地球物理局(BMKG)维护。本研究试图评估台站的性能,因为这些对监测地震活动至关重要。我们利用BMKG 2020和2019年地震目录的信息来分析台站的性能。2019年共报告震级(MLv)高达8级的地震13798次,2020年报告震级为10163次。印度尼西亚东部(苏拉威西岛、小巽他群岛、摩鹿加群岛和巴布亚岛)的台站比印度尼西亚西部(婆罗洲、苏门答腊和爪哇)的台站检测到更多的事件。印度尼西亚东部一个监测站检测到的事件多达1651起,而印度尼西亚西部为847起。印度尼西亚东部的BMKG台站记录了大量的地震事件,这与那里发现的高地震活动相一致。在台站覆盖方面,考虑到地理位置,东部地区的事件由于方位角间隙较小,台站覆盖较好。我们还根据苏门答腊岛、苏拉威西岛、小巽他群岛和巴布亚地区每次事件的时间函数分析了台站的性能和记录台站的数量。虽然在起始时间15s之后,各台站获得的记录数量较多,但苏门答腊和爪哇的方位间隙进展仍然很大。因此,需要在苏门答腊-爪哇海沟安装一个额外的海底地震仪。
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引用次数: 0
Reappraising the 25 February 1695 Asolano Earthquake 重新评价1695年2月25日阿索拉诺地震
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1785/0220230238
Romano Camassi, Viviana Castelli, Enrico Serpelloni, Silvia Pondrelli
Abstract The 1695 Mw 6.4 Asolano earthquake is the southernmost of the six largest earthquakes to have occurred in northeast Italy or nearby (the others being 1348 Mw 6.6 Eastern Alps; 1511 Mw 6.3 Friuli-Slovenia; 1873 Mw 6.2 Alpago-Cansiglio; 1936 Mw 6.1 Alpago-Cansiglio; 1976 Mw 6.4 Friuli). The 1695 earthquake is generally associated with the Montello thrust, with most recent studies locating it on the eastern slope of Montello Hill. A full-scale reappraisal of all available historical data leads this study to a more robust macroseismic localization of the 1695 earthquake and to open toward other possible locations of the seismic source that produced it. In particular, it becomes feasible to place its epicenter at the foothills of the Monte Grappa massif, the major morphological expression of the Bassano–Valdobbiadene thrust fault. Here, we describe the reasons that make this fault a possible alternative to previous hypotheses.
1695兆瓦6.4阿索拉诺地震是意大利东北部或附近发生的六次最大地震中最南端的一次(其他是1348兆瓦6.6东阿尔卑斯;弗留利-斯洛文尼亚;6.2 Alpago-Cansiglio;1936 Mw 6.1 Alpago-Cansiglio;1976 Mw 6.4 Friuli)。1695年的地震通常与蒙特罗逆冲有关,最近的研究将其定位在蒙特罗山的东坡上。对所有可用的历史数据进行全面的重新评估,使本研究能够对1695年地震进行更可靠的宏观地震定位,并向产生它的震源的其他可能位置开放。特别是,将其震中置于巴萨诺-瓦尔多比亚德内逆冲断层的主要形态表现——格拉帕山山麓是可行的。在这里,我们描述了使这个错误成为先前假设的可能选择的原因。
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引用次数: 0
Multipath Transfer-Function Correction Method to Predict Site-Specific Amplification at City Scale 多路径传递函数修正法预测城市尺度上的站点特异性放大
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1785/0220230213
Miroslav Hallo, Paolo Bergamo, Donat Fäh
Abstract The site-specific amplification of seismic waves is an essential component of local seismic hazard assessment. It can be evaluated from empirical data, but measurements are feasible just in a limited number of locations. Hence, at the city scale, there is a need for the theoretical prediction and interpolation of the amplification. In this article, we introduce a physics-based method to predict the site-specific amplification and duration in a broad frequency range. The method is based on a novel energy-based concept of the multipath propagation of waves in viscoelastic media with random heterogeneities. The amplification is expressed by the surface-outcrop transfer function of the multipath wave propagation, which is defined by expected values of the energy spectral ratio. The method is applied to the near-surface 2D velocity model in the city of Zürich in Switzerland. The predicted amplification is validated by empirical data at a nearby seismic station, and it is compared with the soil class and other site-condition proxies. Finally, the method performance is demonstrated by the prediction of site-specific seismic waveforms and response spectra for the 2022 ML 4.7 Mulhouse earthquake.
地震波的特定场址放大是局部地震危险性评价的重要组成部分。它可以从经验数据进行评估,但测量仅在有限的位置是可行的。因此,在城市尺度上,有必要对放大进行理论预测和插值。在本文中,我们介绍了一种基于物理的方法来预测宽频率范围内的特定位点放大和持续时间。该方法基于一种新的基于能量的波在随机非均质粘弹性介质中多径传播的概念。放大用多径波传播的地表-露头传递函数表示,该传递函数由能谱比的期望值定义。将该方法应用于瑞士z里奇市近地表二维速度模型。通过附近地震台站的经验数据验证了预测的放大效果,并与土壤类别和其他现场条件指标进行了比较。最后,通过预测2022年ML 4.7米卢斯地震的现场地震波形和反应谱,验证了该方法的性能。
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引用次数: 0
An Efficient Transfer Learning-Based OBS Seismic Phase Picker (OBSPD) Trained on Cascadia Subduction Zone Earthquake Dataset 基于Cascadia俯冲带地震数据集训练的高效迁移学习OBS地震相位采集器(OBSPD
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1785/0220230161
Zhangbao Cheng, Yen Joe Tan, Fan Zhang, Pengcheng Zhou, Jian Lin, Jinyu Tian, Xubo Zhang, Caicai Zha
Abstract Earthquake monitoring and many seismological studies depend on seismic phase arrivals. Thus, detecting seismic events and picking the phase arrival times are fundamentally important. In the recent years, seismic phase picking models based on deep learning approaches have been widely developed. These deep learning models can achieve better performances than traditional phase picking methods and improve the quality of phase picking for land-based earthquake monitoring. However, these models might not perform well on data from ocean-bottom seismometers (OBSs), because they are trained exclusively using onshore seismic data and have limited out-of-distribution generalization ability. Nevertheless, there are insufficient labeled OBS phase arrivals dataset to train a deep learning model from scratch. In this study, we developed an automatic phase detection model for OBS data (OBS phase detection [OBSPD]) using the transfer learning approach based on an existing U-GPD model with pretrained weights from a generalized phase detection model feature extraction system. We developed OBSPD with a limited amount of training data (2784 three-component event waveforms) from the Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) OBS deployments. Our results show that transfer learning can achieve lower model loss with less overfitting compared to when training a model from scratch. Our new OBSPD model outperforms four existing deep learning pickers in terms of phase detection accuracy with smaller arrival time residuals on a test OBS dataset at CSZ, especially for P phases.
地震监测和许多地震学研究都依赖于地震相到达。因此,检测地震事件和选择相位到达时间是至关重要的。近年来,基于深度学习方法的地震相位提取模型得到了广泛的发展。这些深度学习模型比传统的相位采集方法具有更好的性能,提高了地面地震监测的相位采集质量。然而,这些模型在海底地震仪(OBSs)的数据上可能表现不佳,因为它们只使用陆上地震数据进行训练,并且具有有限的分布外泛化能力。然而,没有足够的标记OBS阶段到达数据集来从头开始训练深度学习模型。在本研究中,我们基于现有的U-GPD模型,使用广义相位检测模型特征提取系统的预训练权重,使用迁移学习方法开发了OBS数据的自动相位检测模型(OBS phase detection [OBSPD])。我们利用来自Cascadia俯冲带(CSZ)海底地震仪部署的少量训练数据(2784个三分量事件波形)开发了OBSPD。我们的结果表明,与从头开始训练模型相比,迁移学习可以实现更低的模型损失和更少的过拟合。我们的新OBSPD模型在相位检测精度方面优于现有的四种深度学习拾取器,在CSZ的测试OBS数据集上具有较小的到达时间残差,特别是对于P相位。
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引用次数: 0
All the People of Israel Are Friends: An Unknown Mid-Fifteenth Century Earthquake in the Marche Region (Central Italian Apennines) Recorded in a Coeval Hebrew Manuscript 所有的以色列人都是朋友:同一时期的希伯来手稿中记载的15世纪中期马尔凯地区(意大利中部亚平宁山脉)的一次未知地震
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1785/0220230209
Paolo Galli
Abstract Although the Italian seismic catalogs are considered among those with the best historical completeness, for periods prior to the Modern era they have gaps, often concentrated in limited regions. For example, Marche, a central Apennine region with high seismicity level, lacks any macroseismic observations throughout the entire fifteenth century. The chance discovery of a destructive earthquake summarized in a note written on a Hebrew prayer manuscript from 1446, not only helps us partially fill a gap in the seismic history of Italy but also prompts us to reflect on how much we still do not know about seismogenesis even in times covered by written sources.
尽管意大利地震目录被认为是历史完整性最好的,但在现代之前的时期,它们存在空白,通常集中在有限的地区。例如,亚平宁中部地震活动水平较高的马尔切地区在整个15世纪都缺乏宏观地震观测。在1446年希伯来祈祷手稿上的笔记中总结了一次偶然发现的破坏性地震,这不仅帮助我们部分地填补了意大利地震史上的空白,而且促使我们反思,即使在有书面资料记载的时代,我们对地震发生的了解仍然有多少。
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引用次数: 0
Sequencing Seismic Noise Correlations for Improving Surface Wave Retrieval and Characterizing Noise Sources 地震噪声相关性排序改进表面波检索和噪声源表征
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1785/0220230151
Hongjian Fang
Abstract Cross-correlating continuous seismic data is a commonly employed technique to extract coherent signals to image and monitor the subsurface. However, due largely to site effects and poorly characterized noise sources in oceanic environments, its application to ocean-bottom seismometer (OBS) recordings often requires additional processing. In this contribution, we propose a method to improve the quality of the retrieved surface waves from OBS data and characterize the noise sources. We first cluster the pre-stack noise cross-correlation functions (NCFs) based on a sequencing algorithm, followed by selectively stacking those consisting of coherent and stable signals that are consistent with predicted surface-wave arrival times. Synthetic tests show that the sequenced NCFs can be used to recover the spatial and temporal distribution of noise sources. Applying the method to an OBS array offshore California increases the signal-to-noise ratios of the obtained Rayleigh waves. In addition, we find that the annual temporal distribution of selected NCFs with frequencies ranging from 0.04 to 0.1 Hz is nearly homogeneous during the recording period. In contrast, many NCFs excluded for stacking are temporally clustered. This method has the potential to be applied to other OBS recordings or possibly onland deployments, thus helping to obtain high-quality surface waves and to analyze temporal noise source characteristics.
交叉相关连续地震资料是一种常用的提取相干信号进行地下成像和监测的技术。然而,由于海洋环境中的场地效应和特征不佳的噪声源,它在海底地震仪记录中的应用往往需要额外的处理。在这篇论文中,我们提出了一种方法来提高从OBS数据中检索到的表面波的质量并表征噪声源。我们首先基于排序算法对叠前噪声互相关函数(nfc)进行聚类,然后选择性地叠加那些由与预测的表面波到达时间一致的相干和稳定信号组成的信号。综合实验表明,序列nfc可用于恢复噪声源的时空分布。将该方法应用于加利福尼亚近海的OBS阵列,可以提高所获得的瑞利波的信噪比。此外,我们发现在记录期间,频率在0.04 ~ 0.1 Hz范围内的nfc的年时间分布几乎是均匀的。相反,许多被排除在叠加之外的nfc是暂时聚类的。该方法有可能应用于其他海底地震仪记录或可能的陆上部署,从而有助于获得高质量的表面波并分析时间噪声源特性。
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引用次数: 0
Calculation of National Seismic Hazard Models with Large Logic Trees: Application to the NZ NSHM 2022 基于大逻辑树的国家地震危险性模型计算:在NZ NSHM 2022中的应用
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1785/0220230226
Christopher J. DiCaprio, Chris B. Chamberlain, Sanjay S. Bora, Brendon A. Bradley, Matthew C. Gerstenberger, Anne M. Hulsey, Pablo Iturrieta, Marco Pagani, Michele Simionato
Abstract National-scale seismic hazard models with large logic trees can be difficult to calculate using traditional seismic hazard software. To calculate the complete 2022 revision of the New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model—Te Tauira Matapae Pūmate Rū i Aotearoa, including epistemic uncertainty, we have developed a method in which the calculation is broken into two separate stages. This method takes advantage of logic tree structures that comprise multiple, independent logic trees from which complete realizations are formed by combination. In the first stage, we precalculate the independent realizations of the logic trees. In the second stage, we assemble the full ensemble of logic tree realizations by combining components from the first stage. Once all realizations of the full logic tree have been calculated, we can compute aggregate statistics for the model. This method benefits both from the reduction in the amount of computation necessary and its parallelism. In addition to facilitating the computation of a large seismic hazard model, the method described can also be used for sensitivity testing of model components and to speed up experimentation with logic tree structure and weights.
具有大型逻辑树的国家级地震灾害模型难以用传统的地震灾害软件进行计算。为了计算2022年新西兰国家地震灾害模型(te Tauira Matapae Pūmate ri Aotearoa)的完整修订,包括认知不确定性,我们开发了一种方法,将计算分为两个独立的阶段。这种方法利用了由多个独立逻辑树组成的逻辑树结构,这些逻辑树通过组合形成完整的实现。在第一阶段,我们预先计算逻辑树的独立实现。在第二阶段,我们通过组合第一阶段的组件来组装逻辑树实现的完整集合。一旦计算了完整逻辑树的所有实现,我们就可以计算模型的汇总统计信息。这种方法的好处在于减少了必要的计算量和它的并行性。除了便于大型地震灾害模型的计算外,所描述的方法还可用于模型组件的灵敏度测试,以及加快逻辑树结构和权重的实验速度。
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引用次数: 0
A Foreign Geophysicist in Marrakesh during Morocco’s Largest Earthquake 摩洛哥最大地震期间,一位外国地球物理学家在马拉喀什
3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.1785/0220230334
Cristian Farías
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引用次数: 0
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Seismological Research Letters
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