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The Impact of Corporate Social Responsibility on Investment Recommendations: Analysts’ Perceptions and Shifting Institutional Logics 企业社会责任对投资建议的影响:分析师的看法和制度逻辑的转变
Pub Date : 2015-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1507874
I. Ioannou, George Serafeim
type="main" xml:id="smj2268-abs-0001"> We explore the impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) ratings on sell-side analysts' assessments of firms' future financial performance. We suggest that when analysts perceive CSR as an agency cost they produce pessimistic recommendations for firms with high CSR ratings. Moreover, we theorize that, over time, the emergence of a stakeholder focus shifts the analysts' perceptions of CSR. Using a large sample of publicly traded U.S. firms over 15 years, we confirm that, in the early 1990s, analysts issue more pessimistic recommendations for firms with high CSR ratings. However, analysts progressively assess these firms more optimistically over time. Furthermore, we find that analysts of highest status are the first to shift the relation between CSR ratings and investment recommendation optimism . Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
type="main" xml:id="smj2268-abs-0001">我们探讨了企业社会责任(CSR)评级对卖方分析师对企业未来财务业绩评估的影响。我们认为,当分析师将企业社会责任视为一种代理成本时,他们会对企业社会责任评级高的公司提出悲观的建议。此外,我们的理论认为,随着时间的推移,利益相关者焦点的出现改变了分析师对企业社会责任的看法。通过对超过15年的美国上市公司的大量样本,我们证实,在20世纪90年代初,分析师对CSR评级高的公司给出了更为悲观的建议。然而,随着时间的推移,分析师对这些公司的评估逐渐变得更加乐观。此外,我们发现地位最高的分析师首先改变了企业社会责任评级与投资建议乐观度之间的关系。版权所有©2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd。
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引用次数: 640
Optimal Management of an Ecosystem with an Unknown Threshold 未知阈值生态系统的最优管理
Pub Date : 2010-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.990613
N. Brozović, W. Schlenker
We consider an ecosystem with two distinct equations of motion that are separated by a threshold value of the state variable. We find that increasing uncertainty (both uncertainty embedded in the natural system and uncertainty of the decisionmaker about the location of the threshold) can lead to nonmonotonic changes in precaution: a reduction in uncertainty can first increase and then decrease optimal precautionary activity. This nonmonotonicity can help to explain why regulators often give conflicting arguments about optimal abatement policies in the face of uncertainty. For example, some regulators argue for an immediate reduction in pollutant loading until uncertainty about the underlying process is reduced while others call for no costly reductions in pollutant loading until the same uncertainty is reduced. These statements can be consistent even if both sides agree on both economic objectives and the system dynamics, but have different priors on the uncertainty involved.
我们考虑一个具有两个不同运动方程的生态系统,它们被状态变量的阈值分开。我们发现,不确定性的增加(自然系统的不确定性和决策者关于阈值位置的不确定性)会导致预防措施的非单调变化:不确定性的减少会首先增加,然后减少最佳预防活动。这种非单调性可以帮助解释,为什么面对不确定性,监管机构经常给出有关最佳减排政策的相互矛盾的论点。例如,一些监管机构主张立即减少污染物负荷,直到潜在过程的不确定性减少,而另一些监管机构则呼吁在同样的不确定性减少之前,不要昂贵地减少污染物负荷。即使双方在经济目标和系统动力学上都达成一致,但对所涉及的不确定性有不同的先验,这些陈述也可以是一致的。
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引用次数: 57
Carbon Offset Provision with Guilt-Ridden Consumers 碳补偿条款与内疚的消费者
Pub Date : 2010-08-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.969494
J. Gans, Vivienne Groves
Carbon offsets allow consumers to mitigate their guilt associated with their electricity emissions. On the one hand, when offsets are purchased in an industry unrelated to electricity, offsets are complements to consumption and the introduction of an offset market causes consumption of electricity to rise. On the other hand, when offsets are purchased in a related industry – namely, to satisfy consumer demand for green electricity – consumption of dirty electricity and offsets are substitutes and dirty electricity consumption falls. In general, however, net emissions decline. We find three exceptions to this rule. When offsets are purchased in an unrelated market, too much consumer confidence in the effectiveness of offsets to sequester carbon from the atmosphere can lead to a rise in net emissions. Similarly, if there is no latent demand for offsets in their absence, the introduction of offsets can potentially cause a rise in net emissions when ‘dirty’ producers have market power. When offsets are purchased to fund green energy emissions can rise if ‘dirty’ producers can engage in pre-emptive strategic commitments and the price of offsets is chosen endogenously.
碳补偿可以让消费者减轻他们对电力排放的负罪感。一方面,当在与电力无关的行业中购买抵消时,抵消是对消费的补充,并且引入抵消市场导致电力消费上升。另一方面,当在相关行业购买补偿时,即为了满足消费者对绿色电力的需求,脏电的消耗和补偿是替代的,脏电消耗下降。然而,总的来说,净排放量下降。我们发现这条规则有三个例外。当在一个不相关的市场上购买碳补偿时,消费者对碳补偿从大气中吸收碳的有效性过于自信,可能导致净排放量上升。同样,如果在没有碳补偿的情况下没有潜在的需求,那么当“肮脏的”生产商拥有市场力量时,碳补偿的引入可能会导致净排放量的增加。如果“肮脏的”生产商能够参与先发制人的战略承诺,并且抵消价格是内生的,那么购买补偿以资助绿色能源排放就会上升。
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引用次数: 1
Stochastic Income Statement Planning and Emissions Trading 随机损益表规划与排放交易
Pub Date : 2010-02-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1662321
W. Ehrenfeld, H. Dannenberg
Since the introduction of the European CO2 emissions trading system (EU ETS), the development of CO2 allowance prices is a new risk factor for enterprises taking part in this system. In this paper, we analyze how risk emerging from emissions trading can be considered in the stochastic profit and loss planning of corporations. Therefore we explore which planned figures are affected by emissions trading. Moreover, we show a way to model these positions in a planned profit and loss account accounting for uncertainties and dependencies. Consequently, this model provides a basis for risk assessment and investment decisions in the uncertain environment of CO2 emissions trading.
自欧洲二氧化碳排放交易体系(EU ETS)引入以来,二氧化碳配额价格的发展成为参与该体系的企业面临的一个新的风险因素。本文分析了在企业的随机损益规划中如何考虑排放权交易产生的风险。因此,我们探讨了哪些计划数据受到排放交易的影响。此外,我们还展示了一种在考虑不确定性和依赖性的计划损益账户中对这些头寸进行建模的方法。因此,该模型为不确定环境下二氧化碳排放权交易的风险评估和投资决策提供了依据。
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引用次数: 3
An Analysis of Tourists’ Expenditure of Winter Sport Events through Tobit Censorate Model 基于Tobit审查模型的游客冬季运动项目消费分析
Pub Date : 2010-02-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1547694
J. Brida, S. Schubert, L. Osti, Andrea Barquet
The aim of this study is to analyze the economic impact of the Biathlon World Cup 2009 in Antholz-Anterselva. The survey concentrates on the immediate, direct and short-term additional revenue brought into the region by foreign sport event spectators. We first apply an expenditure-based segmentation technique to data collected during the event to separate respondents according to socio-demographic variables. Second, a Tobit analysis is applied to obtain an expenditure model that is useful in explaining the different determinants of trip expenditures by spectators of the event. Results reveal significant socio-demographic differences between the four expenditure groups. For instance, heavy spenders are mainly composed by mature tourists, arriving for the first time in medium groups. We also show that the most important factors of total expenditures are income level, geographic origin of the spectator and the size of the travel group.
本研究的目的是分析2009年冬季两项世界杯在安特塞尔瓦的经济影响。这项调查的重点是外国体育赛事观众给该地区带来的即时、直接和短期的额外收入。我们首先将基于支出的分割技术应用于活动期间收集的数据,根据社会人口变量将受访者分开。其次,应用Tobit分析来获得一个支出模型,该模型有助于解释事件观众旅行支出的不同决定因素。结果显示,四个支出组之间存在显著的社会人口差异。例如,出手阔绰的游客主要由成熟游客组成,他们是第一次来的中等群体。我们还表明,影响总支出的最重要因素是收入水平、观众的地理来源和旅游团的规模。
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引用次数: 0
The Welfare Implications of Oil Privatization: A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Norway's Statoil 石油私有化的福利含义:挪威国家石油公司的成本效益分析
Pub Date : 2009-01-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1260280
Christian Wolf, M. Pollitt
The oil industry is of great economic significance to many countries, and privatisations of National Oil Companies (NOCs) have often been controversial, as have been the benefits from privatisation more generally. We conduct a social cost-benefit analysis of the partial privatisation of Norway’s Statoil and estimate net present welfare improvements of at least NOK 166 billion (US$18.4 billion) in 2001 money, which amounts to 11% of Norway’s GDP in that year. Savings on investment costs are the most important source of efficiency improvements, and two thirds of the overall benefits accrue at fellow stakeholders in Statoil-led operations. The state manages to capture 66% of the total welfare gain, with the remainder going to private shareholders and no changes to consumer surplus. It is shown that benefits from partial privatisation can be substantial, particularly if ownership change is supported by additional restructuring measures, and that privatisation can be structured with state involvement at several levels, aiming to maximise the public share of benefits.
石油工业对许多国家具有重要的经济意义,国家石油公司(noc)的私有化经常引起争议,就像私有化的好处一样。我们对挪威国家石油公司的部分私有化进行了社会成本效益分析,并估计2001年的净福利改善至少为1660亿挪威克朗(184亿美元),相当于挪威当年GDP的11%。节约投资成本是提高效率的最重要来源,在挪威国家石油公司主导的作业中,三分之二的总收益由其他利益相关者获得。国家设法获得了总福利收益的66%,其余部分归私人股东所有,消费者剩余没有变化。研究表明,部分私有化的好处可能是巨大的,特别是如果所有权变化得到额外重组措施的支持,私有化可以在几个层面上由国家参与构建,旨在最大限度地提高公众的利益份额。
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引用次数: 15
The Economics of Wind Energy: A Survey and Status Report 风能经济学:调查与现状报告
Pub Date : 2009-01-15 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1311940
John D. Martin, J. Ramsey
Our objective in writing this paper is to share what we have learned about the promise of wind energy and its potential contribution to a comprehensive solution to the long-term energy needs of the U.S. economy. The immediate impetus for our interest came out of a meeting with famed oilman and entrepreneur Boone Pickens and members of his wind power team in the summer of 2008. In that meeting we learned about their vision for the role of wind power in addressing our nation's energy future. That meeting brought two friends together who share a common concern about the growing dependence of the U.S. economy on the importation of foreign oil.
我们写这篇文章的目的是分享我们对风能前景的了解,以及风能对全面解决美国经济长期能源需求的潜在贡献。2008年夏天,我们与著名的石油商和企业家布恩·皮肯斯(Boone Pickens)及其风力发电团队成员的一次会面,直接激发了我们的兴趣。在那次会议上,我们了解到他们对风能在解决我们国家能源未来中的作用的看法。那次会议让两位朋友走到一起,他们都对美国经济日益依赖进口外国石油感到担忧。
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引用次数: 0
Re-Think Russian Investment in Southern Africa 重新考虑俄罗斯在南部非洲的投资
Pub Date : 2009-01-15 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1592930
I. Gerasimchuk
Russia’s direct investment of about USD 3 billon in Southern Africa over the past decade has placed before the country’s government and corporate sector two choices in the accelerating race among foreign investors into Africa. The first choice is to follow the established path of direct investment from developed economies that has, in the words of a famous African leader Walter Rodney, ‘underdeveloped Africa’ and involved a serious negative environmental impact. The second choice is one that corresponds with the former Soviet Union’s policy of mutually advantageous cooperation with Africa. In the current context, this will prove possible only through joint cooperation to achieve environmental sustainability and economic diversification requiring long-term planning and innovation. The purpose of this interdisciplinary empirical research paper is to investigate the current and future state of environmental practices in joint ventures between Russia and Southern Africa as compared with other patterns of cooperation among emerging market economies.
过去十年来,俄罗斯在南部非洲的直接投资约为30亿美元,在外国投资者进入非洲的加速竞争中,俄罗斯政府和企业面临着两种选择。第一个选择是遵循发达经济体直接投资的既定路径,用非洲著名领导人沃尔特·罗德尼(Walter Rodney)的话来说,这是“不发达的非洲”,会对环境造成严重的负面影响。第二种选择符合前苏联对非互利合作的政策。在目前情况下,只有通过联合合作实现需要长期规划和创新的环境可持续性和经济多样化,才有可能做到这一点。这篇跨学科实证研究论文的目的是调查俄罗斯和南部非洲之间合资企业环境实践的当前和未来状况,并与新兴市场经济体之间的其他合作模式进行比较。
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引用次数: 2
Induced Diffusion: Definition, Review and Suggestions for Further Research 诱导扩散:定义、回顾及进一步研究建议
Pub Date : 2009-01-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1339869
I. Diaz‐Rainey
There has been a good deal of work on how policy interventions can encourage the development of new/improved innovations (induced innovation). There are, however, only limited and disparate contributions on how, if at all, policy interventions can encourage the greater use of existing innovations (induced diffusion) using established diffusion theory. Most of these contributions are relatively recent and have been motivated by growing concerns for the natural environment. This paper seeks to develop the nascent concept of induced diffusion by (1) providing a generic definition for induced diffusion, (2) conducting an interdisciplinary review of studies that would fall within the definition of induced diffusion and (3) by making suggestions for future research that may help to develop the understanding of the concept. The paper concludes that the desire to tackle climate change should provide ample policy impetus to develop the concept of induced diffusion. This should not, however, obscure the potential for its wider application in areas such as healthcare and the need to develop it as a generic academic concept beyond the energy/environment nexus.
关于政策干预如何能够鼓励新的/改进的创新(诱导创新)的发展,已经有大量的工作。然而,关于政策干预如何(如果有的话)能够利用既定的扩散理论鼓励更多地利用现有创新(诱导扩散),只有有限和不同的贡献。这些贡献大多是最近才出现的,其动机是对自然环境的日益关注。本文试图通过以下方式来发展诱导扩散的新生概念:(1)提供诱导扩散的一般定义,(2)对属于诱导扩散定义范围的研究进行跨学科回顾,(3)为未来的研究提出可能有助于发展对该概念的理解的建议。本文的结论是,应对气候变化的愿望应该为发展诱导扩散的概念提供充足的政策动力。然而,这不应掩盖其在医疗保健等领域更广泛应用的潜力,以及将其发展为超越能源/环境关系的通用学术概念的必要性。
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引用次数: 11
Substituting Wood with Nonwood Fibers in Papermaking: A Win-Win Solution for Bangladesh 用非木材纤维代替木材造纸:孟加拉国的双赢解决方案
Pub Date : 2009-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1322292
M. Jahan, B. Gunter, A. F. M. Ataur Rahman
Bangladesh is facing an acute shortage of fibrous raw materials for the production of pulp and paper. On the other hand, the demand for paper and paper products is increasing day by day. This study reviews the availability and suitability of nonwood raw materials for pulp production in Bangladesh. It shows that Bangladesh has a huge amount of unused jute fiber, which is highly suitable for papermaking in Bangladesh. Other agricultural wastes like rice straw, dhaincha, golpata fronds, cotton stalks, corn stalks, and kash are also available and may be used for some pulp production. Given the different properties of these different nonwood fibers, jute pulp can be used as a reinforcing agent with other nonwood pulps for the production of high quality paper in Bangladesh.
孟加拉国正面临生产纸浆和纸张的纤维原料严重短缺的问题。另一方面,对纸和纸制品的需求日益增加。本研究回顾了孟加拉国纸浆生产的非木材原料的可用性和适用性。这说明孟加拉国有大量未使用的黄麻纤维,非常适合在孟加拉国进行造纸。其他农业废弃物,如稻草、茶树叶、果仁叶、棉花杆、玉米杆和木薯也可用,并可用于一些纸浆生产。鉴于这些不同的非木纤维的不同性能,黄麻浆可以作为增强剂与其他非木浆在孟加拉国生产高质量的纸张。
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引用次数: 30
期刊
SEIN Environmental Impacts of Business eJournal
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