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Increasing Gambler’s Ruin duration and Brownian motion exit times 增加赌徒毁灭的持续时间和布朗运动的退出时间
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2024.2319208
Erol A. Peköz, Rhonda Righter
In Gambler’s Ruin when both players start with the same amount of money, we show the playing time stochastically increases when the games are made more fair. We give two different arguments for thi...
在 "赌徒的毁灭 "中,当双方玩家以相同金额开始游戏时,我们发现当游戏变得更加公平时,游戏时间会随机增加。我们给出了两种不同的论据来证明这一点。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal dividend and proportional reinsurance strategy for the risk model with common shock dependence 具有共同冲击依赖性的风险模型的最优分红和比例再保险策略
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2024.2321195
Bo Yang, Ruili Song, Dingjun Yao, Gongpin Cheng
This article focuses on the classic optimal dividend and reinsurance problems. Different from the existing literature, it assumes that the insurance company has two lines of business with a common ...
本文主要研究经典的最优分红和再保险问题。与现有文献不同的是,本文假定保险公司有两条业务线,且有一个共同的 "再保险"。
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引用次数: 0
Numerical approximation of a hybrid Poisson-jump Ait-Sahalia-type interest rate model with delay 带延迟的混合泊松-跳跃艾特-萨哈利亚型利率模型的数值逼近
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2024.2305344
Emmanuel Coffie
While the original Ait-Sahalia interest rate model has been found to be of considerable use for describing the time-series evolution of interest rates, it may not possess adequate specifications to...
虽然最初的艾特-萨哈利亚利率模型被认为在描述利率的时间序列演变方面有相当大的作用,但它可能不具备足够的规格来......
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引用次数: 0
Geometrical interpretation of the population entropy maximum 种群熵最大值的几何解释
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2023.2297959
Igor Lazov, Petar Lazov
We consider a population of finite size M, where the current number N of entities, N∈{0,1,2,…,M}, determines its states. We geometrically analyze the amounts of information iN and iM−N, carried by ...
我们考虑一个有限大小为 M 的群体,当前实体的数量 N(N∈{0,1,2,...,M})决定了它的状态。我们从几何学角度分析了 N 和 iM-N 所携带的信息量。
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引用次数: 0
Some convergence properties for arrays of rowwise asymptotically almost negatively associated random variables under sub-linear expectations 亚线性期望下行近似几乎负相关随机变量阵列的一些收敛特性
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2023.2286961
Miaomiao Wang, Shunping Zheng, Xuejun Wang
In this article, under some suitable conditions, we study the Lq convergence and complete q-th moment convergence for arrays of rowwise asymptotically almost negatively associated (AANA, for short)...
在本文中,我们在一些合适的条件下,研究了行近似几乎负相关(简称AANA)阵列的Lq收敛性和完全q-th矩收敛性...
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引用次数: 0
Parisian ruin with power-asymmetric variance near the optimal point with application to many-inputs proportional reinsurance 最优点附近功率不对称方差的巴黎损失及其多输入比例再保险应用
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-11-20 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2023.2278527
Pavel Ievlev
This article investigates the Parisian ruin probability for a class of Gaussian processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptoti...
本文研究了一类高斯过程在唯一最优点附近的方差具有幂不对称行为的巴黎毁灭概率。我们推导出确切的渐近线。
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引用次数: 0
Nadaraya-Watson estimators for stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion 分数阶布朗运动驱动的随机微分方程的Nadaraya-Watson估计
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-11-16 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2023.2275298
Yuecai Han, Dingwen Zhang
In this article, we investigate the nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator for the drift function of stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion of the Hurst parameter H...
本文研究了Hurst参数H为分数阶布朗运动的随机微分方程漂移函数的非参数Nadaraya-Watson估计量。
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引用次数: 0
A queueing model with ON/OFF sources: approximation and stationarity 具有开/关源的队列模型:近似和平稳性
4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2023.2267644
Hongshuai Dai, Yanhua Wu
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引用次数: 0
On age composition of dynamic heterogeneous populations 动态异质种群的年龄构成
4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2023.2263538
Ji Hwan Cha, Maxim Finkelstein
Abstract.Populations of items continuously manufactured and incepted into operation are characterized by the corresponding distribution of a random age at each instant of chronological time. In this study, we consider heterogeneous populations with lifetime distributions indexed by a frailty parameter. Two approaches to defining the age composition for the described populations are described and the corresponding stochastic comparisons are considered.Keywords: Age compositionfrailtyheterogeneous populationsproduction ratestochastic comparisons2010 Mathematics Subject Classification:: 60H3 AcknowledgmentsThe authors greatly thank the reviewers for their helpful comments and advice, which have improved the presentation of this paper.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the authorsAdditional informationFundingThe work of the first author was supported by Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education (Grant Number: 2019R1A6A1A11051177). The work of the first author was also supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (MSIP) (No. 2023R1A2C1003238).
摘要连续生产和投入使用的物品种群的特征是在按时间顺序的每个瞬间随机年龄的相应分布。在这项研究中,我们考虑异质种群,其寿命分布由脆弱参数索引。描述了定义所描述人口年龄构成的两种方法,并考虑了相应的随机比较。关键词:年龄构成;衰弱;异质性人群;生产率;随机比较;2010数学学科分类::60H3致谢作者非常感谢审稿人的有益意见和建议,使本文的表达更加完善。披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突补充信息资金第一作者的工作由教育部资助的韩国国家研究基金会(NRF)基础科学研究计划(资助号:2019R1A6A1A11051177)资助。第一作者的工作也得到了韩国政府(MSIP)资助的韩国国家研究基金会(NRF)资助(No. 2023R1A2C1003238)。
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引用次数: 0
Synchronization and fluctuations for interacting stochastic systems with individual and collective reinforcement 具有个体和集体强化的相互作用随机系统的同步和波动
4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2023.2267663
Pierre-Yves Louis, Meghdad Mirebrahimi
AbstractThe Pólya urn is the most representative example of a reinforced stochastic process. It leads to a random (non degenerated) time-limit. The Friedman urn is a natural generalization whose almost sure (a.s.) time-limit is not random any more. In this work, in the stream of previous recent works, we introduce a new family of (finite size) systems of reinforced stochastic processes, interacting through an additional collective reinforcement of mean field type. The two reinforcement rules strengths (one component-wise, one collective) are tuned through (possibly) two different rates. In special cases, these reinforcements are of Pólya or Friedman type as in urn contexts and may thus lead to limits which may be random or not. Different parameter regimes need to be considered. We state two kind of results. First, we study the time-asymptotic and show that L2 and a.s. convergence always holds. Moreover, all the components share the same time-limit (so called synchronization phenomenon). We study the nature of the limit (random/deterministic) according to the parameters’ regime considered. Second, we study fluctuations by proving central limit theorems. Scaling coefficients vary according to the regime considered. This gives insights into many different rates of convergence. In particular, we identify the regimes where synchronization is faster than convergence toward the shared time-limit.Keywords: Almost sure convergencecentral limit theoremsfluctuationsinteracting random systemsreinforced stochastic processesstable convergencesynchronization2010 Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary 60K35Primary 60F1560F05Secondary 62L20Secondary 62P35 AcknowledgmentsI would like to thank Professor Pierre-Yves Louis for introducing me to the problem and for all the useful comments and discussions. I am also very grateful for extremely constructive feedback from the referee.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
摘要Pólya是强化随机过程最具代表性的例子。它导致一个随机的(非退化的)时间限制。弗里德曼骨灰盒是一种自然的概括,其几乎确定的时间限制不再是随机的。在这项工作中,在之前最近的工作流中,我们引入了一组新的(有限大小)强化随机过程系统,通过平均场类型的额外集体强化相互作用。两种强化规则强度(一个组件,一个集合)通过(可能)两种不同的速率进行调整。在特殊情况下,这些强化是Pólya或弗里德曼类型的,因此可能导致限制,可能是随机的,也可能不是。需要考虑不同的参数体系。我们陈述两种结果。首先,我们研究了时间渐近性,证明了L2和a.s.收敛性总是成立的。此外,所有组件共享相同的时间限制(所谓的同步现象)。我们根据所考虑的参数范围研究了极限(随机/确定性)的性质。其次,我们通过证明中心极限定理来研究波动。比例系数根据所考虑的制度而变化。这让我们对许多不同的收敛速度有了深入的了解。特别是,我们确定了同步比向共享时间限制收敛更快的制度。关键词:几乎肯定收敛中心极限定理波动相互作用随机系统强化随机过程稳定收敛同步2010数学学科分类:初级60k35初级60f1560f05次级62l20次级62P35致谢我要感谢Pierre-Yves Louis教授向我介绍这个问题以及所有有用的评论和讨论。我也非常感谢裁判非常有建设性的反馈。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。
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引用次数: 3
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Stochastic Models
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