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A new mixed δ-shock model and associated reliability properties 一种新的混合δ-冲击模型及其可靠性特性
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2023.2166962
R. Roozegar, Marjan Entezari, N. Balakrishnan, Saraleean Nadarajah
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引用次数: 1
Estimation of stress-strength reliability for multicomponent system with a generalized inverted exponential distribution 广义逆指数分布多组分系统应力强度可靠性的估计
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-01-12 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2162545
Liang Wang, Shuo‐Jye Wu, S. Dey, Y. Tripathi, Song Mao
Abstract Reliability analysis for a multicomponent stress-strength (MSS) model is discussed in this paper. When strength and stress variables follow generalized inverted exponential distributions (GIEDs) with common scale parameters, maximum likelihood estimate of MSS reliability is established along with associated existence and uniqueness, and approximate confidence interval is also obtained in consequence. Additionally, alternative generalized estimates are proposed for MSS reliability based on constructed pivotal quantities, and associated Monte-Carlo sampling is provided for computation. Further, classical and generalized estimates are also established under unequal strength and stress parameter case. For comparison, bootstrap confidence intervals are also provided under different cases. To compare the equivalence of the strength and stress parameters, likelihood ratio testing is presented as a complement. Finally, extensive simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of the proposed methods, and a real data example is presented for application. The numerical results indicate that the proposed generalized methods perform better than conventional likelihood results.
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引用次数: 0
Complete f-moment convergence for arrays of rowwise m-negatively associated random variables and its statistical applications 行m负相关随机变量阵列的完全f矩收敛及其统计应用
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2149554
Miaomiao Wang, Min Wang, Xuejun Wang, Fei Zhang
Abstract In this paper, we study the complete f-moment convergence for arrays of rowwise m-negatively associated random variables under some general conditions. The results obtained in the paper extend and improve some previous known ones. As an application of the main results, we present the complete consistency for the estimator in a semiparametric regression model based on m-negatively associated errors. We perform some numerical simulations to verify the validity of the theoretical results based on finite samples.
摘要在本文中,我们研究了在一些一般条件下,逐列m负相关随机变量阵列的完全f矩收敛性。文中得到的结果对已有的一些结果进行了扩展和改进。作为主要结果的应用,我们给出了基于m-负相关误差的半参数回归模型中估计量的完全一致性。我们在有限样本的基础上进行了一些数值模拟,以验证理论结果的有效性。
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引用次数: 2
The estimation in Pólya–Eggenberger urn model with a delay 具有延迟的Pólya–Eggenberger-urn模型的估计
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2155194
B. Jamshidi, Parisa Torkaman
Abstract In this article, we introduce a new model derived from Pólya–Eggenberger urn model. This model is defined by considering a delay in collecting information. The mathematical formulation of this model is done through four parameters; the number of balls in the first structure (N 0), the number of white balls in the first structure (W 0), the number of rewarded balls of the color of the ball withdrawn (a), and the length of the delay (i). As the first attempt to deal with point estimation in this model, we consider at any time one of the parameters separately as unknown conditioned to knowing the other three parameters, and find its estimation. Accordingly, we introduce a sufficient estimator for this model, and found on it, obtain the maximum likelihood estimators for each of the four parameters. In addition, moment estimators for N 0 and W 0 are calculated. Also, for the other parameters, we obtain estimators based on the correlation coefficient of consecutive withdrawals. To evaluate the performance of the obtained estimators and compare their accuracy, we apply five simulations of the delayed Pólya urn model. The simulations have been done with the software Matlab R2015b. According to the simulation study, the estimators obtained from the method of moments are preferable to maximum likelihood estimators.
摘要在本文中,我们介绍了一个由Pólya–Eggenberger-urn模型导出的新模型。该模型是通过考虑收集信息的延迟来定义的。该模型的数学公式是通过四个参数来完成的;第一结构中的球的数量(N 0),第一结构中白色球的数量,退出的球的颜色的奖励球数量(a),以及延迟的长度(i)。作为该模型中处理点估计的第一次尝试,我们在任何时候都将其中一个参数单独视为未知,条件是知道其他三个参数,并找到其估计。因此,我们为该模型引入了一个充分的估计量,并在其上获得了四个参数中每一个的最大似然估计量。此外,还计算了N0和W0的矩估计量。此外,对于其他参数,我们基于连续提款的相关系数获得估计量。为了评估所获得的估计量的性能并比较其准确性,我们对延迟Pólya-urn模型进行了五次模拟。用Matlab R2015b软件进行了仿真。根据仿真研究,矩法得到的估计量优于最大似然估计量。
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引用次数: 0
A stochastic delayed SIS epidemic model with Holling type II incidence rate 具有HollingⅡ型发病率的随机延迟SIS流行病模型
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2155666
Wenxu Dong, Jia-ning Zhou, Biteng Xu
Abstract In this article, a stochastic SIS epidemic model with constant time delay and Holling type II incidence rate is investigated. We firstly show the existence, uniqueness, and moment boundedness of the global positive solution. Then we extend the initial value space to a complete nonnegative continuous function space and obtain the existence of invariant measures for this system. Furthermore, the analysis of the asymptotic behavior around the disease-free equilibrium is given. To demonstrate, some numerical examples are provided to illustrate our results.
摘要本文研究了一个具有常时滞和HollingⅡ型发病率的随机SIS流行病模型。我们首先证明了全局正解的存在性、唯一性和矩有界性。然后将初值空间推广到一个完全的非负连续函数空间,得到了该系统不变测度的存在性。此外,还分析了无病平衡点附近的渐近行为。为了证明这一点,我们提供了一些数值例子来说明我们的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Maintenance effort expense modeling based on cyclic Wiener processes of two types for edge OSS computing 边缘OSS计算中基于两种循环Wiener过程的维护费用建模
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2149555
Y. Tamura, S. Yamada
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引用次数: 0
Periodic review inventory models with multiclass demands and fixed order costs 定期审查具有多类别需求和固定订单成本的库存模型
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2144377
V. Kulkarni, Li Xiao, Hanqin Zhang
Abstract We consider a periodic review inventory system with multiclass demands and fixed setup cost. Demand arrivals of each class are assumed to be a Poisson process, and a lost-sales setting is adopted. The demand classes are classified by the cost of their unsatisfied demands. We consider two cases: the leftover inventory at the end of a restocking interval is entirely discarded or entirely carried over to the next period. We obtain the optimal rationing policy, the optimal ordering policy and the optimal duration of the periodic review interval that minimize the average cost per unit time. We derive the differential equations satisfied by the value function characterized by the on-hand inventory level and the residual restocking time. This value function does not have the traditional modularity and convexity properties. Hence, the optimal policy is derived directly based on the ordinary differential equations satisfied by the value function. Moreover, some structural properties of the optimal policy such as the monotone property of the optimal rationing policy are obtained.
摘要考虑具有多类别需求和固定设置成本的定期复核库存系统。假设每个类别的需求到达是泊松过程,并采用损失销售设置。需求类别根据未满足需求的成本进行分类。我们考虑两种情况:在补充库存周期结束时剩余的库存被全部丢弃或全部结转到下一个期间。得到了使单位时间平均成本最小的最优配货策略、最优订货策略和最优评审间隔时间。导出了以库存水平和剩余补货时间为特征的价值函数所满足的微分方程。该值函数不具有传统的模块化和凸性。因此,直接根据值函数所满足的常微分方程推导出最优策略。此外,还得到了最优配给策略的单调性等最优策略的一些结构性质。
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引用次数: 0
Multivariate Hawkes processes with simultaneous occurrence of excitation events coming from different sources 来自不同来源的激励事件同时发生的多变量Hawkes过程
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-18 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2134896
T. Bielecki, J. Jakubowski, Mariusz Niewęgłowski
Abstract This work contributes to the theory of Hawkes processes. We introduce and study a new class of Hawkes processes that we call generalized Hawkes processes, and their special subclass – the generalized multivariate Hawkes processes (GMHPs). GMHPs are multivariate marked point processes that add an important feature to the family of the (classical) multivariate Hawkes processes: they allow for explicit modeling of simultaneous occurrence of excitation events coming from different sources, i.e., caused by different coordinates of the multivariate process.
本研究对霍克斯过程理论做出了贡献。本文引入并研究了一类新的Hawkes过程,我们称之为广义Hawkes过程,以及它的特殊子类——广义多元Hawkes过程。GMHPs是多变量标记点过程,为(经典)多变量Hawkes过程家族增加了一个重要特征:它们允许对来自不同来源的同时发生的激励事件进行显式建模,即由多变量过程的不同坐标引起的。
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引用次数: 0
Preface of the special issue on Branching Processes and Applications (IWBPA2021) 《分支过程与应用》(IWBPA2021)特刊前言
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-07 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2139271
M. González, M. Molina, I. D. del Puerto
The 5th International Workshop on Branching Processes and their Applications (IWBPA2021) was held on 6th, 8th, 13th, 15th, 20th and 22nd April 2021. It was the last in a series of meetings held every three years in Badajoz (Spain). Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the IWBPA2021 took place virtually using video conferencing tools. The 2021 year’s conference continued the tradition of the previous meetings in facilitating the exchange of research ideas in this field and related processes. The IWBPA2021 meeting was the fifth in the series of IWBPAs promoted and organized since 2009 by the research group Branching Processes and their Applications at the Department of Mathematics of the University of Extremadura, Spain, and scientifically sponsored by the Spanish Society for Statistics and Operations Research (Sociedad de Estad ıstica e Investigaci on Operativa) and the Institute of Advanced Scientific Computation of Extremadura (Instituto de Computaci on Cient ıfica Avanzada de Extremadura). There were 145 participants and 58 speakers from 22 countries who contributed to the success of the workshop. The presentations at the workshop maintained a healthy balance between the theoretical and practical aspects of branching processes. The speakers articulated the fact that this research area is very active and produces interesting results. The conference program and talks are available on the website (https://sites.google.com/view/iwbpa21-branching-unex). The Proceedings consist of 15 selected papers whose topics have been classified into the following parts:
第五届分支过程及其应用国际研讨会(IWBPA2021)于2021年4月6日、8日、13日、15日、20日和22日举行。这是每三年在巴达霍斯(西班牙)举行的一系列会议中的最后一次。由于新冠肺炎大流行,IWBPA2021实际上是使用视频会议工具举行的。2021年的会议延续了以往会议的传统,促进了该领域和相关过程的研究思想交流。IWBPA2021会议是西班牙埃斯特雷马杜拉大学数学系分支过程及其应用研究小组自2009年以来推动和组织的一系列IWBPA中的第五次会议,由西班牙统计与运筹学学会(Sociedad de Estadıstica e Investigaci on Operativa)和埃斯特雷马杜拉高级科学计算研究所(Instituto de Computaci on Cientıfica Avanzada de Extremedura)科学赞助。来自22个国家的145名与会者和58名发言者为研讨会的成功做出了贡献。研讨会上的演讲在分支过程的理论和实践方面保持了健康的平衡。发言者阐述了这样一个事实,即这一研究领域非常活跃,产生了有趣的结果。会议计划和会谈可在网站上查看(https://sites.google.com/view/iwbpa21-branching-unex)。论文集由15篇精选论文组成,其主题分为以下部分:
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引用次数: 0
Complete q-th moment convergence for the maximum of partial sums of -negatively associated random variables and its application to the EV regression model* 负相关随机变量部分和最大值的完全q矩收敛性及其在EV回归模型中的应用*
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-09-16 DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2112604
Fen Jiang, Miaomiao Wang, Xuejun Wang
Abstract In this article, we prove the complete q-th moment convergence for the maximum of partial sums of -negatively associated random variables under some general conditions. The results obtained in this article are extensions of previous studies for -negatively associated random variables. In addition, we investigate the strong consistency of the least squares estimator in the simple linear errors-in-variables model based on -negatively associated random variables, and provide some simulations to assess the finite sample performance of the theoretical results.
摘要本文证明了在某些一般条件下,负相关随机变量的部分和的最大值的完全q阶矩收敛性。本文获得的结果是对先前研究负相关随机变量的扩展。此外,我们还研究了基于负相关随机变量的简单线性误差变量模型中最小二乘估计量的强一致性,并提供了一些仿真来评估有限样本理论结果的性能。
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Stochastic Models
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