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Evaluation of Ocean Forecasting in the East China Sea 东海海洋预报的评价
Xiaochun Wang, Yingjun Zou, Xianqiang He
The accuracy of the initial condition of a global ocean forecasting system and its prediction skill was evaluated against in situ temperature, salinity and satellite salinity observations during the winter of 2015 and the summer of 2016 for the East China Sea. The ocean forecasting system demonstrates better skill for the Yangtze River estuary and the East China Sea during winter time than during summer time. During winter time, the rootmean-square error (RMSE) of the initial fields of the system for salinity is 1.90 psu, and the correlation is 0.56. The model has a salty bias of 0.29 psu. The salinity RMSE reduces with increasing distance from the coast. In contrast, the RMSE for temperature is 0.76°C, and the correlation is as high as 0.95. There is no bias between model temperature and observation. During summer time, the accuracy and forecast skill of the global ocean forecasting system are very poor. The RMSE for salinity is 3.14 psu, and the correlation is 0.28. The model has a salty bias of 0.95 psu. The RMSE for temperature is 7.22°C, and the model has a warm bias as high as 5.52°C.
利用2015年冬、2016年夏东海现场温度、盐度和卫星盐度观测资料,对全球海洋预报系统初始条件的精度及其预报能力进行了评价。该系统对长江口和东海的冬季预报能力优于夏季预报能力。在冬季,盐度系统初始场的均方根误差(RMSE)为1.90 psu,相关性为0.56。该模型的盐偏差为0.29 psu。盐度均方根误差随离海岸距离的增加而减小。相比之下,温度的RMSE为0.76°C,相关性高达0.95。模型温度和观测值之间没有偏差。在夏季,全球海洋预报系统的精度和预报能力都很差。盐度的RMSE为3.14 psu,相关系数为0.28。该模型的盐偏差为0.95 psu。温度的RMSE为7.22°C,模型的热偏差高达5.52°C。
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引用次数: 1
Evaluating Urban Heat Island Effects in Rapidly Developing Coastal Cities 快速发展的沿海城市热岛效应评价
Siqiang Wang, Meng Xiang, Yanan He, J. Tsou, Yuanzhi Zhang, X. Liang, Xia Lu
In this chapter, we present the analysis of urban heat island (UHI) effects on coastal urban areas using satellite images as a case study in Hangzhou, China. With the sustainable development of coastal areas, land use and land cover have been dramatically changed. Such changes make the phenomenon of urban heat island (UHI) becoming serious, which has brought some negative influences on human activities or public health issues in coastal regions. This study takes Hangzhou as an example of coastal cities and uses the Landsat TM, ETM+ and OLI images to retrieve the urban land surface temperature (LST). We also mapped and compared the intensity of UHI effects in different years of 2003, 2008 and 2013. The result shows that the intensity of UHI effect in 2013 was more serious than previous years, which is increasing year by year. The study also analyzed the relationship between UHI, NDVI, and NDBI and provided some useful suggestions to mitigate the UHI effects on coastal cities such as Hangzhou in China.
在本章中,我们以杭州为例,利用卫星图像分析了城市热岛效应对沿海城市地区的影响。随着沿海地区的可持续发展,土地利用和土地覆盖发生了巨大变化。这些变化使得城市热岛现象日益严重,给沿海地区的人类活动或公共卫生问题带来了一些负面影响。本研究以杭州为例,利用Landsat TM、ETM+和OLI影像反演城市地表温度。我们还绘制了2003年、2008年和2013年不同年份的城市热岛效应强度图并进行了比较。结果表明,2013年城市热岛效应强度较往年更为严重,且呈逐年增加的趋势。研究还分析了城市热岛指数与NDVI和NDBI之间的关系,并提出了缓解杭州等沿海城市城市热岛效应的建议。
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引用次数: 3
Validation and Application of SMAP SSS Observation in Chinese Coastal Seas 中国近海SMAP SSS观测的验证与应用
Qiong Wu, Xiaochun Wang, Xianqiang He, Wenhao Liang
Using sea surface salinity (SSS) from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission from September 2015 to August 2016, the spatial distribution and seasonal variation in SSS in the Chinese coastal seas were investigated. First, in situ salinity observation over Chinese East Sea was used to validate SMAP observation. Then, the SSS signature of the Yangtze River fresh water was analyzed using SMAP data and the river discharge data. The SSS around the Yangtze River estuary in the Chinese East Sea, the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea is significantly lower than that of the open ocean. The SSS of Chinese coastal seas shows significant seasonal variation, and the seasonal variation in the adja cent waters of the Yangtze River estuary is the most obvious, followed by that of the Pearl River estuary. The minimum value of SSS appears in summer while maximum in winter. The root-mean-squared difference of daily SSS between SMAP observation and in situ observation is around 3 psu in both summer and winter, which is much lower than the annual range of SSS variation. The path of fresh water from SMAP and in situ observation is consistent during summer time.
利用2015年9月- 2016年8月土壤水分主-被动(SMAP)任务的海表盐度(SSS)数据,对中国沿海海表盐度的空间分布和季节变化进行了研究。首先,利用中国东海海域原位盐度观测资料对SMAP观测结果进行验证。利用SMAP数据和河流流量数据分析了长江淡水的SSS特征。东海、渤海、黄海长江口周边海域的SSS明显低于公海。中国沿海海域SSS具有明显的季节变化特征,其中长江口毗邻水域的季节变化最为明显,珠江口次之。SSS的最小值出现在夏季,最大值出现在冬季。夏季和冬季SMAP观测与原位观测的日SSS均方根差均在3 psu左右,远低于SSS的年变化幅度。在夏季,SMAP和原位观测的淡水路径是一致的。
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引用次数: 2
The Cyclogenesis and Decay of Typhoon Damrey 台风达姆雷的气旋形成与衰减
X. Liang, Lan Wang
The cyclogenesis of typhoons has been a continuing challenge in dynamic meteorology. In this study, we use a recently developed methodology, namely, multiscale window transform (MWT), together with the MWT-based localized multiscale energy and vorticity analysis and the theory of canonical transfer, to investigate the formation, maintenance, and decay of the typhoon Damrey, a rarely seen tropical storm of higher-latitude origin. The atmospheric fields are first reconstructed onto three scale subspaces or scale windows: large-scale window, tropical cyclone-scale window, and cumulus convection-scale window. On the cyclone-scale window, Damrey is found right along the edge of the subtropical high. It is generated due to a strong barotropic instability in the lower troposphere, but its subsequent rapid amplification is, however, related to a baroclinic instability in the upper troposphere. Damrey begins to decay before landfall, right over East China Sea at the mouth of Yangtze River, where a strong inverse cascade center resides and transfers the cyclone-scale energy backward to the large-scale window.
台风的气旋形成一直是动力气象学的一个挑战。本文采用近年来发展起来的多尺度窗口变换方法,结合基于多尺度窗口变换的局域多尺度能量涡度分析和典型转移理论,对高纬度地区罕见热带风暴“达姆雷”的形成、维持和衰减过程进行了研究。首先将大气场重构到三个尺度子空间或尺度窗口上:大尺度窗口、热带气旋尺度窗口和积云对流尺度窗口。在气旋尺度窗口上,达姆雷正好位于副热带高压的边缘。它是由于对流层下层强烈的正压不稳定而产生的,但它随后的快速放大与对流层上层的斜压不稳定有关。Damrey在登陆前开始衰减,位于东海长江口,那里有一个强大的逆级联中心,将气旋尺度的能量向后转移到大尺度窗口。
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引用次数: 1
Saltwater Intrusion in the Changjiang Estuary 长江口咸水入侵
Jianrong Zhu, Hui Wu, Lu Li, Cheng Qiu
Saltwater intrusion in the Changjiang Estuary and the impacts of river discharge, tide, wind, sea level rise, river basin, and major estuary projects on saltwater intrusion are studied in this chapter. There is a net landward flow in the NB (North Branch) when river discharge is low during spring tide, resulting in a type of saltwater intrusion known as the SSO (saltwater-spilling-over from the NB into the SB (South Branch)), which is the most striking characteristic of saltwater intrusion in the estuary. A three-dimension numerical model with HSIMT-TVD advection scheme was developed to study the hydrodynamic processes and saltwater intrusion in the Changjiang Estuary. Saltwater intrusion in the estuary is controlled mainly by river discharge and tide, but is also influenced by wind, sea level rise, river basin, and estuary projects. Saltwater intrusion is enhanced when river discharge decreases. There is more time for the reservoir to take freshwater from the river when river discharge is larger. The fortnightly spring tide generates greater saltwater intrusion than the neap tide. The saltwater intrusion in the SP (South Passage) is stronger than that in the NP (North Passage), and the intrusion in the NP is stronger than that in the NC (North Channel). The northerly wind produces southward currents along the Subei coast as well as the landward Ekman transport, which enhances the saltwater intrusion in the NC and NB and weakens the saltwater intrusion in the NP and SP. Saltwater intrusion becomes stronger as the sea level rises and is much stronger when river discharge is much small. The DWP (Deep Waterway Project) alleviates the saltwater intrusion in the NC and the lower reaches of the NP and enhances the saltwater intrusion in the SP and in the upper reaches of the NP. The Three Gorges Dam (TGD) increases river discharge in winter, which weakens saltwater intrusion, and is favorable for reducing the burden of freshwater supplement in the highly populated estuarine region. The Water Diversion South to the North Project (WDP) decreases river discharge, enhances saltwater intrusion, and is unfavorable for freshwater supply in the estuary.
本章主要研究了长江口的咸水入侵,以及河流流量、潮汐、风、海平面上升、流域和主要河口工程对咸水入侵的影响。在春潮期间,当河水流量较低时,北支有向陆地的净流,形成了一种称为SSO (salt -spill -over of NB - into SB (South Branch))的盐水入侵,这是河口最显著的盐水入侵特征。采用HSIMT-TVD平流格式建立了长江口水动力过程和海水入侵的三维数值模型。入海口海水入侵主要受河流流量和潮汐控制,同时还受风、海平面上升、流域和入海口工程的影响。当河流流量减少时,盐水入侵增强。当河流流量较大时,水库从河流中吸取淡水的时间更长。每两周的大潮比小潮产生更大的盐水入侵。SP(南通道)的盐水入侵强度大于NP(北通道),NP(北通道)的盐水入侵强度大于NC(北通道)。北风在苏北沿岸产生南向气流和向陆地的Ekman输运,增强了北、南海区的咸水入侵,减弱了北、南海区的咸水入侵。咸水入侵随着海平面上升而增强,当河流流量较小时,咸水入侵更强。深水航道工程缓解了长江上游和长江下游的咸水入侵,增强了长江上游和长江上游的咸水入侵。三峡大坝在冬季增加了河流流量,减弱了咸水入侵,有利于减轻人口密集的河口地区的淡水补充负担。南水北调工程减少了河流流量,增加了咸水入侵,不利于河口的淡水供应。
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引用次数: 39
Dynamics of the Changjiang River Plume 长江羽流动力学
Huiand Wu, Tianning Wu, Jian-jian Shen, Jianrong Zhu
The extension of the Changjiang River plume is one of the fundamental processes in the Yellow and East China Seas, which is responsible not only for the physical properties of seawater but also for the numerous physical, biogeochemical, and sedimentary processes in this region. The studies of the Changjiang River plume dated back to 1960s, followed by generations, and are still attracting numerous focuses nowadays. Here in this chapter, we will review the past studies on the Changjiang River plume and present some latest studies on this massive river plume. The latest research progresses on the Changjiang River plume are mainly related to the tidal modulation mechanisms. It is found that the tide shifts the Changjiang Rive plume to the northeast outside the river mouth, bifurcates the plume at the head of submarine canyon, and arrests the unreal up-shelf plume intrusion that occurred frequently in previous model studies. It is also found that the tidal residual current transports part of the Changjiang River plume to the Subei Coastal Water. These tidal modulation effects can answer the questions on the dynamics of Changjiang River plume that puzzled the research community for decades.
长江羽流的延伸是黄海和东海的基本过程之一,它不仅决定了海水的物理性质,而且决定了该地区众多的物理、生物地球化学和沉积过程。对长江羽流的研究始于20世纪60年代,经过几代人的研究,至今仍备受关注。在这一章中,我们将回顾过去关于长江羽流的研究,并介绍一些关于这一巨大的河流羽流的最新研究。长江羽流的最新研究进展主要与潮汐调节机制有关。研究发现,潮汐作用使长江羽流在河口外向东北方向移动,并使羽流在海底峡谷顶部分叉,阻止了以往模型研究中经常发生的不真实的上架羽流入侵。潮汐余流将部分长江羽流输送到苏北沿海水域。这些潮汐调制效应可以回答困扰研究界几十年的长江羽流动力学问题。
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引用次数: 6
The Yellow Sea Surface Cold Patches in Warm Seasons 暖季黄海表面冷斑
X. Liang, MingHai Huang, Hui Wu, Yihe Wang
An important hydrographic phenomenon in the Yellow Sea is the surface cold patches (SCP) in warm seasons, among which the most conspicuous are the Shandong SCP, Subei SCP, and Mokpo SCP. Previous studies based on monthly mean fields propose that these patches result from the collaboration of tidal mixing and tidal induced upwelling. While this is true for patches like the Shandong SCP, the monthly mean tidal mixing and upwelling alone cannot explain all their formations. In this study, through a detailed analysis of their patterns over a spring-neap tidal cycle, it is found that the Subei and Mokpo SCPs show distinct spring-neap variations. During the neap tide phase, strong stratification is established, and hence the cold patches in these two areas may be greatly weakened or even suppressed, while during the spring tide phase, the surface temperature reaches its minimum. That is to say, for these two SCPs, besides the well-accepted mechanisms, the effect of spring-neap tidal variation must be taken into account.
黄海暖季表层冷斑是黄海重要的水文现象,其中山东表层冷斑、苏北表层冷斑和木浦表层冷斑最为明显。以往基于月平均场的研究认为,这些斑块是潮汐混合和潮汐引起的上升流共同作用的结果。虽然这对于像山东SCP这样的斑块是正确的,但单独的月平均潮汐混合和上升流并不能解释它们的所有形成。本研究通过对苏北和木浦的春季小潮周期模式的详细分析,发现苏北和木浦的小潮周期具有明显的春季小潮变化。在小潮期,强分层形成,这两个地区的冷斑可能被大大削弱甚至抑制,而在大潮期,地表温度达到最低。也就是说,对于这两种scp,除了公认的机制外,还必须考虑大潮-小潮变化的影响。
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引用次数: 5
Marine Ecological Disasters and Their Physical Controlling Mechanisms in Jiangsu Coastal Area 江苏沿海海洋生态灾害及其物理控制机制
Min Bao, W. Guan, Zhenyi Cao, Qi Chen, Yun-Seok Yang
The studies in this chapter are focused on marine ecological disasters in Jiangsu coastal area. Three kinds of algal blooms occurred in this region, namely, red tide associated with Dinoflagellate , green tide associated with Ulvaprolifera and golden tide associated with Sargassum . Numerical model results demonstrated that red tides in Haizhou Bay originated locally, because most of Dinoflagellates near Zhoushan Islands would be transported northeastward by the Changjiang diluted water, and even the lucky ones that entered the south of Jiangsu coastal area would die in the Subei Shoal due to high turbidity there. Due to the Changjiang diluted water and the prevailing southerly wind, Ulvaprolifera could not drift southward, either. Seawater with high turbidity in the Subei Shoal limited sunlight penetration into deep water column, and further inhibited the growth of Ulvaprolifera suspending in the water column. In this chapter, we use drift bottles and satellite-tracked Argos drifters to provide solid direct dynamic evidence that Ulvaprolifera could drift from the Subei Shoal to Qingdao coastal area and even further north. The sand ridges limited the traveling path of Ulvaprolifera in the Subei Shoal, and wind-driven currents and other baroclinic processes helped Ulvaprolifera travel farther to the north.
本章主要研究江苏沿海地区的海洋生态灾害。赤潮与鞭毛藻共生,绿潮与藻藻共生,金潮与马尾藻共生。数值模型结果表明,海州湾赤潮的起源是局部的,因为舟山群岛附近的鞭毛藻大部分会被长江稀释水向东北移动,即使进入苏南沿海地区的幸运儿也会因为苏南沿海的高浊度而死在苏北浅滩。由于长江水的稀释和盛行的南风,藻也不能向南漂移。苏北浅滩的高浊度海水限制了阳光对深水柱的穿透,进一步抑制了悬浮在深水柱中的藻藻的生长。在本章中,我们使用漂流瓶和卫星跟踪的Argos漂流器提供了可靠的直接动态证据,证明Ulvaprolifera可能从苏北浅滩漂流到青岛沿海地区,甚至更北。沙脊限制了藻藻在苏北浅滩的移动路径,而风力流和其他斜压过程则帮助藻藻向北移动。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of Urban Impervious Surface in Coastal Cities: A Case Study in Lianyungang, China 沿海城市不透水面分析——以连云港市为例
Ting-chen Jiang, Yuxi Liu, Kapo Wong, Yuanzhi Zhang, Yu Li, X. Liang
Impervious surface is an important indicator of the level of urbanization. It is of great significance to study the impervious surface to promote the sustainable development of the city. In the process of urban development, the increase of impervious surface cities is bound to be accompanied by a reduction of one or more types of land use in the city. This paper, taking Lianyungang as an example, introduces the methods of extracting urban impervious surface based on VIS model, NDVI (normalized vegetation index), MNDWI (modified normalized water body index), and unsupervised classification, analyzes the changes of impervious surface in Lianyungang from 1987 to 2014, and on this basis, ana lyzes the trend and driving forces of land use types in Lianyungang city in depth. The results show that the impervious surface of Lianyungang increased by a total of 29.70% between 1987 and 2014. While the impervious surface continues to increase, the area of cultivated land and coastal areas (including salt works and tidal flats) has been greatly reduced, and the types of land use have undergone significant changes.
不透水面是衡量城市化水平的重要指标。研究不透水面对促进城市可持续发展具有重要意义。在城市发展过程中,不透水地表城市的增加必然伴随着城市中一种或多种土地利用类型的减少。本文以连云港市为例,介绍了基于VIS模型、归一化植被指数(NDVI)、改进归一化水体指数(MNDWI)和无监督分类的城市不透水面提取方法,分析了连云港市1987 - 2014年不透水面变化情况,并在此基础上深入分析了连云港市土地利用类型变化趋势及驱动力。结果表明:1987 - 2014年连云港市不透水地表面积累计增加29.70%;在不透水水面持续增加的同时,耕地和沿海地区(包括盐场和滩涂)的面积大幅减少,土地利用类型发生了重大变化。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis for Soil Moisture in Jiangsu Province, China, Using GLDAS Data 基于GLDAS数据的江苏省土壤水分分析
J. Cai, Yuanzhi Zhang, Yu Li, Ting-chen Jiang, X. Liang, XiaLu, J. Tsou
In this chapter, we present the analysis for the evolution characteristics of temperature, precipitation, and soil moisture. We choose a newly developed method that is based on the information flow (IF) concept to research the causality between annual mean temper- ature, precipitation, and soil moisture in Jiangsu province, China, from 1961 to 2011 by using the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). The correlation and the cau- sality of air temperature and precipitation on soil moisture were compared and discussed. The causality value of 0 – 10 cm layer is significantly different from zero, while the deeper, in comparison to the surface layer, is negligible. This result unambiguously shows the causality in the sense that the precipitation increase and the temperature decrease are causing the shallow soil moisture to increase. Temperature and all layers of soil moisture have a negative correlation, but precipitation inverses. Precipitation strongly has the greatest effects on soil moisture in the surface layer, though the rest layers are not obvious.
在本章中,我们分析了温度、降水和土壤湿度的演变特征。本文采用基于信息流(IF)概念的新方法,利用全球土地数据同化系统(GLDAS)研究了1961 - 2011年江苏省年平均气温、降水和土壤湿度之间的因果关系。比较和讨论了气温和降水对土壤水分的相关性和因果关系。0 ~ 10 cm层的因果关系值与零有显著差异,而深层与表层相比,因果关系值可以忽略不计。这一结果明确显示了降水增加和气温下降导致浅层土壤水分增加的因果关系。温度与各层土壤水分呈负相关,降水呈负相关。降水对表层土壤湿度的影响最大,其余各层影响不明显。
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引用次数: 0
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Coastal Environment, Disaster, and Infrastructure - A Case Study of China's Coastline
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