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Evaluation of longitudinal / transverse dispersion coefficients and prediction of concentration at river confluence in two-dimensional solute transport analysis 二维溶质输运分析中河流汇合处纵横色散系数评价及浓度预测
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.4.255
K. Baek
Mixing characteristics of the longitudinal/transverse directions is inevitably different in rivers with a large aspect ratio. Particularly complex mixing behavior occurs in the area of the confluence where tributaries and main streams of different concentrations meet, and it is necessary to accurately implement such mixing characteristics by assigning appropriate values of longitudinal and transverse dispersion coefficients. In this study, the mixing behavior according to the different values in the longitudinal/transverse dispersion coefficient was analyzed by using the two-dimensional model (RAMS) at the confluence where three rivers (the Nakdong River, the Geumho River, and the Jincheon Creek) meet. Firstly the longitudinal and transverse dispersion coefficients were calibrated and validated based on the electrical conductivity (EC) acquired from field measurements. Through the calibration and validation, it was shown that the longitudinal dispersion coefficient was about 25 times larger than the transverse dispersion coefficient in this area. Then assuming that a hazardous substance (phenol) was introduced into the upper boundaries of the Geumho River and the Jincheon Creek due to an accidental spill, the concentration of phenol arrived at the water intake facilities was calculated by using the calibrated numerical model. As a result, characteristics such as time and peak concentration of hazardous substances reaching the water intake facilities were very different according to the ratio of the longitudinal/transverse dispersion coefficient values. In fact, this is an example that the selection of the dispersion coefficients can affect decision-making such as stopping water intake during an appropriate time at the facilities, when if phenol is introduced into a river. In the end, when using a two-dimensional mixing model in a river, it was confirmed that the provision of an appropriate value of the longitudinal/transverse dispersion coefficient was an important factor.
在纵横比较大的河流中,纵横方向的混合特性必然不同。在不同浓度的支流和干流交汇的合流区域,会发生特别复杂的混合行为,需要通过分配适当的纵向和横向分散系数值来准确地实现这种混合特性。本文利用二维模型(RAMS)分析了洛东江、锦湖江和晋川溪三江汇合处不同纵横色散系数值的混合行为。首先,根据现场测量得到的电导率对纵向和横向色散系数进行了标定和验证。通过标定和验证,表明该区域的纵向色散系数约为横向色散系数的25倍。然后,假设因意外泄漏导致有害物质(苯酚)进入锦湖江和镇川溪上游,利用校正后的数值模型计算到达取水设施的苯酚浓度。结果表明,随着纵向/横向扩散系数值的不同,有害物质到达取水设施的时间和峰值浓度等特征有很大差异。事实上,这是一个例子,当苯酚被引入河流时,分散系数的选择可以影响决策,例如在适当的时间在设施中停止取水。最后,利用河流中的二维混合模型,证实了纵向/横向色散系数的适当取值是一个重要因素。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of MIROC5 and MIROC6 projections for precipitation over South Korea 韩国降水的MIROC5和MIROC6预估比较
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.4.229
S. Chae
This study projected the monthly precipitation for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 of the MIROC5 and SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 of MIROC6 GCMs using observations of the historical period (1970 to 2005) of 21 stations in Korea, and then compared the performance before and after bias correction using 6 evaluation indicators. In addition, using the bias corrected GCM’s scenarios, annual precipitation, summer precipitation and winter precipitation in near future period (2021-2060) and far future period (2061-2100) were calculated. Furthermore, the variability of future projection was quantified using the standard deviation and interquartile range values of future precipitation. As a result the rate of change of precipitation was greater in the northern region than in the southern region and in the far future rather than the near future. The variability in the projection were also concluded to be larger in the northern region than that in the southern regions.
本文利用韩国21个站点1970 ~ 2005年的历史观测资料,预估了MIROC5的RCP4.5和RCP8.5以及MIROC6的SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5的月降水量,并利用6个评价指标比较了偏差校正前后的表现。此外,利用偏差校正后的GCM情景,计算了近未来期(2021-2060)和远未来期(2061-2100)的年降水量、夏季降水量和冬季降水量。此外,利用未来降水的标准差和四分位数差值量化了未来预测的变异性。结果表明,北方地区的降水变化率大于南方地区,远未来的降水变化率大于近未来的降水变化率。预测的变率在北部地区也比南部地区大。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of ungauged Hwanggang dam inflow using Sentinel-2 optical satellite imagery 利用Sentinel-2光学卫星图像估算未测量的黄江大坝入水量
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.4.265
Jingyeom Kim
The Hwanggang Dam in North Korea is located upstream of the Imjin River which is a shared river on the border. It is known to have a reservoir capacity of 350 million cubic meters, which is about 1.5 times larger than Paldang Dam in South Korea, and releases a discharge largely for generating hydroelectric power and partly for transferring to the Yesung River basin. Due to the special national security issues in the region, data sharing between the south and north Koreas is not made, and flood damage risk due to heavy storm and unauthorized discharge is remained in the south Korean-side downstream region. However, It is still difficult to forecast the flood because the operating information of the Hwanggang Dam is not shared. In this study, a dam inflow and reservoir water level change modeling system was constructed using lumped hydrological model and reservoir operation algorithm based on AutoROM. Dam inflow was verified indirectly using remotely sensed water level derived by Sentinel-2 optical satellite and 10m high-resolution terrain map. Coefficient of determination (R2) derived as 0.76 for water level changing from Jan. 2017 to Aug. 2020.
北韩的黄江坝位于两国共有的临津江上游。据悉,水库容量为3.5亿立方米,是八堂水坝的1.5倍,主要用于水力发电,部分用于向礼成江流域输送水。由于该地区特殊的国家安全问题,南北韩之间没有进行数据共享,在下游地区韩国方面仍然存在因暴雨和未经许可的排放而造成的洪涝灾害风险。但是,由于黄江坝的运行信息不公开,因此很难预测洪涝灾害。基于AutoROM的集总水文模型和水库运行算法,构建了大坝入库水位变化建模系统。利用Sentinel-2光学卫星遥感水位和10m高分辨率地形图间接验证了大坝入流情况。2017年1月至2020年8月水位变化的决定系数(R2)为0.76。
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引用次数: 1
Case study on application of graphical method for baseflow separation 图解法在基流分离中的应用实例研究
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.4.217
Taeuk Kang
Baseflow constitutes most of the streamflow during the dry season and it is an important factor for stream management. In this study, four techniques for separating baseflow from the streamflow were applied to two target areas to examine the applicability. The baseflow separation techniques used in the analysis are all graphical methods, which are fixed interval method (FIM), sliding interval method (SIM), local minimum method (LMM), and PART programs based on the N-day method. The target areas are the Daeri and Cheongsong stage stations in the Nakdong River Basin where the streamflow was measured continuously for 5 years. We evaluated the appropriateness of the results for baseflow separation methods by examining the indexes for model assessment (NSE, PBIAS, RSR), baseflow index, and shape of baseflow separated from a flood hydrograph. It was analyzed that the FIM, SIM, and LMM methods included some errors in separating the baseflow from streamflow, whereas the PART program results were found to be the best.
基流构成了旱季河流流量的大部分,是河流管理的重要因素。在本研究中,将四种分离基流和流的技术应用于两个目标区域,以检验其适用性。分析中采用的基流分离技术均为图形化方法,分别为固定区间法(FIM)、滑动区间法(SIM)、局部最小值法(LMM)和基于n天法的PART程序。目标地区是连续5年测量流量的洛东江流域大里站和青松站。我们通过考察模型评估指标(NSE、PBIAS、RSR)、基流指数和从洪水线分离的基流形状来评估基流分离方法结果的适宜性。分析结果表明,FIM、SIM和LMM方法在基流和流的分离上存在一定的误差,而PART程序的分离效果最好。
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引用次数: 1
Methodology for assessment and forecast of drought severity based on the water balance analysis 基于水平衡分析的干旱严重程度评价与预报方法
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.4.241
Ock-Jae Jang
Drought is a natural disaster which is hard to recognize its onset and termination and to estimate the damage from the events which occurred in the past and are expected in near future. While the drought indices or their frequencies are widely applied to explain the severity of each event in the existing studies, decision-makers and stakeholders (the public) may have trouble in understanding the results due to the unfamiliar expression with statistical values. In this study, therefore, the methodology for assessment and forecast of drought severity based on the amount of water shortage from the water balance analysis was be placed at the center of the discussion. Firstly, in order to improve the existing analysis for drought assessment adopted in the National Water Resources Plan, alternative methods have been suggested to estimate the amount of water demand in each sub-basin using the land use map, and in an aspect of water supply, reservoirs and underground water are included in the simulation of MODSIM-DSS. The relationship between drought severity from the simulated water shortage in the study area and the values of SPEIs (SPEI 6 = estimated for 6 months winter and spring season, SPEI 3 = estimated for 3 months summer season) has been analyzed by the Decision tree. Due to this achievement, at the end of the spring season, every year the forecast for the drought severity will be available with the quantitatively estimated water shortage, and it will be helpful to activate the drought mitigation measures before the disaster occurs.
干旱是一种难以识别其发生和终止的自然灾害,也难以估计过去发生和预计在不久的将来发生的事件所造成的损害。虽然干旱指数或其频率在现有研究中被广泛应用于解释每种事件的严重程度,但由于不熟悉统计值的表达,决策者和利益相关者(公众)可能难以理解结果。因此,在本研究中,基于水平衡分析的缺水量来评估和预测干旱严重程度的方法被置于讨论的中心。首先,为了改进《国家水资源规划》中现有的干旱评价分析方法,提出了利用土地利用图估算各子流域需水量的替代方法,并在供水方面将水库和地下水纳入MODSIM-DSS模拟。利用决策树分析了研究区模拟缺水的干旱程度与SPEI值(SPEI 6 =冬季和春季6个月的估计值,SPEI 3 =夏季3个月的估计值)之间的关系。由于这一成果,每年春季结束时,对干旱严重程度的预测将得到定量估计的缺水情况,这将有助于在灾害发生前启动抗旱措施。
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引用次数: 1
Application of 3D point cloud modeling for performance analysis of reinforced levee with biopolymer 三维点云建模在生物聚合物加固堤防性能分析中的应用
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.3.181
Dongwook Ko
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引用次数: 1
Evaluating meteorological and hydrological impacts on forest fire occurrences using partial least squares-structural equation modeling: a case of Gyeonggi-do 用偏最小二乘-结构方程模型评价气象和水文对森林火灾的影响:以京畿道为例
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.3.145
Dongwook Kim
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引用次数: 3
Application of sequence to sequence learning based LSTM model (LSTM-s2s) for forecasting dam inflow 基于序列学习的LSTM模型(LSTM-s2s)在大坝入流预测中的应用
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.3.157
Heechan Han
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引用次数: 4
Analysis of changes in cross section and flow rate due to vegetation establishment in Naeseong stream 内城河植被建立后断面及流量变化分析
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.3.203
Taesun Lee
In the present study, hydrologic data and topographical data from 2010 to 2019 were collected from three gauging stations placed in the watershed of Naeseong stream to determine changes and rates of changes in rainfall, water level & mean velocity, and water level & discharge, together with changes in rates of erosion and deposition at cross-sections of the river. Besides, effects of regulated and non-regulated rivers according to the presence of artificial regulation of flow rate of the river via artificial structure located at Seo stream (Yeongju si (Wolhogyo) station), the tributary free from construction of dams, were compared and analyzed. Results of analyses conducted in the present study revealed vegetational establishment and landforming due to increasing area of vegetational sandbar evolved in the flood plain (intermediateor highwater level) by the drought sustained from 2013 to 2015. Continuous erosion of river bed was appeared because of narrowed flow area with low water level and increased velocity and tractive force on river bed.
在本次研究中,从内城河流域的3个测量站收集了2010年至2019年的水文和地形数据,确定了降雨量、水位和平均流速、水位和流量的变化和变化率,以及河流断面的侵蚀和沉积速率的变化。此外,还比较分析了在未建坝的徐溪(英州市(月虎桥)站)进行人工调节的情况下,调节和不调节河流的效果。研究结果表明,2013 - 2015年干旱导致河漫滩(中高水位)植被沙坝面积增加,导致植被建立和地貌形成。低水位河道面积缩小,河床流速和牵引力增大,导致河床持续侵蚀。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the environmental flow and habitat of the river ecosystem through ecosystem function model 应用生态系统功能模型评价河流生态系统的环境流量和生境
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.3.191
Jongyun Na
Rivers have been damaged due to rapid urbanization, and river management has been carried out focusing on flow and flood control functions. Recently, interest in river restoration, emphasizing the environmental aspects of rivers, is increasing, but the beginning of river restoration requires an appropriate evaluation of the environmental flow required for the ecosystem. This study analyzed the effects on the habitat of the river ecosystem by estimating the changes in flow regime and environmental flow following the construction of the Buhang dam in Gamcheon, the first tributary of the Nakdong River. To evaluate the environmental flow, the dominant species of Gamcheon, Zacco Platypus, and the protected species Squalidus gracilis majime, and riparian vegetation were selected, and the environmental flow was calculated using the HEC-EFM (Ecosystem Function Model). The evaluated environmental flow was linked with hydraulic analysis and GIS platform, and habitat area change and habitat connectivity analysis before and after dam construction were performed by spatial habitat analysis in the river. Based on the results of this study, it can be used as a river restoration project and a dam operation plan considering the river environment through the calculation of environmental flow and habitat connectivity analysis to improve the habitat of the river ecosystem.
由于快速的城市化,河流受到了破坏,河流管理的重点是流量和防洪功能。近年来,人们对河流恢复的兴趣日益增加,强调河流的环境方面,但河流恢复的开始需要对生态系统所需的环境流量进行适当的评估。本研究通过分析洛东江第一支流甘川的釜行水坝建设后的水流形态和环境流量变化,分析了对河流生态系统栖息地的影响。选取甘川鸭嘴兽(Zacco Platypus)、保护物种角鲨(Squalidus gracilis majime)和河岸植被为环境流量评价对象,采用HEC-EFM(生态系统功能模型)计算环境流量。将评价后的环境流量与水力学分析和GIS平台相结合,通过河道空间生境分析进行建坝前后生境面积变化和生境连通性分析。基于本研究结果,通过环境流量计算和栖息地连通性分析,可作为考虑河流环境的河流修复工程和大坝运行方案,以改善河流生态系统的栖息地。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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