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Determinants of Indonesian Gold Export to Singapore in 2006-2017 2006-2017年印尼黄金出口新加坡的决定因素
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.20
Regita Hikmatuz Zakia, S. I. Oktora
—In Southeast Asia, Indonesia is the highest gold producer, in which Singapore has become the main destination for Indonesian gold exports since 2014. The volume of Indonesian gold exports to Singapore increased eightfold compared to 2013. At the same period, Singapore, which is not a gold producer is one of the top 10 countries with the highest gold export value in the world, while Indonesia's position is left behind Singapore. This study aims to analyze the variables that affect the volume of Indonesian gold exports to Singapore in 2006-2017. The analytical method used in this research is Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL). The results showed that in the short term, there were significant effects of gold export volume a quarter prior, Indonesian gold production a year prior, Singapore’s investments a year prior, and exchange rate. In the long term, the exchange rate and gold production were significantly affected by the gold export volume. The policy recommendation is government support in stimulating the establishment of national gold refining and manufacturing industry to increase profits by exporting value-added products through infrastructure and high technology support. The government should encourage the refining and gold manufacturing industries by implementing the Good and Service Tax elimination.
在东南亚,印尼是最大的黄金生产国,自2014年以来,新加坡已成为印尼黄金出口的主要目的地。与2013年相比,印尼对新加坡的黄金出口量增长了8倍。与此同时,并非黄金生产国的新加坡跻身全球黄金出口额前十大国家之列,而印尼的地位则落后于新加坡。本研究旨在分析2006-2017年影响印尼对新加坡黄金出口量的变量。本研究使用的分析方法是自回归分布滞后(ARDL)。结果表明,在短期内,前一季度的黄金出口量、前一年的印尼黄金产量、前一年的新加坡投资和汇率都有显著的影响。从长期来看,汇率和黄金产量受到黄金出口量的显著影响。政府的政策建议是,通过基础设施和尖端技术的支援,通过出口高附加值产品,刺激国内黄金精炼制造业的建立,增加利润。政府应该通过取消商品及服务税来鼓励炼油和黄金制造业。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Non-Tariff Measures Facing the Indonesian Agricultural Products in FTA/CEPA Trading Partners 探讨印尼农产品在FTA/CEPA贸易伙伴中面临的非关税措施
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.17
Ernawati Munadi, A. Saputri
Agriculture is an important sector for Indonesian economy with 21.8% contribution to non-oil and gas export, but it is observed that Indonesian agricultural products face challenges in complying with stringent non-tariff measures (NTMs) imposed by importing countries, mainly on SPS and TBT. This article tries to address some NTMs issues on Indonesian agricultural export products particularly the prevalence of NTMs using frequency ratio (FR), coverage ratio (CR) and regulatory distances (RD) analysis. This study utilizes data from World Intergrated Trade Solution (WITS). The study shows that Indonesia’s ability to get better market access to its major trading partners depend on its ability to comply with SPS and TBT measures, and this is reflected in their high prevalent index. However, the average coverage ratio on Indonesian agricultural exports is only 13%, implying that NTMs policy on agriculture products imposed by Indonesian FTA/CEPA trading partners impacted only 13% of Indonesian agriculture export products. The RD of agricultural products between Indonesia and some of its main FTA/CEPA partners is 0.011with Pakistan and Singapore, and 0.09 with the Philippines and Australia. The finding reveals that there is a “core” of countries with similar NTM patterns at the product level on animal and food regulations.,. Indonesia is encouraged to address NTMs issues with its FTA/CEPA trading partners, in particular on any stringent NTMs and procedural obstacles related to SPS and TBT implementation as they often burden exporters. Keywords— Frequency Index, Coverage ratio, Regulatory Distance, SPS, TBT
农业是印尼经济的重要部门,对非石油和天然气出口的贡献为21.8%,但据观察,印尼农产品在遵守进口国施加的严格非关税措施(ntm)方面面临挑战,主要是SPS和TBT。本文试图通过频率比(FR)、覆盖比(CR)和监管距离(RD)分析来解决印尼农产品出口中ntm的一些问题,特别是ntm的流行程度。本研究使用的数据来自世界综合贸易解决方案(WITS)。研究表明,印度尼西亚能否更好地进入其主要贸易伙伴的市场,取决于其遵守SPS和TBT措施的能力,这反映在它们的高流行指数上。然而,印尼农产品出口的平均覆盖率仅为13%,这意味着印尼FTA/CEPA贸易伙伴对农产品实施的非关税措施政策仅影响了13%的印尼农产品出口。印尼与一些主要自由贸易协定/CEPA合作伙伴之间的农产品研发比,与巴基斯坦和新加坡的研发比为0.011,与菲律宾和澳大利亚的研发比为0.09。这一发现表明,在动物和食品法规的产品层面上,存在一个具有类似NTM模式的“核心”国家。鼓励印度尼西亚与其自由贸易协定/CEPA贸易伙伴解决非关税措施问题,特别是任何严格的非关税措施以及与实施SPS和TBT有关的程序障碍,因为它们往往给出口商带来负担。关键词:频率指数,覆盖率,调节距离,SPS, TBT
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引用次数: 0
Indonesia Global Value Chain Participation in Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) 印尼参与区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)全球价值链
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.34
Steven Raja Ingot, Dian Dwi Laksani
The Global Value Chain (GVC) has proved to be an important factor that encouraged trade in the last 30 years. Cooperation within the RCEP can facilitate Indonesian trade as an effort to increase value added within global value chain framework. Economic cooperation is proven as a way to boost GVC participation within its member in the region, including the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) due to regulation uniformity. The study used Descriptive Qualitative statisctics and Trade in Value Added (TiVA) data aims to identify Indonesias GVC participation within RCEP as well as its position in GVC participation. Specifically, this study uses the participation index, the index of the number of production stages and index of the distance of the final product. The study shows that Indonesias GVC participation is higher than neighboring countries such as Malaysia and Thailand however, compared to other East Asian countries Indonesia is still low. Most of Indonesias GVC participation is as a supplier of raw material. Within RCEP, Indonesias participation in GVC is still dominated by Low Technology Industries. To maximize Indonesia GVC participation within RCEP and boost trade, public-private cooperation and predictable trade, as well as investment climate reforms, is required. Keywords— RCEP, GVC, Trade in Value Added
过去30年来,全球价值链(GVC)已被证明是鼓励贸易的重要因素。在区域全面经济伙伴关系框架内开展合作,有利于印尼在全球价值链框架内提高贸易附加值。事实证明,经济合作是促进包括区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)在内的区域成员参与全球价值链的一种方式,因为监管统一。该研究使用描述性定性统计和增值贸易(TiVA)数据,旨在确定印度尼西亚在RCEP中的全球价值链参与情况及其在全球价值链参与中的地位。具体而言,本研究使用了参与指数、生产阶段数指数和最终产品距离指数。研究表明,印度尼西亚的全球价值链参与程度高于马来西亚和泰国等邻国,但与其他东亚国家相比,印度尼西亚仍然很低。印尼参与全球价值链的主要是作为原材料供应商。在RCEP框架内,印尼参与全球价值链仍以低技术产业为主。为了最大限度地扩大印尼在RCEP中的全球价值链参与,促进贸易,需要公私合作和可预测的贸易,以及投资环境改革。关键词:RCEP,全球价值链,增值贸易
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引用次数: 7
WTO Export Restriction of Agricultural Commodities and Its Impacts for G-33 Members WTO农产品出口限制及其对G-33成员的影响
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.35
Steven Raja Ingot, D. V. Panjaitan, A. Mardiansyah, L. M. Christoffel
The discussion of agricultural Export Restriction (ER) at the World Trade Organization (WTO), which is a mechanism to temporarily stop the export of agricultural product that aims to prevent food shortages in exporting countries has been intensively negotiated. However, as a net importer of agricultural products and the member of G33 countries, Indonesia should address the ER policy because it may have potential to increase prices and threaten food security in domestic market and G33 member countries. This study uses a descriptive qualitative statistical analysis to determine Import Dependency Ratio (IDR) and SelfSufficiency Ratio (SSR) for five main imported agricultural products by G33 countries such as rice, corn, soybean, wheat, and horticulture. The Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analysis using GTAP ver.9 is also used to analyze the potential impact of agricultural product export restrictions for five analyzed products on macroeconomic and sectoral indicators. Based on IDR and SSR it can be concluded that almost all G33 countries heavily rely on wheat imports, as many as 36 countries depend on imported wheat with IDR values varying between 70% 215%. On the other hand, several G-33 countries have a fairly good level of fulfillment of consumption from domestic production (SSR) or more than 80%. Moreover, based on the GTAP calculation on the Indonesia case, export restrictions will have a negative macroeconomic impact on Indonesia. However, in sectoral perspective Indonesian farmers/producers can take advantage of the impact of the export restriction policy as an opportunity to increase their production. Keywords—export restriction, CGE, self sufficiency, import dependency
世界贸易组织(WTO)为防止出口国的粮食短缺而临时停止农产品出口的机制——农产品出口限制(ER),正在进行密集的谈判。然而,作为农产品净进口国和G33成员国,印度尼西亚应该解决汇率政策,因为它可能有可能提高价格,威胁到国内市场和G33成员国的粮食安全。本研究采用描述性定性统计分析方法,确定了G33国家稻米、玉米、大豆、小麦和园艺五种主要进口农产品的进口依赖比(IDR)和自足率(SSR)。基于GTAP的可计算一般均衡分析。9还用于分析五种分析产品的农产品出口限制对宏观经济和部门指标的潜在影响。根据IDR和SSR可以得出结论,几乎所有G33国家都严重依赖小麦进口,多达36个国家依赖进口小麦,其IDR值在70%至15%之间。另一方面,一些G-33国家的国内生产消费(SSR)的实现水平相当好,超过80%。此外,根据GTAP对印度尼西亚案例的计算,出口限制将对印度尼西亚的宏观经济产生负面影响。但是,从部门的角度来看,印度尼西亚农民/生产者可以利用出口限制政策的影响作为增加产量的机会。关键词:出口限制,通用电气,自给自足,进口依赖
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引用次数: 0
Family Business in Agriculture: Challenge and Strategy to Face Global Business 农业家族企业:面对全球商业的挑战与策略
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.33
Nyayu Lathifah Tirdasari, D. Indrawan, Idqan Fahmi
Family business as the most business practice in the agricultural sector faces a challenge from global business via the Free Trade Agreement (FTA). The purpose of this paper is to provide business strategies that support the competitiveness of the family business in the global value chain. We reviewed related literature on family business and agriculture to describe the challenge and propose strategies that can bridge agricultural family business to become competitive. The study highlighted two challenges, namely labor usage, and capital usage. The amount of labor usage in Indonesia's family business was higher than the global business. However, the competitiveness by labor usage was determined by knowledge transfer and farmers' cooperation. Thus, the total value of capital usage in Indonesia's family business was lower than the global business. The capital usage was driven the competitiveness by social capital reinforcement, capital allocation, and capital availability. In this case, The Indonesian family business was found not able to take advantage of capital usage. The study proposed a strategy for the family business was to overcome the threat of labor usage by using its capital usage strength. These findings highlighted the importance of strengthening family business in agriculture sector based on each strength to overcome global trade challenge and take the opportunity from it. This paper may avail governments in drawing up policies for assisting the family business in the agriculture area to get global. It also contributes to the limited source of references literature regarding family business in agriculture in Indonesia. Keywords— family business, agriculture, business strategy, global trade, global value chain
通过自由贸易协定(FTA),家族企业作为农业部门最主要的商业实践面临着来自全球商业的挑战。本文的目的是提供支持家族企业在全球价值链中的竞争力的经营策略。我们回顾了家族企业与农业的相关文献,描述了挑战,并提出了能够使农业家族企业变得具有竞争力的策略。该研究强调了两个挑战,即劳动力使用和资本使用。印度尼西亚家族企业的劳动力使用量高于全球企业。劳动力使用竞争力主要由知识转移和农户合作决定。因此,印尼家族企业的资本使用总值低于全球企业。资本使用受社会资本强化、资本配置和资本可得性三个因素的驱动。在这种情况下,印尼家族企业被发现无法利用资本使用。本研究提出了利用家族企业的资本使用优势来克服劳动力使用威胁的策略。这些调查结果强调了加强农业部门家族企业以克服全球贸易挑战并从中抓住机遇的重要性。本文可为各国政府制定扶持农业家族企业走向世界的政策提供参考。这也导致印度尼西亚农业家族企业的参考文献来源有限。关键词:家族企业,农业,企业战略,全球贸易,全球价值链
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引用次数: 4
Indonesian Readiness for Digital Economy: Case on Trade Flows in ASEAN Region 印尼为数字经济做好准备:以东盟地区贸易流动为例
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.44
Iwan Hermawan
— The purpose of this study was to analyze Indonesian readiness for digital economy, case on trade flow in the ASEAN region. This study employed a quantitative approach with Gravity Model. The secondary data in the form of panel data period year 2004-2016 (annual) and includes ASEAN-10 countries. The variable digital economy readiness was a main explanatory variable interest and represented by readiness index. The all data sourced come from Comtrade, IMF, World Bank, World Economic Forum, and Indonesian Ministry of Trade. The analytical method used Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) and it was resolved with software of Stata 13. The results confirmed that Indonesian readiness for digital economy would affect positively trade flow of tangible and intangible product in the ASEAN market. In detail, fixed broadband internet tariffs and quality of educational system significantly influenced ICT trade flow in ASEAN market. While individual readiness became crucial factor effect trade in service in ASEAN market. Therefore, in order to prepare Indonesian for digital ecosystem, issue of accessibility and digital literacy by individual must be considered by the government. There are prerequisites that must be prepared when grabbing benefits of the momentum of the digitalization era.
-本研究的目的是分析印尼对数字经济的准备情况,以东盟地区的贸易流动为例。本研究采用重力模型的定量方法。二级数据采用面板数据形式,期间为2004-2016年(年度),包括东盟10国。可变的数字经济准备度是一个主要的解释变量,用准备度指数表示。所有数据来源于Comtrade、IMF、世界银行、世界经济论坛和印尼贸易部。分析方法采用泊松伪极大似然(Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood, PPML),并用Stata 13软件进行解析。研究结果证实,印尼对数字经济的准备将对东盟市场有形和无形产品的贸易流动产生积极影响。具体而言,固定宽带互联网资费和教育系统质量显著影响东盟市场的ICT贸易流量。而个人的准备程度成为影响东盟市场服务贸易的关键因素。因此,为了让印尼为数位生态系统做好准备,政府必须考虑个人的无障碍和数位素养问题。抓住数字化时代的势头,必须准备好先决条件。
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引用次数: 1
Tourism Value Chain Activities Model for Competitive Advantage Measurement 旅游价值链活动的竞争优势测量模型
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.10
F. Rahmiati, Y. Ismail, G. Amin, T. Simatupang, D. Larso, N. Othman
Tourism characterized as an industry with a strong competition. Therefore, it is crucial to create a competitive advantage in order to stay in the market. In the case of the tourism industry, creating competitive advantage could be done by providing an extraordinary experience which is the ultimate goal for travel leading to customer satisfaction and customer loyalty. This paper aims at exploring and developing a model of tourism value chain activities experience by tourist for competitive advantage creation. Tourism value chain activities model consists of three stages whereby each stage has its own type of measurement. The first stage covers the pre-trip experience, in this stage, the detailed information prior to departure will be discussed. Next stage is the trip experience, which are the tourism activities involved during the visit and experienced during the trip. Lastly the post-trip experience, whereby on this stage the output of the tourism value chain activities will be measured. The proposed measurement for this stage will be an evaluation of tourist satisfaction and tourist loyalty in order to create a competitive advantage. Future studies are expected in implementing these tourism value chain activities in specific tourism destinations (country) to measure the tourism experience. Keywords—tourism, competitive advantage, travel experience, tourism value chain activities
旅游业被认为是一个竞争激烈的产业。因此,为了在市场上立足,创造竞争优势至关重要。以旅游业为例,创造竞争优势可以通过提供非凡的体验来实现,这是旅游的最终目标,从而提高客户满意度和忠诚度。本文旨在探索和开发旅游价值链活动体验模式,以创造竞争优势。旅游价值链活动模型包括三个阶段,每个阶段都有自己的测量类型。第一阶段包括旅行前的体验,在这个阶段,出发前的详细信息将被讨论。下一阶段是旅行体验,即在参观过程中参与的旅游活动和在旅行过程中体验到的旅游活动。最后是旅行后的体验,在这个阶段,旅游价值链活动的产出将被衡量。这一阶段提出的测量将是对游客满意度和游客忠诚度的评估,以创造竞争优势。未来的研究有望在特定的旅游目的地(国家)实施这些旅游价值链活动,以衡量旅游体验。关键词:旅游,竞争优势,旅游体验,旅游价值链活动
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引用次数: 4
The Impact of Aircraft Spare Parts Import Duty Exemption on the MRO Industry's Competitiveness and Its Services Export 飞机零部件进口关税免征对MRO产业竞争力及服务出口的影响
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.42
F. Rahmawati, Choirin Nisaa, Rizka Isditami Syarif, Herindra Adhi Nusantara
—This study aims to identify the impact of import duty exemption on aircraft spare parts on the competitiveness and service export of the Aircraft Maintenance, Reparation, and Overhaul (MRO) industry including factors affected MRO competitiveness. In addition, this study aims to identify the problems encountered during the implementation of the policy, the types of aircraft parts to be exempted and the criteria for products to be eligible for exemption from import duties. The method of this study used qualitative and quantitative descriptive analysis, Porter’s five-force model and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). The results of the study showed that the import duty exemption policy increased MRO services from 30 percent to 49 percent during 2013-2017. Constraints in implementation are procedures and differences in customs areas where the longest is for bonded zones. Special customs policies for MROs as well as the exemption of import duties for goods related to MROs which 90 percent originating from imports will greatly encourage competitiveness which relies heavily on aircraft down time. The types of goods that need to be exempted from import duties are consumable and repairable groups in both new and non-new capital goods categories.
-本研究旨在厘清飞机零配件进口关税豁免对飞机维修及大修(MRO)行业竞争力及服务出口的影响,包括影响MRO竞争力的因素。此外,本研究旨在找出政策实施过程中遇到的问题,豁免进口关税的飞机零部件种类,以及豁免进口关税的产品标准。本研究采用定性和定量描述性分析、波特五力模型和层次分析法(AHP)。研究结果表明,2013-2017年期间,进口关税豁免政策将MRO服务从30%提高到49%。实施方面的限制是海关地区的程序和差异,其中最长的是保税区。针对mro的特殊海关政策,以及对90%来自进口的mro相关货物免征进口关税,将极大地鼓励严重依赖飞机停机时间的竞争力。需要免征进口关税的货物类型是新资本货物和非新资本货物类别中的消耗品和可修理品。
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引用次数: 2
Factors Affecting E-Commerce Adoption and Their Impact on SMEs' Performance: A Case Study of Jabodetabek Region 电子商务采用的影响因素及其对中小企业绩效的影响——以贾博德塔贝克地区为例
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.5
R. Hidayati, R. Permatasari, Ashry Noviana Fairy
The development of information technology (IT) has disrupted the world business. E-commerce significantly increases effectiveness and efficiency in trade. This research analyzed organizational support, technology competence, and external environment as factors affecting e-commerce adoption by the Small Medium Enterprises. This study was conducted with the aim of identifying the impact of factors that influence e-commerce adoption on the performance of Small and Medium Enterprises in the Jabodetabek region. Quantitative approach with multiple regression analysis was applied as a tool to determine the impact of internal and external factors regarding e-commerce adoption to the SMEs performance. The results showed that the variables of organizational support, technology competence, and external environment, simultaneously affect the performance improvement on eCommerce adoption by SMEs in Jabodetabek region. Keywords—organizational support, technology competence, external environment, e-commerce, performance improvement, SMEs
信息技术(IT)的发展扰乱了世界商业。电子商务大大提高了贸易的有效性和效率。本研究分析了组织支持、技术能力和外部环境作为影响中小企业采用电子商务的因素。本研究的目的是确定影响电子商务采用的因素对Jabodetabek地区中小企业绩效的影响。运用多元回归分析的定量方法来确定电子商务采用对中小企业绩效的内部和外部因素的影响。结果表明,组织支持、技术能力和外部环境三个变量同时影响着Jabodetabek地区中小企业采用电子商务的绩效提升。关键词:组织支持、技术能力、外部环境、电子商务、绩效改进、中小企业
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引用次数: 2
Employee Empowerment at PT PLN UIP JBB PT - PLN - upp - JBB的员工授权
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2991/icot-19.2019.24
Djoko Pitoyo
— The purpose of this research is to find out the relationship between performance improvement through employee empowerment which is influenced by leadership and organizational culture factors in PT PLN Unit Induk Pengembangan Jawa Bagian Barat (UIP JBB). This study used the questionnaire method with respondents as many as 47 employees. The collected data was analyzed using path analysis, with the aim of knowing the relationship between variables. From the results of this study it was found that Leadership does not have a direct or indirect effect, through Employee Empowerment variables, significantly on Employee Performance. Organizational Culture has a significant direct influence on Employee Performance by 0.33, and Organizational Culture has a significant indirect effect on Employee Performance through Employee Empowerment of 0.65. Employee Empowerment can be significantly influenced directly by the 0rganizational Culture variable of 0.64. Employee performance can be directly influenced by Employee Empowerment variables of 0.49.
-本研究的目的是找出PT PLN Unit Induk Pengembangan Jawa Bagian Barat (UIP JBB)受领导和组织文化因素影响的员工授权绩效改善之间的关系。本研究采用问卷调查法,调查对象多达47名员工。对收集到的数据进行路径分析,目的是了解变量之间的关系。从本研究的结果发现,通过员工授权变量,领导对员工绩效没有直接或间接的影响。组织文化对员工绩效的直接影响显著(0.33),组织文化通过员工授权对员工绩效的间接影响显著(0.65)。组织文化变量0.64直接显著影响员工授权。员工授权变量对员工绩效的直接影响为0.49。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)
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