A. Mardiansyah, Kerub Henpra Gokniel, Jane Marisi Rapmeriah
The utilization of the ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) negotiations by Indonesia’s retail industry is still considered low. Retail business expansion to regional market is really expected to increase Indonesia’s trade performance and to maximize ASEAN market potential as its economic growth and population continue to increase. This study used Hoekman Index analysis to describe the level of openness of foreign retail services investment in ASEAN countries and SWOT analysis to find the strategies to utilize AFAS in order to increase Indonesia’s overseas investment on retail industries in ASEAN markets. The results of the analysis concluded that the level of investment openness of ASEAN member countries for foreign retail services is relatively open; but, Indonesia is less open than other ASEAN countries. Furthermore, based on EFAS / IFAS Analysis, Indonesia’s retail service sector has Opportunities and Strength as a way to develop its business in the ASEAN market with a strategy Progressive. As for other alternatives penetration strategies (entry mode) can be done, among others through full investment with foreign ownership of 100% to countries that have been fully open, joint venture, or through Indonesian retail franchise to ASEAN countries, which is the easiest and least risky way. Keywords— AFAS, SWOT, Hoekman Index
{"title":"The Utilization of AFAS on Indonesia's Retail Service Expansion to ASEAN Markets","authors":"A. Mardiansyah, Kerub Henpra Gokniel, Jane Marisi Rapmeriah","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.6","url":null,"abstract":"The utilization of the ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) negotiations by Indonesia’s retail industry is still considered low. Retail business expansion to regional market is really expected to increase Indonesia’s trade performance and to maximize ASEAN market potential as its economic growth and population continue to increase. This study used Hoekman Index analysis to describe the level of openness of foreign retail services investment in ASEAN countries and SWOT analysis to find the strategies to utilize AFAS in order to increase Indonesia’s overseas investment on retail industries in ASEAN markets. The results of the analysis concluded that the level of investment openness of ASEAN member countries for foreign retail services is relatively open; but, Indonesia is less open than other ASEAN countries. Furthermore, based on EFAS / IFAS Analysis, Indonesia’s retail service sector has Opportunities and Strength as a way to develop its business in the ASEAN market with a strategy Progressive. As for other alternatives penetration strategies (entry mode) can be done, among others through full investment with foreign ownership of 100% to countries that have been fully open, joint venture, or through Indonesian retail franchise to ASEAN countries, which is the easiest and least risky way. Keywords— AFAS, SWOT, Hoekman Index","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121771291","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Building good human capital can be based on how the Education scheme and sustainable Long-term programs are built. In entering current market share, business organizations face a diverse work environment with sustainable change and development and with the speed to respond to change effectively. In addition, for Indonesia with its diversity, it has a duty to create competitive advantage based on the existence of quality human resources that contribute to the creation of organizational sustainability in the trade sector. The emergence of a series of challenges in the knowledge economy has had a clear reflection on business organizations that have begun to look for new mechanisms to compete and ensure their existence in the business world. Therefore, the importance of the concept of competitive advantage, based on human resources, is a requirement needed to face challenges faced by local, regional or international organizations (Global Institute, 2011). competitive advantage based on human resources is the main producer of new ideas, development of old ideas, and contributions to help in the ability of organizations to expand their current market share and maximize value. On the other hand, placing someone in the right position is also an optimization in productivity. This study aims to see the impact of competitive advantage through investment in intellectual capital and regional specificity as one of the elements in the creation of sustainable organizations in the export sector. Simple and multiple regression is used for data analysis and testing the hypothesis of this study. This research has achieved a series of results reinforced by previous studies in this field such as: Competitive advantage based on different capital is the optimal method that must be used because it contributes to the optimal investment of human resources. This leads to optimal organizational sustainability for companies in various fields and also contributes to the achievement of the company's mission and vision in the future. Keywords— Competitive Advantage, Human Capital, Labor, Sustainable
建立良好的人力资本可以基于如何建立教育计划和可持续的长期项目。在进入当前市场份额的过程中，商业组织面临着一个多样化的工作环境，这个环境具有可持续的变化和发展，并且具有有效应对变化的速度。此外，对于具有多样性的印度尼西亚来说，它有责任在拥有优质人力资源的基础上创造竞争优势，这些人力资源有助于在贸易部门创造组织的可持续性。知识经济中出现的一系列挑战已经对商业组织产生了清晰的反映，这些组织已经开始寻找新的机制来竞争并确保他们在商业世界中的存在。因此，基于人力资源的竞争优势概念的重要性是应对地方、区域或国际组织面临的挑战所需的要求(Global Institute, 2011)。以人力资源为基础的竞争优势是新思想的主要生产者，旧思想的发展，有助于组织扩大现有市场份额和实现价值最大化的能力。另一方面，将某人安置在正确的位置也是生产力的优化。本研究的目的是看到竞争优势的影响，通过投资的智力资本和区域特殊性作为一个要素，在出口部门的可持续组织的创建。本研究采用简单回归和多元回归进行数据分析和假设检验。本研究取得了一系列在前人研究基础上得到强化的结果，如:基于不同资本的竞争优势是企业必须采用的最优方法，因为它有助于人力资源的最优投资。这将为公司在各个领域带来最佳的组织可持续性，也有助于实现公司未来的使命和愿景。关键词:竞争优势，人力资本，劳动力，可持续发展
{"title":"Long-term Sustainable Strategy: Mapping Prospects for Labor Based on Productivity and Specialization","authors":"Dede Yoga Paramartha, Anisa Muna Majidah","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.31","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.31","url":null,"abstract":"Building good human capital can be based on how the Education scheme and sustainable Long-term programs are built. In entering current market share, business organizations face a diverse work environment with sustainable change and development and with the speed to respond to change effectively. In addition, for Indonesia with its diversity, it has a duty to create competitive advantage based on the existence of quality human resources that contribute to the creation of organizational sustainability in the trade sector. The emergence of a series of challenges in the knowledge economy has had a clear reflection on business organizations that have begun to look for new mechanisms to compete and ensure their existence in the business world. Therefore, the importance of the concept of competitive advantage, based on human resources, is a requirement needed to face challenges faced by local, regional or international organizations (Global Institute, 2011). competitive advantage based on human resources is the main producer of new ideas, development of old ideas, and contributions to help in the ability of organizations to expand their current market share and maximize value. On the other hand, placing someone in the right position is also an optimization in productivity. This study aims to see the impact of competitive advantage through investment in intellectual capital and regional specificity as one of the elements in the creation of sustainable organizations in the export sector. Simple and multiple regression is used for data analysis and testing the hypothesis of this study. This research has achieved a series of results reinforced by previous studies in this field such as: Competitive advantage based on different capital is the optimal method that must be used because it contributes to the optimal investment of human resources. This leads to optimal organizational sustainability for companies in various fields and also contributes to the achievement of the company's mission and vision in the future. Keywords— Competitive Advantage, Human Capital, Labor, Sustainable","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114545285","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Indonesia and Japan have established cooperation in various fields including investment and exportimport of oil palm sector. Although Indonesia has the largest palm oil production in the world, palm oil exports from Indonesia to Japan are lower than Malaysia. This research aims to explore the cooperation of Japan-Indonesia in the oil palm sector mainly in export-import and investment. Research uses quantitative and qualitative approach. Quantitative data were collected from various agencies in Indonesia while qualitative data conducted with in-depth interviews on various stakeholders. The result of the study shows that in 2018 Indonesia is the second largest supplier of oil palm in Japan with 40.0 percent share while Malaysia is the largest supplier with a 59.1% share. The export value of Indonesian oil palm products to Japan in 2018 is US$ 217.7 million. The trend of oil palm export in the last five years reached 30.24%. Indonesia has big opportunity to increase oil palm exports to Japan because Indonesia is the largest oil palm producer in the world. On the other hand, the demand of vegetable oil in Japan continues to increase both for renewable energy sources, cosmetic industry and cooking oil. Palm oil also has greater productivity compared to other vegetable plants. The development of oil palm exports has some challenges, especially market competition, product quality, export procedures, and negative campaign of oil palm plantation. With the negative campaign, the palm oil market is hampered because many Japanese companies require RSPO certification. Keywords— cooperation, palm oil, investment
{"title":"The Cooperation of Japan-Indonesia in the Oil Palm Sector","authors":"Ngadi, Triyono","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.16","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.16","url":null,"abstract":"Indonesia and Japan have established cooperation in various fields including investment and exportimport of oil palm sector. Although Indonesia has the largest palm oil production in the world, palm oil exports from Indonesia to Japan are lower than Malaysia. This research aims to explore the cooperation of Japan-Indonesia in the oil palm sector mainly in export-import and investment. Research uses quantitative and qualitative approach. Quantitative data were collected from various agencies in Indonesia while qualitative data conducted with in-depth interviews on various stakeholders. The result of the study shows that in 2018 Indonesia is the second largest supplier of oil palm in Japan with 40.0 percent share while Malaysia is the largest supplier with a 59.1% share. The export value of Indonesian oil palm products to Japan in 2018 is US$ 217.7 million. The trend of oil palm export in the last five years reached 30.24%. Indonesia has big opportunity to increase oil palm exports to Japan because Indonesia is the largest oil palm producer in the world. On the other hand, the demand of vegetable oil in Japan continues to increase both for renewable energy sources, cosmetic industry and cooking oil. Palm oil also has greater productivity compared to other vegetable plants. The development of oil palm exports has some challenges, especially market competition, product quality, export procedures, and negative campaign of oil palm plantation. With the negative campaign, the palm oil market is hampered because many Japanese companies require RSPO certification. Keywords— cooperation, palm oil, investment","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"161 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114678929","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analyzing Impacts of Renewable Energy Directive (RED) on Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Export and Forecasting CPO Export from Indonesia to European Union (EU) for 2019-2020 Using ARIMA Intervention Analysis","authors":"Anni Syahdia Nasution, Ika Yuni Wulansari","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.28","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.28","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"41 10","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120920463","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study aims to review the economic impact of PTA and arrange indications of product requests/offers. The methods used are Revealed Comparative Advantage, Trade Complementary Index, and Partial Equilibrium. The study found that the TCI for Indonesia is 18.4 while Bangladesh is 3.31. Here, Indonesia can fulfill better the demand from Bangladesh. Based on RCA analysis, Indonesia has a better advantage on animal; vegetable; foodstuffs; mineral; plastic/rubber; and wood product. Meanwhile, Bangladesh has a better advantage on raw hides, skins, leather and furs; textile; and footwear/headgear. From Partial Equilibrium simulations show that the reciprocal decline in import tariffs between the two countries will increase Indonesia’s export by USD 138.4 million, meanwhile Indonesia’s import will increase by USD 94.7 million. Both countries will obtain welfare in the form of consumer surpluses, for Indonesia is USD 10.4 million and Bangladesh USD 8.2 million. Potential loss of Indonesia’s revenue was due to a reduction in tariffs of USD 8.9 million and potential loss of Bangladesh’s revenue of USD 66.5 million. We suggest for the initial stages of trade cooperation between Indonesia and Bangladesh to form the PTA with an indication of Indonesia’s requests of 145 post tariffs and offers of 180 post tariffs. Keywords— Partial Equilibrium, PTA, Request/Offer
{"title":"The Economic Impact of Indonesia-Bangladesh Preferential Trade Agreement","authors":"Devina Cieny Juventia, Eka Choirulina, Yucky Anggun Anggrainy","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.8","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to review the economic impact of PTA and arrange indications of product requests/offers. The methods used are Revealed Comparative Advantage, Trade Complementary Index, and Partial Equilibrium. The study found that the TCI for Indonesia is 18.4 while Bangladesh is 3.31. Here, Indonesia can fulfill better the demand from Bangladesh. Based on RCA analysis, Indonesia has a better advantage on animal; vegetable; foodstuffs; mineral; plastic/rubber; and wood product. Meanwhile, Bangladesh has a better advantage on raw hides, skins, leather and furs; textile; and footwear/headgear. From Partial Equilibrium simulations show that the reciprocal decline in import tariffs between the two countries will increase Indonesia’s export by USD 138.4 million, meanwhile Indonesia’s import will increase by USD 94.7 million. Both countries will obtain welfare in the form of consumer surpluses, for Indonesia is USD 10.4 million and Bangladesh USD 8.2 million. Potential loss of Indonesia’s revenue was due to a reduction in tariffs of USD 8.9 million and potential loss of Bangladesh’s revenue of USD 66.5 million. We suggest for the initial stages of trade cooperation between Indonesia and Bangladesh to form the PTA with an indication of Indonesia’s requests of 145 post tariffs and offers of 180 post tariffs. Keywords— Partial Equilibrium, PTA, Request/Offer","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"148 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116627802","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rahayu Ningsih, Sahara, R. R. Febrinda, Selfi Menanti, Andhi
The potential of digital economy in Indonesia in 2025 is predicted to provide added value up to USD 115 billion (McKinsey Study). Meanwhile, the adoption of e-commerce by SMEs in Indonesia still limited. Based on survey of Indonesian E-Commerce Association (IdEA), less than 16 percent of SMEs utilize the marketplace to sale their products. This analysis aims to identify factors that influence SMEs in marketing their products through e-commerce. This study conducted based on case study of SMEs in Yogyakarta by using the Importance Performance Analysis (IPA). IPA conducted by considering internal and external factors that influenced SMEs. It was concluded that the main factors inhibiting SMEs are the lack of knowledge about the marketplace and the ability to look over the market opportunities in digital media. It is recommended to provide business incubator model that is integrated with a training system, mentorship, and access to financing and marketing. Keywords—SME, e-commerce, policy response
{"title":"Determinant Factors of SMEs in Adopting E-Commerce in Indonesia","authors":"Rahayu Ningsih, Sahara, R. R. Febrinda, Selfi Menanti, Andhi","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.7","url":null,"abstract":"The potential of digital economy in Indonesia in 2025 is predicted to provide added value up to USD 115 billion (McKinsey Study). Meanwhile, the adoption of e-commerce by SMEs in Indonesia still limited. Based on survey of Indonesian E-Commerce Association (IdEA), less than 16 percent of SMEs utilize the marketplace to sale their products. This analysis aims to identify factors that influence SMEs in marketing their products through e-commerce. This study conducted based on case study of SMEs in Yogyakarta by using the Importance Performance Analysis (IPA). IPA conducted by considering internal and external factors that influenced SMEs. It was concluded that the main factors inhibiting SMEs are the lack of knowledge about the marketplace and the ability to look over the market opportunities in digital media. It is recommended to provide business incubator model that is integrated with a training system, mentorship, and access to financing and marketing. Keywords—SME, e-commerce, policy response","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"24 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124623835","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
—Indonesia as the world's largest Muslim country has enormous opportunities in developing halal tourism. Jakarta as the capital which is the gateway for foreign tourists can easily introduce halal tourism as part of a tour. However OIC (Organization Islamic Cooperation) data shows that Indonesia is in second place for halal tourism, while Malaysia is in first place. This research aims to analyze the perspective of halal tourism development in Jakarta by using city branding theory proposed by Kavaratzis. The variables incorporated in this research were Landscape strategy, City’s behavior, Organizational structure and Infrastructure. Jakarta as one of the cities prepared and developed by Indonesia Government as halal tourism destination in Indonesia cannot attract more Muslim tourists. By August 2018, most foreign visitors that came to Jakarta were tourists from non-Muslim countries. It means, Jakarta needs a new city branding strategy in order to be successful in developing halal tourism and also attracts more Muslim tourists both local and international. This research employed multiple regression. A total of 155 respondents were collected using purposive and non-probability sampling. Based on the result of the adjusted R square, 58.3 percent of city branding development of halal tourism can be explained by all the independent variables, whereas the remaining 41.7 percent were influenced by other variables that were not included in this research. Furthermore, city’s behavior, organizational structure and infrastructure have significant effects towards the city branding development of halal tourism in Jakarta.
{"title":"Analyzing the Perspective of Halal Tourism Development: City Branding in Jakarta","authors":"Genoveva, Igbal Muhammad Kamal","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.30","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.30","url":null,"abstract":"—Indonesia as the world's largest Muslim country has enormous opportunities in developing halal tourism. Jakarta as the capital which is the gateway for foreign tourists can easily introduce halal tourism as part of a tour. However OIC (Organization Islamic Cooperation) data shows that Indonesia is in second place for halal tourism, while Malaysia is in first place. This research aims to analyze the perspective of halal tourism development in Jakarta by using city branding theory proposed by Kavaratzis. The variables incorporated in this research were Landscape strategy, City’s behavior, Organizational structure and Infrastructure. Jakarta as one of the cities prepared and developed by Indonesia Government as halal tourism destination in Indonesia cannot attract more Muslim tourists. By August 2018, most foreign visitors that came to Jakarta were tourists from non-Muslim countries. It means, Jakarta needs a new city branding strategy in order to be successful in developing halal tourism and also attracts more Muslim tourists both local and international. This research employed multiple regression. A total of 155 respondents were collected using purposive and non-probability sampling. Based on the result of the adjusted R square, 58.3 percent of city branding development of halal tourism can be explained by all the independent variables, whereas the remaining 41.7 percent were influenced by other variables that were not included in this research. Furthermore, city’s behavior, organizational structure and infrastructure have significant effects towards the city branding development of halal tourism in Jakarta.","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128918645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mastery of technology is the key to the success of a nation. One of the rapidly developing technologies in the fourth Industrial Revolution is nanotechnology, which is also said to be the beginning of the 5.0 industrial era. This paper is intended to forecast the life cycle from one of nanotechnology, quantum dots (QDs) technology, using patent literature and technological growth curve models. Patent data is taken from United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) from 1988 to 2016 using web scraping technique. From the literature study, logistic growth curve is considered as a common method to forecast the life cycle of technology. The upper limit used in this analysis is defined and a formula to evaluate is proposed. The fit of the transformed logistic curve is determined with the help of R-Square value. Parameters of logistic curve are estimated using nonlinear least square method and regression. The forecasting errors over the forecast region are estimated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). From the analysis, the QDs technology is categorized as an MATURE TECHNOLOGY. Current forecast of QDs technology maturity is that QDs is an important technology with high competitive impact and great integration into products and processes. Appications of QDs are now found in bioimaging, solar cells, LEDs, diode lasers, transistors, etc. Technology developers must be clear in understanding intellectual property boundaries and evaluating the benefits of forming strategic alliances to trade IP (intellectual property). Keywords—nanotechnology, patent analysis, quantum dots, technology life cycle
{"title":"Forecasting of Quantum Dots Technology using Simple Logistic Growth Curve","authors":"Nurmitra Sari Purba, Rani Nooraeni","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.27","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.27","url":null,"abstract":"Mastery of technology is the key to the success of a nation. One of the rapidly developing technologies in the fourth Industrial Revolution is nanotechnology, which is also said to be the beginning of the 5.0 industrial era. This paper is intended to forecast the life cycle from one of nanotechnology, quantum dots (QDs) technology, using patent literature and technological growth curve models. Patent data is taken from United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) from 1988 to 2016 using web scraping technique. From the literature study, logistic growth curve is considered as a common method to forecast the life cycle of technology. The upper limit used in this analysis is defined and a formula to evaluate is proposed. The fit of the transformed logistic curve is determined with the help of R-Square value. Parameters of logistic curve are estimated using nonlinear least square method and regression. The forecasting errors over the forecast region are estimated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). From the analysis, the QDs technology is categorized as an MATURE TECHNOLOGY. Current forecast of QDs technology maturity is that QDs is an important technology with high competitive impact and great integration into products and processes. Appications of QDs are now found in bioimaging, solar cells, LEDs, diode lasers, transistors, etc. Technology developers must be clear in understanding intellectual property boundaries and evaluating the benefits of forming strategic alliances to trade IP (intellectual property). Keywords—nanotechnology, patent analysis, quantum dots, technology life cycle","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129581052","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A. Saputri, Rizka Isditami Syarif, Herindra Adhi Nusantara
— Wood and paper industry sector become one of the heavily sector which has been charged with trade remedy in Indonesia mostly due to the implementation of log timber export prohibition policy. The implementation of this policy since 2012 has received many trade remedy allegations, particularly subsidy allegations by trading partner countries. This study aims to evaluate the log timber export prohibition policy and propose alternative policies that could minimize the potential for alleged subsidies. The study used some different methodology included normative juridical legal analysis based on the DS491 case study: US Coated Paper, Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA), and Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model to simulate the impact of trade remedy on export prohibition policy, export quota policy, and export duty policy. The results show that the log timber export prohibition policy concluded as a subsidy. While the impact of log timber prohibition export on financial contribution is still debatable. This study recommends better alternative policy option that provide benefits in supporting forest sustainability and the continuity of downstream industries made from wood. That would be done by continuing the log timber export prohibition by adjusting the legal text with World Trade Organization (WTO) principle, namely conservation of natural resources in Article XX GATT 1944 (general exceptions) and clarifying that the control of forests by the government is not dominantly supporting the formation of domestic market prices.
{"title":"Evaluation of the Indonesian Log Timber Export Prohibition Policy and Proposed Potential Alternative Policies to Minimize Subsidy Allegations","authors":"A. Saputri, Rizka Isditami Syarif, Herindra Adhi Nusantara","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.43","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.43","url":null,"abstract":"— Wood and paper industry sector become one of the heavily sector which has been charged with trade remedy in Indonesia mostly due to the implementation of log timber export prohibition policy. The implementation of this policy since 2012 has received many trade remedy allegations, particularly subsidy allegations by trading partner countries. This study aims to evaluate the log timber export prohibition policy and propose alternative policies that could minimize the potential for alleged subsidies. The study used some different methodology included normative juridical legal analysis based on the DS491 case study: US Coated Paper, Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA), and Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model to simulate the impact of trade remedy on export prohibition policy, export quota policy, and export duty policy. The results show that the log timber export prohibition policy concluded as a subsidy. While the impact of log timber prohibition export on financial contribution is still debatable. This study recommends better alternative policy option that provide benefits in supporting forest sustainability and the continuity of downstream industries made from wood. That would be done by continuing the log timber export prohibition by adjusting the legal text with World Trade Organization (WTO) principle, namely conservation of natural resources in Article XX GATT 1944 (general exceptions) and clarifying that the control of forests by the government is not dominantly supporting the formation of domestic market prices.","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"7 3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116860543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A trade war is a conflict that occurs between two or more countries in the sector of trade. The conflict can be seen in the case of an increase in tariffs or other obstacles made to disrupt the economic balance of a country, so that the country changes its economic policy or trade. One issue in trade wars involves environmental matters. What are they? The findings of this study indicate that there are three main environmental issues in a trade war: environmental harm, health standards on traded products, and human rights issues. The study also found that there were typically double standards in trade political policies that were suggestive of trade wars. This study recommends that it is very necessary to build a world dialogue forum, to formulate environmental problems and economic
{"title":"Environmental Issues in Trade War: a Political Economy Perspective","authors":"Husnul Isa Harahap","doi":"10.2991/icot-19.2019.4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/icot-19.2019.4","url":null,"abstract":"A trade war is a conflict that occurs between two or more countries in the sector of trade. The conflict can be seen in the case of an increase in tariffs or other obstacles made to disrupt the economic balance of a country, so that the country changes its economic policy or trade. One issue in trade wars involves environmental matters. What are they? The findings of this study indicate that there are three main environmental issues in a trade war: environmental harm, health standards on traded products, and human rights issues. The study also found that there were typically double standards in trade political policies that were suggestive of trade wars. This study recommends that it is very necessary to build a world dialogue forum, to formulate environmental problems and economic","PeriodicalId":229902,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the International Conference on Trade 2019 (ICOT 2019)","volume":"35 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124921146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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