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Bringing together tobacco endgame evidence, theories, ideas, hope - and learning from policy setbacks. 汇集烟草终局证据、理论、想法、希望以及从政策挫折中吸取的教训。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2025-060008
Marita Hefler
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引用次数: 0
"I think we can do without [tobacco]": support for policies to end the tobacco epidemic among California adolescents. "我认为我们可以不吸烟":支持终止烟草在加州青少年中流行的政策。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2023-058288
Benjamin W Chaffee, Candice D Donaldson, Elizabeth T Couch, Elizabeth Andersen-Rodgers, Claudia Guerra, Nancy F Cheng, Niloufar Ameli, David Stupplebeen, Omara Farooq, Monica Wilkinson, Stuart Gansky, Xueying Zhang, Kristin Hoeft

Introduction: The tobacco endgame, policies aiming to end the commercial tobacco epidemic, requires sustained public support, including among youth. We assessed endgame support among California (USA) adolescents, including their reasons and associated participant and policy-specific factors.

Methods: Teens, Nicotine and Tobacco Project online surveys (n=4827) and focus groups were conducted in 2021 and 2022 among California residents aged 12-17 years. Cross-sectional survey participants were asked their agreement level with eight policy statements related to tobacco and/or cannabis sales restrictions, use in public places and use in multiunit housing. Ordered logistic regression modelled level of agreement according to respondent characteristics, behaviours and statement content. Qualitative data were collected through focus groups (n=51 participants), which were analysed to provide insight into support for different policies.

Results: Most survey participants agreed or strongly agreed with tobacco product sales restrictions (72%-75%, depending on the policy), bans on use in public spaces (76%-82%) and smoke-free (79%) and vape-free (74%) apartment buildings. Support was stronger among younger, female, Asian and tobacco non-using participants and for policies directed at 'tobacco' (vs 'vapes' or cannabis), at flavoured tobacco (compared with all tobacco), and when statements featured 'should end' (vs 'not allowed'). Focus group participants who were supportive viewed policies as protecting children from harmful products, while those less supportive cited concerns about limiting adults' freedoms and unintended consequences.

Conclusions: Most participants supported strong tobacco control policies. Public communication that promotes broader endgame benefits besides protecting youth and accelerates industry denormalisation may counter youth concerns and further bolster their support.

导言:烟草终局,即旨在结束商业烟草流行的政策,需要持续的公众支持,包括青少年的支持。我们评估了加利福尼亚州(美国)青少年对终结游戏的支持情况,包括其原因以及相关的参与者和政策特定因素:青少年、尼古丁和烟草项目在线调查(n=4827)和焦点小组于 2021 年和 2022 年在 12-17 岁的加州居民中开展。横向调查参与者被问及他们对与烟草和/或大麻销售限制、公共场所使用和多单元住房使用相关的八项政策声明的同意程度。有序逻辑回归根据受访者的特征、行为和声明内容对同意程度进行了建模。通过焦点小组(n=51 名参与者)收集了定性数据,并对这些数据进行了分析,以深入了解不同政策的支持情况:大多数调查参与者同意或非常同意烟草制品销售限制(72%-75%,视政策而定)、公共场所禁烟(76%-82%)、无烟(79%)和无汽(74%)公寓楼。年轻、女性、亚裔和不使用烟草的参与者对政策的支持度更高,对针对 "烟草"(相对于 "烟雾剂 "或大麻)、调味烟草(相对于所有烟草)以及 "应终止"(相对于 "不允许")的声明的支持度更高。支持控烟政策的焦点小组参与者认为控烟政策保护了儿童免受有害产品的伤害,而不太支持控烟政策的参与者则对限制成人自由和意外后果表示担忧:大多数参与者支持强有力的烟草控制政策。除了保护青少年和加速行业非规范化之外,宣传更广泛的最终利益的公共宣传可能会消除青少年的顾虑,并进一步增强他们的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges and prospects in implementing the Generational Endgame policy: Malaysia and global perspectives. 实施世代终局政策的挑战与前景:马来西亚与全球视野。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2024-058874
Picholas Kian Ann Phoa, Lei Hum Wee, Yin How Wong, Ching Sin Siau, Caryn Mei Hsien Chan, Chrisminder Dain, Mohamad Haniki Nik Mohamed

In Malaysia, tobacco smoking continues to be one of the leading public health concerns; hence, the tobacco control community aims to see a generation free of tobacco use by 2040. Drafted and presented to the parliament, the Malaysian Control of Smoking Products for Public Health Bill 2022 highlighted the Generational Endgame (GEG) policy, which forbids the use and sale of tobacco products and smoking substances to individuals born on or after 1 January 2007. Stakeholders, including government and non-governmental organisations, policymakers, healthcare professionals, tobacco industry representatives and retailers, have expressed differing opinions indicating non-support of the policy. The Attorney General Chamber deemed the policy as 'unconstitutional' for discriminating against those within the implementation age range, which prompted its omission from the revised Control of Smoking Products for Public Health 2023 Bill. This paper discusses the obstacles and possible implications of the GEG policy implementation in Malaysia and details its implementation in other countries. This paper also proposes several recommendations for future directions in tackling the obstacles mentioned more effectively.

在马来西亚,吸烟仍然是主要的公共卫生问题之一;因此,控烟界的目标是到2040年实现一代人不使用烟草。马来西亚《2022年公共卫生吸烟产品控制法案》已起草并提交议会,该法案强调了“世代终局”政策,该政策禁止向2007年1月1日或之后出生的个人使用和销售烟草产品和吸烟物质。包括政府和非政府组织、政策制定者、医疗保健专业人士、烟草业代表和零售商在内的利益相关者表达了不同的意见,表明不支持该政策。检察总长室认为,该政策歧视处于实施年龄范围内的人,是“违宪”的政策,因此在修订后的《公共卫生吸烟产品管制2023年法案》中遗漏了该政策。本文讨论了马来西亚实施GEG政策的障碍和可能的影响,并详细介绍了其在其他国家的实施情况。本文还就如何更有效地解决上述障碍的未来方向提出了几点建议。
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引用次数: 0
Birthdate-based commercial tobacco sales restrictions: will 'tobacco-free generation' policies advance or delay the endgame? 基于出生日期的商业烟草销售限制:"无烟一代 "政策是推进还是推迟结局?
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2024-058716
Ruth E Malone, Tim McAfee

Endgame thinking means transitioning from merely trying to 'control' the tobacco epidemic to developing plans and measures to bring it to an end within a specific time, by changing the underlying dynamics that have created and perpetuated it for more than a century. Among the innovative policies characterised as 'endgame' policies are so-called 'tobacco-free generation' or 'smoke-free generation' policies, which prohibit sales of some or all tobacco products to individuals born on or after a particular date. Such birthdate-based sales restrictions (BSR) have intuitive appeal, largely because they do not appreciably disrupt the status quo of retail sales, which continue unchanged for all those born before the designated cut-off date. They also hold the potential for further denormalising tobacco use and sales by anticipating the long-term end of tobacco sales. In this Special Communication, we analyse BSR policies through an endgame lens and propose questions that should be discussed in jurisdictions considering them. We suggest that this policy has potential underexamined pitfalls, particularly related to equity, and that if enacted, it should include policy guardrails and be part of a package of endgame measures.

终局思维意味着从仅仅试图 "控制 "烟草流行过渡到制定计划和措施,通过改变一个多世纪以来造成并延续烟草流行的根本动力,在特定时间内终结烟草流行。被称为 "终结 "政策的创新政策包括所谓的 "无烟一代 "或 "无烟一代 "政策,即禁止向某一特定日期或之后出生的人销售部分或所有烟草产品。这种基于出生日期的销售限制(BSR)具有直观的吸引力,主要是因为它们不会明显破坏零售现状,所有在指定截止日期前出生的人的零售现状都不会改变。同时,由于预计烟草销售将长期终止,因此有可能使烟草使用和销售进一步非规范化。在本特别通报中,我们从终结游戏的角度分析了 BSR 政策,并提出了司法管辖区在考虑这些政策时应讨论的问题。我们建议,该政策可能存在未得到充分审查的隐患,尤其是与公平相关的隐患,如果颁布,应包括政策保护措施,并成为一揽子终结措施的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Eradication of commercial tobacco related disease and death. 根除与商业烟草有关的疾病和死亡。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2023-058547
Raglan Maddox, Rohan M Telford, Andrew Waa, Abbey Diaz, Shane Kawenata Bradbrook, Tom Calma, Lisa J Whop

The eradication of the commercial tobacco industry is a crucial goal for health and well-being, particularly from a public health and health justice perspective. The term 'eradication' is applied in epidemiology to mean the process and outcome of elimination of the-commercial tobacco industry as a human-made-agent of disease and death. In this commentary, we outline why the eradication of the tobacco industry is necessary, urgent and realistic.The potential impact of eradication of the industry is substantial. Without the industry and the commercial tobacco that it produces, it is expected that globally over 22 000 lives will be saved daily (over 8 million annually), and life expectancy will increase. The human right to health underscores the need for tobacco industry accountability for the harms it causes and given the enormous human and financial costs, it is time for action towards eradication of the industry.The tobacco industry's opposition to tobacco control, particularly strategies focused on market supply and industry reform, has been fierce. Their strategies have involved circumventing, attacking and undermining public health measures to preserve profits. However, with insights learnt from over 70 years of incremental successes in reducing commercial tobacco use, we know that through comprehensive and locally tailored eradication strategies involving legislation, regulation and public health initiatives across multiple levels of governments, we can overcome the resistance from the tobacco industry and their affiliates. Given the cost of commercial tobacco and the ever-growing global consensus on its harms, the time to act is now.

根除商业烟草业是健康和福祉的一个关键目标,特别是从公共卫生和卫生正义的角度来看。在流行病学中,“根除”一词是指消除商业烟草业作为造成疾病和死亡的人为因素的过程和结果。在这篇评论中,我们概述了为什么根除烟草业是必要的、紧迫的和现实的。根除该行业的潜在影响是巨大的。如果没有烟草业及其生产的商业烟草,预计全球每天将挽救2.2万人以上的生命(每年将挽救800多万人),预期寿命将延长。健康权强调了烟草业需要对其造成的危害负责,鉴于巨大的人力和财政成本,现在是采取行动消灭烟草业的时候了。烟草行业对烟草控制的反对,特别是针对市场供应和行业改革的策略,一直很激烈。他们的策略包括规避、攻击和破坏公共卫生措施,以保持利润。然而,根据70多年来在减少商业烟草使用方面取得的渐进式成功的经验,我们知道,通过涉及各级政府立法、法规和公共卫生行动的全面和适合当地的根除战略,我们可以克服来自烟草业及其附属机构的阻力。鉴于商业烟草的成本和对其危害日益增长的全球共识,现在是采取行动的时候了。
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引用次数: 0
Smoke-free policies and workforce productivity in China. 中国的无烟政策和劳动力生产率。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2025-059647
Mark Goodchild, Kewei Li, Xi Yin

Introduction: Smoke-free policies are often regarded as an imposition on the economy which has hindered their adoption in countries like China. In reality, they increase workforce productivity, including via fewer sick days (absenteeism) and unsanctioned breaks (presenteeism), culminating in an increase in effective work hours. This paper measures the potential impact on productivity levels in China via these short-term channels following the introduction of a national smoke-free law for indoor public places.

Methods: We use existing systematic reviews to identify effect sizes for smoke-free policies on smoking behaviour in the workplace, with this evidence being supplemented by local studies. A baseline model of aggregate hours worked across China's economy was developed using a 2018 survey of adult smoking, National Account Statistics and International Labour Organization data. The effect sizes were introduced to test the impact of the law on effective hours worked by those who quit smoking.

Results: A national smoke-free law would cause the smoking rate among employed adults to decrease by 5.3% in relative terms, representing 11.6 million fewer adults who smoke. This decrease in smoking would, in turn, increase total effective work hours across China by 0.07% and expand Gross Domestic Product by ¥90 billion per annum or by 0.10% on current levels.

Conclusion: The productivity gains from a national smoke-free law in China are potentially very sizeable even before considering the impact of long-term reductions in mortality and healthcare spending. As China's working-age population declines, such a law would strongly support high-quality development.

引言:无烟政策通常被认为是对经济的强加,这阻碍了它们在中国等国家的采用。实际上,它们提高了劳动力生产率,包括减少病假(旷工)和未经批准的休息(出勤),最终增加了有效工作时间。本文通过这些短期渠道测算了中国室内公共场所禁烟法实施后对生产力水平的潜在影响。方法:我们使用现有的系统评价来确定无烟政策对工作场所吸烟行为的影响大小,并通过当地研究补充这一证据。根据2018年对成年人吸烟的调查、国民账户统计数据和国际劳工组织的数据,建立了中国经济中总工作时间的基线模型。引入效应量是为了测试法律对戒烟者有效工作时间的影响。结果:一项全国性的无烟法律将使在职成年人的吸烟率相对下降5.3%,这意味着吸烟的成年人减少了1160万人。吸烟人数的减少将使中国的有效工作时数增加0.07%,并使国内生产总值每年增加900亿元人民币,在目前水平上增加0.10%。结论:即使不考虑长期降低死亡率和医疗保健支出的影响,中国国家无烟法带来的生产力收益也可能非常可观。随着中国劳动年龄人口的减少,这样的法律将有力地支持高质量的发展。
{"title":"Smoke-free policies and workforce productivity in China.","authors":"Mark Goodchild, Kewei Li, Xi Yin","doi":"10.1136/tc-2025-059647","DOIUrl":"10.1136/tc-2025-059647","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Smoke-free policies are often regarded as an imposition on the economy which has hindered their adoption in countries like China. In reality, they increase workforce productivity, including via fewer sick days (absenteeism) and unsanctioned breaks (presenteeism), culminating in an increase in effective work hours. This paper measures the potential impact on productivity levels in China via these short-term channels following the introduction of a national smoke-free law for indoor public places.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We use existing systematic reviews to identify effect sizes for smoke-free policies on smoking behaviour in the workplace, with this evidence being supplemented by local studies. A baseline model of aggregate hours worked across China's economy was developed using a 2018 survey of adult smoking, National Account Statistics and International Labour Organization data. The effect sizes were introduced to test the impact of the law on effective hours worked by those who quit smoking.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A national smoke-free law would cause the smoking rate among employed adults to decrease by 5.3% in relative terms, representing 11.6 million fewer adults who smoke. This decrease in smoking would, in turn, increase total effective work hours across China by 0.07% and expand Gross Domestic Product by ¥90 billion per annum or by 0.10% on current levels.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The productivity gains from a national smoke-free law in China are potentially very sizeable even before considering the impact of long-term reductions in mortality and healthcare spending. As China's working-age population declines, such a law would strongly support high-quality development.</p>","PeriodicalId":23145,"journal":{"name":"Tobacco Control","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145775951","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The UK Tobacco and Vapes Bill (2023/4): framing strategies used by tobacco and nicotine industry actors faced with an endgame policy (a generational sales ban of tobacco products) and nicotine product restrictions. 英国烟草和电子烟法案(2023/4):烟草和尼古丁行业参与者面临最后政策(烟草产品代售禁令)和尼古丁产品限制时使用的框架策略。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2024-059207
Britta K Matthes, Tess Legg, Rosemary Hiscock, Allen W A Gallagher, Karin Silver, Hala Alaouie, Duncan Thomas, Anna B Gilmore

Background: In 2023, the UK government proposed a Bill introducing a generational ban on the sale of tobacco products and measures targeting youth nicotine product (NP) use. Industries' responses remain unexplored.

Methods: We analysed 43 consultation and evidence submissions from tobacco and nicotine industry-linked actors, assessing their connections to transnational tobacco companies (TTCs) and using an evidence-based taxonomy to examine framing strategies.

Results: TTCs and actors with known current TTC links accounted for 42% of submissions. Other actors-some with historic TTC ties-were other tobacco products (OTPs) specialists, NP specialists and retailers. Tobacco and nicotine industries were generally portrayed as 'good' with TTCs framing themselves as public health champions, while policymakers, the public health community and non-compliant sellers were depicted as 'bad' actors. TTCs, linked groups and additional OTP actors opposed the generational ban, arguing it lacked evidence and would harm the economy and increase violence against retailers. Proposed alternative approaches included exempting heated tobacco products (HTPs) and OTPs, and raising the age of sale to 21. TTCs, linked actors and NP actors opposed restrictions on NP flavours, packaging and display, arguing these would infringe on rights, harm retailers, stifle innovation, and increase smoking and illicit trade. They framed youth NP use as resulting from irresponsible individuals and advocated for education, stricter penalties and self-regulation.

Conclusion: When faced with tobacco endgame and nicotine control policies in the UK, tobacco and nicotine industries pushed back using framing strategies common to health-harming industries. Despite contradicting their 'transformation' narratives, TTCs still sought to position themselves as public health actors deserving policy access. Advocates, researchers and policymakers can anticipate opposition to endgame policies-such as a generational sales ban-and NP restrictions, proactively preparing to counter this opposition in order to safeguard public health policy from vested interests.

背景:2023年,英国政府提出了一项法案,禁止销售烟草产品,并针对青少年使用尼古丁产品(NP)采取措施。业界的反应仍未可知。方法:我们分析了来自烟草和尼古丁行业相关行为者的43份咨询和证据提交,评估了他们与跨国烟草公司(TTCs)的联系,并使用基于证据的分类法来检查框架策略。结果:TTC和已知当前TTC链接的参与者占提交的42%。其他参与者——一些与TTC有历史联系——是其他烟草制品(otp)专家、NP专家和零售商。烟草和尼古丁行业通常被描绘成“好人”,ttc将自己塑造成公共卫生的捍卫者,而政策制定者、公共卫生界和不合规的销售商则被描绘成“坏人”。ttc、相关团体和其他OTP参与者反对这项代际禁令,认为它缺乏证据,会损害经济,并增加针对零售商的暴力行为。拟议的替代方法包括免除加热烟草制品(HTPs)和OTPs,并将销售年龄提高到21岁。ttc、关联行为者和NP行为者反对限制NP口味、包装和展示,认为这将侵犯权利、损害零售商、扼杀创新、增加吸烟和非法贸易。他们认为年轻人使用NP是不负责任的个人造成的,并提倡教育、更严厉的惩罚和自我监管。结论:当面对英国的烟草终局和尼古丁控制政策时,烟草和尼古丁行业使用与危害健康的行业相同的框架策略进行了反击。尽管与他们的“转型”叙述相矛盾,TTCs仍然试图将自己定位为值得获得政策准入的公共卫生行动者。倡导者、研究人员和政策制定者可以预见到反对最后阶段政策的声音,比如代际销售禁令和NP限制,积极准备对抗这种反对,以保护公共卫生政策不受既得利益者的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of retail environment regulations on reducing tobacco retailers and operating hours: a case study in Egypt. 零售环境法规对减少烟草零售商和营业时间的影响:埃及的案例研究。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2024-058995
Raouf Alebshehy, Ramy Ibrahim, Sherif Elmitwalli

Background: The tobacco industry targets future generations to maintain its profits. One of its tactics is to maintain its presence noticed at the level of retail environment. Measures to address this high presence are identified in the literature. Our study examines the effects of six of these identified tobacco retail reduction measures in reducing the total number of tobacco retailers and the number of retailers within 500, 1000 and 2000 m from youth-oriented facilities.

Methods: Data were collected by scraping Google Places on examination points including locations, opening hours, type and subtype of tobacco retailers in addition to educational, youth, health and religious facilities. The six studied measures were enacted using Python codes to assess the reduction percentage. The measures included restricting tobacco retail outlets per density of population, requiring a minimum distance between tobacco retailers, banning tobacco retail outlets within a minimum distance from specific facilities, banning tobacco sale in specific retail outlets, restricting tobacco retail outlets per geographic area and limiting the number of hours in which tobacco can be sold.

Results: The data collected showed a high presence of tobacco retailers around vital facilities, particularly youth-oriented ones. The six scenarios implemented showcased a positive reduction in the number of tobacco retailers in total and around youth-oriented facilities. The total reduction of retailers varied from 4% up to total elimination of availability.

Discussion and conclusions: Our study presents an example of measurable reduction impact of six tobacco retail reduction measures. The high percentage in reduction achieved, especially around youth-oriented facilities, is worth the attention of policy-makers to be considered as countermeasures for the high tobacco industry presence in retail.

背景:烟草业以后代为目标,以维持其利润。其策略之一是保持其在零售环境层面的存在感。解决这种高存在的措施已在文献中确定。我们的研究考察了这些确定的六种减少烟草零售措施在减少烟草零售商总数和距离青少年设施500米、1000米和2000米范围内的零售商数量方面的影响。方法:通过对检查点的b谷歌个地点进行抓取,收集除教育、青年、卫生、宗教设施外,烟草零售商的地点、营业时间、类型和亚型等数据。使用Python代码制定了六项研究措施,以评估减少百分比。这些措施包括按人口密度限制烟草零售点,要求烟草零售商之间的最小距离,禁止烟草零售点在距离特定设施的最小距离内,禁止在特定零售点销售烟草,按地理区域限制烟草零售点,并限制烟草销售的小时数。结果:收集的数据显示,在重要设施周围,特别是面向年轻人的设施周围,烟草零售商的存在率很高。实施的六个方案表明,烟草零售商的总数和面向青年的设施周围的数量都在积极减少。零售商的总降价幅度从4%到完全停止供货不等。讨论与结论:我们的研究提供了一个可衡量的六种烟草零售减少措施的减少影响的例子。特别是在面向青年的设施周围实现的高比例减少值得决策者注意,并将其作为应对零售中烟草业大量存在的对策。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of heated tobacco products on biomarkers of potential harm and adverse events: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 加热烟草制品对潜在危害和不良事件生物标志物的影响:一项系统综述和荟萃分析。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2024-059000
Sophie Braznell, Sarah Dance, Jamie Hartmann-Boyce, Anna Gilmore

Objective: To systematically review available data on the effects of heated tobacco products (HTPs) on biomarkers of potential harm (BoPH) and adverse events, including comparison to cigarettes, e-cigarettes and smoking abstinence.

Data sources: Web of Science, Scopus, MedRxiv, ClinicalTrials.gov, ICTRP database and HTP manufacturer libraries were searched from January 2010 to December 2024.

Study selection: Included studies were interventional clinical trials of any design that measured BoPH or adverse events in adults assigned a marketed HTP and another assigned either cigarettes, e-cigarettes or smoking abstinence.

Data extraction: Two reviewers independently extracted data into a predesigned form and assessed risk of bias using Cochrane's Risk of Bias tool version 1.

Data synthesis: BoPH data were synthesised using effect direction plots. A random-effects model was used to calculate pooled risk ratios for adverse event data. 40 studies (10 independent, 29 industry-affiliated and 1 of unclear affiliation) were included. Only nine studies lasted longer than 5 days. 19 involved using the intervention just once. Risk of bias was high for 32 studies and unclear for 8. Data on 143 BoPH indicated short-term HTP use had mixed effects compared with cigarettes, e-cigarettes and smoking abstinence. The rate of adverse event reporting was not significantly different between HTP and any comparator group.

Conclusions: Despite a growing evidence base, significant limitations hinder interpretation of the data, which do not yet provide clear indication of harm or benefit, even compared with cigarettes. Longer, better quality studies independent of tobacco industry funding are needed to determine the health impacts of HTPs.

目的:系统回顾加热烟草制品(HTPs)对潜在危害生物标志物(BoPH)和不良事件影响的现有数据,包括与香烟、电子烟和戒烟的比较。数据来源:Web of Science, Scopus, MedRxiv, ClinicalTrials.gov, ICTRP数据库和http制造商库,检索时间为2010年1月至2024年12月。研究选择:纳入的研究是任何设计的干预性临床试验,测量BoPH或不良事件的成年人被分配到市场上的HTP,另一个被分配到香烟、电子烟或戒烟。数据提取:两位审稿人独立地将数据提取到预先设计的表格中,并使用Cochrane的风险偏倚工具版本1评估偏倚风险。数据综合:采用效应方向图综合BoPH数据。采用随机效应模型计算不良事件数据的合并风险比。纳入了40项研究(10项独立研究,29项行业相关研究和1项不明确关联研究)。只有9项研究持续时间超过5天。其中19人只使用了一次干预措施。32项研究的偏倚风险较高,8项研究的偏倚风险不明确。143 BoPH的数据表明,与香烟、电子烟和戒烟相比,短期使用HTP的效果好坏参半。不良事件报告率在HTP组和任何比较组之间无显著差异。结论:尽管证据基础越来越多,但重大的局限性阻碍了对数据的解释,这些数据尚未提供明确的危害或益处,甚至与香烟相比。需要进行独立于烟草业资助的更长时间、更高质量的研究,以确定高温烟草制品对健康的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Examining cigarette, heated tobacco and e-cigarette market pricing and tax pass-through in Ukraine during the 2019-2022 tax reforms. 在2019-2022年税收改革期间,研究乌克兰香烟、加热烟草和电子烟的市场定价和税收传递。
IF 4.7 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2025-059290
Zaineb Danish Sheikh, J Robert Branston, Lilia Olefir, Kevin Welding

Introduction: This study offers a comprehensive examination of the pricing strategies/dynamics used by the tobacco/nicotine industry in response to tax increases using Ukraine as a case study during the 2019-2022 tax reforms. This period saw the introduction of new tax categories for heated tobacco products (HTPs) and electronic cigarettes (e-cigs) with concomitant tax increases. This is the first systematic consideration of taxation on these products. The primary objectives are to examine how tax changes influence product pricing and how HTPs are priced vis-a-vis cigarettes, particularly in the context of harmonisedspecific tax rates.

Methodology: NielsenIQ monthly price and sales data for cigarettes, HTPs, and e-cigs, along with official tax data, were used. Tax pass-through analysis was conducted to examine the relationship between tax increases and retail prices by market segment, with net revenue calculations used to evaluate impacts.

Results: The industry usually overshifted taxes on cigarettes (mid-price and premium), HTPs, and e-cigs while undershifting on economy cigarettes during the study period. However, a big HTP tax increase in 2021 was not overshifted to a great extent. The industry also employed a price-smoothing strategy where initial price increases following tax increases were kept moderate, with further increases introduced gradually throughout the year.

Conclusion: The study shows that the industry has used tax increases on HTPs and e-cigs as an opportunity to raise prices but with lower net revenue per stick. The findings suggest that fully harmonising HTP taxes with those on traditional cigarettes could limit the industry's pricing strategies and hence help reduce consumption and generate additional government revenue.

引言:本研究以乌克兰为例,全面考察了烟草/尼古丁行业在2019-2022年税收改革期间为应对税收增加而采用的定价策略/动态。在这一时期,对加热烟草产品(htp)和电子烟(e-cigs)引入了新的税收类别,同时增加了税收。这是对这些产品征税的第一个系统考虑。主要目标是研究税收变化如何影响产品定价,以及htp相对于卷烟的定价,特别是在协调特定税率的背景下。研究方法:采用尼尔森iq香烟、HTPs和电子烟的月度价格和销售数据,以及官方税收数据。通过税收传递分析,通过细分市场检查税收增加与零售价格之间的关系,使用净收入计算来评估影响。结果:在研究期间,烟草行业通常会对香烟(中档和高档)、htp和电子烟的税收过度转移,而对经济型香烟的税收转移不足。然而,2021年大幅增加的HTP税并没有在很大程度上被过度转移。该行业还采用了价格平滑策略,即在税收增加后保持适度的初始价格上涨,并在全年逐步引入进一步的上涨。结论:该研究表明,烟草业利用对htp和电子烟增税的机会提高了价格,但每支烟的净收入却降低了。研究结果表明,将烟草税与传统卷烟税完全统一,可以限制烟草业的定价策略,从而有助于减少消费,并产生额外的政府收入。
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Tobacco Control
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