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Single-cell analysis of UNC13D-mediated immune and dedifferentiation heterogeneity in acute myeloid leukemia and development of a prognostic model. 急性髓系白血病中unc13d介导的免疫和去分化异质性的单细胞分析和预后模型的建立
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-25 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2307
Ziqian Wang, Daobin Zhou

Background: Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is a highly heterogeneous hematologic malignancy, with its pathogenesis closely associated with cellular states at various stages of differentiation. Existing clinical prognostic models often fail to account for this heterogeneity and lack integration of key molecular pathways. This study aimed to characterize AML differentiation-associated heterogeneity at the single-cell level, investigate the role of UNC13D in immune and dedifferentiation states, and develop a prognostic model integrating these features.

Methods: This study combined single-cell RNA sequencing data (GSE178910) with bulk RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq) datasets [The Cancer Genome Atlas-Acute Myeloid Leukemia (TCGA-LAML) and Oregon Health & Science University (OHSU)]. Seurat and Harmony were used for batch correction and unsupervised clustering, followed by cell state annotation using AddModuleScore-based scoring of lineage-specific gene sets. UNC13D expression was assessed to infer its association with differentiation stage and pathway activity. Prognostic genes within the MYC proto-oncogene signaling pathway were identified using univariate Cox and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. An eight-gene risk model was then constructed and validated across two cohorts.

Results: We identified eleven AML cellular subpopulations, grouped into five functional differentiation states. UNC13D was predominantly expressed in common myeloid progenitor-like (CMP-like) cells and correlated with multiple oncogenic and immune-related pathways. The resulting eight-gene prognostic model (PRDX4, KPNB1, DEK, ABCE1, ODC1, GLO1, MCM5, CCNA2) demonstrated good predictive performance in both the training and validation cohorts, with stable 1- and 3-year area under the curve (AUC) values. Differential pathway enrichment revealed marked biological divergence between high- and low-risk groups, including immune signaling and cell cycle regulation.

Conclusions: Our study delineates the differentiation landscape of AML and identifies UNC13D as a potential biomarker of cellular plasticity and immune modulation. The constructed model provides a reliable prognostic tool and offers novel insights for AML stratification and precision therapy development.

背景:急性髓系白血病(Acute myeloid leukemia, AML)是一种高度异质性的血液系统恶性肿瘤,其发病机制与不同分化阶段的细胞状态密切相关。现有的临床预后模型往往不能解释这种异质性,缺乏关键分子途径的整合。本研究旨在在单细胞水平上表征AML分化相关的异质性,研究UNC13D在免疫和去分化状态中的作用,并建立一个整合这些特征的预后模型。方法:本研究结合单细胞RNA测序数据(GSE178910)和大量RNA测序(RNA-seq)数据集[癌症基因组图谱-急性髓系白血病(TCGA-LAML)和俄勒冈健康与科学大学(OHSU)]。使用Seurat和Harmony进行批量校正和无监督聚类,然后使用基于addmodulescore的谱系特异性基因集评分进行细胞状态注释。评估UNC13D的表达,以推断其与分化阶段和途径活性的关系。使用单变量Cox和最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归确定MYC原癌基因信号通路中的预后基因。然后构建了一个八基因风险模型,并在两个队列中进行了验证。结果:我们确定了11个AML细胞亚群,分为5个功能分化状态。UNC13D主要在普通髓系祖细胞(CMP-like)中表达,并与多种致癌和免疫相关途径相关。由此建立的8基因预后模型(PRDX4、KPNB1、DEK、ABCE1、ODC1、GLO1、MCM5、CCNA2)在训练组和验证组均表现出良好的预测性能,具有稳定的1年和3年曲线下面积(AUC)值。不同途径的富集揭示了高、低风险组在免疫信号和细胞周期调节等方面存在显著的生物学差异。结论:我们的研究描绘了AML的分化格局,并确定了UNC13D作为细胞可塑性和免疫调节的潜在生物标志物。构建的模型提供了可靠的预后工具,并为AML分层和精确治疗发展提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Metastatic patterns, prognostic factors, and deep learning model development in primary gastrointestinal melanoma: a retrospective cohort analysis. 原发性胃肠道黑色素瘤的转移模式、预后因素和深度学习模型发展:回顾性队列分析。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-25 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-1701
Chao Li, Wenjing Yu, Yuanming Pan, Wei Li, Guibin Yang, Wei Li

Background: Existing studies provide limited knowledge of the metastatic pattern, survival rate, and prognosis of primary gastrointestinal melanoma (PGM). This study aimed to investigate the metastatic patterns, prognostic factors, and conduct deep learning model of PGM.

Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was analysed to determine survival time, survival rates, and metastatic patterns in PGM. Cox regression analysis identified prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Patients were divided into discovery (80%) and validation cohorts (20%) to develop and validate deep learning-based models for predicting OS and CSS of PGMs. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate model performance.

Results: The median OS was 18 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 15-21] and 22 months (95% CI: 19-26) at CSS. OS rates were 60% (95% CI: 56-64%), 32% (95% CI: 28-36%), and 22% (95% CI: 18-26%) at 1, 3, and 5 years. The most common metastasis sites were the liver (19%), lungs (16%), bones (5%), and brain (4%). Older age, involvement of other sites, regional or distant stage disease, and two distant metastases were associated with worse OS or CSS, whereas systemic therapy was a protective factor. The deep learning models demonstrated performance in predicting OS (AUC: 0.7757-0.8366 at 1 year and 0.8046-0.8177 at 3 years) and CSS (0.7870-0.8169 AUC at 1 year and 0.7314-0.7720 at 3 years).

Conclusions: The prognosis of PGM varies significantly among subtypes, and the models developed in this study provide accurate predictions of OS and CSS, offering potentials for clinical utility.

背景:现有研究对原发性胃肠道黑色素瘤(PGM)的转移模式、生存率和预后的了解有限。本研究旨在探讨PGM的转移模式、预后因素,并建立PGM的深度学习模型。方法:对监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库进行分析,以确定PGM的生存时间、生存率和转移模式。Cox回归分析确定了与总生存期(OS)和癌症特异性生存期(CSS)相关的预后因素。患者被分为发现组(80%)和验证组(20%),以开发和验证基于深度学习的模型来预测pgm的OS和CSS。采用受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)评价模型性能。结果:CSS的中位OS为18个月[95%置信区间(CI): 15-21]和22个月(95% CI: 19-26)。1、3和5年的总生存率分别为60% (95% CI: 56-64%)、32% (95% CI: 28-36%)和22% (95% CI: 18-26%)。最常见的转移部位是肝脏(19%)、肺部(16%)、骨骼(5%)和大脑(4%)。年龄较大、累及其他部位、局部或远期疾病以及两次远处转移与更差的OS或CSS相关,而全身治疗是一个保护因素。深度学习模型在预测OS(1年的AUC为0.7757-0.8366,3年的AUC为0.8046-0.8177)和CSS(1年的AUC为0.7870-0.8169,3年的AUC为0.7314-0.7720)方面表现出色。结论:不同亚型PGM的预后差异显著,本研究建立的模型能够准确预测OS和CSS,具有临床应用价值。
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引用次数: 0
BACE2 facilitates lung adenocarcinoma progression by enhancing mTORC1 signalling. BACE2通过增强mTORC1信号传导促进肺腺癌进展。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-25 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-1670
Zhixin You, Wei He, Yanfei Zhou, Huijiao Li

Background: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is the most common histological subtype of lung cancer, with a poor prognosis due to radiotherapy and chemotherapy resistance. Novel systemic treatments have limitations, highlighting the need for identifying new oncogenic genes and therapeutic targets. Beta-secretase 2 (BACE2) is involved in the progression of multiple cancers, but its role and mechanism in LUAD remain unreported. This study aimed to explore the expression pattern, biological function, and underlying mechanism of BACE2 in LUAD.

Methods: BACE2 expression was assessed in LUAD tissues via bioinformatics analysis and immunohistochemistry. Cell viability, proliferation, apoptosis, migration, and cell cycle were detected using Cell Counting Kit-8 (CCK-8), 5-ethynyl-2'-deoxyuridine (EdU), flow cytometry, Transwell, and scratch assays. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and Western blot were used to explore the downstream pathway regulated by BACE2. A xenograft model was established to verify BACE2's in vivo role.

Results: BACE2 expression was elevated in LUAD tissues and cell lines, and high BACE2 expression correlated with poor patient survival. Silencing BACE2 led to increased apoptosis, reduced cell viability, growth, and migration, and G2 phase arrest. GSEA identified the mammalian target of rapamycin complex 1 (mTORC1) signalling pathway as a downstream target of BACE2, which was confirmed by Western blot (reduced p-mTOR/mTOR and p-RPS6KB1/RPS6KB1 levels after BACE2 silencing). Inhibiting mTORC1 with rapamycin abrogated the oncogenic effects of BACE2 overexpression. In vivo, BACE2 knockdown significantly suppressed xenograft tumor growth.

Conclusions: BACE2 contributes to LUAD progression by activating the mTORC1 signalling pathway, providing a novel therapeutic target for LUAD treatment.

背景:肺腺癌(LUAD)是肺癌最常见的组织学亚型,由于放化疗耐药,预后较差。新的全身治疗有局限性,强调需要识别新的致癌基因和治疗靶点。β -分泌酶2 (BACE2)参与多种癌症的进展,但其在LUAD中的作用和机制尚未报道。本研究旨在探讨BACE2在LUAD中的表达模式、生物学功能及潜在机制。方法:采用生物信息学分析和免疫组织化学方法检测LUAD组织中BACE2的表达。采用细胞计数试剂盒-8 (CCK-8)、5-乙基-2′-脱氧尿苷(EdU)、流式细胞术、Transwell和划痕法检测细胞活力、增殖、凋亡、迁移和细胞周期。采用基因集富集分析(GSEA)和Western blot方法探索BACE2调控的下游通路。建立异种移植模型来验证BACE2在体内的作用。结果:LUAD组织和细胞系中BACE2表达升高,高表达与患者生存差相关。沉默BACE2导致细胞凋亡增加,细胞活力、生长和迁移降低,G2期阻滞。GSEA发现雷帕霉素复合物1 (mTORC1)信号通路的哺乳动物靶点是BACE2的下游靶点,并通过Western blot证实(在BACE2沉默后p-mTOR/mTOR和p-RPS6KB1/RPS6KB1水平降低)。用雷帕霉素抑制mTORC1可消除BACE2过表达的致癌作用。在体内,BACE2敲低可显著抑制异种移植物肿瘤的生长。结论:BACE2通过激活mTORC1信号通路促进LUAD的进展,为LUAD治疗提供了新的治疗靶点。
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引用次数: 0
A novel gene signature based on Like-Smith family members-related genes for predicting the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. 基于Like-Smith家族成员相关基因的新基因标记预测肝细胞癌预后。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-25 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2168
Sijun Chen, Xujian Chen, Xiaofang Sun, Shaohan Wu

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally. The Like-Smith (LSM) family members are involved in RNA metabolism and tumor progression, but their role in HCC remains unclear. This study aims to construct a novel signature based on LSM family members-related genes and explore its clinical value in HCC.

Methods: Molecular patterns related to LSM family members were identified through clustering analysis. Differential expression analysis was used to identify genes with potential prognostic significance. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to construct a signature with The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort. The International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) cohort served as external validation. Kaplan-Meier curves and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive ability. Enrichment analysis, immune infiltration assessment, and single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data analysis were conducted to explore the underlying mechanisms.

Results: Two genes-paired-like homeodomain 2 (PITX2) and chromogranin A (CHGA)-were ultimately identified as a novel signature for HCC. Based on the risk score derived from the signature, samples were divided into high- and low-risk groups. Results indicated that the high-risk group had significantly poorer overall survival in both TCGA and ICGC cohorts. The ROC curves demonstrated that the signature exhibits stable predictive accuracy. Enrichment analysis showed that the high-risk group was associated with tumor-related pathways. Differences in immune infiltration were observed between high- and low-risk groups. scRNA-seq analysis indicated that PITX2 and CHGA were highly expressed in hepatocytes.

Conclusions: The novel two-gene signature comprising PITX2 and CHGA effectively predicts survival outcomes in HCC patients and is closely associated with tumor metabolism and immune regulation. This signature may serve as a valuable tool for prognostic evaluation and guiding personalized treatment strategies for HCC patients.

背景:肝细胞癌(HCC)仍然是全球癌症相关死亡的主要原因。Like-Smith (LSM)家族成员参与RNA代谢和肿瘤进展,但它们在HCC中的作用尚不清楚。本研究旨在构建一种基于LSM家族成员相关基因的新标记,并探讨其在HCC中的临床价值。方法:通过聚类分析,确定LSM家族成员的分子图谱。差异表达分析用于鉴定具有潜在预后意义的基因。采用多变量Cox回归分析与癌症基因组图谱(TCGA)队列构建签名。国际癌症基因组联盟(ICGC)队列作为外部验证。采用Kaplan-Meier曲线和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价预测能力。通过富集分析、免疫浸润评估和单细胞RNA测序(scRNA-seq)数据分析来探索其潜在机制。结果:两个基因配对-像同源结构域2 (PITX2)和嗜铬粒蛋白A (CHGA)-最终被确定为HCC的新特征。根据签名得出的风险评分,将样本分为高风险组和低风险组。结果显示,在TCGA和ICGC队列中,高危组的总生存率明显较差。ROC曲线表明,该特征具有稳定的预测精度。富集分析显示高危组与肿瘤相关通路相关。免疫浸润在高危组和低危组之间存在差异。scRNA-seq分析显示,PITX2和CHGA在肝细胞中高表达。结论:由PITX2和CHGA组成的新的双基因标记可有效预测HCC患者的生存结局,并与肿瘤代谢和免疫调节密切相关。该特征可作为HCC患者预后评估和指导个性化治疗策略的有价值的工具。
{"title":"A novel gene signature based on Like-Smith family members-related genes for predicting the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.","authors":"Sijun Chen, Xujian Chen, Xiaofang Sun, Shaohan Wu","doi":"10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2168","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2168","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally. The Like-Smith (LSM) family members are involved in RNA metabolism and tumor progression, but their role in HCC remains unclear. This study aims to construct a novel signature based on LSM family members-related genes and explore its clinical value in HCC.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Molecular patterns related to LSM family members were identified through clustering analysis. Differential expression analysis was used to identify genes with potential prognostic significance. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to construct a signature with The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort. The International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) cohort served as external validation. Kaplan-Meier curves and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive ability. Enrichment analysis, immune infiltration assessment, and single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data analysis were conducted to explore the underlying mechanisms.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Two genes-paired-like homeodomain 2 (<i>PITX2</i>) and chromogranin A (<i>CHGA</i>)-were ultimately identified as a novel signature for HCC. Based on the risk score derived from the signature, samples were divided into high- and low-risk groups. Results indicated that the high-risk group had significantly poorer overall survival in both TCGA and ICGC cohorts. The ROC curves demonstrated that the signature exhibits stable predictive accuracy. Enrichment analysis showed that the high-risk group was associated with tumor-related pathways. Differences in immune infiltration were observed between high- and low-risk groups. scRNA-seq analysis indicated that <i>PITX2</i> and <i>CHGA</i> were highly expressed in hepatocytes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The novel two-gene signature comprising <i>PITX2</i> and <i>CHGA</i> effectively predicts survival outcomes in HCC patients and is closely associated with tumor metabolism and immune regulation. This signature may serve as a valuable tool for prognostic evaluation and guiding personalized treatment strategies for HCC patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":23216,"journal":{"name":"Translational cancer research","volume":"15 2","pages":"113"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12971559/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147434961","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A multimodal fusion model for bone tumor benign and malignant diagnosis: development and validation with clinical text and radiographs. 骨肿瘤良恶性诊断的多模态融合模型:临床文献和x线片的发展和验证。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-1832
Ju Zeng, Qiuchi Chen, Tao Zhang, Decui Liang, Dongming Li

Background: Bone tumors have diverse clinical and imaging features, rendering preoperative differentiation of benign, intermediate/malignant types challenging. Unimodal methods (medical records or X-rays) are prone to misdiagnosis/missed diagnosis due to incomplete information. While postoperative histopathology is the gold standard, there is an urgent clinical demand for a precise preoperative diagnostic tool. This study aims to develop and validate a multimodal model integrating deep learning with Dempster-Shafer (DS) evidence theory for the differential diagnosis of benign, intermediate/malignant bone tumors. Using postoperative histopathology as the reference standard, the model achieves diagnosis by integrating preoperative clinical text and radiographs.

Methods: This single-center retrospective study included 319 pathologically confirmed bone tumor patients admitted between 2020 and 2025 following selection criteria. Utilizing the patients' X-ray images and medical record text data, we constructed a fusion model based on deep learning and DS evidence theory to classify tumors into benign and intermediate/malignant categories. The performance of the model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve along with its 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results: The dataset comprised text data and radiographs from a total of 319 patients and it was stratified by time into a training set, an internal validation set, and an external validation set. On the internal validation set, the fusion model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.821 (95% CI: 0.713-0.916), with an accuracy of 81.6%, precision of 81.3%, recall of 76.5% and an F1 score of 78.8%, outperforming both the unimodal text model with an AUC of 0.814 and accuracy of 77.6% and the image model with an AUC of 0.782 and accuracy of 72.4%. On the external validation set, the fusion model maintained robust performance: AUC reached 0.808 (95% CI: 0.667-0.928), accuracy 77.3%, and F1 score 70.6%. Compared to the proposed fusion approach, most baseline models underperformed across all metrics, with their accuracy ranging from 59.1% to 77.3% and F1 score ranging from 47.1% to 70.6%. Furthermore, the model's diagnostic performance rivals that of senior radiologists and significantly outperforms junior radiologists. McNemar's test results confirmed no significant difference in diagnostic performance between the model and senior radiologists, while a statistically significant performance gap existed between junior and senior radiologists.

Conclusions: We have developed and validated a fusion model that integrated deep learning and DS evidence theory. In the task of distinguishing between benign and intermediate/malignant bone tumors, this fusion model demonstrated encouraging performance compared to models that utilize unimodal data and other baseline fusion models.

背景:骨肿瘤具有多种临床和影像学特征,使得术前良、中、恶性肿瘤的鉴别具有挑战性。单峰方法(医疗记录或x射线)由于信息不完整,容易误诊/漏诊。虽然术后组织病理学是金标准,但临床迫切需要一种精确的术前诊断工具。本研究旨在开发并验证将深度学习与Dempster-Shafer (DS)证据理论相结合的多模态模型,用于良、中、恶性骨肿瘤的鉴别诊断。该模型以术后组织病理学为参考标准,结合术前临床文本和x线片实现诊断。方法:本单中心回顾性研究纳入了319例2020 - 2025年间病理证实的骨肿瘤患者。利用患者x线图像和病历文本数据,构建基于深度学习和DS证据理论的融合模型,将肿瘤分为良性和中恶性两类。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线及其95%置信区间(CI)对模型的性能进行评估。结果:数据集包括来自319名患者的文本数据和x线片,并按时间分为训练集、内部验证集和外部验证集。在内部验证集上,融合模型的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.821 (95% CI: 0.713-0.916),准确率为81.6%,精密度为81.3%,召回率为76.5%,F1得分为78.8%,优于单峰文本模型(AUC为0.814,准确率为77.6%)和图像模型(AUC为0.782,准确率为72.4%)。在外部验证集上,融合模型保持了稳健的性能,AUC达到0.808 (95% CI: 0.667-0.928),准确率77.3%,F1评分70.6%。与所提出的融合方法相比,大多数基线模型在所有指标上都表现不佳,其准确率在59.1%至77.3%之间,F1得分在47.1%至70.6%之间。此外,该模型的诊断性能可与高级放射科医生相媲美,并明显优于初级放射科医生。McNemar的测试结果证实,该模型与高级放射科医生在诊断性能上没有显著差异,而初级和高级放射科医生在诊断性能上存在统计学上显著的差距。结论:我们开发并验证了一个融合深度学习和DS证据理论的融合模型。在区分良性和中度/恶性骨肿瘤的任务中,与使用单峰数据和其他基线融合模型的模型相比,该融合模型表现出令人鼓舞的性能。
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引用次数: 0
A risk score model based on glycosylation-related genes for predicting radioresistance and prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma. 基于糖基化相关基因预测肺腺癌放射耐药及预后的风险评分模型。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-25 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2199
Yihong Chen, Baixia Yang, Xiaogang Zhai, Weidong Shi, Hongyan Qian, Qin Ge
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Radiotherapy resistance (RR) is the main cause of radiotherapy failure in lung cancer patients, and its mechanisms are still unrevealed. Glycosylation, as a type of post-translational modification of proteins, plays a key role in tumor progression. Some studies have shown a strong link between glycosylation and RR. However, the absence of a systematic glycosylation-related genes (GRGs) model to predict radiotherapy efficacy in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients highlights a significant clinical and research gap. The aim of the research was to investigate the prognostic characteristics of GRGs in LUAD treated with radiotherapy.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>RNA sequencing data of LUAD were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The expression and prognostic significance of GRGs in patients who underwent radiotherapy were analyzed with bioinformatics tools, and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database was used for verification. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), etc. were used to analyze the potential mechanism of risk model constructed by GRGs in LUAD. The predictive significance of risk model was investigated by immune infiltration analysis, somatic mutations, and drug susceptibility analysis, etc. Single-cell sequencing and molecular docking were used to find new potential targets for LUAD patients. Finally, our bioinformatics analysis results were verified by wet experiments.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>GO and KEGG analyses found that glycosylation played a pivotal role in LUAD RR. Forty-four differentially expressed radiotherapy-related glycosylation genes (DERRGGs) were identified in LUAD. <i>KREMEN2</i>, <i>NRARP</i>, <i>QSOX2</i>, <i>GOLGA3</i>, <i>CELSR2</i>, and <i>SRI</i> were screened out by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. A new risk model was constructed by these six DERRGGs, which showed good predictive power. Multivariate regression found that RiskScore was an independent prognostic factor. Immune infiltration analysis suggested that patients in the high-risk group were more susceptible to suffer from immunosuppression. Single-cell sequencing analysis showed the six genes were mainly distributed in malignant tumors. Drug sensitivity analysis found that the patients in the high-risk group were more sensitive to the clinical drugs, such as afatinib, cytarabine, gemcitabine and so on. Molecular docking demonstrated that tretinoin showed good binding affinity with <i>NRARP</i>, <i>KREMEN2</i> and <i>QSOX2</i>. Our wet experiment results not only demonstrated that <i>NRARP</i>, <i>KREMEN2</i> and <i>QSOX2</i> were more abundant in LUAD irradiation-resistance cells and NRARP protein was significantly up-regulated in radiation-resistant samples, but also showed that tretinoin inhibited the survival of the irradiation-resistance cell obviously.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Thi
背景:放疗耐药(RR)是肺癌患者放疗失败的主要原因,其机制尚不清楚。糖基化作为蛋白质翻译后修饰的一种,在肿瘤进展中起着关键作用。一些研究表明,糖基化与抗转录酶之间存在密切联系。然而,缺乏一个系统的糖基化相关基因(GRGs)模型来预测肺腺癌(LUAD)患者的放疗疗效,这凸显了一个重大的临床和研究空白。本研究的目的是探讨GRGs在LUAD放射治疗中的预后特征。方法:从癌症基因组图谱(TCGA)数据库中获取LUAD的RNA测序数据。应用生物信息学工具分析GRGs在放疗患者中的表达及预后意义,并利用Gene expression Omnibus (GEO)数据库进行验证。利用基因集富集分析(GSEA)、基因本体(GO)、京都基因与基因组百科全书(KEGG)等分析GRGs构建的LUAD风险模型的潜在机制。通过免疫浸润分析、体细胞突变分析、药物敏感性分析等探讨风险模型的预测意义。利用单细胞测序和分子对接技术寻找LUAD患者新的潜在靶点。最后,通过湿法实验验证了我们的生物信息学分析结果。结果:GO和KEGG分析发现糖基化在LUAD RR中起关键作用。在LUAD中鉴定出44个差异表达的放射治疗相关糖基化基因(DERRGGs)。通过最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)分析筛选出KREMEN2、narp、QSOX2、GOLGA3、CELSR2和SRI。利用这6个derrgg构建了新的风险模型,显示出较好的预测能力。多因素回归发现,RiskScore是一个独立的预后因素。免疫浸润分析提示高危组患者更易发生免疫抑制。单细胞测序分析显示,这6个基因主要分布在恶性肿瘤中。药物敏感性分析发现,高危组患者对临床用药更为敏感,如阿法替尼、阿糖胞苷、吉西他滨等。分子对接表明,维甲酸与narp、KREMEN2和QSOX2具有良好的结合亲和力。我们的湿法实验结果不仅表明,在LUAD辐照抗性细胞中,narp、KREMEN2和QSOX2的含量更高,且narp蛋白在辐照抗性样品中显著上调,还表明维甲酸明显抑制了辐照抗性细胞的存活。结论:本研究构建了糖基化相关风险评分来预测LUAD患者的预后,特别是在放疗的背景下。探讨LUAD患者放疗疗效、糖基化与预后的关系,为LUAD患者的个性化治疗提供新的思路。提示维甲酸可能是LUAD的潜在放疗增敏剂,为进一步研究提供基础。
{"title":"A risk score model based on glycosylation-related genes for predicting radioresistance and prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma.","authors":"Yihong Chen, Baixia Yang, Xiaogang Zhai, Weidong Shi, Hongyan Qian, Qin Ge","doi":"10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2199","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2199","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;Radiotherapy resistance (RR) is the main cause of radiotherapy failure in lung cancer patients, and its mechanisms are still unrevealed. Glycosylation, as a type of post-translational modification of proteins, plays a key role in tumor progression. Some studies have shown a strong link between glycosylation and RR. However, the absence of a systematic glycosylation-related genes (GRGs) model to predict radiotherapy efficacy in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients highlights a significant clinical and research gap. The aim of the research was to investigate the prognostic characteristics of GRGs in LUAD treated with radiotherapy.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods: &lt;/strong&gt;RNA sequencing data of LUAD were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The expression and prognostic significance of GRGs in patients who underwent radiotherapy were analyzed with bioinformatics tools, and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database was used for verification. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), etc. were used to analyze the potential mechanism of risk model constructed by GRGs in LUAD. The predictive significance of risk model was investigated by immune infiltration analysis, somatic mutations, and drug susceptibility analysis, etc. Single-cell sequencing and molecular docking were used to find new potential targets for LUAD patients. Finally, our bioinformatics analysis results were verified by wet experiments.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Results: &lt;/strong&gt;GO and KEGG analyses found that glycosylation played a pivotal role in LUAD RR. Forty-four differentially expressed radiotherapy-related glycosylation genes (DERRGGs) were identified in LUAD. &lt;i&gt;KREMEN2&lt;/i&gt;, &lt;i&gt;NRARP&lt;/i&gt;, &lt;i&gt;QSOX2&lt;/i&gt;, &lt;i&gt;GOLGA3&lt;/i&gt;, &lt;i&gt;CELSR2&lt;/i&gt;, and &lt;i&gt;SRI&lt;/i&gt; were screened out by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. A new risk model was constructed by these six DERRGGs, which showed good predictive power. Multivariate regression found that RiskScore was an independent prognostic factor. Immune infiltration analysis suggested that patients in the high-risk group were more susceptible to suffer from immunosuppression. Single-cell sequencing analysis showed the six genes were mainly distributed in malignant tumors. Drug sensitivity analysis found that the patients in the high-risk group were more sensitive to the clinical drugs, such as afatinib, cytarabine, gemcitabine and so on. Molecular docking demonstrated that tretinoin showed good binding affinity with &lt;i&gt;NRARP&lt;/i&gt;, &lt;i&gt;KREMEN2&lt;/i&gt; and &lt;i&gt;QSOX2&lt;/i&gt;. Our wet experiment results not only demonstrated that &lt;i&gt;NRARP&lt;/i&gt;, &lt;i&gt;KREMEN2&lt;/i&gt; and &lt;i&gt;QSOX2&lt;/i&gt; were more abundant in LUAD irradiation-resistance cells and NRARP protein was significantly up-regulated in radiation-resistant samples, but also showed that tretinoin inhibited the survival of the irradiation-resistance cell obviously.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Conclusions: &lt;/strong&gt;Thi","PeriodicalId":23216,"journal":{"name":"Translational cancer research","volume":"15 2","pages":"126"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12971580/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147435530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Construction of a postoperative disease-free survival prediction model for non-small cell lung cancer patients based on dual-energy computed tomography parameters and blood inflammatory indicators. 基于双能ct参数和血液炎症指标的非小细胞肺癌患者术后无病生存预测模型构建
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-25 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2251
Weiming Zhao, Tingting Li, Xilong Zhou, Wenjing Fan, Shuhua Li, Ying Meng, Yihong Gu, Jingcheng Huang, Zongyu Xie, Fang Su
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, and a significant proportion of patients undergoing curative surgery experience recurrence. The tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging system, while foundational, has limited precision for individualized recurrence risk prediction. Emerging biomarkers, including quantitative parameters from dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) and systemic inflammatory indices, have shown promising yet isolated prognostic value. However, a comprehensive model integrating these multimodal data to personalize recurrence risk assessment is lacking. This study aimed to construct a nomogram that integrates DECT quantitative parameters, blood inflammatory indicators, and clinical characteristics to predict disease-free survival (DFS) at 1, 2, and 3 years after surgery in patients with resectable NSCLC.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective study included 140 patients with pathologically confirmed NSCLC who underwent DECT examination within 2 weeks before surgery, randomly assigned to a training set of 98 cases and a test set of 42 cases in a 7:3 ratio. Clinical characteristics, DECT quantitative parameters, and blood test indicators were collected. Potential predictive variables were identified through least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis, while independent risk factors were established using both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models, leading to the construction of the comprehensive nomogram model. The model's efficacy was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and C-index, with stratified survival analysis performed using the Kaplan-Meier method.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Multivariate Cox regression showed that venous phase normalized iodine concentration (VNIC), effective atomic number (Z<sub>eff</sub>) observed during plain scan, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were identified as independent prognostic indicators for postoperative recurrence and metastasis in NSCLC patients (all P<0.05). The comprehensive nomogram model incorporating these three indicators along with TNM staging, lymph node metastasis, and pathological staging showed area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.896, 0.926, and 0.948 for DFS prediction at 1, 2, and 3 years in the training set, and 0.882, 0.915, and 0.934 in the test set, significantly higher than those of the clinical, DECT, and blood models used alone (all P<0.05). Calibration curves demonstrated good consistency between predicted and actual values, and DCA confirmed a high clinical net benefit of the model. Stratified survival analysis revealed that high VNIC (>31.2%), high Z<sub>eff</sub> (>8.0), and high NLR (≥2.7) significantly shortened postoperative DFS (all P<0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The nomogram model based on VNIC, Z<sub
背景:非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)仍然是世界范围内癌症相关死亡的主要原因,并且在接受治疗性手术的患者中有相当大比例出现复发。肿瘤淋巴结转移(TNM)分期系统虽然是基础,但在个体化复发风险预测方面精度有限。新兴的生物标志物,包括双能计算机断层扫描(DECT)和全身炎症指数的定量参数,已经显示出有希望但孤立的预后价值。然而,一个综合这些多模态数据来个性化复发风险评估的综合模型是缺乏的。本研究旨在构建一个整合DECT定量参数、血液炎症指标和临床特征的nomogram,以预测可切除NSCLC患者术后1、2和3年的无病生存(DFS)。方法:回顾性研究纳入140例术前2周内行DECT检查的病理确诊NSCLC患者,按7:3的比例随机分为训练组98例和测试组42例。收集临床特征、DECT定量参数及血液检测指标。通过最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归分析确定潜在的预测变量,同时利用单变量和多变量Cox比例风险回归模型建立独立风险因素,构建综合nomogram模型。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线、校正曲线、决策曲线分析(DCA)和c指数评价模型的疗效,采用Kaplan-Meier法进行分层生存分析。结果:多因素Cox回归显示,静脉相标准化碘浓度(VNIC)、平扫有效原子序数(Zeff)和中性粒细胞淋巴细胞比(NLR)是NSCLC患者术后复发转移的独立预后指标(均为31.2%),高Zeff(>8.0)和高NLR(≥2.7)显著缩短术后DFS(均为p)。本研究基于VNIC、Zeff和NLR的nomogram模型结合临床特征对可切除NSCLC患者术后DFS的预测准确率较高,为临床风险分层和个性化治疗提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
ITPG: an immune-related transcriptomic predictive model for gastric cancer prognosis. ITPG:胃癌预后的免疫相关转录组预测模型。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-25 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-aw-2368
Musu Li, Yue Sun, Liaowei Zhang, Zixuan Lu, Hongmei Wo, Fang Shao, Shaowen Tang, Yang Zhao, Juncheng Dai, Honggang Yi

Background: Although the global incidence of gastric cancer (GC) has declined over the past 5 years, it remains the fourth leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Given the molecular heterogeneity of GC, survival outcomes can vary significantly among patients receiving the same treatment at the same stage. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate a robust prognostic model for GC that complements the current staging system, to ultimately facilitate better clinical decision-making.

Methods: Utilizing gene expression data from four independent cohorts comprising 1,305 GC patients, we developed and validated the immune-related transcriptomic predictive model for gastric cancer prognosis (ITPG), which incorporates transcriptomic biomarkers and explores gene-gene interactions. Specifically, the ITPG model integrates two genes with main effects (KCNQ1, FLRT2) and two pairs of genes with gene-gene interactions (ATP4B×CD84, NPY×ITGBL1), in addition to clinical variables including age and pathological stage. Prognostic biomarkers were identified in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort. The model's risk stratification ability, predictive performance, and clinical utility were subsequently evaluated in three external cohorts: GSE66229, GSE15459, and GSE84437.

Results: The ITPG demonstrated strong risk stratification potential in identifying high-risk patients. Compared to those in the lowest 25th percentile of ITPG scores, patients in the top 90th percentile had significantly shorter overall survival [hazard ratio (HR) =9.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 7.25-13.21, P=2.78×10-50]. Furthermore, ITPG exhibited robust predictive performance across four cohorts, with pooled area under the curve (AUC) values for 1-year of 0.769 (95% CI: 0.735-0.803), 3-year of 0.762 (95% CI: 0.723-0.802), and 5-year of 0.765 (95% CI: 0.704-0.826) survival, and a C-index of 0.704 (95% CI: 0.678-0.729). Additionally, the model displayed substantial clinical utility in identifying GC patients at high risk of mortality [net benefit (NB) at 1-year =1.8%, NB3-year =15.8%, NB5-year =23.7%; net reduction (NR) at 1-year =58.6%, NR3-year =20.4%, NR5-year =11.7%]. Subgroup analyses confirmed the model's robustness across different population stratifications.

Conclusions: The ITPG model is an efficient and clinically relevant tool for prognostic prediction in GC.

背景:虽然全球胃癌(GC)的发病率在过去5年中有所下降,但它仍然是全球癌症相关死亡的第四大原因。鉴于胃癌的分子异质性,在同一阶段接受相同治疗的患者的生存结果可能存在显著差异。因此,本研究旨在开发和验证一个强大的GC预后模型,以补充当前的分期系统,最终促进更好的临床决策。方法:利用来自1,305名胃癌患者的四个独立队列的基因表达数据,我们建立并验证了胃癌预后的免疫相关转录组预测模型(ITPG),该模型包含转录组生物标志物并探索基因-基因相互作用。具体而言,除了年龄和病理分期等临床变量外,ITPG模型还整合了两个主要作用基因(KCNQ1、FLRT2)和两对基因-基因相互作用基因(ATP4B×CD84、NPY×ITGBL1)。预后生物标志物在癌症基因组图谱(TCGA)队列中被确定。随后在三个外部队列GSE66229、GSE15459和GSE84437中评估了该模型的风险分层能力、预测性能和临床效用。结果:ITPG在识别高危患者方面显示出强大的风险分层潜力。与ITPG评分最低的25百分位患者相比,前90百分位患者的总生存期明显缩短[风险比(HR) =9.79, 95%可信区间(CI): 7.25-13.21, P=2.78×10-50]。此外,ITPG在四个队列中表现出稳健的预测性能,1年的合并曲线下面积(AUC)值为0.769 (95% CI: 0.735-0.803), 3年的合并曲线下面积(AUC)值为0.762 (95% CI: 0.723-0.802), 5年的合并曲线下面积(AUC)值为0.765 (95% CI: 0.704-0.826), c指数为0.704 (95% CI: 0.678-0.729)。此外,该模型在识别死亡率高的GC患者方面显示出巨大的临床效用[净效益(NB) 1年=1.8%,nb3年=15.8%,nb5年=23.7%;净减少(NR) 1年=58.6%,3年=20.4%,5年=11.7%。亚组分析证实了该模型在不同人群分层中的稳健性。结论:ITPG模型是预测胃癌预后的有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
Greater susceptibility of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis to basal cell carcinoma: a combined genomics and Mendelian randomization analysis. 特发性肺纤维化患者对基底细胞癌的易感性更高:基因组学和孟德尔随机化联合分析。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-1-2853
Shuang Sun, Sibo Wang, Linghao Shi, Guojing Han, Chaojun Sheng, Wei Zhao

Background: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive and lethal lung disease associated with significant morbidity and frequent complications. Basal cell carcinoma (BCC) is a common skin malignancy often diagnosed at the intermediate to advanced stages. Emerging evidence suggests that a epidemiological link exists between these conditions. This study aimed to investigate the shared genomic landscape and causal relationship between IPF and BCC and to clarify the related underlying molecular mechanisms and therapeutic implications.

Methods: Gene expression datasets (GSE10667, GSE24206, and GSE53845) were obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. After normalization and integration, differential expression analysis identified 1,333 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between patients with IPF and controls. Subsequently, Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway functional enrichment analyses were performed. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was conducted with summary statistics from genome-wide association studies to infer the effect of IPF on BCC risk. Furthermore, a gene-drug interaction network and a competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) network (consisting of long noncoding RNAs, microRNAs, and messenger RNAs) were constructed via Cytoscape to identify potential therapeutic targets.

Results: Enrichment analysis indicated a significant overrepresentation of the BCC signaling pathway among the DEGs, with 12 core genes shared between IPF and BCC pathogenesis being identified. These genes involved in critical molecular pathways and are correlated with certain immune cell interactions, suggesting a mechanistic link between IPF and BCC. The MR analysis provided evidence of a genetic basis for the causal relationship: compared to the general population, individuals with a genetic predisposition to IPF have a significantly higher risk of developing BCC. The networks highlighted key regulatory nodes and potential drug targets within the shared pathophysiology of the two diseases.

Conclusions: This study integrating genomic and causal inference study demonstrated that patients with IPF are at an increased risk of developing BCC. Further MR analysis indicated that this association is underpinned by shared genetic pathways, immune-related interactions, and a causal relationship. The core genes and regulatory networks identified in this study help clarify the molecular nature of the link between these diseases and offers novel avenues for devising therapeutic strategies targeting IPF and comorbid BCC.

背景:特发性肺纤维化(IPF)是一种进行性和致死性肺部疾病,发病率高,并发症多。基底细胞癌(BCC)是一种常见的皮肤恶性肿瘤,通常在中晚期诊断出来。新出现的证据表明,这些疾病之间存在流行病学联系。本研究旨在探讨IPF和BCC之间的共同基因组格局和因果关系,并阐明相关的潜在分子机制和治疗意义。方法:从Gene expression Omnibus数据库中获取基因表达数据集(GSE10667、GSE24206和GSE53845)。在标准化和整合后,差异表达分析确定了IPF患者和对照组之间的1333个差异表达基因(deg)。随后,进行基因本体(GO)和京都基因与基因组百科全书(KEGG)途径功能富集分析。孟德尔随机化(MR)分析采用全基因组关联研究的汇总统计数据来推断IPF对BCC风险的影响。此外,通过Cytoscape构建了基因-药物相互作用网络和竞争性内源性RNA (ceRNA)网络(由长链非编码RNA、microRNAs和信使RNA组成),以确定潜在的治疗靶点。结果:富集分析表明,BCC信号通路在deg中有明显的过代表性,鉴定出IPF与BCC发病机制共有12个核心基因。这些基因参与关键的分子途径,并与某些免疫细胞相互作用相关,表明IPF和BCC之间存在机制联系。MR分析为因果关系的遗传基础提供了证据:与一般人群相比,具有IPF遗传易感性的个体患BCC的风险明显更高。该网络突出了两种疾病共享病理生理学中的关键调控节点和潜在药物靶点。结论:这项结合基因组学和因果推理研究的研究表明,IPF患者发生BCC的风险增加。进一步的磁共振分析表明,这种关联是由共同的遗传途径、免疫相关的相互作用和因果关系支撑的。本研究确定的核心基因和调控网络有助于阐明这些疾病之间联系的分子性质,并为设计针对IPF和合并症BCC的治疗策略提供了新的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Prognostic significance of lymph node-related indices and a novel nomogram for rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases after the preoperative chemoradiotherapy: a population-based study. 术前放化疗后直肠癌同步肝转移患者的淋巴结相关指标和一种新的nomogram预后意义:一项基于人群的研究
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 Epub Date: 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-2025-2043
Kexing Xi, Youbo Wu, Xiaowen Sun, Changzheng Du, Feng Wang, Jialiang Liu, Yanjiang Yin, Yutong Wang, Jiaxiang Liu, Guoxin Li

Background: Patient outcomes in rectal cancer with synchronous liver metastases remain heterogeneous, underscoring the need for reliable prognostic factors to guide individualized treatment strategies. This study sought to assess the influence of lymph node-related indices on the survival of rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases who underwent preoperative chemoradiotherapy and to construct a novel nomogram for this patient population.

Methods: Data on rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases who underwent preoperative chemoradiotherapy between 2010 and 2019 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. X-tile software was employed to determine the optimal cutoff point of lymph node-related indices. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to assess survival differences. Cox univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify the prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). We constructed a novel nomogram to predict individual survival probability. The concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve were used to determine the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram.

Results: A total of 547 rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases were enrolled. The OS of patients with total number of lymph nodes (TLN) <7 was significantly worse than that of patients with TLN ≥7 (3-year OS rate: 46.6% vs. 62.7%; 5-year OS rate: 22.9% vs. 43.8%, P=0.001). Patients with number of positive lymph nodes (PLN) <7 had better OS than that of patients with PLN ≥7 significantly (3-year OS rate: 63.5% vs. 36.0%; 5-year OS rate: 44.1% vs. 12.6%, P<0.001). The 3-year OS rate was 49.7% for patients with number of negative lymph nodes (NLN) <11 compared with 68.6% for patients with NLN ≥11; and the 5-year OS rate was 23.9% and 53.6% for patients with NLN <11 and patients with NLN ≥11, respectively (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that TLN, NLN and PLN were independent prognostic factors for OS [TLN: hazard ratio (HR) =0.571, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.408-0.799, P=0.001; NLN: HR =0.593, 95% CI: 0.456-0.770, P<0.001; PLN: HR =1.736, 95% CI: 1.201-2.509, P=0.003]. A novel nomogram was established based on the independent prognostic factors indicated in the multivariate Cox analysis. The C-index for prognostic nomogram was 0.67 (95% CI: 0.63-0.71). The calibration plot for the probability of 3-year survival demonstrated an optimal agreement between the predicted and actual survival.

Conclusions: Lymph node (LN)-related indices are significant prognostic factors for OS in rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases, offering insights into survival prediction and enabling personalized treatment strategies.

背景:直肠癌伴同步肝转移的患者预后仍然存在异质性,强调需要可靠的预后因素来指导个体化治疗策略。本研究旨在评估淋巴结相关指标对接受术前放化疗的直肠癌同步肝转移患者生存的影响,并为该患者群体构建一种新的nomogram。方法:从监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中检索2010年至2019年期间接受术前放化疗的直肠癌同步肝转移患者的数据。采用X-tile软件确定淋巴结相关指标的最佳截止点。采用Kaplan-Meier法和log-rank检验评估生存差异。进行Cox单因素和多因素分析,以确定总生存期(OS)的预后因素。我们构建了一个新的nomogram来预测个体的生存概率。采用一致性指数(C-index)和校准曲线来确定nomogram预测准确度和判别能力。结果:共纳入547例直肠癌同步肝转移患者。总淋巴结数(TLN) vs. 62.7%;5年OS率:22.9% vs 43.8%, P=0.001)。阳性淋巴结数(PLN) vs. 36.0%;结论:淋巴结(LN)相关指标是直肠癌同步肝转移患者OS的重要预后因素,为生存预测和个性化治疗策略提供了新的思路。
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Translational cancer research
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