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Improving Linear Interpolation of Missing Hydrological Data by Applying Integrated Autoregressive Models 应用综合自回归模型改进水文数据缺失的线性插值
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03625-7
Tomasz Niedzielski, Michał Halicki
Abstract The application of linear interpolation for handling missing hydrological data is unequivocal. On one hand, such an approach offers good reconstruction in the vicinity of last observation before a no-data gap and first measurement after the gap. On the other hand, it omits irregular variability of hydrological data. Such an irregularity can be described by time series models, such as for instance the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model. Herein, we propose a method which combines linear interpolation with autoregressive integrated model (ARI, i.e. ARIMA without a moving average part), named LinAR (available at GitHub), as a tool for inputing hydrological data. Linear interpolation is combined with the ARI model through linear scaling the ARI-based prediction issued for the no-data gap. Such an approach contributes to the current state of art in gap-filling methods since it removes artificial jumps between last stochastic prediction and first known observation after the gap, also introducing some irregular variability in the first part of the no-data gap. The LinAR method is applied and evaluated on hourly water level data collected between 2016 and 2021 (52,608 hourly steps) from 28 gauges strategically located within the Odra/Oder River basin in southwestern and western Poland. The data was sourced from Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (Poland). Evaluating the performance with over 100 million assessments in the validation experiment, the study demonstrates that the LinAR approach outperforms the purely linear method, especially for short no-data gaps (up to 12 hourly steps) and for rivers of considerable size. Based on rigorous statistical analysis of root mean square error (RMSE) – expressed (1) absolutely, (2) as percentages and (3) using RMSE error bars – the percentage improvement, understood as percentage difference between RMSE of linear and LinAR interpolations, was found to reach up to 10%.
线性插值在处理水文数据缺失中的应用是不容置疑的。一方面,这种方法在无数据间隙前的最后一次观测和间隙后的第一次测量附近提供了良好的重建。另一方面,它忽略了水文资料的不规则变异性。这种不规则性可以用时间序列模型来描述,例如自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型。在此,我们提出了一种将线性插值与自回归集成模型(ARI,即不含移动平均部分的ARIMA)相结合的方法,名为LinAR(可在GitHub上获得),作为输入水文数据的工具。通过线性缩放基于ARI的无数据间隙预测,将线性插值与ARI模型相结合。这种方法有助于填补空白方法的现状,因为它消除了空白后最后一次随机预测和第一次已知观测之间的人为跳跃,也在无数据空白的第一部分引入了一些不规则的可变性。LinAR方法应用于2016年至2021年间收集的每小时水位数据(52,608个每小时步骤),这些数据来自波兰西南部和西部奥德拉/奥得河流域的28个仪表。数据来自气象和水管理研究所(波兰)。在验证实验中对超过1亿次评估的性能进行了评估,该研究表明,线性ar方法优于纯线性方法,特别是对于短时间的无数据间隙(高达12小时的步骤)和相当大的河流。基于对均方根误差(RMSE)的严格统计分析——用(1)绝对、(2)百分比和(3)RMSE误差条表示——改进的百分比,被理解为线性插值和线性插值的RMSE之间的百分比差异,发现可达10%。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the Effect of Spatial and Temporal Variabilities of Rainfall on Catchment Response 降雨时空变化对流域响应的影响研究
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03610-0
Pardis Ziaee, Mohammad Javad Abedini
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Industrial Pulling Effect on the Coordinated Development of China’s Water Resources and Economic System 产业拉动效应对中国水资源与经济系统协调发展的影响
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03607-9
Jingwei Zheng, Caizhi Sun
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引用次数: 0
Benchmarking the Performance of Productive Units Using Cross-Efficiency Techniques: An Empirical Approach for Water Companies 使用交叉效率技术对生产单位绩效进行基准测试:水务公司的经验方法
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03614-w
Ramon Sala-Garrido, Manuel Mocholi-Arce, Maria Molinos-Senante, Michail Smyrnakis, Alexandros Maziotis
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引用次数: 0
Rainwater and Greywater as Alternative Water Resources: Public Perception and Acceptability. Case Study in Twelve Countries in the World 雨水和灰水作为替代水资源:公众认知和可接受性。世界上12个国家的案例研究
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03594-x
Agnieszka Stec
Abstract The aim of the paper was to identify factors that influence the public perception of the possibility of replacing tap water with rainwater or greywater. In order to check whether a geographical location and water resources of a region affect the public's attitude toward alternative water systems, the surveys were carried out among respondents from twelve countries. The surveys identified the level of awareness among respondents about their country's water resources, ways to save water at home, and their attitudes to rainwater and greywater as additional sources of water in a building. The results showed that only 39% of respondents would not be afraid to use treated greywater in their household. The situation was better in case of replacement of tap water with rainwater, where more than 54% of the respondents were not concerned. The use of alternative sources of water for body washing and cleaning works was the biggest concern among the respondents. In case of greywater recycling, this was indicated by 56% (personal hygiene) and 34% (cleaning works) of respondents. People in the countries with low water resources view alternative water sources more favourably. They are also more aware of, and more likely to accept the use of rainwater or greywater even in uses where they will come into contact with the human body. The research also showed that for more than 3/4 of respondents, funding to install these systems would encourage their use in their household.
摘要本文的目的是确定影响公众对用雨水或污水代替自来水的可能性的看法的因素。为了检查一个地区的地理位置和水资源是否会影响公众对替代水系统的态度,调查在来自12个国家的受访者中进行。这些调查确定了受访者对其国家水资源的认识水平、在家中节约用水的方法,以及他们对雨水和污水作为建筑物额外水源的态度。结果显示,只有39%的受访者不害怕在家中使用处理过的灰水。以雨水代替自来水的情况较好,超过54%的受访者表示不担心。受访者最关注的是使用替代水源进行身体清洗和清洁工作。在回用中水的情况下,56%(个人卫生)和34%(清洁工程)的受访者表示这一点。在水资源匮乏的国家,人们对替代水源的看法更为积极。他们也更了解,更愿意接受雨水或污水的使用,即使在使用中他们会接触到人体。研究还表明,超过四分之三的受访者表示,为安装这些系统提供资金将鼓励他们在家中使用这些系统。
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引用次数: 0
A Multi-stage Stochastic Approach for Statistical Downscaling of Rainfall 降雨统计降尺度的多阶段随机方法
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03615-9
Jose George, Athira P.
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引用次数: 0
Initial Investigation of Wave Interactions During Simultaneous Valve Closures in Hydraulic Piping Systems 液压管路系统阀门同时关闭过程中波动相互作用的初步研究
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03597-8
Kamil Urbanowicz, Igor Haluch, Anton Bergant, Adam Deptuła, Paweł Śliwiński
Abstract The effects of interference of pressure waves in simple piping systems were studied. A freeware computer code Allievi developed at the University of Valencia was used to simulate dynamic waveforms in simple and complex networks. The tests were carried out according to three scenarios. No pressure increases significantly exceeding the Joukowsky pressure in simple cases were noticed. When the effects of the simultaneous closing of three valves located at the three pressure reservoirs with pipes of the same diameter connected at "Y" junction were tested, it was shown that wave interference (between primary and reflected waves) is influenced strongly by the length of the analyzed pipes. Additionally, when a change of diameter was assumed at the "Y" junction, secondary waves appear, which are responsible for increased pressure in this type of the system (even when the lengths of the lines are identical). Water supply pipe systems are subject to cyclical loads and wave interference of similar types even during standard operations, that’s why the understanding of this issue is crucial to effectively protect the systems from the risk of possible cracks, bursts, and leaks.
摘要研究了简单管道系统中压力波干涉的影响。在瓦伦西亚大学,Allievi开发了一个免费的计算机代码,用来模拟简单和复杂网络中的动态波形。试验是根据三种情况进行的。在简单的情况下,没有发现明显超过Joukowsky压力的压力增加。同时关闭位于三个压力储层上的三个阀门,并以“Y”型连接相同直径的管道进行测试,结果表明,波干涉(主波和反射波之间的干涉)受分析管道长度的强烈影响。此外,当假设在“Y”型连接处直径发生变化时,会出现二次波,这是导致这种类型系统压力增加的原因(即使线的长度相同)。即使在标准操作期间,供水管道系统也会受到周期性载荷和类似类型的波干扰,这就是为什么了解这个问题对于有效保护系统免受可能出现的裂缝、爆裂和泄漏的风险至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Precipitation Concentration and Human Activities On City Runoff Changes 降水浓度和人类活动对城市径流变化的影响
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03593-y
Cuimei Lv, Xinrui Wang, Minhua Ling, Wenjing Xu, Denghua Yan
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of Mean Velocity Upstream and Downstream of a Bridge Model Using Metaheuristic Regression Methods 用元启发式回归方法估计桥梁模型上下游平均速度
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03618-6
Ozgur Kisi, Mehmet Ardiçlioğlu, Arzu M. W. Hadi, Alban Kuriqi, Christoph Kulls
Abstract This study compares four data-driven methods, Gaussian process regression (GPR), multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), M5 model tree (M5Tree), and multilinear regression (MLR), in estimating mean velocity upstream and downstream of bridges. Data were obtained through multiple experiments in a rectangular laboratory flume with glass walls 9.5 m long, 0.6 m wide, and 0.6 m deep. Four different bridge models were placed at the 6th meter of the channel to determine the average velocities upstream and downstream. Different data-driven models were implemented with different combinations of effective parameters as input. They were evaluated and compared using root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute relative error (MARE), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The results showed that the MARS had the best efficiency in estimating the mean velocity upstream of the bridge model. At the same time, the M5Tree provided the highest performance in estimating the mean velocity downstream. The MARS method improved the estimation accuracy of GPR, M5Tree, and MLR in the test phase by 23.8%, 45.1%, and 47.4% concerning the RMSE at the upstream. The M5Tree provided better RMSE accuracy of 31.8%, 70.4%, and 75.5% at the downstream compared to MARS, GPR, and MLR, respectively. The study recommends the MARS and M5Tree for estimating mean velocities upstream and downstream of the bridge.
摘要本研究比较了高斯过程回归(GPR)、多元自适应样条回归(MARS)、M5模型树(M5Tree)和多元线性回归(MLR)四种数据驱动方法在估算桥梁上下游平均速度方面的应用。数据是在一个长9.5 m、宽0.6 m、深0.6 m的矩形实验室水槽中通过多次实验获得的。四个不同的桥模型放置在6米的通道,以确定上游和下游的平均速度。采用不同的有效参数组合作为输入,实现不同的数据驱动模型。采用均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对相对误差(MARE)和Nash-Sutcliffe效率(NSE)对其进行评价和比较。结果表明,MARS对桥梁模型上游平均速度的估计效率最高。同时,M5Tree在估计下游平均流速方面提供了最高的性能。MARS方法在测试阶段GPR、M5Tree和MLR的上游RMSE估计精度分别提高了23.8%、45.1%和47.4%。与MARS、GPR和MLR相比,M5Tree在下游的RMSE精度分别为31.8%、70.4%和75.5%。该研究建议使用MARS和M5Tree来估算大桥上游和下游的平均速度。
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引用次数: 0
A Probability Model for Short-Term Streamflow Prediction Based on Multi-Resolution Data 基于多分辨率数据的短期流量预测概率模型
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03620-y
Lili Wang, Zexia Li, Fuqiang Ye, Tongyang Liu
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引用次数: 0
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Water Resources Management
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