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ROMANIAN RESILIENCE FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF SECURITY SECTORS IN A GLOBALIZED WORLD 从全球化世界安全部门的角度看罗马尼亚的复原力
Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-19
Mirela Atanasiu
States are constantly in search of security, but the current multiple globalized crises (sanitary, economic, societal, but also political) overlapping in an international context already affected by hybrid threats and military aggressions does not facilitate the pursuit to achieve this goal. UN, NATO and the EU have proven that building resilience is a good solution to increase the security level of organizations. Therefore, also states’ security policies have gradually become more focused to provide resilience to its subsequent sectors and dimensions. In this study, there will be presented a few resilience indicators and practices at the level of national security of Romania, with an emphasis on the security sectors through the lenses of the methodological framework of Copenhagen School.
各国一直在寻求安全,但在已经受到混合威胁和军事侵略影响的国际背景下,当前的多重全球化危机(卫生、经济、社会以及政治危机)相互叠加,不利于实现这一目标。联合国、北约和欧盟已经证明,建设复原力是提高各组织安全水平的好办法。因此,各国的安全政策也逐渐更加注重为其后续部门和层面提供复原力。本研究将通过哥本哈根学派方法框架的视角,介绍罗马尼亚国家安全层面的一些复原力指标和做法,重点是安全部门。
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引用次数: 0
IS THE CONTEMPORARY RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT “CONVENTIONAL”? 当代俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突是 "常规 "冲突吗?
Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-18
Petru Mihalcea
One of the biggest European conflagrations after the World War II constitutes Russian’s unprovoked attack on Ukraine which begun in 2014 and evolved in a full scale war in February 2022. Despite the fact that it represents an armed conflict between two actors, it is difficult to classify it as pure conventional or unconventional war. The main goal of the paper is to reveal the extent to which conflict can be classified as conventional since both sides have been using a long range of elements of unconventional war. Using the historical and analytical method, the paper emphasizes that the conflict cannot be classified fully conventional or unconventional as the actors use a mixture of both to reach their military and political objectives. The scope of our paper limits the research to the Russian military interventions unfolding during the last two decades.
第二次世界大战后欧洲最大的冲突之一是俄罗斯对乌克兰的无端攻击,这一攻击始于 2014 年,并于 2022 年 2 月演变为一场全面战争。尽管这是两个行为体之间的武装冲突,但很难将其归类为纯粹的常规战争或非常规战争。本文的主要目的是揭示冲突在多大程度上可归类为常规战争,因为双方都使用了一系列非常规战争的要素。本文采用历史分析方法,强调冲突不能完全归类为常规战争或非常规战争,因为参战双方混合使用这两种手段来实现其军事和政治目标。本文的研究范围仅限于俄罗斯在过去二十年中进行的军事干预。
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引用次数: 0
THREAT ACTORS SEEKING TO EXPLOIT AI CAPABILITIES. TYPES AND THEIR GOALS 寻求利用 AI 能力的威胁行为者。类型及其目标
Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-21
Petru-Dan Kovaci
Artificial Intelligence’s advancement has led to ethical and privacy concerns due to the ability of algorithms to mine personal data and conduct surveillance on a large scale. The influence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in cybersecurity extends beyond private entities and individuals. In this scenario, it is important to highlight the threatening actors and their objectives in order to counter AI-based cyber threats. We are dealing with different entities, each having its own interests: cybercriminals are interested in making profit, terrorist groups cause ideological violence and nation-states target geopolitical influence. Moreover, they are increasingly interested in developing AI-driven cyber warfare capabilities for either attacking their enemies or enhancing their defence measures against such attacks. This trend will most likely aggravate the global cyber arms race as countries compete to surpass each other in the development and deployment of AI-driven cyber capabilities. Consequently, it has become crucial for organizations and individuals to understand how AI affects cybersecurity and, thus, adapt their strategies accordingly. Traditional defences must be supplemented with AI-powered tools and techniques to stay ahead of the curve, while security experts must continually update their skills and expertise to cope with the changing threat landscape.
由于算法能够挖掘个人数据并进行大规模监控,人工智能的进步引发了对道德和隐私的担忧。人工智能(AI)对网络安全的影响超出了私人实体和个人。在这种情况下,必须强调威胁行为体及其目标,以应对基于人工智能的网络威胁。我们面对的是不同的实体,每个实体都有自己的利益:网络犯罪分子的利益是盈利,恐怖组织的利益是意识形态暴力,民族国家的利益是地缘政治影响。此外,他们对开发人工智能驱动的网络战能力越来越感兴趣,以便攻击他们的敌人或加强对此类攻击的防御措施。随着各国竞相开发和部署人工智能驱动的网络能力,这一趋势很可能会加剧全球网络军备竞赛。因此,对于组织和个人来说,了解人工智能对网络安全的影响并据此调整战略已变得至关重要。传统的防御措施必须辅以人工智能驱动的工具和技术,才能保持领先,而安全专家必须不断更新技能和专业知识,以应对不断变化的威胁环境。
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引用次数: 0
MULTILATERALISM – PAST, PRESENT AND POSSIBLE FUTURES 多边主义--过去、现在和可能的未来
Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-20
Diana-Cristiana Lupu
Starting from the definition of multilateralism, based on its main characteristics – peaceful resolution of conflicts, sovereign states equality under international law, inclusion and active participation of all stakeholders, the present paper examines the current perception of the foundations of global cooperation stability. Thus, considering the high level of interconnectedness as well as the complexity of the crises our world is currently facing, some of the challenges to the multilateral system are presented, focusing on the UN, an inclusive multilateral institution, and the EU, a regional one. Romania’s position in this context is also mentioned. In connection to the Western-based democratic values and liberal societies, three possible futures are exhibited. Under the given circumstances, it has been almost unanimously agreed that reforms are necessary. However, there are still few specific details related to the substance and means of the changes, and there are too many variables to be considered in the efforts to align goals, interests and expectations, as well as to accommodate the structural, functional and strategic elements of transformation.
多边主义的主要特征是和平解决冲突、主权国家在国际法面前一律平等、所有利益攸关方的包容和积极参与,本文从多边主义的定义出发,探讨了当前对全球合作稳定基础的看法。因此,考虑到高度的相互关联性以及当今世界所面临危机的复杂性,本文提出了多边体系所面临的一些挑战,重点关注联合国这一包容性多边机构和欧盟这一区域性多边机构。在此背景下,罗马尼亚的立场也被提及。在以西方为基础的民主价值观和自由社会方面,展示了三种可能的未来。在这种情况下,人们几乎一致认为改革是必要的。然而,与改革的实质和手段有关的具体细节仍然很少,在努力协调目标、利益和期望,以及兼顾转型的结构、功能和战略要素时,有太多的变数需要考虑。
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引用次数: 0
HUMOROUS SATIRICAL MEME ̶ ONLINE INFLUENCE TOOL 幽默讽刺meme在线影响力工具
Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-06
Cristian Ionel Haidău
In the era of communication, internet and social networks, memes have acquired a huge power to disseminate and influence people. This phenomenon is mainly due to the ease with which a message resonates with people and with one’s friends and acquaintances, the lack of regulation of digital communication channels, and the way social media algorithms are programmed. They tend to favour the financial profit of social media platforms and less to combat bots, fake accounts and the propagation of misleading messages. In this paper, I will analyse and explain why humorous satirical memes have come to be used in influence actions and campaigns and why they have increased effectiveness, especially among trained people, compared to other techniques. The argumentation is built on two dimensions: that of genetic baggage and programming, together with the chemistry of the human body, where hormones play a very important role and that of the social, tribal dimension, where man is a being who wants and needs belonging to a group to feel safe, accepted and valued.
在通信、互联网和社交网络的时代,模因获得了巨大的传播和影响人们的力量。这一现象主要是由于信息很容易引起人们以及朋友和熟人的共鸣,缺乏对数字通信渠道的监管,以及社交媒体算法的编程方式。他们倾向于支持社交媒体平台的财务利润,而不是打击机器人、虚假账户和误导性信息的传播。在本文中,我将分析和解释为什么幽默的讽刺模因已经在影响行动和运动中使用,以及为什么与其他技术相比,它们提高了效率,特别是在受过训练的人中。这一论点建立在两个方面:一是基因包袱和程序,以及人体的化学成分,其中激素起着非常重要的作用;二是社会、部落方面,在这些方面,人是一种希望并需要属于一个群体的存在,以感到安全、被接受和被重视。
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引用次数: 0
IMPLICATIONS OF DEFENCE RESOURCE MANAGEMENT ON NATIONAL OBJECTIVES 国防资源管理对国家目标的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-03
Simona-Daniela Bordea
The new international context justifies an analysis of the priorities, interests and objectives of the Pontic states in relation to an immediate reaction to discourage the armed conflict initiated by Russia and unjustified in terms of international humanitarian law. NATO and the EU have recently intensified the conduct of large-scale maritime exercises to promote stability and peace and strengthen the Alliance’s Eastern Flank, and have consistently encouraged cooperation between outgoing states on the Black Sea. Although Russia’s energy dependence on some Pontic states could be a problem for the mutual agreement on strategic negotiations and partnerships, NATO and the EU must join forces to take concrete and deterrent action to maintain regional and international order alike. The present article aims to highlight the importance of the Black Sea for the Pontic states, having as the premise of the scientific research the fact that nowadays it represents an important cross-border resource both for the security of the states in the region and for the security of NATO and the EU.
在新的国际背景下,我们有理由对庞特国家的优先事项、利益和目标进行分析,以立即对俄罗斯发起的武装冲突做出反应,并从国际人道主义法的角度来看,这是不合理的。北约和欧盟最近加强了大规模海上演习,以促进稳定与和平,加强联盟的东翼,并一贯鼓励即将退出的国家在黑海进行合作。尽管俄罗斯对一些庞蒂克国家的能源依赖可能成为双方在战略谈判和伙伴关系上达成一致的一个问题,但北约和欧盟必须联合起来,采取具体的威慑行动,以维持地区和国际秩序。本文旨在强调黑海对庞蒂克国家的重要性,并将其作为科学研究的前提,即如今它代表了该地区国家安全以及北约和欧盟安全的重要跨境资源。
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引用次数: 0
THE EFFECTS OF THE UKRAINIAN WAR ON THE LEGAL SYSTEM AND INTERNATIONAL ORDER 乌克兰战争对法律制度和国际秩序的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-01
Mirela Atanasiu
Russia’s invasion in Ukraine, in February 2022, marked the re-emergence of war as a social phenomenon on the European continent, but it also represented a clear signal of challenging the international order based on the UN legal system. Moreover, the continuation of this conflict, despite the measures taken by the international community, has triggered doubts regarding the system’s degree of functionality underlying the international order, in the context of new global challenges. Also, as the conflict in Ukraine prolongs, the policies of the great powers, but also that of small and medium-sized states fearful for their survival, are changing, which will obviously lead to a recalibration of the international order. Therefore, the purpose of this research focuses on establishing the degree of resilience of the current international security system and what transformative trends are identified in the international law system and in the global order in general, but also as effects of the development of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. In this respect, the main research method is the content analysis of certain international legal documents and statements of some government officials, the conclusions being later translated into an empirical interpretation that helps to achieve the purpose of the research.
俄罗斯于2022年2月入侵乌克兰,标志着战争作为一种社会现象在欧洲大陆重新出现,但它也发出了挑战以联合国法律体系为基础的国际秩序的明确信号。此外,尽管国际社会采取了措施,这场冲突仍在继续,在新的全球挑战的背景下,使人们对作为国际秩序基础的该制度的功能程度产生了怀疑。此外,随着乌克兰冲突的持续,大国的政策以及担心自身生存的中小国家的政策都在发生变化,这显然将导致国际秩序的重新调整。因此,本研究的目的侧重于建立当前国际安全体系的弹性程度,以及在国际法体系和总体全球秩序中确定的变革趋势,以及俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突发展的影响。在这方面,主要的研究方法是对某些国际法律文件和一些政府官员的声明进行内容分析,然后将结论转化为经验解释,有助于实现研究目的。
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引用次数: 0
CONVERGENCE AND PRAGMATISM IN STRUCTURING THE EU DEFENCE PLANNING PROCESS. THE IMPORTANCE OF THE COORDINATED ANNUAL REVIEW ON DEFENCE (CARD) 构建欧盟防务规划过程中的趋同与实用主义。国防协调年度审查的重要性(卡)
Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-05
Dragos Ilinca
European defence cooperation has recently made significant progress in a wide range of instruments aimed in particular at streamlining the way in which defence capabilities are generated under the auspices of the Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP). In this context, there is also an interest in optimising the defence planning process by strengthening the integrated nature and ensuring interconnectivity between the different CSDP-related initiatives, such as the Permanent Structured Cooperation, the European Defence Fund or the Capability Development Plan. Thus, the launch of the Coordinated Annual Review on Defence (CARD) is an endeavour to help harmonise these initiatives by identifying concrete opportunities for cooperation between Member States and making recommendations to guide cooperation between Member States. The potential of CARD has been preliminary tested within two operating cycles, with promising results and practical effects in generating optimal formulas for the use of Member States’ resources. From this perspective, the study aims to deepen the way CARD contributes to the creation of an integrated framework for the functioning of European defence cooperation. The article also proposes a comprehensive perspective by analysing how CARD contributes to guiding the interaction between Member States on the capability dimension and, last but not least, to strengthening EU-NATO complementarity. The main premise of this approach is precisely to value the potential of CARD to ensure the sustainability of cooperation under the aegis of CSDP. At the same time, the overriding interest of Member States in ensuring the transposition of the recommendations and cooperation priorities identified by CARD at the level of national defence planning processes is considered.
欧洲防务合作最近在一系列广泛的文书方面取得了重大进展,这些文书的目的特别在于精简在共同安全和防务政策(CSDP)主持下产生防务能力的方式。在此背景下,也有兴趣通过加强综合性质和确保不同csdp相关倡议之间的互联性来优化国防规划过程,例如永久结构性合作,欧洲防务基金或能力发展计划。因此,发起协调年度防务审查是一项努力,通过确定会员国之间合作的具体机会和提出指导会员国之间合作的建议,帮助协调这些倡议。在两个业务周期内,已经初步测试了联合发展方案的潜力,在制定利用会员国资源的最佳方案方面取得了有希望的结果和实际效果。从这个角度来看,该研究旨在深化CARD有助于建立欧洲防务合作运作的综合框架的方式。本文还通过分析CARD如何有助于指导成员国之间在能力维度上的互动,以及最后但并非最不重要的是加强欧盟-北约的互补性,提出了一个全面的视角。这一做法的主要前提正是重视发展合作计划的潜力,以确保在可持续发展战略支持下的合作的可持续性。与此同时,还考虑到各会员国在确保在国防规划进程一级执行联委会确定的建议和合作优先事项方面的压倒一切的利益。
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引用次数: 3
NATO-ISRAEL COOPERATION IN THE CONTEXT OF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR 俄乌战争背景下的北约-以色列合作
Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-02
Zsolt Csepregi
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shifted NATO’s attention to its eastern flank and raised the importance of collective defence. However, the transatlantic alliance has spent long years to build up its reputation as a security provider in the Middle East as well, in the southern strategic direction. The current paper analyses the state of NATO’s efforts on the southern flank, using its partnership with Israel as a case study. It argues that, in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war, robust NATO cooperation in the South, having Israel as a key pillar, is more important than ever, even though it is a low priority on NATO’s agenda in 2023 because of the ongoing war.
俄罗斯入侵乌克兰已将北约的注意力转移到其东翼,并提高了集体防御的重要性。然而,这个跨大西洋联盟也花了多年时间,在中东南部战略方向上建立了自己作为安全提供者的声誉。本文以北约与以色列的伙伴关系为例,分析了北约在南翼的努力现状。它认为,在俄乌战争的背景下,以以色列为关键支柱的北约在南部的强劲合作比以往任何时候都更加重要,尽管由于持续的战争,它在北约2023年议程上的优先级较低。
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引用次数: 0
TRANSNISTRIA FROM THE FORMATION OF THE MOLDAVIAN AUTONOMOUS SOVIET SOCIALIST REPUBLIC TO ITS INTEGRATION INTO THE MOLDAVIAN SOVIET SOCIALIST REPUBLIC (1924-1940) 德涅斯特河沿岸从摩尔多瓦苏维埃社会主义自治共和国的形成到其并入摩尔多瓦苏维埃社会主义共和国(1924-1940)
Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.53477/1842-9904-23-07
Andi Mihail Băncilă
The creation of autonomous regions on the territory of the union republics of the newly created Soviet state was a practice often used by the communist regime to resubordinate the provinces lost at the end of the First World War. In order to theoretically preserve the chance to integrate the former province of Bessarabia into the new empire during 1924, the new Kremlin leader Joseph Stalin decided to form a republic and a new people, the Moldavian SSR and the Moldavian people distinct from the Romanian one. This decision proved to be catastrophic for the Romanians living in Bessarabia over the next 100 years, who in this way could be forced to link their fate to Russia.
在新成立的苏维埃国家的加盟共和国的领土上建立自治区是共产主义政权经常使用的一种做法,以重新隶属于第一次世界大战结束时失去的省份。为了在理论上保留1924年将前比萨拉比亚省纳入新帝国的机会,新的克里姆林宫领导人约瑟夫·斯大林决定组建一个共和国和一个新的民族,摩尔多瓦苏维埃社会主义共和国和摩尔多瓦人民与罗马尼亚人不同。事实证明,这个决定对生活在比萨拉比亚的罗马尼亚人来说是灾难性的,在接下来的100年里,他们可能被迫将自己的命运与俄罗斯联系在一起。
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引用次数: 0
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Strategic Impact
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