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Red Flags for IPO Downfalls in New Zealand 新西兰IPO下跌的危险信号
Pub Date : 2017-09-11 DOI: 10.1108/MF-05-2017-0197
Huong Dang, Michael Jolly
The strong performance of New Zealand’s equity market and the Government’s efforts to encourage small investors to invest in initial public offering (IPO) firms raises two questions: should retail investors invest in IPO offers and what types of IPOs are worth buying in the long term? The paper aims to discuss these issues.,The authors construct buy and hold equally weighted portfolios of IPOs and peers based on sales forecast, market capitalisation, and price-to-book ratio. The authors employ four benchmark-adjusted performance measures: cumulative average abnormal return (CAR), holding period return difference, wealth relative, and excess return (α).,IPOs underperform their peers over the medium and long term, with a five-year CAR ranging between −6.4 and −19.7 per cent. IPOs listed post-GFC show inferior benchmark-adjusted performance with a statistically significant average monthly CAPM α of −1.07 per cent (vs −0.13 per cent for pre-2009 IPOs). Over a five-year horizon, mature IPOs, IPOs with high market cap, high sales forecast, high leverage, low price-to-book ratio, and positive earnings forecast outperform other IPOs. Small IPOs or those with a small degree of leverage exhibit the worst five-year CAR ranging between −30.2 and −49.1 per cent. Of all IPOs examined, large firms, well-established firms, and value firms achieved positive five-year CARs of between 6.6 and 17.5 per cent.,The results are useful for retail investors and financial advisors in making sensible investment decisions.,This study is the first to utilise book-to-market and sales forecast to construct peer samples and to identify the red flags for IPO downfalls in New Zealand. It covers the longest sample period (1991-2015) in New Zealand’s context.
新西兰股票市场的强劲表现和政府鼓励小型投资者投资首次公开发行(IPO)公司的努力提出了两个问题:散户投资者是否应该投资首次公开发行(IPO)要约?从长远来看,哪些类型的首次公开发行值得购买?本文旨在探讨这些问题。作者根据销售预测、市值和市净率,构建了买入和持有同等权重的ipo和同行投资组合。作者采用了四种基准调整的绩效指标:累积平均异常收益(CAR)、持有期收益差、财富相对和超额收益(α)。在美国,ipo的中长期表现落后于同行,5年的资本收益率在- 6.4%至- 19.7%之间。全球金融危机后上市的ipo表现较差,经基准调整后的月平均资本资产收益率(CAPM α)为- 1.07%(2009年之前的ipo为- 0.13%)。在五年的时间里,成熟的ipo、高市值、高销售预测、高杠杆、低市净率和积极盈利预测的ipo表现优于其他ipo。小型ipo或杠杆程度较低的ipo表现出最差的5年收益率,介于- 30.2%至- 49.1%之间。在所研究的所有ipo中,大型公司、知名公司和价值型公司的5年收益率在6.6%至17.5%之间。研究结果对散户投资者和财务顾问做出明智的投资决策很有用。这项研究首次利用账面市值比和销售预测来构建同行样本,并确定新西兰IPO下跌的危险信号。它涵盖了新西兰最长的样本期(1991-2015)。
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引用次数: 4
Financial Literacy, Broker–Borrower Interaction and Mortgage Default 金融知识,经纪人-借款人互动和抵押贷款违约
Pub Date : 2017-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12140
James N. Conklin
This article examines the relationship between broker–borrower interaction in the origination process and subsequent mortgage performance. I show that face‐to‐face interaction between a mortgage broker and borrower before the loan funds is associated with lower levels of ex postdefault. The relation between face‐to‐face broker–borrower interaction and mortgage performance holds only for borrowers that have characteristics associated with low levels of financial literacy. Specifically, face‐to‐face interaction is negatively related to default for minorities, borrowers located in areas with low levels of education, low‐income borrowers and borrowers with low FICO scores. My results suggest that face‐to‐face interaction between the mortgage broker and borrower may reduce problems associated with financial illiteracy.
本文研究了发起过程中经纪人与借款人的互动与随后的抵押贷款履行之间的关系。我展示了在贷款资金与较低的违约后水平相关联之前,抵押贷款经纪人和借款人之间的面对面互动。face‐ face‐ face broker–借款人互动与抵押贷款绩效之间的关系仅适用于具有与低金融知识水平相关特征的借款人。具体来说,对于少数民族、教育水平低地区的借款人、低收入借款人和FICO分数低的借款人,脸与脸的互动与违约负相关。我的研究结果表明,抵押贷款经纪人和借款人之间的面对面互动可能会减少与金融文盲相关的问题。
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引用次数: 8
Financial Literacy and Money Management Among Tertiary Institution Students. A Study of Selected Universities in Osun-State, Nigeria 高等院校学生的理财知识与理财。对尼日利亚奥松州选定大学的研究
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2996430
Oyınlola M. Akinyede, A. Owolabi, A. Akinola
The study was conducted to determine the relationship between financial literacy and money management (spending, savings, investments and budgeting) among tertiary institution students. Tertiary education is the stage where students are at a decisive time in their lives as they move from financial dependence to financial independence. A good money management skill helps in the transfer of funds from a period of surplus to the period of deficit. Necessary sample size of 385 for the infinite population of tertiary institution students was used. The use of factor analysis was used/justified on the ground that the survey questions were largely based on patterns of behaviour and attitudes, with no ostensible right or wrong answers. Results showed positive significant relationship between all measures of money management and financial literacy. The study gives evidence of students knowledge in personal finances and the importance of a good and viable financial literacy programme so as to improve the quality of life of the young adults and their disposition to money. Results of the study are of interest to policymakers concerned with financial well-being and the balance between personal and institutional responsibility. Targeting financial education programmes on young adults that need them most could increase their effectiveness and proper plan for a better tomorrow.
这项研究旨在确定高等院校学生的财务素养与资金管理(支出、储蓄、投资和预算)之间的关系。高等教育阶段是学生从经济依赖走向经济独立的决定性时期。良好的资金管理技能有助于将资金从盈余时期转移到赤字时期。必要的样本量为385,用于无限的高等院校学生群体。使用因素分析的理由是,调查问题主要基于行为和态度的模式,没有表面上的正确或错误的答案。结果显示,各项理财指标与理财素养之间存在显著正相关关系。这项研究证明了学生在个人理财方面的知识,以及一个良好和可行的理财知识计划的重要性,以提高年轻人的生活质量和他们对金钱的态度。研究结果对关注财务福利和个人与机构责任之间平衡的政策制定者很有兴趣。以最需要理财教育的年轻人为对象,可以提高理财教育的成效,并为更美好的明天作出适当的规划。
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引用次数: 3
Does Financial Literacy Increase Students' Perceived Value of Schooling? 金融知识能提高学生对学校教育的感知价值吗?
Pub Date : 2017-01-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2911865
L. Pesando
Using data from the 2012 Programme for International Students Assessment (PISA) for Italy, this paper investigates whether financial literacy skills play a role in shaping the value that high school students place on schooling. We hypothesize that higher financial literacy may foster students’ awareness of the financial and non-financial benefits of gaining additional education, together with the costs associated with poor school outcomes. We complement OLS estimates with an instrumental variable (IV) approach to recover a plausibly causal effect of financial literacy on the school outcomes of interest, namely (a) truancy and time spent on homework outside of school (time commitment to education), and (b) attitudes towards school (attitudes). Results suggest that higher financial literacy increases students’ perceived value of schooling by boosting their time commitment to education. Conversely, there is no evidence that financial literacy shapes students’ attitudes towards school. We see this finding as consistent with the idea that adolescents’ behavior is easier to measure objectively and reliably than attitudes.
利用2012年意大利国际学生评估项目(PISA)的数据,本文调查了金融素养技能是否在塑造高中生对学校教育的价值方面发挥了作用。我们假设,更高的金融素养可能会培养学生对获得额外教育的经济和非经济利益的认识,以及与学习成绩差相关的成本。我们用工具变量(IV)方法来补充OLS估计,以恢复金融素养对学校成果的合理因果效应,即(a)旷课和课外作业时间(教育时间承诺),以及(b)对学校的态度(态度)。研究结果表明,较高的金融知识水平提高了学生对学校教育的感知价值,从而增加了他们在教育上的时间投入。相反,没有证据表明金融知识会影响学生对学校的态度。我们认为这一发现与青少年的行为比态度更容易客观可靠地衡量的观点是一致的。
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引用次数: 2
Social Transmission of Financial Decision Making Skills. A Case of the Blind Leading the Blind? 金融决策技能的社会传递。盲人给盲人引路?
Pub Date : 2017-01-02 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2891753
Sandro Ambuehl, B. Bernheim, Fulya Y. Ersoy, Donna Harris
Previous research shows that many people seek financial advice from non-experts, and that peer interactions influence financial decisions. We investigate whether such influences are beneficial, harmful, or simply haphazard. In our laboratory experiment, face-to-face commu- nication with a randomly assigned peer significantly improves the quality of private decisions, measured by subjects’ ability to choose as if they properly understand their opportunity sets. Subjects do not merely mimic those who know better, but also make better private decisions in novel tasks. People with low financial competence experience greater improvements when their partners also exhibit low financial competence. Hence, peer-to-peer communication transmits financial decision making skills most effectively when peers are equally uninformed, rather than when an informed decision maker teaches an uninformed peer. Qualitative analysis of subjects’ discussions supports this interpretation. The provision of effective financial education to one member of a pair influences the nature of communication but but does not lead to additional improvements in the quality of the untreated partner’s decisions, particularly in novel tasks.
先前的研究表明,许多人从非专家那里寻求财务建议,而同伴之间的互动会影响财务决策。我们调查这些影响是有益的,有害的,还是只是偶然的。在我们的实验室实验中,与随机分配的同伴面对面交流显著提高了私人决策的质量,这是通过受试者的选择能力来衡量的,就好像他们正确地理解了他们的机会集。实验对象不仅模仿那些懂得更多的人,而且在新任务中也能做出更好的个人决定。当他们的伴侣也表现出较低的财务能力时,财务能力较低的人会有更大的改善。因此,点对点交流最有效地传递金融决策技能的时候,是同伴们同样不知情的时候,而不是一个知情的决策者教一个不知情的同伴的时候。对受试者讨论的定性分析支持这一解释。向一对中的一个成员提供有效的财务教育会影响沟通的性质,但不会导致未经治疗的伙伴决策质量的进一步改善,特别是在新任务中。
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引用次数: 4
Financial Literacy and Pension Planning – A Comparative Study for Austria and Switzerland 金融素养与养老金规划——奥地利与瑞士的比较研究
Pub Date : 2016-12-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2892726
Tatjana Aubram, Monika Kovarova-Simecek, Gabrielle Wanzenried
This paper analyzes the impacts of financial literacy on pension planning in Austria and Switzerland. Based on survey data of 442 individuals, we explain the pension planning behavior by the level of financial literacy as well as other relevant person- and country-specific characteristics considering in particular the differences between the Austrian and the Swiss population in terms of financial literacy, contextual and socio-demographic aspects. Our results show that higher financial literacy has a clear positive impact on the level of pension planning, whereas the Swiss population is demonstrated to be more financially literate and thus better prepared for the retirement than Austrians. The same holds for elder people compared to the younger persons and men compared to women in our sample. Overall, our results provide some potentially interesting insights on the impacts of institutional differences and financial literacy on pension planning and appear to be highly relevant in light of demographic and system changes as well as the micro- and macro-economic relevance of pension savings in both countries.
本文分析了金融素养对奥地利和瑞士养老金计划的影响。基于442个人的调查数据,我们通过金融知识水平以及其他相关的个人和国家特征来解释养老金规划行为,特别是考虑到奥地利和瑞士人口在金融知识、背景和社会人口方面的差异。我们的研究结果表明,较高的金融知识对养老金计划水平有明显的积极影响,而瑞士人口被证明具有更高的金融知识,因此比奥地利人更好地为退休做准备。在我们的样本中,老年人与年轻人的对比,男性与女性的对比也是如此。总体而言,我们的研究结果提供了一些关于制度差异和金融素养对养老金规划的影响的潜在有趣见解,并且鉴于两国的人口和制度变化以及养老金储蓄的微观和宏观经济相关性,我们的研究结果似乎高度相关。
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引用次数: 1
Product Design and Financial Literacy 产品设计和金融知识
Pub Date : 2016-09-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2842004
Kingsley Jones
The responsible design of financial products is a topic of increasing regulatory interest (ASIC, 2014). The issues range from the performance and risks of complex financial instruments, to the marketing and advertising of products to consumers (OECD, 2013). In this research, the relationship of financial literacy to product design is examined in the context of known behavioural finance anomalies. The choice of words used to position a product on the risk-reward spectrum is examined in the context of complex financial products. The study employs semiotic analysis, a method originally from literary criticism, which is now applied to consumer choice (Mick, 1986), advertising (Adams & Garcia, 2007) and the analysis of messaging in audit reports (Hronsky, 1998) and credit risk (Bonne, 2011). This paper finds evidence of a misleading framing of risk and reward in the advertising for binary options. Our recommendation is to consider tighter guidelines on the use of language like investments, when dealing with instruments which are clearly speculative, with the financial properties of gambles.
金融产品的负责任设计是监管部门日益关注的一个话题(ASIC, 2014)。问题范围从复杂金融工具的性能和风险,到产品的营销和广告消费者(经合组织,2013)。在本研究中,金融素养与产品设计的关系是在已知的行为金融异常的背景下进行检验的。在复杂的金融产品的背景下,用于定位产品在风险-回报谱上的词的选择被检查。该研究采用了符号学分析,这是一种最初来自文学批评的方法,现在应用于消费者选择(Mick, 1986),广告(Adams & Garcia, 2007)和审计报告中的信息分析(Hronsky, 1998)和信用风险(Bonne, 2011)。本文发现了二元期权广告中风险和回报的误导框架的证据。我们的建议是,在处理带有赌博金融属性的明显投机性工具时,考虑制定更严格的指导方针,以使用“投资”之类的语言。
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引用次数: 0
Current Estimates and Problems of Financial Literacy Measurement in the World Practice 世界实践中财务素养测量的现状估计及问题
Pub Date : 2016-09-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2841187
E. Khudko
In recent years, the problem of low level of financial literacy of the population has become evident in many countries. On the one hand, it leads to a slowdown in the retail financial segment, on the other hand, it could trigger instability in the financial market. In an attempt to solve this problem, authorities of different countries have begun to develop national strategies on improving financial literacy. The starting point for working on the strategy is assessing the current level of financial knowledge among the population. However, an overview of existing approaches to assessing financial literacy of the population shows that a variety of methods is used worldwide and research is conducted unsystematically, making it difficult to monitor financial literacy at the national level and make international comparative analysis.
近年来,在许多国家,人口金融知识水平低的问题已经变得明显。一方面,这将导致零售金融领域的发展放缓,另一方面,这可能引发金融市场的不稳定。为了解决这一问题,各国当局开始制定提高金融素养的国家战略。制定这一战略的出发点是评估人们目前的金融知识水平。然而,对评估人口金融素养的现有方法的概述表明,世界范围内使用的方法多种多样,研究没有系统地进行,因此很难在国家一级监测金融素养并进行国际比较分析。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Literacy, Pension Planning, and Investment Behavior - A Comparative Study between Austria and Switzerland 金融知识、养老金计划与投资行为——奥地利与瑞士的比较研究
Pub Date : 2016-09-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2834869
Tatjana Aubram, Monika Kovarova-Simecek, Gabrielle Wanzenried
This paper analyzes the impacts of financial literacy on the investment and pension planning behavior in Austria and Switzerland. Based on survey data of 449 individuals from Austria and Switzerland, we first analyze which socio-demographic and country-specific factors determine financial literacy. In a second step, we explain the investment and pension planning behavior by the level of financial literacy as well as other relevant person- and country-specific characteristics. In particular, we investigate differences between the Austrian and the Swiss with respect to financial literacy and the respective pension system and derive potential impacts on the pension planning and investment behavior of the population. Our results show a higher level of financial literacy in Switzerland compared to Austria, and the difference is even larger for the factual compared to the self-assessed financial literacy. Also women are less financially literate than men. A higher financial literacy has a clear positive impact on the level of pension planning, whereas the effect of the self-assessed financial literacy is stronger than the impact of the factual one. Swiss people seem to care more about pension planning compared to Austrians, and the same holds for elder people compared to the younger persons in our sample. Overall, our results provide some potentially interesting insights on the impacts of institutional differences on pension planning, investment and information behavior.
本文分析了奥地利和瑞士金融素养对投资和养老金计划行为的影响。基于来自奥地利和瑞士的449个人的调查数据,我们首先分析了哪些社会人口和国家特定因素决定了金融素养。在第二步中,我们通过金融知识水平以及其他相关的个人和国家特征来解释投资和养老金计划行为。特别是,我们调查了奥地利和瑞士在金融知识和各自养老金制度方面的差异,并得出了对人口养老金计划和投资行为的潜在影响。我们的研究结果显示,与奥地利相比,瑞士的金融素养水平更高,而事实与自我评估的金融素养相比,差异甚至更大。此外,女性的财务知识也不如男性。较高的财务素养对养老金规划水平有明显的正向影响,而自我评估财务素养的影响强于事实性财务素养的影响。与奥地利人相比,瑞士人似乎更关心养老金计划,在我们的样本中,老年人与年轻人相比也是如此。总体而言,我们的研究结果为制度差异对养老金计划、投资和信息行为的影响提供了一些潜在的有趣见解。
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引用次数: 3
Financial Literacy and Urban Indian Youth 金融知识和印度城市青年
Pub Date : 2015-10-20 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2677261
L. Kode, Srajan Agadi, T. Pawar
This Project is a research on the status of Financial Literacy in India. We have looked at the Young Urban Population in India using Primary Data collected with the help of questionnaire. We have observed that income and education levels have high correlation with financial literacy, which leads to participation in financial markets. While Investor Education Programs and instruments like Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have been of help to increase involvement of people from lower income groups, much can done to improve the effectiveness of these programs.
本项目是对印度金融素养现状的研究。我们使用问卷调查收集的原始数据来研究印度的年轻城市人口。我们观察到,收入和教育水平与金融素养有很高的相关性,从而导致参与金融市场。虽然投资者教育计划和系统投资计划(SIPs)等工具有助于增加低收入群体的参与,但要提高这些计划的有效性还有很多工作要做。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Household Financial Planning eJournal
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