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Indirect Tax Burden of Regional Residents: Study on Long Term MRIO Model 区域居民间接税负担:基于长期MRIO模型的研究
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-568-16
Wei Xi, Yingqin Nie, Xiran Cheng
Abstract Investigating the indirect tax burden of residents is an important way of understanding the effect of tax on income distribution and the tax burden transfer. In this paper, a long term MRIO model is constructed by using the regional input-output tables in China. We simulate the flow of value-added tax, consumption tax and business tax in different departments of 30 provinces (except Tibet) in mainland China from the perspective of rows in the IO table, we obtain the real burden of three indirect taxes on urban residents, and discuss the transfer of tax burden among regions. The conclusions are as follows: There are large differences in tax burden among regions. The real tax burden shifted from the eastern region to the middle and the western regions. Indirect tax aggravates the income inequality of urban residents in different regions. The indirect tax in China has a certain degree of regression. Based on the empirical analysis, we think the government should make the following policy changes: 1) Giving more consideration to the consumption terminals; 2) Adjusting preferential policies of regional taxation; 3) Increasing the amount of preferential policies for the western region.
摘要调查居民间接税负是理解税收对收入分配和税负转移影响的重要途径。本文利用中国的区域投入产出表,构建了一个长期的MRIO模型。我们从IO表的行数角度模拟了中国大陆30个省(西藏除外)的增值税、消费税和营业税在不同部门的流动情况,得到了三种间接税对城镇居民的真实负担,并讨论了税负在地区间的转移。研究结果表明:地区间税负存在较大差异。实际税负由东部地区向中西部地区转移。间接税加剧了不同地区城镇居民的收入不平等。中国间接税存在一定程度的回归。基于实证分析,我们认为政府应该做出以下政策调整:1)给予消费终端更多的考虑;2)调整区域税收优惠政策;3)加大对西部地区的优惠政策力度。
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引用次数: 0
Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus in Bangladesh 孟加拉国的能源消费与经济增长关系
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-497-13
S. Sarker, Shouyang Wang, K. Adnan
Abstract The empirical investigation that examines the dynamics including the interaction between consumption of energy and economic progress has long been assessed. However, the interaction of these two in developing countries in general and Bangladesh, in particular, is a less explored subject. Hence, with this notion, this study examined the causal relationship among economic growth and energy consumption in Bangladesh. For this purpose, the study used energy consumption, gross domestic product (GDP), labor force, and capital data from 1981 to 2017 from different sources and data is analyzed by augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test, Johansen co-integration test and Granger test of causality. Results determine that energy consumption and economic growth have long term bi-directional relationship. The econometric model is estimated using generalized least squares (GLS) model. It is concluded that, consumption of energy and economic growth positively correlated and economic development highly depend on energy consumption in Bangladesh.
长期以来,研究能源消费与经济发展之间相互作用等动态的实证研究一直受到重视。然而,这两者在发展中国家的相互作用,特别是在孟加拉国,是一个较少探讨的主题。因此,根据这一概念,本研究考察了孟加拉国经济增长与能源消耗之间的因果关系。为此,本研究采用1981 - 2017年不同来源的能源消费、国内生产总值(GDP)、劳动力和资本数据,并采用增强型Dickey-Fuller (ADF)单位根检验、约翰森协整检验和格兰杰因果检验对数据进行分析。结果表明,能源消费与经济增长之间存在长期的双向关系。采用广义最小二乘(GLS)模型对计量经济模型进行估计。得出的结论是,能源消费与经济增长正相关,孟加拉国经济发展高度依赖能源消费。
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引用次数: 16
Study on the Performance Evaluation of Expatriate Technician in Multinational Corporations 跨国公司外派技术人员绩效评价研究
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-462-12
Rixiao Cui, Juanru Wang, Yu Zhang
Abstract Performance evaluation of expatriate technicians is an important way for multinational corporations to effectively manage their expatriate technicians, which is crucial to the technological innovation of multinational corporations. This paper designs the performance evaluation index system of expatriate technicians, which includes work efficiency, professional competence, work attitude, and personal traits. Then, based on the C-POWA operator, the evaluation method of expatriate technicians is put forward. Lastly, using the index and method of evaluation of expatriate technician, four expatriate technicians’ performance are evaluated, and the results reveal that the index and method we put forward are scientific and practical.
外派技术人员绩效评价是跨国公司有效管理外派技术人员的重要途径,对跨国公司的技术创新至关重要。本文设计了外派技术人员的绩效评价指标体系,包括工作效率、专业能力、工作态度和个人特质。然后,基于C-POWA算子,提出了对外派技术人员的评价方法。最后,运用外派技术人员绩效评价指标和方法,对4名外派技术人员绩效进行了评价,结果表明所提出的指标和方法具有科学性和实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Technological Innovation, Regional Heterogeneity and Marine Economic Development — Analysis of Empirical Data Based on China’s Coastal Provinces and Cities 技术创新、区域异质性与海洋经济发展——基于中国沿海省市的实证数据分析
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-437-15
Dongling Zhang, Weili Fan, Jingshuai Chen
Abstract In order to analyze the impact of technological innovation and regional differences in marine economy on the development of marine economy, the paper uses the regional panel data of China’s total marine production value from 2006 to 2015, and uses the Theil index to measure regional differences in the marine economy based on the logarithm of the Cobb-Douglas production function. Finally, the paper establishes a random effect panel data model for empirical analysis. The research indicates that the regional differences in the marine economy show a narrowing trend, which promotes or inhibits the development of the marine economy; The extent of the impact of regional differences in the marine economy on the development of the marine economy is inconsistent; Scientific and technological innovation in various regions has promoted the development of marine economy.
摘要为了分析技术创新和海洋经济区域差异对海洋经济发展的影响,本文利用2006 - 2015年中国海洋总产值的区域面板数据,基于Cobb-Douglas生产函数的对数,采用Theil指数衡量海洋经济的区域差异。最后,本文建立了随机效应面板数据模型进行实证分析。研究表明,海洋经济区域差异呈缩小趋势,促进或抑制海洋经济的发展;海洋经济区域差异对海洋经济发展的影响程度不一致;各地科技创新促进了海洋经济的发展。
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引用次数: 3
An Extended Grey Model GM(1, 1, exp(bk)) and Its Application in Chinese Civil Air Passenger Volume Prediction 扩展灰色模型GM(1,1, exp(bk))及其在中国民航客运量预测中的应用
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-486-11
M. Cheng, Guojun Shi, Yun Han
Abstract In grey models, GM(1, 1) is an important prediction model. The grey model GM(1, 1) has good prediction results in the case original data change exponentially at a low speed. However in practical cases sometimes, original data show exponential changes or approximately exponential changes change at a high speed. In these cases, the grey model GM(1, 1) has poor prediction results because the data fail to meet the laws of traditional model. Therefore, the paper proposes an extended grey model GM(1, 1, ebk) and its modeling method. In the final section, the paper builds grey models of GM(1, 1, ebk) for a practical problem and the results show the grey model proposed has greatly improved simulation and prediction accuracy compared with the traditional model.
在灰色模型中,GM(1,1)是一个重要的预测模型。灰色模型GM(1,1)在原始数据呈指数级低速变化的情况下具有较好的预测效果。但在实际情况中,有时原始数据呈指数级或近似指数级高速变化。在这种情况下,灰色模型GM(1,1)的预测效果较差,因为数据不符合传统模型的规律。为此,本文提出了一种扩展灰色模型GM(1,1, ebk)及其建模方法。最后,本文针对一个实际问题建立了GM(1,1, ebk)的灰色模型,结果表明,与传统模型相比,所提出的灰色模型的仿真和预测精度有了很大的提高。
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引用次数: 8
Coupling Degree Evaluation of China’s Internet Financial Ecosystem Based on Entropy Method and Principal Component Analysis 基于熵法和主成分分析的中国互联网金融生态系统耦合度评价
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-399-23
Rongxi Zhou, Yahui Xiong, Ning Wang, Xizu Wang
Abstract This paper attempts to evaluate the coordinated development state of the subsystems within the internet financial ecosystem in China from 2011 to 2016. Focusing on the main business modes, technological innovation, and the external environment, we select 29 indicators to construct an index system and adopt a coupling coordination degree model for evaluation. Furthermore, we use two weight calculation methods, entropy weight and principal component analysis, to ensure the robustness of the results. The empirical results show that China’s internet financial ecosystem experienced five development stages from 2011 to 2016, which are moderate disorder, near disorder, weak coordination, intermediate coordination, and good coordination. Different methods of obtaining weights have little effect on the empirical results. These findings suggest that at the beginning, the coordinated development of China’s internet financial ecosystem was hindered by factors including the scarcity of main business modes and the defect of technological innovation; then, with the rapid development of China’s internet industry, the external environment became another drawback in coordinated development. Finally, based on the findings, we give some policy recommendations from a global perspective to achieve a sustainable internet financial ecosystem.
摘要本文试图对2011 - 2016年中国互联网金融生态系统各子系统的协调发展状态进行评价。围绕企业的主要经营模式、技术创新和外部环境三个方面,选取29个指标构建指标体系,采用耦合协调度模型进行评价。此外,我们使用了熵权和主成分分析两种权重计算方法来保证结果的稳健性。实证结果表明,2011 - 2016年,中国互联网金融生态系统经历了中度无序、接近无序、弱协调、中间协调、良好协调五个发展阶段。不同的权重获取方法对实证结果影响不大。研究结果表明,中国互联网金融生态系统的协调发展在起步阶段受到主要商业模式缺乏和技术创新不足等因素的阻碍;然后,随着中国互联网产业的快速发展,外部环境成为协调发展的另一个不利因素。最后,基于研究结果,从全球视角提出了实现可持续互联网金融生态系统的政策建议。
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引用次数: 2
Strategies for Construction of Majors in Universities with Different Characteristic Based on Social Needs 基于社会需求的高校特色专业建设策略
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-474-12
Xiuli Tan, Zhongquan Chen, Xin-Yang Liu, Peter Deeney, Zhisong Chen
Abstract We used the basic principles of game theory to investigate development strategies for standards of professional competence in universities in the same geographic area, under conditions of non-uniform distribution of social demand preference. The results revealed that, under various conditions in our model, different approaches for differential strategies were selected by university U2 compared with university U1. Specifically, in the competition between U1 and U2, there is a differential strategy compression point of U2 to U1; When U2 universities choose the biggest differentiation strategy, university U1 also have differentiated strategy control points. Arbitrary decision-making of university U1 in relation to university U2 was based on the requirements of professional competence standards, according to the change of the social demand for professional competency standard, universities U2 will adopt the strategy of “no difference”, “maximum differentiation” and “comprehensive intermediate strategy”, respectively. The current results have theoretical implications for the selection of professional development and professional competence development strategies in asymmetric universities operating in the same geographic area.
摘要本文运用博弈论的基本原理,研究了在社会需求偏好不均匀分布条件下,同一地理区域内高校专业能力标准的发展策略。结果表明,在我们的模型中,在不同的条件下,U2大学与U1大学选择了不同的差异化策略方法。具体来说,在U1与U2的竞争中,存在U2对U1的差分策略压缩点;当U2大学选择最大差异化战略时,U1大学也有差异化战略控制点。大学U1对大学U2的任意决策是基于专业能力标准的要求,根据社会对专业能力标准需求的变化,大学U2将分别采取“无差异”策略、“最大差异化”策略和“综合中间策略”。研究结果对同一地理区域内非对称高校专业发展和专业能力发展战略的选择具有一定的理论意义。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Tracking Control for Discrete-time Systems with Time-delay Based on the Preview Control Method 基于预览控制方法的离散时滞系统最优跟踪控制
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-452-10
Haishan Xu, Fu-cheng Liao
Abstract In this paper, the optimal tracking control problem for discrete-time with state and input delays is studied based on the preview control method. First, a transformation is introduced. Thus, the system is transformed into a non-delayed system and the tracking problem of the time-delay system is transformed into the regulation problem of a non-delayed system via processing of the reference signal. Then, by applying the preview control theory, an augmented system for the non-delayed system is derived, and a controller with preview function is designed, assuming that the reference signal is previewable. Finally, the optimal control law of the augmented error system and the optimal control law of the original system are obtained by letting the preview length of the reference signal go to zero.
摘要本文研究了基于预瞄控制方法的具有状态和输入时滞的离散时间系统最优跟踪控制问题。首先,介绍一个转换。这样,通过对参考信号的处理,将时滞系统的跟踪问题转化为非延迟系统的调节问题。然后,应用预瞄控制理论,推导了非延迟系统的增广系统,并在参考信号可预瞄的前提下设计了具有预瞄功能的控制器。最后,通过使参考信号的预览长度趋近于零,得到增广误差系统的最优控制律和原系统的最优控制律。
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引用次数: 0
A Two-factor Model of Intra-industry Trade: A Demonstration of Robustness of Krugman’s (1980) Model 产业内贸易的双因素模型:克鲁格曼(1980)模型的稳健性论证
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-422-15
Lianjie Duan
Abstract Using Cobb-Douglas production function with increasing returns to scale, this paper presents an intra-industry trade model which contains two factors, capital and labor. Thus, this paper extends Krugman’s (1980) single-factor model to a two-factor model with the entry cost. Firstly, an equilibrium analysis of closed economy is carried out. After the condition of existence and uniqueness of equilibrium is obtained, the analytic solutions are given. Secondly, it provides an analysis on trade effects. The results show that, under setup of symmetry among firms, the intra-industry trade can only enable consumers to benefit from product diversification without making firms achieve economies of scale. Obviously, this conclusion is consistent with Krugman (1980), which thus indicates robustness of Krugman’s (1980) model.
摘要利用规模报酬递增的柯布-道格拉斯生产函数,提出了一个包含资本和劳动两个要素的产业内贸易模型。因此,本文将克鲁格曼(1980)的单因素模型扩展为具有进入成本的双因素模型。首先,对封闭经济进行了均衡分析。在得到平衡的存在唯一性条件后,给出了其解析解。其次,对贸易效应进行了分析。研究结果表明,在企业间对称设置下,产业内贸易只能使消费者从产品多样化中获益,而不能使企业实现规模经济。显然,这一结论与克鲁格曼(1980)的结论是一致的,从而表明了克鲁格曼(1980)模型的稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Rumor Spreading Model with Time Delay and Control Effect 具有时滞和控制效应的谣言传播模型研究
Pub Date : 2019-09-25 DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2019-373-17
H. Yao, Y. Zou
Abstract Information flow retains a critical role in decision making among investors. In this paper, we employ a diffusion model based on epidemiology theory to study the rumor spreading process within investors. The paper introduce the feedback mechanism of classical control theory into the model, which helps to reflect the interaction between rumor spreaders and information supervision. Further we apply a time delay factor to give investors access to transparent information and change their behavior. Subsequently, the stability of the rumor disappearance equilibrium and the rumor existence equilibrium are analyzed and the condition for the system undergoes a Hopf-bifurcation is given. The mathematical arguments are subjected to numerical simulations to present the ideal case scenarios. The results suggest that, increase the general strength of information supervision and the proportion coefficient associated with the infected population in the short-term delay are conducive to better control.
信息流在投资者决策过程中起着至关重要的作用。本文采用基于流行病学理论的扩散模型来研究谣言在投资者内部的传播过程。本文在模型中引入了经典控制论的反馈机制,有助于反映谣言传播者与信息监督之间的相互作用。此外,我们还应用了一个时间延迟因子,使投资者能够获得透明的信息并改变他们的行为。然后,分析了谣言消失均衡和谣言存在均衡的稳定性,给出了系统发生hopf分岔的条件。通过数值模拟来呈现理想的情况。结果表明,加大信息监管的总体力度,提高感染人群在短期内的相关比例系数,有利于更好地控制疫情。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Journal of Systems Science and Information
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