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Effects of household debts and tax burdens on housing purchase decision 家庭债务和税收负担对住房购买决策的影响
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2022.7.1.5
B. Jun, Nara Park
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引用次数: 1
Investigating the housing market volatility through the lens of individual house price distribution 从个体房价分布的角度考察房地产市场波动
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2022.7.1.27
B. Min
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引用次数: 1
Effects of millennials’ lifestyle on the rent of studio apartments in Seoul 千禧一代的生活方式对首尔一室公寓租金的影响
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2022.7.1.65
Cheulhee Park, M. Kang
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引用次数: 0
Frequency domain analysis to detect common cycle in housing price and trading volume 频域分析,发现共同周期的房价和交易量
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2021.6.2.53
Seungryul Ma
주택가격과 주택거래량의 움직임에는 장기적인 사이클이 존재하는 것으로 알려져 있다. 따라서 이들 시계열의 사이클간에는 밀접한 관련성이 있을 것으로 추정해 볼 수 있다. 그러나 이들 시계열에 내재되어 있는 공통적인 사이클 성분을 분석하고, 공통적 사이클 하에서의 밀접한 관련성에 대하여 분석한 연구는 아직까지 찾아보기 어렵다. 본 연구는 이들 시계열간의 선후행관계를 시간영역에서의 방법론을 이용하여 분석한 선행연구들과는 달리 빈도영역에서의 분석법인 스펙트럴분석법을 이용하여 이들 시계열에 내재되어 있는 순환주기 특성을 분 석하였다. 아울러 시간영역에서의 분석법을 이용한 분석결과와 비교하기 위한 목적으로 양 시계열의 사이클 예 측에 VAR(p)모형에 의한 분석도 병행하였다. 본 연구의 분석결과에 의하면 공통적인 순환주기 하에서 주택거 래량이 주택가격의 변화에 조금 선행하는 움직임을 가지고 있음을 확인할 수 있었다. 사이클 예측치는 주택가 격이 장기적인 상향추이를 가지고 있는 상황에서 2019년도 이후에는 거래량이 감소하면서 주택가격상승률이 둔화되지만 2020년도 말 이후에는 거래량과 주택가격상승률이 다시 빠르게 상승하는 국면으로 전환될 것이라 는 예측결과를 보여주었다. 궁극적으로 시간영역에서의 분석과 빈도영역에서의 분석을 동시에 시행하여 이들 분석결과를 함께 이용한다면 미래 사이클의 예측에 대한 합리성을 높일 수 있을 것이다. 주제어: 공통 사이클, 주택가격, 거래량, 스펙트럴분석, 조화분석 * 손사경영연구소 소장, E-mail: samhan12@hanmail.net © Copyright 2021 Korea Housing & Urban Guarantee Corporation. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
据悉,住宅价格和住宅交易量的动向存在长期的周期。因此可以推测这些时间序列的周期之间有密切的关联。但是到目前为止,还很难找到对这些时间序列内在的共同周期成分进行分析,对共同周期下的密切关联性进行分析的研究。与利用时间领域的方法论分析这些时间序列之间先后关系的先行研究不同,本研究利用频谱分析法分析了这些时间序列内在的循环周期特性。同时,为了与时间领域中利用分析法的分析结果进行比较,在两个时间序列的周期预报方面,同时进行了VAR(p)模型的分析。本研究的分析结果表明,在共同的循环周期下,住宅交易量具有略微先于住宅价格变化的动向。自行车预测值的住宅区,有长期向上趋势的情况下,2019年度以后,成交量减少,住宅价格涨幅放缓,但2020年年末以后,成交量和房价涨幅再次迅速上升的局面将会转换为树立了预测结果。最终,如果同时进行时间领域的分析和频率领域的分析,并利用这些分析结果,就可以提高对未来周期预测的合理性。关键词:共同周期,住宅价格,交易量,光谱分析,协调分析*孙思经营研究所所长,E-mail: samhan12@hanmail.net©Copyright 2021 Korea Housing & Urban Guarantee Corporation。this is an open access article distributed under the terms of the creative creativecommons attribution non - commercial license (http: / /听说过。org / licenses / by - nc / 4.0 /) which permits unrestrictednon-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited。
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引用次数: 0
Rent affordability by life cycle stage and effect of public housing rent loan in South Korea 生命周期阶段的租金负担能力及韩国公共住房租金贷款的效果
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2021.6.2.33
Byung S. Min, In-hong Baek
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引用次数: 0
A structural break in Korean rental housing market 韩国租赁住宅市场的结构性断裂
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2021.6.2.23
S. You
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引用次数: 0
A study on the virtuous cycle structure between real estate income and aseets 房地产收入与资产之间的良性循环结构研究
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2021.6.2.5
Daehwan Kim
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引用次数: 0
Housing price volatility and timing of housing supply in pre-sale market 预售市场房价波动与住房供应时机
Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.38100/JHUF.2020.5.2.5
K. Ji
This study examined whether the real option is implemented in the housing supply market where houses are available for sale at the time of construction. The Cox Proportional Hazard Model was used to investigate whether real options are implemented between permits and commencements and subsequently between commencements and completions after deriving the uncertainty variable of the housing market through a GARCH model. The study found that builders alter their exercise rate of permits with the latest information on housing-market conditions. The empirical analysis supports what theoretical literature and previous studies have concluded, that real options are essential in justifying irreversible investments such as housing supply. In particular, the time of starts was observed to be a crucial time in investment decision-making in a market where large-scale houses are sold in advance before construction. The results of this study imply that it is necessary for policy responses to minimize the uncertainty of the housing market such that housing builders can provide stable housing.
本研究考察了在房屋建造时可供出售的住房供应市场是否实施了实物期权。通过GARCH模型推导出住房市场的不确定性变量后,使用Cox比例风险模型来研究是否在许可和开工之间以及随后在开工和完工之间实施实物期权。该研究发现,建筑商会根据住房市场状况的最新信息调整许可证的执行率。实证分析支持了理论文献和先前研究的结论,即实物期权在证明住房供应等不可逆转投资的合理性方面至关重要。特别是,在大规模住宅在开工前预售的情况下,开工时间是投资决策的关键时刻。研究结果表明,政策应对应尽量减少住房市场的不确定性,使住房建筑商能够提供稳定的住房。
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引用次数: 0
Financial crisis and mortgage consumer protection 金融危机与抵押消费者保护
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2020.5.1.135
S. You
{"title":"Financial crisis and mortgage consumer protection","authors":"S. You","doi":"10.38100/jhuf.2020.5.1.135","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.38100/jhuf.2020.5.1.135","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":258509,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing and Urban Finance","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124382400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development strategy of untact service for housing and urban finance using 4th Industrial Revolution technology 基于第四次工业革命技术的非接触式住房服务与城市金融发展战略
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.38100/jhuf.2020.5.1.23
Ki-Nam Park
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of Housing and Urban Finance
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