首页 > 最新文献

Climate of The Past Discussions最新文献

英文 中文
Age and driving mechanisms of the Eocene-Oligocene Transition from astronomical tuning of a lacustrine record (Rennes Basin, France) 从湖泊记录的天文校正看始新世—渐新世过渡的年龄和驱动机制
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-46
S. Boulila, G. Dupont‐Nivet, B. Galbrun, H. Bauer, J. Chateauneuf
Abstract. The Eocene-Oligocene Transition (EOT) marks the onset of the Antarctic glaciation and the switch from greenhouse to icehouse climates. However, the driving mechanisms and the precise timing of the EOT remain controversial mostly due to the lack of well-dated stratigraphic records, especially in continental environments. Here we present a cyclo-magnetostratigraphic and sedimentological study of a ∼7.6 Myr-long lacustrine record spanning the late Eocene to the earliest Oligocene, from a drill-core in the Rennes Basin (France). Time-series analysis of natural gamma-ray (NGR) log data shows evidence of Milankovitch cycle bands. In particular, the 405 kyr stable eccentricity is expressed with strong amplitudes. Astronomical calibration to this 405 kyr periodicity yields duration estimates of Chrons C12r through C16n.1n, providing additional constraints on the middle–early Eocene timescale. Correlations between the orbital eccentricity curve and the 405 kyr tuned NGR time series and assumptions on their phase relationships, enable to test previously proposed ages for the EO boundary, indicating that 33.71 and 34.10 Ma are the most likely. Additionally, the 405 kyr tuning calibrates the most pronounced NGR cyclicity to a period of ∼1 Myr matching the g1-g5 eccentricity term. Such cyclicity has been recorded in other continental records, pointing to its significant expression in continental depositional environments. The record of g1-g5 and sometimes g2-g5 eccentricity terms in previously acquired sedimentary facies proxies in CDB1 core led us to hypothesize that the paleolake level may have behaved as a lowpass filter for orbital forcing. Two prominent changes in the sedimentary facies were detected across the EOT, which are temporally equivalent to the two main climatic steps, EOT-1 and Oi-1. Combined with previously acquired geochemical (δ15Norg, TOC), mineralogical (Quartz, clays) and pollen assemblage proxies from CDB1, we suggest that these two facies changes reflect the two major Antarctic cooling/glacial phases via the hydrological cycle, as significant shifts to drier and cooler climate conditions, thus supporting the stepwise nature of the EOT. Remarkably, a strongly dominant obliquity expressed in the latest Eocene corresponds in time to the interval from the EOT precursor glacial event till the EOT-1. We interpret the obliquity dominance as reflecting preconditioning phases for the onset of the major Antarctic glaciation, either from its direct impact on the formation/(in)stability of the incipient Antactic Ice Sheet (AIS), or through its modulation of the North Atlantic Deep Water production given the North Atlantic coastal location of the CDB1 site.
摘要始新世-渐新世过渡(EOT)标志着南极冰川的开始和温室气候向冰窖气候的转变。然而,EOT的驱动机制和精确时间仍然存在争议,主要是由于缺乏准确的地层记录,特别是在大陆环境中。在这里,我们对法国雷恩盆地(Rennes Basin)的钻孔岩心进行了一项约7.6 myr长的湖泊记录的旋回磁地表学和沉积学研究,该记录跨越始新世晚期至渐新世早期。自然伽马(NGR)测井资料的时间序列分析显示了米兰科维奇旋回带的证据。特别是,405 kyr的稳定偏心率用强振幅表示。对这405 kyr周期的天文校准得出了C12r到C16n周期的持续时间估计。1n,为始新世中早期的时间尺度提供了额外的约束。轨道偏心率曲线与405kyr调整后的NGR时间序列的相关性及其相位关系的假设,可以验证之前提出的EO边界年龄,表明33.71和34.10 Ma是最有可能的。此外,405 kyr调谐将最明显的NGR旋回校准到与g1-g5偏心项相匹配的~ 1 Myr周期。这种旋回作用在其他大陆记录中也有记载,表明其在大陆沉积环境中的重要表现。CDB1岩心沉积相代用物中g1-g5,有时g2-g5偏心率项的记录使我们推测古湖泊水平可能是轨道强迫的低通过滤器。在EOT-1和Oi-1两个主要气候阶段上,发现了两个显著的沉积相变化。结合CDB1的地球化学(δ15Norg, TOC)、矿物学(石英,粘土)和花粉组合指标,我们认为这两个相的变化反映了通过水循环的两个主要的南极冷却/冰期,作为气候条件向干燥和凉爽的显著转变,从而支持了EOT的逐步性质。值得注意的是,始新世晚期表现出的强烈主导倾角在时间上对应于始新世前期冰川事件至始新世1期的时间间隔。我们将倾角优势解释为反映了主要南极冰川开始的预处理阶段,或者从它对早期南极冰盖(AIS)的形成/稳定性的直接影响,或者通过它对北大西洋深水生产的调节(考虑到CDB1站点的北大西洋沿海位置)。
{"title":"Age and driving mechanisms of the Eocene-Oligocene Transition from astronomical tuning of a lacustrine record (Rennes Basin, France)","authors":"S. Boulila, G. Dupont‐Nivet, B. Galbrun, H. Bauer, J. Chateauneuf","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-46","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-46","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The Eocene-Oligocene Transition (EOT) marks the onset of the Antarctic glaciation and the switch from greenhouse to icehouse climates. However, the driving mechanisms and the precise timing of the EOT remain controversial mostly due to the lack of well-dated stratigraphic records, especially in continental environments. Here we present a cyclo-magnetostratigraphic and sedimentological study of a ∼7.6 Myr-long lacustrine record spanning the late Eocene to the earliest Oligocene, from a drill-core in the Rennes Basin (France). Time-series analysis of natural gamma-ray (NGR) log data shows evidence of Milankovitch cycle bands. In particular, the 405 kyr stable eccentricity is expressed with strong amplitudes. Astronomical calibration to this 405 kyr periodicity yields duration estimates of Chrons C12r through C16n.1n, providing additional constraints on the middle–early Eocene timescale. Correlations between the orbital eccentricity curve and the 405 kyr tuned NGR time series and assumptions on their phase relationships, enable to test previously proposed ages for the EO boundary, indicating that 33.71 and 34.10 Ma are the most likely. Additionally, the 405 kyr tuning calibrates the most pronounced NGR cyclicity to a period of ∼1 Myr matching the g1-g5 eccentricity term. Such cyclicity has been recorded in other continental records, pointing to its significant expression in continental depositional environments. The record of g1-g5 and sometimes g2-g5 eccentricity terms in previously acquired sedimentary facies proxies in CDB1 core led us to hypothesize that the paleolake level may have behaved as a lowpass filter for orbital forcing. Two prominent changes in the sedimentary facies were detected across the EOT, which are temporally equivalent to the two main climatic steps, EOT-1 and Oi-1. Combined with previously acquired geochemical (δ15Norg, TOC), mineralogical (Quartz, clays) and pollen assemblage proxies from CDB1, we suggest that these two facies changes reflect the two major Antarctic cooling/glacial phases via the hydrological cycle, as significant shifts to drier and cooler climate conditions, thus supporting the stepwise nature of the EOT. Remarkably, a strongly dominant obliquity expressed in the latest Eocene corresponds in time to the interval from the EOT precursor glacial event till the EOT-1. We interpret the obliquity dominance as reflecting preconditioning phases for the onset of the major Antarctic glaciation, either from its direct impact on the formation/(in)stability of the incipient Antactic Ice Sheet (AIS), or through its modulation of the North Atlantic Deep Water production given the North Atlantic coastal location of the CDB1 site.\u0000","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115541207","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Climate variability and grain production in Scania, c. 1702–1911 气候变化与斯堪尼亚的粮食生产,约1702-1911
Pub Date : 2021-05-10 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-52
Martin K Skoglund
Abstract. Scania (sw. Skåne), southern Sweden, offers a particularly interesting case for studying the historical relationship between climate variability and grain production, given the favourable natural conditions in terms of climate and soils for grain production, as well as the relative lack of heat-sensitive grain varieties like wheat in its production composition. In this article, I combine a contextual understanding of historical grain production in Scania, including historical, phenological and natural geographic aspects, with quantitative analysis of available empirical sources to estimate the relationship between climate variability and grain production between the years c. 1702–1911. The main result of this study is that grain production in Scania was primarily sensitive to climate variability during the high summer months of June and July, preferring relatively cool and humid conditions, and to some extent precipitation during the winter months, preferring relatively dry conditions. Furthermore, grain production was relatively insensitive to climate variability during the spring, autumn and harvest seasons. At the end of the study period, these relationships were shifting as the so-called early improved cultivars were being imported from other parts of Europe. Finally, I also shed new light on the climate history of the region, especially for the late 18th century, previously argued to be a particularly cold period, through homogenization of the early instrumental series from Lund (1753–1870).
摘要斯堪尼亚(西南。考虑到气候和土壤对粮食生产有利的自然条件,以及在其生产构成中相对缺乏对热敏感的粮食品种(如小麦),瑞典南部的sk)为研究气候变化与粮食生产之间的历史关系提供了一个特别有趣的案例。在这篇文章中,我结合了对斯堪尼亚历史粮食生产的背景理解,包括历史、物候和自然地理方面,以及对现有经验资源的定量分析,以估计1702-1911年间气候变化与粮食生产之间的关系。本研究的主要结果是,斯堪尼亚的粮食生产在夏季的6月和7月对气候变率最敏感,更喜欢相对凉爽潮湿的条件,而在冬季的几个月有一定程度的降水,更喜欢相对干燥的条件。此外,粮食生产对春秋季和收获季节的气候变化相对不敏感。在研究期结束时,随着所谓的早期改良品种从欧洲其他地区进口,这些关系发生了变化。最后,我还通过隆德(1753-1870)早期仪器系列的同质化,对该地区的气候历史,特别是18世纪晚期的气候历史(之前认为这是一个特别寒冷的时期)有了新的认识。
{"title":"Climate variability and grain production in Scania, c. 1702–1911","authors":"Martin K Skoglund","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-52","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-52","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Scania (sw. Skåne), southern Sweden, offers a particularly interesting case for studying the historical relationship between climate variability and grain production, given the favourable natural conditions in terms of climate and soils for grain production, as well as the relative lack of heat-sensitive grain varieties like wheat in its production composition. In this article, I combine a contextual understanding of historical grain production in Scania, including historical, phenological and natural geographic aspects, with quantitative analysis of available empirical sources to estimate the relationship between climate variability and grain production between the years c. 1702–1911. The main result of this study is that grain production in Scania was primarily sensitive to climate variability during the high summer months of June and July, preferring relatively cool and humid conditions, and to some extent precipitation during the winter months, preferring relatively dry conditions. Furthermore, grain production was relatively insensitive to climate variability during the spring, autumn and harvest seasons. At the end of the study period, these relationships were shifting as the so-called early improved cultivars were being imported from other parts of Europe. Finally, I also shed new light on the climate history of the region, especially for the late 18th century, previously argued to be a particularly cold period, through homogenization of the early instrumental series from Lund (1753–1870).\u0000","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130198614","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reconstruction and analysis of extreme drought and flood events in the Hanjiang River basin since 1426 1426年以来汉江流域极端旱涝事件的重建与分析
Pub Date : 2021-05-05 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-43
Xiaodan Zhang, G. Ren, Yuda Yang, H. Bing, Z. Hao, Panfeng Zhang
Abstract. The major droughts and floods in the Hanjiang River basin have a significant impact on the flood prevention and control in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and water resources management in the areas of the South-North Water Diversion Middle Line Project of China. However, there is a lack of understanding of the multi-decadal to century-scale patterns of droughts and floods in the Hanjiang River Basin. Applying the yearly drought and flood grades reconstructed based on historical documents, and the criteria developed for identifying extreme droughts and floods in historical periods, this paper constructs a time series of extreme droughts and floods (i.e., the event with occurrence probability less than 10 % from 1951–2017) in the Hanjiang River basin from 1426–2017. The possible linkages of the extreme droughts and floods with Asian monsoon (i.e., East Asian monsoon and South Asian monsoon), strong ENSO (i.e., El Nino and La Nina) and large volcanic eruptions are also discussed. The results show that there were 45 extreme droughts and 51 extreme floods in the Hanjiang River basin over the past 592 years. The frequency of extreme droughts was high during the 15th century, early 16th century, the 17th, and the 20th centuries, with the 20th century being the highest. For extreme floods, the frequency was high in the 16th century, the 17th century, the 19th century, and the 20th century, with the 19th to 20th centuries being the highest. The 18th century was a common low period of extreme droughts and floods, while the 20th century saw a high frequency of both. When the Asian monsoon is weak, extreme droughts were more likely to occur; and when the Asian monsoon is strong, extreme floods were more likely to occur. Furthermore, on multi-decadal scale, extreme floods were found to become more frequent with the increase in numbers of strong El Nino events and large volcanic eruptions. These results are informative for the study of mechanisms and predictability of decadal to century scale variability of extreme hydro-climatic events in the Hanjiang River basin.
摘要汉江流域的重大旱涝灾害对长江中游地区的防洪和南水北调中线工程地区的水资源管理产生了重大影响。然而,对汉江流域旱涝的多年代际到百年尺度的变化规律认识不足。利用历史文献重建的年旱涝等级和历史时期极端干旱洪涝判别标准,构建了1426-2017年汉江流域极端干旱洪涝(1951-2017年发生概率小于10%的事件)时间序列。讨论了极端干旱和洪水与亚洲季风(即东亚季风和南亚季风)、强ENSO(即厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜)和大型火山爆发的可能联系。结果表明:近592年来,汉江流域共发生45次极端干旱和51次极端洪水。极端干旱的频率在15世纪、16世纪初、17世纪和20世纪较高,其中20世纪是最高的。16世纪、17世纪、19世纪和20世纪是极端洪水发生频率最高的时期,其中19至20世纪是最高的。18世纪是极端干旱和洪水的普遍低潮期,而20世纪则是两者的高潮期。当亚洲季风较弱时,极端干旱更容易发生;当亚洲季风强烈时,极端洪水更有可能发生。此外,在几十年的尺度上,随着强厄尔尼诺事件和大型火山爆发次数的增加,极端洪水变得更加频繁。这些结果为研究汉江流域极端水文气候事件的年代际-世纪变率的机制和可预测性提供了信息。
{"title":"Reconstruction and analysis of extreme drought and flood events in the Hanjiang River basin since 1426","authors":"Xiaodan Zhang, G. Ren, Yuda Yang, H. Bing, Z. Hao, Panfeng Zhang","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-43","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-43","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The major droughts and floods in the Hanjiang River basin have a significant impact on the flood prevention and control in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and water resources management in the areas of the South-North Water Diversion Middle Line Project of China. However, there is a lack of understanding of the multi-decadal to century-scale patterns of droughts and floods in the Hanjiang River Basin. Applying the yearly drought and flood grades reconstructed based on historical documents, and the criteria developed for identifying extreme droughts and floods in historical periods, this paper constructs a time series of extreme droughts and floods (i.e., the event with occurrence probability less than 10 % from 1951–2017) in the Hanjiang River basin from 1426–2017. The possible linkages of the extreme droughts and floods with Asian monsoon (i.e., East Asian monsoon and South Asian monsoon), strong ENSO (i.e., El Nino and La Nina) and large volcanic eruptions are also discussed. The results show that there were 45 extreme droughts and 51 extreme floods in the Hanjiang River basin over the past 592 years. The frequency of extreme droughts was high during the 15th century, early 16th century, the 17th, and the 20th centuries, with the 20th century being the highest. For extreme floods, the frequency was high in the 16th century, the 17th century, the 19th century, and the 20th century, with the 19th to 20th centuries being the highest. The 18th century was a common low period of extreme droughts and floods, while the 20th century saw a high frequency of both. When the Asian monsoon is weak, extreme droughts were more likely to occur; and when the Asian monsoon is strong, extreme floods were more likely to occur. Furthermore, on multi-decadal scale, extreme floods were found to become more frequent with the increase in numbers of strong El Nino events and large volcanic eruptions. These results are informative for the study of mechanisms and predictability of decadal to century scale variability of extreme hydro-climatic events in the Hanjiang River basin.","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133600065","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dating of an East Antarctic ice core (GV7) by high resolution chemical stratigraphies 南极东部冰芯(GV7)的高分辨率化学地层学测年
Pub Date : 2021-05-03 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-44
Raffaello Nardin, M. Severi, A. Amore, S. Becagli, F. Burgay, L. Caiazzo, V. Ciardini, G. Dreossi, M. Frezzotti, S. Hong, Ishaq Khan, B. Narcisi, M. Proposito, C. Scarchilli, E. Selmo, A. Spolaor, B. Stenni, R. Traversi
Abstract. Ice core dating is the first step for a correct interpretation of climatic and environmental changes. In this work, we release a stratigraphic dating of the uppermost 197 m of the 250 m deep GV7(B) ice core (drilling site, 70°41’S, 158°52’E, 1950 m a.s.l.) with a sub-annual resolution. Chemical stratigraphies of NO3−, MSA (methanesulfonic acid), non-sea salt SO42−, sea-salt ions and the oxygen isotopic composition (δ18O) were used in the annual layer counting upon the identification of a seasonal profile in their records. Different procedures were tested and thanks to the volcanic history of the core, obtained in previous works, an accurate age-depth correlation was obtained for the period 1179–2009 CE. Once the dating of the core was finalized, the annual mean accumulation rate was evaluated throughout the analyzed 197 m of the core, obtaining an annually resolved history of the snow accumulation on site in the last millennium. A small, yet consistent, rise in accumulation rate was found for the last 830 years since the middle of the 18th century.
摘要冰芯测年是正确解释气候和环境变化的第一步。在这项工作中,我们发布了250 m深GV7(B)冰芯(钻探地点,70°41'S, 158°52'E, 1950 m a.s.l)最上层197 m的次年分辨率地层测年结果。通过对年层NO3−、MSA(甲磺酸)、非海盐SO42−、海盐离子和氧同位素组成(δ18O)的化学地层学分析,确定了它们的季节剖面。研究人员测试了不同的程序,并根据之前的工作获得的岩心火山历史,获得了公元1179年至2009年期间的准确年龄-深度相关性。一旦确定了岩心的年代,在分析的岩心197米范围内评估年平均积累率,获得了过去一千年来现场积雪的年分解历史。自18世纪中叶以来的830年里,积累率出现了小幅但持续的上升。
{"title":"Dating of an East Antarctic ice core (GV7) by high resolution chemical stratigraphies","authors":"Raffaello Nardin, M. Severi, A. Amore, S. Becagli, F. Burgay, L. Caiazzo, V. Ciardini, G. Dreossi, M. Frezzotti, S. Hong, Ishaq Khan, B. Narcisi, M. Proposito, C. Scarchilli, E. Selmo, A. Spolaor, B. Stenni, R. Traversi","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-44","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-44","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Ice core dating is the first step for a correct interpretation of climatic and environmental changes. In this work, we release a stratigraphic dating of the uppermost 197 m of the 250 m deep GV7(B) ice core (drilling site, 70°41’S, 158°52’E, 1950 m a.s.l.) with a sub-annual resolution. Chemical stratigraphies of NO3−, MSA (methanesulfonic acid), non-sea salt SO42−, sea-salt ions and the oxygen isotopic composition (δ18O) were used in the annual layer counting upon the identification of a seasonal profile in their records. Different procedures were tested and thanks to the volcanic history of the core, obtained in previous works, an accurate age-depth correlation was obtained for the period 1179–2009 CE. Once the dating of the core was finalized, the annual mean accumulation rate was evaluated throughout the analyzed 197 m of the core, obtaining an annually resolved history of the snow accumulation on site in the last millennium. A small, yet consistent, rise in accumulation rate was found for the last 830 years since the middle of the 18th century.","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127124943","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
CHELSA-TraCE21k v1.0. Downscaled transient temperature and precipitation data since the last glacial maximum CHELSA-TraCE21k v1.0。缩小了末次盛冰期以来的瞬态温度和降水资料
Pub Date : 2021-05-03 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-30
D. Karger, M. Nobis, S. Normand, C. Graham, N. Zimmermann
Abstract. High resolution, downscaled climate model data are used in a wide variety of applications in environmental sciences. Here we present the CHELSA-TraCE21k downscaling algorithm to create global monthly climatologies for temperature and precipitation at 30 arcsec spatial resolution in 100 year time steps for the last 21,000 years. Paleo orography at high spatial resolution and at each timestep is created by combining high resolution information on glacial cover from current and Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) glacier databases with the interpolation of a dynamic ice sheet model (ICE6G) and a coupling to mean annual temperatures from CCSM3-TraCE21k. Based on the reconstructed paleo orography, mean annual temperature and precipitation was downscaled using the CHELSA V1.2 algorithm. The data were validated by comparisons with the glacial extent of the Laurentide ice shield based on expert delineations, proxy data from Greenland ice cores, historical climate data from meteorological stations, and a dynamic simulation of species a distribution throughout the Holocene. Validations show that CHELSA TraCE21k output creates a reasonable representation of the distribution of temperature and precipitation through time at a high spatial resolution, and simulations based on the data are capable of detecting effective LGM refugia of species.
摘要高分辨率、缩小比例的气候模式数据广泛应用于环境科学领域。在这里,我们提出了CHELSA-TraCE21k降尺度算法,以创建过去21000年的100年时间步长30弧秒空间分辨率的温度和降水的全球月气候。高空间分辨率和每个时间步的古地形学是通过将当前和末次极冰期冰川数据库的高分辨率冰川覆盖信息与动态冰盖模型(ICE6G)的插值和CCSM3-TraCE21k的年平均气温耦合相结合而创建的。在重建古地形的基础上,利用CHELSA V1.2算法对年平均气温和降水量进行了降尺度处理。通过与Laurentide冰盖的冰川范围进行比较,这些数据基于专家圈定、格陵兰冰芯的代理数据、气象站的历史气候数据以及整个全新世物种分布的动态模拟,验证了数据的有效性。验证结果表明,CHELSA TraCE21k输出能够在高空间分辨率下合理地表示温度和降水随时间的分布,基于该数据的模拟能够有效地探测物种的LGM避难所。
{"title":"CHELSA-TraCE21k v1.0. Downscaled transient temperature and precipitation data since the last glacial maximum","authors":"D. Karger, M. Nobis, S. Normand, C. Graham, N. Zimmermann","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-30","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-30","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. High resolution, downscaled climate model data are used in a wide variety of applications in environmental sciences. Here we present the CHELSA-TraCE21k downscaling algorithm to create global monthly climatologies for temperature and precipitation at 30 arcsec spatial resolution in 100 year time steps for the last 21,000 years. Paleo orography at high spatial resolution and at each timestep is created by combining high resolution information on glacial cover from current and Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) glacier databases with the interpolation of a dynamic ice sheet model (ICE6G) and a coupling to mean annual temperatures from CCSM3-TraCE21k. Based on the reconstructed paleo orography, mean annual temperature and precipitation was downscaled using the CHELSA V1.2 algorithm. The data were validated by comparisons with the glacial extent of the Laurentide ice shield based on expert delineations, proxy data from Greenland ice cores, historical climate data from meteorological stations, and a dynamic simulation of species a distribution throughout the Holocene. Validations show that CHELSA TraCE21k output creates a reasonable representation of the distribution of temperature and precipitation through time at a high spatial resolution, and simulations based on the data are capable of detecting effective LGM refugia of species.","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122111093","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 41
Climate & Ecology in the Rocky Mountain Interior After the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum 早始新世气候最佳期后落基山脉内部的气候与生态
Pub Date : 2021-04-29 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-45
Rebekah A. Stein, N. Sheldon, S. E. Allen, M. Smith, Rebecca M. Dzombak, B. Jicha
Abstract. As increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and temperatures accompany modern climate change, ancient hothouse periods become a focal point for understanding ecosystem function under similar conditions. The early Eocene exhibited high temperatures, high CO2 levels, and similar tectonic plate configuration to today, so it has been invoked as an analog to modern climate change. During the early Eocene, the greater Green River Basin (GGRB) of southwest Wyoming was covered by an ancient hypersaline lake (Lake Gosiute; Green River Formation) and associated fluvial and floodplain systems (Wasatch and Bridger Formations). The volcaniclastic Bridger Formation was deposited by an inland delta that drained from the northwest into freshwater Lake Gosiute and is known for its vast paleontological assemblages. The Blue Rim escarpment exposes approximately 100 meters of the lower Bridger Formation, which includes plant and mammal fossils, paleosols and organic remains suitable for geochemical analyses, as well as ash beds and volcaniclastic sandstone beds suitable for radioisotopic dating. New 40Ar/39Ar ages from the middle and top of the Blue Rim escarpment constrain age of its strata to ~49.5–48.5 Ma ago, during the “falling limb” of the early Eocene climatic optimum. Using several geochemical tools, we reconstructed provenance and parent material in both the paleosols and the associated sediments and found no change in sediment input source despite significant variation in sedimentary facies and organic carbon burial. We also reconstructed environmental conditions at the time, including temperature and precipitation (from paleosols) and the isotopic composition of CO2 from plants found in the floral assemblages, before comparing them to reconstructions for the same time made using leaf physiognomic techniques and marine proxies. The paleosol-based reconstructions (near the base of the section) of precipitation (608–1167 mm yr−1) and temperature (10.4 to 12.0 °C) were within error of, although lower than, those based on floral assemblages, which were stratigraphically higher in the section. Geochemistry and detrital feldspar geochronology indicate a consistent provenance for Blue Rim sediments, sourcing predominantly from the Idaho paleoriver, which drained the active Challis volcanic field. Thus, because there was neither significant climatic change nor significant provenance change, variation in sedimentary facies and organic carbon burial likely reflected localized geomorphic controls, and the relative height of the water table. The ecosystem can be characterized as a wet, subtropical forest throughout the interval based upon the floral humidity province and Holdridge life zone schemes. Given the mid-paleolatitude position of the Blue Rim Escarpment, those results are consistent with marine proxies that indicate that globally warm climatic conditions continued beyond the peak warm conditions of the early Eocene climatic optimum. The reconstru
摘要随着大气二氧化碳(CO2)和温度的增加伴随着现代气候变化,古代温室时期成为了解类似条件下生态系统功能的焦点。始新世早期表现出高温、高二氧化碳水平和与今天相似的构造板块结构,因此它被用来作为现代气候变化的类比。始新世早期,怀俄明州西南部的大绿河盆地(GGRB)被古高盐湖(lake Gosiute;绿河组)和相关的河流和洪泛平原系统(瓦萨奇组和桥组)。火山碎屑桥组是由内陆三角洲沉积而成的,该三角洲从西北部流入戈斯特淡水湖,并以其庞大的古生物组合而闻名。蓝环断崖暴露了大约100米的下桥组,其中包括植物和哺乳动物化石,适合地球化学分析的古土壤和有机残留物,以及适合放射性同位素定年的火山灰床和火山碎屑砂岩床。蓝环断裂带中部和顶部的40Ar/39Ar新年龄限制其地层年龄为~49.5 ~ 48.5 Ma,处于始新世早期气候适宜期的“下降翼”。利用多种地球化学工具重建了古土壤和伴生沉积物的物源和母质,发现沉积物输入来源没有变化,但沉积相和有机碳埋藏有明显变化。我们还重建了当时的环境条件,包括温度和降水(来自古土壤),以及在植物组合中发现的植物二氧化碳的同位素组成,然后将它们与利用叶片面相技术和海洋代用物重建的同一时期的环境条件进行比较。基于古土壤的降水(608 ~ 1167 mm yr−1)和温度(10.4 ~ 12.0°C)重建结果的误差虽然小于基于植物组合的重建结果,但仍在该剖面的误差范围内。地球化学和碎屑长石年代学表明蓝环沉积物的来源一致,主要来自爱达荷古河流,该河流排出了活跃的查利斯火山场。因此,由于既没有明显的气候变化,也没有明显的物源变化,沉积相和有机碳埋藏的变化可能反映了局部地貌控制和地下水位的相对高度。根据花卉湿度省和霍尔德里奇生活区方案,整个区间的生态系统可以被描述为湿润的亚热带森林。考虑到蓝环断崖的中古纬度位置,这些结果与海洋代用指标一致,表明全球温暖气候条件持续超过了始新世早期气候最佳的峰值温暖条件。重建的大气δ13C值(−5.3 ~−5.8‰)与海相微化石独立重建的δ13C值(−5.4‰)和地幔同位素组成(−5.4‰)吻合较好,表明火山喷发维持了温暖条件。
{"title":"Climate & Ecology in the Rocky Mountain Interior After the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum","authors":"Rebekah A. Stein, N. Sheldon, S. E. Allen, M. Smith, Rebecca M. Dzombak, B. Jicha","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-45","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-45","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. As increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and temperatures accompany modern climate change, ancient hothouse periods become a focal point for understanding ecosystem function under similar conditions. The early Eocene exhibited high temperatures, high CO2 levels, and similar tectonic plate configuration to today, so it has been invoked as an analog to modern climate change. During the early Eocene, the greater Green River Basin (GGRB) of southwest Wyoming was covered by an ancient hypersaline lake (Lake Gosiute; Green River Formation) and associated fluvial and floodplain systems (Wasatch and Bridger Formations). The volcaniclastic Bridger Formation was deposited by an inland delta that drained from the northwest into freshwater Lake Gosiute and is known for its vast paleontological assemblages. The Blue Rim escarpment exposes approximately 100 meters of the lower Bridger Formation, which includes plant and mammal fossils, paleosols and organic remains suitable for geochemical analyses, as well as ash beds and volcaniclastic sandstone beds suitable for radioisotopic dating. New 40Ar/39Ar ages from the middle and top of the Blue Rim escarpment constrain age of its strata to ~49.5–48.5 Ma ago, during the “falling limb” of the early Eocene climatic optimum. Using several geochemical tools, we reconstructed provenance and parent material in both the paleosols and the associated sediments and found no change in sediment input source despite significant variation in sedimentary facies and organic carbon burial. We also reconstructed environmental conditions at the time, including temperature and precipitation (from paleosols) and the isotopic composition of CO2 from plants found in the floral assemblages, before comparing them to reconstructions for the same time made using leaf physiognomic techniques and marine proxies. The paleosol-based reconstructions (near the base of the section) of precipitation (608–1167 mm yr−1) and temperature (10.4 to 12.0 °C) were within error of, although lower than, those based on floral assemblages, which were stratigraphically higher in the section. Geochemistry and detrital feldspar geochronology indicate a consistent provenance for Blue Rim sediments, sourcing predominantly from the Idaho paleoriver, which drained the active Challis volcanic field. Thus, because there was neither significant climatic change nor significant provenance change, variation in sedimentary facies and organic carbon burial likely reflected localized geomorphic controls, and the relative height of the water table. The ecosystem can be characterized as a wet, subtropical forest throughout the interval based upon the floral humidity province and Holdridge life zone schemes. Given the mid-paleolatitude position of the Blue Rim Escarpment, those results are consistent with marine proxies that indicate that globally warm climatic conditions continued beyond the peak warm conditions of the early Eocene climatic optimum. The reconstru","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"61 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123820711","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does a difference in ice sheets between Marine Isotope Stages 3 and 5a affect the duration of stadials? 海洋同位素阶段3和5a之间冰盖的差异是否会影响冰期的持续时间?
Pub Date : 2021-04-29 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-47
S. Sherriff-Tadano, A. Abe‐Ouchi, A. Oka, Takahito Mitsui, F. Saito
Abstract. Glacial periods undergo frequent climate shifts between warm interstadials and cold stadials on a millennial time-scale. Recent studies have shown that the duration of these climate modes varies with the background climate; a colder background climate and lower CO2 generally results in a shorter interstadial and a longer stadial through its impact on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, the duration of stadials was shorter during the Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS3) compared with MIS5, despite the colder climate in MIS3, suggesting potential control from other climate factors on the duration of stadials. In this study, we investigated the role of glacial ice sheets. For this purpose, freshwater hosing experiments were conducted with an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model under MIS5a, MIS3 and MIS3 with MIS5a ice sheet conditions. The impact of ice sheet differences on the duration of the stadials was evaluated by comparing recovery times of the AMOC after freshwater forcing was reduced. Hosing experiments showed a slightly shorter recovery time of the AMOC in MIS3 compared with MIS5a, which was consistent with ice core data. We found that larger glacial ice sheets in MIS3 shortened the recovery time. Sensitivity experiments showed that stronger surface winds over the North Atlantic shortened the recovery time by increasing the surface salinity and decreasing the sea ice amount in the deepwater formation region, which set favourable conditions for oceanic convection. In contrast, we also found that surface cooling by larger ice sheets tended to increase the recovery time of the AMOC by increasing the sea ice thickness over the deepwater formation region. Thus, this study suggests that the larger ice sheet in MIS3 compared with MIS5a could have contributed to the shortening of stadials in MIS3, despite the climate being colder than that of MIS5a, when the effect of surface wind played a larger role.
摘要在千年的时间尺度上,冰期经历了温暖间冰期和寒冷间冰期之间频繁的气候变化。最近的研究表明,这些气候模态的持续时间随背景气候而变化;较冷的背景气候和较低的CO2通过其对大西洋经向翻转环流(AMOC)的影响,通常导致较短的静时间隔和较长的静时间隔。然而,尽管MIS3阶段的气候较冷,但与MIS5阶段相比,MIS3阶段的间歇期持续时间较短,这表明其他气候因素可能对间歇期的持续时间有控制作用。在这项研究中,我们研究了冰川冰盖的作用。为此,在MIS5a、MIS3和MIS3冰盖条件下的大气-海洋环流模式下进行了淡水软管实验。通过比较淡水强迫减少后AMOC的恢复时间,评估了冰盖差异对冰期持续时间的影响。与MIS5a相比,MIS3的AMOC恢复时间略短,这与冰芯数据一致。我们发现MIS3的大冰原缩短了恢复时间。敏感性实验表明,北大西洋上空较强的地面风通过增加表层盐度和减少深水地层区海冰量缩短了恢复时间,为海洋对流创造了有利条件。相比之下,我们还发现,更大冰盖的表面冷却往往会通过增加深水地层区域的海冰厚度来延长AMOC的恢复时间。因此,本研究提示,尽管MIS3的气候比MIS5a更冷,但MIS3的冰盖比MIS5a更大,地表风的作用更大,可能导致MIS3的冰期缩短。
{"title":"Does a difference in ice sheets between Marine Isotope Stages 3 and 5a affect the duration of stadials?","authors":"S. Sherriff-Tadano, A. Abe‐Ouchi, A. Oka, Takahito Mitsui, F. Saito","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-47","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-47","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Glacial periods undergo frequent climate shifts between warm interstadials and cold stadials on a millennial time-scale. Recent studies have shown that the duration of these climate modes varies with the background climate; a colder background climate and lower CO2 generally results in a shorter interstadial and a longer stadial through its impact on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, the duration of stadials was shorter during the Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS3) compared with MIS5, despite the colder climate in MIS3, suggesting potential control from other climate factors on the duration of stadials. In this study, we investigated the role of glacial ice sheets. For this purpose, freshwater hosing experiments were conducted with an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model under MIS5a, MIS3 and MIS3 with MIS5a ice sheet conditions. The impact of ice sheet differences on the duration of the stadials was evaluated by comparing recovery times of the AMOC after freshwater forcing was reduced. Hosing experiments showed a slightly shorter recovery time of the AMOC in MIS3 compared with MIS5a, which was consistent with ice core data. We found that larger glacial ice sheets in MIS3 shortened the recovery time. Sensitivity experiments showed that stronger surface winds over the North Atlantic shortened the recovery time by increasing the surface salinity and decreasing the sea ice amount in the deepwater formation region, which set favourable conditions for oceanic convection. In contrast, we also found that surface cooling by larger ice sheets tended to increase the recovery time of the AMOC by increasing the sea ice thickness over the deepwater formation region. Thus, this study suggests that the larger ice sheet in MIS3 compared with MIS5a could have contributed to the shortening of stadials in MIS3, despite the climate being colder than that of MIS5a, when the effect of surface wind played a larger role.\u0000","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128741705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Tree-ring based spring precipitation reconstruction in the Sikhote-Alin Mountain Range 基于树木年轮的锡霍特-阿林山脉春季降水重建
Pub Date : 2021-04-28 DOI: 10.5194/cp-2020-49
O. Ukhvatkina, A. Omelko, D. Kislov, A. Zhmerenetsky, T. Epifanova, J. Altman
Abstract. Here, we present precipitation reconstructions based on tree rings from Pinus koraiensis (Korean pine) from three sites placed along latitudinal (330 km) gradient in Sikhote-Alin mountains, Russian Far East. The tree-ring width chronologies were built using standard tree-ring procedures. We reconstructed the April–June precipitation for the southern Sikhote-Alin (SSA), March–June precipitation for the central Sikhote-Alin (CSA) and March–July precipitation for the northwestern Sikhote-Alin (NSA) over the 1609 to 2013, 1804 to 2009 and 1858 to 2013, respectively. We found that an important limiting factor for Korean pine growth was precipitation within the period when the air current coming from the continent during the cold period is replaced with the impact of the wet ocean air current. We identified common wet years for SSA, CSA and NSA occurred in 1805, 1853, 1877, 1903, 1906, 1927, 1983, 2009 and common dry years occurred in 1821, 1869, 1919, 1949 and 2003. Our reconstructions have 3, 15 and 60 year periods and corresponds to influence of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on the region's climate and relevant processes, respectively. Despite the impact of various global processes, the main contribution to precipitation formation in study area is still made by the Pacific Ocean, which determines their amount and periodicity.
摘要本文基于俄罗斯远东Sikhote-Alin山脉沿纬度(330 km)梯度的三个地点的红松年轮进行降水重建。树木年轮宽度年表是使用标准的树木年轮程序建立的。我们分别重建了1609 - 2013年、1804 - 2009年和1858 - 2013年锡霍特-阿林南部4 - 6月、中部3 - 6月和西北部3 - 7月的降水。我们发现,在寒冷期来自大陆的气流被潮湿的海洋气流的影响所取代期间的降水是红松生长的一个重要限制因素。结果表明,1805、1853、1877、1903、1906、1927、1983和2009年为干旱年,1821、1869、1919、1949和2003年为干旱年。我们的重建周期分别为3年、15年和60年,对应于厄尔尼诺-南方涛动和太平洋年代际涛动对该地区气候和相关过程的影响。尽管受到各种全球过程的影响,但太平洋对研究区降水形成的主要贡献仍然是太平洋,这决定了它们的数量和周期性。
{"title":"Tree-ring based spring precipitation reconstruction in the Sikhote-Alin Mountain Range","authors":"O. Ukhvatkina, A. Omelko, D. Kislov, A. Zhmerenetsky, T. Epifanova, J. Altman","doi":"10.5194/cp-2020-49","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2020-49","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Here, we present precipitation reconstructions based on tree rings from Pinus koraiensis (Korean pine) from three sites placed along latitudinal (330 km) gradient in Sikhote-Alin mountains, Russian Far East. The tree-ring width chronologies were built using standard tree-ring procedures. We reconstructed the April–June precipitation for the southern Sikhote-Alin (SSA), March–June precipitation for the central Sikhote-Alin (CSA) and March–July precipitation for the northwestern Sikhote-Alin (NSA) over the 1609 to 2013, 1804 to 2009 and 1858 to 2013, respectively. We found that an important limiting factor for Korean pine growth was precipitation within the period when the air current coming from the continent during the cold period is replaced with the impact of the wet ocean air current. We identified common wet years for SSA, CSA and NSA occurred in 1805, 1853, 1877, 1903, 1906, 1927, 1983, 2009 and common dry years occurred in 1821, 1869, 1919, 1949 and 2003. Our reconstructions have 3, 15 and 60 year periods and corresponds to influence of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on the region's climate and relevant processes, respectively. Despite the impact of various global processes, the main contribution to precipitation formation in study area is still made by the Pacific Ocean, which determines their amount and periodicity.","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"9 5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123568198","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Climate and ice sheet evolutions from the last glacial maximum to the pre-industrial period with an ice sheet – climate coupled model 末次盛冰期至前工业化时期的气候和冰盖演变与冰盖-气候耦合模式
Pub Date : 2021-04-26 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-39
A. Quiquet, D. Roche, C. Dumas, N. Bouttes, F. Lhardy
Abstract. The last deglaciation offers an unique opportunity to understand the climate – ice sheet interactions in a global warming context. In this paper, to tackle this question, we use an Earth system model of intermediate complexity coupled to an ice sheet model covering the Northern Hemisphere to simulate the last deglaciation and the Holocene (26–0 ka BP). We use a synchronous coupling every year between the ice sheet and the rest of the climate system and we ensure a closed water cycle considering the release of freshwater flux to the ocean due to ice sheet melting. Our reference experiment displays a gradual warming in response to the forcings, with no abrupt changes. In this case, while the amplitude of the freshwater flux to the ocean induced by ice sheet retreat is realistic, it is sufficient to shut down the Atlantic meridional overturning from which the model does not recover within the time period simulated. However, with reduced freshwater flux we are nonetheless able to obtain different oceanic circulation evolutions, including some abrupt transitions between shut-down and active circulation states in the course of the deglaciation. The fast oceanic circulation recoveries lead to abrupt warming phases in Greenland. Our simulated ice sheet geometry evolution is in overall good agreement with available global reconstructions, even though the abrupt sea level rise at 14.6 kaBP is underestimated, possibly because the climate model underestimates the millenial- scale temperature variability. In the course of the deglaciation, large-scale grounding line instabilities are simulated both for the Eurasian and North American ice sheets. The first instability occurs in the Barents-Kara seas for the Eurasian ice sheet at 14.5 kaBP. A second grounding line instability occurs circa 12 kaBP in the proglacial lake that formed at the southern margin of the North American ice sheet. With additional asynchronously coupled experiments, we assess the sensitivity of our results to different ice sheet model choices related to surface and sub-shelf mass balance, ice deformation and grounding line representation. While the ice sheet evolutions differ within this ensemble, the global climate trajectory is only weakly affected by these choices. In our experiments, only the abrupt shifts in the oceanic circulation due to freshwater fluxes are able to produce some millenial-scale variability since no self-generating abrupt transitions are simulated without these fluxes.
摘要最后一次冰川消融为了解全球变暖背景下的气候-冰盖相互作用提供了一个独特的机会。为了解决这个问题,我们使用了一个中等复杂程度的地球系统模型和一个覆盖北半球的冰盖模型来模拟末次消冰和全新世(26-0 ka BP)。我们每年在冰盖和气候系统的其余部分之间使用同步耦合,我们确保一个封闭的水循环,考虑到由于冰盖融化而向海洋释放的淡水通量。我们的参考实验显示,随着这些强迫的变化,气温逐渐变暖,没有突然的变化。在这种情况下,虽然由冰盖退缩引起的流入海洋的淡水通量的振幅是真实的,但它足以阻止大西洋经向翻转,而模式在模拟的时间内无法恢复这种翻转。然而,在淡水通量减少的情况下,我们仍然能够得到不同的海洋环流演变,包括在消冰过程中在停止和活跃环流状态之间的一些突变。快速的海洋环流恢复导致格陵兰岛的突然变暖阶段。我们模拟的冰盖几何演变总体上与现有的全球重建结果一致,尽管14.6 kaBP的海平面突然上升被低估了,这可能是因为气候模式低估了千年尺度的温度变化。在消冰过程中,模拟了欧亚和北美冰盖大尺度接地线的不稳定性。第一次不稳定发生在欧亚冰盖的巴伦支-喀拉海,时间为14.5 kaBP。第二次接地线不稳定发生在北美冰盖南缘形成的前冰湖大约12kabp。通过额外的异步耦合实验,我们评估了我们的结果对与地表和亚冰架质量平衡、冰变形和接地线表示相关的不同冰盖模型选择的敏感性。虽然在这个组合中,冰盖的演变是不同的,但这些选择对全球气候轨迹的影响很小。在我们的实验中,只有淡水通量引起的海洋环流突变才能够产生一些千年尺度的变率,因为没有这些通量就无法模拟自生突变。
{"title":"Climate and ice sheet evolutions from the last glacial maximum to the pre-industrial period with an ice sheet – climate coupled model","authors":"A. Quiquet, D. Roche, C. Dumas, N. Bouttes, F. Lhardy","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-39","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-39","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The last deglaciation offers an unique opportunity to understand the climate – ice sheet interactions in a global warming context. In this paper, to tackle this question, we use an Earth system model of intermediate complexity coupled to an ice sheet model covering the Northern Hemisphere to simulate the last deglaciation and the Holocene (26–0 ka BP). We use a synchronous coupling every year between the ice sheet and the rest of the climate system and we ensure a closed water cycle considering the release of freshwater flux to the ocean due to ice sheet melting. Our reference experiment displays a gradual warming in response to the forcings, with no abrupt changes. In this case, while the amplitude of the freshwater flux to the ocean induced by ice sheet retreat is realistic, it is sufficient to shut down the Atlantic meridional overturning from which the model does not recover within the time period simulated. However, with reduced freshwater flux we are nonetheless able to obtain different oceanic circulation evolutions, including some abrupt transitions between shut-down and active circulation states in the course of the deglaciation. The fast oceanic circulation recoveries lead to abrupt warming phases in Greenland. Our simulated ice sheet geometry evolution is in overall good agreement with available global reconstructions, even though the abrupt sea level rise at 14.6 kaBP is underestimated, possibly because the climate model underestimates the millenial- scale temperature variability. In the course of the deglaciation, large-scale grounding line instabilities are simulated both for the Eurasian and North American ice sheets. The first instability occurs in the Barents-Kara seas for the Eurasian ice sheet at 14.5 kaBP. A second grounding line instability occurs circa 12 kaBP in the proglacial lake that formed at the southern margin of the North American ice sheet. With additional asynchronously coupled experiments, we assess the sensitivity of our results to different ice sheet model choices related to surface and sub-shelf mass balance, ice deformation and grounding line representation. While the ice sheet evolutions differ within this ensemble, the global climate trajectory is only weakly affected by these choices. In our experiments, only the abrupt shifts in the oceanic circulation due to freshwater fluxes are able to produce some millenial-scale variability since no self-generating abrupt transitions are simulated without these fluxes.\u0000","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"87 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125919838","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Simulation of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period using HadGEM3: Experimental design and results from model-model and model-data comparison 利用HadGEM3模拟上新世中期暖期:实验设计和模式-模式和模式-数据比较的结果
Pub Date : 2021-04-21 DOI: 10.5194/CP-2021-40
C. Williams, A. Sellar, Xin Ren, A. Haywood, P. Hopcroft, S. Hunter, W. Roberts, Robin S. Smith, E. Stone, J. Tindall, D. Lunt
Abstract. Here we present the experimental design and results from a new mid-Pliocene simulation using the latest version of the UK’s physical climate model, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, conducted under the auspices of CMIP6/PMIP4/PlioMIP2. Although two other paleoclimate simulations have been recently run using this model, they both focused on more recent periods within the Quaternary and therefore this is the first time this version of the UK model has been run this far back in time. The mid-Pliocene Warm Period, ~3 Ma, is of particular interest because it represents a time period when the Earth was in equilibrium with CO2 concentrations roughly equivalent to those of today, providing a possible analogue for current and future climate change. The implementation of the Pliocene boundary conditions is firstly described in detail, based on the PRISM4 dataset, including CO2, ozone, orography, ice mask, lakes, vegetation fractions and vegetation functional types. These were incrementally added into the model, to change from a preindustrial setup to Pliocene conditions. The results of the simulation are then presented, which are firstly compared with the model’s pre-industrial simulation, secondly with previous versions of the same model and with available proxy data, and thirdly with all other models included in PlioMIP2. Firstly, the comparison with preindustrial suggests that the Pliocene simulation is consistent with current understanding and existing work, showing warmer and wetter conditions, and with the greatest warming occurring over high latitude and polar regions. The global mean surface air temperature anomaly at the end of the Pliocene simulation is 5.1 °C, which is the 2nd highest of all models included in PlioMIP2 and is consistent with the fact that HadGEM3-GC31-LL has one of the highest Effective Climate Sensitivities of all CMIP6 models. Secondly, the comparison with previous generation models and with proxy data suggests a clear increase in global sea surface temperatures as the model has undergone development. Up to a certain level of warming, this results in a better agreement with available proxy data, and the “sweet spot” appears to be the previous CMIP5 generation of the model, HadGEM2-AO. The most recent simulation presented here, however, appears to show poorer agreement with the proxy data compared with HadGEM2, and may be overly sensitive to the Pliocene boundary conditions resulting in a climate that is too warm. Thirdly, the comparison with other models from PlioMIP2 further supports this conclusion, with HadGEM3-GC31-LL being one of the warmest and wettest models in all of PlioMIP2 and, if all the models are ordered according to agreement with proxy data, HadGEM3-GC31-LL ranks approximately halfway among them.  
摘要本文介绍了在CMIP6/PMIP4/PlioMIP2主持下,利用最新版本的英国物理气候模式HadGEM3-GC31-LL进行的中上新世模拟实验设计和结果。尽管最近使用该模型进行了另外两个古气候模拟,但它们都集中在第四纪最近的时期,因此这是英国模型第一次在如此久远的时间内运行。上新世中期暖期(~3 Ma)是一个特别有趣的时期,因为它代表了地球与二氧化碳浓度大致相当的平衡时期,为当前和未来的气候变化提供了一个可能的模拟。首先详细描述了基于PRISM4数据集的上新世边界条件的实现,包括CO2、臭氧、地形、冰掩、湖泊、植被组分和植被功能类型。这些都被逐渐添加到模型中,从工业化前的环境变化到上新世的环境。然后给出了模拟结果,首先与该模型工业化前的模拟结果进行了比较,其次与该模型的先前版本和可用的代理数据进行了比较,最后与PlioMIP2中包含的所有其他模型进行了比较。首先,与工业化前的比较表明,上新世的模拟与目前的认识和现有的工作是一致的,显示出更温暖和更潮湿的条件,并且在高纬度和极地地区发生了最大的变暖。上新世模拟结束时的全球平均地面气温异常为5.1°C,是PlioMIP2中所有模式中第二高的,这与HadGEM3-GC31-LL在所有CMIP6模式中具有最高的有效气候灵敏度一致。其次,与上一代模式和代理数据的比较表明,随着模式的发展,全球海面温度明显升高。在一定的变暖程度上,这与现有的代理数据有更好的一致性,而“最佳点”似乎是前一代CMIP5模型HadGEM2-AO。然而,与HadGEM2相比,这里提出的最新模拟似乎显示与代理数据的一致性较差,并且可能对上新世边界条件过于敏感,导致气候过于温暖。第三,与PlioMIP2其他模型的比较进一步支持了这一结论,HadGEM3-GC31-LL是PlioMIP2所有模型中最温暖和最潮湿的模型之一,如果所有模型按照与代理数据的一致性排序,HadGEM3-GC31-LL大约处于其中的中间位置。
{"title":"Simulation of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period using HadGEM3: Experimental design and results from model-model and model-data comparison","authors":"C. Williams, A. Sellar, Xin Ren, A. Haywood, P. Hopcroft, S. Hunter, W. Roberts, Robin S. Smith, E. Stone, J. Tindall, D. Lunt","doi":"10.5194/CP-2021-40","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/CP-2021-40","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Here we present the experimental design and results from a new mid-Pliocene simulation using the latest version of the UK’s physical climate model, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, conducted under the auspices of CMIP6/PMIP4/PlioMIP2. Although two other paleoclimate simulations have been recently run using this model, they both focused on more recent periods within the Quaternary and therefore this is the first time this version of the UK model has been run this far back in time. The mid-Pliocene Warm Period, ~3 Ma, is of particular interest because it represents a time period when the Earth was in equilibrium with CO2 concentrations roughly equivalent to those of today, providing a possible analogue for current and future climate change. The implementation of the Pliocene boundary conditions is firstly described in detail, based on the PRISM4 dataset, including CO2, ozone, orography, ice mask, lakes, vegetation fractions and vegetation functional types. These were incrementally added into the model, to change from a preindustrial setup to Pliocene conditions. The results of the simulation are then presented, which are firstly compared with the model’s pre-industrial simulation, secondly with previous versions of the same model and with available proxy data, and thirdly with all other models included in PlioMIP2. Firstly, the comparison with preindustrial suggests that the Pliocene simulation is consistent with current understanding and existing work, showing warmer and wetter conditions, and with the greatest warming occurring over high latitude and polar regions. The global mean surface air temperature anomaly at the end of the Pliocene simulation is 5.1 °C, which is the 2nd highest of all models included in PlioMIP2 and is consistent with the fact that HadGEM3-GC31-LL has one of the highest Effective Climate Sensitivities of all CMIP6 models. Secondly, the comparison with previous generation models and with proxy data suggests a clear increase in global sea surface temperatures as the model has undergone development. Up to a certain level of warming, this results in a better agreement with available proxy data, and the “sweet spot” appears to be the previous CMIP5 generation of the model, HadGEM2-AO. The most recent simulation presented here, however, appears to show poorer agreement with the proxy data compared with HadGEM2, and may be overly sensitive to the Pliocene boundary conditions resulting in a climate that is too warm. Thirdly, the comparison with other models from PlioMIP2 further supports this conclusion, with HadGEM3-GC31-LL being one of the warmest and wettest models in all of PlioMIP2 and, if all the models are ordered according to agreement with proxy data, HadGEM3-GC31-LL ranks approximately halfway among them.  \u0000","PeriodicalId":263057,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past Discussions","volume":"4 5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123421861","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
期刊
Climate of The Past Discussions
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1