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Reliability-based design optimization for seismic structures considering randomness associated with ground motions 基于可靠性的抗震结构优化设计,考虑与地动相关的随机性
Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2023.35
S. Shrestha, Yongbo Peng
When addressing the dynamic reliability analysis of structures, it becomes necessary to account for multiple limit state functions or their combinations. In scenarios where structures are subjected to random excitation, this can lead to intricate inter-dependencies among different limit states, and the computational workload can pose a substantial challenge in ensuring sufficient precision. Code-based design primarily ensures safety at the member level, while deterministic optimization fails to accommodate the inherent uncertainties associated with external excitation or the system as a whole. Therefore, in such cases, to address both the uncertainties in excitations and the presence of multiple limit states while mitigating computational challenges, equivalent extreme-value criteria are employed within the framework of the probability density evolution method to calculate the global reliability of the structure subjected to stochastic ground motions generated from the physically motivated stochastic ground motion model. Numerical optimization is subsequently conducted using genetic algorithms, aiming to minimize the cost of the superstructure while adhering to the design performance criteria related to the inter-story drift ratio and considering global reliability. Additionally, multi-objective optimization is carried out using NSGA-II, permitting the generation of multiple solutions, from which one can select the most suitable solution as needed. The numerical results illustrate the effectiveness of this technique in achieving an optimal balance between the cost of the structure and the consideration of global reliability, providing a comprehensive solution for dynamic reliability analysis and design optimization of structures under random excitations.
在对结构进行动态可靠性分析时,有必要考虑多种极限状态函数或其组合。在结构受到随机激励的情况下,这会导致不同极限状态之间错综复杂的相互依存关系,而计算工作量会对确保足够精度构成巨大挑战。基于规范的设计主要确保构件层面的安全性,而确定性优化则无法顾及与外部激励或整个系统相关的固有不确定性。因此,在这种情况下,为了解决激励的不确定性和多种极限状态的存在,同时减轻计算上的挑战,在概率密度演化法的框架内采用了等效极值准则,以计算结构在由物理随机地动模型产生的随机地动作用下的整体可靠性。随后使用遗传算法进行数值优化,旨在最大限度地降低上部结构的成本,同时遵守与层间漂移比相关的设计性能标准,并考虑全局可靠性。此外,还使用 NSGA-II 进行了多目标优化,允许生成多个解决方案,人们可以根据需要从中选择最合适的解决方案。数值结果表明,该技术能有效实现结构成本与整体可靠性之间的最佳平衡,为随机激励下结构的动态可靠性分析和设计优化提供了全面的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the relationship between risk perception and public disaster mitigation behavior in geological hazard emergency management: a research study in Wenchuan county 地质灾害应急管理中风险认知与公众减灾行为的关系研究——以汶川县为例
Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2023.26
Jianmin Cai, Shiyu Hu, Fei Sun, Lan Tang, Gang Fan, Huige Xing
Modern disaster emergency management emphasizes the collaborative participation of multiple parties. Exploring the relationship between risk perception and mitigation behaviors of the public is essential to develop the effectiveness of public disaster reduction and improve the performance of emergency management. Based on risk perception theory, a research framework on the relationship between risk perception and mitigation behaviors was constructed by selecting two phases of emergency management: pre-disaster preparation and mid-disaster emergency response. The results showed that self-efficacy positively influenced the pre-disaster mitigation behaviors and emergency evacuation behavior. Perceived severity only positively influenced the emergency evacuation behavior in mid-disaster. Additionally, pre-disaster evacuation drills positively influenced the emergency evacuation behavior and the behavior of asking for help from government departments in mid-disaster. The results indicate that pre-disaster mitigation behaviors can have a significant impact on mid-disaster behaviors only if pre-disaster mitigation behaviors provide clear guidance for the emergency phase of the disaster. Therefore, pre-disaster mitigation activities should be carried out strategically with the aim of improving the public’s emergency self-help capabilities in disasters, which provides theoretical and practical guidance for improving the effectiveness of public disaster mitigation and improving the government’s disaster emergency management system.
现代灾害应急管理强调多方协同参与。探索公众风险认知与减灾行为之间的关系,对于提高公共减灾效能和提高应急管理绩效至关重要。基于风险感知理论,选取灾前准备和灾中响应两个应急管理阶段,构建了风险感知与减灾行为关系的研究框架。结果表明,自我效能感对灾前减灾行为和应急疏散行为有正向影响。感知到的严重程度仅对灾害中期的紧急疏散行为有正向影响。此外,灾前疏散演练正向影响应急疏散行为和灾中向政府部门求助的行为。结果表明,只有当灾前减灾行为为灾害应急阶段提供明确的指导时,灾前减灾行为才能对灾中行为产生显著影响。因此,应战略性地开展灾前减灾活动,以提高公众在灾害中的应急自助能力为目标,为提高公共减灾效能,完善政府的灾害应急管理体系提供理论和实践指导。
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引用次数: 0
From slope seismic resilience to regional road network resilience: an integrated framework for evaluating the seismic resilience of mountainous road networks 从坡面抗震性到区域路网抗震性:山地路网抗震性评价的综合框架
Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2023.27
Min Xiong, Hongqiang Hu, Yu Huang
A systematic review was conducted, ranging from the seismic resilience of single slope engineering structures as disaster-bearing bodies to their transformation into disaster-inducing bodies owing to seismic dynamic instability. The resilience of slopes is considered with regard to regional transportation networks, which are most severely threatened by earthquake-induced landslide disasters. For the engineering structure of a single slope as a disaster-bearing body, the stage before the slope engineering loses stability can be considered as the first stage of slope seismic resilience evaluation. This review summarizes the latest progress in seismic resilience evaluation and reinforcement design from the perspective of engineering seismic resilience. In response to the lack of definition for the resilience of existing regional road networks to earthquake-induced landslide impacts during the review, the second stage involves the transformation of the seismic dynamic instability of regional slopes into landslide disasters; resilience is defined as the global system reliability of the regional road network in this study. From the perspective of network reliability, an assessment framework for the resilience of the regional transportation network against seismic landslide disasters is systematically proposed in this study. In accordance with high-dimensional nonlinear network dynamics theory, this paper highlights the future research direction of introducing high-dimensional network dynamics theory into the disaster resilience of regional road networks affected by landslide disasters.
从单坡工程结构作为承灾体的抗震恢复能力到由于地震动力失稳而转变为致灾体,进行了系统的综述。考虑到受地震诱发的滑坡灾害威胁最严重的区域交通网络,边坡的恢复力。对于单个边坡作为承灾体的工程结构,边坡工程失稳前阶段可视为边坡抗震恢复力评价的第一阶段。本文从工程抗震的角度综述了抗震评价和加固设计的最新进展。针对现有区域道路网络对地震诱发的滑坡影响的恢复力缺乏定义,第二阶段涉及将区域边坡的地震动力失稳转化为滑坡灾害;本文将弹性定义为区域路网整体系统的可靠度。从网络可靠性的角度出发,系统地提出了区域交通网络对地震滑坡灾害恢复能力的评估框架。根据高维非线性网络动力学理论,强调了将高维网络动力学理论引入滑坡灾害影响下区域路网抗灾能力研究的未来研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Fragility curves accounting for uncertainties in material parameters and ground motion characteristics using a data driven surrogate model 利用数据驱动的替代模型计算材料参数和地面运动特性的不确定性的易碎性曲线
Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2023.20
Supratik Bose, Andreas Stavridis, Panagiotis Ch. Anastasopoulos, Kallol Sett
This study uses a statistical surrogate model to develop fragility curves for an infilled reinforced concrete frame building, considering uncertainties in both material properties and ground motion parameters. The focal point of this study is a school building in Nepal damaged during the 2015 Gorkha earthquake. The school was instrumented, and its seismic response was simulated using a nonlinear numerical model. The model, developed following a recently proposed framework and extensively validated with the field data, is used in a parametric study conducted to identify the most influential material parameters (MPs). The model is then used in incremental dynamic analyses conducted to provide data for the calibration of a surrogate model. The three-staged least square statistical modeling approach is adopted to relate the influential MPs and ground motion intensity measures with important response quantities related to the peak and residual first-story drift ratios. The surrogate model is employed to generate fragility curves accounting for the two sources of uncertainty. The results indicate that accounting for uncertainties associated with the MPs can alter the fragility curves, causing a shift in the prediction of the median and dispersion of intensity measures.
考虑到材料特性和地震动参数的不确定性,本研究使用统计代理模型开发了填充钢筋混凝土框架建筑的易损性曲线。本研究的重点是尼泊尔一座在2015年廓尔喀地震中受损的学校建筑。对该学校进行了仪器测量,并采用非线性数值模型对其地震响应进行了模拟。该模型是根据最近提出的框架开发的,并通过现场数据进行了广泛验证,用于参数化研究,以确定最具影响力的材料参数(MPs)。然后将该模型用于增量动态分析,为代理模型的校准提供数据。采用三阶段最小二乘统计建模方法,将有影响的MPs和地震动强度指标与峰值和剩余第一层漂移比相关的重要响应量联系起来。采用代理模型生成考虑两种不确定性来源的脆弱性曲线。结果表明,考虑与MPs相关的不确定性可以改变脆弱性曲线,导致强度测量的中位数和离散度的预测发生变化。
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引用次数: 0
Repair procedure-based recovery pattern for estimating seismic resilience and novel concept of public resilience 基于修复程序的地震恢复力估算恢复模式与公共恢复力新概念
Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2023.23
Xu Chen, Zhongguo Guan, Jianzhong Li, Yutao Pang
This study proposes a repair procedure-based recovery pattern for better estimation of structural seismic resilience, which is scarcely considered in previous studies. In this manner, the multiple repair stages and detailed repair sequences of each damaged component are incorporated into the post-earthquake structural functionality, which could better present the recovery process. Additionally, to indicate the structural resilience from the point of public civilians, a novel concept of public resilience (PR) is proposed as well. In this concept, the functionality of structures remains zero until they are completely repaired and opened to the public. This is because, for civilians, the structural functionality is meaningless before opening for full utilization. Analytical analysis and numerical illustrative examples of typical highway bridges are utilized, demonstrating the efficiency of the proposed concepts. The results show that even for the simplified situation with only two damaged components, the seismic resilience is substantially affected by incorporating the stages and the sequences of repair procedures. While for more complex practical scenarios, the influence of repair procedures is expected to be more significant. Additionally, since the recovery pattern of PR is represented through stepwise functions, the value of PR is always lower than that of conventional methods. This fact indicates that for public civilians, seismic resilience of structures will not be as high as that in the view of engineers and researchers.
本研究提出了一种基于修复过程的恢复模式,以更好地估计结构的抗震弹性,这在以往的研究中很少考虑。通过这种方式,将各个受损构件的多个修复阶段和详细的修复顺序纳入震后结构功能,可以更好地呈现恢复过程。此外,为了从公共平民的角度来描述结构弹性,本文还提出了公共弹性(PR)的概念。在这个概念中,结构的功能保持为零,直到它们完全修复并向公众开放。这是因为,对平民来说,在开放充分利用之前,结构功能是没有意义的。通过典型公路桥的解析分析和数值算例,验证了所提概念的有效性。结果表明,即使在只有两个构件受损的简化情况下,纳入修复步骤的阶段和顺序对其抗震恢复能力也有很大的影响。而对于更复杂的实际情况,预计修复程序的影响更为显著。此外,由于PR的恢复模式是通过逐步函数表示的,因此PR的值总是低于常规方法。这一事实表明,对于普通民众来说,结构的抗震能力不会像工程师和研究人员所认为的那样高。
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引用次数: 0
Structural reliability analysis with epistemic and aleatory uncertainties via AK-MCS with a new learning function 带有新学习函数的AK-MCS结构可靠性分析
Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2023.18
Yunjie Du, Jun Xu
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引用次数: 0
Integrating resilience in the multi-hazard sustainable design of buildings 在建筑的多灾害可持续设计中整合弹性
Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2023.16
S. Bianchi
Recent natural disasters and climate change-induced extremes emphasize the urgent need to enhance the overall resilience of society by addressing the various hazards that buildings may face. Current design approaches recognize the need for integrated risk assessments, but studies primarily focus on existing buildings and single hazards, neglecting the impact of multiple hazards and resilience quantifications. However, it is crucial to consider multi-hazard scenarios and quantify economic, environmental, and resilience losses to pursue effective solutions from the early-stage design of both new buildings and retrofitting interventions. This paper presents a practical multi-criteria approach to support design decisions for enhanced safety, sustainability, and resilience of buildings against earthquakes and heatwaves. The proposed approach is applied to a commercial building with various seismic-resistant and energy-efficient facades. Non-linear seismic assessments are conducted to predict the potential impact concerning repair costs, carbon emissions, and the resilience loss at the design-level earthquake. Additionally, a whole life-cycle analysis and dynamic energy simulations are performed to calculate the financial and carbon losses resulting from power consumption and the ability of the building to maintain energy efficiency under extreme heat. Finally, the study employs a multi-matrix decision-making approach based on integrated economic, environmental, and resilience losses to guide the design selection. The results demonstrate that earthquake-resistant facades can significantly reduce financial losses by over 50%, with seismic resilience playing a crucial role in the final decision. This approach facilitates more effective investment decisions for building projects, enabling the quantification of the effectiveness of integrated strategies in reducing overall potential losses.
最近发生的自然灾害和气候变化引发的极端事件强调,迫切需要通过解决建筑物可能面临的各种危险来增强社会的整体复原力。目前的设计方法认识到需要进行综合风险评估,但研究主要集中在现有建筑和单一危害上,忽视了多重危害的影响和弹性量化。然而,从新建筑的早期设计和改造干预措施中寻求有效的解决方案,至关重要的是要考虑多灾害情景,量化经济、环境和恢复力损失。本文提出了一种实用的多标准方法来支持设计决策,以增强建筑物的安全性、可持续性和抗地震和热浪的弹性。提出的方法应用于具有各种抗震和节能立面的商业建筑。进行非线性地震评估,以预测设计级地震对修复成本、碳排放和恢复力损失的潜在影响。此外,还进行了全生命周期分析和动态能源模拟,以计算电力消耗造成的财务和碳损失,以及建筑在极端高温下保持能源效率的能力。最后,采用基于综合经济、环境和弹性损失的多矩阵决策方法指导设计选择。结果表明,抗震外墙可以显著减少50%以上的经济损失,抗震弹性在最终决策中起着至关重要的作用。这种方法为建设项目提供了更有效的投资决策,使减少整体潜在损失的综合战略的有效性得以量化。
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引用次数: 0
Smart cities - spatial planning and disaster risk reduction of Pune city, India 智慧城市——印度浦那市的空间规划和减少灾害风险
Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2023.11
Sujata Kodag, Abhishek Kodag
Cities are becoming the preferred choice of populations to reside in due to the opportunities they offer. While the concentration of populations is increasing in the cities, there is an immediate need to equip the cities for efficient functioning and providing safety and security. The unplanned urbanization of cities is adding vulnerability, especially to the spatially relevant hazards such as earthquakes and floods. Initiatives such as the Smart City Mission support cities with investments to improve the quality of life for people and enhance the efficiency of the civic systems by integrating infrastructure and technology. However, the top down approach to decision making, especially in spatial planning, leaves out the perspective of citizens. This study, hence, attempts to gather the perception of citizens on smart city initiatives and disaster risk reduction (DRR) through a questionnaire survey in the smart city of Pune, India. The objective of this study is to understand how smart city initiatives influence the key spatial planning components for DRR. The study reveals smart city initiatives proposed for the city impacts each spatial planning component. Smart city initiatives may further stress these components, increasing the exposure to disaster risks. Therefore, there is a need for holistic integration in spatial planning for DRR. This study can help in modulating the smart city initiatives for enhancing the safety of the citizens.
由于城市提供的机会,城市正成为人们居住的首选。在城市人口日益集中的同时,迫切需要使城市具备有效运作和提供安全保障的能力。城市无计划的城市化增加了脆弱性,特别是对地震和洪水等空间相关灾害的脆弱性。智慧城市使命(Smart City Mission)等倡议通过投资支持城市,通过整合基础设施和技术,改善人们的生活质量,提高公民系统的效率。然而,自上而下的决策方法,特别是在空间规划中,忽略了公民的观点。因此,本研究试图通过在印度浦那的智慧城市进行问卷调查,收集市民对智慧城市倡议和减少灾害风险(DRR)的看法。本研究的目的是了解智慧城市倡议如何影响DRR的关键空间规划组成部分。该研究揭示了为城市提出的智慧城市倡议对每个空间规划组成部分的影响。智慧城市计划可能会进一步强调这些组成部分,增加灾害风险。因此,需要在减灾空间规划中进行整体整合。这项研究可以帮助调整智慧城市的举措,以提高市民的安全。
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引用次数: 0
Welcome to the new journal of Disaster Prevention and Resilience 欢迎来到新一期的《灾害预防与恢复》杂志
Pub Date : 2021-06-22 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2021.01
Jie Li
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引用次数: 1
Compounding challenges for disaster resilience in small island developing states 增加了小岛屿发展中国家抗灾能力的挑战
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.20517/dpr.2021.04
Denise D. P. Thompson
No country will escape the ravages of climate change, but some, like small island developing states (SIDS), will be less able to withstand them. Their fundamental characteristics in essential domains pose existential threats for them. The paper borrows from Lukka and Vinnari’s work on domain and method theories as a lens to conceptually explore the question, “Is it possible for SIDS to become disaster resilient?” It turns out that SIDS might be too small, too isolated, too economically and institutionally weak, and too exposed to become disaster resilient. Their developmental state, economic, institutional, and community attributes are causes of significant vulnerabilities and undermine disaster resilience efforts. The challenges from climate change alone highlight the herculean task ahead for these small and tiny developing islands without transformative actions. The advantage for SIDS is their solid social system. Their populations are resourceful, and they can pivot if they need to. However, the lingering question remains whether that will be enough to mitigate the weaknesses in other critical resilience domains?
没有一个国家能够逃脱气候变化的破坏,但一些国家,如小岛屿发展中国家(SIDS),将无法抵御气候变化。它们在基本领域的基本特征对它们的生存构成威胁。本文借鉴了Lukka和Vinnari在领域和方法理论方面的研究成果,从概念上探讨了“小岛屿发展中国家有可能变得具有抗灾能力吗?”事实证明,小岛屿发展中国家可能太小,太孤立,经济和制度太薄弱,太容易受到灾害的影响。它们的发展状态、经济、制度和社区属性是造成重大脆弱性的原因,并破坏了抗灾努力。仅气候变化带来的挑战就表明,如果不采取变革行动,这些发展中小岛国面临的任务将十分艰巨。小岛屿发展中国家的优势在于其稳固的社会制度。他们的人口足智多谋,如果需要,他们可以转向。然而,一个挥之不去的问题是,这是否足以缓解其他关键弹性领域的弱点?
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引用次数: 1
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Disaster Prevention and Resilience
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