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Forecasting Service Sales Turnover Using Double Exponential Smoothing Method (case Study: Kinclong Sub) 基于双指数平滑法的服务营业额预测(以金龙分公司为例)
Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i1.224
Riko Muhammad, M. Hamidah, B. M. Mulyo
As the lifestyle of modern society develops, service companies are businesses in the form of services that sell specialskills in order to make it easier for customers, one of which is shoe washing services. However, the problem thatusually occurs is that the number of service requests is not certain which results in raw materials that sometimesaccumulate or run out every month, errors in predicting the sales turnover of shoe washing services can result inowners experiencing losses if the target raw materials are not appropriate.This study aims to create a forecasting system for the amount of turnover from each service sale by Kinclong Sub usingthe Double Exponential Smoothing method, so that the raw material needs needed every month can be optimal. Thebest turnover forecasting results for each service on Kinclong Sub for the following month, May 2022, were Rp.10.006,248 with a MAPE value of 17.86% for DeepClean services. And Unyellowing got Rp. 1493,374 with a MAPEvalue of 17.18 %. So it can be concluded that the service that has the most turnover for the next month is DeepClean,the forecasting results can make it easier for Kinchlong Sub shop owners to provide raw materials from services thatare most in demand by consumers.
随着现代社会生活方式的发展,服务公司是以服务的形式出售专业技能的企业,以使客户更容易,其中之一是洗鞋服务。然而,通常出现的问题是服务请求的数量不确定,导致原材料有时会累积或每月用完,如果目标原材料不合适,洗鞋服务的销售营业额预测错误可能会导致业主遭受损失。本研究旨在利用双指数平滑法建立一个预测系统,预测公司每项服务销售的营业额,使每月所需的原材料需求量达到最优。在接下来的一个月(2022年5月),对Kinclong潜艇上的每项服务的最佳营业额预测结果为10.006,248卢比,深度清洁服务的MAPE值为17.86%。而unyellows的Rp为1493,374,mapvalue为17.18%。因此可以得出,下个月营业额最高的服务是DeepClean,预测结果可以让金龙子店主更容易从消费者最需要的服务中提供原材料。
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引用次数: 0
KNN and Webgis Classification to Recommend Mountain Location According to Hiker Abilities KNN和Webgis分类根据徒步者能力推荐山地位置
Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i1.222
Shagi Hisyam Al Fathony, Ani Dijah Rahajoe, Rifki Fahrial Zainal
The increasing number of climbers has an impact on the need for a system that can recommend mountains for climbingaccording to the ability of climbers. This study aims to create a system that can help climbers determine the mountainaccording to their abilities. Researchers use one of the methods in data mining, namely classification, using the K =Nearest Neighbor (K-NN) algorithm.This research has produced a web-based system where this system can classify and provide recommendationsaccording to the ability of climbers. This system is equipped with a hiking trail map which is expected to help make iteasier for climbers to choose the mountain they will climb.
登山者数量的增加影响了对一个系统的需求,该系统可以根据登山者的能力推荐登山的山峰。这项研究的目的是创建一个系统,可以帮助登山者根据自己的能力来确定山。研究人员使用数据挖掘中的一种方法,即分类,使用K =最近邻(K- nn)算法。这项研究产生了一个基于网络的系统,该系统可以根据登山者的能力进行分类并提供推荐。该系统配备了徒步旅行路线地图,这有望帮助登山者更容易地选择他们要攀登的山峰。
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引用次数: 0
Online Buying and Selling Application of Sacrificial Animals Using Scrum Method During the Covid-19 Pandemic 新型冠状病毒大流行期间使用Scrum方法在线买卖祭祀动物的应用
Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i1.218
Endra Rahmawati
Since the pandemic entered Indonesia, many people have switched to the online buying and selling transaction process.The Covid-19 pandemic has had a very significant impact on the transaction process which was previously carriedout traditionally, especially for the sale and purchase of sacrificial animals. The process of selling sacrificial animalsis still done traditionally by ordering directly by phone and coming directly to the cattle pen for the sacrificial animalsdesired by consumers. To deal with these problems, an alternative solution is needed that can create a informationsystem solution as a medium for selling livestock online. This online sacrificial animals buying and selling applicationwill be developed using the SCRUM method. When conditions change like this during the Covid-19 pandemic, SCRUMis suitable for developing applications. This is because Scrum is an iterative method that is included in the Agilemethod in how to manage and run an application development project. The features or menus that will be built in thisapplication including Master Data Management, and get Reports on all Transactions periodically, Shipping / DeliveryTransactions, notifications for Animal Husbandry Services. However, due to the conditions of the Covid-19 pandemic,there are several features that will be added, namely the Results of Routine Examination of the Condition of SacrificialAnimals for the last 1 month which will continue to be updated by livestock owners, and Description of PhysicalCondition of Sacrificial Animals which includes Species, Skin Color, Weight (Kg ), Height (cm). The results of theBlack Box Testing show that all functions have run well with a percentage of successful functional running of 97.3%.Keywords: Application, Online Buying and Selling, Sacrificial Animals, Scrum Method.
自疫情进入印度尼西亚以来,许多人转向网上买卖交易流程。Covid-19大流行对以前传统的交易流程,特别是祭祀动物的买卖产生了非常重大的影响。出售祭祀动物的过程仍然是传统的直接通过电话订购,直接到牛圈购买消费者想要的祭祀动物。为了解决这些问题,需要另一种解决方案,可以创建一个信息系统解决方案,作为在线销售牲畜的媒介。此在线祭祀动物买卖应用程序将使用SCRUM方法进行开发。在Covid-19大流行期间,当情况发生这样的变化时,scrum适合开发应用程序。这是因为Scrum是一种迭代方法,包含在如何管理和运行应用程序开发项目的敏捷方法中。功能或菜单,将建立在这个应用程序,包括主数据管理,并定期获得报告的所有交易,航运/交付交易,通知畜牧业服务。然而,由于Covid-19大流行的情况,将增加几个特征,即家畜所有者将继续更新的过去一个月祭祀动物状况常规检查结果,以及祭祀动物的身体状况描述,包括物种,肤色,体重(Kg),身高(cm)。黑盒测试结果表明,所有功能运行良好,功能运行成功率为97.3%。关键词:应用,在线买卖,祭祀动物,Scrum方法。
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引用次数: 0
Stability Control of Frequency and Voltage in Wind Power Plant Using Complementary Load with Pid Control, Pwm and Thingspeak Monitor 基于Pid控制、Pwm和Thingspeak监视器的互补负荷风电场频率电压稳定控制
Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i1.211
Yuliana Hermanto, Agus Kiswantono
Utilization of wind energy (wind) that blows from a certain height which is then used to turn wind turbines and converted into electrical energy or so-called wind power plants (PLTB) is one solution to the problem of the energy crisis so far. In addition, voltage stability is very necessary in the continuity of the use of power plants. Unstable voltage and frequency make electrical equipment (load) easily damaged. There are various ways to reduce instability, one of which is using a pseudo/complementary load electronic control circuit. The point is that the generator will be loaded with a total load that is always constant, the load on the consumer plus the complementary (pseudo) load is equal to the nominal capacity of the generator. This research uses a 3 phase generator and a 3 phase induction motor as a driving machine, the main load uses a lamp and the pseudo load uses a heater. The main control uses a Dspic30f4012 microcontroller connected to a voltage sensor. The microcontroller works using PWM with feedback using PID, which then PWM provides pulse information to the load drive circuit. The use of PID in this control system will produce a voltage in the generator at 50 Hz and 220Vac whether there is a load or not. So that the voltage supplied to consumers is stable and does not damage electronic equipment.
利用从一定高度吹来的风能(风),然后用来转动风力涡轮机,将其转化为电能或所谓的风力发电厂(PLTB),是迄今为止解决能源危机问题的一种方法。此外,电压稳定在电厂的连续使用中是非常必要的。不稳定的电压和频率使电气设备(负载)容易损坏。减少不稳定性的方法有很多种,其中一种是使用伪/互补负载电子控制电路。关键是发电机将加载总负载,总负载总是恒定的,消费者的负载加上补充(伪)负载等于发电机的标称容量。本研究采用三相发电机和三相感应电动机作为驱动机构,主负载采用灯,伪负载采用加热器。主控采用Dspic30f4012单片机连接电压传感器。微控制器使用PWM和PID反馈,然后PWM向负载驱动电路提供脉冲信息。在此控制系统中使用PID,无论是否有负载,都会在发电机中产生50hz和220Vac的电压。因此,提供给消费者的电压是稳定的,不会损坏电子设备。
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引用次数: 0
Feasibility Test of Transformer Insulating Oil Lifetime Based on Breakdown Voltage (bdv) and Furan Analysis 基于击穿电压和呋喃分析的变压器绝缘油寿命可行性试验
Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i1.212
Dewi Febrina
Optimization of transformer performance in distributing electrical energy is determining by transformer insulating oilquality. Insulating oil temperature increases with the great of transformer workload released during the distributionof electric power to consumers. Then, it will be affected to the breakdown voltage (BDV) value and oil quality whichcan even lead to the insulating oil failure. This research is carried out by taking a sampling of new deck oil and usedoil at different temperatures. Then insulating oil is tested by using BDV test and Dissolved Gas Analysis (DGA) todetermining furan value and workability of insulating oil lifetime. Thus, this research expected to identify the feasibilityof transformer insulating oil lifetime based on breakdown voltage and furan value.
变压器配电性能的优化取决于变压器绝缘油的质量。在向用户配电过程中,随着变压器负荷释放量的增大,绝缘油温度也随之升高。进而对击穿电压(BDV)值和油品质量产生影响,甚至导致绝缘油失效。本研究是通过对不同温度下的新甲板油和旧甲板油进行取样来进行的。然后对绝缘油进行了BDV试验和溶解气体分析(DGA),确定了绝缘油的呋喃值和工作寿命。因此,本研究旨在确定基于击穿电压和呋喃值的变压器绝缘油寿命的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Nutrient Film Hydroponic System Techniques for Pid-Based Strawberry Growth 营养膜水培系统在草莓生长中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i1.221
M. Abdullah, Harianto, Musayyana, Pauladie Susanto
Surabaya is an urban area with limited land for farming, because there are many buildings. Farming requires a largearea and fertile soil. With the development of agricultural technology today, there is a new method of planting calledHydroponics. There are several types of hydroponic systems, namely Aeroponics (fog system) and Nutrient FilmTechnique (NFT). In this article, the writer uses NFT technique. NFT is a system that has a farming concept bychanneling nutrients to plant roots in a film or thin so that plants get food nutrients, namely water and oxygen. Theadvantage of using this NFT system is that it makes it easier to control plant nutrients and plant growth is fasterbecause plant roots are free to absorb nutrients to the maximum. From the results of the research conducted, the pHsetpoint value was 6.0. From the results of the research conducted, set point pH values of 6.4 and 5.8. From the testresults, the Ziegler Nichols method of type 1 for a setpoint of 6.4 gets a value of L=3 and T=22.44 and a setpoint valueof 5.8 gets a value of L = 3 and T = 23.76. After that, the setpoint 6.4 got the value of Kp = 8.976 Ki = 1.496 Kd =13,464 and the setpoint of 5.8 got the value of Kp = 9.504 Ki = 1.584 Kd = 14,256. 1. The setpoint value of 6.4overshoot is 8.37% rise time 20 s, and settling time is 45 s. The setpoint value of 5.8 overshoot is 6.89% rise time 25s, and settling time is 55 s.
泗水是一个城市地区,农业用地有限,因为有很多建筑物。农业需要大面积和肥沃的土壤。随着当今农业技术的发展,出现了一种新的种植方法——水培法。水培系统有几种类型,即气培(雾系统)和营养膜技术(NFT)。在本文中,作者使用了NFT技术。NFT是一种具有农业概念的系统,通过将营养物质输送到植物的根部,使植物获得食物营养,即水和氧气。使用这种NFT系统的优点是更容易控制植物养分,植物生长更快,因为植物根系可以自由地最大限度地吸收养分。从研究结果来看,pHsetpoint值为6.0。从所进行的研究结果来看,设定点pH值为6.4和5.8。从测试结果来看,当设定点为6.4时,类型1的Ziegler Nichols方法得到的值为L=3, T=22.44,当设定点为5.8时,得到的值为L=3, T= 23.76。之后设定点6.4得到Kp = 8.976 Ki = 1.496 Kd = 13464,设定点5.8得到Kp = 9.504 Ki = 1.584 Kd = 14256。1. 6.4超调设定值为8.37%,上升时间为20 s,稳定时间为45 s。5.8超调的设定值为6.89%,上升时间25s,稳定时间55s。
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引用次数: 0
Decision Support System To Determine The Best Tax Payer Nominee At Regional Government Using Saw & Ahp 基于Saw和Ahp的地方政府最佳纳税人提名决策支持系统
Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i2.26
Wahyu Aziz Prastiyo, R. Adityo, Syariful Alim
Tax, as generally known, are important aspect for Indonesia country sustainability. Taxpayer compliance is a conditionwhere the taxpayer has completed all of their tax obligations and get their tax rights. These compliance are identifiedwhen they send back SPT and their compliance of paying tax debts. Decision support system is a part of computerizedinformation system. AHP-SAW is one kind of a method which developed by combining weight and comparisonbetween criteria to determine the best alternative. Using the method, this research will help the tax office to choosewhich hotel and restaurant are eligible to get the best criteria in tax compliance. Based on the test result, for hotel,accuracy obtained is 78.6% on average, where Hotel Wijaya 1 always get the first rank. For restaurant, the accuracyobtained is 84.7%, where RM Ramio always get the first rank. Business entity criteria has big impact on rankingprocess where in a 100% accuracy test, this criteria got bigger value than other criteria.
众所周知,税收是印尼国家可持续发展的重要方面。纳税人合规性是指纳税人完成了所有纳税义务并获得纳税权利的情况。这些合规性是在他们发回SPT和缴纳税款的合规性时确定的。决策支持系统是计算机化信息系统的一部分。AHP-SAW是一种结合权重和标准间比较来确定最佳方案的方法。使用该方法,本研究将有助于税务机关选择哪些酒店和餐厅符合税务合规的最佳标准。根据测试结果,对于酒店,获得的准确率平均为78.6%,其中hotel Wijaya 1始终获得第一名。对于餐厅,获得的准确率为84.7%,其中RM Ramio始终获得第一名。业务实体标准对排名过程有很大的影响,在100%准确率测试中,该标准比其他标准具有更大的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Webgis Application For Searching Nu Mosque In East Java Using The Haversine Method Webgis在利用哈弗辛法搜索东爪哇怒寺中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i2.25
Rizqi Ibnu Tarmizi, M. Hamidah, A. Arizal
Indonesia is the country with the largest number of mosques in the world. In East Java, there are many Islamicorganizations, one of which is Nahdhotul Ulama (NU). Nahdhotul Ulama (NU) is one of the socio-religiousorganizations in Indonesia which was founded on 16 Rajab 1344 or to coincide with January 31, 1926 in Surabaya onthe initiative of two leading traditional scholars at that time, K.H Hasyim Asy'ari and K.H Abdul Wahab Hasbullah.Geographic Information System is a computer system that is used to collect, check, integrate, and analyze informationrelated to the earth's surface. Basically, the term geographic information system is a combination of three mainelements, namely system, information, and geography. Thus, an understanding of these three main elements will bevery helpful in understanding GIS. The haversine is an important equation in navigation, giving the great circle thedistance between any two points on the sphere of longitude and latitude. It is a special case of the more commonformula in spherical trigonometry, the law of haversines, relating the sides and angles of a spherical triangle (SphericalTrigonometry).From the calculation results of the haversine algorithm the first trial formula is at the user's location at 1. Jl. RayaSurabaya - Malang, Sawahan, Buduran, Buduran District, Sidoarjo Regency, East Java 61252 found the closest mosquebased on the heversine formula is Darussalam Mosque, jl. Kedemang Singomenggolo no 98 Buduran with a distanceof 1,396 Km. From the calculation results of the haversine algorithm, the first trial formula at the user's location on Jl.Raya Suko No.55, RT.01/RW.01, Ngemplak, Cemeng Kalang, Sidoarjo District, Sidoarjo Regency, East Java 61224found the closest mosque based on the heversine formula is Miftahul Jannah Mosque, jl. Banjar poh village BanjarBendo with a distance of 1,878 Km
印度尼西亚是世界上清真寺数量最多的国家。在东爪哇,有许多伊斯兰组织,其中之一是Nahdhotul Ulama (NU)。Nahdhotul Ulama (NU)是印度尼西亚的一个社会宗教组织,于1344年拉加卜16日或1926年1月31日在泗水成立,由当时的两位主要传统学者K.H Hasyim Asy'ari和K.H Abdul Wahab Hasbullah发起。地理信息系统是一种用于收集、检查、整合和分析与地球表面有关的信息的计算机系统。从根本上说,地理信息系统是系统、信息和地理三个主要要素的组合。因此,理解这三个主要元素将对理解GIS非常有帮助。哈弗斯方程在航海中是一个重要的方程,它给出了大圆上经纬度球上任意两点之间的距离。这是球面三角学中更常见的公式——哈弗斯定律的一个特例,哈弗斯定律与球面三角形的边和角有关。从haversine算法的计算结果来看,第一次尝试公式是在用户位置1处。杰。RayaSurabaya - Malang, Sawahan, Buduran, Buduran District, Sidoarjo Regency,东爪哇61252发现基于heversine公式的最接近的清真寺是Darussalam清真寺,jl。克德蒙辛格戈罗98号,距离1396公里。从哈弗辛算法的计算结果来看,在用户位置上的第一次试验公式。Raya Suko 55号,r01 /RW。东爪哇Sidoarjo区,Cemeng Kalang, nengplak 01, 61224根据heversine公式发现最近的清真寺是mittahul Jannah清真寺,jl。banjarpoh村,距离1878公里
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引用次数: 0
Route Optimization of Waste Carrier Truck using Breadth First Search (BFS) Algorithm 基于广度优先搜索(BFS)算法的垃圾车路线优化
Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i2.23
Muhammad Fahreal Bernov, Ani Dijah Rahajoe, B. M. Mulyo
Waste problems have always been the main focus which still occurs in cities and regencies in Indonesia, andalso Sidoarjo Regency is no exception. Increasingly rapid population growth is one of the factors in the increasingpiles of waste in Sidoarjo Regency. The large number of villages with long distances and a large area means that wastecollection cannot be carried out on time, causing accumulation of waste that disrupts residents' daily activities. Thewaste transportation system in Sidoarjo Regency has so far not been optimal because there are still several problemswith the accumulation of waste in several sub-districts.In this study, an optimal route search system was created using the Breadth First Search and Depth First SearchAlgorithms as a search comparison in order to make it easier for Sanitation Service officers to carry out the wastetransportation process by considering the optimal destination location route according to input from the user. Theresults of this study will display information on the comparison of the total distance traveled and the total volumetraveled by the Breadth First Search and Depth First Search algorithms with different differences.
垃圾问题一直是主要焦点,仍然发生在印度尼西亚的城市和乡村,Sidoarjo Regency也不例外。日益迅速的人口增长是Sidoarjo摄政区垃圾堆积日益增多的因素之一。村庄数量多,距离远,面积大,垃圾收集不能及时进行,造成垃圾堆积,影响居民的日常生活。到目前为止,Sidoarjo县的废物运输系统还不是最理想的,因为在几个街道上仍然存在废物堆积的问题。本研究采用广度优先搜索算法和深度优先搜索算法作为搜索比较,建立了一个最优路径搜索系统,以便环卫服务人员根据用户输入考虑最优目的地位置路线,从而更容易地开展垃圾运输过程。本研究的结果将显示广度优先搜索和深度优先搜索算法在不同差异下的总距离和总体积的比较信息。
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引用次数: 1
Reagent Stock Prediction Using Monte Carlo Method At Populer Clinical Laboratory Surabaya 用蒙特卡罗方法预测泗水市大众临床实验室试剂库存
Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v7i2.27
Farah Dibba, Wiwiet Herulambang, Fardanto Setyatama
Prediction is important as decision are made earlier. Information are needed before prediction is optimallydone. Company operational supply can be predicted and depicted in computerized process. By doing so, a decisionbased on past probabilities could be made efficiently. In the simulation, stock of goods is important. Reagent stockprediction could be done by using Monte Carlo method. Monte Carlo method is one of a tool that can be used toanalyze common uncertainty in reagent stock procurement. The result of Monte Carlo prediction can help companyto determine the future amount of reagent stock. In this research, the forecast results 95,83% accuracy by using 2022annual stock data.
预测是重要的,因为决策可以更早地做出。在进行最佳预测之前,需要信息。在计算机化的过程中,可以预测和描述公司的运营供应。通过这样做,基于过去概率的决策可以有效地做出。在模拟中,商品库存是重要的。用蒙特卡罗方法可以进行试剂库存预测。蒙特卡罗方法是分析试剂库存采购中常见不确定性的工具之一。蒙特卡罗预测的结果可以帮助公司确定未来的试剂库存数量。在本研究中,利用2022年的年度股票数据,预测结果准确率为95,83%。
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引用次数: 0
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JEECS (Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences)
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