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2010 IEEE/OES Baltic International Symposium (BALTIC)最新文献

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Why today's systems theory can't cope with global environmental or marine systems catastrophes and crises? 为什么今天的系统理论不能应对全球环境或海洋系统的灾难和危机?
Pub Date : 2010-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/BALTIC.2010.5621636
R. Jasinevicius
This presentation is based on the first reaction of the world famous systems theory scientists and researchers to the global events on our earth (starting with the contemporary banking crisis and finishing with the global environmental and marine systems catastrophes, which recently have shaken or are still threatening to shake the whole world). Comments on the events dealt with political, social and systems control theory aspects. The global management of world marine ecosystem, economy and social system was considered as SoC — the system of communities aiming a maximal profit instead of rational efficiency. Such an approach was based on a certain institutionalization of a global greed. On the other hand the environmental and marine systems are presented as a stochastic set of interdependent world-vide information and control systems considered as SoS — the system of systems, having no instruments (neither fundamental theory nor tools) able to cope with the current critical situation. The old and perfectly developed control theory with its well-known stability criteria is not adequate to the phenomenon of the contemporary world's realities. New approach is proposed, adequate to the global arrangements and interdependence of actors in the contemporary world system of systems: 1) consideration of a new type of information — fuzzy knowledge-based data; 2) development of an extended independent space-time world coordinate system; 3) introduction and inclusion into the theory of a very important feature, such as anisotropy of our world's structure. These three aspects up till now were neglected by the general systems theory, and this negligence coused society's scientific impotence in the presence of the crises. So, a new branch of general systems theory is under development now; its name — GFSCT — general fuzzy systems control theory, and it is taking into account all three approaches mentioned above. In this presentation is emphasized also that the new theory, as well as world's community political will, is crucial for our future.
这个演讲是基于世界著名的系统理论科学家和研究人员对我们地球上的全球性事件的第一反应(从当代银行危机开始,以全球环境和海洋系统灾难结束,这些灾难最近已经动摇或仍有可能动摇整个世界)。对事件的评论涉及政治、社会和系统控制理论方面。将世界海洋生态系统、经济和社会系统的全球管理视为SoC,即以利益最大化为目标而不是以合理效率为目标的群落系统。这种方法是建立在全球贪婪的某种制度化的基础上的。另一方面,环境和海洋系统被认为是一组相互依存的全球信息和控制系统的随机集合,被认为是SoS -系统的系统,没有工具(既不是基本理论也不是工具)能够应付当前的危急情况。古老的、发展完善的控制理论及其众所周知的稳定性标准,并不足以适应当代世界的现实现象。提出了一种新的方法,以适应当代世界系统体系中的全球安排和行动者的相互依存:1)考虑一种新的信息类型-模糊知识数据;2)建立一个扩展的独立时空世界坐标系;3)在理论中引入并包含了一个非常重要的特征,比如我们世界结构的各向异性。这三个方面一直被一般系统论所忽视,这种忽视导致了社会在危机面前的科学无能。所以,一般系统理论的一个新分支正在发展中;它的名字- GFSCT -一般模糊系统控制理论,它是考虑到所有上述三种方法。在本报告中还强调,新的理论以及国际社会的政治意愿对我们的未来至关重要。
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引用次数: 2
Assessment of sediment contamination in Klaipeda port area using long-term monitoring data 利用长期监测资料评价克莱佩达港区沉积物污染
Pub Date : 2010-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/BALTIC.2010.5621626
S. Suzdalev, S. Gulbinskas
Current paper analyses the tendencies of contaminants distribution in the bottom sediments of Klaipeda port area using long-term (1999–2009) monitoring data, collected during the implementation of Klaipeda State Seaport monitoring programmes.
本文利用Klaipeda国家海港监测计划实施期间收集的长期(1999-2009)监测数据,分析了Klaipeda港区底部沉积物中污染物分布的趋势。
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引用次数: 2
Modelling of Baltic Sea inflow events and deep water currents 波罗的海入流事件和深水流的模拟
Pub Date : 2010-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/BALTIC.2010.5621639
S. Miladinova, A. Stips
Both medium and strong intensity inflow events into the Baltic Sea contribute to the ventilation of the Baltic Sea deep water. The present study is an attempt to perform realistic model simulations of the Baltic Sea in order to quantify natural mixing of dense bottom flows. The numerical simulations are carried out using the General Estuarine Transport Model (GETM) for a twelve year period from the beginning of 1995 until 2006. Simulation results are compared to the field observations from the Baltic Environmental Database (BED) for selected stations at quite different locations in the Baltic Sea, namely Anholt (AN), Arkona (AR), Bornholm (BO) and Gotland (GO) stations. A medium resolution (2D } 2D) spherical grid bathymetry and adaptive terrain-following vertical coordinates have been applied. The model validation against observations shows that the results agree rather well. The build-up of the stratification is well reproduced, however, with an underestimation of the mixed layer depth. All significant inflow events are reproduced throughout the twelve years of simulations. The timing of the inflow events has been simulated with acceptable accuracy. The seasonal temperature variation is well represented as well as the occasional decrease/increase of the near-bottom temperature due to the winter/summer inflow.
波罗的海中强度和强强度入流事件都有助于波罗的海深水的通风。本研究试图对波罗的海进行真实的模型模拟,以量化密集海底流动的自然混合。采用通用河口输运模式(GETM)进行了1995年初至2006年12年的数值模拟。模拟结果与波罗的海环境数据库(BED)在波罗的海不同地点的选定站的实地观测结果进行了比较,即Anholt (AN)、Arkona (AR)、Bornholm (BO)和Gotland (GO)站。采用了中分辨率(2D} 2D)球面网格测深和自适应地形跟踪垂直坐标。模型与观测值的对比验证表明,结果吻合较好。然而,在低估混合层深度的情况下,分层的形成得到了很好的再现。在12年的模拟中,所有重要的流入事件都得到了再现。以可接受的精度模拟了流入事件的时序。气温的季节变化及近底温度因冬/夏入流而偶有升高或降低。
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引用次数: 0
Use of earth observation data and numerical modeling in the development of marine downstream services in Estonia 利用地球观测数据和数值模拟发展爱沙尼亚的海洋下游服务
Pub Date : 2010-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/BALTIC.2010.5621658
U. Raudsepp, R. Uiboupin, L. Sipelgas, P. Lagemaa, T. Kõuts, U. Lips
The objective of the Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (GMES) is to provide, on a sustained basis, reliable and timely services related to environmental and security issues in support of public policy makers' needs. MyOcean is the implementation project of the GMES Marine Core Service (MCS), aiming at deploying the first concerted and integrated pan-European capacity for Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting (www.myocean.eu.org). MyOcean develops upgraded European capabilities for reference marine information and provides a wide range of key ocean indicators. The MCS provides information to intermediate users who combine it with other forms of information and data to provide customized downstream services for end users. The end users range from wide public to special target groups. Downstream marine services in Estonia are built on in-situ real time and near real time measurements, satellite remote sensing imagery and numerical modeling. Two-day marine forecasts for the North-Eastern Baltic Sea are produced by 3D circulation model HIROMB-EST. The downstream service portfolio consists of following items. Real time sea level observations including history and two-day forecasts on 12 locations around the Estonian coast are available in the Internet. Sea surface temperature (SST) and salinity are complimented with near real time ferry-box observations on the cross-section between Tallinn and Helsinki. During cloud free sky SST charts are produced using MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) imagery for the Gulf of Finland and Gulf of Riga. Illegal oil spills are detected from SAR imagery. The drift of the slick is simulated by Seatrack-Web and potential polluters are identified combining Seatrack Web and the Automatic Identification System (AIS). The monitoring of suspended particulate matter during harbor dredging is based on MODIS and MERIS (MEdium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer) data. The laboratory analyses of water samples are used for the calibration and validation of satellite products. The in situ measurements of vertical profiles of absorption and attenuation coefficients are used to determine the profiles of particle origin, concentration and size distribution. Operational ice extent monitoring using SAR data is rather widespread. Optical remote sensing imagery from MODIS and MERIS sensors complement SAR imagery. Ice concentration maps are produced using the histogram analysis of MODIS 250 m reflectance data. This data is used for model evaluation with the purpose to get reliable ice forecast from the HIROMMB-EST model. Spectral optical remote sensing data from MERIS helps to identify different ice types. The determination of high spatial resolution marine and coastal wind from the Advanced Synthetic Aperture Radar (ASAR) is quite a novel application in the Estonian waters. Wind field data can be retrieved from ASAR C-band data and model results using CMOD algorithm.
全球环境与安全监测(GMES)的目标是在持续的基础上提供与环境和安全问题有关的可靠和及时的服务,以支持公共决策者的需求。MyOcean是GMES海洋核心服务(MCS)的实施项目,旨在部署第一个协调和综合的泛欧海洋监测和预报能力(www.myocean.eu.org)。“我的海洋”项目提高了欧洲参考海洋信息的能力,并提供了广泛的关键海洋指标。MCS向中间用户提供信息,中间用户将其与其他形式的信息和数据相结合,为最终用户提供定制的下游服务。最终用户范围从广泛的公众到特殊的目标群体。爱沙尼亚的下游海洋服务建立在现场实时和近实时测量、卫星遥感图像和数值模拟的基础上。波罗的海东北部的两天海洋天气预报是由三维环流模式HIROMB-EST生成的。下游服务组合由以下项目组成。在互联网上可以获得爱沙尼亚海岸12个地点的实时海平面观测,包括历史和两天的预测。海面温度(SST)和盐度与塔林和赫尔辛基之间的横截面的近实时渡船箱观测相补充。在无云天空期间,使用MODIS(中分辨率成像光谱仪)图像制作了芬兰湾和里加湾的海温图。非法石油泄漏是通过SAR图像检测到的。利用Seatrack-Web模拟浮油的漂移过程,并结合Seatrack-Web和自动识别系统(AIS)对潜在污染者进行识别。港口疏浚过程中悬浮颗粒物的监测基于MODIS和MERIS(中分辨率成像光谱仪)数据。水样的实验室分析用于卫星产品的校准和验证。通过原位测量吸收系数和衰减系数的垂直剖面来确定颗粒的来源、浓度和粒径分布。利用SAR数据进行海冰范围监测的应用相当广泛。来自MODIS和MERIS传感器的光学遥感图像补充了SAR图像。冰浓度图是利用MODIS 250 m反射率数据的直方图分析生成的。该数据用于模式评估,目的是为了从HIROMMB-EST模式中获得可靠的冰预报。MERIS的光谱光学遥感数据有助于识别不同的冰类型。利用先进合成孔径雷达(ASAR)确定高空间分辨率的海洋和沿海风在爱沙尼亚水域是一项相当新颖的应用。利用CMOD算法可以从ASAR c波段数据和模型结果中获取风场数据。
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引用次数: 2
Measurements of turbulence in the Denmark Strait overflow 测量丹麦海峡的湍流溢出
Pub Date : 2010-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/BALTIC.2010.5621623
V. Paka, V. Zhurbas
A new tool is developed to provide deep ocean microstructure measurements in combination with standard CTD profiling/water sampling with only a minor increase in deployment time. A microstructure probe is mounted on a standard Rosette system like a sampling bottle. The probe is carried down to a proper depth attached to the Rosette that is performing water sampling and CTD profiling. When the desired depth is reached, the probe is detached from the Rosette using the bottle firing system and begins microstructure measurements in free-falling mode. During its free fall, the probe remains linked with the Rosette by a serviceable thin flexible cord to provide fast recovery. The cord does not disturb the free falling owing to free running from the probe. Turbulent velocity fluctuations are measured by an airfoil sensor. Such regime of microstructure measurements was realized in a cruise of R/V «Maria S. Merian», May-June 2009, performed under the EU 7th Framework Programme Priority Project «Thermohaline Overturning — at Risk?» (THOR). The microstructure measurements were done in the course of CTD surveying of the Danish Strait overflow. Bottom intrusion of cold/dense overflow water propagating downhill from the Danish Strait Sill was found to be characterized by a high level of turbulent velocity fluctuations while in the above lying layers the turbulence was suppressed.
开发了一种新工具,可以结合标准CTD剖面/水样进行深海微观结构测量,仅增加了部署时间。显微结构探头安装在标准的玫瑰花系统上,就像采样瓶一样。探针被带到适当的深度,连接到进行水采样和CTD分析的Rosette上。当达到所需的深度时,使用瓶烧制系统将探头与Rosette分离,并开始以自由落体模式进行微观结构测量。在自由落体过程中,探针通过一根可使用的细软绳与“玫瑰”相连,以提供快速恢复。由于探针的自由运行,导线不影响自由落体。紊流速度波动由翼型传感器测量。2009年5月至6月,在欧盟第7框架计划优先项目“温盐翻转-有风险?”下,“Maria S. Merian”号邮轮进行了一次巡航,实现了这种微观结构测量。»(雷神)。在对丹麦海峡溢流进行CTD测量的过程中,进行了微结构测量。研究发现,从丹麦海峡基底向下传播的冷/稠密溢流的底侵具有高湍流速度波动的特征,而在上面的层中湍流被抑制。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2010 IEEE/OES Baltic International Symposium (BALTIC)
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