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A Binary Logistic Analysis on Factors Affecting the Participation of Smallholder Farmers in the Market of Indigenous Chickens (ICs) 影响小农参与土鸡市场的二元Logistic分析
Pub Date : 2020-12-29 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01340
Lesiba Andries Sekele, J. Mokhaukhau, M. Cholo, A. Mayekiso
Participation in the market of Indigenous Chickens (ICs) enables farmers an opportunity to generate income and alleviate household food insecurity. The objectives of the study were to profile the socioeconomic characteristics of smallholder farmers and; to determine the factors influencing participation of smallholder farmers in the market of ICs. The study employed purposive and snowball sampling techniques to identify 50 indigenous chicken farmers in Makhuduthamaga Local Municipality, South Africa. Descriptive statistics and Binary Logistic regression model were employed to address the objectives of the study. The results revealed that, most smallholder farmers do not participate in the market of ICs. Moreover, experience in rearing chickens, land size, number of chickens owned, and purpose of rearing the chickens were found as factors influencing participation of farmers in the market of ICs. The study also confirmed that female farmers dominate in the market of ICs when compared to males. This, therefore, calls for government intervention in the promotion of ICs markets to encourage participation by farmers thus improving livelihoods.
参与土著鸡市场使农民有机会创收并缓解家庭粮食不安全问题。该研究的目的是介绍小农户的社会经济特征;以确定影响小农户参与集成电路市场的因素。这项研究采用了有目的和滚雪球抽样技术,确定了南非Makhuduthamaga地方市的50名当地养鸡户。采用描述性统计和二元Logistic回归模型来达到研究目的。结果显示,大多数小农户没有参与集成电路市场。此外,饲养经验、土地面积、拥有的鸡只数量和饲养目的被发现是影响农民参与集成电路市场的因素。该研究还证实,与男性相比,女性农民在IC市场上占主导地位。因此,这就要求政府干预IC市场的推广,鼓励农民参与,从而改善生计。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Efficiency of Rice Farming: 水稻种植的经济效益:
Pub Date : 2020-12-29 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01377
K. Aboaba
The future of agriculture is dependent on increase in the use of resources at disposal, it is therefore imperative that strategies to increase agricultural growth should be directed towards increasing efficiency of smallholder farming operations and resource utilization. This study examined the economic efficiency of rice production. Multistage sampling procedure was used to select 240 rice farmers with the aid of a structured questionnaire. Data collected were analyzed with descriptive techniques, Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) and Tobit regression model. The SFA result revealed that input variables such as seed, herbicide and pesticide were positive and had significant effect on rice output. The rice farmers were able to maximize their output by 74% at lowest minimum cost possible. Furthermore, economic efficiency was positively influenced by age, level of education, membership of farmers association, access to public market and access to health facilities while household size, farming experience, bad road condition and distance to nearest market had negative effects. The study concluded that rice farmers were inefficient. Therefore, in order to raise rice production efficiency and improve the livelihood of smallholder farmers, farmers should attend formal and informal education as it is a key policy issue in the study area, farmers should strengthen the existing association structures and organize new farmer’s associations. Also, the local and regional governments were encouraged to provide good road networks, and public market that will enable farmers dispose their produce at attractive places and prices of their choice.
农业的未来取决于增加对现有资源的利用,因此,促进农业增长的战略必须着眼于提高小农经营和资源利用的效率。本研究考察了水稻生产的经济效益。采用多阶段抽样方法,采用结构化问卷对240名稻农进行抽样调查。采用描述技术、随机前沿分析(SFA)和Tobit回归模型对收集的数据进行分析。SFA结果表明,种子、除草剂和农药等投入变量对水稻产量均有显著的正向影响。稻农能够以尽可能低的成本将产量最大化74%。此外,经济效率受到年龄、教育水平、农民协会成员资格、进入公共市场的机会和获得保健设施的机会的积极影响,而家庭规模、农业经验、道路状况不佳和距离最近的市场的距离则有消极影响。该研究的结论是,种植水稻的农民效率低下。因此,为了提高水稻生产效率,改善小农的生计,农民应该参加正规和非正规教育,这是研究区域的一个关键政策问题,农民应该加强现有的协会结构,组织新的农民协会。此外,鼓励地方和区域政府提供良好的道路网络和公共市场,使农民能够在有吸引力的地方和他们选择的价格处置他们的产品。
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引用次数: 2
THE USE OF AGRO- BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION PRACTICES AMONG FARMERS IN NIGER STATE, NIGERIA 尼日利亚尼日尔州农民对农业生物多样性保护措施的使用
Pub Date : 2020-12-29 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01350
A. O. Kayode
The use of agro-biodiversity practices are key coping strategies in adapting to climate change. This study determined the level of use of Agro- biodiversity conservation practices, assessed the benefits of the practice and identified constraints to its use. A three- stage sampling technique was used to select 150 respondents on which a structured interview schedule was administered. Descriptive statistics and Pearson’s Product Moment Correlation were used for data analysis.  Results shows that the use of animal dungs and plant residues as bio-fertilizers  was common biodiversity practice among farmers. 82.5% of the farmers were in the low level of use of these practices.  Constraints such as high cost of production lack of awareness of the use of these practices, were major constraints to the use of biodiversity practices. Age, years of schooling years of farming experience were significantly related to level of usage of Agro biodiversity practices. The study concludes that the level of use of Agro biodiversity practices among farmers was low and influenced by socioeconomic characteristics of the farmers. It recommends that government and other stake holders should provide necessary facilities for this practice. Extension agents should also sensitive farmers on the usefulness of Agro-biodiversity.  
利用农业生物多样性实践是适应气候变化的关键应对策略。本研究确定了农业生物多样性保护措施的使用水平,评估了这些措施的效益,并确定了其使用的制约因素。采用三阶段抽样技术,选取150名受访者,对其进行结构化访谈。采用描述性统计和Pearson积差相关进行数据分析。结果表明,利用动物粪便和植物残留物作为生物肥料是农民普遍的生物多样性做法。82.5%的农民对这些做法的使用水平较低。诸如生产成本高、缺乏对使用这些做法的认识等制约因素是使用生物多样性做法的主要制约因素。年龄、受教育年限和农业经验与农业生物多样性实践的使用水平显著相关。研究认为,农户对农业生物多样性实践的利用水平较低,且受农户社会经济特征的影响。它建议政府和其他利益相关者为这种做法提供必要的便利。推广人员还应使农民了解农业生物多样性的有用性。
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引用次数: 1
ASSESSEMENT OF YOUTH MIGRATION AND FOOD SECURITY AMONG FARMING HOUSEHOLDS 青年移民与农户粮食安全评估
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01375
S. Salau
Food insecurity is quickly becoming a key topic in economic growth and development. The Nigerian food insecurity situation is deteriorating due to the frequent migration of energetic and able-bodied youth from rural to urban areas. Hence, this study examined the food security status before and after youth migration and assessed the impact of youth migration on farming household food security. A two-stage sampling technique was employed to obtain data from 240 respondents. The data were analysed using descriptive statistics, the food security index and binary logistic regression. The results revealed that most (86.3%) of the respondents were males with an average age of 48.5 years. The reasons behind youth migration are poor roads, the search for white-collar jobs and the laborious nature of farming. Furthermore, the average yield before and after youth migration was 1878.8 kg/ha and 885.9 kg/ha of grain equivalent, respectively. Moreover, 61.7% of households were food-secure while 38.3% were food-insecure before youth migration. Worse still, after youth migration, 70% of the households were food-insecure and 30% were food-secure. The variables determining the food security of a given area were the ratio of rural youth migrants to household size, crop yield difference, level of education, household size, food crop losses, the volumes of cereal, legume, and root and tuber crops consumed and access to remittances. Governments at all levels should provide basic infrastructural facilities in rural areas to encourage youth to stay home. Young people should also be made aware of the negative consequences of migration. Policies aimed at household size reduction should be implemented to increase household food security as well.
粮食不安全正在迅速成为经济增长和发展的一个关键议题。由于精力充沛、身体健全的青年经常从农村地区迁移到城市地区,尼日利亚的粮食不安全状况正在恶化。因此,本研究考察了青年移民前后的粮食安全状况,并评估了青年移民对农户粮食安全的影响。采用两阶段抽样技术从240名受访者中获得数据。使用描述性统计、粮食安全指数和二元逻辑回归对数据进行了分析。结果显示,大多数(86.3%)受访者是男性,平均年龄为48.5岁。青年移民背后的原因是道路不畅、寻找白领工作以及务农的艰辛。此外,青年迁移前后的平均产量分别为1878.8公斤/公顷和885.9公斤/公顷粮食当量。此外,61.7%的家庭在青年移民前有粮食保障,38.3%的家庭在移民前没有粮食保障。更糟糕的是,在青年移民之后,70%的家庭粮食不安全,30%的家庭粮食安全。决定特定地区粮食安全的变量是农村青年移民与家庭规模的比例、作物产量差异、教育水平、家庭规模、粮食作物损失、谷物、豆类、块根和块茎作物的消费量以及获得汇款的机会。各级政府应为农村地区提供基本的基础设施,鼓励青年留在家中。还应使年轻人意识到移徙的负面后果。应实施旨在减少家庭规模的政策,以加强家庭粮食安全。
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引用次数: 0
Econometric estimation of the relationship between the unemployment rate and economic growth in Limpopo Province, South Africa 南非林波波省失业率与经济增长关系的计量经济学估计
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01291
T. Thaba, A. Belete, J. Hlongwane, L. Ledwaba
Abstract. The study aims to estimate empirically the relationship between economic growth and unemployment rate in Limpopo Province of South Africa. The analysis used quarterly data covering the period 2008-2018 which was obtained from Statistics South Africa. The study employed, difference model, dynamic model, and granger causality test for data analysis, in order to consider both, short term and long term possible relationship Based on the difference model estimation of the coefficient was done and the coefficient was found to be -0.22. From Granger causality test, causal relationship between these two variables doesn’t exist meaning that change in the growth rate of real GDP doesn’t cause change in the rate of unemployment and vice-versa. Inapplicable of the law indicates that a cyclical recovery will not be accompanied by reduction of unemployment. Furthermore, this might reflect the sizable structural and/or frictional component of unemployment in Limpopo Province. Lastly, the country's economic policies have not been suitable for fostering development that can reduce unemployment and this could be due to lack of appropriate composition of public sector and private sector.
摘要本研究旨在实证估计南非林波波省经济增长与失业率之间的关系。该分析使用了从南非统计局获得的2008-2018年的季度数据。本研究采用差异模型、动态模型和格兰杰因果检验对数据进行分析,以同时考虑短期和长期可能的关系。基于差异模型对系数进行估计,发现系数为-0.22。从格兰杰因果检验来看,这两个变量之间不存在因果关系,这意味着实际GDP增长率的变化不会引起失业率的变化,反之亦然。法律的不适用表明周期性复苏不会伴随着失业率的下降。此外,这可能反映了林波波省相当大的结构性和/或摩擦性失业因素。最后,该国的经济政策不适合促进能够减少失业的发展,这可能是由于公共部门和私营部门缺乏适当的组成。
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引用次数: 2
TRACTOR SERVICES CHALLENGES AND CURRENT DEMAND TRENDS BY SMALLHOLDER FARMERS IN NIGERIA 尼日利亚小农面临的拖拉机服务挑战和当前需求趋势
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01288
Achoja Roland Onomu, M. Aliber, I. Agbugba
Many smallholder farmers, particularly those in developing countries do not practice mechanisation such as the use of tractor due to some plethora of issues among which include: lack of demand, problematic supply model and failed mechanisation programmes. Based on the problems associated with smallholder mechanisation and the roles lack of demand played in past mechanisation programmes, this research investigated the characteristics and the challenges of tractor service providers, as well as the analyses of the current demand trends by the sampled smallholder farmers for tractor services, while forecasting the future demand in Delta and Benue States of Nigeria. The study employed a snowball sampling technique to collect field survey data from 20 private tractor service providers (SMEs) and 6 government tractor service providers in four local government areas of Delta and Benue States. Descriptive statistics, weighted mean score and trend analyses were used to interpret the result. The study finds that tractor services provide employment for rural dweller, particularly male; use less of household labour and the majority of those involved own only a tractor.  Among the different challenges such as the inability of smallholders to pay a high price, long distance to get mechanic, and the high cost of maintenance/high cost of the spare part; too few qualified tractor mechanics is ranked the most severe challenge. While both SMEs and government tractor service providers face some common challenges, poor maintenance and corruption predominates government tractor services. There has been a constant increase in the demand for tractor services by the smallholder farmers from 2013 to 2016 and the demand is forecast to continue. Based on the different challenges associated with the provision of tractor services to the smallholder, it was suggested that the government should support market driver tractor service provision
许多小农,特别是发展中国家的小农,由于需求不足、供应模式有问题和机械化计划失败等过多的问题,没有实行机械化,例如使用拖拉机。基于与小农机械化相关的问题和需求缺乏在过去机械化计划中所起的作用,本研究调查了拖拉机服务提供商的特点和挑战,并分析了抽样小农对拖拉机服务的当前需求趋势,同时预测了尼日利亚三角洲和贝努埃州的未来需求。该研究采用滚雪球抽样技术,从三角洲州和贝努埃州四个地方政府区域的20家私营拖拉机服务提供商(sme)和6家政府拖拉机服务提供商收集实地调查数据。采用描述性统计、加权平均分和趋势分析对结果进行解释。研究发现,拖拉机服务为农村居民提供了就业机会,尤其是男性;使用较少的家庭劳动力,其中大多数人只有一台拖拉机。在不同的挑战中,如小农无力支付高昂的价格,获得机械师的距离很远,维护成本高/备件成本高;合格的拖拉机机械师太少是最严峻的挑战。虽然中小企业和政府拖拉机服务供应商都面临一些共同的挑战,但维修不善和腐败是政府拖拉机服务的主要问题。从2013年到2016年,小农对拖拉机服务的需求不断增加,预计需求将继续增长。根据向小农提供拖拉机服务所面临的不同挑战,建议政府支持市场驱动拖拉机服务的提供
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引用次数: 2
Impact of Climate Change on Maize Yield 气候变化对玉米产量的影响
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01357
C. Chagwiza, P. Mapfumo, M. Antwi
Climate change has increased temperature, caused drought in places like North West Province, and reduced crop yield. This study investigated the climate change impact (rainfall) on maize yield (1987 -2017). The objectives were to determine the climate change impact on maize yield for Kwazulu-Natal, North West, and Free State Provinces of South Africa, assess the difference in climate change impact on maize yield between the three provinces. Rainfall and maize data were collected from WeatherSA and DAFF, respectively. A Pearson Correlation Analysis revealed a weak negative correlation between rainfall and maize for KwaZulu-Natal and Free State Provinces. However, for North West Province there was a weak positive correlation between maize yield and rainfall. Rainfall determines yield, if excessive, it becomes detrimental to crop yield. Climate change affected negatively on maize yield, rainfall above maize requirement was not beneficial to crop yield and drought reduced yield too. ANOVA results revealed that the group mean yield between the Provinces was different, with KwaZulu-Natal having the highest mean yield. The climate change impact on maize varied between provinces, KwaZulu-Natal Province was least affected, however, North West Province was the most negatively impacted with drought events leading to reduced maize yield.
气候变化导致气温升高,导致西北省等地干旱,作物减产。本研究调查了气候变化(降雨)对玉米产量的影响(1987 -2017)。目的是确定气候变化对南非夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省、西北省和自由邦省玉米产量的影响,评估三个省之间气候变化对玉米产量影响的差异。降雨和玉米数据分别来自WeatherSA和DAFF。皮尔逊相关分析显示,夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省和自由邦省的降雨量与玉米之间存在微弱的负相关。然而,在西北省,玉米产量与降雨量呈弱正相关。降雨决定产量,如果过多,则对作物产量不利。气候变化对玉米产量有不利影响,超过玉米需要量的降雨量不利于作物产量,干旱也导致产量下降。方差分析结果显示,各省之间的组平均产量不同,夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省的平均产量最高。气候变化对玉米的影响因省而异,夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省受影响最小,而西北省受干旱事件的负面影响最大,导致玉米减产。
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引用次数: 1
Determinants of Choice of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies among Rural Farming Households in Lokoja Local Government Area, Kogi State, Nigeria 尼日利亚科吉州洛科贾地方政府区农村农户气候变化适应策略选择的决定因素
Pub Date : 2020-11-08 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01324
H. I. Opaluwa, G. Opeyemi, Momoh John Eleojo
The study examined factors influencing the choice of climate change adaptation strategies among rural farming households in Lokoja Local Government Area, Kogi State, Nigeria. A total of 115 rural farmers constitute the sample size for this study. Descriptive and relevant inferential statistics such as multivariate probit model were used. The perceived effects of climate change in the study area were erosion/flooding, increase in rainfall, scarce of resources, increase in temperature, and increase in pest and disease infestation. The major adaptation strategies adopted by the  farmers in the study area were change in planting date (72.17%), change in harvesting date (67.83%), construction of drainage around homes/farms  (67.83%), income diversification (64.35%), and planting cover crops (58.26%). The result of the factors influencing choice of adaptation showed that gender, age, years of farming experience, access to credit, and training on climate change were the factors that influenced the choice of adaptation strategies in the study area. The major constraints to adoption of adaptation strategies in the study area were identified. The study concluded that selected socio-economic characteristics influenced the choice of rural farmers` adaptation strategies utilized in the study area. Government policies should be sensitive to support of trainings on climate change, education, credit access, farm size and household size
该研究考察了影响尼日利亚科吉州洛科贾地方政府区农村农户选择气候变化适应战略的因素。共有115名农村农民构成了本研究的样本量。使用了描述性和相关的推断统计学,如多元概率模型。气候变化对研究区域的影响是侵蚀/洪水、降雨量增加、资源稀缺、气温升高以及病虫害侵扰增加。研究区农民采用的主要适应策略是种植日期的变化(72.17%)、收获日期的变化、家庭/农场周围的排水系统建设(67.83%)、收入多样化(64.35%)和种植覆盖作物(58.26%),获得信贷和气候变化培训是影响研究领域适应战略选择的因素。确定了在研究领域采用适应战略的主要制约因素。研究得出的结论是,选定的社会经济特征影响了研究区域内农村农民适应策略的选择。政府政策应敏感地支持气候变化、教育、信贷获取、农场规模和家庭规模方面的培训
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Credit access and Cooperative membership on Food Security of Rural Households in Southwestern, Nigeria 信贷准入和合作社成员资格对尼日利亚西南部农村家庭粮食安全的影响
Pub Date : 2020-11-08 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01337
A. Kehinde, M. Kehinde
This study investigated the impact of credit access and cooperative membership on food security of rural households in Southwestern Nigeria. A multi stage sampling procedure was employed to select 300 rural households for the study. Data were analyzed using food security index, binary logit model, propensity score matching (PSM) and Augmented inverse probability weighting model (AIPW). Binary logit estimate reveals that age, household size, years of education, farm size, farm income and non-farm income significantly influenced the likelihood of rural households being members of cooperatives while household size, years of education, farm size, gender, asset and farm income significantly influenced the likelihood of rural households’ access to credit. Food security index revealed that about 66 percent of the households are food insecure. PSM revealed that cooperative membership and credit access is expected to increase the food security of rural households by approximately 1446 and 1496 kilocalories per person per day, respectively. AIPW revealed that cooperative membership and credit access is expected to increase the food security of rural households by approximately 1888 and 1899 kilocalories per person per day, respectively. The study concluded that credit access and cooperative membership has a positive and significant impact on food security of rural households. Thus, any programmes targeted at ensuring rural households’ food security, particularly southwest should take into cognizance their credit access and cooperative membership.
本研究调查了信贷准入和合作社成员资格对尼日利亚西南部农村家庭粮食安全的影响。采用多阶段抽样程序,选取300户农村家庭进行研究。使用食品安全指数、二元logit模型、倾向得分匹配(PSM)和增强逆概率加权模型(AIPW)对数据进行分析。二元logit估计显示,年龄、家庭规模、受教育年限、农场规模、农场收入和非农收入显著影响农村家庭成为合作社成员的可能性,而家庭规模、教育年限、农业规模、性别、资产和农场收入显著影响了农村家庭获得信贷的可能性。粮食安全指数显示,约66%的家庭粮食不安全。PSM透露,合作社成员资格和信贷准入预计将使农村家庭的粮食安全每人每天分别增加约1446和1496千卡。AIPW透露,合作社成员资格和信贷准入预计将使农村家庭的粮食安全每人每天分别增加约1888和1899千卡。研究得出的结论是,获得信贷和加入合作社对农村家庭的粮食安全有着积极而重大的影响。因此,任何旨在确保农村家庭,特别是西南地区家庭粮食安全的方案都应该考虑到他们的信贷渠道和合作社成员资格。
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引用次数: 8
Factors affecting the Performance of Tshiombo Irrigation Scheme in Limpopo Province, South Africa. 影响南非林波波省Tshiombo灌溉计划绩效的因素。
Pub Date : 2020-11-08 DOI: 10.17306/j.jard.2020.01314
Liboster Mwadzingeni, R. Mugandani, P. Mafongoya
Smallholder irrigation farming is valuable for improving the welfare of rural communities in South Africa. Irrigation schemes in South Africa perform below average as some collapsed. Boosting performance of irrigation schemes will ensure economic sustainability for low-income earners. There is little scholarly literature on factors affecting performance of smallholder irrigation schemes in South Africa. Therefore, this study assessed factors affecting yield and gross margin of sweet potato in Tshiombo Irrigation Scheme. Data was collected using structured questionnaires, Focus Group Discussions and in-depth interviews. Performance of the irrigation scheme was analysed using Ordinary Least Square. Yield or gross margin of sweet potatoes were used as proxies for scheme performance. Six estimators, namely age of farmers (-0.022), labour availability (-0.185), cultivated area (-0.130), pesticide subsidy (0.138), market price (6.090), and distance of the plot from the main canal (0.191) significantly impacted performance of the scheme. Minimum participation of farmers in value chain exposed then to lower market prices. Gross margin was generally low due to limited participation of aging farmers in the value chain. Performance of the scheme can be improved through providing and ensuring competitive prices and encouraging youth to participate in scheme farming by providing lucrative market prices.
小农灌溉农业对改善南非农村社区的福利很有价值。南非的灌溉计划表现低于平均水平,一些计划崩溃了。提高灌溉计划的绩效将确保低收入者的经济可持续性。关于影响南非小农户灌溉计划绩效的因素,学术文献很少。因此,本研究评估了Tshiombo灌溉方案中影响红薯产量和毛利率的因素。数据是通过结构化问卷、焦点小组讨论和深入访谈收集的。采用普通最小二乘法对灌溉方案的性能进行了分析。红薯的产量或毛利率被用作方案性能的指标。六个估算值,即农民年龄(-0.022)、劳动力可用性(-0.185)、耕地面积(-0.130)、农药补贴(0.138)、市场价格(6.090)和地块与干渠的距离(0.191),显著影响了该计划的绩效。农民在价值链中的最低参与度暴露在较低的市场价格之下。由于老龄化农民在价值链中的参与有限,毛利率普遍较低。通过提供和确保有竞争力的价格,以及通过提供有利可图的市场价格鼓励青年参与计划农业,可以提高该计划的绩效。
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development
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