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Biogeografía predictiva: técnicas de modelamiento de distribución de especies y su aplicación en el impacto del cambio climático 预测生物地理学:物种分布建模技术及其在气候变化影响中的应用
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.18800/ESPACIOYDESARROLLO.201501.008
M. T. D. L. Flor, M. A. Romero
Species distribution modeling is presented as an analytical tool for biogeography and the study of climate change impact on biodiversity.  Key modeling concepts and applications are reviewed; the maximum entropy principle is described as well as its implementation in the Maxent software.  Lastly, two demonstrative examples of species modeling are presented using two plant species: Pycnophyllum spathulatum (Caryophyllaceae) and Prosopis pallida (Fabaceae).  Bothe species were modeled using current climate data and under a future climatic change scenario based on RCP8.5 to examine the potential impact of global warming on the species’ distribution.
物种分布模型是生物地理学和气候变化对生物多样性影响研究的一种分析工具。回顾了关键的建模概念和应用;描述了最大熵原理及其在Maxent软件中的实现。最后,以两种植物为例进行了物种建模:石竹科(Pycnophyllum spathulatum)和豆科(Prosopis pallida)。利用当前气候数据和基于RCP8.5的未来气候变化情景对这两个物种进行了建模,以研究全球变暖对物种分布的潜在影响。
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引用次数: 7
La transformación de la acción pública - un nuevo paradigma de ordenamiento territorial en el Perú 公共行动的转变-秘鲁领土规划的新范例
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.18800/ESPACIOYDESARROLLO.201501.005
Ann-Kathrin Bersch
It appears that the situation of spatial planning policies in Peru is complicated. Several attempts to simplify legislations have failed. However, a coherent policy framework is necessary in order to efficiently implement a comprehensive spatial planning strategy. Therefore this paper considers the question of spatial planning through an analysis of public policy, in order to understand who has the power to make changes to create a common vision of spatial planning in Peru. It analyzes which were the obstacles of change so far to illustrate how change did not happen (or happened only in a limited way).  The first part sheds light on the conflicts between different levels of government. The second, analyzes how to conflicts of interest between actors within the government impede the elaboration of a coherent legislative framework. The last part discusses the possibility of a paradigm shift in Peruvian spatial planning policy and possible alternatives to the current model.
看来,秘鲁的空间规划政策情况是复杂的。几次简化立法的尝试都失败了。然而,为了有效地执行全面的空间规划战略,一个连贯的政策框架是必要的。因此,本文通过对公共政策的分析来考虑空间规划问题,以了解谁有权力做出改变,从而在秘鲁创造一个共同的空间规划愿景。它分析了到目前为止哪些是变化的障碍,以说明变化如何没有发生(或仅以有限的方式发生)。第一部分揭示了各级政府之间的冲突。第二部分,分析了政府内部行为者之间的利益冲突如何阻碍连贯立法框架的制定。最后一部分讨论了秘鲁空间规划政策范式转变的可能性以及当前模式的可能替代方案。
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引用次数: 1
Los no lugares y el mundo de las aguas: Aproximación al territorio ancestral de una comunidad amazónica 非地方和水的世界:接近亚马逊社区的祖先领土
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.18800/ESPACIOYDESARROLLO.201501.003
R. Arias
Characterization of an ancestral territory of the indigenous community of Macedonia was performed (Colombian Amazon located 57 km upstream from Leticia); through the cultural maps analysis obtained of ethnographic methodology based on social mapping and one analysis through intersubjective processes of consensus. As a result, georeferenced maps that generate an approximation of non-places that give access to shamanistic macro-space were obtained, which in turn is used to generate a local cultural revaluation that encourage glocalization  processes in the context of globalization.
对马其顿土著社区的祖先领地进行了表征(位于Leticia上游57公里处的哥伦比亚亚马逊河流域);通过对基于社会制图的民族志方法论的文化地图分析和通过主体间共识过程的分析。因此,获得了地理参考地图,这些地图产生了非地方的近似值,可以访问萨满教的宏观空间,这反过来又用于产生当地文化的重新评估,从而鼓励全球化背景下的全球本地化进程。
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引用次数: 0
El sub-aprovechamiento del suelo del sistema de andenería de la comunidad campesina San Pedro de Laraos, Huarochirí, Lima 利马huarochiri的San Pedro de Laraos农民社区的土地利用不足
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.18800/ESPACIOYDESARROLLO.201501.006
Katiusca Susana Yakabi Bedriñana
Highland terracing systems are a technology used in the ancient Andes to expand the agricultural frontier; then, that technology became an important source of food for the Incas. Research shows that the productivity of land was due to the form of construction of the platforms, but there are few studies that analyze soil fertility. In order to demonstrate the fertility in the terraces, soil physical and chemical properties were compared in three different sectors: terraces at rest, abandoned terraces and a hillside with no technology. They all belong to the terracing system of San Pedro de Laraos town, in Huarochiri, Lima. In all three sectors loam predominates. The soil pH is within the range of high bioavailability of most nutrients (5.5 to 7.5), except for two points on the slope without platforms. The soil electrical conductivity presents ranges that qualify the three areas as "no saline" (< 2 dS / m). The organic matter is in the appropriate percentages (3-5%), especially on the terraces at rest, which also have the highest content of NPK. In conclusion, the soil of the three zones does not differ significantly in their physical parameters, but it differs in the chemical parameters, especially in the content of macronutrients; the better range is in terraces at rest. However, the community of Laraos does not take advantage of it soil fertility; actually, most of their terracing system is abandoned and the structures are in a deterioration process.
高地梯田系统是古代安第斯山脉用于扩大农业边界的一种技术;然后,这项技术成为印加人重要的食物来源。研究表明,土地的生产力是由于平台的建设形式,但很少有研究分析土壤肥力。为了证明梯田的肥力,土壤的物理和化学性质在三个不同的区域进行了比较:静止的梯田,废弃的梯田和没有技术的山坡。它们都属于利马Huarochiri的San Pedro de Laraos镇的梯田系统。在这三个部门中,壤土占主导地位。土壤pH值在大多数养分的高生物利用度范围内(5.5 ~ 7.5),除了斜坡上没有台地的两点。土壤电导率呈现出“无盐”(< 2 dS / m)的范围,有机质含量在适当的百分比(3-5%),特别是在休息的梯田上,NPK含量也最高。综上所述,三区土壤在物理参数上无显著差异,但在化学参数上存在显著差异,尤其是在常量营养素含量上;最好的范围是在静止的梯田。然而,Laraos社区没有利用它的土壤肥力;实际上,他们的梯田系统大多被废弃,结构也处于退化过程中。
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引用次数: 0
Los territorios del agua en dos localidades de la Amazonía norte del Perú: los casos de Lamas (San Martín) y Santa María de Nieva (Amazonas) 秘鲁亚马逊北部两个地区的水领土:喇嘛(圣马丁)和圣玛丽亚德涅瓦(亚马逊)的案例
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.18800/ESPACIOYDESARROLLO.201501.007
G. Ramírez
In the last 50 years, the population growth of urban areas has increased significantly in Latin America. While this growth is mainly concentrated in coastal cities, places that were less populated before and even misperceived as uninhabited, as the Amazonia, also present an urban population increase. The cities of Lamas and Santa Maria de Nieva belong to the network of Peruvian northern cities: they are located in a transverse axis connecting the coast (Piura, Chiclayo) with the lower Amazonia (Iquitos). Taking into account the characteristics of land occupation, using cartographic sources (maps and satellite images) and gathering data from field research conducted during the month of August 2015, a first analysis of the urban water cycle was performed. It is based on the idea that this cycle is not only carry out in urban areas but rather has a close relationship with the territory (and resources) surrounding both locations. The results show that both cities have a significant impact (negative and positive) in the water sources and wastewater discharges of the territory. It has also been found that inside the urban space, water is an element that configures or sets sub-zones.
在过去的50年里,拉丁美洲城市地区的人口增长显著增加。虽然这种增长主要集中在沿海城市,但以前人口较少甚至被误认为无人居住的地方,如亚马逊河流域,也出现了城市人口的增长。Lamas和Santa Maria de Nieva的城市属于秘鲁北部城市网络:它们位于连接海岸(Piura, Chiclayo)和亚马逊河下游(Iquitos)的横轴上。考虑到土地占用的特征,利用地图资源(地图和卫星图像)并收集2015年8月进行的实地调查数据,对城市水循环进行了首次分析。它基于这样一种理念,即这种循环不仅在城市地区进行,而且与两个地点周围的领土(和资源)有着密切的关系。结果表明,两个城市对该地区的水源和废水排放均有显著影响(负影响和正影响)。研究还发现,在城市空间内部,水是配置或设置分区的要素。
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引用次数: 0
El mapa geomorfológico de Lima Metropolitana y sus cuencas hidrográficas, una herramienta para la gestión sostenible del territorio 利马大都会及其流域地貌地图,可持续领土管理的工具
Pub Date : 2012-11-20 DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.27200.84481
Sandra Villacorta, J. Úbeda
In this paper we present a joint initiative of the Instituto Geologico Minero y Metalurgico (Ingemmet) and the Research Group of Physical Geography in High Mountains of the Universidad Complutense de Madrid (GFAM-UCM), to promote at Peru the research on geomorphology and climate change. The plan is to elaborate geomorphological maps of Lima Metropolitana and header watersheds (Chillon, Rimac and Lurin), to generating analytical instruments to achieve the following objectives: 1) Decoding the record of climatic changes in landforms. 2) Delimit water reserves stored as ice masses (cryosphere). 3) Recognize the relationship between the geomorphology and the geological hazards which may affect to people and their economic activities. 4) Design a methodology that can be extrapolated to other Peruvian regions. To this end, geomorphological mapping will be integrated into geographic information systems (GIS): will be identified the morphoclimatic units and the related genetic processes. Also, their relative chronologies will be proposed. Then, the absolute dating of key units will be established to confirm or correct the relative chronologies. The information will be compiled in databases to be contrasted with other evidences and paleoclimatic proxies. This is intended to produce models of climate evolution, to contribute to the assessment of geological hazards, and the knowledge of current state of cryosphere, including recent trends and future forecasts.
在本文中,我们提出了一项由地质、矿物和冶金研究所(Ingemmet)和马德里康普顿斯大学高山自然地理研究小组(gfm - ucm)共同发起的倡议,旨在促进秘鲁地貌和气候变化的研究。该计划是精心制作利马大都市和主要流域(齐龙,里马克和卢林)的地貌图,以产生分析仪器,以实现以下目标:1)解码地形气候变化的记录。2)划定以冰块(冰冻圈)形式储存的水储量。3)认识地貌与可能影响人类及其经济活动的地质灾害之间的关系。4)设计一种可以外推到秘鲁其他地区的方法。为此目的,地貌测绘将纳入地理信息系统:将确定形态气候单位和有关的遗传过程。此外,还将提出它们的相对年表。然后,建立关键单元的绝对定年,以确认或纠正相对年表。这些信息将被编入数据库,与其他证据和古气候代用物进行对比。这样做的目的是建立气候演变的模型,促进地质灾害的评估,以及了解冰冻圈的现状,包括最近的趋势和未来的预测。
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引用次数: 0
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