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Rural Communities of Yakutia in Conditions of Permafrost Degradation: Key Risks, Social Consequences, and Adaptation Mechanisms 冻土退化条件下的雅库特农村社区:主要风险、社会后果和适应机制
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.199
Aleksandr A. Suleymanov, Vasiliy M. Lytkin, Liliya I. Vinokurova, Stepan A. Grigoryev, Svyatoslav I. Fedorov, Viktoriya Yu. Golomareva, Nikolay I. Basharin, Dmitriy A. Aprosimov
During the period of global climate change, the territories of the Russian Federation, within which permafrost is widespread, are at particular risk. The aim of this article is to identify the social consequences of permafrost degradation on the example of a number of rural settlements in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) and to determine the emerging mechanisms of adaptation to the challenges associated with changes in the habitual state of the environment. In this regard, for the first time, the villages of Amga, Yunkur, Argakhtakh, Lippe-Atakh and Ulakhan-An, located in Yakutia, were the focus of relevant interdisciplinary research conducted during 2019–2022. The work in these settlements made it possible to establish local features of both the consequences of the degradation of permafrost and the specifics of their perception by the local population. It is noted that in the rural settlements studied, permafrost degradation limits the development of traditional economic activities, including among the Arctic and Subarctic indigenous population, limits the possibilities for the spatial development of settlements, leads to problems with the safety of the housing stock, and hinders transport communication. The observed changes entail an increase in the financial burden on the population, economic entities and local administrations, and negatively affect the social well-being of the inhabitants of the studied villages. At the same time, the conducted research allowed to reveal that the mechanisms of adaptation and sustainability of rural communities that are being formed in this regard are largely based on traditions of rural mutual assistance.
在全球气候变化期间,永久冻土层广泛分布的俄罗斯联邦领土面临的风险尤其大。本文的目的是以萨哈共和国(雅库特)的一些农村定居点为例,确定永久冻土退化的社会后果,并确定适应与环境习惯状态变化相关的挑战的新机制。在这方面,位于雅库特的Amga、Yunkur、Argakhtakh、Lippe-Atakh和Ulakhan-An村首次成为2019-2022年期间开展的相关跨学科研究的重点。在这些住区开展的工作使人们能够确定永久冻土退化后果的当地特点以及当地居民对这些后果的具体看法。报告指出,在所研究的农村住区中,永久冻土退化限制了传统经济活动的发展,包括北极和亚北极土著人口之间的经济活动,限制了住区空间发展的可能性,导致住房存量安全问题,并阻碍了交通通讯。观察到的变化增加了人口、经济实体和地方行政当局的财政负担,并对所研究村庄居民的社会福利产生不利影响。与此同时,所进行的研究表明,在这方面正在形成的农村社区的适应和可持续性机制主要基于农村互助的传统。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Conjuncture of Arctic Natural Gas in the New Geopolitical Conditions 新地缘政治条件下北极天然气的经济格局
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.44
Sergey Yu. Kozmenko, Arina S. Kozmenko
The special military operation (SMO) organically fits into the logic of the century-long confrontation between Russia and Britain, and later — the USA, known since the late 18th century as the “Great Game”. One of the goals of the SMO on a national scale is not only to restore Russia’s dominance in the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, but also to counteract the achievement of such a goal by NATO countries. Russia uses various sources of funding the SMO, including oil and gas revenues of the Federal budget. Natural gas, unlike oil, is not under sanctions. There is nothing to compensate for the loss of revenues from the reduction of gas exports to Europe: practically all Russian pipelines (except for the Power of Siberia-1 with a capacity of only 38 billion m3) are oriented to the West; liquefied natural gas from the Yamal LNG and Sakhalin-2 projects is contracted for many years ahead. The EU countries have nothing to compensate for the lost volumes, except coal, but only Russian coal. Europe needs gas, Russia needs currency for the SMO, so it is necessary to find a solution to the problem.
特种军事行动(SMO)有机地符合俄罗斯与英国以及后来的美国之间长达一个世纪的对抗逻辑,这种对抗自18世纪末以来被称为“大博弈”。SMO在国家范围内的目标之一不仅是恢复俄罗斯在黑海和亚速海的主导地位,而且是为了抵消北约国家实现这一目标。俄罗斯利用各种来源为SMO提供资金,包括联邦预算中的石油和天然气收入。与石油不同,天然气不受制裁。减少对欧洲的天然气出口所造成的收入损失是无法弥补的:几乎所有的俄罗斯管道(除了输送能力只有380亿立方米的西伯利亚电力1号管道)都是面向西方的;亚马尔液化天然气和库页岛2号项目的液化天然气合同将持续多年。除了煤炭,欧盟国家没有任何东西可以弥补损失,但只有俄罗斯的煤炭。欧洲需要天然气,俄罗斯需要SMO的货币,因此有必要找到解决问题的办法。
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引用次数: 0
Customs Control in the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation 俄罗斯联邦北极地区的海关管制
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.5
Saniyat A. Agamagomedova
The purpose of the study is to identify the features of customs control in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, which is positioned as a type of customs control. Based on the use of methods of com-parative and system analysis, systematization and classification, formal legal method, the author outlines the specifics of this control. Five features of such control, related to its legal regulation and correlation with other types of state control, the status of supervised persons, temporal characteristics, and the application of the customs procedure of a free customs zone, are identified. On the basis of the analysis of the legal regime of the Arctic zone, enshrined in the current legislation, the conclusion is made about the attribution of this regime to administrative regimes of territory management. Attention is drawn to the combination of spatial and status approaches in public administration in the regulation of entrepreneurial and other activities in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, as well as to the complex regime support of the management of this territory (the principle of “regime in regime”). It is concluded that there has been a certain transformation in the regulation of the territory in the conditions of increased sanctions pressure, which is reflected in the priorities of import substitution through the development of domestic technologies and cooperation with Asian countries. From the perspective of the prospects of the development of the Arctic zone as a national priority for the socio-economic development of the country, it is proposed to systematically regulate the administrative procedures for customs control, ensuring the full functioning of the Northern Sea Route.
这项研究的目的是确定俄罗斯联邦北极地区海关管制的特点,该地区被定位为一种海关管制。在此基础上,笔者运用了比较与系统分析、系统化与分类、形式化法律等方法,概述了这一控制的具体内容。本文从自由关税区管制的法律规制、与其他类型国家管制的关联、被监管人的地位、时间特征以及自由关税区海关程序的适用等方面确定了自由关税区管制的五个特点。在分析现行立法规定的北极地区法律制度的基础上,得出了将北极地区法律制度归属于领土管理行政制度的结论。会议提请注意,在管理俄罗斯联邦北极地区的企业活动和其他活动方面,公共行政的空间和地位办法相结合,以及该领土管理的复杂制度支持(“制度中的制度”原则)。结论是,在制裁压力增加的情况下,对领土的管制发生了一定的转变,这反映在通过发展国内技术和与亚洲国家的合作优先考虑进口替代。从北极地区作为国家社会经济发展的国家优先事项的发展前景来看,建议系统地规范海关管制的行政程序,确保北海航线的充分运作。
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引用次数: 0
Availability of Budget Investments for Regions under the Program-Targeted Approach to Budget Formation (On the Example of Municipalities of the Arkhangelsk Oblast) 在方案定向预算形成方法下各地区预算投资的可获得性(以阿尔汉格尔斯克州各市为例)
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.87
Elena V. Kozhina, Kseniya I. Sergeeva
The article is devoted to the study of the availability of investment funds for the regions of investment funds of state development programs in the context of the program-targeted approach to budget formation. The use of program-targeted budgeting methods undoubtedly opens up extensive opportunities for optimizing the public finance management system, but the management tools and implementation mechanism at the regional level have not yet been sufficiently developed, which reduces the effectiveness of their application. The paper evaluates the uniformity of distribution of funds of the Targeted Investment Program of the Arkhangelsk Oblast for the period 20172021 between four districts that are similar in their parameters, as well as the distribution of budget investments within the framework of inter-budget transfers to local budgets of the Arkhangelsk Oblast for the period 20212023. The process and principles of a program-targeted approach to strategic planning and management of the public finance system as the main tool for improving the efficiency of budget expenditures are considered. The methods used in the study include analyzing the dynamics and structure of budget investment distribution, drawing conclusions on the basis of the obtained data about the uniformity of funds distribution and investment accessibility for the regions. This article can be useful for assessing the availability of budget investments when using the program-targeted approach to budget planning, as well as for developing an effective mechanism for implementing program-targeted budgeting approaches in the budget process at the local and regional levels.
本文致力于研究在预算形成的计划定向方法背景下,国家发展计划投资基金地区的投资资金可获得性。项目定向预算方法的应用无疑为优化公共财政管理体制开辟了广阔的空间,但区域层面的管理工具和实施机制尚不完善,降低了其应用的有效性。本文评估了2017年至2021年期间阿尔汉格尔斯克州目标投资计划在四个参数相似的地区之间的资金分配一致性,以及2021年至2023年期间阿尔汉格尔斯克州地方预算间转移框架内预算投资的分配。审议了以方案为目标的方法对公共财政系统进行战略规划和管理的过程和原则,作为提高预算支出效率的主要工具。研究方法包括分析预算投资分配的动态和结构,根据所得数据得出区域资金分配均一性和投资可及性的结论。本文可以用于评估预算投资的可用性,当使用以项目为目标的方法进行预算规划时,也可以用于开发一个有效的机制,在地方和区域一级的预算过程中实施以项目为目标的预算方法。
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引用次数: 0
Is It Possible to Change Arctic Fish Pricing? 北极鱼的价格有可能改变吗?
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.32
Anatoliy M. Vasilyev, Evgeniya A. Lisunova
The purpose of the article is to show the necessity of reducing wholesale domestic prices for Arctic fish and to propose economic methods for solving this problem. The relevance is associated with an un-reasonable increase in wholesale prices, which are the basis of retail prices, resulting in a decrease in the consumption of local fish. The increase in wholesale prices of fisheries in 2014-2015 and in the subsequent period is analyzed. The fundamentals of the world doctrines of cost and value are given, and the absence of factors to justify the increase in wholesale prices on the basis of the labor theory of value is shown. The data on the unreasonably close relationship between wholesale prices for fish in the domestic market of Russia and the exchange prices at which fish products exported to the European Union countries are presented. The possibility of reducing wholesale domestic prices by increasing the supply of fish to the domestic market of Russia in order to achieve the threshold values of the figures indicated in the Doctrine of Food Security is shown. In order to replace exchange foreign prices used in the domestic market of Russia, the need to develop a methodology for determining wholesale prices for the main types of Arctic fish, primarily currency-intensive ones, is substantiated.
本文的目的是表明降低北极鱼类国内批发价格的必要性,并提出解决这一问题的经济方法。与此相关的是,作为零售价格基础的批发价格不合理地上涨,导致本地鱼的消费量减少。分析了2014-2015年及以后渔业批发价格的上涨情况。给出了世界成本和价值理论的基本原理,并显示了在劳动价值论的基础上缺乏证明批发价格上涨的因素。关于俄罗斯国内市场鱼类批发价格与出口到欧洲联盟国家的鱼类产品的汇兑价格之间不合理的密切关系的数据被提出。文中指出了通过增加向俄罗斯国内市场供应鱼类来降低国内批发价格的可能性,以便达到《粮食安全原则》中所指出的数字的阈值。为了取代俄罗斯国内市场上使用的外汇价格,有必要制定一种方法来确定主要种类的北极鱼类,主要是货币密集的鱼类的批发价格。
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引用次数: 0
Current Problems of Indigenous Minorities of the Russian Arctic in the Context of Climate Change 气候变化背景下俄罗斯北极地区土著少数民族的现状问题
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.153
Irina I. Matvienko
The article describes the current problems of small indigenous peoples of the Russian Arctic in the context of climate change, the main of which are: the food problem, the problem of transport accessi-bility, the problem of economic activity and the problem of health. Because of global warming due to the increase in the average annual temperature, there is a high probability that the above-mentioned problems will only increase and significantly affect all life support systems of small indigenous peoples of the Russian Arctic. The article uses analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction to show the interconnection and mutual influence of the existing problems on the economic activity and health of small indigenous peoples in the conditions of climate change in the Arctic. In order to solve the current problems of the Russian Arctic indigenous minorities in the context of climate change, the following is required: 1) development of laws, strategies and/or state programs for the protection of indigenous peoples to minimize the adverse effects of climate change by sectors (reindeer herding, fishing, hunting and gathering); 2) creation of a system for assessing the impact of climate change on the economic activity and health of indigenous peoples; 3) participation of indigenous peoples in environmental monitoring and implementation of environmental projects in the Arctic.
文章描述了俄罗斯北极地区小土著民族在气候变化背景下的当前问题,其中主要是:粮食问题、交通可达性问题、经济活动问题和健康问题。由于年平均气温升高导致全球变暖,上述问题很有可能只会加剧,并严重影响俄罗斯北极地区小土著民族的所有生命维持系统。本文运用分析与综合、归纳与演绎的方法,展示了北极气候变化条件下存在的问题对土著小民族经济活动和健康的相互联系和相互影响。为了在气候变化的背景下解决俄罗斯北极土著少数民族的问题,需要:1)制定保护土著民族的法律、战略和/或国家方案,以尽量减少气候变化对各部门(驯鹿放牧、捕鱼、狩猎和采集)的不利影响;2)建立一个评估气候变化对经济活动和土著人民健康影响的系统;3)土著人民参与北极环境监测和环境项目的实施。
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引用次数: 0
Review of Scientific Publications on the Study of Population Migration in the Russian Arctic 俄罗斯北极地区人口迁移研究的科学文献综述
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.270
Irina S. Stepus, Aleksandr O. Averyanov, Inna V. Rodion
The purpose of the article is to conduct a quantitative and qualitative analysis of Russian-language publications on the topic of population migration in the Arctic zone of Russia. The national bibliographic database of scientific citation hosted on the eLIBRARY.RU platform was used as a source of information. The research methodology is based on the use of structural-semantic analysis of texts in combination with general scientific methods (analysis, generalization and systematization). The time period of 20102022 is characterized by an increase in the number of publications on migration issues in the Arctic zone of Russia, which was most clearly manifested during the adoption of Russia’s Arctic strategies. During the period under review, Russian authors prepared about 300 articles on the study of population migration in the Russian Arctic. However, the number of researchers who regularly publish papers on this topic is small. The analysis made it possible to identify an objective list of authors groups (scientific schools) that are leading in terms of the number of publications in this subject area. The main directions of the population migrations study in the Russian Arctic zone are considered according to six key scientific schools, general and special approaches of the authors to the study of Arctic migrations are highlighted. The study results will be useful and interesting to scientists, whose research area is related to population migration, including in the Russiaт Arctic regions; specialists dealing with social issues of the development of the Arctic territories; postgraduates and students involved in this field.
本文的目的是对俄罗斯北极地区人口迁移主题的俄语出版物进行定量和定性分析。国家书目数据库的科学引文托管在图书馆。使用RU平台作为信息源。本文的研究方法以篇章的结构语义分析为基础,并结合一般的科学方法(分析、概括和系统化)。2010年至2022年期间,关于俄罗斯北极地区移民问题的出版物数量有所增加,这在俄罗斯北极战略的实施中得到了最明显的体现。在本报告所述期间,俄罗斯作者编写了大约300篇关于研究俄罗斯北极地区人口迁移的文章。然而,定期发表这一主题论文的研究人员数量很少。通过分析,可以确定在这一主题领域的出版物数量方面处于领先地位的作者群体(科学流派)的客观名单。根据俄罗斯北极地区人口迁移研究的六大科学流派,论述了俄罗斯北极地区人口迁移研究的主要方向,重点介绍了作者研究北极地区人口迁移的一般方法和特殊方法。研究结果将对科学家有用和有趣,他们的研究领域与人口迁移有关,包括在俄罗斯北极地区;处理北极地区发展的社会问题的专家;本专业研究生及学生。
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引用次数: 0
Научная дипломатия в Арктике и Антарктике 北极和南极的科学外交
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.136
Valeriy N. Konyshev
The article studies the phenomenon of science diplomacy with regard to the Arctic and Antarctic. These two polar regions are similar because of high importance of international scientific activity and science diplomacy based on it. Science diplomacy is understood as a kind of synthesis of scientific and political-diplomatic activities, in which state and non-state actors can take part. The conditions for science di-plomacy in the Arctic and Antarctic are very different due to the history of development, legal status and established practice of international relations in these regions. The challenges faced by international scientific activity and science diplomacy in the two regions are considered. It is shown that in the Arctic and Antarctic, science diplomacy as a political tool is objectively in demand and cannot be “cancelled” due to the political context. In the current situation, science diplomacy can contribute to de-escalation of the conflict in relations between Russia and the West. At the same time, science diplomacy is not a panacea for creating international relations based on the principles of peace and cooperation. Like any political instrument, it protects national interests and not only serves to solve global problems arising in the Arctic and Antarctic.
本文对科学外交在北极和南极的现象进行了研究。由于国际科学活动和以其为基础的科学外交的高度重要性,这两个两极地区是相似的。科学外交被理解为一种科学和政治外交活动的综合,国家和非国家行为体都可以参与其中。由于北极和南极地区的发展历史、法律地位和国际关系的既定实践,这些地区开展科学外交的条件非常不同。考虑了这两个地区的国际科学活动和科学外交所面临的挑战。研究表明,在北极和南极,科学外交作为一种政治工具客观上是有需求的,不能因为政治语境而被“取消”。在目前的情况下,科学外交可以有助于缓和俄罗斯与西方关系中的冲突。与此同时,科学外交并不是建立基于和平与合作原则的国际关系的万灵药。与任何政治工具一样,它不仅是为了解决北极和南极出现的全球性问题,而且是为了维护国家利益。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial Intelligence Technologies in the Russian Arctic: The Case of the Murmansk Oblast 俄罗斯北极地区的人工智能技术:摩尔曼斯克州的案例
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.167
Maria A. Pitukhina, Anastasiya D. Belykh
Russian Arctic is a positive example of the introduction of information technologies (Industry 4.0.) as well as artificial intelligence technologies (Industry 5.0.). In the 21st century, IT-technologies have significantly improved quality of life in the Russian Arctic — development of IT camps, access to the Internet from the tundra. Arctic projects related to the AI technologies implementation are becoming increasingly popular: the article provides a list of such Arctic AI projects. An analysis of IT and AI vacancies in all subjects of the Russian Arctic on the website of the headhunter recruitment agency showed that the largest number of IT vacancies was posted directly in the Murmansk Oblast (74 vacancies). The study also analyzed job seek-ers’ resumes in the Murmansk Oblast, posted in the Artificial Intelligence section. The study shows that knowledge of Python programming language, SQL databases and English language is a prerequisite for all AI specialists. It was also determined that the salary of AI specialists is significantly higher than that of IT specialists. The Murmansk Oblast is becoming a leader in the development and implementation of both IT and AI technologies; this is primarily due to the development of logistics and the Northern Sea Route as an alternative to existing sea routes.
俄罗斯北极是引入信息技术(工业4.0)和人工智能技术(工业5.0)的积极例子。在21世纪,信息技术显著提高了俄罗斯北极地区的生活质量——信息技术营地的发展,从苔原接入互联网。与人工智能技术实施相关的北极项目正变得越来越受欢迎:本文提供了此类北极人工智能项目的列表。在一家猎头招聘机构的网站上,对俄罗斯北极地区所有学科的IT和AI职位空缺进行了分析,结果显示,直接在摩尔曼斯克州发布的IT职位空缺最多(74个空缺)。该研究还分析了摩尔曼斯克州求职者在人工智能版块发布的简历。该研究表明,掌握Python编程语言、SQL数据库和英语是所有人工智能专家的先决条件。人工智能专家的工资也明显高于It专家。摩尔曼斯克州正在成为信息技术和人工智能技术开发和实施的领导者;这主要是由于物流的发展和北海航线作为现有海上航线的替代方案。
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引用次数: 0
Transformation of the Development Processes of Transboundary Territories of the Far Eastern Arctic and Mechanisms of Their Regulation: The Role of Critical Infrastructure 远东北极跨界领土发展进程的转变及其调控机制:关键基础设施的作用
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2023.52.62
Boris Kh. Krasnopolskiy
In this article, on the basis of conceptual approaches derived from research in the field of theories of spatial economy and infrastructure, the problems of naturally occurring significant changes in the pro-cesses of development of natural-economic formations formed in the geostrategic territories of the North-Arctic part of the Far East, representing at the same time the eastern part of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF) are considered. Their transboundary role in the global Arctic basin, as well as at the junction of Russia with the state of Alaska, USA, in the Pacific Arctic, also requires intensification of research in this area, especially at the present stage of the well-known difficulties in international cooperation between our country and the United States. All this requires focusing the attention of specialists on the study of these processes, as well as on the closely related issues of the necessity to adjust the methods and mechanisms of state-regional regulation of the development of these economic entities. In the near future, the regulatory tools used should ensure the transition of these territories from the micro-level of primary, mainly raw material, spatial-economic formations to a new stage, to a higher meso-level of industrial development of economic complexes. As studies show, this transition will occur on the basis of advanced creation of a system-organized critical infrastructure, its main elements, which, due to their new spatial configuration, will provide the necessary conditions for this transition and give the opportunity to maximize the use of exogenous factors and emergent effects of the development of economic entities.
在本文中,根据空间经济和基础设施理论领域的研究得出的概念方法,考虑了在远东北北极地区地缘战略领土上形成的自然经济形态发展过程中自然发生重大变化的问题,同时代表了俄罗斯联邦北极地区的东部(AZRF)。它们在全球北极盆地中的跨界作用,以及在俄罗斯与美国阿拉斯加州在太平洋北极地区的交界处,也需要加强对这一领域的研究,特别是在我国与美国国际合作中众所周知的困难的现阶段。所有这一切都要求专家集中精力研究这些进程,以及密切相关的问题,即调整国家-地区对这些经济实体发展的调节方法和机制的必要性。在不久的将来,所使用的管制工具应确保这些领土从初级、主要是原材料、空间经济形态的微观层面过渡到一个新的阶段,过渡到经济综合体的更高的中尺度工业发展。研究表明,这种转变将在系统组织的关键基础设施的先进创造的基础上发生,其主要要素,由于其新的空间配置,将为这种转变提供必要的条件,并为最大限度地利用外生因素和经济实体发展的紧急效应提供机会。
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Arktika i Sever
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