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Конкурентные эффекты низких торговых барьеров: некоторые оценки для Калининградской области 低贸易壁垒的竞争效应:加里宁格勒地区的一些估计
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-4-7
Светлана Викторовна Голованова
International trade is an important factor affecting competition in domestic markets. Considering the vastness of Russian territory, one can expect the pro-competitive effect to vary from region to region. This analysis tests the hypothesis that the unique geographical position and economic status of the Kaliningrad region contribute to the rapid development of international trade, which, in turn, exerts competitive pressure on regional prices. The study incorporates two major lines of analysis: a) a comparison of the international trade growth rates of different Russian regions; b) an assessment of the influence of Russian and European prices on the consumer price index as well as prices for particular tradable goods in the Kaliningrad region. Rosstat and Eurostat serve as the main data sources. To test their hypothesis, the authors use the methods of statistical and econometric analysis. The status of the free economic zone and unique geographic position of the Kaliningrad region do not result in high growth rates of international trade in the region, but rather lead to a structural shift towards import thus exerting additional competitive pressure on domestic prices. The analysis did not confirm the hypothesis about the considerable influence of European prices on the short run dynamics of the regional consumer prices index or prices for certain imported goods. Nevertheless, indirect evidence of competitive effects of foreign trade was found in the course of a comparative analysis of price levels in the regions of the Northwest Federal district: the cost of the standard set of consumer goods and services in the Kaliningrad region is lower than the level defined by the regional per capita income.
国际贸易是影响国内市场竞争的重要因素。考虑到俄罗斯幅员辽阔,人们可以预期,促进竞争的效果会因地区而异。这一分析检验了下述假设,即加里宁格勒地区独特的地理位置和经济地位有助于国际贸易的迅速发展,这反过来又对区域价格产生竞争压力。该研究包含两个主要的分析线:a)比较俄罗斯不同地区的国际贸易增长率;b)评估俄罗斯和欧洲价格对加里宁格勒地区消费者价格指数以及特定可贸易商品价格的影响。俄罗斯统计局和欧盟统计局是主要的数据来源。为了验证他们的假设,作者使用了统计和计量经济学分析的方法。自由经济区的地位和加里宁格勒地区独特的地理位置并没有导致该地区国际贸易的高增长率,而是导致向进口的结构性转变,从而对国内价格施加额外的竞争压力。分析没有证实关于欧洲价格对区域消费者价格指数或某些进口商品价格的短期动态有相当大影响的假设。然而,在对西北联邦区各地区的价格水平进行比较分析的过程中,发现了对外贸易具有竞争性影响的间接证据:加里宁格勒地区一套标准消费品和服务的成本低于该地区人均收入所确定的水平。
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引用次数: 0
Строительство транспортных и энергетических сетей в Балтийском регионе как стимул развития территорий 在波罗的海地区建立运输和能源网络作为领土发展的动力
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-4-1
Алексей Владимирович Кузнецов, Владимир Анатольевич Оленченко
In light of some new aspects of the EU functioning, particularly, the recovery from the 2008-2009 global crisis, transportation and energy development projects are coming to the forefront in the Baltic region. At the same time, there is a need to consider EU’s recent adoption of a common seven-year financial program (2014—2020), which serves, in effect, as the Union’s budget. Given that, one may conclude that the countries of the Baltic region are entering a new stage of development. We look at the role and significance of transportation and energy projects as an instrument of economic development. Having studied the largest transport and energy projects in the Baltic region, we were able to show that the new infrastructure networks supported the investment expansion of Swedish and Finnish companies into the post-communist countries of the Baltic Region. Which, in its turn, allowed the Nordic investors to expand their domestic markets. The analysis also shows that the experience of private businesses proves a recent theoretical concept — the pyramid of regional development factors. As a result, the actual regional policy of the EU cannot be considered in the narrow sense of the Cohesion Policy alone.
鉴于欧盟运作的一些新方面,特别是从2008-2009年全球危机中复苏,波罗的海地区的交通和能源开发项目正走在前列。与此同时,有必要考虑欧盟最近通过的一项共同的七年财政计划(2014-2020年),该计划实际上是欧盟的预算。鉴于此,人们可以得出结论,波罗的海地区各国正在进入一个新的发展阶段。我们着眼于运输和能源项目作为经济发展工具的作用和意义。在研究了波罗的海地区最大的运输和能源项目后,我们能够证明,新的基础设施网络支持瑞典和芬兰公司在波罗的海地区后共产主义国家的投资扩张。这反过来又使北欧投资者得以扩大其国内市场。分析还表明,民营企业的经验证明了一个新的理论概念——区域发展要素金字塔。因此,欧盟的实际区域政策不能仅仅以狭义的凝聚力政策来考虑。
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引用次数: 1
Современные проблемы российско-латвийских отношений
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-3-7
Николай Маратович Межевич, Людмила Сергеевна Сазанович
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引用次数: 1
Гражданская защита в ЕС и ее значение для обеспечения безопасности в Балтийском регионе 欧盟内部的民事保护及其对波罗的海地区安全的重要性
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-3-3
Адриан Букаловский, Дариуш Кадуковский
This article describes civil protection activities of the EU in the framework of the Community Civil Protection Mechanism — a system for coordinating civil protection resources and in-kind assistance to countries stricken by natural and manmade disasters. By analyzing the legislation and actual activation of the Mechanism, the authors present the functioning of this system as well as the ongoing changes towards a more planned approach to providing civil protection. The authors address the issue of extending the current civil protection system by introducing preventive measures. The project, co-financed by the by the Civil Protection Financial Instrument, is used as an example of the introduction of preventive measures in the Baltic Sea region.
本文描述了欧盟在共同体民事保护机制框架下的民事保护活动。共同体民事保护机制是一个协调民事保护资源和向遭受自然灾害和人为灾害的国家提供实物援助的系统。通过分析该机制的立法和实际激活情况,作者介绍了这一制度的运作,以及正在进行的朝着更有计划的方式提供民事保护的变化。作者通过引入预防措施来解决现行民事保护制度的延伸问题。该项目由公民保护金融工具共同资助,被用作在波罗的海区域采取预防措施的一个例子。
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引用次数: 0
Роль транзита в экономике Латвии
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-2-10
Н В Гжибовская
Transit is an important issue in the history of world economy, including the economy of Latvia. Transit makes a significant contribution to the budget of many transit countries, one of which is the Republic of Latvia. These countries do not have significant natural resources and prefer to focus on logistics and infrastructure in order to facilitate the transit process. This article focuses on the role of transit in the economy of Latvia, whose unique geographical position makes the country an effective transport corridor (bridge) in both the west-east and north-south directions. The article presents the results of an opinion poll conducted at Latvian transit enterprises regarding their future development and offers an overview of the main sea ports and the R ī ga international airport. The author examines the issue of Russia’s accession to the World Trade Organization and its impact on the Latvian transit, the prolongation of EU sanctions against Belarus, and the use of Latvian transport infrastructure for handling the non-military cargo traffic to/from Afghanistan. In conclusion, a forecast of possible transit development in Latvia is provided.
过境是世界经济史上的一个重要问题,包括拉脱维亚的经济史。过境对许多过境国的预算作出了重大贡献,其中之一是拉脱维亚共和国。这些国家没有丰富的自然资源,宁愿把重点放在物流和基础设施上,以促进过境过程。本文的重点是过境在拉脱维亚经济中的作用,其独特的地理位置使该国成为东西和南北方向的有效运输走廊(桥梁)。本文介绍了对拉脱维亚过境企业进行的关于其未来发展的民意调查结果,并概述了主要海港和R ā ga国际机场。作者研究了俄罗斯加入世界贸易组织及其对拉脱维亚过境的影响、延长欧盟对白俄罗斯的制裁、以及利用拉脱维亚运输基础设施处理进出阿富汗的非军事货物运输等问题。最后,对拉脱维亚可能的过境发展作出预测。
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引用次数: 1
Перспективы развития атомной энергетики в восточной части Балтийского моря как фактор формирования системы международных отношений в регионе 波罗的海东部核能发展前景是建立该地区国际关系体系的一个因素。
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-2-3
Николай Маратович Межевич
Currently, the development of economic diplomacy in the world is determined by a combination of globalization and regionalization processes; moreover, it exhibits an economic dimension. At the same time, the Baltic Sea region demonstrates large-scale politicisation of the objective processes of economic cooperation. The development of nuclear power in the eastern part of the Baltic Sea is indicative of the effectiveness of political and economic cooperation in the region. The author believes that Russia and the Baltics have an economic and technological opportunity for developing cooperation in the field of energy. The only question is whether historical patterns of interstate relations can be overcome. A more pronounced international division of labour accompanied by the historically developed specialization of the USSR-Russia makes nuclear power an important factor of Russia’s economic diplomacy. The promotion of Russian energy projects in the region contributes to the development of a system of mutually beneficial ties. The economic prerequisite to that is the increasing energy deficiency in the region.
当前,世界经济外交的发展是由全球化和区域化进程相结合决定的;此外,它还体现了经济层面。与此同时,波罗的海区域显示出经济合作客观进程的大规模政治化。波罗的海东部核动力的发展表明了该地区政治和经济合作的有效性。作者认为,俄罗斯和波罗的海国家在能源领域有发展合作的经济和技术机遇。唯一的问题是,国家间关系的历史模式能否被克服。更明显的国际分工以及历史上发展起来的苏俄专业化,使核能成为俄罗斯经济外交的重要因素。俄罗斯在该地区的能源项目促进了互利关系体系的发展。实现这一目标的经济前提是该地区日益严重的能源短缺。
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引用次数: 0
Переход бедности от поколения к поколению: вызовы, стоящие перед Польшей 贫穷代代相传:波兰面临的挑战
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-3-6
Велислава Важивода-крушиньска
This article argues that urban poverty pockets emerged in Poland in the course of the system transformation towards capitalism. The main poverty drivers were the three overlapping processes: de-industrialization, ‘dewelfarization’ and de-institutionalization of the family accompanied by the devolution of social care management from the central to the local government. The enclaves of poverty emerged as a result of better-off residents leaving dilapidated blocks of flats and both spontaneous and deliberate accommodation of poorer citizens in these houses as social housing residents. In these areas, poverty tends to take root and reproduce in subsequent generations. The article is based on a 20-year study carried out in the city of Łodź under the author’s supervision. The article summarizes the findings obtained from three sources: 1) narrative interviews held twice — in 1998 and 2008 — among 90 adults belonging to the subsequent generations of a certain extended family residing in a poverty enclave; 2) 73 in-depth interviews with teenage mothers residing in poverty enclaves, 3) a quantitative survey of 500 13-year-old pupils attending schools located in poverty enclaves. The author arrives at the conclusion that poverty enclaves in Łodź resemble neighbourhoods of relegation as conceptualized by Loic Wacquant.
本文认为波兰的城市贫困区是在向资本主义制度转型的过程中产生的。主要的贫困驱动因素是三个重叠的过程:去工业化、“去福利化”和家庭的去机构化,同时伴随着社会关怀管理从中央向地方政府的权力下放。贫困飞地的出现是由于富裕的居民离开了破旧的公寓楼,并自发或有意地将较贫穷的公民作为社会住房居民安置在这些房子里。在这些地区,贫穷往往会在后代中扎根和繁殖。这篇文章是基于在作者的监督下在Łodź市进行的一项为期20年的研究。本文总结了从三个方面获得的发现:1)1998年和2008年两次对居住在贫困飞地的某个大家庭的后代的90名成年人进行了叙述性访谈;2)对73名居住在贫困飞地的青少年母亲进行深度访谈,3)对500名在贫困飞地上学的13岁学生进行定量调查。作者得出的结论是,Łodź的贫困飞地类似于卢瓦克·瓦奎特所构想的降级社区。
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引用次数: 0
Атомная энергетика Прибалтики: история возникновения и политико-экономические особенности развития 波罗的海的核能:发展的历史和政治经济特征
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-2-4
Геннадий Викторович Кретинин
This article analyses the issues of development of peaceful nuclear power. The author pays attention to the fact that nuclear power as a rather young branch of national economy, however, over recent decades, it has seen rises and falls and a number of states have had tragic experiences of nuclear emergencies; nevertheless, the interest in development, generation, and application of nuclear power is strong in many countries, including the Baltics. In the Baltics, nuclear power dates back to the Soviet times, but its development was suspended pursuant to the EU regulations (the Ignalina NPP). Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia have been striving for energy independence from Russia – the principal supplier of energy carriers to these countries. For a long time, the three Baltic states have been proclaiming their unanimity on the general European path of development. However, the reality proved it to be different. The touchstone for the achievement of common goals was the idea of constructing a new NPP at the site of the closed Ignalina NPP. The author comes to a conclusion that the joint construction of a new NPP is quite questionable. When it comes to politics, each Baltic state is ready to build its own NPP. Thus, the development of nuclear power in the Baltic region requires joint coordinated actions independent of bloc-inspired interests of the states involved. Moreover, this success will be cemented, if the actions are taken at the level of modern technologies and innovative decisions.
本文分析了和平发展核能的若干问题。作者注意到,核电作为国民经济中一个相当年轻的部门,但近几十年来,它经历了兴衰起伏,许多国家都有过核应急的悲惨经历;然而,在包括波罗的海国家在内的许多国家,对发展、发电和应用核能的兴趣很强。在波罗的海国家,核电可以追溯到苏联时代,但根据欧盟的规定(伊格纳利纳核电站),其发展被暂停。立陶宛、拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚一直在努力摆脱俄罗斯的能源独立,俄罗斯是这些国家的主要能源供应国。长期以来,三个波罗的海国家一直在宣布它们对欧洲总体发展道路的一致意见。然而,现实证明并非如此。实现共同目标的试金石是在关闭的伊格纳利纳核电站的原址上建造一座新核电站的想法。作者得出结论,联合建设新核电站是非常值得怀疑的。说到政治,每个波罗的海国家都准备建立自己的核电站。因此,波罗的海地区核电的发展需要独立于相关国家集团利益的联合协调行动。此外,如果在现代技术和创新决策层面采取行动,这一成功将得到巩固。
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引用次数: 0
Проблемы и перспективы безвизового диалога России и ЕС
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-3-2
Вадим Валентинович Войников, О.В. Корнеев
This article deals with the issues pertinent to the EU-Russia visa dialogue — one of the major areas of cooperation between the two partners. The article aims to identify the main problems of this dialogue, as well as prospects for the introduction of a visa-free regime between the EU and Russia. The authors provide a historical overview of cooperation in this area and consider problems and prospects of visa liberalization from the economic, legal, and political perspectives. The analysis draws on primary sources such as the EU and Russia’s legislation, EU-Russia agreements on visa facilitation and readmission, visa statistics, expert interviews, as well as analytical reports and research works on the topic. Particular attention is paid to the “Common steps towards visa-free short-term travel of the citizens of the EU and Russia”, which is currently the main document in the visa dialogue. Having assessed the implementation of the provisions contained in the four blocks of the “Common Steps”, the authors draw conclusions about the political nature of major obstacles to a visa-free regime. This article is based on the proceedings of the “Russia and European Union: the dynamics of interrelations” international conference organized by the EU center of the I. Kant Baltic Federal University (the EU4U project).
本文讨论了欧盟与俄罗斯签证对话的相关问题,这是两个合作伙伴之间的主要合作领域之一。本文旨在确定这次对话的主要问题,以及欧盟和俄罗斯之间引入免签证制度的前景。作者对这一领域的合作进行了历史回顾,并从经济、法律和政治的角度考虑了签证自由化的问题和前景。该分析的主要来源包括欧盟和俄罗斯的立法、欧盟-俄罗斯关于签证便利化和再入境的协议、签证统计数据、专家访谈以及有关该主题的分析报告和研究工作。特别值得注意的是“欧盟和俄罗斯公民免签证短期旅行的共同步骤”,这是目前签证对话的主要文件。在评估了“共同步骤”的四个部分所载规定的执行情况后,作者就免签证制度的主要障碍的政治性质得出结论。本文基于康德波罗的海联邦大学欧盟中心(EU4U项目)组织的“俄罗斯与欧盟:相互关系的动态”国际会议记录。
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引用次数: 2
«Польский вопрос» в советско-германских отношениях во Второй половине 1920-х годов (по материалам консульства СССР в Кёнигсберге) 20世纪20年代后半叶苏德关系中的“波兰问题”(根据苏联驻哥尼斯堡领事馆的资料)
Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.5922/2074-9848-2013-3-10
Юрий Владимирович Костяшов
On the basis of earlier unknown documents of the Soviet consulate in Konigsberg retrieved from the Archive of the Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation, the author analyses relations between the USSR and Germany in 1925—1930. The author focuses on the role of the “Polish question”, which largely affected the nature of bilateral relations. The consulate documents indicate that Soviet diplomacy aspired to exploit the differences between Poland and Germany over a wide range of issues (the geopolitical situation of East Prussia, the position of national minorities, the problem of transit through the Polish corridor, the status of the Free city of Danzig, etc.). Soviet consuls carefully observed political life in Konigsberg and the province. On the one hand, they paid attention to an increase in the nationalist and fascist attitudes. On the other hand, they emphasized the aspirations of the local political and business elite to develop economic cooperation with the Soviet Union. The People's Commissariat for Foreign Affairs tried to transform East Prussia into a Soviet lobby in the German government. These plans were not implemented at that time, but the 1920s ideas of cooperation between the two states on the anti-Polish basis were put into practice on the eve of World War II.
根据从俄罗斯联邦外交政策档案中检索到的苏联驻柯尼斯堡领事馆的早期未知文件,作者分析了1925-1930年苏联与德国的关系。作者着重讨论了在很大程度上影响双边关系性质的“波兰问题”所起的作用。领事馆的文件表明,苏联外交企图利用波兰和德国在广泛问题上的分歧(东普鲁士的地缘政治局势、少数民族的地位、通过波兰走廊的过境问题、但泽自由市的地位等)。苏联领事仔细观察柯尼斯堡和该省的政治生活。一方面,他们注意到民族主义和法西斯主义态度的增加。另一方面,他们强调了当地政治和商业精英发展与苏联经济合作的愿望。外交事务人民委员部试图将东普鲁士转变为德国政府中的苏联游说团。这些计划在当时并没有实施,但在第二次世界大战前夕,两国在反波兰基础上进行合作的想法在20世纪20年代付诸实施。
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引用次数: 1
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Baltijskij Region
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