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National Competitiveness through the Europe 2020 Strategy and Human Development Index in CEE Countries. A Panel Data Analysis 通过欧洲2020战略和人类发展指数分析中东欧国家的国家竞争力。面板数据分析
Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2016-0008
A. Tălmaciu, L. Cismaș
Abstract In the new innovation economy, national competitiveness is an expression of the quality of the human capital and of the capacity to attract and retain the talent. In this paper, we propose to verify the link between the national competitiveness and the human capital, measured by the public expenditure on tertiary education and by the public expenditure on research and development. The research methodology uses the Panel Data method for Central and Eastern European countries by analyzing data on competitiveness scores in the Europe 2020 Report 2014, the Human Development Index 2015, the Global Competitiveness Report 2016 and those on public expenditure on tertiary education and by the public expenditure on research and development, corresponding to the period 2010-2014. The objectives of this paper are: synthesis of theoretical delimitations on competitiveness, highlighting the relationship between national competitiveness and human capital, testing this relationship for the case of Central and Eastern European countries. The results show a significant and a positive relation, indicating that investment in education and research contributes significantly to increasing the national competitiveness. The obtained results draw attention to the fact that Central and Eastern Europe countries need to initiate measures to reduce the drain-brain phenomenon and to create a favorable socio-economic context for retaining and attracting the talent.
在新的创新经济中,国家竞争力是人力资本质量以及吸引和留住人才的能力的表现。在本文中,我们建议验证国家竞争力与人力资本之间的联系,通过高等教育的公共支出和研究和开发的公共支出来衡量。研究方法对中欧和东欧国家采用面板数据方法,分析了《2014年欧洲2020报告》、《2015年人类发展指数》、《2016年全球竞争力报告》以及2010-2014年期间高等教育公共支出和研发公共支出的竞争力得分数据。本文的目标是:综合竞争力的理论界定,突出国家竞争力与人力资本之间的关系,并以中欧和东欧国家为例检验这种关系。结果表明,教育和科研投入对国家竞争力的提升具有显著的正向作用。已取得的成果提请注意这样一个事实,即中欧和东欧国家需要采取措施,减少人才流失现象,并为留住和吸引人才创造有利的社会经济环境。
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引用次数: 7
State Audit for Strengthening the Accountability in Public Funds Management: Case of Republic of Macedonia 加强公共资金管理问责制的国家审计:以马其顿共和国为例
Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2016-0006
Jadranka Mrsik, Tome Nenovski, S. Radenković
Abstract The aim of this paper is to analyze the role of the state audit in strengthening the accountability in managing the public funds. Appropriate and effective use of public funds ensures a healthy economic and financial management, as well as transparency, which leads towards a positive development of the society as a whole. We evaluated the operation of the state audit in Macedonia by analyzing the regularity audit performed on five state institutions from 2010 to 2014 and we compared the results with the state audits in two neighboring countries. Our findings suggest weaknesses in the use of public money by the institutions covered by this analysis and in the operation of the State Audit Office. The research will help in increasing the public awareness about the necessity of responsible management in the public sector.
摘要本文旨在分析国家审计在加强公共资金管理问责制中的作用。适当和有效地使用公共资金可确保健康的经济和财政管理以及透明度,从而导致整个社会的积极发展。我们通过分析2010年至2014年对五个国家机构进行的定期审计来评估马其顿国家审计的运作,并将结果与两个邻国的国家审计进行了比较。我们的调查结果表明,本分析所涵盖的机构在使用公共资金方面存在弱点,国家审计署的运作也存在弱点。这项研究将有助于提高公众对公共部门负责任管理的必要性的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Does Trade Openness has Noteworthy effect on Bilateral Trade Flows of E.C.O. Countries; an Empirical Investigation 贸易开放对经合组织成员国双边贸易流动是否有显著影响实证调查
Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2016-0007
Ali Gulzar
Abstract This study empirically investigated the effect of trade liberalization on the bilateral trade flows of 2ECO (Pakistan, Turkey and Iran) countries using annual time series data for the period of 1980-2016. The study applied unit root test, bound testing approach and ARDL regression analysis technique to empirically examine the role and impact of trade openness on bilateral trade flows of ECO countries. The empirical results found long-run positive and significant effect of trade openness on bilateral trade flows of ECO countries. Further, the study concluded that trade openness playing an important role in exports as well as in fulfilling the requirements by imports. The findings of the study might provide significant guidelines to policy makers to initiate rules and regulations for the improvement in international trade that might help in attainment of sustainable foreign exchange reserves and economic growth of ECO countries.
本文利用1980-2016年的年度时间序列数据,实证研究了贸易自由化对2ECO(巴基斯坦、土耳其和伊朗)国家双边贸易流动的影响。本研究运用单位根检验、约束检验方法和ARDL回归分析技术,实证检验了贸易开放对经合组织国家双边贸易流动的作用和影响。实证结果发现,贸易开放对经合组织国家双边贸易流动具有长期显著的正向影响。此外,该研究得出结论,贸易开放在出口和满足进口需求方面发挥着重要作用。这项研究的结果可能为决策者提供重要的指导方针,以便制订改善国际贸易的规则和条例,从而有助于经合组织国家实现可持续的外汇储备和经济增长。
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引用次数: 5
Empirical Analysis of Hungarian Firms According to Venture Capital Investment Criteria 基于风险投资标准的匈牙利企业实证分析
Pub Date : 2016-10-13 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2016-0002
J. Futó
Abstract Over the past decade the venture capital industry has become more and more prominent, not just on a global level, but in Hungary, too. Thanks to the JEREMIE Program a large number of new venture capital firms are located in our country, and therefore an investment wave has started. The aim of the paper is to sort micro- and small sized enterprises in terms of how appropriate is a venture capital financing. The main topic of the paper relates to the selection of firms for venture capital investment; therefore, in the first part of the study we briefly summarize a general venture capital investment process, highlighting both the selection process and the criteria used for selection. Then we propose 3 indexes (trustworthiness index, openness index, investment index), which we have created to help venture capitalists to decide whether the targeted enterprises are appropriate for them, or not. In the main part of the paper we provide a classification of micro- and small sized Hungarian firms based on my own survey, and we analyze what kind of relationship exists between the proposed indexes and the type of the classified firms. The result of the classification is that we identify four main firm types and, based on statistical tests, it can be said that there is no significant relationship between the trustworthiness index and the clusters, but that there are between the two other indexes and the clusters.
在过去的十年中,风险投资行业变得越来越突出,不仅在全球范围内,而且在匈牙利也是如此。由于JEREMIE项目,大量新的风险投资公司在我国落户,因此一波投资浪潮已经开始。本文的目的是对中小微企业进行风险投资融资的适宜性进行分类。本文主要研究的是风险投资企业的选择问题;因此,在研究的第一部分,我们简要地总结了一般的风险投资过程,重点介绍了选择过程和选择标准。然后,我们提出了3个指标(可信度指数、开放度指数、投资指数),我们创造了这些指标来帮助风险资本家判断目标企业是否适合他们。在论文的主体部分,我们根据自己的调查对匈牙利微型和小型企业进行了分类,并分析了所提出的指标与分类企业类型之间存在什么样的关系。分类的结果是,我们确定了四种主要的企业类型,根据统计检验,可以说,可信度指数与集群之间没有显著的关系,但其他两个指标与集群之间存在显著的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Is Wagner’s Law Applicable for Fast Growing Economies? Brics and Matik Countries 瓦格纳定律适用于快速增长的经济体吗?金砖国家和金砖国家
Pub Date : 2016-10-13 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2016-0001
Bilal Kargi
Abstract This study investigates the causality relationship between public sector spending and economic growth. Although a relationship between these two variables is traditionally accepted, the direction of this causality relationship has widely been discussed. The relationship in which the increase of public sector spending moves together with the growth is called as Wagner’s Law and it is examined through developing countries’ data. As being developing country group, there is a huge literature about “BRICS countries”. The unique contribution of this study is that it defines a new developing country group as “MATIK countries” and it analyzes BRICS and MATIK (BM) countries together. Therefore, the validity of Wagner’s Law is tested on economic growth and public spending figures of these country groups which have significant population and economic size in world economy. As a result of Granger Causality Test for the period of 1961-2013, findings are obtained as Wagner’s Law is not valid for majority of BM countries, which include 10 high growing economies. This conclusion is compared with other studies, which are conducted for developing countries.
摘要本研究探讨公共部门支出与经济增长之间的因果关系。虽然这两个变量之间的关系传统上被接受,但这种因果关系的方向已被广泛讨论。公共部门支出的增加与经济增长的关系被称为瓦格纳定律,并通过发展中国家的数据进行检验。作为发展中国家集团,关于“金砖国家”的文献很多。本研究的独特贡献在于,它将一个新的发展中国家群体定义为“MATIK国家”,并将金砖国家和MATIK (BM)国家放在一起进行分析。因此,瓦格纳定律的有效性是通过这些在世界经济中具有显著人口和经济规模的国家集团的经济增长和公共支出数据来检验的。通过对1961-2013年期间的格兰杰因果检验,我们得到了瓦格纳定律对大多数BM国家不成立的结果,其中包括10个高增长经济体。这一结论与其他为发展中国家进行的研究进行了比较。
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引用次数: 6
Analyzing the Determinants of Non-farm Income Diversification of Farm Households in Peshawar District of Pakistan 巴基斯坦白沙瓦地区农户非农收入多样化的决定因素分析
Pub Date : 2016-10-13 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2016-0003
Nazish Kanwal, Muhammad Ammad Khan, Zhihao Zheng
Abstract The agricultural sector in Pakistan is not well-established to provide full employment opportunities and sufficient income for needed living standard to the rural population. Stagnant agricultural productivity and low returns in farming have led rural residents to look for alternative livelihoods, especially non-farm employment. With this background, the present study is an endeavor to empirically determine the factors of non-farm income diversification of rural farm households in Peshawar district of Pakistan. The study was undertaken in four villages and data was amassed from 196 small farming households by using the multi-stage sampling technique. The data were analyzed using the descriptive statistical measures, the mean of income shares approach and the ordinary least squares regression analysis. The results indicate that in all the selected villages, the pattern of non-farm employment was more or less the same; however, the income from non-farm employment activities had an important contribution towards incrementing the absolute income of farm households. Non-farm income diversification is hence crucial for sustaining livelihoods and an integral dimension for invigorating rural economies. Therefore, the study recommends the promotion of non-farm employment as a good strategy for supplementing the income of small farmers without shifting attention from agriculture.
巴基斯坦的农业部门尚未完善,无法为农村人口提供充分的就业机会和足够的生活水平所需的收入。农业生产力停滞不前,农业回报低,导致农村居民寻找其他生计,特别是非农业就业。在此背景下,本研究试图对巴基斯坦白沙瓦地区农户非农收入多元化的影响因素进行实证研究。该研究在四个村庄进行,采用多阶段抽样技术从196个小农户中收集数据。采用描述性统计方法、收入份额均值法和普通最小二乘回归分析对数据进行分析。结果表明,在所有选择的村庄中,非农就业模式基本相同;然而,来自非农就业活动的收入对增加农户的绝对收入有重要贡献。因此,非农业收入多样化对于维持生计至关重要,也是振兴农村经济的一个组成部分。因此,该研究建议,在不转移对农业的关注的情况下,促进非农就业是补充小农收入的好策略。
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引用次数: 11
Econometric Analysis of Determinants of Real Effective Exchange Rate in Nigeria (1960-2015) 尼日利亚实际有效汇率影响因素的计量经济学分析(1960-2015)
Pub Date : 2016-10-13 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2016-0005
W. Ibrahim
Abstract This study investigates the determinants of real effective exchange rate in Nigeria for the period between 1960 and 2015 using the vector error correction mechanism to separate long run from the short run fundamentals. The findings from the regression estimates revealed that; terms of trade, openness of the economy, net capital inflow and total government expenditure were the major long run determinants of real effective exchange rate in the country while variables such as; broad money supply (M2), nominal effective exchange rate, structural adjustment program dummy, June 12 crisis and change to civil rule dummies were revealed as the major short run determinants of exchange rate in Nigeria between 1960 and 2015. The study concludes by recommending that since the major variable of terms of trade (crude oil price) is out of the government control, the effect of shocks due to the fluctuations of crude oil price can be minimized by shifting the economy from a mono-product nation and diversify the economy to increase productive capacity. Also, the change to civil rule dummy used in the study revealed that the system has not been friendly with the country’s real effective exchange rate, thus needing to review the system and bringing out all negative activities there in to ensure Nigeria’s currency appreciation. Guided openness is also suggested to avert the danger that unguided trade liberalization may bring into the country.
本研究利用矢量误差修正机制来区分长期和短期基本面因素,研究了1960年至2015年期间尼日利亚实际有效汇率的决定因素。回归估计的结果显示;贸易条件、经济开放、资本净流入和政府支出总额是该国实际有效汇率的主要长期决定因素,而诸如;广义货币供应量(M2)、名义有效汇率、结构调整计划假人、6月12日危机和向文官统治假人的转变被揭示为1960年至2015年间尼日利亚汇率的主要短期决定因素。该研究的结论是,由于贸易条件的主要变量(原油价格)不受政府的控制,因此可以通过从单一产品国家转变经济,实现经济多样化,提高生产能力,将原油价格波动带来的冲击影响降到最低。此外,研究中使用的民事规则dummy的变化表明,该系统与该国的实际有效汇率并不友好,因此需要审查该系统并引入所有负面活动,以确保尼日利亚的货币升值。引导性的开放也被建议避免无引导性的贸易自由化可能给国家带来的危险。
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引用次数: 7
Mercury Retrograde Effect in Capital Markets: Truth or Illusion? 水星逆行对资本市场的影响:真相还是幻觉?
Pub Date : 2016-10-13 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2016-0004
Aurora Murgea
Abstract From the most ancient times, the astrological beliefs have played an important role in human history, thinking, world-views, language and other elements of social culture. The practice of relating the movement of celestial bodies to events in financial markets is relatively newer but despite the inconsistency between financial astrology and standard economic or financial theory, it seems to be largely spread among capital market traders. This paper evaluates one of the astrological effects on the capital market, more precisely the Mercury retrograde effect on US capital market. Despite the fact that it is just an optical illusion the astrological tradition says that Mercury retrograde periods are characterized by confusion and miscommunications. The trades could be less effective, the individuals more prone to make mistakes so there is a long-held belief that it is better to avoid set plans during Mercury retrograde, signing contracts, starting new ventures or open new stock market positions. The main findings of this study are lower return’s volatilities in the Mercury retrograde periods, inconsistent with the astrologic theories assumptions but consistent with the idea that trader’s beliefs in Mercury retrograde effect could change the market volatility exactly in the opposite sense than the predicted one.
从最古老的时代起,占星术信仰就在人类历史、思维、世界观、语言等社会文化要素中发挥着重要作用。将天体运动与金融市场事件联系起来的做法相对较新,但尽管金融占星术与标准经济或金融理论之间存在不一致,但它似乎在资本市场交易者中广泛传播。本文评估了一种对资本市场的星象效应,更确切地说,是水星逆行对美国资本市场的影响。尽管事实上这只是一种视觉错觉,但占星术传统认为,水星逆行期的特点是混乱和沟通不畅。交易效率可能会降低,个人更容易犯错误,所以长期以来人们一直认为,在水星逆行期间,最好避免制定计划,签署合同,开始新的企业或开设新的股票市场头寸。本研究的主要发现是水星逆行期间的收益波动率较低,这与占星术理论的假设不一致,但与交易者对水星逆行效应的信念可以改变市场波动率的观点是一致的。
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引用次数: 6
Environmental and social responsibility reporting. Do Macedonian companies disclose those information and how? 环境和社会责任报告。马其顿公司会披露这些信息吗?如何披露的?
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2015-0016
Jadranka Mrsik, Ninko Kostovski
Abstract Incorporating environmental impact into financial reports is becoming standard practice in the 21st Century. Investors are aware of the need for environmentally correct operations since failures in this domain lower the price of shares. However, in terms of regulation, in most of the countries, environmental reporting remains voluntary. Institutions dealing with development and promotion of the modern accounting and financial reporting standards encourage companies to concurrently report for their environmental activities. The only question is how. Accounting may include information on the environmental impact only if it is quantitative and monetary. Since many nuances of the issues remain difficult to quantify, corporations opt to separately report on their environmental practices. The aim of this paper is to examine the accounting and stock market regulations and the practice of reporting for environmental impact of the operations of the leading Macedonian companies. We selected ten companies that make the Macedonian Stock Exchange Index and additional five companies with significant environmental impact. We reviewed their annual reports and interviewed their financial officers. The results show that the environmental and social responsibility reporting is left to the companies and their management and its perception of the need for keeping posted the major stakeholders and the most appropriate way to do it. As a consequence, many large Macedonian companies do not refer to these issues in their annual addressing to the stakeholders. The findings of this paper can motivate the regulatory body and the government to require more transparency and disclosure of the sustainability information.
将环境影响纳入财务报告已成为21世纪的标准做法。投资者意识到需要对环境进行正确的操作,因为在这一领域的失败会降低股价。然而,在监管方面,在大多数国家,环境报告仍然是自愿的。负责发展和促进现代会计和财务报告标准的机构鼓励公司同时报告其环境活动。唯一的问题是怎么做。只有在量化和货币性的情况下,会计才能包括有关环境影响的信息。由于许多问题的细微差别仍然难以量化,公司选择单独报告他们的环境实践。本文的目的是检查会计和股票市场的规定和报告的做法,为马其顿领先的公司的业务的环境影响。我们选择了10家成为马其顿证券交易所指数的公司和另外5家对环境有重大影响的公司。我们审阅了他们的年度报告,采访了他们的财务主管。结果表明,环境和社会责任报告留给公司及其管理层,以及其对保持主要利益相关者的需求和最合适的方式的看法。因此,许多马其顿大公司在其对利益相关者的年度讲话中没有提及这些问题。本文的研究结果可以激励监管机构和政府要求提高可持续发展信息的透明度和披露。
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引用次数: 5
Behavioral consequences of customers’ satisfaction with banking products and services 客户对银行产品和服务满意度的行为后果
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.1515/tjeb-2015-0017
F. Isac, Anca-Maria Milovan-Ciuta, Andrei Dobre
Abstract The premise that consumer satisfaction determines behavioral models that positively influence business results, is accepted both in the academic and business environment. This research addresses the consequences of satisfaction from the customer’s perspective, focusing on behaviors that customers of banks adopt as a result of satisfaction/dissatisfaction experienced from the performed transactions. Based on literature review, we have developed our own research model and tested the hypotheses formulated regarding the relationships formed between customer satisfaction and behavioral responses to customer satisfaction. For this purpose, we conducted a survey in which the investigated statistical population consists of customers who have completed at least one transaction with suppliers of banking products and services in the last six months. The sample gathered 511 persons using the snowball method, and respondents filled in questionnaires through online self-administration. We tested the research hypotheses using SPSS. Data analysis involved testing the reliability of the used measurement scales, score factors determination, testing the validity of constructs included in the research model, research hypotheses testing. In this article, in analyzing the relationship between customer satisfaction with banking products and services and its behavioral consequences, we take into consideration trust and supplier switching costs as moderator variables.
消费者满意度决定行为模式并对商业结果产生积极影响,这一前提在学术界和商业环境中都得到了认可。本研究从客户的角度解决了满意度的后果,重点关注银行客户因执行交易而经历的满意/不满意而采取的行为。在文献综述的基础上,我们建立了自己的研究模型,并对顾客满意度与顾客满意度行为反应之间关系的假设进行了检验。为此,我们进行了一项调查,其中调查的统计人口包括在过去六个月内与银行产品和服务供应商完成至少一次交易的客户。样本使用滚雪球法收集了511人,受访者通过在线自我管理填写问卷。我们使用SPSS对研究假设进行检验。数据分析包括测试所使用的测量量表的信度,得分因子的确定,测试研究模型中包含的构念的有效性,研究假设的检验。在分析客户对银行产品和服务的满意度及其行为后果之间的关系时,我们考虑了信任和供应商转换成本作为调节变量。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business
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