首页 > 最新文献

SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)最新文献

英文 中文
Характеристики на социалните дейности и политики (The Characteristics of Social Activities and Policies) Характеристикинасоциалнитедейностииполитики(社会活动的特点和政策)
Pub Date : 2019-06-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3400610
Venelin Terziev, Simeonov Simeon
Social policy should be seen as an activity that guarantees the security of those affected by the risks of labour, family and life. In a broader sense, social policy regulates a very broad range of social relationships that relate to employment, income, education, and others. Social security can therefore be seen as the main objective of social policy. In modern concepts, social security is perceived as a system of public rules, institutions and social payments that enable the dignified exitense of every person, who in an unusual state of vitality. Social security can therefore be seen as a set of measures to protect people in an unusual situation. Forms of social security: social security coverage; social assistance; social provision. Apart from thier nature, purpose and funding, social security and social assistance differ according to the principles of organization and management. Social assistance is a decentralized system, and social security can be centralized or decentralized depending on the principles adopted. Through these forms of social security, people receive material security for their existence on the basis of common and unified rules. In any case, however, not always will the indigent be covered by these forms of social security, regardless of their social protection needs. It is possible that even socially protected persons may be in need because of the low income recevied by this system. In such cases the intervention of social assistance is needed as a means of "plugging the holes". For the sake of clarity, social security can be defined as the first defense net, and social assistance as the second defense net, i.e. social assistance must take on the part of the population which, for one or other reason, does not fall from or land either from the upper levels of the social protection system or when the level of this protection has been insufficient or it provides social protection from the last instance.
社会政策应被视为一项保障那些受到劳动、家庭和生命危险影响的人的安全的活动。从更广泛的意义上说,社会政策调节着与就业、收入、教育等有关的广泛的社会关系。因此,社会保障可被视为社会政策的主要目标。在现代概念中,社会保障被认为是一种公共规则、机构和社会支付制度,使每个人都能有尊严地生活,他们处于一种不同寻常的活力状态。因此,社会保障可以被看作是在特殊情况下保护人们的一套措施。社会保障形式:社会保障覆盖面;社会救助;社会条款。社会保障和社会救助除了性质、目的和经费外,根据组织和管理的原则而有所不同。社会救助是一个分散的制度,社会保障根据所采取的原则可以是集中的,也可以是分散的。通过这些社会保障形式,人们在共同统一的规则基础上获得生存的物质保障。然而,无论如何,这些形式的社会保障并不总是覆盖穷人,不管他们的社会保护需要如何。甚至受社会保护的人也可能因为这一制度所获得的收入较低而需要援助。在这种情况下,需要社会援助的介入,作为“堵住漏洞”的手段。为明确起见,可以将社会保障定义为第一防护网,社会救助定义为第二防护网,即社会救助必须承担那些由于这样或那样的原因,既不能从社会保障制度的上层,也不能在这种保护水平不足的情况下,或者从最后一个层面开始提供社会保护的人口。
{"title":"Характеристики на социалните дейности и политики (The Characteristics of Social Activities and Policies)","authors":"Venelin Terziev, Simeonov Simeon","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3400610","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3400610","url":null,"abstract":"Social policy should be seen as an activity that guarantees the security of those affected by the risks of labour, family and life. In a broader sense, social policy regulates a very broad range of social relationships that relate to employment, income, education, and others. Social security can therefore be seen as the main objective of social policy. In modern concepts, social security is perceived as a system of public rules, institutions and social payments that enable the dignified exitense of every person, who in an unusual state of vitality. Social security can therefore be seen as a set of measures to protect people in an unusual situation. Forms of social security: social security coverage; social assistance; social provision. Apart from thier nature, purpose and funding, social security and social assistance differ according to the principles of organization and management. Social assistance is a decentralized system, and social security can be centralized or decentralized depending on the principles adopted. Through these forms of social security, people receive material security for their existence on the basis of common and unified rules. In any case, however, not always will the indigent be covered by these forms of social security, regardless of their social protection needs. It is possible that even socially protected persons may be in need because of the low income recevied by this system. In such cases the intervention of social assistance is needed as a means of \"plugging the holes\". For the sake of clarity, social security can be defined as the first defense net, and social assistance as the second defense net, i.e. social assistance must take on the part of the population which, for one or other reason, does not fall from or land either from the upper levels of the social protection system or when the level of this protection has been insufficient or it provides social protection from the last instance.","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"86 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-06-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124041964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Labor Force Participation of the Elderly in Japan 日本老年人的劳动参与率
Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.3386/W24614
Takashi Oshio, Emiko Usui, Satoshi Shimizutani
Japan experienced increases in labor force participation (LFP) of the elderly in recent years, as have other advanced countries. In the present study, we overview the employment trend of the elderly in Japan, and examine what factors have contributed to its increase since the early 2000s. Improved health and longevity, increasing education levels, and a shift towards less physically demanding jobs have allowed the elderly to stay longer in the labor force. However, elderly employment rebound and its timing are more closely linked to changes in social security incentives, especially increases in the eligibility age for public pension benefits. More broadly, reduced generosity in social security programs since the mid-1980s has been a key driver of the long-term trend change in elderly employment. A series of social security reforms have helped utilize the elderly's potential work capacity, accumulated due to improving health conditions and other favorable factors for LFP in the elderly.
与其他发达国家一样,日本近年来也经历了老年人劳动力参与率(LFP)的上升。在本研究中,我们概述了日本老年人的就业趋势,并研究了自21世纪初以来哪些因素促成了其增长。健康状况的改善和寿命的延长,教育水平的提高,以及体力要求较低的工作的转变,使老年人能够在劳动力队伍中呆得更长。然而,老年人就业的反弹及其时机与社会保障激励措施的变化密切相关,特别是领取公共养老金资格年龄的提高。更广泛地说,自20世纪80年代中期以来,社会保障项目慷慨程度的下降一直是老年人就业长期趋势变化的关键驱动因素。一系列社会保障改革有助于利用老年人的潜在工作能力,这些能力是由于改善健康状况和其他有利于老年人生育的因素而积累起来的。
{"title":"Labor Force Participation of the Elderly in Japan","authors":"Takashi Oshio, Emiko Usui, Satoshi Shimizutani","doi":"10.3386/W24614","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W24614","url":null,"abstract":"Japan experienced increases in labor force participation (LFP) of the elderly in recent years, as have other advanced countries. In the present study, we overview the employment trend of the elderly in Japan, and examine what factors have contributed to its increase since the early 2000s. Improved health and longevity, increasing education levels, and a shift towards less physically demanding jobs have allowed the elderly to stay longer in the labor force. However, elderly employment rebound and its timing are more closely linked to changes in social security incentives, especially increases in the eligibility age for public pension benefits. More broadly, reduced generosity in social security programs since the mid-1980s has been a key driver of the long-term trend change in elderly employment. A series of social security reforms have helped utilize the elderly's potential work capacity, accumulated due to improving health conditions and other favorable factors for LFP in the elderly.","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"68 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133953624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 17
Job Polarization and Labor Market Outcomes for Older, Middle-Skilled Workers 老年、中等技能工人的工作两极分化和劳动力市场结果
Pub Date : 2015-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2665788
Matthew S. Rutledge, Qi Guan
Numerous studies have found that even as employment growth in high- and low-skill occupations has been robust, employment in middle-skill occupations such as office administration and manufacturing is in long-term decline. The timing of this decline could not be worse for the older workers looking to prolong their careers to compensate for decreasing Social Security and pension income. But few existing studies have examined the consequences of job polarization on older workers, who may be less likely than prime-aged workers to find work in high- or low-skill occupations. This paper uses the Survey of Income and Program Participation to investigate employment outcomes specifically for older workers first observed in middle-skill jobs. If they leave a middle-skill job, are they able to find jobs in another skill level, or are they forced out of employment prematurely? What are the circumstances surrounding these transitions, and how are the workers’ earnings affected?
许多研究发现,尽管高技能和低技能职业的就业增长强劲,但中等技能职业(如办公室管理和制造业)的就业却在长期下降。对于那些希望延长职业生涯以弥补社会保障和养老金收入下降的老年工人来说,这种下降的时机再糟糕不过了。但很少有现有的研究考察了工作两极分化对老年工人的影响,他们比壮年工人更不可能在高技能或低技能的职业中找到工作。本文利用收入和计划参与调查,专门调查了在中等技能工作中首次观察到的老年工人的就业结果。如果他们离开了一份中等技能的工作,他们是否能够找到另一种技能水平的工作,或者他们是否被迫过早地失业?围绕这些转变的环境是什么?工人的收入是如何受到影响的?
{"title":"Job Polarization and Labor Market Outcomes for Older, Middle-Skilled Workers","authors":"Matthew S. Rutledge, Qi Guan","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2665788","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2665788","url":null,"abstract":"Numerous studies have found that even as employment growth in high- and low-skill occupations has been robust, employment in middle-skill occupations such as office administration and manufacturing is in long-term decline. The timing of this decline could not be worse for the older workers looking to prolong their careers to compensate for decreasing Social Security and pension income. But few existing studies have examined the consequences of job polarization on older workers, who may be less likely than prime-aged workers to find work in high- or low-skill occupations. This paper uses the Survey of Income and Program Participation to investigate employment outcomes specifically for older workers first observed in middle-skill jobs. If they leave a middle-skill job, are they able to find jobs in another skill level, or are they forced out of employment prematurely? What are the circumstances surrounding these transitions, and how are the workers’ earnings affected?","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"104 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123731301","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Legal Protection of Elderly Persons in India 印度老年人的法律保护
Pub Date : 2012-04-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2034622
P. K. Pandey, Preeti Misra
Ageing is a natural and universal fact. It was always perceived as just a phase of life like, childhood and youth. The responsibility of caring for the elderly is traditionally that of family and most often by children. But due to rapid socioeconomic transformation elderly people are left alone, by their family members, to take the challenges of life. However, with a growing trend towards nuclear family set up and the associated decay of the extended family structure, the vulnerability of the ageing population is increasing. India is a land where age and wisdom are traditionally respected. Elderly people, in developing and developed countries, have complex problems in every walk of life. The existing legal provisions are not adequate to protect and promote the basic and fundamental rights of elderly people.
衰老是一个自然而普遍的事实。它总是被认为是人生的一个阶段,就像童年和青年一样。照顾老人的责任传统上是家庭的责任,通常是子女的责任。但是,由于社会经济的快速转型,老年人被他们的家庭成员抛弃,独自面对生活的挑战。但是,随着建立核心家庭的趋势日益增长,以及大家庭结构的衰落,老龄人口的脆弱性正在增加。印度是一个传统上尊重年龄和智慧的国家。无论是在发展中国家还是发达国家,老年人在各行各业都面临着复杂的问题。现有的法律规定不足以保护和促进老年人的基本和基本权利。
{"title":"Legal Protection of Elderly Persons in India","authors":"P. K. Pandey, Preeti Misra","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.2034622","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2034622","url":null,"abstract":"Ageing is a natural and universal fact. It was always perceived as just a phase of life like, childhood and youth. The responsibility of caring for the elderly is traditionally that of family and most often by children. But due to rapid socioeconomic transformation elderly people are left alone, by their family members, to take the challenges of life. However, with a growing trend towards nuclear family set up and the associated decay of the extended family structure, the vulnerability of the ageing population is increasing. India is a land where age and wisdom are traditionally respected. Elderly people, in developing and developed countries, have complex problems in every walk of life. The existing legal provisions are not adequate to protect and promote the basic and fundamental rights of elderly people.","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"57 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123204571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Economic Status of the Elderly in the United States 美国老年人的经济地位
Pub Date : 2010-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1763870
V. Reno, Benjamin W. Veghte
American elders saw sharp gains in their incomes and declines in poverty during the 1960s and 70s and have had smaller gains since. Updated poverty measures show that seniors are as likely as children to be poor. When Social Security and pensions are converted to asset values, a typical household approaching retirement in 2007 had net worth of $676,500. Social Security was the largest part (44 percent) and home equity was second (20 percent). The collapse of the housing bubble and the meltdown in the stock market in 2008-2009 significantly eroded asset values. U.S. elders are more likely to be poor than are elders in other OECD countries. The United States faces a smaller challenge from an aging society because our workforce is growing and our Social Security promises are smaller. Small changes in revenues and benefits could securely pay for Social Security and improve benefit adequacy for vulnerable elders.This working paper is based on the chapter “Economic Status of the Aged,” in the Handbook of Aging and the Social Sciences by R.H. Binstock and L. George (eds.), 7th Edition (Oxford: Elsevier, 2011).
在20世纪60年代和70年代,美国老年人的收入大幅增加,贫困人口减少,但此后的增长幅度较小。最新的贫困指标显示,老年人和儿童一样容易陷入贫困。当社会保障和养老金转换成资产价值时,2007年一个接近退休的典型家庭的净资产为676,500美元。社会保障是最大的一部分(44%),房屋净值是第二部分(20%)。2008-2009年房地产泡沫的破裂和股市的崩盘严重侵蚀了资产价值。美国的老年人比其他经合组织国家的老年人更有可能贫穷。美国面临的老龄化社会的挑战较小,因为我们的劳动力在增长,我们的社会保障承诺在缩小。收入和福利的微小变化可以安全地支付社会保障,并改善弱势老年人的福利充分性。本工作论文基于R.H. Binstock和L. George(编)的《老龄化与社会科学手册》第7版(牛津:爱思唯尔,2011年)中的“老年人的经济地位”章节。
{"title":"Economic Status of the Elderly in the United States","authors":"V. Reno, Benjamin W. Veghte","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.1763870","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.1763870","url":null,"abstract":"American elders saw sharp gains in their incomes and declines in poverty during the 1960s and 70s and have had smaller gains since. Updated poverty measures show that seniors are as likely as children to be poor. When Social Security and pensions are converted to asset values, a typical household approaching retirement in 2007 had net worth of $676,500. Social Security was the largest part (44 percent) and home equity was second (20 percent). The collapse of the housing bubble and the meltdown in the stock market in 2008-2009 significantly eroded asset values. U.S. elders are more likely to be poor than are elders in other OECD countries. The United States faces a smaller challenge from an aging society because our workforce is growing and our Social Security promises are smaller. Small changes in revenues and benefits could securely pay for Social Security and improve benefit adequacy for vulnerable elders.This working paper is based on the chapter “Economic Status of the Aged,” in the Handbook of Aging and the Social Sciences by R.H. Binstock and L. George (eds.), 7th Edition (Oxford: Elsevier, 2011).","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"82 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2010-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128276817","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 10
The Role of Information for Retirement Behavior: Evidence Based on the Stepwise Introduction of the Social Security Statement 信息对退休行为的作用:基于社会保障报表逐步引入的证据
Pub Date : 2010-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1730238
G. Mastrobuoni
In 1995, the Social Security Administration started sending out the annual Social Security Statement. It contains information about the worker’s estimated benefits at the ages 62, 65, and 70. I use this unique natural experiment to analyze the retirement and claiming decision-making. First, I find that, despite the previous availability of information, the Statement has a significant impact on workers’ knowledge about their benefits. These findings are consistent with a model where workers need to gather costly information in order to improve their retirement decision. Second, I use this exogenous variation in knowledge to analyze the optimality of workers’ decisions. Several findings suggest that workers do not change their retirement behavior: i) Workers do not change their expected age of retirement after receiving the Statement; ii) monthly claiming patterns do not show any change after the introduction of the Social Security Statement; iii) workers do not become more sensitive to Social Security incentives after receiving the Statement. Either, workers are already behaving optimally, or the information contained in the Statement is not sufficient to improve their retirement behavior.
1995年,社会保障局开始发布年度社会保障报表。它包含了工人在62岁、65岁和70岁时的估计福利信息。我用这个独特的自然实验来分析退休和索赔决策。首先,我发现,尽管之前的信息是可用的,但该声明对工人对其福利的了解有重大影响。这些发现与一个模型是一致的,即工人需要收集昂贵的信息,以改善他们的退休决定。其次,我使用这种外生知识变异来分析工人决策的最优性。几个研究结果表明,工人没有改变他们的退休行为:i)工人在收到声明后没有改变他们的预期退休年龄;ii)每月申领模式在推出社会保障报表后没有任何变化;iii)工人在收到声明后不会对社会保障激励措施更加敏感。要么,工人已经表现得很好,要么,声明中包含的信息不足以改善他们的退休行为。
{"title":"The Role of Information for Retirement Behavior: Evidence Based on the Stepwise Introduction of the Social Security Statement","authors":"G. Mastrobuoni","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1730238","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1730238","url":null,"abstract":"In 1995, the Social Security Administration started sending out the annual Social Security Statement. It contains information about the worker’s estimated benefits at the ages 62, 65, and 70. I use this unique natural experiment to analyze the retirement and claiming decision-making. First, I find that, despite the previous availability of information, the Statement has a significant impact on workers’ knowledge about their benefits. These findings are consistent with a model where workers need to gather costly information in order to improve their retirement decision. Second, I use this exogenous variation in knowledge to analyze the optimality of workers’ decisions. Several findings suggest that workers do not change their retirement behavior: i) Workers do not change their expected age of retirement after receiving the Statement; ii) monthly claiming patterns do not show any change after the introduction of the Social Security Statement; iii) workers do not become more sensitive to Social Security incentives after receiving the Statement. Either, workers are already behaving optimally, or the information contained in the Statement is not sufficient to improve their retirement behavior.","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"135 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2010-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131191845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 119
사적소득이전과 노후소득보장 (Private Income Transfers and Old-Age Income Security) 私人收入转移和老年收入保障(Private Income Transfers and Old-Age Income Security)
Pub Date : 2008-06-01 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2008.30.1.71
Hisam Kim
Korean Abstract: 본 연구는 그동안 사회적 안전망이 미흡한 가운데 우리나라의 고령인구 부양에 중요한 역할을 해온 사적소득이전에 대한 미시적 분석을 통해 향후 노후소득보장정책에 시사점을 제공하고 있다. 한국노동패널 자료 에 따르면, 만 60세 이상 노인가구주 세대의 다섯 가구 중 두 가구는 매월 자식들로부터 생활비 등의 경제적 도움을 받고 있는 것으로 조사되었으며, 공공부조 등 공적소득이전은 사적소득이전을 구축하는 효과를 가진 것으로 나타났다. 또한 지금까지는 사적이전이 공적이전보다 빈곤완화효과가 큰 것으로 나타났지만, 외환위기 후 복지지출의 확대와 함께 공적이전의 비중이 대폭 높아져, 공적 이전을 주 소득원으로 살아가는 만 60세 이상 고령자는 2003년 기준으로 약 4분의 1에 달하는 것으로 조사되었다. 그러나 같은 해 기준으로 국민기초생활보장제도의 보호지정을 실질적으로 필요로 하면서도 수급권에서 배제된 것으로 추정되는 노인가구주 세대는 약 12%로서, 이들 가구의 빈곤 해소를 위해서는 예산 확보와 함께 사각지대를 없애기 위한 전달체계 개선이 필요할 것으로 보인다. 이처럼 여전히 광범한 빈곤노인계층이 존재하는 한편, 고령인구에 대한 사적 부양이 공적 부양으로 전환되면서 재정건전성이 우려되고 있는 현 상황에서 소득재분배의 효과가 적고 경직적 비용부담이 큰 보편급여의 확대보다는 취약노인계층에 대한 집중적인 지원을 강화할 필요가 있을 것이다.English Abstract: Using data from the Korean Labor & Income Panel Study (KLIPS), this study investigates private income transfers in Korea, where adult children have undertaken the most responsibility of supporting their elderly parents without well-established social safety net for the elderly. According to the KLIPS data, three out of five households provided some type of support for their aged parents and two out of five households of the elderly received financial support from their adult children on a regular base. However, the private income transfers in Korea are not enough to alleviate the impact of the fall in the earned income of those who retired and are approaching an age of needing financial assistance from external source. The monthly income of those at least the age of 75, even with the earning of their spouses, is below the staggering amount of 450,000 won, which indicates that the elderly in Korea are at high risk of poverty. In order to analyze microeconomic factors affecting the private income transfers to the elderly parents, the following three samples extracted from the KLIPS data are used: a sample of respondents of age 50 or older with detailed information on their financial status; a five-year household panel sample in which their unobserved family-specific and time-invariant characteristics can be controlled by the fixed-effects model; and a sample of the younger split-off household in which characteristics of both the elderly household and their adult children household can be controlled simultaneously. The results of estimating private income transfer models using these samples can be summarized as follows. First, the dominant motive lies on the children-to-parent altruistic relationship. Additionally, another is based on exchange motive, which is paid to the elderly parents who take care of their grandchildren. Second, the amount of private income transfers has negative correlation with the income of the elderly parents, while being positively correlated with the income of the adult children. However, its income elasticity is not that high. Third, the amount of private income transfers shows a pattern of reaching the highest level when the elderly parents are in the age of 75 years old, following a decreasing pattern ther
Korean Abstract:本研究通过对此前社会安全网不足的情况下,对我国老龄人口的扶持起到重要作用的私人收入转移的微观分析,为以后的老年收入保障政策提供了启示。韩国劳动面板资料显示,60周岁以上老人户主一代的五庭中,两个家庭每月从子女生活费等的资助正在接受调查,公共扶助等公共收入转移,建立私人收入转移的效果的出现了。也是迁移到目前为止历史功绩比以前贫困出现非常大的缓解效果,但外汇危机后福利支出的公共同扩大以前的比重大幅提高,公共转移为主要收入来源,生活的60周岁以上的高龄人士以2003年为准,达到约四分之一的被调查了。但同年为准,国民基础生活保障制度保护指定,实质上需要同时领取权排除在被推测是户主一代老人的约12%,为了解除,这些家庭的贫困,为了确保预算的同时消除死角传达将需要改善。还是广大贫困阶层老人之所以存在的同时,对老龄人口的事迹,转换成抚养这个公共财政健全性现在令人担忧的情况下,分配收入的效果较僵化比起扩大费用负担较大的普遍工资的脆弱阶层对老人有必要加强集中支援的。english abstract:Using data from the Korean Labor & Income Panel Study (KLIPS), this Study investigates private Income transfers in Korea,where adult children have undertaken the most responsibility of supporting their elderly parents without well-established social safety net for the elderly。According to the KLIPS data,three out of five households provided some type of support for their aged parents and two out of five households of the elderly received financial support from their adult children on a regular base。however,private income transfers in Korea are not enough to alleviate the impact of the fall in the earned income of those who retired and are approaching an age of needing financial assistance fromexternal source。The monthly income of those at least The age of 75, even with The earning of their spouses, is below The staggering amount of 450000 wonwhich indicates that the elderly in Korea are at high risk of poverty。In order to analyze microeconomic factors affecting the private income transfers to the elderly parents, the following three samples extracted from the KLIPS data are useda sample of respondents of age 50 or older with detailed information on their financial status;a five-year household panel sample in which their unobserved family-specific and time-invariant characteristics can be controlled by the fixed-effects model;and a sample of the younger split-off household in which characteristics of both the elderly household and their adult children household can be controlled simultaneously。The results of estimating private income transfer models using these samples can be summarized as follows。First, the dominant motive lies on the children-to-parent altruistic relationship。Additionally, another is based on exchange motive, which is paid to the elderly parents who take care of their grandchildren。Second, the amount of private income transfers has negative correlation with the income of the elderly parents, while being positively correlated with the income of the adult children。However, its income elasticity is not that high。Third, the amount of private income transfers shows a pattern of reaching the highest level when the elderly parents are in the age of 75年old, following a decreasing pattern thereafter。Fourth, public assistance, such as the National Basic Livelihood Security benefit, appears to crowd out private transfers。Private transfers have fared better than public transfers in alleviating elderly poverty,but the role of public transfers has been increasing rapidly since the welfare
{"title":"사적소득이전과 노후소득보장 (Private Income Transfers and Old-Age Income Security)","authors":"Hisam Kim","doi":"10.23895/KDIJEP.2008.30.1.71","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.23895/KDIJEP.2008.30.1.71","url":null,"abstract":"Korean Abstract: 본 연구는 그동안 사회적 안전망이 미흡한 가운데 우리나라의 고령인구 부양에 중요한 역할을 해온 사적소득이전에 대한 미시적 분석을 통해 향후 노후소득보장정책에 시사점을 제공하고 있다. 한국노동패널 자료 에 따르면, 만 60세 이상 노인가구주 세대의 다섯 가구 중 두 가구는 매월 자식들로부터 생활비 등의 경제적 도움을 받고 있는 것으로 조사되었으며, 공공부조 등 공적소득이전은 사적소득이전을 구축하는 효과를 가진 것으로 나타났다. 또한 지금까지는 사적이전이 공적이전보다 빈곤완화효과가 큰 것으로 나타났지만, 외환위기 후 복지지출의 확대와 함께 공적이전의 비중이 대폭 높아져, 공적 이전을 주 소득원으로 살아가는 만 60세 이상 고령자는 2003년 기준으로 약 4분의 1에 달하는 것으로 조사되었다. 그러나 같은 해 기준으로 국민기초생활보장제도의 보호지정을 실질적으로 필요로 하면서도 수급권에서 배제된 것으로 추정되는 노인가구주 세대는 약 12%로서, 이들 가구의 빈곤 해소를 위해서는 예산 확보와 함께 사각지대를 없애기 위한 전달체계 개선이 필요할 것으로 보인다. 이처럼 여전히 광범한 빈곤노인계층이 존재하는 한편, 고령인구에 대한 사적 부양이 공적 부양으로 전환되면서 재정건전성이 우려되고 있는 현 상황에서 소득재분배의 효과가 적고 경직적 비용부담이 큰 보편급여의 확대보다는 취약노인계층에 대한 집중적인 지원을 강화할 필요가 있을 것이다.English Abstract: Using data from the Korean Labor & Income Panel Study (KLIPS), this study investigates private income transfers in Korea, where adult children have undertaken the most responsibility of supporting their elderly parents without well-established social safety net for the elderly. According to the KLIPS data, three out of five households provided some type of support for their aged parents and two out of five households of the elderly received financial support from their adult children on a regular base. However, the private income transfers in Korea are not enough to alleviate the impact of the fall in the earned income of those who retired and are approaching an age of needing financial assistance from external source. The monthly income of those at least the age of 75, even with the earning of their spouses, is below the staggering amount of 450,000 won, which indicates that the elderly in Korea are at high risk of poverty. In order to analyze microeconomic factors affecting the private income transfers to the elderly parents, the following three samples extracted from the KLIPS data are used: a sample of respondents of age 50 or older with detailed information on their financial status; a five-year household panel sample in which their unobserved family-specific and time-invariant characteristics can be controlled by the fixed-effects model; and a sample of the younger split-off household in which characteristics of both the elderly household and their adult children household can be controlled simultaneously. The results of estimating private income transfer models using these samples can be summarized as follows. First, the dominant motive lies on the children-to-parent altruistic relationship. Additionally, another is based on exchange motive, which is paid to the elderly parents who take care of their grandchildren. Second, the amount of private income transfers has negative correlation with the income of the elderly parents, while being positively correlated with the income of the adult children. However, its income elasticity is not that high. Third, the amount of private income transfers shows a pattern of reaching the highest level when the elderly parents are in the age of 75 years old, following a decreasing pattern ther","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126583058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Guaranteed Income: Ssi and the Well-Being of the Elderly Poor 保障收入:社会福利和贫困老人的福利
Pub Date : 2000-03-01 DOI: 10.3386/W7574
K. Mcgarry
Discussions of changes in the Social Security program must necessarily consider the impact of such changes on the well-being of the poor elderly. Under the current system, the financial needs of this population are met by the Supplement Security Income program (SSI). SSI has done much to improve situation of the poorest elderly but has the potential to do more. This paper examines that potential. One of the most surprising aspect of the program is that many of those eligible for benefits are not enrolled. Here I examine the correlates of participation for a sample of eligible individuals and use the results to simulate the effect of changes in eligibility criteria on participation and on costs. The largest expansion considered in the paper, providing an income guarantee for all elderly individuals that is equal to the poverty line, increases payments directed towards the elderly by 90 percent, to just over 8 billion in 1993 dollars. Although large, this $8 billion is less than half of the expenditures for the SSI disabled population in that year. Modifications to SSI that increase income disregards, eliminate the asset test, or base income eligibility solely on Social Security income, would be less costly, but would also provide less relief to the poor. Importantly, all programs, including the current system, could have substantially greater effects on poverty if participation rates were increased.
讨论社会保障计划的变化,必须考虑到这些变化对贫困老年人福祉的影响。在目前的制度下,这些人的经济需求是通过补充安全收入计划(SSI)来满足的。SSI在改善最贫困老年人的状况方面做了很多工作,但仍有潜力做得更多。本文探讨了这种可能性。该计划最令人惊讶的一个方面是,许多有资格享受福利的人没有登记。在这里,我检查了一个符合条件的个人样本参与的相关关系,并使用结果来模拟资格标准的变化对参与和成本的影响。论文中考虑的最大的扩展是为所有老年人提供与贫困线相等的收入保障,将针对老年人的支付增加90%,以1993年的美元计算,达到80亿多一点。虽然数额很大,但这80亿美元还不到当年用于特殊生活残疾人口的支出的一半。修改SSI增加收入,而不考虑取消资产测试,或仅根据社会保障收入来确定基本收入资格,成本会更低,但也会减少对穷人的救济。重要的是,如果参与率提高,所有项目,包括目前的系统,都可以对贫困产生更大的影响。
{"title":"Guaranteed Income: Ssi and the Well-Being of the Elderly Poor","authors":"K. Mcgarry","doi":"10.3386/W7574","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W7574","url":null,"abstract":"Discussions of changes in the Social Security program must necessarily consider the impact of such changes on the well-being of the poor elderly. Under the current system, the financial needs of this population are met by the Supplement Security Income program (SSI). SSI has done much to improve situation of the poorest elderly but has the potential to do more. This paper examines that potential. One of the most surprising aspect of the program is that many of those eligible for benefits are not enrolled. Here I examine the correlates of participation for a sample of eligible individuals and use the results to simulate the effect of changes in eligibility criteria on participation and on costs. The largest expansion considered in the paper, providing an income guarantee for all elderly individuals that is equal to the poverty line, increases payments directed towards the elderly by 90 percent, to just over 8 billion in 1993 dollars. Although large, this $8 billion is less than half of the expenditures for the SSI disabled population in that year. Modifications to SSI that increase income disregards, eliminate the asset test, or base income eligibility solely on Social Security income, would be less costly, but would also provide less relief to the poor. Importantly, all programs, including the current system, could have substantially greater effects on poverty if participation rates were increased.","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"186 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2000-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122515642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 30
Incentive Effects of Social Security Under an Uncertain Disability Option 不确定残疾选择下社会保障的激励效应
Pub Date : 1999-09-01 DOI: 10.3386/W7339
A. Börsch-Supan
Incentive effects of pension systems are usually estimated under the assumption that the institutional environment provides a single optimal 'pathway' for retirement. However, many countries provide competing pathways which may include several early retirement options in addition to normal retirement. Moreover, early retirement options often comprise special provisions for disabled and unemployed workers that can be strategically manipulated by the employer and the employee while ultimate eligibility for such provisions is uncertain in advance. This paper shows that ignoring the endogeneity and/or uncertainty in the relevant institutional setting can severely bias the estimates of incentive effects. Ignoring the endogeneity leads to overestimated incentive effects that unduly exaggerate the 'pull' view of early retirement. In turn, when the uncertain option set is specified too generously, incentive effects are underestimated. The paper proposes several estimates to bound the true incentive effects of social security on early retirement, and applies them to the German public pension system.
养老金制度的激励效应通常是在制度环境为退休提供单一最优“途径”的假设下估计的。然而,许多国家提供了相互竞争的途径,除了正常退休外,可能还包括几种提前退休选择。此外,提前退休办法往往包括对残疾和失业工人的特别规定,雇主和雇员可以策略性地操纵这些规定,而最终是否有资格获得这些规定事先是不确定的。本文表明,忽视相关制度设置中的内生性和/或不确定性会严重影响对激励效应的估计。忽视内生性会导致高估激励效应,从而过度夸大提前退休的“拉动”观点。反过来,当不确定的选择集设定得太大时,激励效应就会被低估。本文提出了社会保障对提前退休的真正激励效应的几种估计,并将其应用于德国公共养老金制度。
{"title":"Incentive Effects of Social Security Under an Uncertain Disability Option","authors":"A. Börsch-Supan","doi":"10.3386/W7339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W7339","url":null,"abstract":"Incentive effects of pension systems are usually estimated under the assumption that the institutional environment provides a single optimal 'pathway' for retirement. However, many countries provide competing pathways which may include several early retirement options in addition to normal retirement. Moreover, early retirement options often comprise special provisions for disabled and unemployed workers that can be strategically manipulated by the employer and the employee while ultimate eligibility for such provisions is uncertain in advance. This paper shows that ignoring the endogeneity and/or uncertainty in the relevant institutional setting can severely bias the estimates of incentive effects. Ignoring the endogeneity leads to overestimated incentive effects that unduly exaggerate the 'pull' view of early retirement. In turn, when the uncertain option set is specified too generously, incentive effects are underestimated. The paper proposes several estimates to bound the true incentive effects of social security on early retirement, and applies them to the German public pension system.","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"93 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1999-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120859997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 43
A Decomposition of the Elasticity of Medicaid Nursing Home Expenditures into Price, Quality, and Quantity Effects 医疗补助养老院支出弹性分解为价格、质量和数量效应
Pub Date : 1985-10-01 DOI: 10.3386/W1751
P. Gertler
Nursing home expenditures have become a public policy concern primarily because the Medicaid program payes for approximately 50 percent. Medicaid makes health care available to individuals who otherwise could not afford it, by directly reimbursing nursing homes for Medicaid patient care. Typically, Medicaid reimbursement rates are set by a cost plus method, where the reimbursement per patient is equal to average cost plus some return referred to as the Medicaid "plus" factor. This paper estimates the elasticity of Medicaid expenditures with respect to a change in the Medicaid "plus" factor,and decomposes that elasticity into price, quality, and quantity components. The decomposition is derived from a model of nursing home behavior, which shows that an increase in the Medicaid "plus" factor causes nursing homes to admit more Medicaid patients and reduce quality.Total expenditures are the Medicaid reimbursement rate times the number of Medicaid patients receiving care. An increase in the Medicaid "plus" factor affects the Medicaid reimbursement by directly raising the Medicaid "plus" factor, and by indirectly decreasing average cost through a reduction in quality. These are the price and quality effects, respectively. The quantity effect is change in the number of Medicaid patients. The elasticities are estimated separately for proprietary and "not for profit" nursing homes using a 1980 sample of New York nursing homes. Uniformly, the proprietary elasticities are approximately twice as large as the "not for profit" elasticities. As expected the price and quantity effects are positive, and the quality effects are negative. In the decomposition, the quality effect is quite important. In fact, ignoring it would lead to a fifty-three percent overestimate of the Medicaid expenditure elasticity.
养老院的开支已经成为一个公共政策关注的问题,主要是因为医疗补助计划支付了大约50%的费用。医疗补助计划通过直接偿还疗养院的医疗补助病人护理费用,使那些原本负担不起医疗保健费用的个人可以获得医疗保健。通常,医疗补助报销率是按成本加成法确定的,即每个病人的报销等于平均成本加上一些回报,即医疗补助“加成”因素。本文根据医疗补助“附加”因素的变化估计了医疗补助支出的弹性,并将弹性分解为价格、质量和数量组成部分。这个分解来自一个养老院行为模型,该模型表明,医疗补助“附加”因素的增加会导致养老院接收更多的医疗补助患者,并降低质量。总支出是医疗补助报销率乘以接受医疗补助的患者人数。医疗补助“附加”因素的增加通过直接提高医疗补助“附加”因素影响医疗补助报销,并通过降低质量间接降低平均成本。这些分别是价格效应和质量效应。数量效应是指医疗补助病人数量的变化。使用1980年纽约养老院的样本,分别估计了专有和“非营利性”养老院的弹性。一致地,专有弹性大约是“非营利性”弹性的两倍。正如预期的那样,价格和数量效应是正的,质量效应是负的。在分解中,质量效果是相当重要的。事实上,忽略它会导致对医疗补助支出弹性的高估53%。
{"title":"A Decomposition of the Elasticity of Medicaid Nursing Home Expenditures into Price, Quality, and Quantity Effects","authors":"P. Gertler","doi":"10.3386/W1751","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W1751","url":null,"abstract":"Nursing home expenditures have become a public policy concern primarily because the Medicaid program payes for approximately 50 percent. Medicaid makes health care available to individuals who otherwise could not afford it, by directly reimbursing nursing homes for Medicaid patient care. Typically, Medicaid reimbursement rates are set by a cost plus method, where the reimbursement per patient is equal to average cost plus some return referred to as the Medicaid \"plus\" factor. This paper estimates the elasticity of Medicaid expenditures with respect to a change in the Medicaid \"plus\" factor,and decomposes that elasticity into price, quality, and quantity components. The decomposition is derived from a model of nursing home behavior, which shows that an increase in the Medicaid \"plus\" factor causes nursing homes to admit more Medicaid patients and reduce quality.Total expenditures are the Medicaid reimbursement rate times the number of Medicaid patients receiving care. An increase in the Medicaid \"plus\" factor affects the Medicaid reimbursement by directly raising the Medicaid \"plus\" factor, and by indirectly decreasing average cost through a reduction in quality. These are the price and quality effects, respectively. The quantity effect is change in the number of Medicaid patients. The elasticities are estimated separately for proprietary and \"not for profit\" nursing homes using a 1980 sample of New York nursing homes. Uniformly, the proprietary elasticities are approximately twice as large as the \"not for profit\" elasticities. As expected the price and quantity effects are positive, and the quality effects are negative. In the decomposition, the quality effect is quite important. In fact, ignoring it would lead to a fifty-three percent overestimate of the Medicaid expenditure elasticity.","PeriodicalId":306476,"journal":{"name":"SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)","volume":"222 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1985-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131621589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
期刊
SIRN: Low Income Elderly (Topic)
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1