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Evidence of Selection in a Mandatory Health Insurance Market with Risk Adjustment 具有风险调整的强制性健康保险市场选择的证据
Pub Date : 2018-04-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3157625
R. Croes, K. Katona, M. Mikkers, V. Shestalova
This paper aims to identify selection separately from moral hazard in a mandatory health insurance market where enrollees can freely choose their deductible scheme. The empirical analysis uses a unique data set for the period 2010-2013 covering the whole population of the Netherlands at enrollee level, allowing us to use prior health expenses of the enrollees to demonstrate the selection e ect separately from the potential moral hazard e ect. Our estimates show that the enrollees who opt for deductibles are both healthier and have a higher risk-adjusted result (i.e. the di erence between the compensation from the risk-adjustment fund and the actual health care cost) under the prevailing risk-adjustment system. Compared to enrollees who have chosen the lowest available deductible level, enrollees who have chosen the highest deductible level have an average risk-adjusted result that is approximately AC450 higher per enrollee. An option that the Dutch government could consider to fully eliminate the risk-adjustment gain of the deductibles is to include the choice of a voluntary deductible in the risk-adjustment system as one of the characteristics of the consumer. Our detection of substantial selection e ect of deductibles suggests the need of further research to understand in greater detail the relationship between premium discounts and the expected gains on the risk-adjustment for enrollees with a voluntary deductible.
在强制性健康保险市场中,参保人可以自由选择免赔计划,本文旨在区分选择与道德风险。实证分析使用了一个独特的数据集,涵盖了2010-2013年期间荷兰的全体人口,在注册水平,允许我们使用注册者之前的健康费用来证明选择效应与潜在的道德风险效应分开。我们的估计表明,在现行的风险调整制度下,选择免赔额的参保人既更健康,也有更高的风险调整结果(即风险调整基金补偿与实际医疗成本之间的差额)。与选择最低可免赔额的参保人相比,选择最高可免赔额的参保人的平均风险调整结果比选择最高可免赔额的参保人高约450美元。为了充分消除免赔额的风险调整收益,荷兰政府可以考虑的一个选择是将自愿免赔额的选择作为消费者的特征之一纳入风险调整制度。我们对免赔额的实质性选择效应的检测表明,需要进一步研究,以更详细地了解保费折扣与自愿免赔额的参保人风险调整的预期收益之间的关系。
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引用次数: 4
The Health Effects of Cesarean Delivery for Low-Risk First Births 剖宫产对低风险首次分娩的健康影响
Pub Date : 2018-04-01 DOI: 10.3386/W24493
David Card, Alessandra Fenizia, D. Silver
Cesarean delivery for low-risk pregnancies is generally associated with worse health outcomes for infants and mothers. The interpretation of this correlation, however, is confounded by potential selectivity in the choice of birth mode. We use birth records from California, merged with hospital and emergency department (ED) visits for infants and mothers in the year after birth, to study the causal health effects of cesarean delivery for low-risk first births. Building on McClellan, McNeil, and Newhouse (1994), we use the relative distance from a mother’s home to hospitals with high and low c-section rates as an instrument for c-section. We show that relative distance is a strong predictor of c-section but is orthogonal to many observed risk factors, including birth weight and indicators of prenatal care. Our IV estimates imply that cesarean delivery causes a relatively large increase in ED visits of the infant, mainly due to acute respiratory conditions. We find no significant effects on mothers’ hospitalizations or ED use after birth, or on subsequent fertility, but we find a ripple effect on second birth outcomes arising from the high likelihood of repeat c-section. Offsetting these morbidity effects, we find that delivery at a high c-section hospital leads to a significant reduction in infant mortality, driven by lower death rates for newborns with high rates of pre-determined risk factors.
低风险妊娠的剖宫产通常与婴儿和母亲的健康状况较差有关。然而,这种相关性的解释却被出生方式的潜在选择性所混淆。我们使用来自加利福尼亚的出生记录,并结合婴儿和母亲在出生后一年的医院和急诊科(ED)访问,研究剖宫产对低风险首次分娩的因果健康影响。在麦克莱伦,麦克尼尔和纽豪斯(1994)的基础上,我们使用从母亲家到高和低剖腹产率医院的相对距离作为剖腹产的工具。我们发现相对距离是剖腹产的一个强有力的预测因素,但与许多观察到的危险因素正交,包括出生体重和产前护理指标。我们的静脉注射估计表明,剖宫产导致婴儿急诊科就诊的相对较大的增加,主要是由于急性呼吸系统疾病。我们没有发现对母亲的住院治疗或分娩后使用ED或随后的生育能力有显著影响,但我们发现,由于重复剖腹产的可能性很高,对第二胎的结果有连锁反应。抵消这些发病率的影响,我们发现,在高剖腹产医院分娩导致婴儿死亡率显著降低,这是由于具有高预先确定风险因素的新生儿死亡率较低。
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引用次数: 25
Social Connections and Public Healthcare Utilization 社会联系和公共医疗保健利用
Pub Date : 2018-02-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2899976
S. Debnath, Tarun Jain
How can public healthcare administrators predict tertiary healthcare utilization when hospitals face highly variable patient flows but large and infungible costs of specialty treatment? Using administrative claims data from a public health insurance program in India shows that utilization by social connections is associated with 26% increase in first-time utilization. The social connections model decreases root mean squared error by 11.25% compared to a baseline model. Social connections predict treatment in private rather than public facilities, but not in specialty use. The enhanced model predicts higher levels of optimum healthcare provision when the costs of undertreatment are severe.
当医院面临高度可变的病人流量,但专科治疗的巨大和不可替代的成本时,公共医疗保健管理人员如何预测三级医疗保健的利用?利用来自印度公共健康保险计划的行政索赔数据表明,社会关系的利用与首次利用率增加26%有关。与基线模型相比,社会关系模型的均方根误差降低了11.25%。社会关系可以预测在私人医疗机构而不是公共医疗机构的治疗,但不能预测在专业医疗机构的治疗。增强的模型预测,当治疗不足的成本严重时,最佳医疗保健提供的水平会更高。
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引用次数: 2
Fraud Prevention in Health Sector: Proposals of Solution 卫生部门预防欺诈:解决建议
Pub Date : 2018-02-10 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3121738
K. Çalıyurt
One of the most important problems in the business world is unethical behaviors by workers. Businesses lose 6% of their income with fraud and the health sector is the 5th sector among the affected sectors by fraud activities. To prevent fraud in the health sector, implementation of corporate governance principles, internal control procedures comply with international anti-fraud legislation, the disclosure of annual anti-fraud report are recommended. In this study, after a literature review, the importance of ethical behavior and institutionalization in the health sector in Turkey have been discussed and the measures which should be taken to prevent corruption in the health sector are listed.
商业世界中最重要的问题之一是工人的不道德行为。企业因欺诈而损失6%的收入,卫生部门是受欺诈活动影响的第五大部门。为防止卫生部门的欺诈行为,建议执行公司治理原则,内部控制程序符合国际反欺诈立法,披露年度反欺诈报告。在这项研究中,经过文献审查,讨论了土耳其卫生部门的道德行为和制度化的重要性,并列出了应采取的措施,以防止卫生部门的腐败。
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引用次数: 0
Industry Input in Policymaking: Evidence from Medicare 政策制定中的行业投入:来自医疗保险的证据
Pub Date : 2018-02-01 DOI: 10.3386/W24354
David C. Chan, M. Dickstein
In setting prices for physician services, Medicare solicits input from a committee that evaluates proposals from industry. We investigate whether this arrangement leads to prices biased toward the interests of committee members. We find that increasing a measure of affiliation between the committee and proposers by one standard deviation increases prices by 10%, demonstrating a pathway for regulatory capture. We then evaluate the effect of affiliation on the quality of information used in price-setting. More affiliated proposals produce less hard information, measured as lower quality survey data. However, affiliation results in prices that are more closely followed by private insurers, suggesting that affiliation may increase the total information used in price-setting.
在为医生服务定价时,联邦医疗保险会征求一个委员会的意见,该委员会负责评估行业的建议。我们调查这种安排是否会导致价格偏向委员会成员的利益。我们发现,委员会和提议者之间的隶属关系每增加一个标准差,价格就会增加10%,这证明了监管捕获的途径。然后我们评估隶属关系对价格设定中使用的信息质量的影响。更多的关联提案产生更少的硬信息,以更低质量的调查数据来衡量。然而,隶属关系导致私营保险公司更密切地关注价格,这表明隶属关系可能会增加在定价中使用的总信息。
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引用次数: 1
Who Pays in Pay for Performance? Evidence from Hospital Pricing 谁来支付绩效工资?来自医院定价的证据
Pub Date : 2018-02-01 DOI: 10.3386/W24304
Michael E Darden, Ian M. McCarthy, E. Barrette
The Hospital Readmission Reduction Program (HRRP) and the Hospital Value Based Purchasing Program (HVBP), two components of the Affordable Care Act's cost containment measures, introduced potentially sizeable penalties to underperforming hospitals across a variety of metrics. To the extent that penalized hospitals subsequently changed their processes of care, such changes may translate into higher payments from commercial insurance patients. In this paper, we estimate the effects of these pay-for-performance programs on private hospital payments using data on commercial insurance payments from a large, multi-payer database. We find that nearly 70% of the costs of the HRRP and HVBP penalties are borne by private insurance patients in the form of higher private insurance payments to hospitals. Specifically, we show that HRRP and HVBP led to increases in private payments of 1.4%, or approximately $183,700 per hospital based on an average relative penalty of $271,000. We find very limited evidence that these effects are driven by quality improvements, changes in treatment intensity, or changes in service mix.
医院再入院减少计划(HRRP)和医院基于价值的采购计划(HVBP)是《平价医疗法案》成本控制措施的两个组成部分,在各种指标上对表现不佳的医院实施了可能相当大的处罚。在某种程度上,受处罚的医院随后改变了其护理流程,这种变化可能转化为商业保险患者支付的更高费用。在本文中,我们使用来自大型多付款人数据库的商业保险支付数据来估计这些按绩效付费计划对私立医院支付的影响。我们发现,近70%的HRRP和HVBP罚款费用是由私人保险患者以更高的私人保险支付给医院的形式承担的。具体而言,我们表明,HRRP和HVBP导致私人支付增加1.4%,或根据平均相对罚款271,000美元计算,每家医院约增加183,700美元。我们发现非常有限的证据表明,这些影响是由质量改进、治疗强度的变化或服务组合的变化驱动的。
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引用次数: 2
What a Healthcare Recipient Values in Hospital Care: A Multi-Layered Identity Approach 医疗保健接受者在医院护理中的价值:多层身份识别方法
Pub Date : 2017-12-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3089140
Dennis Moeke, Jeroen van Andel
In order to implement value-based concepts like Lean Management or Value Based Healthcare, hospitals should have sufficient understanding of what (potential) health care recipients value in the services that are provided to them. In this respect, in this paper, we argue that hospitals should acknowledge the multi-layered identity of the healthcare recipient. Hence, hospitals should be aware that a healthcare recipient is at the same time a patient, a person and a customer. In this paper it is shown that this Multi-layered Identity Approach (MIA) can be helpful in a better understanding of what a (potential) healthcare recipient values in the services that are provided to him and why and when certain values are of importance during his journey through the hospital.
为了实施基于价值的概念,如精益管理或基于价值的医疗保健,医院应该充分了解(潜在的)医疗保健接受者在提供给他们的服务中看重什么。在这方面,在本文中,我们认为医院应该承认医疗保健接受者的多层次身份。因此,医院应该意识到,医疗保健接受者同时是病人、人和客户。本文表明,这种多层身份识别方法(MIA)有助于更好地理解(潜在)医疗保健接受者在提供给他的服务中看重什么,以及在他的整个医院旅程中,为什么以及何时某些价值观是重要的。
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引用次数: 1
The Lifetime Costs of Bad Health 不良健康的终生代价
Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3056885
Mariacristina De Nardi, S. Pashchenko, Ponpoje Porapakkarm
Health shocks are an important source of risk. People in bad health work less, earn less, face higher medical expenses, die earlier, and accumulate much less wealth compared to those in good health. Importantly, the dynamics of health are much richer than those implied by a low-order Markov process. We first show that these dynamics can be parsimoniously captured by a combination of some lag-dependence and ex-ante heterogeneity, or health types. We then study the effects of health shocks in a structural life-cycle model with incomplete markets. Our estimated model reproduces the observed inequality in economic outcomes by health status, including the income-health and wealth-health gradients. Our model has several implications concerning the pecuniary and non-pecuniary effects of health shocks over the life-cycle. The (monetary) lifetime costs of bad health are very concentrated and highly unequally distributed across health types, with the largest component of these costs being the loss in labor earnings. The non-pecuniary effects of health are very important along two dimensions. First, individuals value good health mostly because it extends life expectancy. Second, health uncertainty substantially increases lifetime inequality by affecting the variation in lifespans.
健康冲击是一个重要的风险来源。与身体健康的人相比,身体不好的人工作更少,收入更少,面临更高的医疗费用,死得更早,积累的财富也少得多。重要的是,健康的动态比低阶马尔可夫过程所隐含的要丰富得多。我们首先表明,这些动态可以通过一些滞后依赖和事前异质性或健康类型的组合来简洁地捕获。然后,我们在不完全市场的结构生命周期模型中研究了健康冲击的影响。我们的估计模型再现了观察到的健康状况在经济结果中的不平等,包括收入-健康和财富-健康梯度。我们的模型对生命周期中健康冲击的金钱和非金钱影响有几个含义。不良健康的(金钱)终生成本非常集中,在不同健康类型之间分布极不均匀,这些成本的最大组成部分是劳动收入的损失。健康的非金钱影响在两个方面非常重要。首先,个人看重健康主要是因为它能延长预期寿命。其次,健康的不确定性通过影响寿命的变化而大大增加了一生的不平等。
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引用次数: 49
Five‐State Study of ACA Marketplace Competition: A Summary Report ACA市场竞争五州研究:摘要报告
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/rmir.12079
Michael A. Morrisey, Alice Rivlin, Richard Nathan, Mark A. Hall
This field study sought to better understand the evolution of health insurance competition in the health insurance exchange marketplaces in five states: California, Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, and Texas. This summary highlights key findings from each of the states and offers a series of testable hypotheses about the evolution of these markets. Four broad themes emerged from the analysis. First, health insurance markets are local, largely due to the necessity to establish local networks of health care providers. Second, higher than expected claims costs were the source of much of the turmoil in the marketplaces over the initial 4 years. Third, there has been a substantial shift toward narrower networks of providers, largely achieved by eliminating preferred provider plan options. Fourth, hospital and physician competition is essential for a robust and competitive insurer market.
本实地研究旨在更好地了解五个州健康保险交易市场中健康保险竞争的演变:加利福尼亚州、密歇根州、佛罗里达州、北卡罗来纳州和德克萨斯州。本摘要突出了每个州的主要发现,并提供了一系列关于这些市场演变的可检验假设。分析中出现了四大主题。首先,医疗保险市场是地方性的,这主要是因为有必要建立当地的医疗保健提供者网络。其次,高于预期的索赔成本是最初4年市场动荡的主要根源。第三,向更窄的供应商网络已经发生了实质性的转变,主要是通过取消首选供应商计划来实现的。第四,医院和医生之间的竞争对保险市场的健全和竞争至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Can Blockchain Improve Healthcare Management? Consumer Medical Electronics and the IoMT 区块链能改善医疗保健管理吗?消费医疗电子产品和IoMT
Pub Date : 2017-08-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3025393
M. Pilkington
We set out to examine the relevance of blockchain technology for healthcare management in general, and for consumer medical electronics and the portable devices connected in particular. After considering the shortcomings of private and centralized organizations for access to patient data in a fist part, we analyze the transformative role of blockchain for the management of electronic health records (EHRs). We evoke the role of public private partnerships for the design of healthcare blockchain strategies, and we address the fast-growing segment of consumer medical electronics and the Internet of Medical Things.
我们开始研究区块链技术与一般医疗保健管理的相关性,特别是与消费医疗电子产品和连接的便携式设备的相关性。在第一部分中考虑了私有和集中式组织访问患者数据的缺点之后,我们分析了区块链在电子健康记录(EHRs)管理方面的变革作用。我们倡导公私合作伙伴关系在医疗保健区块链战略设计中的作用,并致力于快速增长的消费医疗电子产品和医疗物联网领域。
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引用次数: 21
期刊
PSN: Health Care Delivery (Topic)
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