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Valorant Haven Strategy Using BIP and Weighted Graph 使用 BIP 和加权图的 Valorant Haven 战略
Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v6i1.3511
Ermelinda Benna Kireyna, Jovian Dian Pratama, Mauliddino Rizky Pratama, Sri Lutfiya Dwiyeni, Apni Diyanti, Bernardinus Rico Dewanto, Sunarsih
Strategy in a competitive video game is needed to reach a successful game, for example, Valorant. Route planning is one of the strategies in playing games. In consideration of making a new strategy, this research develops a binary integer programming (BIP) model to generating optimal route depending on passable paths, travel time, kills, and survivability. By using POM QM for Windows to compute the model, we obtained optimal modified routes that can be combined in the role and agent composition.
在竞技视频游戏中,要想取得成功,就必须制定策略,例如《Valorant》。路线规划是游戏中的策略之一。为了制定新的策略,本研究开发了一种二元整数编程(BIP)模型,根据可通行路径、行进时间、杀伤力和生存能力生成最优路线。通过使用 POM QM for Windows 计算该模型,我们获得了可与角色和代理组合相结合的最佳修改路线。
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引用次数: 0
Estimasi Bayes Empirik pada Model Rantai Markov untuk Menggambarkan Karakteristik Curah Hujan di Kota Makassar 用经验贝叶斯估计马尔可夫链模型来描述望加锡市的降雨特征
Pub Date : 2024-04-06 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v6i1.3594
Wahidah Sanusi
Peristiwa banjir dan kekeringan merupakan dua peristiwa yang masih menjadi topik menarik bagi para peneliti karena kedua peristiwa tersebut merugikan kelangsungan hidup manusia, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung. Kedua fenomena tersebut juga tidak dapat dipastikan kapan mulai atau berakhirnya, sehingga diperlukan suatu model probabilistik seperti model rantai Markov. Model ini dapat menggambarkan karakteristik curah hujan, seperti nilai peluang, durasi dan periode ulang kejadian basah dan kering. Penentuan peluang transisi suatu model rantai Markov dapat dilakukan dengan menggunakan pendekatan klasik maupun pendekatan Bayes. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan peluang transisi model rantai Markov menggunakan pendekatan Bayes empirik, dan untuk memperoleh gambaran karakteristik curah hujan Kota Makassar. Penelitian ini menggunakan data curah hujan bulanan dari empat stasiun curah hujan di Kota Makassar untuk periode tahun 1988 sampai 2017. Data diperoleh dari Dinas Pengelolaan Sumber Daya Air dan Balai Besar Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika Wilayah IV Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan. Berdasarkan estimasi Bayes empirik peluang transisi model Rantai Markov, hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa kota Makassar akan mengalami keadaan basah dua bulan berturut-turut, begitupun dengan keadaan kering. Selain itu, hasil penelitian ini juga menunjukkan bahwa pada umumnya kota Makassar akan lebih sering mengalami keadaan basah dibanding keadaan lainnya dengan rata-rata durasi keadaan basah sekitar 7 bulan.
洪水和干旱是研究人员一直关注的两个话题,因为它们直接或间接地危害着人类的生存。这两种现象也无法确定何时开始或何时结束,因此需要一个概率模型,如马尔科夫链模型。该模型可以描述降雨的特征,如干湿事件的概率值、持续时间和回归期。确定马尔可夫链模型的过渡概率可以使用经典方法或贝叶斯方法。本研究旨在使用经验贝叶斯方法确定马尔可夫链模型的过渡概率,并获得望加锡市降雨特征的概况。本研究使用了马卡萨市四个雨量站 1988 年至 2017 年期间的月降雨量数据。这些数据来自水资源管理办公室和南苏拉威西省第四区气象、气候学和地球物理学中心。根据马尔可夫链模型过渡概率的经验贝叶斯估算,本研究结果表明,望加锡市将连续两个月出现潮湿天气,同时也会出现干燥天气。此外,本研究的结果还显示,总体而言,望加锡市经历潮湿条件的频率高于其他条件,潮湿条件的平均持续时间约为 7 个月。
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引用次数: 0
Global Sensitivity Analysis of A Rabies Epidemic Model involving Dog Vaccination and Dog Population Management 涉及狗疫苗接种和狗群管理的狂犬病流行模型的全球敏感性分析
Pub Date : 2024-04-06 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v6i1.3241
Wahyudin Nur, Darmawati
Rabies is a zoonotic disease which is spread by animals mostly carnivores. Rabies regards as tropic disease. In this article, we construct a mathematical model for rabies involving dog vaccination and dog population management. The model has two equilibrium points, namely rabies-free equilibrium point and endemic equilibrium point. We determine the effective reproduction ratio using next generation matrix. Our dynamical analysis shows that rabies-free equilibrium point is conditionally stable. A global sensitivity analysis is performed to investigate which intervention is the most crucial among the two interventions considered in the model. We use Latin hypercube sampling method to generate parameter space. To investigate the parameter sensitivity, we calculate the partial rank correlation coefficient. We provide numerical experimental results related to stability and  global sensitivity analysis. Our results show that the effective reproduction ratio is more sensitive to dog population management than vaccination intervention. This suggests that dog population management intervention, such as sterilization and monitoring of dog movements significantly reduces the effective reproduction ratio compared to vaccination programs. In addition, the number of infectious dogs has a strong correlation with dog culling actions.
狂犬病是一种人畜共患病,主要由食肉动物传播。狂犬病被视为热带病。本文构建了一个狂犬病数学模型,涉及狗疫苗接种和狗的种群管理。该模型有两个平衡点,即无狂犬病平衡点和地方病平衡点。我们利用下一代矩阵确定有效繁殖率。我们的动力学分析表明,无狂犬病平衡点是条件稳定的。我们进行了全局敏感性分析,以研究在模型中考虑的两种干预措施中,哪种干预措施最为关键。我们使用拉丁超立方取样法生成参数空间。为了研究参数的敏感性,我们计算了偏等级相关系数。我们提供了与稳定性和全局敏感性分析相关的数值实验结果。我们的结果表明,有效繁殖率对犬只种群管理的敏感度高于疫苗接种干预。这表明,与疫苗接种计划相比,狗群管理干预措施(如绝育和监控狗的活动)能显著降低有效繁殖率。此外,感染性犬只的数量与犬只捕杀行动也有很大关系。
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引用次数: 0
Model Generalized Space Time Autoregressive with Variable Exogenous (GSTARX) Dalam Meramalkan Data Inflasi di Sulawesi Selatan 预测南苏拉威西岛通货膨胀数据的广义时空自回归与可变外生因素(GSTARX)模型
Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v6i1.2999
K. Khadijah, Hikmah Hikmah, Fardinah Fardinah, Apriyanto Apriyanto, N. Nurhidayah, Sri Dian Lestari
Inflasi merupakan salah satu parameter untuk mengukur kestabilan perekonomian di Indonesia. Menjaga stabilitas perekonomian dapat dilakukan dengan mengendalikan laju inflasi. Pengendalian laju inflasi, selain melalui kebijakan yang ditetapkan pemerintah juga dapat dilakukan dengan meramalkan inflasi untuk periode selanjutnya. Peran serta setiap wilayah di Indonesia sangat diperlukan, termasuk Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan yang memiliki 5 kota Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK) yakni Kota Bulukumba, Watampone, Makassar, Parepare dan Palopo. Inflasi merupakan data deret waktu bulanan yang diduga dipengaruhi oleh aspek antar lokasi dan variabel eksogen. Peramalan inflasi yang melibatkan efek waktu, lokasi dan variabel eksogen dapat menggunakan Generalized Space Time Autoregressive with Exogenous Variable (GSTARX). Penelitian ini, meramalkan inflasi 5 kota di Sulawesi Selatan menggunakan GSTARX dengan variabel eksogen yaitu IHK serta pembobot lokasi yang digunakan adalah bobot seragam dan invers jarak. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendapatkan model peramalan yang sesuai dan mengetahui hasil peramalan inflasi pada 5 kota di Sulawesi Selatan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa model GSTARX  adalah model yang cocok dan hasil peramalan inflasi 5 kota di Sulawesi Selatan menunjukkan bahwa pembobot invers jarak memiliki akurasi yang lebih baik karena nilai rata-rata RMSE bobot invers jarak lebih kecil dibanding bobot seragam. Akan tetapi, terdapat selisih yang cukup besar antara hasil peramalan dengan data out-sample (aktual). Efek spasial secara menyeluruh belum mampu dijelaskan oleh kedua bobot yang digunakan menjadi penyebabnya.
通货膨胀是衡量印尼经济稳定性的参数之一。保持经济稳定可以通过控制通货膨胀率来实现。控制通货膨胀率,除了政府制定的政策外,还可以通过预测下一时期的通货膨胀率来实现。印尼的每个地区都需要参与,包括南苏拉威西省,该省有 5 个消费价格指数(CPI)城市,即布卢昆巴(Bulukumba)、瓦当蓬(Watampone)、望加锡(Makassar)、帕雷帕雷(Parepare)和帕洛波(Palopo)。通货膨胀是一个月度时间序列数据,被认为受到地点间因素和外生变量的影响。涉及时间、地点和外生变量影响的通货膨胀预测可以使用带外生变量的广义时空自回归(GSTARX)。本研究使用 GSTARX 预测南苏拉威西省 5 个城市的通货膨胀率,外生变量为消费物价指数,地点权重为统一权重和反距离权重。本研究旨在获得一个合适的预测模型,并确定南苏拉威西省 5 个城市的通货膨胀预测结果。结果表明,GSTARX 模型是一个合适的模型,对南苏拉威西省 5 个城市的通货膨胀预测结果表明,反距离权重具有更好的准确性,因为反距离权重的平均均方根误差值小于均匀权重。然而,预测结果与样本外(实际)数据之间存在相当大的差异。总体空间效应并不能用两种权重来解释。
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引用次数: 0
Symplectic Form yang Berkaitan Dengan Satu-form Suatu Aljabar Lie Berdimensi Rendah 与低维李代数的一元形式相关的交映形式
Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v6i1.3096
E. Kurniadi
In this paper, we study symplectic form on low dimensional real Lie algebra. A symplectic form is very important in classifying of Lie algebra types. Based on their dimension and certain conditions, there are two types of Lie algebras. A lie algebra with odd dimension endowed with one-form  such that   is called a contact Lie algebra, while a Lie algebra whose dimension is even and it is endowed with zero index is called a Frobenius Lie algebra. The research aimed to give explicit formula of a symplectic form  of  low dimensional contact Lie algebras and Frobenius Lie algebras. We established that a one-form associated to simplectic form determine a type of a Lie algebra whether a contact or a Frobenius Lie algebras.To clearer the main results, we give some examples of one-form and symplectic form of Frobenius and contact Lie algebras.  
本文研究低维实李代数上的交映形式。交映形式对于划分李代数类型非常重要。根据维数和某些条件,可以划分出两种类型的李代数。维数为奇数且赋有单形式的李代数称为接触李代数,而维数为偶数且赋有零指数的李代数称为弗罗贝尼斯李代数。研究旨在给出低维接触李代数和弗罗贝纽斯李代数的交映形式的明确公式。为了更清楚地说明主要结果,我们举了一些弗罗贝纽斯和接触李代数的一元形式和交映形式的例子。
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引用次数: 0
Model Predator-Prey Leslie-Gower dengan Fungsi Respon Sokol-Howell dan Perilaku Anti Predator 具有 Sokol-Howell 响应函数和反捕食行为的莱斯利-高尔捕食者-猎物模型
Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v6i1.2971
Fardinah, Darma Ekawati, Hikmah Hikmah, Hirman Rachman
This study discusses the Leslie-Gower predator-prey model with the Sokol-Howell response function and anti-predator behavior. It is assumed that prey has anti-predator behavior that aims to reduce the risk of predation and not as an attempt by prey to find food. This study aims to formulate a Leslie-Gower predator-prey model with the Sokol-Howell response function and anti-predator behavior, analyze the model's equilibrium point and model interpretation. Stability analysis was carried out using the linearization method. The type of stability is determined based on the characteristic eigenvalues ​​obtained using Routh-Hurwitz criteria. The results of the analysis of the equilibrium point show that prey populations will exist and predators will become extinct if the anti-predator coefficient is greater than the intrinsic growth coefficient of predators, while prey and predator populations will always exist if the intrinsic growth coefficient of predators is greater than the anti-predator coefficient and fulfills other conditions required. Based on the numerical simulations performed, the interpretation is that an enlarged anti-predator coefficient increases the number of prey populations until they approach the carrying capacity, while predator populations decrease significantly and over time experience extinction.
本研究讨论了莱斯利-高尔捕食者-猎物模型与索科尔-霍威尔反应函数和反捕食者行为。假设猎物的反捕食行为旨在降低被捕食的风险,而不是猎物试图寻找食物的行为。本研究旨在建立一个具有 Sokol-Howell 响应函数和反捕食行为的莱斯利-高尔捕食者-猎物模型,分析模型的平衡点和模型解释。采用线性化方法进行了稳定性分析。稳定性类型是根据使用 Routh-Hurwitz 准则获得的特征值确定的。平衡点分析结果表明,如果反捕食者系数大于捕食者的内在增长系数,则猎物种群将存在,捕食者将灭绝;而如果捕食者的内在增长系数大于反捕食者系数并满足其他必要条件,则猎物和捕食者种群将始终存在。根据所进行的数值模拟,可以得出这样的解释:扩大反捕食者系数会增加猎物种群的数量,直至接近其承载能力,而捕食者种群则会显著减少,并随着时间的推移而灭绝。
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引用次数: 0
Perbandingan Metode Muller dan Metode Newton-Raphson dengan Dekomposisi Adomian yang Dimodifikasi dalam Menyelesaikan Persamaan Polinomial 用修正阿多米安分解法求解多项式方程时的穆勒法与牛顿-拉夫逊法之比较
Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v6i1.3353
Try Azisah Nurman, Andi Mariani, R. Rahmat
Penelitian ini mengkaji mengenai penyelesaian masalah persamaan polinomial dengan membandingkan Metode Muller dan Metode Newton-Raphson dengan Dekomposisi Adomian yang Dimodifikasi menggunakan bantuan program Python berdasarkan nilai akar, nilai galat, dan jumlah iterasi. Persamaan polinomial dalam satu variabel ditetapkan sama dengan nol. Persamaan yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini ialah persamaan polinomial berderajat 5 dan persamaan polinomial berderajat 6. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Metode Muller memperoleh nilai akar berbentuk real, iterasi yang lebih banyak dan nilai galat yang masih besar. Sedangkan pada Metode Newton-Rapshon dengan Dekomposisi Adomian yang Dimodifikasi memperoleh nilai akar berbentuk real, iterasi yang lebih sedikit dan nilai galatnya kecil. Dengan demikian, metode terbaik yang dapat digunakan dalam menyelesaikan masalah persamaan polinomial ialah metode Newton-Raphson dengan Dekomposisi Adomian yang dimodifikasi.
本研究在 Python 程序的帮助下,根据根值、误差值和迭代次数,通过比较穆勒法和牛顿-拉夫逊法与修正阿多米分解法,研究多项式方程的解法。单变量多项式方程设置为零。研究结果表明,穆勒法获得了真实的根值,迭代次数较多,误差值仍然较大。而采用修正阿多米分解的牛顿-拉普逊方法得到了实根值,迭代次数少,误差值小。因此,解决多项式方程问题的最佳方法是修正阿多米分解的牛顿-拉普森方法。
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引用次数: 0
Analisis Hubungan antara Nilai Mata Kuliah Metode Statistika dan Mata Kuliah Teori Peluang pada Mahasiswa Statistika dengan Korelasi Somers' D 分析统计方法方法成绩与Somers D相关的统计概率理论专业之间的关系
Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v5i1.2782
Analisis Hubungan, Antara Nilai, Mata Kuliah, Metode Statistika, D. Mata, Kuliah Teori, Peluang Pada, Mahasiswa Statistika, Korelasi Somers', D. Reski, W. Yanti, Retno Mayapada, Andi Sri, Rahayu Kasma, Syandriana Syarifuddin, Andi Seppewali, Teori Peluang
The subjects studied at university are often interrelated and form an intact of complete  knowledge. This study aims to analyze the asymmetrical relationship between Statistical Methods scores and Probability Theory scores in Statistics students through Somers' d correlation analysis. Based on the analysis performed, it was found that there was a strong correlation (0.612 and 0.716) between the scores obtained by students in the Statistical Methods and Probability Theory. The analysis also shows that the scores of the Statistical Method that students obtained has a significant influence on students' Probability Theory scores. So it can be concluded, that the higher the student's Statistical Method score obtained in the early semester, the higher the chance for students to get high Probability Theory scores in the following semester.
大学里学习的科目往往是相互关联的,构成了完整的知识体系。本研究旨在通过Somers' d相关分析,分析统计学学生统计方法成绩与概率论成绩之间的不对称关系。通过分析发现,学生在统计方法和概率论两门课的成绩之间存在很强的相关性(0.612和0.716)。分析还表明,学生获得的统计方法分数对学生的概率论分数有显著的影响。因此,可以得出结论,学生在前学期获得的统计方法分数越高,学生在接下来的学期获得高概率论分数的机会就越大。
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引用次数: 0
Penerapan Model ARIMA terhadap Kebutuhan Jumlah Vaksin Booster COVID-19 di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan 模型阿里玛应用于南苏拉威西省助推器-19疫苗的需求
Pub Date : 2023-06-24 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v5i1.2751
Rahmat Syam, Wahidah Sanusi, Muhammad Abdy, M. Farhan
Penyebaran COVID-19 di Indonesia pada tahun 2019 sangat tinggi, salah satu wilayah dengan angka terinfeksi tertinggi ialah di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan. Sikap yang diambil pemerintah dalam menanganinya yaitu dengan memberikan vaksin ke seluruh wilayah Indonesia. Vaksin yang diberikan terdiri atas dua yaitu vaksin primer dan vaksin Booster. Pemberian vaksin Booster COVID-19 membuat masyarakat berpikir apakah memang dibutuhkan?. Oleh karena itu dibutuhkan suatu model peramalan untuk meramalkan kebutuhan jumlah vaksin Booster COVID-19 di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui bentuk pemodelan data jumlah vaksin Booster COVID-19 di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan menggunakan model ARIMA, diawali dengan pengecekan kestasioneran data, identifikasi model dugaan, estimasi dan uji parameter, uji asumsi residual, pemilihan model terbaik, peramalan, dan uji ketepatan peramalan. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa model terbaik pada peramalan kebutuhan jumlah vaksin Booster COVID-19 di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan adalah model ARIMA (1,1,0) dengan nilai ketepatan peramalan menggunakan MAPE sebesar 1.38%.
2019年,COVID-19在印度尼西亚的传播非常高,最受感染的地区之一位于南苏拉威西省。政府对此采取的立场是向印尼各地提供疫苗。接种疫苗由两种主要疫苗和助推器疫苗组成。助推器COVID-19疫苗的引入让人们想,这真的是必要的吗?因此,需要一种模型来预测南苏拉威西省助推器-19疫苗的需求。这项研究的目的是确定南苏拉威西省助推器疫苗数量的数据建模形式,使用ARIMA模型,首先是对数据stastation -19疫苗的验证、假设模型、估计和测试、残留假设测试、最好的模型、模型、模型模型和以理成章测试。这项研究的结果表明,南苏拉威西省助推器COVID-19疫苗需求的最佳模型是ARIMA模型(1.1 0),其市值为1.38%。
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引用次数: 0
Perencanaan Produksi Makanan Laut dengan Pertimbangan Permintaan dan Kapasitas 海洋食品生产规划,考虑需求和能力
Pub Date : 2023-05-10 DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v5i1.2309
Hirman Rachman, H. Mawengkang
The sea holds many resources that are very important for life, and one of them is the potential of fisheries, which is a basic human need. Indonesia, as a maritime country whose waters cover 2/3 of its territory, most of its people who live in coastal areas have utilized this condition by conducting fisheries management activities. However, the process still needs technical support to optimize the results. This research will review the production planning process of processed marine products under demand uncertainty. This research will construct a model to minimize production costs by considering demand uncertainty. The model will be computed using Mixed Integer Linear Program (MILP) method to provide the decision of processed products produced and the amount of production.
海洋拥有许多对生命非常重要的资源,其中之一就是渔业的潜力,这是人类的基本需求。印度尼西亚作为一个海洋国家,其三分之二的领土被海水覆盖,大部分居住在沿海地区的人民利用这一条件开展渔业管理活动。然而,这个过程仍然需要技术支持来优化结果。本研究将检视需求不确定性下的海产品加工生产计划过程。本研究将建构一个考虑需求不确定性的生产成本最小化模型。该模型将采用混合整数线性规划(MILP)方法进行计算,以提供加工产品的生产和生产数量的决策。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Mathematics: Theory and Applications
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