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Enhanced case finding and self-isolation measures in the early phase of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron transmission, Osaka, Japan, December 2021-January 2022. 2021年12月至2022年1月,日本大阪,SARS-CoV-2欧米克隆传播早期加强病例发现和自我隔离措施。
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-04-14 eCollection Date: 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.2.1129
Miho Kobayashi, Kensaku Kakimoto, Yuichiro Yahata, Yusuke Kobayashi, Hitomi Nagai, Chisato Tanikake, Kazumi Fukumura, Keiko Date, Hiromi Murata, Sae Kitagawa, Yuki Yoshida, Yui Kamoda, Miho Akazaki, Masaaki Tanabe, Chika Shirai, Tomoe Shimada, Taro Kamigaki, Tsuyoshi Sekizuka, Makoto Kuroda, Tomimasa Sunagawa

Objective: The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant B.1.1.529 (Omicron) was first detected in Japan in November 2021. In Osaka, public health centres subsequently increased active case finding and encouraged self-isolation. This study investigated the effectiveness of these countermeasures.

Methods: Cases targeted for analysis were persons who had neither recently travelled abroad nor had contact with foreign tourists but tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 between 24 November 2021 and 4 January 2022 and were suspected or confirmed to have the Omicron variant. We performed a descriptive analysis and calculated the reproduction number (R) for each generation using the branching process method. Genomic sequencing data were analysed to plot a haplotype network.

Results: A total of 251 cases were analysed. The median age was 30 years, and 46% (115/251) were in their 20s or younger. The first Omicron case in Osaka was detected on 21 December 2021. Local public health centres conducted health monitoring and contact tracing. We analysed R, using information from six clusters, including 42 pairs with a clear relationship between the case and the infected contact (infector-infectee pairs); the clusters had 19, 21 and 2 cases in each subsequent generation. The basic R (t = 0) was estimated to be 3.2, and subsequent generations (t = 1, 2) of R decreased to 1.1 and 0.1, respectively. The haplotype network showed that these cases constituted a monophyletic group with others detected around Osaka, indicating that these case-related clusters had been contained and were not involved in the nationwide Omicron waves.

Discussion: Active case finding and self-isolation were found to be effective in limiting the spread of an emerging novel variant.

目的:2021年11月,日本首次发现严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2型(SARS-CoV-2) B.1.1.529 (Omicron)变体。在大阪,公共卫生中心随后增加了积极的病例发现并鼓励自我隔离。本研究考察了这些对策的有效性。方法:分析的病例目标是近期既没有出国旅行,也没有与外国游客接触,但在2021年11月24日至2022年1月4日期间SARS-CoV-2检测呈阳性,并怀疑或确认患有欧米克隆变体的人员。我们进行了描述性分析,并使用分支过程法计算了每一代的繁殖数(R)。分析基因组测序数据以绘制单倍型网络。结果:共分析251例。年龄中位数为30岁,46%(115/251)在20多岁或更年轻。2021年12月21日在大阪发现了首例欧米克隆病例。当地公共卫生中心开展了健康监测和接触者追踪工作。我们分析了R,使用来自6个聚集的信息,包括42对病例与受感染接触者之间有明确关系的病例(感染者-感染者对);每代分别有19例、21例和2例。估计基本R (t = 0)为3.2,后续代R (t = 1,2)分别降至1.1和0.1。单倍型网络显示,这些病例与大阪周围发现的其他病例构成一个单系群,表明这些病例相关的聚集性已得到控制,未参与全国范围的Omicron波。讨论:发现主动发现病例和自我隔离在限制新出现的新变体的传播方面是有效的。
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引用次数: 0
Detection and characterization of novel respiratory viruses among native ducks (Anas luzonica) in Central Luzon, the Philippines. 菲律宾吕宋岛中部本地鸭(Anas luzonica)新型呼吸道病毒的检测和特征分析。
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-04-07 eCollection Date: 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.2.1124
Milagros R Mananggit, Joely T Ongtangco, Xandre D Baccay, Ronnie Domingo, Mary Elizabeth Miranda, Romeo Gundran, Dan Drexel Dela Cruz, Frank Yk Wong, S Gabrielle Cody, Laura A Pulscher, Emily R Robie, Emily S Bailey, Gregory C Gray

Objective: This cross-sectional, prospective surveillance study sought to determine the prevalence of novel respiratory viruses among domestic ducks in Central Luzon that are known to have frequent contact with wild avian species. Such contact may lead to novel virus spillover events that may harm domestic poultry as well as humans.

Methods: From March 2019 to January 2020, cross-sectional and prospective surveillance for viruses among domestic ducks (Anas luzonica) was conducted by periodically collecting oropharyngeal swabs from ducks on 54 farms across three municipalities within Central Luzon (Region III). A flock of 30 sentinel domestic ducks was also sampled four times after being confined in the Candaba swamp. The resultant 1740 swab samples were pooled (5 samples/pool, 348 pools) by site and screened with molecular assays for respiratory viruses from multiple viral families.

Results: Two farms yielded samples positive for avian influenza virus in Candaba, where adolescent ducks are known to freely mix with wild birds as they graze in rice fields. Overall, the prevalence of avian influenza virus was 2.3% (8/348 pools). Sequencing revealed three pools with highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N6, one with low pathogenicity H5N8, and one with H5 with an unspecified neuraminidase. All the pooled specimens tested were negative for influenza C, adenoviruses, coronaviruses and enteroviruses.

Discussion: Although this study had several limitations, it found supportive evidence that domestic ducks are acquiring avian influenza viruses from wild bird species. These findings underscore recommendations that duck farmers should seek to prevent domestic ducks from mixing with wild avian species.

目的:本横断面前瞻性监测研究旨在确定吕宋岛中部家鸭中新型呼吸道病毒的流行情况,这些家鸭已知经常与野生鸟类接触。这种接触可能导致可能危害家禽和人类的新型病毒外溢事件。方法:2019年3月至2020年1月,通过定期采集吕宋岛中部(第三区)3个市54个养殖场鸭的口咽拭子,对吕宋家鸭(Anas luzonica)进行病毒横断面和前瞻性监测。一群30只家鸭在被关在坎达巴沼泽后,也进行了四次采样。收集1740份拭子样本(5份/池,348个池),采用分子检测方法筛选多个病毒科呼吸道病毒。结果:在坎达巴,两个农场的禽流感病毒样本呈阳性,在那里,青少年鸭子在稻田里吃草时,与野生鸟类自由混合。总体而言,禽流感病毒的流行率为2.3%(8/348池)。测序结果显示,3个高致病性H5N6病毒库、1个低致病性H5N8病毒库和1个神经氨酸酶未知的H5病毒库。所有合并检测的标本均呈丙型流感病毒、腺病毒、冠状病毒和肠道病毒阴性。讨论:尽管这项研究有一些局限性,但它发现了支持性证据,表明家鸭是从野鸟那里感染禽流感病毒的。这些发现强调了养鸭农民应设法防止家鸭与野生鸟类混合的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Whole-genome sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 from residual viral RNA present on positive rapid antigen test kits for genomic surveillance. 从阳性快速抗原检测试剂盒中残留的病毒RNA对SARS-CoV-2进行全基因组测序,用于基因组监测。
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-03-31 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1140
Mohd Ishtiaq Anasir, Khayri Kamel, Nor Malizza G Adypatti, Mohammad Syafiq Jamaluddin, Farah Amira Ahmad, Siti Nurhidayah Norhisham, Muhammad Zulfazli Mohamad Sukri, Nur Rafiqah Rosli, Siti Norazrina Saif, Nurul Izzati Basarudin, Mohamad Azzam-Sayuti, Akmal Hayat Abdul Karim, Mahirah Kamil Puat, Ravindran Thayan, Rozainanee Mohd Zain
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引用次数: 0
Satellite communications in health emergencies: no longer a luxury. 突发卫生事件中的卫星通信:不再是奢侈品。
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-03-27 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1217
Pierre-Yves Beauchemin, Eystein Grusd, Erin E Noste, Anthony Cook, Jan-Erik Larsen, Aristides Poblete Alonzo, Misheel Enkhdalai, Sean T Casey
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引用次数: 0
Focusing field epidemiology training on national health priorities in Papua New Guinea: consultative prioritization, from health workers to policy-makers. 将实地流行病学培训重点放在巴布亚新几内亚的国家卫生优先事项上:从卫生工作者到决策者协商确定优先事项。
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-03-24 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1105
Tambri Housen, Barry Ropa, James Flint, Tony Merritt, Rachel Hammersley-Mather, Alois Pukienei, Rosheila Dagina, Bethseba Peni, Martha Pogo, David N Durrheim
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引用次数: 0
Foodborne illness from tuba-tuba seeds among school-aged children, Philippines: a call for community education. 菲律宾学龄儿童中由大号种子引起的食源性疾病:对社区教育的呼吁。
IF 1.1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-03-20 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1186
Darren H Venturina, Apple Charm A Agulto, Alireza S Faiyaz, Ray Justin C Ventura, Mariz Zheila C Blanco-Payuyo, John Bobbie Roca

Objective: On 2 September 2023, the Regional Epidemiology and Surveillance Unit of the Department of Health's Center for Health Development in Calabarzon, Philippines, received a report of foodborne illness due to the ingestion of tuba-tuba (Jatropha curcas) seeds in Talao Talao Village, Lucena City. The objective of this study was to describe the public health event.

Methods: A descriptive study was conducted. Cases were defined as previously well individuals who developed at least one of the following symptoms after eating tuba-tuba seeds: vomiting, abdominal pain, diarrhoea, headache or dizziness. Health records were reviewed, and key informant interviews and environmental surveys were conducted.

Results: Ten cases were identified, ranging in age from 10 to 12 years. The onset of symptoms ranged from 1 to 4 hours after consumption. Six of the cases were taken to the hospital, although two went home before being admitted; all recovered after 3 days. The most common symptom was vomiting (100%); other symptoms included abdominal pain, diarrhoea, dizziness and headache.

Discussion: This investigation confirmed that tuba-tuba seeds were the cause of symptoms among school-aged children in Lucena City. To prevent similar events in the future, we recommend intensifying educational campaigns at both the community and school levels, as tuba-tuba is common in the area.

目的:2023年9月2日,菲律宾卡拉巴松卫生部卫生发展中心区域流行病学和监测股收到了卢塞纳市Talao Talao村因摄入大号-大号(麻疯树)种子而引起的食源性疾病报告。本研究的目的是描述公共卫生事件。方法:采用描述性研究。病例定义为先前健康的个体,在食用大号-大号种子后出现至少以下症状之一:呕吐、腹痛、腹泻、头痛或头晕。对健康记录进行了审查,并对关键的举报人进行了访谈和环境调查。结果:共确诊10例,年龄10 ~ 12岁。症状出现的时间为服用后1至4小时。其中6例被送往医院,但有2例在入院前就回家了;3天后全部恢复。最常见的症状是呕吐(100%);其他症状包括腹痛、腹泻、头晕和头痛。讨论:本调查证实,大号-大号种子是卢塞纳市学龄儿童出现症状的原因。为了防止今后发生类似事件,我们建议在社区和学校层面加强教育活动,因为大号-大号在该地区很常见。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 infection control practices in designated quarantine hotels in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region SAR (China), 2020-2022: key elements in preparing for the next pandemic. 2020-2022年香港特别行政区(中国)指定隔离酒店COVID-19感染控制措施:为下一次大流行做准备的关键要素
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-03-04 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1167
Edmond Siu-Keung, Hong Chen, Shuk Kwan Chuang

Problem: Despite the widespread use of designated quarantine hotels to minimize the transmission of COVID-19 from imported cases, there is scant literature on the infrastructure and operational requirements of such facilities.

Context: Travellers to Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) (China) were required to undergo quarantine in designated hotels for up to 21 days. Prior to operation, all these hotels were modified and hotel staff received structured training in infection control practices.

Action: We conducted retrospective reviews of the procedures and operational protocols that were followed to convert and manage commercial hotels as quarantine hotels during the early part of the pandemic. We also reviewed the training provided and compliance monitoring. Finally, we reviewed intra-hotel outbreak investigations that were conducted between April 2021 and June 2022.

Outcome: Designated quarantine hotels received 842 510 quarantined travellers from December 2020 to October 2022. Ten outbreaks were reported, affecting 28 guests (0.003%) and two staff. Prompt epidemiological investigation and action stopped further transmission.

Discussion: In Hong Kong Special Administrative Region SAR (China), designated quarantine hotels successfully minimized COVID-19 transmission from imported cases to the community and should be considered as part of integrated response plans for future pandemics. Based on our COVID-19 pandemic experience, we recommend specifying requirements for quarantine centres and hotels to ensure adequate ventilation inside guest rooms and corridors, functioning drainage systems and the adoption of stringent infection control practices. We also recommend the installation of closed-circuit television cameras in all common areas to support compliance monitoring and outbreak investigation.

问题:尽管广泛使用指定的隔离酒店来最大限度地减少COVID-19从输入病例中传播,但关于此类设施的基础设施和运营要求的文献很少。背景:前往中国香港特别行政区(SAR)的旅客必须在指定的酒店接受长达21天的检疫。在运营之前,所有这些酒店都进行了改造,酒店员工接受了感染控制实践的结构化培训。行动:我们对大流行初期将商业酒店转变为隔离酒店并加以管理所遵循的程序和操作规程进行了回顾性审查。我们还审查了提供的培训和合规监控。最后,我们回顾了2021年4月至2022年6月期间进行的酒店内疫情调查。结果:从2020年12月到2022年10月,指定隔离酒店接收了842 510名被隔离的旅客。报告了10起疫情,影响28名客人(0.003%)和2名工作人员。迅速的流行病学调查和行动阻止了进一步的传播。讨论:在中国香港特别行政区,指定隔离酒店成功地最大限度地减少了COVID-19从输入病例到社区的传播,应考虑将其作为未来大流行综合应对计划的一部分。根据我们的COVID-19大流行经验,我们建议明确检疫中心和酒店的要求,以确保客房和走廊内通风充足,排水系统正常运行,并采取严格的感染控制措施。我们还建议在所有公共区域安装闭路电视摄像机,以支持遵守情况监测和疫情调查。
{"title":"COVID-19 infection control practices in designated quarantine hotels in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region SAR (China), 2020-2022: key elements in preparing for the next pandemic.","authors":"Edmond Siu-Keung, Hong Chen, Shuk Kwan Chuang","doi":"10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1167","DOIUrl":"10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1167","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Problem: </strong>Despite the widespread use of designated quarantine hotels to minimize the transmission of COVID-19 from imported cases, there is scant literature on the infrastructure and operational requirements of such facilities.</p><p><strong>Context: </strong>Travellers to Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) (China) were required to undergo quarantine in designated hotels for up to 21 days. Prior to operation, all these hotels were modified and hotel staff received structured training in infection control practices.</p><p><strong>Action: </strong>We conducted retrospective reviews of the procedures and operational protocols that were followed to convert and manage commercial hotels as quarantine hotels during the early part of the pandemic. We also reviewed the training provided and compliance monitoring. Finally, we reviewed intra-hotel outbreak investigations that were conducted between April 2021 and June 2022.</p><p><strong>Outcome: </strong>Designated quarantine hotels received 842 510 quarantined travellers from December 2020 to October 2022. Ten outbreaks were reported, affecting 28 guests (0.003%) and two staff. Prompt epidemiological investigation and action stopped further transmission.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>In Hong Kong Special Administrative Region SAR (China), designated quarantine hotels successfully minimized COVID-19 transmission from imported cases to the community and should be considered as part of integrated response plans for future pandemics. Based on our COVID-19 pandemic experience, we recommend specifying requirements for quarantine centres and hotels to ensure adequate ventilation inside guest rooms and corridors, functioning drainage systems and the adoption of stringent infection control practices. We also recommend the installation of closed-circuit television cameras in all common areas to support compliance monitoring and outbreak investigation.</p>","PeriodicalId":31512,"journal":{"name":"Western Pacific Surveillance and Response","volume":"16 1","pages":"1-7"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11932612/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143701476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hepatitis A outbreak among men who have sex with men, Shinjuku, Japan, 2018. 2018年,日本新宿,男男性行为者中爆发甲型肝炎。
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-02-25 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1088
Mariya Itaki, Masayuki Endo, Hiroyuki Asakura, Mami Nagashima, Yoshiko Somura, Aki Takahashi, Aya Kayebeta, Ikumi Takahashi, Yuichiro Yahata

Objective: In 2018, the Shinjuku City Department of Health detected excess cases of hepatitis A virus (HAV) infection. The objectives of this investigation were to characterize the outbreak, identify transmission routes among inpatient cases and make recommendations to control and prevent HAV infection among men who have sex with men.

Methods: Information about cases of HAV infection was collected from the National Epidemiological Surveillance for Infectious Diseases system and inpatient interviews conducted by public health nurses in 2018.

Results: There were 131 HAV cases in 2018. Of these, 98% (129/131) were male, of whom 81% (105/129) were men who have sex with men. Hospitalization was required for 40 cases (31%). The age groups with the highest proportion of cases were 30-39 and 40-49 years (each 34%; 44/131). Two cases (2%) had received the second dose of the HAV vaccine, but only 10 days before symptom onset; all others had received no doses. The sequence type subgroup 13, an RIVM-HAV-16-090-like strain, was seen in 51 cases (39%). Of the 40 hospitalized cases, 21 (53%) participated in an interview conducted using a semistructured questionnaire. Altogether, of 21 cases, 12 (57%) had coinfection with HIV, 13 (62%) had casual sexual contact within the preceding 2 months and 10 (48%) had used social networking services (SNS) to find a sexual partner.

Discussion: In Shinjuku, this outbreak almost exclusively affected the population of men who have sex with men. The detected outbreak strain has previously been reported in outbreaks among men who have sex with men in China, Taiwan (China) and Europe. For HAV prevention, the most important measures are raising awareness of the risk of HAV as a sexually transmitted infection via SNS and promoting immunization at the appropriate time.

目的:2018 年,新宿区卫生局发现甲型肝炎病毒(HAV)感染病例过多。本次调查的目的是了解疫情特点,确定住院病例的传播途径,并提出控制和预防男男性行为者感染甲型肝炎病毒的建议:从国家传染病流行病学监测系统和2018年公共卫生护士进行的住院病人访谈中收集HAV感染病例信息:2018年共有131例HAV病例。其中,98%(129/131)为男性,其中81%(105/129)为男男性行为者。40例(31%)患者需要住院治疗。比例最高的年龄组是 30-39 岁和 40-49 岁(各占 34%;44/131)。两个病例(2%)接种了第二剂 HAV 疫苗,但在症状出现前 10 天才接种;其他病例均未接种疫苗。51例病例(39%)中出现了序列类型亚组13,即RIVM-HAV-16-090类似株。在 40 例住院病例中,21 例(53%)接受了半结构化问卷调查。在 21 例病例中,12 例(57%)同时感染了 HIV,13 例(62%)在过去 2 个月内有过偶然性接触,10 例(48%)曾使用社交网络服务(SNS)寻找性伴侣:讨论:在新宿,此次疫情几乎只影响男男性行为人群。检测到的疫情菌株曾在中国大陆、中国台湾和欧洲的男男性行为者中爆发过。为预防艾滋病毒/艾滋病,最重要的措施是通过 SNS 提高人们对艾滋病毒/艾滋病作为性传播感染的风险的认识,并在适当的时候推广免疫接种。
{"title":"Hepatitis A outbreak among men who have sex with men, Shinjuku, Japan, 2018.","authors":"Mariya Itaki, Masayuki Endo, Hiroyuki Asakura, Mami Nagashima, Yoshiko Somura, Aki Takahashi, Aya Kayebeta, Ikumi Takahashi, Yuichiro Yahata","doi":"10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1088","DOIUrl":"10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1088","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>In 2018, the Shinjuku City Department of Health detected excess cases of hepatitis A virus (HAV) infection. The objectives of this investigation were to characterize the outbreak, identify transmission routes among inpatient cases and make recommendations to control and prevent HAV infection among men who have sex with men.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Information about cases of HAV infection was collected from the National Epidemiological Surveillance for Infectious Diseases system and inpatient interviews conducted by public health nurses in 2018.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 131 HAV cases in 2018. Of these, 98% (129/131) were male, of whom 81% (105/129) were men who have sex with men. Hospitalization was required for 40 cases (31%). The age groups with the highest proportion of cases were 30-39 and 40-49 years (each 34%; 44/131). Two cases (2%) had received the second dose of the HAV vaccine, but only 10 days before symptom onset; all others had received no doses. The sequence type subgroup 13, an RIVM-HAV-16-090-like strain, was seen in 51 cases (39%). Of the 40 hospitalized cases, 21 (53%) participated in an interview conducted using a semistructured questionnaire. Altogether, of 21 cases, 12 (57%) had coinfection with HIV, 13 (62%) had casual sexual contact within the preceding 2 months and 10 (48%) had used social networking services (SNS) to find a sexual partner.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>In Shinjuku, this outbreak almost exclusively affected the population of men who have sex with men. The detected outbreak strain has previously been reported in outbreaks among men who have sex with men in China, Taiwan (China) and Europe. For HAV prevention, the most important measures are raising awareness of the risk of HAV as a sexually transmitted infection via SNS and promoting immunization at the appropriate time.</p>","PeriodicalId":31512,"journal":{"name":"Western Pacific Surveillance and Response","volume":"16 1","pages":"1-10"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11931282/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143701497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Estimating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on infectious disease notifications in Klang district, Malaysia, 2020-2022. 估计2020-2022年马来西亚巴生区COVID-19大流行对传染病通报的影响
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-27 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.01.1097
Vivek Jason Jayaraj, Diane Woei-Quan Chong, Faridah Binti Jafri, Nur Adibah Binti Mat Saruan, Gurpreet Kaur Karpal Singh, Ravikanth Perumal, Shakirah Binti Jamaludin, Juvina Binti Mohd Janurudin, Siti Rohana Binti Saad

Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted disease surveillance systems globally, leading to reduced notifications of other infectious diseases. This study aims to estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the infectious disease surveillance system in Klang district, Selangor state, Malaysia.

Methods: Data on notifiable diseases from 2014 to 2022 were sourced from the Klang District Health Office. The 11 diseases with more than 100 notifications each were included in the study. For these 11 diseases, a negative binomial regression model was used to explore the effect of the pandemic on case notifications and registrations by year, and a quasi-Poisson regression model was used to explore the changes by week.

Results: The results showed a reduction in the number of notifications and registrations for all 11 diseases combined during the pandemic compared with previous years. Changes between expected and observed notifications by week were heterogeneous across the diseases.

Discussion: These findings suggest that restrictive public health and social measures in Klang district may have impacted the transmission of other infectious diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic. The differential impact of the pandemic on disease notifications and reporting highlights the large ancillary effects of restrictive public health and social measures and the importance of building resilience into infectious disease surveillance systems.

目的:2019冠状病毒病大流行扰乱了全球疾病监测系统,导致其他传染病报告减少。本研究旨在评估2019冠状病毒病大流行对马来西亚雪兰莪州巴生地区传染病监测系统的影响。方法:2014年至2022年的法定疾病数据来自巴生区卫生办事处。有超过100份报告的11种疾病都被纳入了这项研究。对这11种疾病,采用负二项回归模型探讨疫情对年度病例通报和登记的影响,采用准泊松回归模型探讨周变化。结果:结果显示,与往年相比,大流行期间所有11种疾病的通报和登记总数有所减少。在不同的疾病中,每周预期报告和观察到的报告之间的变化是不同的。讨论:这些发现表明,巴生地区的限制性公共卫生和社会措施可能影响了COVID-19大流行期间其他传染病的传播。大流行对疾病通报和报告的不同影响突出了限制性公共卫生和社会措施的巨大辅助效应,以及在传染病监测系统中建立复原力的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring mortality in the setting of COVID-19 pandemic control in Victoria, Australia: a time series analysis of population data. 澳大利亚维多利亚州COVID-19大流行控制背景下的死亡率监测:人口数据的时间序列分析
IF 1 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-16 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.01.1091
Lalitha Sundaresan, Sheena G Sullivan, David J Muscatello, Daneeta Hennessy, Stacey L Rowe

Objective: Mortality surveillance was established in the state of Victoria just before the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, we describe the establishment of this surveillance system, justify the modelling approach selected, and provide examples of how the interpretation of changes in mortality rates during the pandemic was influenced by the model chosen.

Methods: Registered deaths occurring in Victoria from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2020 were sourced from the Victoria Death Index. Observed mortality rates were compared to a raw historical 5-year mean and to predicted means estimated from a seasonal robust regression. Differences between the observed mortality rate and the historical mean (∆MR) and excess mortality rate from the observed and predicted rates were assessed.

Results: There were 20 375 COVID-19 cases notified in Victoria as of 31 December 2020, of whom 748 (3.7%) died. Victorians aged ≥ 85 years experienced the highest case fatality ratio (34%). Mean observed mortality rates in 2020 (MR: 11.6; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.4, 11.9) were slightly reduced when compared with the annual rate expected using the historical mean method (mean MR: 12.2; 95% CI: 12.1-12.3; ∆MR: -0.57; 95% CI: -0.77, -0.38), but not from the rate expected using the robust regression (estimated MR: 11.7; 95% prediction interval [PI]: 11.5, 11.9; EMR: -0.05; 95% CI: -0.26, 0.16). The two methods yielded opposing interpretations for some causes, including cardiovascular and cancer mortality.

Discussion: Interpretation of how pandemic restrictions impacted mortality in Victoria in 2020 is influenced by the method of estimation. Time-series approaches are preferential because they account for population trends in mortality over time.

目的:在COVID-19大流行之前,在维多利亚州建立了死亡率监测。在这里,我们描述了该监测系统的建立,证明了所选择的建模方法的合理性,并举例说明所选择的模型如何影响对大流行期间死亡率变化的解释。方法:2015年1月1日至2020年12月31日发生在维多利亚州的登记死亡病例来源于维多利亚死亡指数。将观察到的死亡率与原始历史5年平均值和根据季节性稳健回归估计的预测平均值进行比较。评估了观察到的死亡率与历史平均值(∆MR)之间的差异,以及观察到的死亡率与预测死亡率之间的超额死亡率。结果:截至2020年12月31日,维多利亚州共报告COVID-19病例20375例,其中死亡748例(3.7%)。年龄≥85岁的维多利亚州人病死率最高(34%)。2020年观察到的平均死亡率(死亡率:11.6;95%可信区间[CI]: 11.4, 11.9)与使用历史平均方法预测的年发病率相比略有降低(平均MR: 12.2;95% ci: 12.1-12.3;∆先生:-0.57;95% CI: -0.77, -0.38),但不来自使用稳健回归的预期率(估计MR: 11.7;95%预测区间[PI]: 11.5, 11.9;EMR: -0.05;95% ci: -0.26, 0.16)。这两种方法对某些原因产生了相反的解释,包括心血管疾病和癌症死亡率。讨论:对大流行限制措施如何影响2020年维多利亚州死亡率的解释受到估计方法的影响。时间序列方法是优先考虑的,因为它们考虑到一段时间内死亡率的人口趋势。
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引用次数: 0
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Western Pacific Surveillance and Response
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