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Forecasting Indonesian Oil, Non-Oil and Gas Import Export with Fuzzy Time Series 用模糊时间序列预测印尼石油、非石油和天然气进出口
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.78399
Syalam Ali Wira Dinata, Ayuning Arum Purbosari, P. Hasanah
 Indonesia is active in export and import activities. Some of the commodities traded are oil and gas, as well as food and other industrial materials. Export and import activities play a role in determining the stability of the country's economy seen from its trade balance. According to the Central Statistics Agency, Indonesia experienced a deficit of USD 864 million due to a decline in exports at the beginning of 2020. Based on the state of the trade balance, the government needs to make policies in order to maintain the stability of the Indonesian economy. The right decision-making must be supported by accurate information, therefore, through this research, the value of Indonesia's exports and imports will be forecasted in the oil and gas and non-oil and gas sectors for the next period using the Fuzzy Time Series (FTS). FTS was chosen as the forecasting method because it is able to predict free real time data with arbitrary patterns. The data used is data on the value of exports and imports of oil and gas and non-oil and gas sectors for 2011-2020. To overcome the problem of stationary data variance and reduce the error value, a Box Cox transformation will be applied. The research stages include data transformation with Box Cox, forming universe and linguistic sets, determining interval length, fuzzification, forming FLR and FLR, defuzzification and forecasting. The final forecast results estimate that exports and imports in the oil and gas sector in 2021 will decline, while for the non-oil and gas sector will fluctuate and increase from the previous year. Forecasting with Box Cox transform data is more accurate with MAPE 19.56% and RMSE 121.52 compared to forecasting with original data with MAPE 74.89% and RMSE 132.09.
印度尼西亚积极开展进出口活动。交易的一些商品是石油和天然气,以及食品和其他工业材料。从贸易平衡来看,进出口活动在决定该国经济的稳定性方面发挥着作用。根据中央统计局的数据,由于2020年初出口下降,印度尼西亚出现了8.64亿美元的赤字。根据贸易平衡状况,政府需要制定政策,以维持印尼经济的稳定。正确的决策必须得到准确信息的支持,因此,通过这项研究,将使用模糊时间序列(FTS)预测下一时期印尼石油和天然气以及非石油和天然气管的进出口价值。选择FTS作为预测方法是因为它能够预测具有任意模式的自由实时数据。所使用的数据是2011-2020年石油和天然气以及非石油和天然气田的进出口价值数据。为了克服平稳数据方差的问题并降低误差值,将应用Box-Cox变换。研究阶段包括Box-Cox数据转换、形成宇宙和语言集、确定区间长度、模糊化、形成FLR和FLR、去模糊化和预测。最终预测结果估计,2021年石油和天然气行业的出口和进口将下降,而非石油和天然天然气行业将比前一年有所波动和增加。与使用原始数据(MAPE 74.89%和RMSE 132.09)进行预测相比,使用Box-Cox变换数据进行预测(MAPE 19.56%和RMSE 121.52)更准确。
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引用次数: 0
Automatic Essay Scoring Using Data Augmentation in Bahasa Indonesia 使用数据增强的印尼语自动作文评分
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.76396
Nurul Fadilah, Sigit Priyanta
Essay is one of the assessments to find out the abilities of students in depth.  UKARA is an automatic essay scoring development that combines NLP and machine learning.  This study uses the datasets provided for the UKARA challenge which consists of 2 types, datasets A and B. The dataset provided is still small for the model creation  process so that it is one of the causes of the resulting model is not optimal. This research focuses on the process of adding or augmenting data using EDA (Easy Data Augmentation Techniques). There are four methods applied, namely Synonym Replacement (SR), Random Insertion (RI), Random Swab (RS), and Random Deletion (RD).  The data is used for model creation by using the BiLSTM method. Performa model evaluated using confusion matrix with nilai accyouracy, precision, recall dan f-measure.The results showed that the dataset A without augmentation using k-fold cross validation produced the highest accuracy value with a value of 85.07%. While the results in data B show EDA insert with k-fold cross validation of 72.78%.
作文是深入了解学生能力的考核方式之一。UKARA是一个结合了NLP和机器学习的自动作文评分开发。本研究使用了为UKARA挑战提供的数据集,该数据集由2种类型组成,数据集A和数据集b。所提供的数据集对于模型创建过程来说仍然很小,因此这是导致最终模型不理想的原因之一。本研究的重点是使用EDA(简易数据增强技术)添加或增强数据的过程。使用了四种方法,即同义词替换(SR)、随机插入(RI)、随机拭子(RS)和随机删除(RD)。使用BiLSTM方法将数据用于模型创建。使用混淆矩阵对模型进行评估,准确率、精密度、召回率和f-测度均为零。结果表明,未经k-fold交叉验证增强的数据集A准确率最高,达到85.07%。而数据B的结果显示EDA插入的k-fold交叉验证率为72.78%。
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引用次数: 3
Real-Time Face Recognition Civil Servant Presence System Using DNN Algorithm 基于DNN算法的公务员实时人脸识别系统
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.77026
Yogi Angga Putra, Imelda Imelda
Facial recognition has become a growing topic among Computer Vision researchers because it can solve real-life problems, including during the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic is why the Indonesian government has imposed social restrictions and physical contact in public places. Before the pandemic, most touch-based attendance systems used fingerprints or Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) cards. The solution proposed in this study is to identify real-time facial recognition of the Civil Service presence system using a Deep Neural Network. The goal is to minimize physical contact. The research stages include data collection, augmentation and preprocessing, CNN modeling and training, model evaluation, converting to OpenCV DNN, implementation of transfer learning, and identification of test data. This research contributes to testing variations in distance and position so it can recognize a person's face even when wearing a mask and glasses. This DNN model produces a validation accuracy value of 99.48% and a validation loss of 0.0273 with a data training process of 10 times. Tests for variations in distance, position, use of masks, and glasses on MTCNN detection provide an average accuracy for each trial of 100%, 96%, and 100%, respectively. Therefore, the average accuracy of the Haar Cascades detection test is 100%, 85%, and 100%.
面部识别已经成为计算机视觉研究人员日益增长的话题,因为它可以解决现实生活中的问题,包括在新冠肺炎大流行期间。疫情是印尼政府在公共场所实施社交限制和身体接触的原因。在疫情之前,大多数基于触摸的考勤系统都使用指纹或射频识别卡。本研究提出的解决方案是使用深度神经网络识别公务员存在系统的实时面部识别。目标是尽量减少身体接触。研究阶段包括数据收集、扩充和预处理、CNN建模和训练、模型评估、转换为OpenCV DNN、迁移学习的实现以及测试数据的识别。这项研究有助于测试距离和位置的变化,这样即使戴着口罩和眼镜,它也能识别出一个人的脸。该DNN模型在10次数据训练过程中产生了99.48%的验证准确度值和0.0273的验证损失。MTNN检测中距离、位置、口罩和眼镜的使用变化的测试为每次试验提供了分别为100%、96%和100%的平均准确度。因此,Haar Cascades检测测试的平均准确度分别为100%、85%和100%。
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引用次数: 0
Traditional Music Regional Classification using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) 基于卷积神经网络(CNN)的传统音乐区域分类
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.73910
Raymond Luis, N. Rokhman
Traditional Indonesian music is an Indonesian cultural heritage that is often forgotten by modern society. Many people do not know which area the traditional music came from. This is a problem because of the large amount of traditional music that loses its identity. Deep Learning technology can be a solution to this traditional music classification problem. The topic of traditional music classification was chosen because there has been no research using this topic before.This research will classify traditional music based on the area of origin using data from Youtube with the extraction method of the Mel-Frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCC) feature and the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) classification model. There are 7 provinces that will be used as classification labels, namely Riau, Papua, Special Capital District of Jakarta, Special Region of Yogyakarta , North Sumatra, West Java, and South Sulawesi.The classification system produced in this study produced good classification accuracy with a value of 74.03%.
印尼传统音乐是印尼文化遗产,经常被现代社会遗忘。许多人不知道传统音乐来自哪个地区。这是一个问题,因为大量的传统音乐失去了它的身份。深度学习技术可以解决这个传统的音乐分类问题。之所以选择传统音乐分类这个主题,是因为以前没有关于这个主题的研究。本研究将使用Youtube的数据,采用梅尔频率倒谱系数(MFCC)特征的提取方法和卷积神经网络(CNN)分类模型,根据来源区域对传统音乐进行分类。有7个省将被用作分类标签,即廖内省、巴布亚省、雅加达特别首都区、日惹特别地区、北苏门答腊省、西爪哇省和南苏拉威西省。本研究产生的分类系统具有良好的分类准确度,值为74.03%。
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引用次数: 0
Topic Modeling on Online News.Portal Using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) 网络新闻的话题建模。基于潜在Dirichlet分配(LDA)的门户
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.74383
Mohammad Rezza Fahlevvi, Azhari Sn
The amount of News displayed on online news portals. Often does not indicate the topic being discussed, but the News can be read and analyzed. You can find the main issues and trends in the News being discussed. It would be best if you had a quick and efficient way to find trending topics in the News. One of the methods that can be used to solve this problem is topic modeling. Theme modeling is necessary to allow users to easily and quickly understand modern themes' development. One of the algorithms in topic modeling is the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA). This research stage begins with data collection, preprocessing, n-gram formation, dictionary representation, weighting, topic model validation, topic model formation, and topic modeling results.            Based on the results of the topic evaluation, the. The best value of topic modeling using coherence was related to the number of passes. The number of topics produced 20 keys, five cases with a 0.53 coherence value. It can be said to be relatively stable based on the standard coherence value.
在线新闻门户网站上显示的新闻数量。通常不表明正在讨论的主题,但可以阅读和分析新闻。你可以在正在讨论的新闻中找到主要问题和趋势。如果你有一种快速有效的方法来找到新闻中的热门话题,那将是最好的选择。可以用来解决这个问题的方法之一是主题建模。主题建模是必要的,使用户能够轻松快速地了解现代主题的发展。主题建模中的算法之一是潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)。该研究阶段从数据收集、预处理、n元语法形成、字典表示、加权、主题模型验证、主题模型形成和主题建模结果开始。基于主题评估的结果。使用连贯性进行主题建模的最佳值与通过次数有关。主题的数量产生了20个关键,其中5个案例的连贯性值为0.53。基于标准相干值,它可以说是相对稳定的。
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引用次数: 2
Automatic Detection of Helmets on Motorcyclists Using Faster - RCNN 基于RCNN的摩托车头盔自动检测技术
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.68245
Aliyyah Nur Azhari, W. Wahyono
Motorcycles have been a popular choice for a go-to daily means of transportation due to its lower price, making it affordable for high to low-class citizens. Helmets are required for every motorcycle owner so that the rider’s head is protected from accidents. However, not many people follow the rules and tend to not wear helmets and plenty of them underestimate the usage of helmets. For this, it is necessary to implement a system that can detect which rider wears the helmet or not by applying deep learning techniques. This paper aims to implement one of the deep learning techniques, which is Faster R – CNN to detect the helmets and the motorcyclists. After training 400 images using different learning rates, the mean average precision (mAP) achieved the highest with 87% using the learning rate of 0.0001
由于价格较低,摩托车已成为日常交通工具的热门选择,使其成为高阶层和低阶层市民都能负担得起的交通工具。每个摩托车车主都需要戴头盔,这样骑摩托车的人的头部就可以免受事故的伤害。然而,没有多少人遵守规则,往往不戴头盔,很多人低估了头盔的使用。为此,有必要应用深度学习技术,实现一个可以检测骑手是否戴头盔的系统。本文旨在实现一种深度学习技术,即Faster R - CNN来检测头盔和摩托车手。使用不同的学习率训练400张图像后,平均平均精度(mAP)达到最高,为87%,学习率为0.0001
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引用次数: 0
Neural Network Pruning in Unsupervised Aspect Detection based on Aspect Embedding 基于方面嵌入的无监督方面检测中的神经网络修剪
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.72981
Muhammad Haris Maulana, M. L. Khodra
 Aspect detection systems for online reviews, especially based on unsupervised models, are considered better strategically to process online reviews, generally a very large collection of unstructured data.  Aspect embedding-based deep learning models are designed for this problem however they still rely on redundant word embedding and they are sensitive to initialization which may have a significant impact on model performance. In this research, a pruning approach is used to reduce the redundancy of deep learning model connections and is expected to produce a model with similar or better performance. This research includes several experiments and comparisons of the results of pruning the model network weights based on the general neural network pruning strategy and the lottery ticket hypothesis. The result of this research is that pruning of the unsupervised aspect detection model, in general, can produce smaller submodels with similar performance even with a significant amount of weights pruned. Our sparse model with 80% of its total weight pruned has a similar performance to the original model. Our current pruning implementation, however, has not been able to produce sparse models with better performance.
在线评论的方面检测系统,特别是基于无监督模型的,被认为是处理在线评论的更好策略,通常是一个非常大的非结构化数据集合。基于方面嵌入的深度学习模型是针对这一问题而设计的,但它仍然依赖于冗余词嵌入,并且对初始化很敏感,这可能会对模型的性能产生重大影响。在本研究中,使用修剪方法来减少深度学习模型连接的冗余,并期望产生具有相似或更好性能的模型。本研究包括基于一般神经网络修剪策略和彩票假设的模型网络权值修剪的实验和结果比较。本研究的结果是,对无监督方面检测模型进行剪枝,一般来说,即使进行大量的权值剪枝,也能产生具有相似性能的更小的子模型。我们的稀疏模型在其总权值的80%被修剪后,其性能与原始模型相似。然而,我们目前的修剪实现还不能产生性能更好的稀疏模型。
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引用次数: 0
The usefulness of an Augmented Reality-based Interactive 3D Furniture Catalog as a Tool to Aid Furniture Store Sales Operations 基于增强现实的交互式3D家具目录作为辅助家具商店销售运营的工具的有用性
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.69570
Irwan Ismail, Evan Syaputra, B. D. Leonanda, Nurul Iksan, Azmi Shawkat Abdulbaqie, M. Husin, H. Ahmad, I. Y. Panessai
The global crisis, that has resulted from the outbreak of Covid-19, influences all aspects of daily life. Due to the people's poor purchasing power, several major stores, such as Furniture Store-XYZ, were forced to close several branches. To counter this, it will be required to adopt unique initiatives that will assist attract visitors and enhance sales while still adhering to the established health protocols. AR-Furniture is the ideal technology to solve this problem. AR-Furniture is an Augmented Reality-based technology that enables a 3D furniture catalog to present a complete picture of a piece of furniture in a virtual form that appears natural and identical to the original. The MDLC development process used in the AR-Furniture Mobile App. According to the study's findings, 100% of respondents agree that AR-Furniture helps to sell and to buy process be done effectively and productively and gives the users innovative ideas. 70% of respondents strongly agree that AR-Furniture makes it easier for users to reach their goals and that AR-Furniture allows users to do whatever they want. 100% of respondents strongly believe that AR-Furniture is helpful and that shoppers can save time while picking the right furniture. Furthermore, AR-Furniture makes it simple for consumers to select preferred furniture without engaging with shopkeeper workers.
新冠肺炎爆发引发的全球危机影响着日常生活的方方面面。由于人民购买力差,几家主要商店,如XYZ家具店,被迫关闭了几家分店。为了应对这种情况,它将被要求采取独特的举措,在遵守既定健康协议的同时,帮助吸引游客并提高销售额。AR家具是解决这一问题的理想技术。AR Furniture是一种基于增强现实的技术,它使3D家具目录能够以虚拟形式呈现家具的完整图片,看起来自然且与原件相同。AR家具移动应用程序中使用的MDLC开发过程。根据研究结果,100%的受访者同意AR Furniture有助于有效、高效地完成销售和购买过程,并为用户提供创新想法。70%的受访者强烈认为AR Furniture让用户更容易实现目标,AR Furnitures让用户可以随心所欲。100%的受访者坚信AR家具很有帮助,购物者在挑选合适的家具时可以节省时间。此外,AR Furniture可以让消费者在不与店主接触的情况下轻松选择首选家具。
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引用次数: 0
Sentiment Analysis Using Backpropagation Method to Recognize the Public Opinion 用反向传播法进行情绪分析以识别舆论
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.78664
I. A. Wiguna, P. Sugiartawan, I. Sudipa, I. P. Y. Pratama
Improve the service quality of tourism actors by conducting sentiment analysis on digital platforms owned by tourism businesses and collecting negative sentiments to improve the quality of services from companies owned by tourism businesses. The growth of the hospitality industry in Indonesia is experiencing rapid growth every year. The tourism industry, part of the hospitality industry, also does not escape the influence of positive and negative sentiments. One method to perform accurate sentiment analysis is Backpropagation Neural Network. Based on the results of tests on the neural network, the best accuracy is obtained when using one hidden layer with the first layer of 10 neurons. The learning rate is 0.000002, where the accuracy is 71.630%. More epochs do not guarantee better accuracy. Based on the results of the research that has been done, suggestions for further researchers are to analyze the review dataset processing method so that it gets a cleaner dataset and is expected to improve better accuracy.
通过对旅游企业所属的数字平台进行情绪分析,收集负面情绪,提高旅游企业所属公司的服务质量,提高旅游行为体的服务质量。印尼酒店业的增长每年都在快速增长。旅游业作为酒店业的一部分,也没有逃脱正面和负面情绪的影响。一种进行准确情感分析的方法是反向传播神经网络。通过对神经网络的测试结果表明,采用一层隐含层,第一层隐含10个神经元时,准确率最高。学习率为0.000002,其中准确率为71.630%。更多的年代并不能保证更好的准确性。基于已经完成的研究结果,建议进一步研究人员分析综述数据集的处理方法,使其得到更干净的数据集,并有望提高准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Naive Bayes Method and C4.5 in Classification of Birth Data 出生数据分类中的朴素贝叶斯方法和C4.5
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.78198
Asep Afandi, Noviana Noviana, Deti Nurdianah
Data on the birth and productive age of a mother to get pregnant in Lampung is still high. to find out the comparison of the productive age of pregnant women and whether they have met the minimum and maximum requirements for a mother to become pregnant, and the criteria for babies born. Where the results of data processing will be used as a source of data for counseling mothers, especially for residents of Banjar Kertahayu village. The data processing requires a special method so that the results become a benchmark for a decision later, such as Data Mining. The method used for data processing used is Naive Bayes and C4.5 Algorithm. The data used is birth data in 2017-2021, the source of data from the Banjar Village Midwife-Central Lampung Regency. Research Results Method C 4.5 Middle age has a dominant age category value of 0.3324138. where the highest value is in 2017, and accuracy is 100 percent from the 2017-2021 data. The baby weight criterion using the Naïve Bayes Class Method has a dominant Middle-aged category value of 0.09675, the highest value in 2017, The results of accuracy for 5 years have accuracy of 92.84% based on 2017-2021 birth data
关于楠榜孕妇的出生和生产年龄的数据仍然很高。了解孕妇的生产年龄、是否满足母亲怀孕的最低和最高要求以及婴儿出生标准的比较。数据处理的结果将被用作咨询母亲的数据来源,特别是Banjar Kertahayu村的居民。数据处理需要一种特殊的方法,以便结果成为以后决策的基准,例如数据挖掘。用于数据处理的方法是朴素贝叶斯和C4.5算法。所使用的数据是2017-2021年的出生数据,该数据来源于Banjar Village Midlife Central Lampung Regency的数据。研究结果方法C4.5中年具有0.3324138的优势年龄类别值。其中最高值出现在2017年,2017-2021年数据的准确率为100%。使用Naïve Bayes类方法的婴儿体重标准的主要中年类别值为0.09675,为2017年的最高值。根据2017-2021年的出生数据,5年的准确率为92.84%
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引用次数: 1
期刊
IJCCS Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems
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