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Forest fires in a changing climate: risk assessment and management in Leiria national forest, Portugal 气候变化中的森林火灾:葡萄牙莱里亚国家森林的风险评估和管理
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.12
Kwadwo Yeboah Botah
Forest ecosystems are vital for sustainable development and human well-being globally and in Europe. Sustainably managed forests are fundamental in combating natural disasters and providing multiple important goods and services for humans and the environment. However, with increasing climate change and its associated effects, forests have become severely and regularly prone to fires. This is seriously threatening forest protection, human safety, the economy, and biodiversity. In this context, understanding future forest fire risks, susceptibility, hazards, and fire prevention is essentially needed. This study thus examines the forest fire risks and hazards in Leiria National Forest (Mata Nacional de Leiria), Portugal using the 2017 forest fire as a benchmark. With the adoption of GIS and remote sensing techniques and data, vegetation type (NDMI), human factors (roads and settlement proximity), and terrain characteristics (slope and aspect) were assessed to map fire risk. Through multi-criteria analysis, these data were integrated to generate a forest fire risk index. Results demonstrate that about 46% of the study area is within high-risk and risky zones, 50% is considered moderate-risk fire zones and 3% is classified as low and risk-free zones. Sensitivity analysis indicated that high-risk areas are mostly low moisture coniferous fuel types while risk-free areas are high moisture deciduous fuel types. Further, it was established that the observed high-risk and risky zones are attributed mostly to proximity to settlements and roads and little topographical influence. The study thus suggests an increased future forest fire risk under the prevailing conditions and a hiking potential of increased burnt areas. We thus proposed effective proactive measures and adaptive management approaches to prevent and mitigate the devastating impacts of forest fires within the study location.
森林生态系统对全球和欧洲的可持续发展和人类福祉至关重要。可持续管理的森林是抵御自然灾害、为人类和环境提供多种重要产品和服务的基础。然而,随着气候变化及其相关影响的加剧,森林火灾变得严重且经常发生。这严重威胁着森林保护、人类安全、经济和生物多样性。在这种情况下,了解未来的森林火灾风险、易发性、危害和火灾预防就显得尤为必要。因此,本研究以 2017 年的森林火灾为基准,研究了葡萄牙莱里亚国家森林(Mata Nacional de Leiria)的森林火灾风险和危害。通过采用地理信息系统(GIS)和遥感技术及数据,对植被类型(NDMI)、人为因素(道路和居住区邻近程度)以及地形特征(坡度和坡向)进行评估,绘制火灾风险图。通过多标准分析,对这些数据进行整合,生成森林火灾风险指数。结果表明,约 46% 的研究区域属于高风险和危险区,50% 属于中度火灾风险区,3% 属于低风险和无风险区。敏感性分析表明,高风险区域主要是低水分针叶树燃料类型,而无风险区域则是高水分落叶树燃料类型。此外,研究还发现,观测到的高风险区和无风险区主要是由于靠近居民点和道路,地形影响很小。因此,这项研究表明,在目前的条件下,未来森林火灾的风险会增加,被烧毁的区域也有可能增加。因此,我们提出了有效的前瞻性措施和适应性管理方法,以预防和减轻研究地点森林火灾的破坏性影响。
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引用次数: 0
Scientific approaches to defining, regulating and researching entity accounts receivable 界定、规范和研究实体应收账款的科学方法
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.04
Nicolai Jieri, Violeta Codrean, Ana-Carolina Cojocaru
Abstract. In the process of carrying out economic activities, each entity engages with various business partners, governmental bodies, personnel, and others. Consequently, the relationships formed often result in the emergence of receivables, owing to the time delay in meeting financial obligations related to the sale of economic goods or the provision of advances. The main objective of this research is to comprehensively examine the theoretical aspects related to the concept of accounts receivable, including their definition, classification, and regulation. Additionally, it aims to analyze the normative framework at both the national and international levels, considering economic and legal perspectives. Furthermore, this study encompasses an assessment of scientific productivity, the impact of scientific research, trending topics, and other aspects through bibliometric analysis. It's worth noting that the current market conditions underscore the significance of this research topic, where economic agents have the ability to choose their market and business partners. In this context, accounts receivable play a pivotal role in reflecting the economic and financial situation of both parties involved.
摘要在开展经济活动的过程中,每个实体都会与各种商业伙伴、政府机构、人员和其他方面接触。因此,由于在履行与销售经济产品或提供预付款有关的财务义务方面存在时间延迟,所形成的关系往往会导致应收账款的出现。本研究的主要目的是全面审查与应收账款概念有关的理论方面,包括其定义、分类和监管。此外,本研究还旨在从经济和法律角度分析国家和国际层面的规范框架。此外,本研究还通过文献计量学分析,对科学生产力、科学研究的影响、趋势主题和其他方面进行了评估。值得注意的是,当前的市场条件凸显了本研究课题的重要性,因为经济主体有能力选择自己的市场和商业伙伴。在这种情况下,应收账款在反映相关双方的经济和财务状况方面发挥着举足轻重的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Drivers and impacts of inflation: a look at energy prices, exchange rate volatility, and stock markets 通货膨胀的驱动因素和影响:纵观能源价格、汇率波动和股票市场
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.03
Alexandru Vladoi, L. Merling, Kevin Cashman
In the last decade the world has experienced a number of global crises which triggered economic downturns. Impacts from the global financial crisis, the global COVID pandemic, and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine trigger instability in financial markets. This paper explores similarities and differences between these crises based on inflation and its energy-related components. A Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model is used to analyze both EU-level trends, as well as data for Romania. The findings indicate idiosyncratic shifts in the relationships between variables. The changes are often specific to individual shocks and the policy context. How policy makers respond to these shocks will also impact the fiscal space, the borrowing costs of countries, and the cost of servicing debt, which risks a return to the type of austerity policies that slowed down the post-financial crisis recovery. There is a need for more detailed research and investigations in policy responses designed to respond to ongoing events.
过去十年间,世界经历了多次引发经济衰退的全球危机。全球金融危机、全球 COVID 大流行以及俄罗斯入侵乌克兰都引发了金融市场的不稳定。本文以通货膨胀及其能源相关因素为基础,探讨了这些危机之间的异同。本文使用向量自回归(VAR)模型分析了欧盟层面的趋势以及罗马尼亚的数据。研究结果表明,变量之间的关系发生了特异性变化。这些变化往往与个别冲击和政策背景有关。决策者如何应对这些冲击也将影响财政空间、各国的借贷成本和偿债成本,这有可能使金融危机后放缓复苏的紧缩政策再次出现。有必要对旨在应对当前事件的对策进行更详细的研究和调查。
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引用次数: 0
Who are the key players in energy policy in Poland? The role of interest groups in energy transition 谁是波兰能源政策的主要参与者?利益集团在能源转型中的作用
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.02
Urszula Kurczewska
The paper presents an analysis of the role of interest groups in Poland's energy policy in the context of the EU climate and energy policy. The main aim of the analysis is to try to answer the question of who shapes the Polish energy policy, which stakeholders have the greatest impact on, who are the key players, and what kind of interest intermediation system has developed in the energy sector. Poland's energy mix is dominated by coal, which results from the ownership structure in the energy sector, strong influence of conventional (coal) energy companies and centralization of energy policy. The interests of coal energy companies are protected by the government both in Poland and at the EU level. The research puts forward a thesis that Polish energy policy is co-shaped by conventional energy companies, which leads to their monopolistic position and the formation of a neocorporatist model with elements of statism, and the process of illiberal backlash and creeping authoritarianism further strengthens their role. Privileging the interests of the state-owned energy companies hampers the process of energy transition in Poland, which is contrary to the EU's climate and energy policy.
本文以欧盟气候与能源政策为背景,分析了利益集团在波兰能源政策中的作用。分析的主要目的是试图回答这样一个问题:是谁制定了波兰的能源政策,哪些利益相关者对波兰的能源政策影响最大,谁是主要的参与者,以及在能源领域形成了怎样的利益中介体系。波兰的能源结构以煤炭为主,这源于能源行业的所有权结构、传统(煤炭)能源公司的强大影响力以及能源政策的集中化。煤炭能源公司的利益在波兰和欧盟都受到政府的保护。研究提出了这样一个论点:波兰的能源政策是由传统能源公司共同制定的,这导致了它们的垄断地位,并形成了一种带有国家主义元素的新公司主义模式,而非自由主义的反弹和专制主义的悄然兴起进一步加强了它们的作用。国有能源公司的利益特权阻碍了波兰的能源转型进程,这与欧盟的气候和能源政策背道而驰。
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引用次数: 0
Eye-tracking in advertising research: an investigation among generation Z and Y of shock tactics’ effectiveness 广告研究中的眼动追踪:对 Z 世代和 Y 世代震撼战术效果的调查
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.09
Tatiana Gaugas
Advertising has become an integral part of everyday life, due to the abundance of advertising messages, it is virtually impossible to pay attention or to retain all of them; thus, consumers learn to ignore most advertisements they are exposed to. Striving for exceptionalism and persuasion, advertisers tend to use dramatic emotions, they create messages that would shock consumers, and they increasingly break social and moral norms, so that their advertising messages break through the traditional advertising clutter and reach the existing or potential customer. Since the 1980s, shock advertising has gained interest among advertising industry specialists and academics. However, the impact of shock advertising on consumer behavior can vary and its effectiveness is questionable. This article aims to analyze the differences in the reactions among generations Z and Y to shock advertising, using the eye tracking method. A total of 40 participants were invited to take part in the study. The core of the research was based on seven distinct types of shock tactics. Each of these groups represented a category of advertising posters. Within each group, there were 3-5 individual images, each varying in design, content, and nature. This variety ensured a comprehensive understanding of participants' reactions to different types of advertisements within the same category. After the data analysis, it was concluded that there are differences in the perception of different types of shock depending on the generation. The results indicate that generation Z is more tolerant of shock tactics, having a more positive reaction than generation Y. The younger age group (16-20 years) appears to engage with visual stimuli in a more dynamic and perhaps exploratory manner. They seem to have a more focused or selective attention, especially when the content is emotionally or ethically charged. This paper provides marketers with a better understanding of the effectiveness of shock advertising based on age variable, recommending alternative methods to capture the attention of consumers.
广告已成为日常生活中不可或缺的一部分,由于广告信息过多,人们几乎不可能关注或保留所有的广告信息,因此,消费者学会了忽略他们接触到的大多数广告。为了追求特殊性和说服力,广告商倾向于使用戏剧性的情绪,他们创造出能够震撼消费者的信息,并越来越多地打破社会和道德规范,从而使他们的广告信息突破传统广告的束缚,触及现有或潜在的客户。自 20 世纪 80 年代以来,震撼广告开始受到广告业专家和学者的关注。然而,震撼广告对消费者行为的影响可能各不相同,其效果也值得商榷。本文旨在利用眼动追踪法分析 Z 世代和 Y 世代对震撼性广告的反应差异。研究共邀请了 40 位参与者参与。研究的核心基于七种不同类型的震撼战术。每组代表一类广告海报。每组中有 3-5 幅独立的图片,每幅图片的设计、内容和性质各不相同。这种多样性确保了全面了解参与者对同一类别中不同类型广告的反应。数据分析后得出的结论是,不同世代对不同类型冲击的感知存在差异。结果表明,Z 世代比 Y 世代更能容忍震撼策略,他们的反应也更积极。年轻一代(16-20 岁)似乎以一种更动态、或许是探索性的方式接触视觉刺激。他们的注意力似乎更集中或更有选择性,尤其是当内容带有情感或道德色彩时。本文让营销人员更好地了解基于年龄变量的震撼性广告的效果,并建议采用其他方法来吸引消费者的注意力。
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引用次数: 0
Management of European funds. Case study: Neamț and Constanța counties, Romania 欧洲基金的管理。案例研究:罗马尼亚尼亚姆和康斯坦察县
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.06
Cristina Copaceanu, Silvia Mazare
The present research aims to investigate and evaluate the effectiveness and efficiency of the management of European funds in two distinct counties of Romania: Neamț County and Constanța County. European funds represent a significant resource for the economic, social and infrastructural development of the country, and the way in which they are administered and used has a significant impact on regional progress. Our comparative analysis focuses on identifying the significant differences between the two counties regarding the attraction, management and use of European money. The obtained results reveal significant differences in the approach and performance of European funds management between the two counties, highlighting the key factors that influence this process. Our research not only contributes to the understanding of how European funds are managed at the regional level in Romania, but also provides practical recommendations for improving the management of these resources in both counties. The positive impact of European funds on agricultural businesses in the two counties is obvious, contributing to the improvement and modernization of the agricultural sector.
本研究旨在调查和评估欧洲基金在罗马尼亚两个不同县(内阿姆县和康斯坦察县)的管理成效和效率。欧洲基金是国家经济、社会和基础设施发展的重要资源,其管理和使用方式对地区进步具有重大影响。我们的比较分析侧重于确定两县在吸引、管理和使用欧洲资金方面的显著差异。研究结果表明,两县在欧洲资金管理方法和绩效方面存在显著差异,并强调了影响这一过程的关键因素。我们的研究不仅有助于了解欧洲基金在罗马尼亚地区一级的管理方式,还为改善两县对这些资源的管理提供了切实可行的建议。欧洲基金对这两个县农业企业的积极影响显而易见,有助于农业部门的改善和现代化。
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引用次数: 0
The role of digital technology in the development of enterprises in the European Union 数字技术在欧盟企业发展中的作用
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.10
M. Coban
The adoption of digital technologies by EU businesses enables them to achieve better performance in terms of productivity, management practices, innovation and has a major impact on the economic growth of European countries. The aim of the paper is the analysis of digital transformation of enterprises in the EU states. We used comparative analysis of existing data from the Eurostat database. Several indicators are analyzed in this paper, such as the degree of digital intensity, the use of Cloud computing, Big data, Artificial intelligence, the share of SMEs that sell online and sell online cross-border in various EU countries. The advantages and disadvantages of e-commerce as well as the problems faced by SMEs in selling online cross-border, such as problems related to returning products, solving complaints and disputes, lack of knowledge of foreign languages were highlighted. Our study provides an overview of the current state of adoption of digital technologies by EU businesses and identifies the main trends of digital technologies progress in different EU countries
欧盟企业采用数字技术能使其在生产力、管理实践和创新方面取得更好的业绩,并对欧洲国家的经济增长产生重大影响。本文旨在分析欧盟国家企业的数字化转型。我们对欧盟统计局数据库中的现有数据进行了比较分析。本文分析了多个指标,如欧盟各国的数字化密集程度、云计算、大数据、人工智能的使用情况、在线销售和跨境在线销售的中小企业比例等。研究还强调了电子商务的优势和劣势,以及中小企业在跨境在线销售中面临的问题,如与退货、解决投诉和纠纷相关的问题,以及缺乏外语知识等。我们的研究概述了欧盟企业采用数字技术的现状,并确定了不同欧盟国家数字技术发展的主要趋势
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引用次数: 0
Challenges in the management of school dropout in the Romanian educational environment 罗马尼亚教育环境中辍学管理面临的挑战
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.05
Mihaela Miron
At the global level, school dropout represents an important concern of specialized research within the educational issue as a whole, a fact explained by the very high percentage of young people who do not complete their studies. Every school organization tries to own and successfully implement an effective school dropout management system to achieve the expected results, in accordance with the harmonization of the needs, interests, aspirations and expectations of the entire school community, but also of the society in general. This study aims to identify differences in the challenges faced by stakeholders dissatisfied with the dropout management (N=96) and those in the highly satisfied group (N=260). A series of statements were evaluated by the participants and the comparison was accomplished with the help of t-test for independent groups. We confirmed statistically significant differences for all challenges presented.
在全球范围内,辍学是整个教育问题中专门研究的一个重要问题,没有完成学业的青 年比例非常高,说明了这一事实。每个学校组织都试图拥有并成功实施一套有效的辍学管理系统,以达到预期的效果,这不仅需要协调整个学校社区的需求、利益、愿望和期望,还需要协调整个社会的需求、利益、愿望和期望。本研究旨在找出对辍学管理不满意的利益相关者(96 人)和非常满意的利益相关者(260 人)所面临的挑战的差异。参与者对一系列陈述进行了评价,并通过独立分组的 t 检验进行了比较。我们证实,在所有提出的挑战中,差异都具有统计学意义。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of China’s travel purposes on Hungary’s inbound tourism 中国旅游目的对匈牙利入境旅游的影响
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.08
Mahlatse Mabeba, Xinxin Xu
This paper conduct an empirical research and investigate the effect of China’s travel purposes on Hungary’s inbound tourism during a period of uncertainty. The study takes into account the influence of the Covid-19 and Ukraine-Russia war on inbound tourism. The short-run monthly sample from January 2018 to July 2022 has been utilzed to capture the uncertain period. A Poisson Regression Model has been applied to calculate the efficacy of China’s travel purposes on Hungary’s inbound tourism. This study finds that China’s leisure and business trips have positive and significant effect on Hungary’s inbound tourism. China’s business trips has a large contribution to Hungary’s inbound tourism than leisure trips. During the uncertain period, the Covid-19 and Ukraine-Russia war had a negative and significant effect on arrivals of tourists to Hungary. Inbound tourism from China to Hungary had contributed positively to the economic performance of Hungary’s tourism sector.
本文通过实证研究,探讨了不确定时期中国旅游目的对匈牙利入境旅游的影响。研究考虑了 "科维德-19 "事件和乌俄战争对入境旅游的影响。研究利用 2018 年 1 月至 2022 年 7 月的短期月度样本来捕捉不确定时期。应用泊松回归模型计算了中国旅游目的对匈牙利入境旅游的影响。研究发现,中国的休闲游和商务游对匈牙利入境旅游产生了积极而显著的影响。与休闲旅游相比,中国商务旅游对匈牙利入境旅游的贡献更大。在不确定时期,"科维德-19 "事件和乌克兰-俄罗斯战争对匈牙利入境游客产生了显著的负面影响。中国到匈牙利的入境旅游对匈牙利旅游业的经济表现做出了积极贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Europeanization and reformation of higher education sector in the Eastern Partnership countries through Bologna process in pursuit of the European integration 为实现欧洲一体化,通过博洛尼亚进程实现东部合作伙伴国家高等教育部门的欧洲化和改革
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.53486/2537-6179.9-2.01
Iryna Sikorska
This article examines the critical role of higher education reforms in the Eastern Partnership (EaP) countries since their independence as they endeavor to align their systems with European standards and norms, ultimately seeking closer integration with the European Union (EU). The EaP countries, comprising Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine, have embarked on ambitious journeys of transformation in their higher education sectors to foster economic development, enhance academic excellence, and strengthen regional cooperation. The article employs a comprehensive approach, encompassing both policy analysis and empirical insights to shed light on the multifaceted nature of higher education reforms across the region. It delves into the various challenges and opportunities faced by the EaP countries in their pursuit of European integration through higher education reforms. The key themes explored include the alignment of the national higher education reforms with the Bologna Declaration guidelines including the promotion of internationalization and quality assurance mechanisms emphasizing the importance of cross-border collaboration and knowledge exchange. It critically assesses the progress made so far, highlighting successes and identifying persistent obstacles. Moreover, it examines the role of international organizations and the EU programs in supporting these reforms. The analysis highlights the importance of higher education reforms in the EaP region not only as an instrument for achieving European integration but also as a catalyst for broader societal and economic transformations. The research data collected refer to the period of 1991-2020.
本文探讨了 "东部伙伴"(EaP)国家自独立以来高等教育改革所发挥的关键作用,这些国家努力使其高等教育体系与欧洲标准和规范接轨,最终寻求与欧盟(EU)更紧密地一体化。由亚美尼亚、阿塞拜疆、白俄罗斯、格鲁吉亚、摩尔多瓦和乌克兰组成的 "东部伙伴 "国家已开始了雄心勃勃的高等教育部门改革之旅,以促进经济发展、提高学术水平和加强区域合作。文章采用综合方法,既有政策分析,也有经验见解,以揭示整个地区高等教育改革的多面性。文章深入探讨了欧洲-非洲-太平洋国家在通过高等教育改革实现欧洲一体化的过程中所面临的各种挑战和机遇。探讨的关键主题包括使国家高等教育改革与《博洛尼亚宣言》的指导方针相一致,包括促进国际化和质量保证机制,强调跨国界合作和知识交流的重要性。报告批判性地评估了迄今取得的进展,强调了成功之处,也指出了持续存在的障碍。此外,报告还探讨了国际组织和欧盟计划在支持这些改革方面所发挥的作用。分析强调了欧洲--非洲--太平洋地区高等教育改革的重要性,它不仅是实现欧洲一体化的工具,也是更广泛的社会和经济转型的催化剂。所收集的研究数据时间跨度为 1991-2020 年。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Eastern European Journal of Regional Studies
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