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Catastrophe Risk-Sharing Decisions of Individuals, Insurer, and Government 个人、保险公司和政府的巨灾风险分担决策
Pub Date : 2020-04-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3270669
Ruo Jia, Jieyu Lin, Hanyang (Hans) Wang
We develop a dynamic game model for efficient catastrophe risk-sharing that allows decision makers to derive optimal pricing, capital, and buying decisions in one equilibrium. Existing catastrophe insurance models focus on either the primary insurance market or the reinsurance market, thus involving one or two decision makers. Our model involves both markets and three decision makers: Individuals, a private insurer, and a centralized agency acting as reinsurer. We show that government reinsurance addresses the failure of the private catastrophe insurance market, increases individuals’ willingness to pay for catastrophe risk transfer, and represents a Pareto improvement on a competitive market with no reinsurance or with private reinsurance. The government’s trade-off between using catastrophe taxes and reinsurance premiums to fund the program improves the social welfare through product quality, capital cost, and wealth transfer channels. Furthermore, a government reinsurance program is a complement to an ex-post catastrophe-relief program and a risk-based solvency regulation.
我们开发了一个有效的巨灾风险分担的动态博弈模型,使决策者能够在一个均衡中得出最优定价、资本和购买决策。现有的巨灾保险模型要么关注原险市场,要么关注再保险市场,因此只涉及一个或两个决策者。我们的模型涉及市场和三个决策者:个人、私人保险公司和作为再保险公司的中央机构。研究表明,政府再保险解决了私人巨灾保险市场的失灵,提高了个人支付巨灾风险转移的意愿,并代表了在没有再保险或有私人再保险的竞争市场上的帕累托改进。政府利用巨灾税和再保险保费之间的权衡,通过产品质量、资本成本和财富转移渠道改善了社会福利。此外,政府再保险计划是对灾后救济计划和基于风险的偿付能力监管的补充。
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引用次数: 0
Short Term Impact of Minimum Pricing for Alcohol in Scotland 苏格兰酒精最低定价的短期影响
Pub Date : 2020-04-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3852038
C. Snowdon
Advocates of minimum pricing predicted that it would have an almost immediate impact in Scotland, with modelling forecasting 58 fewer deaths and 1,299 fewer hospital admissions in the first year. In the eight months after minimum pricing was introduced, alcohol-related mortality fell at the same rate in Scotland as it did in England and Wales (7%). Alcohol-related hospital admissions rose slightly in Scotland in 2018/19 under minimum pricing. The median Scottish household (by income) spent an extra £100.88 on alcohol in the first year of minimum pricing while the median income group in England spent an extra £44.20, a difference of £56.68 per annum. Those on below-average incomes have been hit hardest, with those in the bottom income group increasing their expenditure on alcohol by eleven per cent.
最低价格的支持者预测,这将对苏格兰产生立竿见影的影响,根据模型预测,第一年死亡人数将减少58人,入院人数将减少1299人。在引入最低价格后的8个月里,苏格兰与酒精相关的死亡率下降的速度与英格兰和威尔士相同(7%)。在最低价格下,苏格兰2018/19年度与酒精相关的住院人数略有上升。在实行最低价格的第一年,苏格兰家庭(按收入计算)在酒上多花了100.88英镑,而英格兰的收入群体中位数多花了44.20英镑,每年相差56.68英镑。那些收入低于平均水平的人受到的打击最大,收入最低的人在酒精上的支出增加了11%。
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引用次数: 0
With Linear Pricing, Can Profit-Maximizing Monopoly Output Be Socially Efficient? 在线性定价下,利润最大化的垄断产出是否具有社会效率?
Pub Date : 2020-03-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3601356
Yong Chao, Babu Nahata
We question the prevailing wisdom that a profit-maximizing monopolist using linear pricing cannot produce socially efficient output. We show that when market demand function exhibits a flat portion, the prevailing wisdom may not be true. Such a flat portion in demand is consistent with weakly convex preferences, and many general demand functions such as any polynomials of degree three and higher. Thus, our analysis demonstrates that the output distortion resulting from linear pricing by a profit-maximizing monopolist is demand specific. In general, neither monopoly per se nor linear pricing is the main reason for social inefficiency.
我们质疑普遍的观点,即利润最大化的垄断者使用线性定价不能产生社会有效的产出。我们表明,当市场需求函数呈现平坦部分时,流行的智慧可能不正确。需求中的这种平坦部分与弱凸偏好和许多一般需求函数(如任何三次或更高次的多项式)是一致的。因此,我们的分析表明,利润最大化垄断者的线性定价导致的产出扭曲是特定于需求的。一般来说,垄断本身和线性定价都不是造成社会效率低下的主要原因。
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引用次数: 0
Learning the Best Price and Ordering Policy under Fixed Costs and Ambiguous Demand 固定成本和模糊需求下的最优价格与订货策略研究
Pub Date : 2020-03-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3554042
Jian Yang
We study joint inventory-price control in which a firm chooses among a finite number of prices to influence the demand to be realized; also, the firm’s ordering activities incur fixed setup costs. While intending to settle down on an optimal price and figure out an optimal ordering policy all catering to the long-run average criterion, the firm is ambiguous about the stationary distribution of the random demand that it is to face under each price. We propose an adaptive policy in which periods are grouped into intervals, with each being associated with one single price and one single ordering policy. Pricing is based on a learning-while-doing trade-off: a price with the least number of interval visits will be chosen when this number is below a threshold associated with the total number of interval visits under all prices; otherwise, the chosen price will be one with the most promising profit prospect estimated from past experiences. Interval-wise ordering relies on an (s,S) policy most suitable for the empirical distribution learned from past experiences under the chosen price. The power at which the policy’s regret grows in the horizon length T would be below (3 +√29)/10 ≃ 0.839 even when demand patterns are fairly ambiguous. When demand realizations are further confined to a finite support, the bound would be reducible to √2/2 ≃ 0.707.
我们研究了库存-价格联合控制,其中企业在有限数量的价格中选择影响需求实现的价格;此外,公司的订购活动产生固定的设置成本。当企业想要确定一个最优价格并找出一个满足长期平均标准的最优订购策略时,它对在每个价格下所面临的随机需求的平稳分布是模糊的。我们提出了一种自适应策略,其中将周期分组为区间,每个区间与一个单一价格和一个单一订购策略相关联。定价基于边做边学的权衡:当间隔访问次数低于与所有价格下的间隔访问总次数相关的阈值时,将选择间隔访问次数最少的价格;否则,所选择的价格将是根据以往经验估计出的最具盈利前景的价格。区间明智排序依赖于(s, s)策略,该策略最适合于从过去经验中获得的经验分布。当需求模式相当模糊时,政策后悔在视界长度T上的增长权力也在(3 +√29)/10以下。当需求实现进一步局限于一个有限的支持时,该界可约为√2/2≃0.707。
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引用次数: 1
Do Premium Payment Methods Increase Effective Retail Prices? 保费支付方式会提高有效零售价格吗?
Pub Date : 2020-03-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3450855
Takanori Adachi, M. Tremblay
In this paper, we determine how premium payment methods impact effective prices (prices that include any consumer payment rewards). This question is fundamentally related to policy, and we provide a robust answer by considering how a variety of retail market structures are impacted by multiple payment methods. We find that, with a no-surcharge rule applied to the premium payment method, effective prices are often higher across all payment methods. In this case, the no-surcharge rule protects a double marginalization effect where the premium payment method inserts an additional margin that harms all consumers and all merchants. We show that this loss in welfare can be rectified by allowing merchant surcharging across payment methods. Our results are robust across merchant market structures, suggesting that protected premium payment methods are generally harmful, except for the payment industry.
在本文中,我们确定保费支付方式如何影响有效价格(包括任何消费者支付奖励的价格)。这个问题从根本上与政策有关,我们通过考虑多种支付方式对零售市场结构的影响,提供了一个强有力的答案。我们发现,在保费支付方式采用无附加费规则的情况下,所有支付方式的有效价格往往更高。在这种情况下,无附加费规则保护了双重边缘化效应,即溢价支付方式插入了额外的利润,损害了所有消费者和所有商家。我们表明,这种福利损失可以通过允许商家跨支付方式收取附加费来纠正。我们的研究结果在整个商业市场结构中都是稳健的,这表明除了支付行业之外,受保护的保费支付方式通常是有害的。
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引用次数: 2
Business-to-Business Bargaining in Two-Sided Markets 双边市场中的企业对企业议价
Pub Date : 2020-03-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3388383
Takanori Adachi, M. Tremblay
Negotiations regularly take place on the business-to-business side of two-sided markets. However, little is known about the consequences of these negotiations on a platform's design, pricing, participation, and welfare. In this paper, we propose a model where platforms choose between the standard design (offering posted prices to both sides) and the bargaining design (offering a posted price to consumers and negotiating with firms). We find that platforms implement the bargaining design only when its bargaining position is strong. We also find that (i) greater platform bargaining power increases welfare and (ii) that a platform's optimal design can coincide with the design that maximizes welfare. These findings suggest that platforms and policy makers often align. Finally, we extend our model to consider platform competition and show that an implemented bargaining design generates sub-optimal welfare only when platforms are competitive. This suggests that platform behavior that may be considered exploitive, is only implemented in a manner that is detrimental to welfare in markets where platform market power is already limited.
在双边市场的企业对企业方面定期进行谈判。然而,这些谈判对平台的设计、定价、参与和福利的影响却鲜为人知。在本文中,我们提出了一个模型,其中平台在标准设计(向双方提供张贴价格)和议价设计(向消费者提供张贴价格并与企业谈判)之间进行选择。我们发现平台只有在议价地位较强的情况下才会实施议价设计。我们还发现(i)更大的平台议价能力会增加福利,(ii)平台的最优设计可以与福利最大化的设计相吻合。这些发现表明,平台和政策制定者往往是一致的。最后,我们将模型扩展到考虑平台竞争,并表明只有当平台具有竞争力时,实施的议价设计才会产生次优福利。这表明,可能被认为是剥削性的平台行为,只会在平台市场力量已经有限的市场中以不利于福利的方式实施。
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引用次数: 9
Late Product Release: The Strategic Benefit of Lost Sales 延迟产品发布:失去销售的战略利益
Pub Date : 2020-03-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3552405
Mushegh Harutyunyan, C. Narasimhan
When a firm’s competitor releases its product earlier than the firm, many consumers may decide to buy the competitor’s product, rather than wait for the firm’s product release. Hence, in the absence of product improvement effects or any other late-mover advantages, the firm should benefit by hastening its product release to avoid losing too many sales. In this paper, we analyze the strategic relationship between the firms’ product release timing and pricing decisions, and we find that even when there are no product improvement benefits and late-mover advantages, the firm may be better off by releasing its product later than the competitor. Furthermore, under certain conditions, the firm can benefit if its competitor captures a large share of the early market, rather than a small share. In other words, an increase in the competitor’s market penetration level can benefit the firm. Intuitively, by releasing its product later, the firm induces its less committed customers to buy the competitor’s product, while the firm’s more committed customers choose to wait for the firm’s product release. When the firm finally releases its product, it has an incentive to charge a higher price to extract more surplus from the segment of consumers who postponed their purchases. The firm’s increased price induces the firm’s competitor to also increase its price, alleviating price competition and benefiting all firms. Further, our results suggest that the firm that is the first to release its product may be better off by using penetration pricing strategy rather than price skimming, because penetration pricing will help mitigate future price competition, while price skimming will make it more intense.
当一个公司的竞争对手比它早发布产品时,许多消费者可能会决定购买竞争对手的产品,而不是等待该公司的产品发布。因此,在没有产品改进效果或任何其他后发优势的情况下,公司应该通过加速产品发布来避免失去太多的销售。本文分析了企业产品发布时间与定价决策之间的战略关系,发现即使在没有产品改进利益和后发优势的情况下,企业也可能通过比竞争对手晚发布产品而获得更好的收益。此外,在一定条件下,如果竞争对手在早期市场占据了很大份额,而不是很小的份额,公司就会受益。换句话说,竞争对手市场渗透水平的提高可以使公司受益。直观地说,通过延迟发布产品,公司诱使不太忠诚的客户购买竞争对手的产品,而公司更忠诚的客户选择等待公司的产品发布。当公司最终发布其产品时,它有动机收取更高的价格,以从推迟购买的消费者那里获得更多的剩余。企业提价后,其竞争对手也会随之提价,从而缓解价格竞争,使所有企业受益。此外,我们的研究结果表明,首先发布产品的公司可能会更好地采用渗透定价策略,而不是撇价策略,因为渗透定价有助于缓解未来的价格竞争,而撇价策略会使价格竞争更加激烈。
{"title":"Late Product Release: The Strategic Benefit of Lost Sales","authors":"Mushegh Harutyunyan, C. Narasimhan","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3552405","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3552405","url":null,"abstract":"When a firm’s competitor releases its product earlier than the firm, many consumers may decide to buy the competitor’s product, rather than wait for the firm’s product release. Hence, in the absence of product improvement effects or any other late-mover advantages, the firm should benefit by hastening its product release to avoid losing too many sales. In this paper, we analyze the strategic relationship between the firms’ product release timing and pricing decisions, and we find that even when there are no product improvement benefits and late-mover advantages, the firm may be better off by releasing its product later than the competitor. Furthermore, under certain conditions, the firm can benefit if its competitor captures a large share of the early market, rather than a small share. In other words, an increase in the competitor’s market penetration level can benefit the firm. Intuitively, by releasing its product later, the firm induces its less committed customers to buy the competitor’s product, while the firm’s more committed customers choose to wait for the firm’s product release. When the firm finally releases its product, it has an incentive to charge a higher price to extract more surplus from the segment of consumers who postponed their purchases. The firm’s increased price induces the firm’s competitor to also increase its price, alleviating price competition and benefiting all firms. Further, our results suggest that the firm that is the first to release its product may be better off by using penetration pricing strategy rather than price skimming, because penetration pricing will help mitigate future price competition, while price skimming will make it more intense.","PeriodicalId":321987,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Pricing (Topic)","volume":"15 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130777908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Post-Cartel Tacit Collusion: Determinants, Consequences, and Prevention 后卡特尔隐性勾结:决定因素、后果和预防
Pub Date : 2020-03-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3690629
Subhasish M. Chowdhury, Carsten J. Crede
Abstract We experimentally investigate the determinants of post-cartel tacit collusion (PCTC), the effects of PCTC on market outcomes, and potential policy measures aimed at its prevention. PCTC occurs robustly with or without fines or leniency and is determined both by collusive price hysteresis and learning about cartel partners’ characteristics and strategies. As a result, it is also strongly related to the preceding cartel success. PCTC generates a downward bias in the estimated cartel overcharges. This threatens the effectiveness of deterrence induced by private damage litigation and fines imposed on colluding firms based on the overcharge. This bias further increases with preceding cartel stability such that especially more stable sets of colluding firms may be deterred less when PCTC is present. Rematching colluding subjects with strangers within a session prevents PCTC. This indicates that barring colluding managers from their posts could help impede PCTC in the field.
摘要本文通过实验研究了后卡特尔隐性串通(PCTC)的决定因素、PCTC对市场结果的影响以及针对其预防的潜在政策措施。无论是否处以罚款或从宽处罚,PCTC都频繁发生,并由串通价格滞后和对卡特尔合作伙伴特征和策略的了解共同决定。因此,它也与之前卡特尔的成功密切相关。PCTC对卡特尔超额收费的估计产生了向下的偏见。这威胁到由私人损害诉讼和基于超额收费对串通公司的罚款所引起的威慑的有效性。这种偏见会随着之前卡特尔的稳定而进一步增加,特别是当PCTC存在时,更稳定的串通公司可能会受到更少的威慑。将串通的受试者与陌生人重新配对可以防止PCTC。这表明,禁止串通的管理者离开他们的岗位可能有助于阻碍PCTC在该领域的发展。
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引用次数: 11
A Model of Multi-Pass Search: Price Search Across Stores and Time 多通道搜索模型:跨商店和时间的价格搜索
Pub Date : 2020-02-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3543823
N. Mojir, K. Sudhir
In retail settings with price promotions, consumers often search across stores and time. However the search literature typically only models one pass search across stores, ignoring revisits to stores; the choice literature using scanner data has modeled search across time, but not search across stores in the same model. We develop a multi-pass search model that jointly endogenizes search in both dimensions; our model nests a finite horizon model of search across stores within an infinite horizon model of inter-temporal search. We apply our model to milk purchases at grocery stores; hence the model also accounts for repeat purchases across time, inventory holding by households and grocery basket effects. We note that the special case without these additional features can be used to study one time purchases with repeat store visits as in the case of durable goods and online shopping. We formulate the empirical model as a mathematical program with equilibrium constraints (MPEC) and estimate it allowing for latent class heterogeneity using an iterative E-M algorithm. In contrast to extant research, we find that omitting the temporal dimension underestimates price elasticity. We attribute this difference to the relative frequency of household stockouts and purchase frequency in the milk category. Interestingly, increasing the promotional frequency (while reducing its depth to maintain the mean and variance of prices across all stores) can increase loyalty to the household’s preferred store.
在有价格促销的零售环境中,消费者通常会跨商店、跨时间搜索。然而,搜索文献通常只模拟跨商店的一次搜索,忽略了对商店的重新访问;使用扫描器数据的选择文献对跨时间的搜索进行了建模,但没有在同一模型中跨商店进行搜索。我们开发了一个多通道搜索模型,在两个维度上联合内生搜索;我们的模型在跨时间搜索的无限视界模型中嵌套了跨商店搜索的有限视界模型。我们将模型应用于杂货店的牛奶购买;因此,该模型还考虑了不同时间的重复购买、家庭的库存持有和购物篮效应。我们注意到,没有这些附加特征的特殊情况可以用来研究重复商店访问的一次性购买,如耐用品和网上购物的情况。我们将经验模型表述为具有平衡约束(MPEC)的数学程序,并使用迭代E-M算法估计它允许潜在的类异质性。与现有研究相比,我们发现忽略时间维度低估了价格弹性。我们将这种差异归因于家庭库存的相对频率和牛奶类别的购买频率。有趣的是,增加促销频率(同时减少其深度以保持所有商店的价格均值和方差)可以增加家庭对首选商店的忠诚度。
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引用次数: 1
Endogenous Competition Mode with Asymmetric Retailers 具有非对称零售商的内生竞争模式
Pub Date : 2020-02-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3542115
Kangsik Choi, Seonyoung Lim
With welfare implication, we analyze the endogenous choice of competition mode where asymmetric retailers for the cost involve in price discrimination and uniform pricing with an upstream input supplier under vertical contracts. In contrast to previous results, we find that under uniform pricing, if the cost difference between asymmetric retailers is sufficiently small, then choosing price contract is a dominant strategy for both retailers. On the other hand, if the cost difference is sufficiently large, choosing price contract for inefficient retailer and choosing quantity contract for efficient retailer are implemented in equilibrium under uniform pricing, while this equilibrium is sustained regardless of cost difference under price discrimination. Moreover, social welfare is always higher under uniform pricing than under price discrimination even though each equilibrium under uniform pricing facilitates implicit collusion in the endogenous choice of competition mode.
在福利隐含下,我们分析了纵向合同下不对称零售商对成本的价格歧视和与上游投入供应商统一定价的竞争模式的内生选择。对比以往的研究结果,我们发现在统一定价条件下,如果不对称零售商之间的成本差异足够小,那么选择价格契约是两家零售商的优势策略。另一方面,如果成本差异足够大,在统一定价条件下,低效零售商选择价格契约和高效零售商选择数量契约是均衡的,而在价格歧视条件下,无论成本差异如何,这种均衡都是持续的。此外,尽管在统一定价下的每个均衡都促进了竞争模式内生选择中的隐性共谋,但统一定价下的社会福利总是高于价格歧视下的社会福利。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
ERN: Pricing (Topic)
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