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Risk transference constraints in optimal reinsurance 最优再保险中的风险转移约束
Pub Date : 2021-04-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3824121
A. Balbás, B. Balbás, Raquel Balbás, Antonio J. Heras
This paper deals with the optimal reinsurance problem and involves the goals of both insurer and reinsurer. An important novelty may be the incorporation of the background risk that the reinsurer uses in order to diversify (or hedge) the risk ceded by the insurer. Accordingly, general methods to prevent the reinsurer moral hazard must be extended, and a new constraint must be satisfied by the selected reinsurance contract, namely, "the reinsurer increment of risk must be lower than the contract premium". Simultaneously, since the contract must be attractive to the insurer too, "the contract premium must be lower than the insurer risk reduction". Integrating both ideas, "the contract premium must be higher than the reinsurer risk growth and lower than the insurer risk mitigation". Bearing in mind both requirements, that is, the protection against the moral hazard and the spread containing the contract premium, the optimal reinsurance problem is studied under very general conditions about the involved risk measures and premium principles, general solutions are provided, and a practical illustrative example is presented.
本文研究最优再保险问题,涉及保险人和再保险人的目标。一个重要的新颖之处可能是将背景风险纳入再保险人用以分散(或对冲)保险人让出的风险。因此,预防再保险人道德风险的一般方法必须得到推广,所选择的再保险合同必须满足一个新的约束条件,即“再保险人的风险增量必须低于合同保费”。同时,由于合同对保险公司也必须具有吸引力,“合同保费必须低于保险公司的风险降低”。综合这两种观点,“合同保费必须高于再保险人的风险增长,低于保险人的风险缓解”。同时考虑道德风险的保护和包含合同保费的价差这两方面的要求,在非常一般的条件下研究了最优再保险问题所涉及的风险度量和保费原则,给出了一般的解决方案,并给出了一个实际的例子。
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引用次数: 5
The Burden of Cash and the Penny Policy Debate 现金负担和便士政策辩论
Pub Date : 2021-04-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3822693
B. Prescott, Oz Shy
Twenty six percent of all payments and forty-seven percent of payments below $10 in the U.S. are made with cash. Using consumer transaction diary data, this article quantifies the burden from paying with cash by computing lower bounds on the number of currency notes and coins exchanged in each transaction. We then apply the same methodology to address a policy debate on whether to remove the penny coin from circulation in the U.S. By simulating a counterfactual economy, we quantify the effects of eliminating the penny on the burden of paying with cash.
在美国,26%的付款和47%的10美元以下的付款是用现金支付的。本文使用消费者交易日记数据,通过计算每次交易中兑换的纸币和硬币数量的下限来量化现金支付的负担。然后,我们应用相同的方法来解决是否从美国流通中取消一分钱硬币的政策辩论。通过模拟反事实经济,我们量化了取消一分钱对现金支付负担的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Cyberattacks on Small Banks and the Impact on Local Banking Markets 针对小型银行的网络攻击及对本地银行市场的影响
Pub Date : 2021-04-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3823296
Fabian Gogolin, I. Lim, Francesco Vallascas
Small banks are targets of a large number of cyberattacks. Using a sized-matched difference-in-differences design, we document that successful cyberattacks decrease branch deposit growth rates at small US banks. This decrease is due to bank-specific reputational damages that erode the trust of bank customers. The loss of trust results in a reallocation of deposits within local banking market to large banks. The reallocation is the consequence of a “flight-to-reputation” by depositors since it favours primarily large banks with a high reputation. We next document that cyberattacks affect the relationships between banks and customers in mortgage markets wherein hacked banks attract riskier applicants and are forced to lower their credit standards. Ultimately, our results imply that cybersecurity investments are crucial for banks to attract and retain customers and indicate that financial constraints in small banks can lead to local banking markets increasingly dominated by large banks. We highlight how this change in market structure can affect access to credit of small local businesses and impede the development of local economies.
小型银行是大量网络攻击的目标。使用大小匹配的差异设计,我们记录了成功的网络攻击降低了美国小型银行的分支存款增长率。这种下降是由于银行特有的声誉损害侵蚀了银行客户的信任。信任的丧失导致本地银行市场的存款重新分配给大银行。这种重新配置是储户“逃向声誉”的结果,因为它主要青睐声誉较高的大银行。我们接下来的文件表明,网络攻击影响了抵押贷款市场中银行和客户之间的关系,其中被黑客攻击的银行吸引风险较高的申请人,并被迫降低其信用标准。最终,我们的研究结果表明,网络安全投资对银行吸引和留住客户至关重要,并表明小银行的财务约束可能导致当地银行市场日益被大银行主导。我们强调市场结构的这种变化如何影响当地小企业获得信贷的机会,并阻碍当地经济的发展。
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引用次数: 1
Central Bank Digital Currencies: Balancing Public-Private Partnerships 中央银行数字货币:平衡公私伙伴关系
Pub Date : 2021-04-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3850116
Marianne Ojo D Delaney PhD
What roles exist for public and private partnerships within the context of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), in an increasingly digitalized global system? Do central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) serve as public goods rather than tools which should primarily remain within the realm and governance of private sector firms? What challenges or risks are presented through the use of CBDCs and how can such risks be mitigated through current existing structures - as well as models which have been propounded in relation to public – private partnerships? This paper aims to contribute to the literature on the topic through a consideration of several variants and models of CBDCs under which the public private partnership would function, namely the synthetic CBDC (sCBDC) and the two-tiered CBDC. Further, two other types of CBDCs, namely the wholesale CBDC and the retail CBDC will be distinguished - as well as the account based CBDC, which is contrasted to CBDCs based on digital tokens. Whilst concerns for privacy and security remain paramount and cannot be undermined, particularly from the perspectives of distributed ledger technologies (and blockchains – through which such platforms operate), such concerns need to be weighed against the need for identification since regulators will be better supported in their goals in enforcing the law, as well as identifying fraudulent operations, where sufficient identification procedures have been put in place.
在日益数字化的全球体系中,在中央银行数字货币(cbdc)的背景下,公共和私人伙伴关系存在什么作用?央行数字货币(cbdc)是作为公共产品,而不是应该主要留在私营部门公司领域和治理范围内的工具吗?使用cbdc会带来哪些挑战或风险?如何通过现有结构以及提出的与公私伙伴关系相关的模式来减轻这些风险?本文旨在通过考虑公私合作伙伴关系发挥作用的CBDC的几种变体和模型,即合成CBDC (sCBDC)和双层CBDC,为该主题的文献做出贡献。此外,将区分另外两种类型的CBDC,即批发型CBDC和零售型CBDC,以及基于账户的CBDC,这与基于数字代币的CBDC形成对比。虽然对隐私和安全的担忧仍然是最重要的,不能被破坏,特别是从分布式账本技术(以及区块链——这些平台通过区块链运行)的角度来看,这些担忧需要与识别的需要进行权衡,因为监管机构在执法和识别欺诈操作方面的目标将得到更好的支持,如果有足够的识别程序已经到位。
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引用次数: 0
The Economics of Insurance: A Derivatives-Based Approach 保险经济学:一种基于衍生品的方法
Pub Date : 2021-04-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3656469
R. Jarrow
This article revisits the economics of insurance using insights from derivatives pricing and hedging. Applying this perspective, I emphasize the following insights applicable to insurance. First, I provide a valid justification for the use of arbitrage-free insurance premiums. This justification applies in both complete and incomplete markets. Second, I demonstrate the importance of diversifiable idiosyncratic risk for the determination of insurance premiums. And third, analyzing the insurance industry using the functional approach, I show the importance of derivatives and the synthetic construction of derivatives for reducing an insurance company's insolvency risk. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Financial Economics, Volume 13 is November 2021. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
本文使用衍生品定价和套期保值的见解重新审视保险经济学。从这个角度来看,我强调以下适用于保险的见解。首先,我为使用无套利保险费提供了一个有效的理由。这个理由既适用于完全市场,也适用于不完全市场。其次,我证明了可分散的特殊风险对于确定保险费的重要性。第三,运用函数法对保险业进行分析,说明了衍生品的重要性以及衍生品的综合构建对于降低保险公司破产风险的重要性。《金融经济学年度评论》第13卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2021年11月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 5
Credit Supply Shocks and Household Defaults 信贷供给冲击与家庭违约
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3829990
M. Mamonov, A. Pestova
Are disruptions of the mortgage market a consequence of financial imbalances accumulated in the past? In this paper, we study the effects of positive and negative credit supply (CS) shocks on subsequent household defaults on debt over the last four decades in U.S. states. We apply sign restrictions within a VAR framework to isolate state-level CS shocks, and identify that 1984 and 2004 were the years of systemic, countrywide, positive CS shocks whereas 1989 and 2009 brought systemic negative shocks. Further, by employing a difference-in-differences framework, we find that both positive and negative CS shocks lead to greater household defaults in the future if they also increase mortgage-to-income ratios. We show that the CS shock-induced (i) shifts of employment between the tradable and non-tradable sectors, (ii) changes in household income and (iii) in house prices facilitate the accumulation of default risks. Our results indicate that positive CS shocks occurred in 1984 did not raise household defaults by more in more exposed states compared to less exposed states because the shocks increased both future income and mortgage debt, while not affecting mortgage-to-income ratios. In contrast, the 1989, 2004 and 2009 CS shocks increased mortgage-to-income ratios in subsequent years, thereby raising debt delinquencies and household defaults. These results provide further empirical evidence to theories of endogenous credit cycles.
抵押贷款市场的混乱是过去积累的金融失衡的结果吗?在本文中,我们研究了过去40年来美国各州正面和负面信贷供应冲击对随后家庭债务违约的影响。我们在VAR框架内应用符号限制来隔离州一级的CS冲击,并确定1984年和2004年是系统性的、全国性的、正面的CS冲击,而1989年和2009年则是系统性的负面冲击。此外,通过采用差异中的差异框架,我们发现,如果正面和负面的CS冲击也增加了抵押贷款与收入比率,那么它们都会导致未来更大的家庭违约。我们表明,CS冲击引起的(i)可贸易部门和不可贸易部门之间的就业转移,(ii)家庭收入的变化和(iii)房价的变化促进了违约风险的积累。我们的研究结果表明,1984年发生的正面CS冲击并没有使暴露程度较高的州的家庭违约率高于暴露程度较低的州,因为冲击增加了未来收入和抵押贷款债务,而不影响抵押贷款收入比。相比之下,1989年、2004年和2009年的金融危机在随后几年增加了抵押贷款与收入的比率,从而增加了债务拖欠和家庭违约。这些结果为内生信贷周期理论提供了进一步的实证证据。
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引用次数: 0
Third-Party Credit Guarantees and the Cost of Debt: Evidence from Corporate Loans 第三方信用担保与债务成本:来自企业贷款的证据
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3492106
M. Beyhaghi
Using a comprehensive dataset collected by the Federal Reserve, I find that over one-third of corporate loans issued by US banks are fully guaranteed by legal entities separate from borrowing firms. Using an empirical strategy that accounts for time-varying firm and lender effects, I find that the existence of a third-party credit guarantee is negatively related to loan risk, loan rate, and loan delinquency. Third-party credit guarantees alleviate the effect of collateral constraints in credit market. Firms (particularly smaller firms) that experience a negative shock to their asset values are less likely to use collateral and more likely to use credit guarantees in new borrowings.
根据美联储(fed)收集的综合数据集,我发现,美国银行发放的企业贷款中,超过三分之一是由独立于借款公司的法律实体完全担保的。使用考虑时变企业和出借人效应的实证策略,我发现第三方信用担保的存在与贷款风险、贷款利率和贷款违约负相关。第三方信用担保缓解了信贷市场抵押品约束的影响。经历资产价值负面冲击的公司(尤其是小公司)不太可能使用抵押品,而更有可能在新借款中使用信用担保。
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引用次数: 12
Foreign Bank Assets and Presence on Banking Stability in Africa: Does Strong and Weak Corporate Governance Systems under different Regulatory Regimes Matter? 外资银行资产和存在对非洲银行业稳定性的影响:不同监管制度下公司治理制度的强弱是否重要?
Pub Date : 2021-03-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3815642
B. Kusi, E. Agbloyor, S. Asongu, J. Abor
This study examines the effect of foreign bank assets and presence on banking stability in the economies with strong and weak country-level corporate governance in Africa between 2006 and 2015. Employing a Prais-Winsten panel data model on 86 banks in about 30 African economies, the findings on how foreign bank assets and presence influence banking stability in strong and weak corporate governance economies under different regulatory regimes are reported for the first time in Africa. The initial findings show that foreign bank presence and assets promote banking stability. However, the positive effect of foreign bank assets and presence is enhanced in economies with strong country-level corporate governance, while the positive effect of foreign bank assets and presence is weakened in economies with weak country-level corporate governance. After introducing different regulatory variables (regimes), it is observed that the enhancing effect of foreign bank presence and assets on banking stability in the full sample and economies with strong and weak country level corporate governance systems is deepened or improved under loan loss provision regulation regime. However, under the private and public sector-led financial transparency regulations, the reducing effect of foreign bank presence and assets on banking stability in economies with weak corporate governance systems is further dampened. These findings show that the relationship between foreign bank presence and assets is deeply shaped by corporate governance systems and regulatory regimes in Africa. Hence, policymakers must build strong corporate governance and sound regulatory regimes to enhance how foreign bank operations promote banking stability.
本研究考察了2006年至2015年间,在非洲国家一级公司治理强弱的经济体中,外资银行资产和存在对银行业稳定性的影响。采用Prais-Winsten面板数据模型,对大约30个非洲经济体的86家银行进行了研究,首次在非洲报告了在不同监管制度下,外国银行资产和存在如何影响公司治理强弱经济体的银行业稳定性。初步研究结果表明,外资银行的存在和资产促进了银行业的稳定性。然而,外资银行资产和存在的积极作用在国家一级公司治理较强的经济体中增强,而在国家一级公司治理较弱的经济体中外资银行资产和存在的积极作用减弱。在引入不同的监管变量(制度)后,我们观察到,在贷款损失准备监管制度下,外资银行的存在和资产对银行稳定性的增强作用在全样本和国家一级公司治理制度强弱的经济体中得到深化或改善。然而,在私营和公共部门主导的金融透明度监管下,在公司治理体系薄弱的经济体中,外国银行的存在和资产对银行业稳定性的削弱作用进一步受到抑制。这些发现表明,外国银行的存在与资产之间的关系深受非洲公司治理制度和监管制度的影响。因此,政策制定者必须建立强有力的公司治理和健全的监管制度,以加强外资银行业务促进银行业稳定的方式。
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引用次数: 0
Getting Bank Governance Right - The Interplay between the Resolution Framework and the Role of Creditors, with an Application to EU Law 获得正确的银行治理-决议框架与债权人角色之间的相互作用,以及对欧盟法律的应用
Pub Date : 2021-03-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3814700
Edoardo D. Martino
Shareholders are the residual claimants on the assets of a corporation. Creditors are fixed claimants whose interest lies in the solvency of the borrower. Consequently, shareholders are usually thought to have optimal incentives to maximise the value of the corporation.

The article challenges this common wisdom in banking and proposes to reform bank governance granting (some) ex-ante governance rights to bank creditors. This aims at fine-tuning bank governance and incumbent substantive regulation, in particular the resolution framework for distressed banks, and enhance the quality of decision-making of banks in terms of risk-taking. At the same time, the proposed reform should increase the ex-ante credibility of resolution.

The second part of the article operationalises this construct focusing on the specific case of the European Banking Union and discusses the design of the governance status of bail-inable creditors.

The analysis demonstrates how bail-inable creditors can correct for shareholders’ perverse incentives and make debt governance work in banking. The policy proposal advanced in the paper would complement substantive regulation and prudential oversight. The governance role of creditors has the potential to be particularly helpful in preventing disproportionate risk-taking decisions in good times, when regulatory and supervisory standards are lax and systemic risk piles-up.
股东是公司资产的剩余索取者。债权人是固定的债权人,其利益在于借款人的偿付能力。因此,股东通常被认为具有使公司价值最大化的最佳激励。本文对银行业的这一普遍观点提出了挑战,并建议改革银行治理,赋予银行债权人(部分)事前治理权。其目的是微调银行治理和现行实质性监管,特别是陷入困境的银行的解决框架,并提高银行在冒险方面的决策质量。同时,拟议的改革应增加决议的事前可信度。文章的第二部分以欧洲银行联盟的具体案例为重点,对可保释债权人治理地位的设计进行了探讨。分析表明,可保释的债权人如何纠正股东的不当激励,并使债务治理在银行业发挥作用。该文件提出的政策建议将补充实质性监管和审慎监督。在经济繁荣时期,当监管标准宽松、系统性风险堆积如山时,债权人的治理角色有可能特别有助于防止不成比例的冒险决策。
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引用次数: 0
Bank Bailouts and Economic Growth: Evidence from Cross-Country, Cross-Industry Data 银行救助与经济增长:来自跨国跨行业数据的证据
Pub Date : 2021-03-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3814662
Valeriya Dinger, Lisardo Erman, Daniel Marcel te Kaat
In this paper, we revisit the question to what extent bank bailouts affect economic growth. We adopt a broad concept of bailouts, which includes both capital injections and liquidity support to the banking system, and employ an identification strategy that controls for the various dimensions of endogeneity of bailouts. We find that liquidity support has a significant positive real economic effect, while the effect of recapitalizations per se is not statistically significant. However, the positive impact of liquidity support is driven by crises where central bank liquidity injections are accompanied by recapitalizations of the banking system. Employing bank-level data, we provide evidence that this is the case because better capitalized banks and banks in significantly recapitalized systems are more likely to provide loans, thus raising aggregate-level real economic growth.
在本文中,我们重新审视银行救助对经济增长的影响程度。我们采用了一个广义的救助概念,其中包括对银行系统的资本注入和流动性支持,并采用了一种识别策略,控制了救助内生性的各个方面。我们发现流动性支持具有显著的正向实体经济效应,而资本重组本身的效应在统计上并不显著。然而,流动性支持的积极影响是由危机驱动的,在危机中,央行的流动性注入伴随着银行体系的资本重组。利用银行层面的数据,我们提供的证据表明,情况确实如此,因为资本状况较好的银行和资本结构大幅调整的银行更有可能提供贷款,从而提高总体水平的实际经济增长。
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引用次数: 2
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Banking & Insurance eJournal
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