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Typhoon strikes, political costs and earnings management 台风袭击、政治成本和收益管理
Pub Date : 2024-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13263
Jun Du, Xinhui Dai, Bo Yan
This study examines how firms in typhoon‐prone areas respond to the political costs of typhoon strikes. We found that such firms tend to engage in downward earnings management after a typhoon strike. Various robustness tests support our findings: cross‐sectional variation tests indicate that this tendency is strong in cities with high governmental intervention and incentives for political leaders and in firms with high political connections and visibility. Further analysis reveals that typhoon strikes enhance earnings management by intensifying fiscal pressure. Finally, this study provides a precise evaluation of the adverse effects of typhoons and complements the existing literature on the political cost hypothesis.
本研究探讨了台风多发地区的企业如何应对台风袭击的政治成本。我们发现,这些企业在台风袭击后倾向于进行下调收益管理。各种稳健性检验支持我们的发现:横截面差异检验表明,在政府干预和政治领导人激励较高的城市,以及政治关系和知名度较高的公司,这种倾向非常明显。进一步的分析表明,台风袭击会加剧财政压力,从而加强收益管理。最后,本研究提供了对台风不利影响的精确评估,并补充了有关政治成本假说的现有文献。
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引用次数: 0
From red tape to innovation: How does municipal government financing reform affect corporate R&D activities? 从繁文缛节到创新:市政府融资改革如何影响企业研发活动?
Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13256
Kai Wu, Dingyao Guo
We evaluated the effect of an exogenous shock on municipal government debt financing reform on corporate innovation for a sample of Chinese‐listed firms from 2009 to 2019. The results show that this reform stimulates corporate innovation capacity, and the effect is more pronounced in non‐state‐owned and financially constrained firms. We attribute these findings to reduced external financing costs and the crowding‐out effect of a firm's real estate investment. Our results are robust to alternative variable definitions, model specifications, and estimation techniques and provide novel evidence concerning the role of municipal government financing in corporate innovation.
我们以 2009 年至 2019 年的中国上市公司为样本,评估了市政府债务融资改革的外生冲击对企业创新的影响。结果表明,这项改革激发了企业的创新能力,而且对非国有企业和财务受限企业的影响更为明显。我们将这些结果归因于外部融资成本的降低和企业房地产投资的挤出效应。我们的结果对其他变量定义、模型规格和估算技术都是稳健的,并为市政府融资在企业创新中的作用提供了新的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risk exposure and debt concentration: Evidence from Chinese listed companies 气候风险暴露与债务集中度:来自中国上市公司的证据
Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13255
Wuqi Song, Wenshuai Xu, Wenzhou Qu, Xu Gong
We examine the impact of firm‐level climate risk exposure (CRE) on the debt concentration choices of Chinese listed companies over the period 2010–2021. Our findings suggest that CRE prompts firms to choose debt structures with higher concentration, and this relationship holds true for both physical and transition risks. Further analysis reveals that this effect is more pronounced among firms with higher default risk, restricted access to capital, and lower accounting quality. Our findings remain solid to a battery of robustness tests. Collectively, our study sheds light on the economic consequences of through the lens of firms' debt concentration adjustments.
我们研究了 2010-2021 年间公司层面的气候风险暴露(CRE)对中国上市公司债务集中度选择的影响。我们的研究结果表明,气候风险会促使企业选择集中度更高的债务结构,这种关系在实际风险和过渡风险中都成立。进一步的分析表明,这种效应在违约风险较高、资本获取受限和会计质量较低的企业中更为明显。通过一系列稳健性测试,我们的研究结果依然可靠。总之,我们的研究从企业债务集中度调整的角度揭示了其经济后果。
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引用次数: 0
The capital market consequences of stock market liberalisation: Evidence from Mainland‐Hong Kong Stock Connect Programs in China 股市自由化对资本市场的影响:中国内地与香港股票联通计划的证据
Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13251
Renhui Fu, Fang Gao, Yi Zhao
We analyse the capital market consequences of stock market liberalisation in a quasi‐natural experiment setting, where Mainland‐Hong Kong Stock Connect Programs allow foreign investors to trade in the Chinese stock market. Utilising difference‐in‐differences estimations, we observe improved stock liquidity, driven by direct liquidity provision and indirect signals to domestic investors. Particularly notable are the effects on eligible stocks without previous exposure to foreign investors, characterised by high corporate transparency and investor protection. The resulting liquidity enhancements reduce equity costs, ultimately elevating firm value. In short, our study highlights the positive influence of stock market liberalisation on the capital market.
在 "内地与香港股票联通计划 "允许外国投资者在中国股票市场进行交易的准自然实验环境中,我们分析了股票市场自由化对资本市场的影响。通过差分估计,我们观察到股票流动性在直接提供流动性和向国内投资者发出间接信号的推动下得到改善。尤其值得注意的是,这对以前没有接触过外国投资者的合格股票产生了影响,这些股票的特点是公司透明度高,投资者受到保护。由此带来的流动性增强降低了股票成本,最终提升了公司价值。简而言之,我们的研究强调了股市自由化对资本市场的积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Can asset‐backed securitisation reduce corporate leverage? Evidence from China 资产支持证券化能否降低企业杠杆率?来自中国的证据
Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13254
Ronghui Pang, Yanan Zhang, Jianbiao Li, Shaopeng Xie
Although Chinese regulatory authorities view corporate asset‐backed securitisation as a powerful tool for deleveraging, its effectiveness remains unexamined. Employing a look‐through approach to data from nonfinancial corporate asset‐backed securitisation transactions in China, we identify the actual originators and examine the impact of corporate asset‐backed securitisation on their leverage ratios. Regrettably, we find that corporate asset‐backed securitisation significantly increases the leverage ratio. This result holds true across both state‐owned and non‐state‐owned enterprises, as well as large‐scale and small‐scale enterprises. Finally, this study reveals that the effect of corporate asset‐backed securitisation on the leverage ratio is partially mediated by internal financing capacity.
尽管中国监管当局将企业资产支持证券化视为去杠杆化的有力工具,但其有效性仍有待检验。通过对中国非金融企业资产支持证券化交易数据的透视法,我们确定了实际的发起人,并研究了企业资产支持证券化对其杠杆率的影响。遗憾的是,我们发现企业资产支持证券化会显著提高杠杆率。这一结果在国有企业和非国有企业、大型企业和小型企业中都是如此。最后,本研究揭示了企业资产支持证券化对杠杆比率的影响部分受内部融资能力的中介作用。
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引用次数: 0
Using machine learning and 10‐K filings to measure innovation 利用机器学习和 10-K 申报衡量创新
Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13245
Essi Nousiainen, Mikko Ranta, M. Ylinen, Marko Järvenpää
The purpose of this paper is to develop and validate a text‐based measure of innovation using latent Dirichlet allocation on a sample of 45,409 10‐K filings from US listed companies. We expect that the text‐based innovation measure is associated with innovation and can be used to measure innovation for companies without patents or significant research and development expenditures. The empirical results are consistent with these assumptions, but reveal that thorough initial testing is required to ensure robustness. This study extends the research on innovation measurement and company disclosures, and provides a new method for assessing innovation using company disclosures.
本文的目的是在美国上市公司 45,409 份 10-K 文件样本中,利用潜在 Dirichlet 分配法开发并验证一种基于文本的创新度量方法。我们希望基于文本的创新度量与创新相关联,并可用于度量没有专利或大量研发支出的公司的创新情况。实证结果与这些假设相符,但表明需要进行全面的初步测试以确保稳健性。本研究扩展了有关创新衡量和公司信息披露的研究,并提供了一种利用公司信息披露评估创新的新方法。
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引用次数: 0
Confucian culture and cost stickiness 儒家文化与成本粘性
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13247
Ailing Pan, Hui Wang, Lei Xu
Cultural features may exert significant impact on firm behaviour. Through a sample of listed A‐share firms on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, we find that Confucian culture may significantly lower firms' cost stickiness. Our mechanism tests suggest that ideologies of self‐discipline and prudence embedded in Confucian culture may mitigate agency issues as well as overestimation of firm earnings. Furthermore, such impact is more pronounced among firms of lower shareholding by institutional investors or of weak internal control, which suggests that Confucian culture may help rectify the imperfection of corporate governance. Lower cost stickiness may also reduce firm risk.
文化特征可能对企业行为产生重大影响。通过对沪深证券交易所 A 股上市公司的抽样调查,我们发现儒家文化可能会显著降低企业的成本粘性。我们的机制检验表明,儒家文化中蕴含的自律和谨慎的意识形态可能会缓解代理问题以及对公司收益的高估。此外,这种影响在机构投资者持股比例较低或内部控制薄弱的公司中更为明显,这表明儒家文化可能有助于纠正公司治理的不完善。较低的成本粘性也可能降低公司风险。
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引用次数: 0
Volatility spillovers of cloud stocks: Evidence from China using the dynamic connectedness approach 云股的波动溢出效应:使用动态关联性方法从中国获得的证据
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13248
Lichao Lin, A. Cheung, Wan‐Lin Yan
Based on daily data from 2013 to 2022, this study examines the spillover effects of volatility between cloud stocks and other asset classes (global stocks, treasury bonds, gold and crude oil) using the VAR connectedness approach. The results show that there is a significant spillover effect from global stocks and crude oil markets to the cloud stock market. The spillover effects become stronger whenever there are shocks such as economic crisis, turbulence in the international financial markets, COVID‐19 and global inflation. However, nearly 91% of the variations of cloud stocks come from within, suggesting that the diversification/hedging value of cloud stocks is potentially high.
本研究基于 2013 年至 2022 年的每日数据,采用 VAR 连接性方法研究了云股票与其他资产类别(全球股票、国债、黄金和原油)之间的波动溢出效应。结果表明,全球股市和原油市场对云股票市场存在显著的溢出效应。当出现经济危机、国际金融市场动荡、COVID-19 和全球通胀等冲击时,溢出效应会变得更强。然而,云股近 91% 的变化来自内部,这表明云股的分散/套期保值价值很高。
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引用次数: 0
Actions speak louder than words: Can credible green commitment facilitate bank loan financing? Evidence from China 行胜于言:可信的绿色承诺能否促进银行贷款融资?来自中国的证据
Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13237
Yuan Sun, Lisheng Yu
Our study investigates whether credible commitment to corporate green behaviours influences corporate finance. Specifically, using the unique setting Green Manufacturing (GM) program in China, we examine whether and how green manufacturing certification (GMC) endorsed by the government could lead to an increase in firms' bank loan financing. We find that GMC increases bank loan financing, mainly through alleviation of banks' concerns of information risk and default risk potentially arising from environmental risk. Heterogeneity analyses show that the positive effect of GMC on bank loan financing is more pronounced for non‐state‐owned enterprises, firms in polluting industries, in less eco‐friendly regions, and in Green Finance Pilot Program regions. Our findings suggest that the government plays an important role in discerning and endorsing corporate green behaviours, and thus directing banks' financial resource allocation decisions.
我们的研究探讨了企业绿色行为的可信承诺是否会影响企业融资。具体而言,我们利用中国独特的绿色制造(GM)项目,研究政府认可的绿色制造认证(GMC)是否以及如何增加企业的银行贷款融资。我们发现,绿色制造认证增加了银行贷款融资,主要是通过减轻银行对环境风险可能带来的信息风险和违约风险的担忧。异质性分析表明,GMC 对银行贷款融资的积极影响在非国有企业、污染行业企业、生态环境较差地区以及绿色金融试点地区更为明显。我们的研究结果表明,政府在辨别和认可企业的绿色行为,从而引导银行的金融资源分配决策方面发挥着重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
A balancing act between accuracy and timeliness: Evidence from analyst forecasts in China 准确性与及时性之间的平衡:来自中国分析师预测的证据
Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13233
Lining Han, Bin Qiu, Xixi Yang, Yiwei Zhao
This paper investigates the impact of teamwork on analysts' ability to balance accuracy and timeliness. Surprisingly, team analysts demonstrate a lower ability compared to individual analysts. This trade‐off ability is even worse in diverse teams. Further, we find that Confucianism negatively affects this ability. However, this ability significantly improves when star analysts serve on the analyst team, or when analyst team members come from the province where the covered firm is headquartered, or when analyst team members graduate from the same college. Overall, these findings suggest that it is crucial to consider the two performance dimensions simultaneously.
本文研究了团队合作对分析师平衡准确性和及时性能力的影响。令人惊讶的是,团队分析师的能力低于个人分析师。在多元化团队中,这种权衡能力甚至更差。此外,我们还发现儒家思想对这种能力有负面影响。然而,当明星分析师加入分析师团队,或分析师团队成员来自被覆盖公司总部所在省份,或分析师团队成员毕业于同一所大学时,这种能力就会明显提高。总之,这些研究结果表明,同时考虑两个绩效维度至关重要。
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Accounting & Finance
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