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The Cuba-U.S. Bilateral Relationship最新文献

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The Ghost of Helms-Burton 赫尔姆斯-伯顿的幽灵
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0009
Jonathan C. Benjamin-Alvarado
In spite of the significant policy initiatives undertaken by the Barack Obama administration to “normalize” U.S. relations with Cuba, serious barriers and impediments lie ahead. This chapter investigates the daunting policy challenges that face the United States and Cuba in their effort to advance their bilateral diplomatic and economic affairs, owing largely to the draconian conditionality codified in the Cuban Liberty and Democratic Solidarity (Libertad) Act of 1996 (Helms–Burton Act). Given the highly partisan and divided nature of executive and legislative branches of the U.S. government, it remains uncertain as to whether Congress will allow progress in the normalization process to move beyond the limits of executive action. The chapter identifies and details the concrete steps that must be undertaken by the Congress to dismantle Helms-Burton, and under what conditions that might occur.
尽管巴拉克•奥巴马(Barack Obama)政府采取了重大的政策举措,使美国与古巴的关系“正常化”,但前方仍存在严重的障碍和障碍。本章调查了美国和古巴在努力推进双边外交和经济事务时所面临的令人生畏的政策挑战,这些挑战主要是由于1996年《古巴自由和民主团结法》(赫尔姆斯-伯顿法)所规定的严酷条件。鉴于美国政府行政和立法部门的高度党派和分裂性质,国会是否会允许在正常化进程中取得进展,超越行政行动的限制,仍然不确定。本章确定并详细说明了国会必须采取哪些具体步骤来废除赫尔姆斯-伯顿公司,以及在什么条件下可能会采取这些步骤。
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引用次数: 0
U.S. Property Claims in Cuba 美国在古巴的财产索赔
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0010
M. Kelly, E. Moreno, R. Witmer
In the years since publication of the Report on the Resolution of Outstanding Property Claims between Cuba and the United States in 2007, the relationship between these two countries has undergone significant change. This chapter considers these political changes and how they impact the resolution of one of the most contentious issues in the thawing relationship between two longtime rivals, including the transition to Raul Castro and how the next political transition might impact property rights settlements. The chapter also suggests the expansion of the original model to include Cuban citizens at the time of expropriation now living in the United States, as a way to build trust in dealing with contentious property rights issues.
自2007年《关于解决古巴和美国之间未决财产索赔的报告》发表以来,两国关系发生了重大变化。本章考虑这些政治变化,以及它们如何影响两个长期竞争对手之间关系解冻中最具争议的问题之一的解决,包括向劳尔·卡斯特罗的过渡,以及下一次政治过渡可能如何影响产权解决。本章还建议扩大原来的模式,将被征用时现居住在美国的古巴公民包括在内,作为在处理有争议的产权问题时建立信任的一种方式。
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引用次数: 0
The Future of Cuba’s Non-Sugar Agricultural Sector 古巴非糖农业部门的未来
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0005
Mario A. González‐Corzo, Armando Nova-González
Despite a dramatic growth in agricultural trade between the United States and Cuba, trade between these two states has been “one-way trade,” primarily due to U.S. economic sanctions. A new scenario could potentially emerge as diplomatic and trade relations between the United States and Cuba improve and are eventually normalized. These changes could facilitate the expansion of U.S. agricultural and food exports to the island, as well as Cuban exports to the United States. This chapter examines the evolution of U.S. agricultural exports to Cuba since the approval of the Trade Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act (TSRA) in 2000. The future prospects and policy implications for U.S.-Cuba agricultural trade are also discussed, taking into account the shift in U.S–Cuba relations initiated after December 17, 2014.
尽管美国和古巴之间的农业贸易急剧增长,但这两个国家之间的贸易一直是“单向贸易”,主要是由于美国的经济制裁。随着美国和古巴之间的外交和贸易关系得到改善并最终实现正常化,一种新的情况可能会出现。这些变化可能有助于扩大美国对古巴的农业和食品出口,以及古巴对美国的出口。本章考察了自2000年《贸易制裁改革和出口促进法案》(TSRA)获得批准以来美国对古巴农产品出口的演变。考虑到2014年12月17日之后美古关系的转变,本文还讨论了美古农业贸易的未来前景和政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Afterword Influencing Havana: Is It Possible? 影响哈瓦那:可能吗?
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0014
Gary H. Maybarduk
The chapters in this volume present a comprehensive understanding of U.S.-Cuban relations and their influencing factors. Fierce and uncompromising debate has long been a characteristic of U.S.-Cuban policy. By now, however, it should be clear the inability to influence significant reform by either of the polar opposites of the debate—those who support isolation and sanctions on Cuba and the Obama concept of an opening without concessions from Cuba—should cause all parties to step back from strong advocacy to a period of greater analysis and reflection. That reflection should start with causes of Cuban resistance: the barriers to change....
本卷的章节介绍了对美国与古巴关系及其影响因素的全面了解。激烈而不妥协的辩论一直是美古政策的特点。然而,到目前为止,应该很清楚的是,辩论的两极对立——那些支持对古巴进行孤立和制裁的人,以及奥巴马提出的不让古巴让步的开放概念——都无法影响重大改革,这应该导致各方从强有力的倡导退后一步,进入一段更深入的分析和反思时期。这种反思应该从古巴抵抗的原因开始:变革的障碍....
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引用次数: 0
Conclusion 结论
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0013
Michael J. Kelly, E. Moreno, R. Witmer
This chapter brings together the three dimensions examined by the volume’s contributors to address the full range of opportunities and challenges facing the island of Cuba. What is more, the authors address where opportunities and challenges may continue to exist for the United States and Cuba over the coming years. Given the cues provided by the Barack Obama regime in the last few years and the receptiveness of the island nation, the chapter suggests that there are multiple avenues along which both states could benefit. Likewise, the multidimensional nature of the puzzle at hand presents policymakers and scholars with a range of potential complications for both actors. This chapter provides a thorough discussion of these issues.
本章汇集了本卷作者审查的三个方面,以解决古巴岛面临的各种机会和挑战。此外,作者还讨论了美国和古巴在未来几年可能继续存在的机会和挑战。鉴于巴拉克•奥巴马(Barack Obama)政权在过去几年提供的暗示,以及这个岛国的接受程度,本章表明,有多种途径可以让两国受益。同样,当前这个谜题的多维性也给政策制定者和学者们带来了一系列潜在的复杂问题。本章对这些问题进行了深入的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Reintegrating Cuba into the Global Economy 使古巴重新融入全球经济
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0011
L. Backer
This chapter seeks to answer the question: What internal Cuban legal adjustments are necessary for Cuba to enter into a fully normalized relationship with the United States. and the rest of the world? The chapter first focuses on the adjustments Cuba might have to undertake if it is to embed itself within the structures of global trade and finance. Next, the chapter examines the extent to which Cuba is disposed to consider these possible reforms. Third, it examines what may be possible in the aftermath of the U.S. presidential election of 2016 (and its aftermath) and other global changes, including the emergence of a Chinese alternative to national embedding in global trade. These have considerably changed the terrain within with the consequences of U.S.-Cuba normalization can be considered. The examination considers the value of the European Union’s strategic initiative, the Political Dialogue and Cooperation Agreement (PDCA), as a viable basis for Cuban reintegration in the global economy.
本章试图回答这样一个问题:古巴需要什么样的内部法律调整才能与美国建立完全正常化的关系。世界其他地方呢?本章首先集中讨论古巴如果要融入全球贸易和金融结构可能必须进行的调整。接下来,本章审查古巴愿意在多大程度上考虑这些可能的改革。第三,它考察了2016年美国总统大选(及其后果)和其他全球变化之后可能发生的事情,包括中国替代国家嵌入全球贸易的出现。这些都大大改变了内部的地形,可以考虑美古正常化的后果。审查审议了欧洲联盟的战略倡议《政治对话与合作协定》的价值,认为它是古巴重新融入全球经济的可行基础。
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引用次数: 0
Succession versus Transition 继承与过渡
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0003
M. Kelly, E. Moreno, R. Witmer
Although the current regime has attempted to install a viable successor to the Castro brothers, the future of the island nation’s political structure can take a number of different paths. Since so much of U.S. approach toward diplomatic normalization with Cuba has hinged on regime change, the possibilities of political succession and transition are of paramount importance. This chapter addresses theories of political transition and succession to discuss the Cuban case. Using democratic transitions around the world, and among Cuba’s neighbors, as a point of departure this chapter addresses the key players and strategies that are most likely to be invoked over the next few decades both over the short, medium, and long term.
尽管现任政权试图为卡斯特罗兄弟安排一个可行的接班人,但这个岛国的政治结构的未来可能会有许多不同的道路。由于美国与古巴的外交正常化在很大程度上取决于政权更迭,因此政治继承和过渡的可能性至关重要。本章论述政治过渡和继承的理论,以讨论古巴的情况。以世界各地和古巴邻国之间的民主转型为出发点,本章讨论了在未来几十年里,在短期、中期和长期内最有可能被援引的关键角色和战略。
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引用次数: 0
Opening Cuba—Negotiating History 开启古巴谈判历史
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0002
Peter Kornbluh, W. M. LeoGrande
This chapter introduces the reader to the opening with Cuba under the Barack Obama administration. The chapter describes how this opening came about, and the political and diplomatic negotiations that led up to it. Further, the narrative places the historic opening between Presidents Obama and Fidel Castro in a broader historical bilateral context that was not devoid of communications between the two states. The chapter reinforces the notion that the rapprochement between the United States and Cuba was a deliberative process that included a variety of actors. The result of these efforts was a complex diplomatic process that launched hopes of long term diplomatic normalization between the two states.
本章向读者介绍奥巴马政府下的古巴。本章描述了这一开放是如何产生的,以及导致这一开放的政治和外交谈判。此外,这种叙述将奥巴马总统和菲德尔·卡斯特罗之间的历史性开放置于更广泛的双边历史背景中,而这一背景并非缺乏两国之间的交流。这一章加强了这样一种观念,即美国和古巴之间的和解是一个包括各种行动者在内的审议过程。这些努力的结果是一个复杂的外交过程,使两国之间出现了长期外交正常化的希望。
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引用次数: 1
A Political Economy Approach to U.S. Normalization Policy Toward Cuba 美国对古巴正常化政策的政治经济学分析
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0008
R. Betancourt
In this chapter, five contributions are made to advance understanding of U.S.-Cuba relations. First, empirical evidence is provided on outcomes with respect to the flows of persons, goods and services, and capital between Cuba and the United States. While the evidence stresses the last decade, it goes back to the 1990s when feasible and relevant. Second, policies and their implementation by both the U.S. and Cuban governments are viewed as the actions of political agents that provide opportunities and challenges for these outcomes to fluctuate over time in pursuit of a variety of goals. Third, these outcomes are treated as responses of U.S. and Cuban entities and residents as economic agents to the policies and their implementations by the two governments. Fourth, throughout the chapter, interactions between different policies within each country as well as between the two countries are analyzed in terms of their impact on actual outcomes. Finally, in the last substantive section the role of political factors in the two recent U.S. administrations is highlighted to bring out interactions between political and economic dimensions and to illustrate the policies explicitly or implicitly adopted by the Donald Trump administration.
在这一章中,对增进对美古关系的理解作出了五项贡献。首先,提供了关于古巴和美国之间人员、货物和服务以及资本流动的结果的经验证据。虽然证据强调过去十年,但在可行和相关的情况下,它可以追溯到20世纪90年代。其次,美国和古巴政府的政策及其实施被视为政治代理人的行动,为这些结果在追求各种目标的过程中随着时间的推移而波动提供了机会和挑战。第三,这些结果被视为美国和古巴实体和居民作为经济代理人对两国政府政策及其实施的反应。第四,在整个章节中,分析了每个国家内部不同政策之间以及两国之间的相互作用对实际结果的影响。最后,在最后一个实质性部分,强调了政治因素在最近两届美国政府中的作用,以揭示政治和经济层面之间的相互作用,并说明唐纳德·特朗普政府明确或隐含地采取的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Big Chills 大发冷
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190687366.003.0012
Robert R. M. Verchick, Karen C. Sokol
As Cuba’s economic model evolves and market mechanisms take root, concerns over environmental degradation increase. These issues are relevant to Cuba’s long term development as well as its place in a broader international effort to implement rules and norms to improve environmental protections. This chapter explores the myriad contributions of Cuban and multinational legal structures to address these concerns. The chapter explores the current state of Cuban legislation and legal practices to address environmental protection. Through an assessment of the current legal structure and proposed reforms, the analysis addresses the potential for economic growth and environmental protection in the near future.
随着古巴经济模式的发展和市场机制的扎根,对环境恶化的担忧日益增加。这些问题关系到古巴的长期发展,也关系到古巴在执行规则和规范以改善环境保护的更广泛国际努力中的地位。本章探讨了古巴和多国法律结构为解决这些问题所作的无数贡献。本章探讨了古巴立法和法律实践的现状,以解决环境保护问题。通过对当前法律结构和拟议改革的评估,分析了在不久的将来经济增长和环境保护的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Cuba-U.S. Bilateral Relationship
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