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[1988] Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track最新文献

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When and how cognitive style impacts decision-making 认知风格何时以及如何影响决策
J. E. Kottemann, W. Remus
Arguing along several lines, G.P. Huber (1983) asserted that cognitive style should not be a basis for DSS (decision-support system) designed but that it may be useful in the development of training procedures. An experiment is described that tests these assertions using a production scheduling task. Results indicate that (1) by merely providing outcome feedback, individuals of all cognitive styles (as measured by the Myers-Briggs type indicator and risk preference) learned the task equally well; (2) cognitive style was useful in explaining performance differences during task learning but not thereafter; and (3) cognitive style did not predict the heuristics used but rather the consistency of their use; that is, the impact of cognitive style manifested as erratic decisions rather than systematic bias. These results are used to discuss the role of cognitive style in both training and design and to suggest reasons for the inconsistent results in cognitive style research.<>
G.P. Huber(1983)主张,认知风格不应该是设计决策支持系统(DSS)的基础,但它可能在培训程序的开发中有用。本文描述了一个使用生产调度任务测试这些断言的实验。结果表明:(1)仅通过提供结果反馈,所有认知风格(以Myers-Briggs类型指标和风险偏好衡量)的个体都能很好地学习任务;(2)认知风格有助于解释任务学习期间的绩效差异,但不能解释任务学习后的绩效差异;(3)认知风格不能预测启发式的使用,而能预测启发式使用的一致性;也就是说,认知风格的影响表现为不稳定的决策,而不是系统性的偏见。这些结果被用来讨论认知风格在训练和设计中的作用,并提出认知风格研究结果不一致的原因。
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引用次数: 4
On building future decision support systems 关于建立未来的决策支持系统
K. Kandt
The technical issues associated with supporting analysis tasks using computer-based tools are addressed. The objectives are to propose a framework for representing: (1) conceptual knowledge that supports model construction and manipulation; (2) arguments and the process of argumentation; and (3) time and calculi for reasoning with respect to time. In addition, techniques to reuse past analyses are discussed, as are issues involving man-machine communication. It is expected that this approach will lead to a tool that can support a number of disciplines by providing a generic capability for constructing models, managing information, and browsing through information.<>
与使用基于计算机的工具支持分析任务相关的技术问题被解决。目标是提出一个框架来表示:(1)支持模型构建和操作的概念知识;(二)论证和论证过程;(3)时间和关于时间的推理演算。此外,还讨论了重用过去分析的技术,以及涉及人机通信的问题。人们期望这种方法能够通过提供构建模型、管理信息和浏览信息的通用能力,从而产生一种能够支持许多规程的工具。
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引用次数: 2
A notion for machine learning: knowledge developability 机器学习的一个概念:知识可发展性
H.-H. Chen
A notion, called knowledge development, for measuring the intelligence of machines is studied in the context of designing a versatile learning system. The notion is used in several ways: (1) it provides a guide to verify the overall intelligence of the expected machine, (2) it is claimed that an intelligently learning system should be able to assess the gain of intelligence level when a piece of knowledge is to be learned, and the notion can be used to address the feasibility of such an assessment and (3) it draws a justifiable boundary between the machine's responsibility and the user's responsibility. The base model of a general computing machine used is a Mealy finite state machine.<>
在设计多功能学习系统的背景下,研究了测量机器智能的知识开发概念。使用的概念是在几个方面:(1)它提供了一个指南来验证预期的整体智能机器,(2)它声称是一个智能学习系统应该能够评估智力水平的增益,当一块可以学到知识,和概念可以用来解决这样一个评估的可行性和(3)之间做了一个合理的边界机器的责任和用户的责任。通用计算机器的基本模型是一个有限状态机。
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引用次数: 0
Process-oriented model integration 面向过程的模型集成
J. E. Kottemann, D. Dolk
The authors outline a process-oriented approach to model integration based on familiar notions from discrete-event simulation and communicating sequential processes. They introduce features of a model integration command language (MICL) that incorporates message-passing, demons, suspend/resume mechanisms, and structured programming constructs to represent a model integration schema, or procedure. They present several examples of model integration from various domains or demonstrate how the MICL functions. The primary advantage of the MICL is that it allows model components to be used as building blocks for more elaborate composite models without necessitating modifications to the components themselves. Incorporating the MICL as part of a model-management system's model manipulation language provides a mechanism for multiparadigmatic integration as well as for assimilating behaviorally complex components, such as those found in discrete event simulation, into the model management framework.<>
作者概述了一种基于离散事件仿真和通信顺序过程的熟悉概念的面向过程的模型集成方法。它们引入了模型集成命令语言(MICL)的特性,MICL结合了消息传递、魔鬼、挂起/恢复机制和结构化编程构造来表示模型集成模式或过程。他们给出了来自不同领域的模型集成的几个例子,或者演示了MICL是如何工作的。MICL的主要优点是,它允许将模型组件用作更精细的组合模型的构建块,而无需对组件本身进行修改。将MICL作为模型管理系统的模型操作语言的一部分,提供了一种多范式集成的机制,以及将行为复杂的组件(如离散事件模拟中的组件)吸收到模型管理框架中的机制
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引用次数: 18
Combining expert systems and the Bayesian approach to support forecasting 结合专家系统和贝叶斯方法来支持预测
Feng-Yi Kuo
An approach to integrating expert system models (for information regarding the present and future problem states) with a Bayesian forecasting model (for information based on the historical data) is presented. Using this approach, past, present, and future information can be processed coherently in an automated system to support forecasting in general. It is shown that this approach is a practical way to provide support to both qualitative and quantitative information processing.<>
提出了一种将专家系统模型(针对当前和未来问题状态的信息)与贝叶斯预测模型(针对基于历史数据的信息)相结合的方法。使用这种方法,过去、现在和未来的信息可以在自动化系统中连贯地处理,以支持一般的预测。结果表明,该方法是为定性和定量信息处理提供支持的一种实用方法。
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引用次数: 7
An expert system framework for forecasting method selection 预测方法选择的专家系统框架
Shiv Kumar, Cheng Hsu
A framework of an intelligent forecasting assistant is developed. A detailed discussion is included of one component of this system, the selector, which is written in Lisp. The knowledge base of the system, the inference strategy, and the selection heuristic used are discussed.<>
开发了一个智能预测助手的框架。详细讨论了该系统的一个组件,选择器,它是用Lisp编写的。讨论了系统的知识库、推理策略和使用的选择启发式方法。
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引用次数: 15
A data sublanguage for formulation of linear mathematical models 线性数学模型的一种数据子语言
J. Choobineh, J. Sena
The database language SQL is extended to allow the specification of constraints, computed attributes, triggers, and optimizations for mathematical linear programming problems. QSL can be used directly to interface with various linear optimization routines. In this regard, an integration of these models and databases, from a user point of view, is achieved. A macro architecture for the implementation of the system is proposed.<>
对数据库语言SQL进行了扩展,允许为数学线性规划问题指定约束、计算属性、触发器和优化。QSL可以直接用于与各种线性优化例程的接口。在这方面,从用户的角度来看,实现了这些模型和数据库的集成。提出了系统实现的宏观体系结构
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引用次数: 1
The intelligent organization: some observations and alternative views 聪明的组织:一些观察和不同的观点
J. Marsden, D. Pingry
Recent papers by G.P. Huber (1984) and by G.P. Huber and R. McDaniel (1986) have provided an excellent discussion of the forces that will determine the characteristics of the surviving firms in what is becoming known as the postindustrial age. Their picture of the organization of the future defines what has come to be known as the intelligent organization. The authors analyze and expand this concept of the intelligent organization. They utilize the framework developed in the Huber-McDaniel papers in combination with the traditional models of microeconomics to make several observations that they fell clarify some of the interactions between the design characteristics of a firm and its environment.<>
G.P. Huber(1984)和G.P. Huber和R. McDaniel(1986)最近的论文对决定后工业时代幸存企业特征的力量进行了极好的讨论。他们对未来组织的描绘定义了所谓的智能组织。本文对智能组织的概念进行了分析和拓展。他们利用Huber-McDaniel论文中开发的框架,结合微观经济学的传统模型,进行了一些观察,并阐明了企业设计特征与其环境之间的一些相互作用。
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引用次数: 13
An architecture for active DSS 主动决策支持系统的体系结构
Marvin L Manheim
An architecture is proposed for decision-support systems that can provide active assistance to a user working on complex problems. The major feature is that, in addition to conventional user-directed processes, there are processes directed by a computer-directed-process manager (CDPM). For a CDPM to function, the system must maintain a continually updated model of what the user is doing. The input to this model is a history of the process, gathered by the history-recorder component of the system and analyzed by a history inference processor. Schema theory provides a framework construction of the model of the user problem-solving processes and the CDPM.<>
提出了一种决策支持系统的体系结构,该体系结构可以为处理复杂问题的用户提供主动帮助。主要特点是,除了传统的用户导向进程之外,还有由计算机导向的进程管理器(CDPM)导向的进程。为了使CDPM发挥作用,系统必须对用户正在做的事情保持不断更新的模型。该模型的输入是过程的历史记录,由系统的历史记录组件收集,并由历史推断处理器进行分析。图式理论提供了用户问题解决过程模型和CDPM的框架结构。
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引用次数: 61
A box structured methodology for solving business problems 一种用于解决业务问题的盒子结构方法
S. Bandyopahyay, A. Hevner
A box-structured methodology for solving business problems using available management science techniques is proposed. The procedure is free of bias caused by the choice of solution technique. Abstraction levels are developed for available management-science solution techniques. A mapping algorithm is defined that identifies what technique, or path of techniques, can be used to solve the problem. The abstraction categories are used in the decision process to narrow the search space of applicable techniques. The box-structured methodology supports the user evaluation of alternative solution techniques and provides a procedure for implementing the solution within an information system.<>
提出了一种使用现有管理科学技术解决业务问题的盒结构方法。该程序不受溶液技术选择的影响。抽象层次是为可用的管理科学解决方案技术开发的。定义了一个映射算法,用于确定可用于解决问题的技术或技术路径。在决策过程中使用抽象类别来缩小适用技术的搜索空间。盒式结构的方法支持用户对备选解决方案技术的评估,并提供了在信息系统内实现解决方案的程序。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
[1988] Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track
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