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Information Acquisition Under Risky Conditions Across Real and Hypothetical Settings 在真实和假设设置的风险条件下的信息获取
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12386
Matthew P. Taylor
I collect data on how subjects acquire information about risky choices in both real and hypothetical settings using process‐tracing software called Mouselab. On average, there are no significant differences across settings in the amount of time subjects take to make a choice or the completeness of the information they acquire. Subjects also acquire information in sequences consistent with an integration model of decision‐making, such as expected utility theory or prospect theory. I do not find significant differences in risk preferences across settings, on average, but I do find that subjects' risk preferences are related to the completeness of the information that they acquire and where they start their information acquisition.
我使用名为Mouselab的过程跟踪软件收集数据,研究受试者如何在真实和假设的环境中获取有关风险选择的信息。平均而言,在受试者做出选择所需的时间或他们获得的信息的完整性方面,不同设置之间没有显著差异。被试还会按照与决策整合模型(如期望效用理论或前景理论)相一致的顺序获取信息。平均而言,我没有发现不同设置的风险偏好有显著差异,但我确实发现受试者的风险偏好与他们获得的信息的完整性以及他们从哪里开始获取信息有关。
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引用次数: 2
Making Friends to Influence Others: Entry and Contribution Decisions that Affect Social Capital in an Association 交友影响他人:影响社团中社会资本的进入和贡献决策
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12297
Hayley H. Chouinard, Gregmar I. Galinato, P. Wandschneider
We examine factors affecting entry and contribution to an association that provides different goods using social capital formed by heterogeneous firms in a political economy environment. We model and solve a game that explains investments to form social capital within associations and determine the effect on the intensive and extensive marginal contributions to the association related to the government’s susceptibility to influence. Association products such as capital goods for members or lobbying the government to influence regulation affect membership and contribution decisions. Government influenceability also affects the decision to contribute to social capital, but it varies with agent productivity and association output. Often, an increase in government influenceability increases social capital in associations composed of high productivity agents because they prefer to influence policy while low productivity agents focus on production.
我们研究了在政治经济环境中,异质企业利用社会资本提供不同商品的协会的进入和贡献的影响因素。我们建立模型并解决了一个博弈,该博弈解释了在协会内部形成社会资本的投资,并确定了政府对影响的敏感性对协会的集约化和外延化边际贡献的影响。协会产品,如为会员提供的资本货物或游说政府影响监管,影响会员和捐款的决定。政府影响力也会影响社会资本贡献决策,但会随代理人生产率和协会产出而变化。通常,政府影响力的增加会增加由高生产率主体组成的协会中的社会资本,因为它们倾向于影响政策,而低生产率主体则侧重于生产。
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引用次数: 0
Bank Capital and Liquidity Creation in Asia Pacific 亚太地区的银行资本和流动性创造
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12308
Maggie X. Fu, Yongjia Lin, P. Molyneux
We calculate liquidity creation for a large sample of commercial banks in 14 Asia‐Pacific economies from 2005 to 2012. We find that banks in this region created $7.83 trillion in liquidity in 2012, or approximately 3.24 times the total liquidity created in 2005. Large banks and those based in Developing Asia created the highest liquidity. We also investigate the bicausal relationship between liquidity creation and regulatory capital and find that the trade‐off between the benefits of financial stability induced by enhanced capital requirements and those of higher liquidity creation is applicable to all of the sample banks, regardless of bank size and economic region.
我们以14个亚太经济体的商业银行为样本,计算了2005年至2012年的流动性创造。我们发现,该地区的银行在2012年创造了7.83万亿美元的流动性,约为2005年总流动性的3.24倍。大型银行和亚洲发展中国家的银行创造了最高的流动性。我们还研究了流动性创造与监管资本之间的双因果关系,发现提高资本要求所带来的金融稳定收益与更高流动性创造收益之间的权衡适用于所有样本银行,无论银行规模和经济区域如何。
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引用次数: 65
The Developmental Effect of State Alcohol Prohibitions at the Turn of the Twentieth Century 20世纪之交国家禁酒令的发展效应
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12303
Mary F. Evans, Eric A. Helland, Jonathan Klick, Ashwin Patel
We examine the quasi‐randomization of alcohol consumption created by state‐level alcohol prohibition laws passed in the United States in the early part of the twentieth century. Using a large dataset of World War II enlistees, we exploit the differential timing of these laws to examine their effects on adult educational attainment, obesity, and height. We find statistically significant effects for education and obesity that do not appear to be the result of pre‐existing trends. Our findings add to the growing body of economic studies that examine the long‐run impacts of in utero and childhood environmental conditions.
我们研究了20世纪初美国通过的州一级禁酒法所产生的酒精消费的准随机化。我们利用二战士兵的大型数据集,利用这些法律的不同时间来检验它们对成人教育程度、肥胖和身高的影响。我们发现教育和肥胖在统计上有显著的影响,这似乎不是先前存在的趋势的结果。我们的发现增加了越来越多的经济研究,这些研究考察了子宫和儿童时期环境条件的长期影响。
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引用次数: 12
Economic Structure and Seigniorage: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis 经济结构与铸币税:动态面板数据分析
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12298
Nasr G. Elbahnasawy, Michael A. Ellis
Controlling for a more comprehensive set of economic structure variables and using system generalized method of moment (GMM) dynamic panel estimation, we consider the determinants of seigniorage. While we confirm some results found in previous literature, including an inverse relationship of financial development and exchange rate management to seigniorage, we find little evidence that political instability and polarization lead to greater reliance on seigniorage. We also find robust evidence that the size of the shadow economy and natural resource rents are directly related to seigniorage, the latter result likely a result of exchange rate management. Thus, an effective strategy to reduce reliance on seigniorage is to lower the incentives to operate in the shadow economy, while exchange rate management may be counter‐productive in countries with considerable natural resource rents.
在控制更全面的经济结构变量集的情况下,采用系统广义矩(GMM)动态面板估计方法,考虑铸币税的决定因素。虽然我们证实了以前文献中的一些结果,包括金融发展和汇率管理与铸币税的反比关系,但我们发现很少有证据表明政治不稳定和两极分化导致对铸币税的更大依赖。我们还发现有力的证据表明,影子经济的规模和自然资源租金与铸币税直接相关,后者的结果可能是汇率管理的结果。因此,减少对铸币税依赖的有效策略是降低在影子经济中经营的激励,而汇率管理可能会在拥有可观自然资源租金的国家产生反作用。
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引用次数: 6
Does the River Spill Over? Estimating the Economic Returns to Attending a Racially Diverse College 河水溢出来了吗?估计上一所种族多元化大学的经济回报
Pub Date : 2009-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2009.00236.x
Peter S. Arcidiacono, Jacob L. Vigdor
"This article evaluates the frequently argued but heretofore little tested hypothesis that increasing minority representation in elite colleges generates tangible benefits for majority-race students. Using data on graduates of 30 selective universities, we find only weak evidence of any relationship between collegiate racial composition and the postgraduation outcomes of white or Asian students. Moreover, the strongest evidence we uncover suggests that increasing minority representation by lowering admission standards is unlikely to produce benefits and may in fact cause harm by reducing the representation of minority students on less selective campuses. While affirmative action may still be desirable for the benefits it conveys to minority students, these results provide little support for "spillover" effects on majority-race students. "("JEL" I2, J15, J24) Copyright (c) 2009 Western Economic Association International.
这篇文章评估了一个经常被争论但迄今为止很少被验证的假设,即精英大学中少数族裔学生的增加给多数族裔学生带来了切实的好处。利用30所名牌大学的毕业生数据,我们发现只有微弱的证据表明大学种族构成与白人或亚裔学生毕业后的成绩之间存在任何关系。此外,我们发现的最有力的证据表明,通过降低录取标准来增加少数民族学生的代表性不太可能产生好处,实际上可能会造成伤害,因为在不那么挑剔的大学里,减少了少数民族学生的代表性。虽然平权法案可能仍然是可取的,因为它给少数族裔学生带来了好处,但这些结果几乎没有支持对多数族裔学生的“溢出”效应。(“JEL”I2, J15, J24)版权所有(c) 2009年国际西部经济协会。
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引用次数: 35
Competition and Teacher Pay 竞争与教师薪酬
Pub Date : 2008-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00130.x
L. Taylor
"Competition-based school reform could have a significant impact on teacher earnings. If school districts behave as typical oligopsonists, then increased competition could lead to higher salaries. However, if teachers receive a share of the economic rents generated by the monopoly power of school districts, then increased competition could lower teacher salaries. This study uses panel data from 670 Texas school districts and more than 335,000 teachers to examine the relationship between school competition and teacher pay. The analysis suggests that an increase in competition results in higher wages for most teachers but lower wages for teachers in relatively concentrated markets". ("JEL" I2, J3) Copyright (c) 2008 Western Economic Association International.
“以竞争为基础的学校改革可能对教师的收入产生重大影响。如果学区表现得像典型的寡头垄断,那么竞争的加剧可能会导致更高的工资。然而,如果教师从学区的垄断力量产生的经济租金中分得一杯羹,那么竞争的加剧可能会降低教师的工资。这项研究使用了来自德克萨斯州670个学区和超过33.5万名教师的面板数据来研究学校竞争和教师薪酬之间的关系。分析表明,竞争加剧导致大多数教师的工资上涨,但在相对集中的市场中,教师的工资较低”。("JEL" I2, J3)版权所有(c) 2008国际西部经济协会。
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引用次数: 17
Piece-Rate Contracts for Other-Regarding Workers 其他工人的计件合同
Pub Date : 2008-04-08 DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00129.x
William S. Neilson, Jill C. Stowe
When workers are paid with piece rates, inequality arises naturally. We consider workers who care about income comparisons and are either status seeking or inequality averse. We identify circumstances under which inequality attitudes lead workers to exert more effort than they would otherwise, and also circumstances under which workers’ inequality attitudes lead firms to set lower piece rates than they would otherwise. The key behavioral assumption for both of these results to hold when workers are identical is behindness aversion, the property that changes in inequality matter more to the worker when he is behind than when he is ahead. (JEL D01, J33, M52)
当工人按计件工资支付时,不平等自然产生。我们考虑的是那些关心收入比较、要么追求地位、要么厌恶不平等的员工。我们确定了不平等态度导致工人付出比正常情况下更多努力的情况,以及工人不平等态度导致公司设定比正常情况下更低的计件工资的情况。当工人完全相同时,这两个结果都成立的关键行为假设是“落后厌恶”,即不平等的变化对工人来说,当他落后时比当他领先时更重要。(j01, j33, m52)
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引用次数: 76
Dynamics of Retail Advertising: Evidence from a Field Experiment 零售广告的动态:来自实地实验的证据
Pub Date : 2007-10-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00161.x
D. Simester, Yu Jeffrey Hu, E. Brynjolfsson, Eric T. Anderson
"We use a controlled field experiment to investigate the dynamic effects of retail advertising. The experimental design overcomes limitations hindering previous investigations of this issue. Our study uncovers dynamic advertising effects that have not been considered in previous literature. We find that current advertising does affect future sales, but surprisingly, the effect is not always positive; for the firm's best customers, the long-run outcome may be negative. This finding reflects two competing effects: brand switching and intertemporal substitution. We also find evidence of cross-channel substitution, with the firm's best customers switching demand to the ordering channel that corresponds to the advertising. "("JEL "L2, L81, M3) Copyright (c) 2008 Western Economic Association International.
“我们使用一个控制的现场实验来调查零售广告的动态影响。实验设计克服了以往研究这一问题的局限性。我们的研究揭示了在以前的文献中没有考虑到的动态广告效应。我们发现当前的广告确实会影响未来的销售,但令人惊讶的是,这种影响并不总是积极的;对于公司最好的客户来说,长期的结果可能是负面的。这一发现反映了两种相互竞争的效应:品牌转换和跨期替代。我们还发现了跨渠道替代的证据,公司的最佳客户将需求转向与广告相对应的订购渠道。(“JEL”L2, L81, M3)版权所有(c) 2008国际西部经济协会。
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引用次数: 68
How Important are Capital and Total Factor Productivity for Economic Growth? 资本和全要素生产率对经济增长有多重要?
Pub Date : 2005-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.301213
S. Baier, G. Dwyer, Robert Tamura
The authors examine the relative importance of the growth of physical and human capital and the growth of total factor productivity (TFP) using newly organized data on 145 countries that span more than one hundred years for twenty-four of these countries. For all countries, only 3 percent of average output growth per worker is associated with TFP growth. This world average masks interesting variations across countries and regions. Of the nine regions, TFP growth accounts for about twenty percent of average output growth in three regions and between ten and zero percent in the other three regions. In three regions, TFP growth is negative on average. The authors use priors from theories to construct estimates of the relative importance of the variances of aggregate input growth and TFP growth for the variance of output growth across countries. Across all countries, variation in aggregate input growth per worker could account for as much as 35 percent of the variance of the growth of output per worker across countries, and variation in TFP growth could account for as much as 87 percent of that variance. Much of the importance of the variance of TFP growth appears to be associated with negative TFP growth.
作者利用145个国家中24个国家跨越100多年的新整理数据,考察了物质资本和人力资本增长以及全要素生产率(TFP)增长的相对重要性。对所有国家来说,人均产出增长中只有3%与全要素生产率增长有关。这个世界平均值掩盖了不同国家和地区的有趣差异。在这九个地区中,三个地区的全要素生产率增长约占平均产出增长的20%,其他三个地区的全要素生产率增长在10%到0%之间。在三个地区,全要素生产率平均为负增长。作者利用理论先验构建了总投入增长和全要素生产率增长差异对各国产出增长差异的相对重要性的估计。在所有国家中,每个工人的总投入增长的差异可能占各国每个工人产出增长差异的35%,而TFP增长的差异可能占该差异的87%。TFP增长差异的重要性似乎与负TFP增长有关。
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引用次数: 361
期刊
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Inquiry
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