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The Credulity of Conspiracy Theorists 阴谋论者的轻信
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0029
Brian L. Keeley
Where does entertaining (or promoting) conspiracy theories stand with respect to rational inquiry? According to one view, conspiracy theorists are open-minded skeptics, being careful not to accept uncritically common wisdom, exploring alternative explanations of events no matter how unlikely they might seem at first glance. Seen this way, they are akin to scientists attempting to explain the social world. On the other hand, they are also sometimes seen as overly credulous, believing everything they read on the Internet, say. In addition to conspiracy theorists and scientists, another significant form of explanation of the events of the world can be found in religious contexts, such as when a disaster is explained as being an “act of God.” By comparing conspiratorial thinking with scientific and religious forms of explanation, features of all three are brought into clearer focus. For example, anomalies and a commitment to naturalist explanation are seen as important elements of scientific explanation, although the details are less clear. This paper uses conspiracy theories as a lens through which to investigate rational or scientific inquiry. In addition, a better understanding of the scientific method as it might be applied in the study of events of interest to conspiracy theorists can help understand their epistemic virtues and vices.
娱乐(或宣传)阴谋论在理性探究方面的立场是什么?根据一种观点,阴谋论者是思想开放的怀疑论者,他们小心翼翼地不接受不加批判的常识,探索事件的其他解释,不管它们乍一看多么不可能。从这个角度看,他们类似于试图解释社会世界的科学家。另一方面,他们有时也被认为过于轻信,相信他们在互联网上看到的一切。除了阴谋论者和科学家,另一种对世界事件的重要解释形式可以在宗教背景中找到,比如当灾难被解释为“上帝的行为”时。通过将阴谋论思维与科学和宗教形式的解释进行比较,这三者的特征都得到了更清晰的关注。例如,异常现象和对自然主义解释的承诺被视为科学解释的重要元素,尽管细节不太清楚。本文使用阴谋论作为一个镜头,通过它来调查理性或科学探究。此外,更好地理解科学方法,因为它可能应用于研究阴谋论者感兴趣的事件,可以帮助理解他们的认识的优点和缺点。
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引用次数: 0
The Hidden and the Revealed 隐藏与揭示
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780190844073.003.0027
Tanya Filer
Critics note that conspiracy theory offers populist leaders a ready narrative form for producing fear of “outsiders.” Yet conspiracy theory also helps to sustain populist authority in other, less commented, ways. This chapter explores the varied uses of conspiracy theory to populism through a case study of Argentine president Cristina Fernández de Kirchner (2007—2015). It identifies two styles of conspiracy theory, which I term “the hidden” and “the revealed,” that Fernández actively engaged in her attempt to control the political narrative in Argentina and to maintain popular legitimacy. Together, these dual forms of conspiracy theory furnished Fernández with an efficient method for bolstering two crucial tenets of populist authority: vertical leadership, and the illusion of direct contact with “the people.”
批评人士指出,阴谋论为民粹主义领导人提供了一种现成的叙事形式,可以制造对“局外人”的恐惧。然而,阴谋论也以其他较少被评论的方式帮助维持民粹主义权威。本章通过对阿根廷总统克里斯蒂娜Fernández de Kirchner(2007-2015)的案例研究,探讨了阴谋论在民粹主义中的各种用途。它确定了两种风格的阴谋论,我称之为“隐藏的”和“揭示的”,Fernández积极参与她试图控制阿根廷的政治叙事,并维持民众的合法性。总之,这两种形式的阴谋论为Fernández提供了一种有效的方法来支持民粹主义权威的两个关键原则:垂直领导和与“人民”直接接触的幻觉。
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引用次数: 2
Conspiracy Thinking, Tolerance, and Democracy 阴谋思想、宽容与民主
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780190844073.003.0012
Steven Smallpage
When university professors engage with conspiracy theories, the public is pushed to the limit in terms of what it will or will not tolerate. Professors that publicly hold conspiracy beliefs force the central question of political tolerance: what is the line between the intellectual inquiry that allows for communities to flourish, on the one hand, and the expression of viewpoints that undermine that community’s integrity altogether, on the other? The line is blurry, as careful skepticism underlies both the best academic work and the psychology of conspiracy thinking. Since conspiracy theorists often anger, provoke, and sometimes harass the public, we must decide as a community if we will tolerate professors who hold controversial conspiracy beliefs. Such decisions require thoughtful reflection on the similarities and differences between conspiracy thinking and its relationship to desirable traits of democratic citizens, like tolerance, independent thinking, and academic freedom.
当大学教授参与阴谋论时,公众就会被推到能容忍或不能容忍的极限。公开持有阴谋论信仰的教授们迫使人们提出政治宽容的核心问题:一方面,知识探索使社区繁荣,另一方面,观点表达完全破坏了社区的完整性,这两者之间的界限是什么?界限是模糊的,因为谨慎的怀疑主义是最好的学术作品和阴谋思想心理学的基础。由于阴谋论者经常激怒、挑衅,有时甚至骚扰公众,我们必须作为一个社会来决定,我们是否会容忍那些持有有争议的阴谋论信仰的教授。这样的决定需要对阴谋思想之间的异同及其与民主公民的理想特征(如宽容、独立思考和学术自由)的关系进行深思熟虑。
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引用次数: 4
Polls, Plots, and Party Politics 民调、阴谋和政党政治
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780190844073.003.0020
A. Enders, Steven Smallpage
Conspiracy theories have always been fixtures of American politics and culture. Indeed, conspiracy theories have been used to explain major events from national tragedies, terrorist attacks, and mass violence to national accomplishments, election outcomes, and power structures. Rather than the incoherent ramblings of a “crazy” few, a majority of Americans endorse at least one conspiracy theory. Conspiracy theories also have an important political component: Where members of both parties engage in conspiratorial thinking, the actual conspiracy theories endorsed by Democrats and Republicans, liberals and conservatives are very different, and oftentimes used to achieve political goals. Finally, conspiracy theories have consequences including declining trust in government, the exacerbation of social polarization, and the proliferation of the politics of disruption that have characterized recent electoral cycles.
阴谋论一直是美国政治和文化的一部分。事实上,阴谋论被用来解释从国家悲剧、恐怖袭击、大规模暴力到国家成就、选举结果、权力结构等重大事件。大多数美国人至少认同一种阴谋论,而不是“疯狂”的少数人语无伦次的胡言乱语。阴谋论也有一个重要的政治组成部分:当两党成员都参与阴谋思想时,民主党和共和党、自由派和保守派所支持的实际阴谋论是非常不同的,而且经常被用来实现政治目标。最后,阴谋论的后果包括对政府的信任度下降,社会两极分化加剧,以及最近选举周期特征的破坏政治的扩散。
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引用次数: 16
Conspiracy Theories in U.S. History 美国历史上的阴谋论
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0019
Kathryn S. Olmstead
Although many Americans believe that conspiratorial thinking is reaching new heights in the twenty-first century, conspiracy theories have been commonplace throughout U.S. history. In the colonial and early republic eras, Americans feared that Catholics, Jews, Masons, Indians, and African Americans were plotting against them. In the nineteenth century they added international bankers, rich businessmen, and Mormons to the list of potential conspirators. In the twentieth century, conspiracy theories continued to evolve, and many Americans began to suspect the U.S. government itself of plotting against them. These theories gained more credibility after the revelation of real government conspiracies, notably CIA assassination plots, the Watergate scandal, and the Iran–-Contra affair.
尽管许多美国人认为阴谋论思想在21世纪达到了新的高度,但阴谋论在美国历史上一直是司空见惯的。在殖民地和早期共和国时期,美国人担心天主教徒、犹太人、共济会成员、印第安人和非裔美国人会密谋反对他们。在19世纪,他们把国际银行家、富商和摩门教徒列入了潜在的阴谋家名单。在20世纪,阴谋论不断发展,许多美国人开始怀疑美国政府本身也在密谋反对他们。在真实的政府阴谋被揭露后,这些理论获得了更多的可信度,尤其是中央情报局的暗杀阴谋、水门事件和伊朗门事件。
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引用次数: 3
The Truth Is Around Here Somewhere 真相就在这里的某处
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0018
P. Bost
Recent years have seen a sharp acceleration in the publication of empirical studies on conspiracy beliefs. Collectively this work demonstrates markers of an energized but exploratory field still seeking theoretical focus and depth. The research has arrived at an inflection point that will lead to increased expectations for theory-driven work that tests specific predictions and arrives at answers with the potential to improve public discourse about conspiracy theories. Three specific lines of research can advance our understanding of the place of conspiracy beliefs in adaptive cognition: clearly defining the phenomenon under investigation, exploring the situational factors that contribute to conspiracy beliefs, and testing the positive as well as negative outcomes that result from conspiracy beliefs.
近年来,关于阴谋论的实证研究的发表急剧增加。总的来说,这项工作展示了一个充满活力但仍在探索理论焦点和深度的领域的标志。这项研究已经到达了一个拐点,它将导致人们对理论驱动的工作的期望增加,这些工作可以测试特定的预测,并得出有可能改善公众对阴谋论的讨论的答案。三个具体的研究方向可以促进我们对阴谋信念在适应性认知中的地位的理解:明确定义被调查的现象,探索促成阴谋信念的情境因素,以及测试阴谋信念导致的积极和消极结果。
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引用次数: 2
What We Mean When We Say “Conspiracy Theory” 我们所说的“阴谋论”是什么意思?
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780190844073.003.0003
Jesse Walker
The meaning of “conspiracy theory” constantly contracts and expands. On one hand, the phrase is regularly used to describe fringe views that do not involve alleged conspiracies. On the other hand, people tend to avoid using the phrase when describing conspiracy claims embraced by the mainstream, even when those ideas are highly dubious. Popular narratives about terrorism, gang activity, and new religious movements resemble more marginal conspiracy theories, particularly when they confuse decentralized networks with centralized organizations, perceive plots that don’t exist at all, or draw on the lurid imagery of pulp fiction.
“阴谋论”的含义不断收缩和扩展。一方面,这个短语经常被用来描述不涉及所谓阴谋的边缘观点。另一方面,人们倾向于在描述被主流所接受的阴谋论时避免使用这个词,即使这些观点非常可疑。关于恐怖主义、帮派活动和新兴宗教运动的流行叙述更像是边缘阴谋论,尤其是当它们混淆了分散的网络和集中的组织,认为根本不存在的情节,或者利用低俗小说中的耸人听闻的形象时。
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引用次数: 13
Don’t Trust the Scientists! Rejecting the Scientific Consensus “Conspiracy” 不要相信科学家!拒绝科学共识的“阴谋”
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0013
Josh Pasek
Scholars assessing the public understanding of science have long regarded informing Americans about scientific facts as key to raising Americans’ scientific literacy. But many Americans appear to be aware of the scientific consensus and nonetheless reject it. The individuals who are aware of the scientific consensus and reject its tenets tend to distrust scientists. They also focus their rejection on particular issues for which they may be otherwise motivated. This rejection may be driven by elites, who argue against the scientific consensus on issues like climate change by asserting either that the science is unsettled or by contending that the scientific consensus is itself a conspiratorial ploy. Individuals’ patterns of beliefs seem to imply that they view scientific evidence they dislike as the result of a conspiracy.
长期以来,评估公众对科学理解的学者一直认为,让美国人了解科学事实是提高美国人科学素养的关键。但许多美国人似乎意识到了科学共识,尽管如此,他们还是拒绝接受它。那些知道科学共识并拒绝其原则的人往往不信任科学家。他们也会把自己的拒绝集中在某些特定的问题上,而这些问题可能是他们的动机所在。这种拒绝可能是由精英推动的,他们在气候变化等问题上反对科学共识,要么声称科学尚未确定,要么声称科学共识本身就是一种阴谋诡计。个人的信仰模式似乎暗示,他们把自己不喜欢的科学证据视为阴谋的结果。
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引用次数: 7
Conspiratorial Thinking and Dueling Fact Perceptions 阴谋论思维和决斗的事实认知
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780190844073.003.0014
Morgan Marietta, D. Barker
Polarized perceptions of facts have become a defining feature of American politics. Scholars have described this phenomenon as contested facts, misinformation, cultural cognition, partisan facts, and dueling fact perceptions. But is there a connection between conspiratorial thinking and dueling facts? Are conspiratorial thinkers more likely to have different perceptions of climate change, the national debt, racism, or several other disputed facts like the safety of GMOs or the origins of sexual orientation? Recent survey evidence suggests that conspiratorial thinking is strongly related to some of the most prominent dueling fact perceptions on both right and left, grounded in rejection of scientific and scholarly consensus.
对事实的两极分化看法已经成为美国政治的一个标志性特征。学者们将这种现象描述为有争议的事实、错误的信息、文化认知、党派事实和决斗的事实感知。但是阴谋论和决斗的事实之间有联系吗?阴谋论者更可能对气候变化、国债、种族主义或其他一些有争议的事实(如转基因生物的安全性或性取向的起源)有不同的看法吗?最近的调查证据表明,阴谋论思维与右翼和左翼的一些最突出的事实认知密切相关,这些认知基于对科学和学术共识的拒绝。
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引用次数: 4
The Conspiracy Theory Pyramid Scheme 阴谋论金字塔计划
Pub Date : 2018-12-27 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0015
T. Goertzel
The conspiracy theory pyramid scheme has three tiers. First, writers and intellectuals who reinforce and legitimate conspiracy memes, sometimes without explicitly endorsing conspiracy theories. Second, people with a psychological affinity for conspiracy theories. And third, people who feel threatened by a specific issue and become persuaded that a conspiracy is at work. The pyramid metaphor should not be taken to imply that the top tier is in control and dominates the second and third tiers of the pyramid. Interaction between the tiers is reciprocal, not hierarchical. The authors examined in this chapter have played an important role on the first tier of the conspiracy theory pyramids: Andrew Wakefield, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Frederick Seitz, James Inhofe, Vandana Shiva, Noam Chomsky, and Edward Herman.
金字塔阴谋论有三个层次。首先是那些强化阴谋迷因并使其合法化的作家和知识分子,他们有时并不明确支持阴谋论。第二,对阴谋论有心理倾向的人。第三,人们会因为某个特定的问题而感到威胁,并相信有阴谋在起作用。金字塔的比喻不应该被理解为暗示顶层控制并支配金字塔的第二和第三层。各层之间的交互是相互的,而不是分层的。本章考察的作者在阴谋论金字塔的第一层发挥了重要作用:安德鲁·韦克菲尔德、小罗伯特·f·肯尼迪、弗雷德里克·塞茨、詹姆斯·英霍夫、凡达娜·希瓦、诺姆·乔姆斯基和爱德华·赫尔曼。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Conspiracy Theories and the People Who Believe Them
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